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I think Mocsta might be town because I don't think a mafia player went through the effort to make that huge response. Also, in my experience, people that are this wrong about me are often town, a la Vivax in LIX. I'm content with the idea that he actually has a scumread on me, instead of it being an outright lie.
Obviously some of you think he's mafia, such as jay and Oats, so why don't you guys make your own case? I think Djo made a decent point, yes, but I still think he might be town despite it. I thought my case was good, too, but he still might be town despite that. Yes, this is wishy-washy, as I've been accused of, but in all honesty D1 reads change very quickly.
If you think I'm bad/scum for thinking he might be town after all this, you need to justify your read better.
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On February 07 2013 13:12 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: lol jay i barely read dessert, just did the sexy flavor.
Oh Yamato and that list post. Palmar should be null imo Do you disagree with any of my reads?
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On February 07 2013 13:18 Mocsta wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2013 13:06 Djodref wrote: In this game, random lynching would have around 31% chance to hit mafia on day 1 ! From my point ow view, it is a good as one chance over three. It's far better than our expected chance to lynch mafia. That's why I thought that his game was good to experiment with random lynching. It turns out that I had bad luck with my randomization with Oats. The goal was to generate discussion, but it also kinda failed >.< Djodref, I already explained. I did a randomization as well. and it listed you for lynch. Why can I not follow through with that? Why cant my RNG on you, be a valid medium for discussion. The day you tell me that you are willing to lynch yourself UNCONTESTED if your name pops up on the RNG, is the day I will actually give it real thought as a mechanism to fight scum. Mocsta, if my newly minted town read on you is correct, I would suggest you stop wasting your time debating RNG lynches and instead focus on what actually going on in the game.
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On February 07 2013 13:26 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2013 13:17 yamato77 wrote:On February 07 2013 13:12 Mr. Cheesecake wrote: lol jay i barely read dessert, just did the sexy flavor.
Oh Yamato and that list post. Palmar should be null imo Do you disagree with any of my reads? Personally idk about Sloosh or prplhz being in the townie section. You seems to give town cred fairly easily. I don't even think I've earned a townie stamp as of yet. What would you consider if one of your 3 scummer reads were to flip town? One of JX and palmar is likely town. two mega lurker scum is unlikely. Town cred comes easily. One of the weaknesses of my play in the past was ignoring town tells, so I think I've gotten a lot better about that. There are four mafia, and of the four I think might be right now, Palmar is the most likely to be town because this type of behavior is alignment-null for him, in general. If we lynched him and he flipped town, I would say Mocsta and Djo would be the next two I would want to reassess. Right now I'm pretty sure about Sloosh/Prplhz/Oats/Jay/You though.
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Can anyone come up with a good reason to not lynch JX?
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Just the fact that prpl is interacting in the game right now is good enough for me to want to keep him alive over JX. The contrast between their play in this game and LIX where both were opposite alignments as now is striking.
Jay may not be playing superstar mode town, as he's often scummy even as town, but I don't think he's mafia. He was way lurky day 1 as mafia in Dessert and I caught him easy that game in obs so I'm not worried about him.
What town needs now is to consolidate, and I don't think anyone would oppose a JX lynch.
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And just to be clear, the JX lynch is not a lurker lynch. The fact that he's lurking is a tell on its own, as when he's town he's relatively active and engaged with the thread. Right now when I read his posts I get none of that. He doesn't care at all what we're doing this game, as opposed to LIX where he regularly shared his opinions.
Having played with him as mafia in Normal IV, he's like this as scum. He spams up the QT and only rarely posts in the thread. He's the best lynch for today by a mile.
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On February 07 2013 23:05 Palmar wrote: I can't be much around today.
Very quick reading makes me want to lynch cheescake, snarfs, prplhz
maybe phagga or yamato
So I'll leave my vote on prplhz Posts like these make me feel good about my red read on you.
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I'm pretty confident in these four as mafia after reading this page:
JX Palmar Phagga Snarfs
Lynch JX today, see which of them pop up tomorrow, if any, and go from there. Should be easy to lynch down this list and win.
Everyone else has given me good reason to think them town, either through meta, activity, or simply giving a shit about what is going on today. Snarf's read in VE is an excuse to not comment on anything else except giving a really silly defense of Palmar when Palmar has only a couple votes at most.
Phagga is more concerned with himself than finding mafia this entire game. He's the one I'm lest confident about on this team, but he's fairly red all on his own.
Palmar is continuing to do nothing, but as has been said this is par for the course for him as any alignment. However, what he has contributed feels very superficial. His Bugs policy lynch from LVIII had more depth than his play this game.
JX I have covered thoroughly. There's no reason to think he's town at all, especially since we're more than three quarters done with day 1. He dies today.
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Mocsta, you've been arguing with people this whole game on various tangents.
Let me know, concisely, why you think prpl is mafia. I don't think he is and I'll be glad to show why, but first I want you to explain it in short form, just the outline reasons.
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On February 08 2013 00:49 JieXian wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2013 22:32 prplhz wrote:Something rubs me the wrong way about jaybrundage and his case on Djodref. No one else really reacted strongly to Djodref's silly random vote because everybody knew what it was: some sort of scheme to draw out scum. Pretty rediculous but at least he doing something. jaybrundage also acknowledges this himself here but he still uses it as a reason to vote Djodref. This gives him a place to put his vote and even though he's since gradually recanted this (like here), he hasn't unvoted. It seems like he is trying to keep the Djodref door open while not pushing it and not wanting to actually push anything else. It doesn't seem like a townie thinking "fuck yea, i nailed this cracker and it's so obvious! now i just have to get everybody else to listen to me!", more like "cool, i can just put my vote on him and then chill". How do you guys feel about jaybrundage? WAIT............ I was about to dig through Djo's filter but how is RNG possibly useful to lure scum? wtf? And sorry guys I posted yesterday and went to sleep, have been busy the whole day. I probably will be here for a few hours now. I'm sorry you rolled mafia two games in a row, JX. Kinda kills your will to play, huh?
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On February 08 2013 00:55 JieXian wrote:Show nested quote +On February 08 2013 00:51 yamato77 wrote:On February 08 2013 00:49 JieXian wrote:On February 07 2013 22:32 prplhz wrote:Something rubs me the wrong way about jaybrundage and his case on Djodref. No one else really reacted strongly to Djodref's silly random vote because everybody knew what it was: some sort of scheme to draw out scum. Pretty rediculous but at least he doing something. jaybrundage also acknowledges this himself here but he still uses it as a reason to vote Djodref. This gives him a place to put his vote and even though he's since gradually recanted this (like here), he hasn't unvoted. It seems like he is trying to keep the Djodref door open while not pushing it and not wanting to actually push anything else. It doesn't seem like a townie thinking "fuck yea, i nailed this cracker and it's so obvious! now i just have to get everybody else to listen to me!", more like "cool, i can just put my vote on him and then chill". How do you guys feel about jaybrundage? WAIT............ I was about to dig through Djo's filter but how is RNG possibly useful to lure scum? wtf? And sorry guys I posted yesterday and went to sleep, have been busy the whole day. I probably will be here for a few hours now. I'm sorry you rolled mafia two games in a row, JX. Kinda kills your will to play, huh? nah I prefer to play mafia. Well, um, you're kinda going to die today.
Any last words?
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=393344&user=126438
This is prplhz's filter from LIX where he was mafia, lynched D1. While this is only somewhat useful on its own, what is important to note is how he was caught that game, which was through analysis of his meta. So, at the very least, we can assume that some of his posting this game is similar to how he usually plays mafia, and especially so at the beginning of the game. So what characteristics do we use to define that filter?
Trollish, disconnected, and overall useless to town. Devoid of reads, or any real interaction. Yes, at some point he realized he was dead and did nothing, but that wasn't the whole day. At least some part of that filter is indicative of his meta, and he hasn't matched it at all this game.
On February 06 2013 21:50 prplhz wrote: I'm on page 15 and scrolling down and seeing who is discussing I just want to say something really quick.
Oatsmaster, Mocsta: Stop focusing on each other. Just by your activity neither of you are up for lynch right now so stop focusing on each other. Whatever useful you could be doing by arguing with each other you've done it by now so quit it and stop messing the thread up. It is bloating the thread and for hardly any reason. Take a deep breath and a step back and focus on something else, if you want better reads on each other then just reread your discussion, I'm sure there's something you missed.
Alright going to read page 15 now.
But seriously, quit it and do something else.
This is his first post this game. What is he doing here? Caring about town, and actually giving out reads. Town reads, but reads nonetheless, and some insight into how he got them. This is a stark difference from the trolly attitude he got caught with in LIX.
On February 07 2013 04:39 prplhz wrote:Show nested quote +On February 07 2013 04:10 yamato77 wrote: So, I'm mafia because I won't tell you why I think phagga might be town?
Lol. Okay. Sure. Waste today thinking that. Dude, just tell him now. You don't want slOosh and his case on your back today because you're going to end up getting lynched. The case is pretty decent and I'd say you stand a good chance of getting lynched today, or at the very least you're going to attract a lot of attention to yourself which is not something we generally want out of a townie on day 1. So just say what you found in phagga's filter that makes you see him as town in spite of how he has done things that put you on to your main scum read. Your excuse that you wont say because "mafia will just talk about it" doesn't hold. Your read is absolutely void unless you can explain it to other people in this thread so get going please.
This post, he keeps with his pro-town theme and gives two more reads. He says I could be lynched, that he agrees with Sloosh's case. Again, he is thinking about who he wants to lynch, why he wants to lynch them, and being townie about it. The dude is green.
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On February 08 2013 01:14 prplhz wrote: Will people please comment on jaybrundage. JieXian sucks and he'll need to do something about that but in the meantime I want some feedback on jaybrundage. You think he's mafia because of the way he went about pressuring Djo, correct?
I'll take a look, just because I think you're town and might be right.
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On February 08 2013 01:15 JieXian wrote:Show nested quote +On February 08 2013 01:10 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:On February 08 2013 01:08 JieXian wrote:On February 06 2013 14:40 Snarfs wrote:On February 06 2013 14:36 Oatsmaster wrote: Hey, Tell me more about yourself, How many games have you played, which alignment do you like to play, are you scum or town? I played a few games last year, maybe 5 or 6? Mafia'a pretty much all you'll find if you search my post history, and you'll be able to tell quite quickly from those that I hate playing scum. Which makes me a happy camper this game . Now tell me what you know of VE from past experience and what you think of his disappearing act. happy camper???? C'mon JX. Even as scummy as snarfs is, that's a null tell =/ and kind of a cheap shot I'm not saying he's scum yet, I just can't rationalise with it. I'll decide after his promised post on VE Who is scum right now JX. Today is almost over and you've done nothing but make a case on Mocsta today, and now you're not even pushing that read.
If you're town you have zero reason to play this way right now.
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A lot of my reads this game are meta reads, especially early. You may not like them, but I'm confident in them.
Jay, for instance, I said I would look into. How does he play as mafia? Aloof, trollish, lurky. Is he any of that this game? Maybe kind of lurky, but he did pressure Djo on a valid point. He backed off because he realized Djo might not be mafia after all. Why would a mafia player draw attention to himself with a dumb idea like a random lynch? As CC said, he's much more likely to be silly town like thrawn from Hero Mini. I think jay realized this somewhere along the line.
He gets townie points for picking out JX as a read, too. No reason to think he's mafia yet, to be honest.
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Oats, I know you think Snarf is mafia and all, and I agree on a certain level, but is he really a better lynch than JX today?
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Look at my list.
JX, Palmar, Snarfs, Phagga
Most of you want to lynch at least one of them, no?
Why not lynch JX first? I want reasons he is town before we consider anyone else today.
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On February 08 2013 01:41 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:Also Yamato, I feel the need to say this. You are the towniest I've ever seen you in any game I've played with you. And that disturbs me lol. Your town play was always confirmation biased "kill cheesecake RAWR RAWR". Either your playing a great scumgame here or you've actually leveled your head. Show nested quote +On February 08 2013 01:38 Oatsmaster wrote: Yamato, yes in fact. I feel that Snarf is most likely gonna flip red.
CC, why should Palmer get a pass just cause he is good at town? I dont see any indication of it so far. Do you want to lynch based on reputation or scummyness CC? Since you said that his behaviour was scummy if it was from a 'new' person, why is it not scummy if it is from him? As far as I see it Oats, JX is equal to Palmar right now. Both have been similarly as useless, just throwing random names out there with little justification. JX seems scummier marginally. Palmar is all lurky and stuff, sure, but if he's town we will KNOW it tomorrow (or tonight). I agree wholeheartedly with what you say here. I feel exactly the same way.
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Hold on guys.
Why are people switching off JX?
I need to know why he's not dying if people want to lynch other people.
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