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Hero Mini Mafia - Page 20

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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 01:07 GMT
#2914
gg thrawn

well done vivax.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 11:49 GMT
#2931
On December 22 2012 12:57 Z-BosoN wrote:
Tomorrow is my last day on a computer, so yea be active dudes :D
I hope to find scum until then with a winning post of GG.

Marv is someone that needs to be looked at today.



I'll be back this evening to play properly (grmbl christmas shopping). Bluelightz's modkill is amazing for us.

Given I'm alive at LYLO (??) I'll give my best interpretation for why. I am another Veteran. I didn't crumb because I thought it would be obvious when I got shot. I am assuming however that the mafia must have a Rolecop and investigated me at some stage - so double stacking me at any point in the last few days would mean that mafia would have needed an extra mislynch to win the game.

Bluelightz's flip inherently makes me more suspicious of Z-Boson and Djodref. grush... I still think is town. Certainly it seems at least one of the scummers has been playing very well despite the collapse of his team otherwise.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 22:05 GMT
#2935
On December 23 2012 05:47 Djodref wrote:
I agree that BL modkill is amazing for us. But, marv, you didn't even mention Hapa, so do you mean that you have him as scum ?


Just got in from dinner. I didn't mention Hapa because I'm struggling to see a team without him in it, unless it's you and Z-Boson.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 22:16 GMT
#2937
That's because there isn't any advantage, he was clearly an "out" for any scum remaining and any scumread on him would have been 'valid'.

This is one of the primary reasons I'm so suspicious of Hapahauli. I've asked him more than once about Bluelightz and talked about the townread that me/Palmar gave on him, to try to find out why he's so keen to disagree with us.

There's some history here too, in Rock Band (where hapa was town, BL was town) I again cleared BL as town through his play, while Hapa was sure of him being SK. This game could be Hapa being equally 'paranoid' of Bluelightz as town, but the explanation that's more likely is that he was using BL as a front and as the mislynch scum needed.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 22:30 GMT
#2940
you have a deal, hapa. mainly because you're scum, my friend.

##Vote: Hapahauli
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 22 2012 22:43 GMT
#2942
yes, this is lylo grush, so we gotta get this one right.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 00:16 GMT
#2947
On December 23 2012 08:20 Hapahauli wrote:
@ Marv

Shortly before the N2 deadline, you posted a response to Palmar detailing your reads on the entire playerbase.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=384953&currentpage=99#1976

Notable from this post:
Show nested quote +
...
VE - the posts he HAS made have consistently made me lean town on this guy. His out and out dumbness on various issues (adam reads post, clarity) are strongly reminiscent of his town play. The problem is what he HASN'T posted. I'd be ok with him if in between the pants-on-head there was VE trying to figure out play. It doesn't seem that way. He could be time-constrained or whatever, but actually I respect VE enough that i expect more of SOMETHING from him and I haven't had it, so I'm thinking scum right now.
...


You were thinking scum on VE, and then one of your first posts on Day 3:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=384953&currentpage=103#2059

Show nested quote +
Nice job there.

jay managed to 'look town' to some of us here during day 1, and has basically ridden that all the way through the game. There's constant admissions that he's not doing anything, promises to do more... but we never actually get anything. Scum again.

Right now then I'm looking at Djodref, Hapahauli. jaybrundage. Thoughts guys?


You then attack my rationale for defending VE...
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=384953&currentpage=104#2070
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=384953&currentpage=104#2072

And then...
Show nested quote +
On December 17 2012 22:28 marvellosity wrote:
Screw this. We'll see what Hapa comes up with later and if I have to phone post to change votes or whatever then that's what I'll have to do

##Unvote
##Vote: VisceraEyes




So my questions to you:
1) Why did you vote VE, when you were looking at myself, Djo, and Jay as the scumteam?
2) Can you walk us through your thought process on N2/D3 in regards to your suspicions?


On December 19 2012 00:29 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 19 2012 00:20 Z-BosoN wrote:
Actually, marv, there is one thing I'd like you to explain.
Why did you vote VE, if you said your main suspects were jay, Djodref and Hapahauli?


Mostly because my reads were kinda in flux

the relationships between jay/djo/hapa seemed to make sense when I'd done some rooting around (hapa defending djo, jay fail-pushing djo, etc), so I thought I'd see what people thought about it (hence the lack of a vote at the time).

Hapa persuaded me to unvote him on time issues, and I was losing confidence in a Djo lynch

That left VE who still wasn't doing anything and really seemed the safest lynch of the lot after all. Which was right thankfully.


Effectively after the end of night 2 and when I'd made that post, I'd spent quite a lot of time filtering people and at that moment those 3 made sense as a package, which is why I presented it as such and asked for thoughts from the rest of town. Events after that post led me to fall away from Djo and you, leaving behind VE who was an independent scumread.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 00:18 GMT
#2948
On December 23 2012 08:47 Hapahauli wrote:
Moar @ Marv

Around the time that VE claimed cop, you took a rather exasperated stance on things:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:23 marvellosity wrote:
Z-Bo has gone according to his last post, i assume he's referring to what i pasted here.

i fucking hate this. none of his play is townie, but i hate lynching uncounterclaimed DTs.

djfnsdk

I think we have to lynch him and hope he doesn't flip DT or we feel very stupid


In this post, it seems very clear that you're not thrilled about the idea of lynching VE and are pretty torn on things. 4 minutes later...

Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:33 marvellosity wrote:
pretty sure it's VE/jay right now

Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:40 marvellosity wrote:
On December 18 2012 09:39 jaybrundage wrote:
Why the HELL WOULD I AS SCUM BE TRYING TO STOP A VE LYNCH. HES EITHER A TOWN AND IM THE DUMBEST MAFIA PLAYER EVER. OR HES SCUM IN WHICH CASE I WOULD JUST BUS HIS ASS.

BUT if im town. And then that means that the fucking math makes perfect sense. VE ISNT SCUM


Hapa, you've missed the point.

it sets up perfectly

jay is scum with VE. jay hard-opposes VE's lynch at VE's orders

two results:

1) jay averts the VE lynch
2) jay doesn't avert the VE lynch but everyone goes "omg, scum would NEVER do that, it's SO blates!"

winwin for scumjay


What I found odd about this was both your explanation and the turn-around time. You go from uneasy to extremely convinced by the actions of a player that wasn't VE. More odd is what's missing in your analysis - nowhere do you describe why VE/Jay scumteam is more likely than the alternative (Jay = stupid town). You simply state that VE/Jay is scum because this grand plan could have happened.



Bonus:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:51 marvellosity wrote:
again, this is why it would be a good play

and it'd be fucking VE orchestrating it.

And it's the fact that intelligent people against you fight against the idea that make it good.

Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:51 marvellosity wrote:
*intelligent people like you



This post is odd considering the context of the game. On Day 3, I was presumably one of your top scumreads (you had your vote on me earlier in the day), and yet the bolded statement seems to imply that I'm town.


Not a lot to say other than I had a zing moment on jay where it all made sense to me. Usually these things aren't a gradual realisation but they come to you while you're in the thread seeing things.

As to the comment on intelligence, it doesn't imply that you're town at all. You are intelligent, and whether town or scum the point is correct.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 00:21 GMT
#2949
On December 23 2012 08:58 Hapahauli wrote:
So as I'm looking through Marv's filter, one of the huge problems that I'm having is that there's very little analysis pertaining to people that have actually flipped scum, and tons of analysis on people that have flipped town.


What of this? Mostly I sheeped Palmar day 1 on Adam, and I said enough about VE because there was not a lot to say about him. It's pretty easy to provide detailed analysis on scumbuddies because you know they're scum with unpure motives and if you're bussing them why not. This point is ass backwards.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 11:53 GMT
#3000
On December 23 2012 16:36 Hapahauli wrote:
HOLD THE FUCK ON A MINUTE.

Marv is scum.
Show nested quote +
On December 22 2012 20:49 marvellosity wrote:
On December 22 2012 12:57 Z-BosoN wrote:
Tomorrow is my last day on a computer, so yea be active dudes :D
I hope to find scum until then with a winning post of GG.

Marv is someone that needs to be looked at today.



I'll be back this evening to play properly (grmbl christmas shopping). Bluelightz's modkill is amazing for us.

Given I'm alive at LYLO (??) I'll give my best interpretation for why. I am another Veteran. I didn't crumb because I thought it would be obvious when I got shot. I am assuming however that the mafia must have a Rolecop and investigated me at some stage - so double stacking me at any point in the last few days would mean that mafia would have needed an extra mislynch to win the game.

Bluelightz's flip inherently makes me more suspicious of Z-Boson and Djodref. grush... I still think is town. Certainly it seems at least one of the scummers has been playing very well despite the collapse of his team otherwise.


Marv claimed veteran. He's the 4th blue claim. The chances that there are 5 blues in this setup balance wise are... not very high. Yet marv's post regarding VE:

Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 09:23 marvellosity wrote:
Z-Bo has gone according to his last post, i assume he's referring to what i pasted here.

i fucking hate this. none of his play is townie, but i hate lynching uncounterclaimed DTs.

djfnsdk

I think we have to lynch him and hope he doesn't flip DT or we feel very stupid


If marv is the veteran, he shouldn't show the slightest bit of doubt lynching VE here. VE would be the 5th blue claim in a 16 man game.

##Vote Marvellosity


You do realise bugs' game had 5 or 6 blues in a 13 man game with 3 scum, right? We could have a gf/vigi/goon/rolecop setup, or whatever.

I'm pretty sure I made a post earlier where I said anything between about 2-6 blues could be balanced depending on scum roles.

I had no real reason to disclose my role earlier in the day, I wasn't under any particular amount of suspicion and I didn't need to make a play to 'save myself'. The simple fact is that it's lylo and I went for full disclosure.

Djodref: what do you expect out of a veteran mentality? I'm motherfucking marvellosity. I post a shit-tonne, I help lynch scum on day 1, what more do I have to do to get shot? Historically I rarely crumb my roles; I did so in Rock Band because I felt insecure in my position near the start, but in games like LI or Dwarf Fortress I didn't breadcrumb my tracker role, I've never crumbed my vigi roles (again, because it would be obvious, like it should have been with my vet role).
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 12:01 GMT
#3001
If someone can tell me my motivation there for claiming Veteran as scum while under no pressure and without having made crumbs, then brilliant. Because I can't think of one. Probably because I'm town.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 12:07 GMT
#3002
also, grush still isn't scum despite what you two seem to be insinuating the last two pages.

It's easy as fuck to make a case against grush because he is ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS going to show scum traits just because of his "trolly" playstyle.

There's nothing in his play that suggests he's playing at all like his scum play. yuk.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 12:08 GMT
#3003
On December 23 2012 14:06 Z-BosoN wrote:
Looking at grush, I really can't see anything in his posts. I didn't see the big difference in his filter marv announced earlier, not even after running around my house naked three times.
Djo is now a town read for him, despite him wanting to kill Djo badly earlier on.
VE also manifested a town to scum transition in his filter.
And he seriously thinks we are a scum team.
I really can't make any of his posts.


why is this outrageous?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 12:08 GMT
#3004
Z-Bo, why are you suddenly hyper-active talking with Hapa? endgame piqued your interests?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 12:11 GMT
#3005
also, Djodref, why are you suddenly taking on a backseat, 'moderating' capacity?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 14:28 GMT
#3011
On December 23 2012 23:21 Hapahauli wrote:
One post before I hit the road... see y'alls tonight!



Show nested quote +
On December 23 2012 20:53 marvellosity wrote:
On December 23 2012 16:36 Hapahauli wrote:
HOLD THE FUCK ON A MINUTE.

Marv is scum.
On December 22 2012 20:49 marvellosity wrote:
On December 22 2012 12:57 Z-BosoN wrote:
Tomorrow is my last day on a computer, so yea be active dudes :D
I hope to find scum until then with a winning post of GG.

Marv is someone that needs to be looked at today.



I'll be back this evening to play properly (grmbl christmas shopping). Bluelightz's modkill is amazing for us.

Given I'm alive at LYLO (??) I'll give my best interpretation for why. I am another Veteran. I didn't crumb because I thought it would be obvious when I got shot. I am assuming however that the mafia must have a Rolecop and investigated me at some stage - so double stacking me at any point in the last few days would mean that mafia would have needed an extra mislynch to win the game.

Bluelightz's flip inherently makes me more suspicious of Z-Boson and Djodref. grush... I still think is town. Certainly it seems at least one of the scummers has been playing very well despite the collapse of his team otherwise.


Marv claimed veteran. He's the 4th blue claim. The chances that there are 5 blues in this setup balance wise are... not very high. Yet marv's post regarding VE:

On December 18 2012 09:23 marvellosity wrote:
Z-Bo has gone according to his last post, i assume he's referring to what i pasted here.

i fucking hate this. none of his play is townie, but i hate lynching uncounterclaimed DTs.

djfnsdk

I think we have to lynch him and hope he doesn't flip DT or we feel very stupid


If marv is the veteran, he shouldn't show the slightest bit of doubt lynching VE here. VE would be the 5th blue claim in a 16 man game.

##Vote Marvellosity


You do realise bugs' game had 5 or 6 blues in a 13 man game with 3 scum, right? We could have a gf/vigi/goon/rolecop setup, or whatever.

I'm pretty sure I made a post earlier where I said anything between about 2-6 blues could be balanced depending on scum roles.

I had no real reason to disclose my role earlier in the day, I wasn't under any particular amount of suspicion and I didn't need to make a play to 'save myself'. The simple fact is that it's lylo and I went for full disclosure.

Djodref: what do you expect out of a veteran mentality? I'm motherfucking marvellosity. I post a shit-tonne, I help lynch scum on day 1, what more do I have to do to get shot? Historically I rarely crumb my roles; I did so in Rock Band because I felt insecure in my position near the start, but in games like LI or Dwarf Fortress I didn't breadcrumb my tracker role, I've never crumbed my vigi roles (again, because it would be obvious, like it should have been with my vet role).


Ok maybe this was less of a "EUREKA" moment than I had thought. However, Hapa policy-lynch rule #2 (lynch marv at lylo) is starting to make much more sense to me right now. Outside of sheeping Palmar/debears on the Adam vote early on Day 1, you've been largely pushing mafia objectives.
D2) Tunkeg lynch
D3) Push three non-VE targets (Jay, myself, and Djo... seems like a townie crowd)
D4) Jay lynch

And now I see you convinced of my guilt. I've seen no frustration, or even hesitation about you lynching me today, despite it being a non-contested bandwagon at lylo. Like honestly - not a single person in this game has defended me for the last ~120 hours. And you think that I'm scum? Doubt it.

As a last point, I saw a lot of frustration out of you when you pushed two mislynches in GSL II Mafia. I don't get any sense of frustration, urgency, or even emotion from you right now when the game is on the line. I'm pretty confident that you're flipping red.


Obviously you have to take this stance right now, Mr Flip Floppy. Even this cycle you called me 99% town at some stage, and now because of the veteran thing which you're now admitting was not a point at all, you're "convinced I'm flipping red".

The fact is mafia were likely bussing you hard today because you were likely to be a liability. I love that you're trying to pin the jay lynch on me when everyone thought he was scum and Palmar joined me on the Tunkeg wagon.

Why the fuck would mafia defend you?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 14:29 GMT
#3012
On December 23 2012 23:28 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2012 23:23 Hapahauli wrote:
And as a last point, there are many scum-teams that are plausible right now. I suppose it's alright to think that one of Z-Bo or I (individually) are scum. However, if you think after last night we're a team? Helllllllllll no.


Why not ?
If you are a team, you can win today. I mean, it would not be strange for mafia or town to show an activity outburst towards the end.


right, I was about to say this myself.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 14:30 GMT
#3013
On December 23 2012 23:26 Djodref wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 23 2012 21:11 marvellosity wrote:
also, Djodref, why are you suddenly taking on a backseat, 'moderating' capacity?


It's not sudden, but it's true that you didn't try to lead since Tunkeg's lynch. You didn't try to push any lynch when the choice was between VE and me.


So in your world where you know you're town, how hard did I try to push your lynch on Day 3? Or did I in fact vote VE, then come back near deadline and after thinking things through made sure VE got lynched?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 14:31 GMT
#3014
On December 23 2012 22:08 Z-BosoN wrote:
Marv, why would i take all this effort to bus hapa? Dont be ridiculous.
Grush has a meta thats easy to hide your intentions in, im not about to give him a town read based on your meta read on him.
Plane is leaving but as it stands, hapa came looking much better after my interaction with him, and i really dont think they djo hapa are a scum team. Its a big risk to take to give a town read on a scumbuddy when being pressured.
##vote marv

Ill post more and update my vote when i land, i rlly need to shut cell off.


The fact you're even asking or phrasing the question this way heavily suggests mafia objectives.

Why are you, indeed, 'taking all this effort' to bus hapa, and then voting me at the end of it?
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
December 23 2012 14:32 GMT
#3015
As soon as Djo starts showing doubt, Z-Bo drops his massive case on Hapa and votes for me. Unreal
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
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