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Acme Mini Mafia, Inc - Page 10

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
November 01 2012 14:44 GMT
#181
He's one of the better lynch candidates in the thread right now. Additionally there is a lot of boiling in the release is mafia cauldron. I want to find out is all talk and who's not.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
November 01 2012 15:02 GMT
#182
my thought on release is that it's completely possible he is town even though his actions look fishy. It's pretty hard to tell with new players.

I really don't understand how Matt can be so certain about release's alignment this early.
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
November 01 2012 15:05 GMT
#183
E hm eqccj.

Tkkzteg, lo gpwwqi mjarnknlrfvaf mtagn nwfwx. Cwyvnwds, ir ugm kilkmsdttb ryajn ig lbxv rgtk tazwao.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
November 01 2012 15:07 GMT
#184
This game is going stupid. Muso is not a mason. I know this, because I am Jessica Rabbit, one half of a mason pair. I talked it over with my other half and there seems to be no reason for revealing both of us at the moment.

Lets do this.

##vote Muso

PS. Don't worry your pretty little head about the above post. Fairly certain we will need that info by the end of D1 anyway, but I know enough about encryption to say: don't bother trying to decrypt it.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 01 2012 15:13 GMT
#185
i'm guessing that the encrypted post contains the name of the supposed mason pair? otherwise I see no reason to make an encryption post right before you claim mason

##unvote
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
November 01 2012 15:14 GMT
#186
You should had given it more time, so you know next time. You could had safely dropped this 12 hours before the deadline and Muso's lynch would had been ensured. Regardless.
##unvote
##vote Muso

Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 01 2012 15:20 GMT
#187
if i don't see anyone claiming to be muso's mason buddy i'm definitely going to vote muso

but same might be true for Acrofales

does anyone care to explain to me why acrofales' claim is more believable than muso's?
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
November 01 2012 15:25 GMT
#188
Simply because Acrofales claimed last. Unless other factors interfere it's the logical thing to do, with few exceptions in late game scenarios.
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
November 01 2012 15:27 GMT
#189
On November 02 2012 00:20 thrawn2112 wrote:
if i don't see anyone claiming to be muso's mason buddy i'm definitely going to vote muso

but same might be true for Acrofales

does anyone care to explain to me why acrofales' claim is more believable than muso's?

What possible reason do scum have to COUNTER claim a mason claim? It is pants-on-head retarded.

I am guessing that scum decided to hatch a plot to become confirmed town, betting that there wouldn't be any town masons (not too big a risk in the given setup). But that bet went horribly wrong.
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 01 2012 15:34 GMT
#190
Uhhhh before anybody get ahead of themselves, this is C9++ (although with a twist of wherebugsgo), and it's perfectly possible for two mason pairs to exist.
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 01 2012 15:35 GMT
#191
##vote muso

Muso, if you're really a mason, you should not claim your mason partner. Your partner would need to claim for themselves and then you would need to confirm it.

Same thing for Acrofales if you decide to claim the partner
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 01 2012 15:35 GMT
#192
Acrofales, why did you decide that you and not your mason buddy should claim? I mean, I remember you owning up all scum in Holy Roman Mafia, why did you decide that it's a better idea to paint a target on your head rather than your mate's?
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
November 01 2012 15:42 GMT
#193
On November 02 2012 00:35 prplhz wrote:
Acrofales, why did you decide that you and not your mason buddy should claim? I mean, I remember you owning up all scum in Holy Roman Mafia, why did you decide that it's a better idea to paint a target on your head rather than your mate's?

Pretty much that reason. I am not expecting to live too long, given the low number of veterans this game. I can't hide behind anybody, so would probably make a good target N1 in any case.
prplhz
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
Denmark8045 Posts
November 01 2012 15:43 GMT
#194
Okay, do you have any reason to think anything of Muso's alignment besides of his claim? Because this setup allows for double mason pair.
http://i.imgur.com/M7t7egx.png
risk.nuke
Profile Joined May 2010
Sweden2825 Posts
November 01 2012 15:47 GMT
#195
prplhz do you think there is a likely chance there are two mason teams?
Neo.G Soulkey, Best, firebathero. // http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
November 01 2012 16:11 GMT
#196
I didn't think that was possible in a 13-player game. I looked it up on the wiki and while possible, it is extremely unlikely. My probability calculation might be off, but I don't think we want to hedge our bets on the .017% chance of there being two mason pairs (given the C9++ setup on mafiascum wiki).

+ Show Spoiler [probability calculation] +

To get two mason pairs you need to get 5 Ms in 7 "throws". Each M has a 1/10 probability of being "thrown". So each

There are 2 over 5 ways of throwing 5 Ms in 7 throws, so 21 possible sequences. Each sequence has a probability of (1/10)^5*(9/10)^2

Total probability: (1/10)^5*(9/10)^2*21 = 0.017%


The rest of Muso's filter is about how he is bad and lied to get into the game, which tells me nothing except he is rather apologetic.
Mattchew
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States5684 Posts
November 01 2012 16:13 GMT
#197
##unvote

Yeah I wanna hear a lot more... Acro and muso your partners need to claim there is too much question involved in what seems to be an attempt at a "setup confirmed" lynch plan
There is always tomorrow nshs.seal.
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
November 01 2012 16:15 GMT
#198
You may claim your role and character name, but I will be modkilling for flavor text (although the game should not be breakable with flavor, it's rule 11). Let this be your last and only warning.
thrawn2112
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6918 Posts
November 01 2012 16:15 GMT
#199
I wanna say it again just to be clear:

their partners need to claim, they shouldn't claim their partners
"People think they know all these things about other people, and if you ask them why they think they know that, it'd be hard for them to be convincing." ES
Zealos
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
United Kingdom3576 Posts
November 01 2012 16:41 GMT
#200
Reading over so far, there seems to be confusion about the nature of my third post. I'm not calling him town when I say I doubt a mafia would be so aggressive right off the bat, instead, I am saying I don't find the aggression as a scum tell. I do it myself all too often as town.

That being said, I do think releases later posts have a townie attitude about them. He is saying what he appears to think without hiding anything or pushing a mafia agenda as far as I can tell.

Obviously, with this horrible claim mess from Muso and Acro I am gonna be voting for Muso. I see no reason Acro would counter claim as mafia unless he was desperate for getting a single townie, possibly mason, mislynch.

##Vote: Muso
On the internet if you disagree with or dislike something you're angry and taking it too seriously. == Join TLMafia !
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