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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI - Page 33

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 28 2012 03:08 GMT
#641
Well this is a pleasant surprise! POPCORN DEMANDED
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Kickstart
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States1941 Posts
November 28 2012 03:08 GMT
#642
Looks like our blue roles did some work - Good job guys. This is pretty good for us because whichever blue caused this basically confirms the allegiance of the person they took action against. After a shit day 1 this is a step in the right direction.
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10857 Posts
November 28 2012 03:08 GMT
#643
"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
November 28 2012 03:10 GMT
#644
Not exactly, the scum killer could have been RB'd by the JK, yes? If there's only a doc, then yes pretty the doc knows who is inno.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 03:10 GMT
#645
On November 28 2012 11:58 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
2-3 people is hardly everyone, Jacob.


Yeah but compared to the competition the second most liked person is helio with two accounts that stood out? Not saying OMG HE LIKES PEOPLE HE MUST BE SCUM or anything just putting down what I have observed.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 03:12 GMT
#646
Also no flavor? I am disappoint. Congrats to the blue among us you have served us well.
Kickstart
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States1941 Posts
November 28 2012 03:16 GMT
#647
Ah that is true, the Jker (if there is one) could have either jailed the scum making the shot or the person being shot, so if it was jailer they wouldn't necessarily know what the role of the person they took action against is cause it could have been either. Come to think of it if there is both a JK and Doc it makes it even more confusing. But anyways enough blue speculation - good job by them regardless.
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 03:18 GMT
#648
^ unless.... the mafia role blocker hit a blue then we would have a clear idea assuming we could trust our blue that got hit by the roleblocker. (which is the other problem)
Oatsmaster
Profile Joined October 2012
United States16628 Posts
November 28 2012 03:22 GMT
#649
Ok now we got a huge advantage that scum didnt hit anybody.
I say everyone say their top scum reads.
My Top Scum read is:
Heloknight.
After Munk-E appears, he agrees with munke but still keeps his vote on him??? It is obvious that munk-e wasnt actually a scum read for him so why did he still vote for him?
Also he asked a series of questions for me which I completely missed and he didnt pressure me to answer them. This shows that he is not interested in actually finding scum but to look like he is involved
No gg, No skill.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 28 2012 04:00 GMT
#650
Can mafia KP be roleblocked?
Writer@WriterYamato
Hapahauli
Profile Joined May 2009
United States9305 Posts
November 28 2012 04:03 GMT
#651
On November 28 2012 13:00 yamato77 wrote:
Can mafia KP be roleblocked?


Yes
a talking rock that sprouts among the waves woosh
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 04:32 GMT
#652
Well I will let of on kick for the moment so he has the time to formulate cases, (as the only case you had was on oats which back then seemed to be mainly based on how bad he is playing now it holds more weight thought so I need to think about this) however stop defending people from bad cases. Sure they might be bad but if they are town they should be able to point out for themselves it is bad. If they are scum they might panic. Yes if we are going to lynch someone on a bad case point it out by all means. But it's infuriating having people answer questions that aren't directed at them. (although I do this sometimes as well)

yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 28 2012 04:42 GMT
#653
what do you think about his case on me? no one has commented on it but me, that I have seen.
Writer@WriterYamato
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 05:22 GMT
#654
Who is he? I assume you mean kick? I'll find it again and comment.


It seems rather well thought out, (inspired by my munkey is confirmed town lets see what he had to say post?) However one thing he said you had the largest filter int he game about 5 pages. But in checking your filter I see 4 pages with only your latest post in the 4'th page? Formatting error or not paying enough attention to his reads.

But I will re read your reply... actually i can't find it clearly could you link to it?





yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 28 2012 05:27 GMT
#655
On November 28 2012 09:22 yamato77 wrote:
i'm at work right now so I don't have a lot of time but that "case" against me is just kick pointing at Munk's read of me and going, "Look! I know you guys already saw this but I think it means something now!" The revelation that Munk-E is town does not make his read on me automatically correct.

For your viewing pleasure.
Writer@WriterYamato
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 05:30 GMT
#656
On November 28 2012 14:27 yamato77 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 28 2012 09:22 yamato77 wrote:
i'm at work right now so I don't have a lot of time but that "case" against me is just kick pointing at Munk's read of me and going, "Look! I know you guys already saw this but I think it means something now!" The revelation that Munk-E is town does not make his read on me automatically correct.

For your viewing pleasure.


Well that isn't much on an defense to be completely honest. Just because it isn't automatically right doesn't mean it's wrong. There are still points brought up against you that you need to cover. If you are town take my opinion that it's actually a good case and needs to be discussed in enough detail to prove you innocent. if you are mafia then do whatever lol.

JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 05:31 GMT
#657
Unless you already replied to munk-e?
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 28 2012 06:46 GMT
#658
My post really begs the question on why anyone would take his post more seriously now than before. I don't think him being confirmed town gives it any more weight than it had at the time. If you guys take the argument seriously that his post brings up valid points against me then I will look over it tomorrow when I have more time.

But honestly, you haven't done much to prove you are town at all. I ask you for reads and opinions and you answer, but I don't really see you making any posts putting pressure on people or attempting to make cases against your scum suspects. I don't really know who they are, to be honest.
Writer@WriterYamato
JacobStrangelove
Profile Joined August 2012
Australia1572 Posts
November 28 2012 07:32 GMT
#659
Yeah haven't been putting any pressure on kick at all 0-0. Oh wait no I have, all game to be precise. But I agree as far as long cases go I haven't done many this game. Mainly because I always update my theory's as I go. I put my thought process in the thread. However as an update as it were oats is becoming more suspicious. (and is playing more like kush does sorry )

This has been based on. originally my read was he was to 'bad' to be scum however he has been doing so many stupid things I am unsure if he has employed it as a tactic. the 1 down 5 to go thing I mentioned has moved him into my limelight as I as well as sonic?(forget who exactly) Almost posted something like that when we were mafia. Only puts him neutral though but before I was reading him town due to style.



Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 28 2012 07:55 GMT
#660
On November 28 2012 02:23 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 27 2012 21:41 Aquanim wrote:
So, what's to be learned from this?

One question is: what happened to the Yamato lynch? Up until four hours before lynch Yamato was leading Munk-E in the lynch stakes.

@everyone who switched from Yamato to Munk-E (in other words, everyone except Kickstart): Why did you switch?
And for that matter, Kickstart, why didn't you switch?


I don't particularly like this broad question and I don't particularly think voting for Munk-E was scummy. I think it's much better to focus on someone who actually did look really scummy during the voting, throwing out those questions makes it so easy for scum to slip by in a sea of answers. My explanation:

+ Show Spoiler +
I was one of the first to express suspicion of Yamato (I actually think Aqua was the first but I can't be bothered to go back and check). I later made the case against Cake, which I thought was pretty good but after Cake had responded didn't feel was strong enough. When I made the case against Cake, Yamato sheeped it hard with really poor motivation, which made me switch to him since I had already been suspicious of him.

When Yamato started explaining himself I got the feeling he was genuine. Yes, this is kind of abstract, but I thought his effort to change read townie. Also, Yamato expressed before the game started that Marv was his role model for town play. From what I've seen from Marv he tends to post a lot of one-liners, so I was getting the feeling yamato had tried the Marv strat, it had backfired, and now he was feeling bad because he had fucked up. He explained what his thought process through-out the game and tried to be more transparent than his one-liners had been. Some attacked him for just restating events, but I thought his way of explaining himself was rather good. What was still lacking was original cases, but I let that slip by because making original cases while defending himself isn't really that easy (and honestly, when it comes to a lack of original cases he had competition of a lot of other players).

(As an aside, the Yamato wagon still gained momentum even after I jumped off. I thought his response to this wagon was rather townie. This is getting really long-winded so I won't go into detail, but for obvious reasons this part of the defense had nothing to do with me switching to Munk-E

At that point I switched to Munk-E. He really had shown no effort and I convinced myself he was an ok vote. I still think he was a better vote than Yamato, but I also still think it was a bad vote in the sense it was a coin-flip. Like I said at the time, it was a cop out and admitting that I couldn't find a good scum read. Basically a policy lynch.


Now Aqua, I'm a bit curious about your vote on Munk-E. If found it weird. If I recall correctly, you made a short post voting for Munk-E. Then 45 minutes later you had typed out a long-ass case on Kick. I know those posts take a lot of time to write. Did you really read through Kicks filter, decide he was scummy, type up that post with all the formatting and stuff all in 45 minutes? If yes, then it seems you couldn't have put a lot of thought into your case and weighing it against other possibilities (weird considering how confident you seemed it was the best case out there).


I asked that question because I didn't have any idea of the spirit of the thread or thoughts at that time - if I'd been reading and interacting with the wagons I wouldn't have asked. The question is indeed broad and I didn't expect to gain a huge amount with it.

As for my vote on Munk-E, I came back, read the thread, saw he still hadn't posted much of anything and voted him on principle. It was a vote intended to make him post some more - any decisions on my part as to whether he was scum worthy of a lynch was going to come after his posts.

I had written up half of the case on Kickstart the day before, but I wasn't fully confident in it without seeing another day of his posting patterns before I shook the tree (which didn't change much - if they had I'd have thrown the case out). Having gone back and read through exactly what he'd said since, I added his new posts and posted the case.

On November 28 2012 06:33 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
@Aqua
How did you become so convinced Kick was scum (or at least the best lynch candidate)? You don't seem to put that much time into this game, so it seems a bit weird to me.


I had a lot more time to put into it the first day, and that was when the nucleus of the Kick case was born. Also, I put a little more time into the game than might be apparent - most of my time for the next few hours (whenever that is in your timezone) has been put into reading the game, there's just not many people around to interact with. Most of my time last night no-one was posting at all.
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