it seems to me that claiming is basically asking to die
i am also wondering whether or not corrupted townies should claim
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
it seems to me that claiming is basically asking to die i am also wondering whether or not corrupted townies should claim | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On December 29 2011 03:01 jcarlsoniv wrote: What is "town with dark powers"? Town Demon Hunter (x1) You are the latest descendent in a line of legendary demon hunters, who wield their dark powers against them. Each night, you may target a player other than yourself to attack. If your target is not an angel, he or she will be killed. You win with the town. Town Channeler (x1) Your study of the dark powers has enabled you to move people and objects across the planes. Each night, you may target a player other than yourself to banish. That player will be sent to purgatory for the night. You may not target the same player three nights in a row. You win with the town. Town Seer (x1) Your study of auras has enabled you to use dark powers to differentiate the pure from the sinful. Each night, you may target a player to read. You will receive "Angel" or "Not Angel" as a result. You win with the town. Note: Please carefully read and consider all elements of the game setup before playing. If you do not understand the game, you may begin pursuing strategies which are not beneficial to your team! | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On December 31 2011 07:15 Blazinghand wrote: Grackoroni, Bluelightz, layabout, xsksc, we meet again-- but this time outsude the classroom. I am looking forwards to this. i will do my best to earn another tune! what are people's opinions about claiming in general? specifically what do people think is best for corrupted townies to do? voting will be done via pm's but should people declare there votes in the thread and will the final vote-counts be announced? | ||
layabout
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On December 31 2011 07:42 Zephirdd wrote: Ohohoho alphabetical ordering makes me the last on the list. Can't wait, see you all on the 2nd. Happy new year festivities! <edit> IMO any player should refrain from discussing the game until the game starts(for example, best play for a corrupted player). The reason is that you may and must change your position depending on your role. shouldn't we take advantage of the open set-up by discussing it? Besides everyone will either be town or pretending to be town once the game starts, and seeing as 12/18 players are town, surely it would benefit the majority to start discussion early. the only reason i would hold back on discussing something now would be so that i haven't got any opinions/stances that i have to adhere to if i get angel/demon but even then as i am in control of what i write there is very little danger of me ruining my chances as as angel/demon, by taking stances that i cannot maintain. | ||
layabout
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do you actually have faith in players to follow sound advice and play well? i would just like to get opinions that don't have a 1/3 chance of being dishonest and/or misleading (that isn't to say that people will be honest pre-game anyway) also if its bad advice you need to learn to recognise that as part of the game anyway | ||
layabout
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layabout
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and this game i promise not to let spell check make me write palmer | ||
layabout
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On January 04 2012 16:17 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 16:02 Blazinghand wrote: On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now. I'm guessing we'll just identify scum and kill them. Also, although angels have the KPs, it's possible to kill an angel while eliminating 0 kps or just eliminating their "semi" kp while conserving their masked KP. Demons are a much bigger threat long run with their lynch control. On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more. No. This is a terrible idea. If there are strategies for angels and demons that are obvious (like demons using corrupted votes to go after blues or masking an important death) it's so, SO important that you share it so we can figure out how to deal with it. If it can help, share it with the town. Honestly, they already have 3 people per team and already know whatever it is you're gonna share. The idea that we should try to avoid sharing information is exactly the kind of scummy idea that sinks towns. Don't be that guy. On January 04 2012 15:51 Bluelightz wrote: Well, helo guys anyway what do you think on how should we approach the day 1 lynch? step 1) find scum step 2) lynch them step 0 is get everyone to talk so we can get reads. You are informed when you are corrupted. If the sage is still alive you say "I got corrupted" and then the sage cleans you of corruption. 2 cycles of demon powers taken care of. (they only get to corrupt every other night) As I said, I am not very worried about them until we lose our demon hunter or sage. whilst it is entirely possible that you have not carefully read the OP you do realise that if the acolyte lives they can simply kill that player. The other possibility is that they after claiming then they could be banished, in the hopes that the acolyte will try to stalk (which may be reasonable) or the AoD will try to slay which wouldn't really make sense)and will then waste a night action, it would however prevent cleansing or the use of the sense dark/not dark investigate. Claiming essentially gives the angels an extra KP, and may draw town night actions too, an illuminate on a corrupted town is an illuminate not on a demon, and a banish on an (unconfirmed) corrupted town is a banish that isn't protecting a valuable scum hunter or blocking an angel or demon. The benefits are situational but the cons for me are too strong to justify public claims, at least until the acolyte dies. Would an angel or demon claim corrupted town? what stops and angel? it may result in them being banished it may result in the seer investgated them (though it does not seem likely) it may result in the demon hunter attacking them? (which make littel sense) (because...) It makes little sense for the demons to claim corrupted town it makes it more likely that the seer might illuminate (and catch them) they could be counter-claimed by the actual corrupted town that was most recently corrupted which would likely result in night actions against both) to prevent the above they could choose to not corrupt which just seems silly | ||
layabout
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i think...: he lacks confidence in his own abilities that he may try to lurk that he has not tried to help that what he has written makes sense from a "town that has to get on a plane and will have limited internet acess" perspective he has provided us with very little that can be analysed effectively i do not think that there you can make all of those inferences + Show Spoiler + "profoundly unuseful" and "anti town" BH at this point in time nearly any case you can come up with needs to forced and isn't necessarily helpful You seem to like throwing your vote around but do you really think that at the current moment in time everyone should vote for bluelightz to kill him, possibly end the day and let night actions happen? if i were the type i might accuse you of "trying to gain town cred by forcing a case based off of thin air." i will not do that. ![]() | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
I think that we should agree within the next few hours to commit to lynching a lurker day 1. The benefits of lynching a lurker day1: 1)Town blues can be active to prevent a day1 catastrophe 2)Town green can be active, which along with the blues would prevent a day1 town lynch. 3)In order to avoid being lynched angels and demons will also have to be active 4)If people take this seriously then there should be no lurkers, town does not need to worry about lurkers and there will not be a lurker townie mislynch day 1. 5)In the absence of lurkers then the day 1 lynch can be on somebody scummy + Show Spoiler + (as you cannot lynch a lurker if there aren't any)+ Show Spoiler + we also shouldn't no-lynch because that gives the angels a free kill and a no-flip for town 6)If we manage to force activity then we can establish a strong town atmosphere and force people to take stances, give opinions and provide useful information that can be analysed. We would essential transform lurking from a viable scum tactic to actively playing against your teams win condition. Cons (that i have thought of): 1)if somebody does lurk there are likely to be townie 2)sometimes things IRL come up and a player may be force to lurk for a period of time that would not warrant a modkill but would get them labelled a lurker. 4)(some town) people can get bored with day 1 and struggle to make relevant posts and may lurk 5)By making non-town active they could confuse influence manipulate and/or derail the thread to town detriment + Show Spoiler + but if they can do it after being forced to be active it is likely that they could do so anyway by providing a way for blues demons and angels to escape the lynch, in the event that vanilla town make up the bulk of the lurking players, we could inadvertently create a list of actives that is dense in demons angels and blues, because the demons and angels know their own teams they can potentially utilise this list better. I aim to create an effect similar to what happened in student mafia in which BH pressured non-contributors and townies stepped up and began offering information which made them easier to identify and there was a strong pro-town atmosphere.Whilst the situation is different i wish to achieve a pro-town result and i believe that we very easily can. This is not me advocating a lynch all lurker policy simply (what i believe to be) an effective way to utilise the day1 lynch to create a better town atmosphere or by lynching a player that town can ensure is definitely not a townie. Please consider this, and try to look at it objectively | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 05 2012 04:43 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 03:57 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On Bluelightz: I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about. You're in for quite the ride. He was useless to town...but he was also scum, so that tells us nothing of his town play. He also played in a way that allowed him to be correctly identified as scum. I see no reason to lynch him for meta purposes alone, and am perfectly content to give him some time to post something useful. Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 04:31 layabout wrote: What i think we should do today: I think that we should agree within the next few hours to commit to lynching a lurker day 1. The benefits of lynching a lurker day1: 1)Town blues can be active to prevent a day1 catastrophe 2)Town green can be active, which along with the blues would prevent a day1 town lynch. 3)In order to avoid being lynched angels and demons will also have to be active 4)If people take this seriously then there should be no lurkers, town does not need to worry about lurkers and there will not be a lurker townie mislynch day 1. 5)In the absence of lurkers then the day 1 lynch can be on somebody scummy + Show Spoiler + (as you cannot lynch a lurker if there aren't any)+ Show Spoiler + we also shouldn't no-lynch because that gives the angels a free kill and a no-flip for town 6)If we manage to force activity then we can establish a strong town atmosphere and force people to take stances, give opinions and provide useful information that can be analysed. We would essential transform lurking from a viable scum tactic to actively playing against your teams win condition. Cons (that i have thought of): 1)if somebody does lurk there are likely to be townie 2)sometimes things IRL come up and a player may be force to lurk for a period of time that would not warrant a modkill but would get them labelled a lurker. 4)(some town) people can get bored with day 1 and struggle to make relevant posts and may lurk 5)By making non-town active they could confuse influence manipulate and/or derail the thread to town detriment + Show Spoiler + but if they can do it after being forced to be active it is likely that they could do so anyway by providing a way for blues demons and angels to escape the lynch, in the event that vanilla town make up the bulk of the lurking players, we could inadvertently create a list of actives that is dense in demons angels and blues, because the demons and angels know their own teams they can potentially utilise this list better. I aim to create an effect similar to what happened in student mafia in which BH pressured non-contributors and townies stepped up and began offering information which made them easier to identify and there was a strong pro-town atmosphere.Whilst the situation is different i wish to achieve a pro-town result and i believe that we very easily can. This is not me advocating a lynch all lurker policy simply (what i believe to be) an effective way to utilise the day1 lynch to create a better town atmosphere or by lynching a player that town can ensure is definitely not a townie. Please consider this, and try to look at it objectively That's always one of those sounds like a good idea things, that then never proves to be as useful as one would hope. It doesn't force angels and demons to be active, it forces them to be on par or more active than the least active townie in the game, and there always seems to be at least one afk townie. Also, lurker lynches don't generate much info since there is nothing very contentious about lynching someone with few posts, nor are they likely to have tied themselves to their teammates in their posts. key thing to note: the point is to agree to commit to lynch a lurker now this should force/encourage people to be active contribute and gain information. ideally there will not be a lurker to lynch, and town will consider establishing their innocence important to make "on par" as high as possible. I am not suggesting we lynch the least active player UNless they are lurking because if they are then they will have chosen to be a lynch target. If the least active player has posted and contributed then we should not lynch them. it is not about the actual flip it is about the day1 atmosphere + the other benefits that i shall not repost I do not expect an ideal outcome but i wholeheartedly believe that we could easily agree to and take advantage of this course of action as a town. I thought of this a while ago and have yet to come up with a flaw that makes it a bad course of action. + Show Spoiler + other than townies that lurk, who should be universally despised but not killed Information is something town always lack and try to gain and in this game information is more valuable owing to the AoD and Concealer roles that can deny information. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 05 2012 04:52 Bluelightz wrote: Okay, im back guys :p Im gonna start responding to cases and make cases myself. Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 04:28 layabout wrote: Bluelightz i think...: he lacks confidence in his own abilities that he may try to lurk that he has not tried to help that what he has written makes sense from a "town that has to get on a plane and will have limited internet acess" perspective he has provided us with very little that can be analysed effectively i do not think that there you can make all of those inferences + Show Spoiler + "profoundly unuseful" and "anti town" BH at this point in time nearly any case you can come up with needs to forced and isn't necessarily helpful You seem to like throwing your vote around but do you really think that at the current moment in time everyone should vote for bluelightz to kill him, possibly end the day and let night actions happen? if i were the type i might accuse you of "trying to gain town cred by forcing a case based off of thin air." i will not do that. ![]() Anyway, first I clearly said that I wouldn't be available till about now(Flight was delayed ;|) Anyway, my thoughts on lynching lurkers. It ends up lynching a townie usually one liner that makes a point that i had already acknowledged and completed disregards my wall of On January 05 2012 05:03 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 04:51 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 04:47 syllogism wrote: This is a completely pointless discussion, but your case definitely isn't "solid as hell"; it's not even a case. You randomly chose one worthless poster so far while ignoring a myriad of other similar posters. A new player not immediately posting something worthwhile is pretty much a null tell especially when we've never seen him play town previously. Right now it's more fruitful to concentrate on people who we know something about and those who have posted a bit but only contributed superficially. Indeed, most players have only made random comments about game mechanics, which says very little to nothing at all about them. To be fair, BL is substantially more worthless than all the other posters. I get your point, though, that many of the posts so far in this thread have been relatively value-free. His just stood out as unusually bad. Do you think I should unvote him? On January 05 2012 04:48 Zephirdd wrote: On January 05 2012 04:45 Blazinghand wrote: So HoD, you rather reasonably want to give BL an additional chance to post, and rather reasonably don't want to always be lynching lurkers. What are your thoughts for a d1 lynch then, if it's not gonna be "guy who's posting terribly"? Or are we still acquiring reads or what Reforcing my idea above: It's too soon to search desperately for a lynch target. And trying to desperately lynch someone day 1 benefits scum more than town, in the sense that it generates chaos and almost always ends up in a mislynch. We have a fuckload of time, take it. Oh it's definitely better to be organized than disorganized. What are your thoughts on policy-type lynches? I like the idea of lynching all lurkers. I feel like it encourages the average town and average mafia player to be more active. That being said, in the ideal world this policy would never be instituted due to fear of it because it's an inefficient allocation of town resources. Many times people talk about policy lynches but they are rarely followed. No, I don't like policy lynches. L-A-Lurkers will most of the time target a town, because if a scum is targeted he will instantly become "useful" enough to avoid the lynch. Besides, the amount of information a lurker gives on lynch is nil. L-A-Liars may be decent, but I'm yet to see a mafia that lied "to help town". For example, Drazerk claimed a retarded role on XLVIII in order to attract mafia shots. A mafia wouldn't try that, ever; However lynching Drazerk there would be wrong, yet he would be a LALiars target. So no, I don't agree with LALiars either. general statement about policy lynching that really doesn't give me an opinion about what i actually wrote >angry smiley here< can somebody give a well thought out evaluation? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Can we agree to look at lurking as highly incriminating and scummy? In the likely event of rubbish cases on day1 can we agree to go for the lurkers? additional justification: 1)with 12 town 6 non-town and information denying cabalities information and an organised town are much more valuable than they would be in a normal game (they are crucial in a normal game with even a semi-comppetant scum) 2)in the likely event of a day1 mislynch, it would be preferable to have acheived a pro-town atmosphere rather than a safe-to-lurk atmosphere | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 05 2012 05:54 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 05:48 layabout wrote: I feel like this might not be working.., with so many not on board there is next to no chance of success. Can we agree to look at lurking as highly incriminating and scummy? In the likely event of rubbish cases on day1 can we agree to go for the lurkers? additional justification: 1)with 12 town 6 non-town and information denying cabalities information and an organised town are much more valuable than they would be in a normal game (they are crucial in a normal game with even a semi-comppetant scum) 2)in the likely event of a day1 mislynch, it would be preferable to have acheived a pro-town atmosphere rather than a safe-to-lurk atmosphere I thought the general rule was Scummy > Lurking Scummy > Lurking > Townie on lynch priority order? Of course, if by the end of the day-cycle we end up with no real case, we just lynch a lurker. But I really really wish we avoided that. This town isn't with a bad atmosphere either; discussion is rolling, things are going. I just wish a conclusion on the MrWiggles thing(is he really ingame) and that other players posted more, but I guess they are in different timezones eh. last post about this for now by being openly anti lurker and conceding that scummy reads on day 1 are unreliable at best (we cant all be ver), you change what is is to lurk - lurking becomes almost an act of direct opposition to town the rule (for day 1 only) would be Very scummy > scummy lurking > lurking > scummy > no lynch >town scummy would swap with lurking when we reach enough information to analyse and actually construct a good case if you know lurking will get you killed day1 why would you do it? reason i can think of: you cannot access the internet you don't care about the game you don't believe town will stick to their word somebody wrote "blow me town" in the thread | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
I have yet to read day1 analysis that has actually convinced me that someone is scum that person was then lynched and then that person has flipped scum. + Show Spoiler + i have read 12-ish games statistically the chance of lynching scum day1 is fairly low. As far as i can remember vaderseven wrote that on mafiascum there is an 80% day1 town lynch rate + Show Spoiler + though whether or not that game in which he wrote "that or roughly that" exists is a mystery Most of the day1 lynches i have seen have been panicked last minute lurker lynches or stupid bandwagons that are unsupported by reasoning. The lack of information day1 makes it hard to pin scum day1. For all these reasons i think that a day1 mislynch is likely Thus our plan should be to act in a way that leaves us in a good position if a day1 mislynch does happen. + Show Spoiler + analysis coming soon | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
This post is way more Anti-Angel then my post is being Anti-demon. what on earth is that even supposed to mean? as far as i am aware the only way to be anti angel or anti demon is to act in a way that reveal angels or demons or kills them. in that sense neither of your posts meet the criteria of anti-angel/demon because they are empty hypothetical's about events that we cannot choose between. we don't know who the demons are, we don't know who the angels are, how can we focus on lynching one faction over the other? the fact that we cannot distinguish between them in the thread and we cannot chose between lynching an angel or a demon also means that regardless of which team "poses a bigger threat" town's goal is still lynch one of them so the "threat" they present isn't even a factor to consider when making the decision. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Why would a player publicly state, or post to imply that they are bad at certain aspects of mafia? + Show Spoiler + this could be to do with the quality of their scum play; their ability to analyse; their irrational fears about the game set-up; or even pretending to not understand the game mechanics or asking really stupid questions+ Show Spoiler + town seem to do this last one a lot so even if somebody were pretending it would be a null tell Consequences of calling yourself bad or being highly apologetic: people may think that you are bad, subsequently they: -lower their expectations for you, they do not expect you to play or be trying hard to play optimally -may forgive you for playing sub-optimally or not contribute wrong -may expect you to make mistakes and allow you to do so -they might ignore you, because if you don't have any confidence in your ability why should they? When publicly calling yourself bad would you make do you make those (or similar) considerations? If you are a townie and you thinks you are bad then it seems unlikely that you would post like that had you considered the effects, because it makes it harder for you to convince people of your reads + Show Spoiler + or if you are a blue your investigation results If you are not a townie then you are scum and you have more information than town has. You are trying to beat town and having additional information is one of your key assets. It could very well be in your best interests to be ignored or get away with mistakes because helping town goes against your win condition. In my opinion then; such behaviour seems to be bad play from blues, bad but understandable play from some greens, and potentially good but often bad scum play. Therefore things like this are making me suspicious: + Show Spoiler + On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote: Game on! This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway... I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills. Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful. What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter. On January 04 2012 18:22 Dirkzor wrote: Hehe... I must admit I didn't think that strat through. It kinda just came to me while writing ![]() + Show Spoiler + has he not read the tl commandments? 3. THOU SHALL THINK BEFORE POSTING 4. THOU SHALL CONTRIBUTE TO THE and BH + Show Spoiler + 5. THOU SHALL NOT SPAM THE MAFIA THREAD Also this stuff why does it take BL 4 posts to answer the question of who he would shoot? On January 06 2012 00:27 Bluelightz wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 00:21 Palmar wrote: On January 06 2012 00:20 Bluelightz wrote: On January 06 2012 00:19 Palmar wrote: Me talking to syllo doesn't mean I don't want to hear your answer to my hypothetical question Bluelight. with the game on the line, and your gun loaded, who takes the bullet and why? Hmm, if it was that i'd re-evaluate everyone other then RoL and if i find someone else scummier then him I wouldn't shoot RoL but If I didn't find anyone scummier i'd shoot RoL. Wait, didn't you just read everyone's filter? What's there to re-evaluate? Do you not like your conclusion of everyone being null? Okay, First, I Assumed that I didn't do the analysis of everyone Next, I would re-evaluate all the possible things Lastly, even though I still have null reads I dont really trust my ability to analyze people's post's. Though if there we're more post's I could make a more accurate analyisis Now, my if I would answer your hipotethical situation given with the analysis I had I would shoot RoL. whilst new townie seems like a valid explanation for the bolded, it is still concerning (additionally all null null/town seems very strange) Thing + Show Spoiler + On January 04 2012 23:24 xsksc wrote: Hi guys. First multi-factional game for me as well, not really sure how we should proceed strategy-wise. Lynching an angel day 1 would obviously be ideal, although getting a demon is definitely better than a townie. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 21:13 Refallen wrote: Is this some kind of metagame thing again? Dosen't Palmar always troll around in day 1? I remember that in TLXLVIII. Yeah, and then he went on to be one of the only useful townies that actually read the game and used his brain. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 21:07 syllogism wrote: We should probably lynch palmar today, he appears to be some sort of scum and hating his life right now Syllo, if Palmar does decide to mess around on day one again, would it not be better to wait and see how he behaves later on (like in TLXVIII), rather than just lynching him? P.S.thank you for answering so fast dirkzor | ||
layabout
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at the beginning he talks about hypotheticals involving roles, serveral players did this and it was largely irrelevant and so cannot really be used in analysis. he then wrote On January 05 2012 02:59 Grackaroni wrote: As you already mentioned the game only started 10 hours ago so I'm sure people would post if they could. If we can't be sure that a player is an angel/demon I think the safe lynch is bluelightz. His play in Student mafia was weak and so far this game he has posted nothing but one liners. Hopefully he will have solid content when he returns but I am not too optimistic. I just don't think I will get a good read on him and he's not somebody I would want at lylo, the only downside to lynching him is that it may not give us as much information as many other lynches. Perhaps he would be a good n1 target for the town demon hunter? If we can't be sure that a player is an angel/demon I think the safe lynch is bluelightz. very confusing to be pushing a lynch and saying that a lynch was safe (which implies the existence of reasons why the case is safe but does not offer them) I just don't think I will get a good read on him if we paraphrase then including this last bit results in "i think we should lynch a player that i do not think i will be able to get a good read on" it may not give us as much information as many other lynches lynch to kill scum not to get information Perhaps he would be a good n1 target for the town demon hunter? here grack suggests using towns KP on a player he doesn't think he can read who hasn't posted more than a couple of lines by this point in the game. It has also already been explained why he shouldn't have suggested BL would be useless The above post seems a lot more reasonable if there are scum goals behind it. it should be self evident this is why this is so, but i will say that most of those statements don't make sense if grack is town. On January 05 2012 08:26 Grackaroni wrote: KK I'm back. I suggested the Bluelightz lynch and it looks like BH took a lot of shit because of me he (kind of) tries to take credit for pressuring BL and takes the blame for "BH taking shit for him" I am pretty sure BH "taking shit" was not because of grack and that grack is possibly trying to "buddy" up with BH and paint himself in a good light for taking blame. + Show Spoiler + this is't particularly incriminating but reading that sentence did bug me There isn't much to analyse but he is a reddest shade of grey in my eyes | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Blazinghand Bluelightz Cwave Dirkzor Erandorr Grackaroni HarbingerOfDoom Jackal58 layabout Mr. Wiggles Palmar RebirthOfLeGenD Refallen risk.nuke syllogism Tyrran xsksc Zephirdd On January 06 2012 03:01 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 02:21 layabout wrote:+ Show Spoiler + + Show Spoiler + has he not read the tl commandments? 3. THOU SHALL THINK BEFORE POSTING 4. THOU SHALL CONTRIBUTE TO THE and BH + Show Spoiler + 5. THOU SHALL NOT SPAM THE MAFIA THREAD Say what you want about spam, at least you don't have to open THREE spoilers in my posts to see this kind of BS. Cmon man wheres your respect at. I didn't even notice you calling me out the first time I read through this! Stop it with the spoilers it makes it hard to search your posts. Usually my strat is to open a filter then use Control+F to find stuff but if you put everything in spoilers I need to like go through and CLICK THEM ALL. It's like a game of osu! but instead of fun pop music and video game music it's just the strumming of my tears hitting the desk as I click all these dumb spoiler tags. @BH if you remember how messy some of my previous posts have been (like in student) then i hope you understand that it is much clearer that way. It also allow me to get my ideas down in a way that is closer to the way in which i think them. (if that makes sense). basically i think of an argument and points to support it and then think of other things that relate to specific points that i have made so i add spoilers next to them so that they are where they need to be but do not detract from the overarching idea.iso i have decided to keep using spoilers but i will try to put less spoilers inside of spoilers if i can help it I just want a clean thread, there is no need to use so many caps.. TT hope the filters can make you forgive me @Dirkzor, it doesn't make you bad BUT it reduces my confidence in you. If you were confident in your abilities as town then the setup should only scare you if it is imbalanced against town, you never suggested this. Therefore you must not have confidence in your abilities, and i have explained why making people less confident in you is bad for town and sometimes good for scum. Therefore i highlighted it. Seems quite reasonable to me. *hopes it is at top of page* | ||
layabout
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On January 04 2012 18:22 Dirkzor wrote: Hehe... I must admit I didn't think that strat through. It kinda just came to me while writing ![]() @dirkzor my bad context really does invalidate the point, i blame useless filters | ||
layabout
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In this post his writes a pile of nothing to call HoD scum. my comments have been italicised On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote: HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick. He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup. (this is what the majority of his posts are about) -a completely null tell At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town. -asking to not reveal game winning strategies for the other team is weird for town?this strikes me as counter-intuitive In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting. So far there has been no scumhunting done by him -no scumhunting halfway into day 1, applies to a large number of players in this game and isn't necessarily a scummy thing to do. Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for) Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to. I'll wait for more posts. -here he accepts HoD's early posting is null tell -he offers weak "meta analysis" based off of a single game -decides to wait for more information, likely because the case isn't strong enough to justify voting Here, he decides that the person that he thinks should die right now, which is equivalent to his best lynch target for now is not HoD but Bluelightz On January 06 2012 04:24 Grackaroni wrote: As for the Palmar question I would shoot Bluelightz because he could easily be mafia, there's much less downside to shooting him than a potentially useful town player who I think is scum and there's no way of knowing his allignment unless he takes a stance on something. However the lynch is used for Information as well as killing scum, it wouldn't give the most information but more than I previously thought as a lot of people seem split on whether he is scum or not. Question for Syllogism, Why do you dislike lynching BlueLightz? Is it because you have gotten a town read on him, (if yes plz do share), or was it just because of the way I presented his lynch. Says he would lynch bluelightz mostly because "there's much less downside to shooting him than a potentially useful town player who I think is scum and there's no way of knowing his allignment unless he takes a stance on something" which is an awful reason to kill a player. On January 06 2012 04:26 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 04:23 Blazinghand wrote: If I knew 100% Bluelightz was town, I'd be focusing other players. There's a difference between saying I wouldn't mind if he is town and it might be good to kill, just because even if he is town he could be useless. "Oh but Blazinghand I am grackaroni and have no understanding of nuance please explain" Oh, Grackaroni, you are always so self-derprecating. Here I will help you. If Bluelights is lynched and flips scum, that would be sweet. If Bluelightz flips town, i'm gonna mind a lot. I'm gonna be pissed because he played like shitty dick. It will still have been the right move to have lynched him based on the info we had, and even if he is town, you have to admit he's useless-- indistinguishable from scum and actively hurtful if he, somehow, lives to LYLO. So I guess my question for you, Captain Grack Sparrow, is, do you really think I'd be happy lynching a townie day 1? Or do you think I'm just willing to accept the consequences of my actions, like a goddamn man, make a case, like a goddamn man, and ACTUALLY VOTE AND DO STUFF. fine. ##Vote: HarbingerofDoom But with that I am off, Will be back in a few hours though, I promise ![]() votes that we lynch and kill a player other than the player he said he would most like to kill 2minutes earlier this is a glaring contradiction. I cannot understand why he would post such a thing as town. a universe in which those actions make sense would be a universe that sucks big ol' hairy BearBollocks. It seems that he could have decided to vote because Blazinghand told him to do something and he responded by voting, but all i can see is weak/barely even reasoning behind him thinking HoD is scum and nothing of worth to justify a vote. I do not think we should let players vote for such bad reasons. I think the vote is scummy. Does anybody thing his defence in this post is adequate? ( i do not ) | ||
layabout
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On January 06 2012 07:00 Blazinghand wrote: EBWOP: Ostriches. People are not ostriches i <3 this post What do you make of Grackaroni? What do you make of my "case" against him + Show Spoiler + this spoiler contains nothing of value+ Show Spoiler + ![]() | ||
layabout
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if only there was a way to make xsksc Jackal58 and RoL and Erandorr post... i have to go sleep soon | ||
layabout
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vote Grackaroni | ||
layabout
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Blazinghand Bluelightz Dirkzor(?) Grackaroni HarbingerOfDoom layabout Tyrran xsksc Zephirdd To my knowledge they (we) are all relatively new to TL mafia having played a small number of games each. It seems highly unlikely that any of us will have read a large enough number of games to have strong understanding of any other players meta. If you do not have a strong understanding of a certain players meta you cannot use your own judgement of that players meta against them. You cannot compare their play to your idea of their meta and reach a conclusion. Instead you are reliant on other players assessment of that player meta and how their play this game is supposedly incriminating. As town you should be reliant on your own judgements and reach your own conclusions and you should not vote entirely because somebody else has a reason that you cannot verify*. Furthermore despite my limited experience of your various playstyles even i was able to spot an error in Wiggles "meta analysis Palmar is normally a very aggressive and direct townie. He is not afraid to share his reads, to call people out, and to use his vote to pressure. He tunnels, and he is happy to call out bad play when he sees it. However, this is not the Palmar that we have in this game. On January 04 2012 23:24 xsksc wrote: Hi guys. First multi-factional game for me as well, not really sure how we should proceed strategy-wise. Lynching an angel day 1 would obviously be ideal, although getting a demon is definitely better than a townie. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 21:13 Refallen wrote: Is this some kind of metagame thing again? Dosen't Palmar always troll around in day 1? I remember that in TLXLVIII. Yeah, and then he went on to be one of the only useful townies that actually read the game and used his brain. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 21:07 syllogism wrote: We should probably lynch palmar today, he appears to be some sort of scum and hating his life right now Syllo, if Palmar does decide to mess around on day one again, would it not be better to wait and see how he behaves later on (like in TLXVIII), rather than just lynching him? Apparently he often trolls day1 anyway? If players who feel that they know his meta disagree about what his meta is how can i or the others trust them? Simply, voting for a player based soley on meta that does not come from your own judgements instead of voting based on your own judgements is either bad town play or scum play. Mr. Wiggles is encouraging people to vote for bad reasons (from their perspective) since at least half of the players in the thread have an extremely low chance of having solid enough meta on Palmar and Palmar isn't going to vote for himself, then the majority of town cannot justify an entirely meta based case vote on day 1. -Similarly i cannot justify voting based on risk.nuke's meta. -As far as i am concerned Grackaroni doesn't have any points worth considering against HoD. -I also see no case against RoL. Therefore we should go for a proper case with reasons that we can support, instead. We should lynch Grackaroni. *well you could verify it by spending a long time going through past games but i doubt that anyone has the time nor the effort to spare to do so``` ```are footnotes within footnotes better or worse than spoilers within spoilers? | ||
layabout
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nothing to see here (clicky) Palmar trolls and call people stupid stundent mafia he was smurfing as electric black Palmar make lots of reads election mafia read about half of this and filtered syllo+palamar hyra Arctocod, run for major and call people stupid Steamship mafia Palmar analyses and calls people stupid TL Mafia XLVII Palmar runs for major and calls people stupid I have seen quite a lot of variability in how town Palmar behaves, after these i read resistance I(which isn't quite mafia) and responsibilty mafia in which palmar was 3rd party/scum. In those games i could not confidently make inferences about his meta and correctly use them to determine whether he is scum or town, because there was not enough common day1 town traits that have become clear to me in the games of his i have read through, thoroughly. This was largely due to the variance in his play on day1. I feel like i have spent quite a lot of time reading through his post but i feel like i would need to do more to establish a strong read based on his meta that i would confidently support. | ||
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On January 06 2012 22:32 syllogism wrote: And just like with everything else, you trust people who you think have made themselves look towny and you consider good players. Quoting a person with one post to support your anti-meta stance doesn't make you look particularly good, though I don't otherwise have an issue with your play so far xsksc was agree with Refallen (that palmar trolls) so i considered that 2 quotes. It was also to illustrate that the people that are confident in their meta read might have different meta reads. besides the logic behind my stance is independent of the quote and that logic is the important part. | ||
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Mr. Wiggles + points about this postclick On January 05 2012 07:05 Mr. Wiggles wrote: Hey guys, I was sick last night, so I didn't bother posting. I took some Dristan and went to bed and feel better now, though, so let's get started. First thing's first, I want to address a couple of posts that I saw as non-optimal play, and something we should be aware of. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 23:40 Zephirdd wrote: hi, checking in. It's stupid to discuss angel/demon lynching, although it is better to have the AoD lynched first we can't just magically detect them. Scum is scum regardless of A/D alignment. Sage and Seer should not claim unless they have 2/3 scum nailed down that can be instantly lynched; Just make sure to hide breadcrumbs so we believe your claim should that occur. ...day1 is always boring. Just so you know, you should never believe an investigative claim because someone bread-crumbed it. There's no reason to believe it because of bread-crumbs, because there's no proof that they actually did what they bread-crumbed. Breadcrumbs are only useful when a player flips, because you know what role they actually are, and then you know that any breadcrumbs are likely to be sound. If you want a recent example of breadcrumbs killing the town, go read Mini Mafia X, where Wherebugsgo wrote jk three times in a post then claimed jailkeeper, and town believed him. The only person I think can legitimately breadcrumb and use that to support their claim in this game is the demonhunter, and only if they end up killing a complete innocent, or else it could be the acolyte. Also keep in mind that crumbs should be made before the corresponding day-post. Points out a mistake and tries to encourage good play, could be scummy as it is apears helpful but in itself is quite empty. Could be townie because it is quite helpful. I would only regard this as scummy if he was not do anythig in his other posts. On January 05 2012 03:02 Blazinghand wrote: Don't go lynching anyone but Bluelightz if you think he's a legit valid scum. It doesn't matter whether he's an angel or a demon or what. In fact, given that he was staggeringly bad in Student mafia (though he WAS a replacement) it might be good to kill him just because even if he is town he could be useless. I think we should lynch whoever is the scummiest. If Bluelightz feels scummy to you, put together a case on him and cast your vote like a man. If you think he's probably scummy, and that he'll contribute poorly (as he did in Student mafia), put your money where your mouth is. I can respect that. This is bad. Killing a useless townie is almost never worth it. A useless townie is still a townie, and they still provide us with a vote and count towards our win condition. It's always better to lynch scum, not lynch someone because he could be scum but it doesn't matter anyways because if he's town he's useless. In fact, I was leaning town on you at the beginning of the game, but now I think I'm going to have to re-evaluate that somewhat after your recent "case" on Bluelightz. Being bad doesn't make someone scum, so it seems weird that you'd try to attack him for being bad. There's been a lot of talk in the thread so far (though granted, most of it is based on mechanics), so who do you think is scummy? You don't make a case for why bluelightz is scum, just for why he hasn't done anything productive yet. Tries to shuttdown a bad BL case and bad votes. town like action Regarding Lynch all Lurkers: If you want to pursue this, you need to make the distinction between lurkers and inactives. Someone who hasn't posted all day cycles is not a lurker. They are an inactive. A lurker is someone who comes in, makes a useless post to appease everyone, and then leaves again, continuing this as necessary to keep pressure off themselves. So, even if you want to lynch all lurkers, you still have to put a modicum of effort into it, to try to figure out who's actually trying to lurk or not. Scum are very likely to be actively lurking if they're lurking. That is, they are reading the thread, and keeping up with new posts and developments while discussing with their scumbuddies, but aren't actually posting in the thread. These are sometimes easy to find, because when pressured, they'll show up nearly immediately to defend themselves before going back to lurking. So, for anyone who wants to lynch all lurkers, are you ready to make the distinction between lurking and being inactive? Someone already brought this up somewhat, when they asked what keeps scum from just staying slightly more active than the most inactive townie, and this is where the distinction comes in. Think about it. comes up with an important condition to make the plan i had suggested work. Potentially helpful. Demonstrates that he is reading and thinking about what has been posted carefully. Town-like Regarding set-up: In this game, it feels like the town roles can be used in very versatile ways that people aren't really touching on. For example, the demon-hunter is a vigi for demons, but they can also serve as a detective for angels. There is nothing that protects from attacks besides going to purgatory, so if the demonhunter's target lives without going to purgatory, then they're an angel. Same thing with the sage. Many people are focusing on the cleansing aspect of the role, but not on the investigative powers. This ties in with the corrupted players as well. While the demons want to corrupt as many townspeople as they can, this also makes it more dangerous for them, as they essentially introduce demon detectives into the game. What I think a decent strategy would be, for as long as the sage remains alive, is to have corrupted players claim the day after being corrupted, along with their result. This means that as long as we keep the sage alive, the number of corrupted players will always remain at, or below, 1. Obviously, we shouldn't set this in stone, as we should wait until day 3 and see if the sage is still alive, along with the acolyte. From my understanding, demons can't corrupt until night 2, which means that day 3 is the earliest that we have to worry about the votes in the lynch. This means that as town, we should try to play as aggressively as we can on the first two days, when there will be the least confusion and complexity. Ideally, we will be able to kill some sort of angel, and optimally the concealer (This forces the demons to choose between corrupting or using their actions, and gets rid of a powerful anti-town ability). We also have to keep in mind that in this game, until one faction is eliminated completely, no one can be confirmed innocent. If it comes to light that you aren't a demon, or aren't an angel, and try to use that as proof that you are town, I'll be mad and think you're scum. I think that early in the game, town will be taking the brunt of the offensive abilities of the angels and demons. However, as the game goes on longer, they will be forced to fight each-other. If the angels only focus on killing the town, the demons will simply be able to lynch them once a day later on, and eliminate their KP to win. When the demons corrupt a player and it is successful, they know this player is town, and so that reduces the pool of player with the angels in it. So, the angels can't let the demons reach this stage of the game, and must use their KP on them as early as possible to reduce this threat. As well, the demons should be helping to find angels to lynch, as it reduces the possible KP against them, keeps the lynch off them, and also makes them less likely to be targeted for investigation or demon-hunter KP, as they look more "pro-town". In fact, I think the best angel strategy would be to use their acolyte to try to target demons, as that will either kill their competition, or let them know who's a townie, and thus who's dangerous. Any information disadvantages we may incur from the AoD and the Concealer also apply to the other faction, and they should be aware of this as well. Thus, they want to try to eliminate their counterpart's ability to hide information, as this will allow them to maintain perfect information in the game. This also ties into the above paragraph He makes one of the most intelligent comments about the set-up here and in this post (clicky) the fact that the setup is open specifically to balance it would imply that at some stage we as town will need to discuss the setup and this post is something that should impact the way in which we look at decisions concerning the set-up. Could be town helping town or scum trying to appear to be contributing so it does not necessarily have a bearing on his alignment however. About voting: Don't Hammer. While we don't have to worry about corruption until day three, we should still be careful of keeping the lynch under our control. Always check the vote-count before voting, and always vote in the thread along with your PM to ZBot, so that we can see when you voted, as well as who you voted for, before Zbot the count. No one should be hammering a lynch until later in the day if we can help it, as this will give us the most time for discussion and information gathering. more general advice that could be helpful, fairly null in terms of alignment. 1 & 2 both try to put down a BL lynch and explain why it is bad. town points+ this only accounts for about 3 posts (+points for putting effort into posts and not spamming he thread) but they could also have been easy posts for scum to make to try to look good without adding much of value to the thread. he then goes after Palmar and i find some - points here (click) he presents his case on Palmar. my main problem with this is that it is entirely meta based and i have explained why i think that that is of no use to over half of the thread and why for over half of the thread using his meta analysis as the basis for their vote would be bad play. Some of the assertions about Palmar 's meta don't fit with the recent games that I have read so perhaps the case is forced. (but remember i do not think i understand palmars town playstyle, so this is only valid if to you his meta read doesn't fit) It also makes lots of sense from a mafia perspective to want to lynch players that can potentially be great assets to town and are likely to be protected at night, as early as possible. So to me this post fits a mafia agenda. in this post (clicky) He misrepresents HoD arguing to not lynch Palmar day1 by presenting it as "keeping him alive to endgame" and then defeats that idea. Any such action is scummy because he is appears to have put down HoD point when in fact he hasn't. +scum points at the bottom highlights the lack of information and how important is is to not no-lynch. -null he then clarifies some of his meta comments EBWOP: When I say seen him play a game, I mean where I was in it with him, also playing. Conclusion: He recent posts make sense from a scum perspective and as such we should be paying close attention to what he post in future (underlined should be obvious). In his posts he makes comments about the set-up that are relevant, he appears to be helpful, but importantly, his posts indicate that he is carefully reading the thread and the quality of his comments indicate that he is putting effort in. This last point to me seems very townie additionally his case on Palmar makes sense from a Wiggles is town standpoint also. On balance i think he is likely town and is by no means the scummiest person in the thread. they are my thoughts. concluding townie in the thread sucks, risk nuke stuff in a few hours. | ||
layabout
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On January 06 2012 08:59 Mr. Wiggles wrote: Next, is his altercation with Bluelightz, which I find very odd. Earlier, Palmar noted that he thought "it's unlikely he's scum", but then he felt the need to try to pressure him. So, something that Bluelightz posted must have caused some kind of concern for Palmar. The only thing posted by Bluelightz in this time, was his list of reads, so this must have been what set Palmar off. Pressuring Bluelightz to take a stance was fine, but the way in which Palmar did it was odd. Instead of asking Bluelightz who he would like to lynch, he instead came up with some sort of compulsive vig scenario, which doesn't add anything to the thread, and actually ended up detracting from it (see subsequent discussion with people jumping on the question instead of just discussing the lynch). Also, notice that Palmar is pressuring Bluelightz for giving a list of null and green reads, when this is the exact same thing Palmar has done up to this point in the game. It's hypocritical. So, after he finally gets an answer from Bluelightz, he still doesn't apply any actual pressure to him. He doesn't vote for him, he doesn't ask for people to vote for him, he just said he might vote for him in the future, which does not create pressure, and is completely different from my experience with town Palmar. Palmar doesn't even attack the bad posts made by Bluelightz, where for example he said he would lynch a lurker instead of naming one. Instead, he acts rather timidly compared to the pro-town Palmar I know. He doesn't even end up answering his own question afterwards, even when asked to, refusing yet again to take a stance on scum. Bluelightz Indonesia. January 05 2012 21:36. Posts 103 PM Profile Quote # filter Okay here's the continuation of my reads Palmar Iceland. January 05 2012 21:42. Posts 4187 PM Profile Blog Quote # filter So who would you lynch Bluelightz? I missed this just then because i was looking only at Mr. Wiggles's filter. Thie is a second example of Mr. Wiggles misrepresenting anothers players actions only this time it was a player he wanted to lynch. Updated order of maginitude of scummyness 1)Grackaroni 2)Mr. Wiggles that said, Palmar why didnt you push for a BL lynch? You said that you felt he was a good lynch candidate.You asked him further questions but you didn't share any conclusions making statements like "that's very... interesting" which isn't remotely helpful to somebody reading. Wiggle's was right you definitely were timid in the final post. "you better come up with something tomorrow" contrasts your earlier statements greatly and does not fit whatsoever. + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 00:00 Palmar wrote: After Bluelight's latest list of only town/null reads and his wishy-washy-ness with accusing people I might actually just off him. I was kinda leaning maybe noob-town on him, but I don't like his last few posts. On January 06 2012 00:14 Palmar wrote: I'm starting to think we should lynch BL. On January 06 2012 00:21 Palmar wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 00:20 Bluelightz wrote: On January 06 2012 00:19 Palmar wrote: Me talking to syllo doesn't mean I don't want to hear your answer to my hypothetical question Bluelight. with the game on the line, and your gun loaded, who takes the bullet and why? Hmm, if it was that i'd re-evaluate everyone other then RoL and if i find someone else scummier then him I wouldn't shoot RoL but If I didn't find anyone scummier i'd shoot RoL. Wait, didn't you just read everyone's filter? What's there to re-evaluate? Do you not like your conclusion of everyone being null? On January 06 2012 00:55 Palmar wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 00:30 Bluelightz wrote: On January 06 2012 00:24 Palmar wrote: In addition, Neither risk.nuke nor RoL have posted anything in the game yet. What makes you think RoL is more likely to be scum than risk.nuke? I think RoL is more scum because he didnt post anything before now and risk.nuke "promised"more content but, if he didnt fullfill the promise I would consider that he is scum also. Alright, so at gunpoint, your highest possibility of flipping scum is RoL, based on the fact that he has not posted. That's very... interesting. You have little enough faith in your actual reads that you would risk a game to kill off someone who you have nothing to determine his alignment on. On January 06 2012 01:12 Palmar wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 01:07 Bluelightz wrote: Okay Palmar, I'm about to sleep.So, ask me what you want to ask now :3 Well, I'm not sure what I should be asking you, apparently you're happy with fencesitting through the lynch, throwing your vote randomly against some lurker. Your entire scumhunting process is "This guy has not posted, so he must be scum". And I have a problem with that. Don't let me keep you up, there's still another day. You better come up with something better tomorrow, even if it's only a measurement of your neck. | ||
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Then Wiggles know that Palmar is either a townie or angel/demon and poses a threat to wiggles because Palmar is one the stronger scumhunters and could find him. If Palmar has a power role and realises think that Wiggles is angel/demon then he will likely try to catch or kill wiggles. As someone regarded as a strong scumhunter he is more likely to be the one to catch Wiggles and convince others of his alignment. In short he presents a threat and killing him early would help Wiggles team | ||
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EBWOP: What if Wiggles is a demon/angel and Palmar is not on his team? Then Wiggles knows that Palmar is either a townie or the other faction out of Angel/Demon. And that Palmars win condition will require him to kill Wiggles. (except in the True love exception) If Palmar has a power role and thinks that Wiggles is an angel/demon then he will likely try to investigate or slay wiggles, with his or his team-mates night actions. Alternately he might try to lynch him later on using forced votes and/or make a case against him. None of these actions are good for Wiggles. As someone regarded as a strong scumhunter Palmar is likely to be the one to figure out that Wiggles is scum and then convince others that wiggles is scum. In short if Wiggles is scum and Palmar isn't on his team, then Palmar presents a threat to Wiggles and killing him early would help Wiggles team. Jackal, would you maybe do something? | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 09:54 Erandorr wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 09:49 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 09:49 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 09:48 Erandorr wrote: The last time I looked the game was full already, didn't even realize I am in this until now. The biggest question for me right now is this: Blazinghand are you WBGs Smurf? Or his long lost brother, maybe? Yes clearly i'm WBG's smurf with thousands of posts This post is sarcastic. I am not his smurf. In case that's not clear. And the long lost brother part? missed a lot of time, starts by joking around On January 06 2012 09:16 Erandorr wrote: Ya I probably should post sometime soon but I am really tired and want to sleep soon. If anyone has any question for me just go ahead, I will provide content of my own tomorrow. Promises content on the next day (which would be today) just now posts On January 07 2012 01:39 Erandorr wrote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 00:51 syllogism wrote: While I consider palmar the better lynch out of wiggles/palmar, I don't think it's a good idea to lynch palmar today. We've other very good lynches available, it's a setup with 6 scum and he is very likely to become more transparent the longer the game goes on if he is scum or dead if he is town. I'll probably narrow the list down but I would like to keep the lynch between erandorr/risk/tyrran/refallen. Out of those erandorr appears to be by far the safest lynch and the only reason I haven't been actively pushing him as the #1 lynch was to give him more time and because it's pretty disappointing if he again decided not to play due to rolling scum. I actually didn't roll scum. I just missed the start and don't seem to find a way into the game. I already stated with my brilliant 1 liner that I sort of dislike a Wiggles lynch and actually would like to lynch Palmar today. I don't quite know what to do with all the other crap that has been posted, since the only person I have a clear Town read on is you (YES IM TRYING TO BUDDY UP) claims town and makes an excuse doesn't seem to be trying to help, or be serious On January 07 2012 01:55 Erandorr wrote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 01:48 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:30 Refallen wrote: Yes, but would a scum immediately stick his neck out to try to lynch one of the more prominent players here? Especially assuming, of course, if Palmar flips town he will probably get lynched or at the very least be focused on the next day? Essentially trading a townie for a scum. And even if a scum team deems this worthwhile, would they send mr.wiggles to do the accusing, seeing as how he has a high chance of being the better player on the scum team? Same thing with jackal, and it's why I think they might be town. The only mitigating factor is the fact that syllo was on palmars case early in the game, and wiggles/jackal thought that was the green light in getting palmar lynched. I think the explanation that they're town is more likely though. Also, syllo, why do you still want to lynch me? They would, exactly because someone would end up asking this question. Someone mentioned that there is a 80% rate of mislynch on day one on a mafia dedicated forum, and that is quite something. This is enough to say that you cannot push someone as scum because he made a mistake day 1 - which is something many players interpret wrongly. It's NORMAL for town to make mistakes as long as they are justifiable. However, Palmar points out a good amount of inconsistencies on MrWiggles' case, and we should also consider that he is an experienced player(compared to most of the lineup). He knows better than making those mistakes, and we all know that inexperienced players would fail to see these little inconsistencies and end up lynching Palmar. If there is one thing perfectly fine for a scum team, is to lynch an enemy Palmar right off the bat; ESPECIALLY day 1 where the most wrong cases occur. Although the same could be said for MW(a scum Palmar would benefit a whole lot from lynching MW), the difference is that Palmar's case is much stronger than MrWiggles, especially when, by building that case, he broke a good lot of MrWiggles' arguments. Either way, we can also consider that both Palmar AND MrWiggles may be scum(two families). Out of the two, which is the one you would rather like to lynch and why? asks a person who supported Palmars case and subsequently voted for Wiggles which of the two they want to lynch On January 07 2012 02:11 Erandorr wrote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 01:56 Dirkzor wrote: On January 07 2012 00:51 syllogism wrote: While I consider palmar the better lynch out of wiggles/palmar, I don't think it's a good idea to lynch palmar today. We've other very good lynches available, it's a setup with 6 scum and he is very likely to become more transparent the longer the game goes on if he is scum or dead if he is town. I'll probably narrow the list down but I would like to keep the lynch between erandorr/risk/tyrran/refallen. Out of those erandorr appears to be by far the safest lynch and the only reason I haven't been actively pushing him as the #1 lynch was to give him more time and because it's pretty disappointing if he again decided not to play due to rolling scum. While I agree that palmar/Wiggles aren't our best lynch option, why would you rather hang Palmar? Meta? Because i feel that Wiggles case is bad. Whether it is intentionally to push an agenda or just bad i don't know. About your other targets I find risk the most scummiest. Why do you think Risk is scummiest and not Tyrran/me? If I am not mistaken then Syllos reasons to rather lynch Palmar have very little to do with the arguments Wiggles brought forward. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 01:59 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:55 Erandorr wrote: On January 07 2012 01:48 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:30 Refallen wrote: Yes, but would a scum immediately stick his neck out to try to lynch one of the more prominent players here? Especially assuming, of course, if Palmar flips town he will probably get lynched or at the very least be focused on the next day? Essentially trading a townie for a scum. And even if a scum team deems this worthwhile, would they send mr.wiggles to do the accusing, seeing as how he has a high chance of being the better player on the scum team? Same thing with jackal, and it's why I think they might be town. The only mitigating factor is the fact that syllo was on palmars case early in the game, and wiggles/jackal thought that was the green light in getting palmar lynched. I think the explanation that they're town is more likely though. Also, syllo, why do you still want to lynch me? They would, exactly because someone would end up asking this question. Someone mentioned that there is a 80% rate of mislynch on day one on a mafia dedicated forum, and that is quite something. This is enough to say that you cannot push someone as scum because he made a mistake day 1 - which is something many players interpret wrongly. It's NORMAL for town to make mistakes as long as they are justifiable. However, Palmar points out a good amount of inconsistencies on MrWiggles' case, and we should also consider that he is an experienced player(compared to most of the lineup). He knows better than making those mistakes, and we all know that inexperienced players would fail to see these little inconsistencies and end up lynching Palmar. If there is one thing perfectly fine for a scum team, is to lynch an enemy Palmar right off the bat; ESPECIALLY day 1 where the most wrong cases occur. Although the same could be said for MW(a scum Palmar would benefit a whole lot from lynching MW), the difference is that Palmar's case is much stronger than MrWiggles, especially when, by building that case, he broke a good lot of MrWiggles' arguments. Either way, we can also consider that both Palmar AND MrWiggles may be scum(two families). Out of the two, which is the one you would rather like to lynch and why? Check the voting post and decide for yourself who I would rather like to lynch. Hint: it's obvious As for "why", I think I stated a couple times already. Ya, mistake on my side, sorry. he is asking lots of questions and saying bugger all about what he thinks I am completely fine with an Erandorr lynch. @Syllogism, why do you no longer think we should lynch Grackaroni? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 07 2012 04:24 risk.nuke wrote: The thread have really come to a stop since yesterday. I'll write my opinion on who to lynch tonight when I have time to review. You may or may not look forward to it. I don't know if it will be "mindblowing" or "meh". I am just hoping to see this before i go off to bed. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote: Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr. Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar. It may not be your style to post a lot day1 but perhaps your could elaborate. Other than relative inactivity what make Erandorr scum? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 07 2012 10:45 Blazinghand wrote: So, Refallen. Hm. Um, I did some reading. Reading through your filter it seems like you're acting fairly town. ._. You got some reads and pushed them in a reasonable fashion, and respond to people who talk to you. I have no idea why you're so bad at voting and knowing where to put your vote. I'm either severely disappointed in your town play or largely convinced by your scum play. OK so, I think you MIGHT be scum, but you also might be town. I'm substantially more sure of E-dawg being scum because he's hustling us but I still demand explanations for your actions post me-calling-you-out. And if they are insufficient I will devour you. ##Vote: Erandorr Oh hey blazinghand whats this is your vote announced in the thread? yeah man it is oh that's cool that seems like a pro-town thing to do yeah i would say so why would you ever not announce your vote in the thread? dunno. hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha In all seriousness we need to be choosing our lynch traget between Erandorr and risk.nuke. I shall explain why i think this in the morning | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
risk.nuke: Having filtered risk.nukes past games I feel that there are A few general traits that he displays as town: -He often posts very little day 1 (<1 page) -He is very aggressive and pushes people on mistakes -He quotes people a lot and makes accusations -He is confident and assertive in offering his own opinion -He is a bit rude This game he: -Has posted very little (<1 page) -Has been aggressive against syllogism, who voted for him -Has made a few accusations (but not followed them up) -Has been confident but avoided offering a unique opinion -Has been a bit rude Furthermore he has: -Promised content -Made excuses Posts: This post is extremely out of place, i have not found a single post similar to this one from a day1 town risk.nuke: On January 06 2012 03:52 risk.nuke wrote: I don't like people posting who they think are town exept when It's in the defense of someone who looks like they are getting lynched. Our job is to find scum. If you think someone is town, you tell them you get a nullread on them or better don't talk about it at all. Belive me bluelightz when I say I don't like a post with a few townreads and no scumreads one bit. There are plenty of reasons why we shouldn't talk about our townreads. It makes it easier for scum to kill our strongest townreads. It makes it harder to discover the motive behind a kill. A scum who belives he is viewed as town won't feel as much pressure. A townie who belives he has confirmed himself might get a bit full of himself and play less optimal. Bluelightz Bluelightz is playing without a worry in the world. The nature of most of his posts seems completely carefree. When a townie is confronted with suspicious imo they get nervous and tries to find where they messed up and try to explain it. Bluelightz just shrugs it of. + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 21:36 Bluelightz wrote: Okay here's the continuation of my reads Errandor, Null: Lurking cannot determine alignment Grackaroni, Null: His posting contains his case against me and discussing about the lurkers in this game. HarbingerOfDoom, Null/Leaning Town: His posting contains discussion of strategy for town, Discussing LA-Lurkers Jackal58, Null: 2 posts since the start of the game cannot determine alignment. Layabout, Leaning Town: When I compare when Layabout was town in Student and if he is town here his posting style is much the same being aggressive and starting discussion Mr.Wiggles, Leaning Town: His posts while not alot has very good content. Palmar, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he starts discussion himself. RebirthOfLeGenD, Null: Lurking cannot determine alignment. Refallen, Null: His posts contain discussion about the lurkers,etc risk.nuke, Null: Has not posted alot syllogism, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he also shares his reads with others. Tyrran, Null: While lurking a little I can't determine his alignment xsksc, Null: Needs to start posting Zepphird, Null: His post's discuss about LA-Lurkers and strategy Okay I'm done if you have a question about my reads go for it ![]() Now, I have many town reads because this is day 1 and also people haven't posted much(including me) So, here it is! + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 05:08 Bluelightz wrote: First, I don't like the idea of lynching lurkers because more or less it justs waste's us a townie and Next, I think the people that are not posting should be chec Lastly, I don't have a scummy read on anyone yet. Doesn't want to lynch a lurker. On January 05 2012 14:27 Bluelightz wrote: Okay, ill just give my thoughts on LA-Lurkers First, I don't think that lynching lurkers benefit town in any way. Usually it results in a townie lynched(BByte lynch in student mafia as an example) Also, Here's the list of people I want posting xsksc Cwave risk.nuke Errandor That is all. Doesn't want to lynch a lurker. On January 05 2012 21:46 Bluelightz wrote: Right now, since we have no real option I would like to lynch a lurker. Wants to lynch a lurker. While his response could seem understandable because he did say he'd like to lynch a lurker in lack of better options. But then there is this On January 05 2012 21:59 Bluelightz wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 21:49 Palmar wrote: On January 05 2012 21:46 Bluelightz wrote: On January 05 2012 21:42 Palmar wrote: So who would you lynch Bluelightz? Right now, since we have no real option I would like to lynch a lurker. Yes, but which lurker, and why? At this point, I would wait if xsk starts posting, risk.nuke too. But if they don't i'm all ears for lynching them I would lynch RoL right now because he hasn't posted anything when I searched for RoL post's in the thread I haven't found any post's by him He is clearly quite fond of the idea of lynching lurkers. Going back again to when Palmar asked him who he would like to kill. His initial response was catastrophic. He said "an unspecific lurker" and avoided the pressure of the question. He changes his mind and he changes his target to RoL but on a very weak basis. Conclusion: He plays carefree, doesn't seem to giving things more then a brief thought before having an opinion which leads to him often changing his mind. Not traits that strikes me as townish in a complicated mafia game. Refallen What I don't like about refallen is he posts just to look town.+ Show Spoiler + On January 04 2012 16:52 Refallen wrote: Finally started! Hype! My first thoughts on the setup; Obviously, I think the best way to go about this game is to focus on killing angels in the early game. Once we get rid of the acolyte, the seer has an infinitely easier job in cleansing corruption because we can actually claim if we got corrupted and not get targetted right now as we get closer to the late game lynching demons obviously becomes more and more important, but town would have a huge benefit if we can reduce angel KP early on in the game, as this has a building effect of letting more townies live = demon corrupt has less of an impact. + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 10:22 Refallen wrote: Alright, I just woke up, first thoughts: Why is everyone tunneling the lurkish newbie? He is sooooo likely to flip town instead of scum. Just look at Election Mafia, and XLVIII. In almost every case, the lurking newbie simply turns out to be just that, a newbie, which explains his low-posting. We definitely do not want to be wasting a lynch on him. Show nested quote + it might be good to kill him just because even if he is town he could be useless. This is never a good idea. Even a town who is completely non-contributing serves as an extra KP before LYLO, and for most newbie towns, they will be sheeping the case which most people are already on, in effect letting town have an extra vote. We should never ever ever kill town "because he's useless at it". I'm not sure what you're going on about having a solid case. How does one make a solid case on someone who has 3 posts and told us they're going afk for a bit on the very first day of the game? For now, I don't have a lynch target. I want Palmar to start posting. Everyone is not tunneling, coming to the rescue so quickly you don't even properly analyse the situation. Eager to appear protown? The rest of the post is... "fluff" "I don't have a lynch target" "I Want palmar to start posting" + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 02:23 Refallen wrote: Think this makes me 3/3 of me being discussed as lynching on day 1 as a townie, my play sure is good /sarcasm. Honestly though, was at a friends birthday party, just got home, about to sleep. Syllo, and others, I don't see how showing angels were a bigger threat than demons would paint me as anti-town. Keep in mind that the context of the post when it was made; all of us were discussing the setup (mainly because it was start of day 1 and it served as a topic of discussion.) Obviously the point about us not being able to tell who was demon/angel makes the whole discussion basically practically useless, but it provided a topic for us to start talking about the game (if you want useless posts, see palmars kite claim) With that said, I'll be reading through the thread tomorrow and posting who I think are suspicious. Right now at least my previous suspicion of Palmar has been assuaged at him posting and being his usual bullying town self. Conclusion: I don't like his posts so far and I'm suspicious towards his hype followed by nothing but fluff. I'm waiting for his thoughts tomorrow and some better defense wouldn't hurt him. xsksc xsksc and the meta. What is xsksc up to? I might be wrong but this doesn't feel like the townie xsksc I am used to. At this point in the game there are still a number of barely-posters and discussion has not really been serious. In his next post risk.nuke even states there are two days left why woudl I commit to lynching this soon. I took the topics of the time and wrote my thoughts on them Given that this is the case this post is a very safe post to make, he doesn't need to come to any hard conclusions but it does make him appear to be contributing to the discussion topics at the time. This post is easy to make from either perspective but it is more useful for scum who doesn't wish to contribute but would like to appear to. Given his comments about refallen it seem reasonable for risk.nuke to pressure or make a case against him, but it seems like risk just completely forgets later on. He plays carefree, doesn't seem to giving things more then a brief thought before having an opinion which leads to him often changing his mind. Not traits that strikes me as townish in a complicated mafia game HoD already pointed out that these are typically townie traits, so i am left to infer that the "complicated" setup is what in your view makes it un-town-like? It seems to me that you are trying to mislead people. @risk.nuke please explain why exactly you felt that those traits do not stike you as townlike? because here you responded to HoD but it is almost entirely meaningless crap On January 06 2012 05:39 risk.nuke wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @risk.nuke Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? The "everyone looks town!" is surely incriminating, but I am not finding the carefree being incriminating. Why would town get nervous when accused? They know they are innocent. Explaining themselves, yes, but I know I get annoyed, not nervous. It depends. If you are having a single one or two people accusing you, you get annoyed. Like I am now now with syllo. Or example in steamship prplhz tried to get me lynched on a bad case. I got annoyed. Then there are situations where you have a majority of people looking suspiciously at you. You've likely messed up and done something to justify their suspicions but you need to defend yourself. If you mess up town mislynch you. There is a situation I would be nervous in. You talk about the number of people accusing you if you are town, you say that if you are town and in your situation then you should react the way that you did, by getting annoyed. You back it up by saying that you got annoyed before when you were town. You then say that when a number of people pressure you because you have made a mistake then you need to defend youself, but that if you have messed up that town should lynch you and it would be your fault. You say that if you had messed up and were under pressure you were be nervous. None of that answer the actually question. It simply serves to try to paint you as town-like, and if it relates to BL at all then it is to imply that he messed up that town should kill him and lays ground for a potential mislynch. All of those purposes seem scummy to me. On January 06 2012 04:18 risk.nuke wrote: syllo, I started the post about 2 hours ago. I share what I want to share when I want to share it. Don't try and control me and please don't try to meta me. All my games I have a different style because I play varying of my mood. He speaks out against syllogism trying to meta him, i think syllo already explained why this is scummy here (clicky). On January 06 2012 04:56 risk.nuke wrote: Syllogism, there are two days left why woudl I commit to lynching this soon. I took the topics of the time and wrote my thoughts on them. Then I wanted to see who would comment on it further, what they would say, who would push for their lynch etc. What the hell are you doing? commenting on how useless I am when you don't know my agenda which you just ruined because you didn't think it through. Or were you planning on pushing for my lynch today. Cause if you weren't there is nothing pro-town about calling me out. I'm town and you're forcing me to reveal what I wanted to do. If I had been scum you would had just tipped me off instead of saving it for a case you would write against me. Blazinghand quit floating around and write something helpfull yourself. Here he attacks syllogism for calling him out on his actions. As town risk.nuke typically calls people out for actions he disapproves of yet in this game when syllogism does it "There is nothing pro town about calling him out?" Perhaps risk.nuke believes his usual town play is anti-town? He says that he had an agenda to "see who would comment on his last post what they would say and who would push to lynch those players", this really doesn't seem like a big plan that syllogism had ruined and having a secret agenda that you expect players players like syllogism to pick up on but not comment on so as to allow you to carry out that agenda seems highly anti-town. Town players shouldn't have anything to hide (except a blue roles) and this "ruined agenda" seems very un-town-like Why isn't risk.nuke being his more open self? On January 06 2012 12:45 risk.nuke wrote: I don't want to lynch palmar because first of all he is Palmar and secondly he seems to be missing. Why should we lynch the (imo) best player in the game in a 2 mafia team setup day 1.+ Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 11:43 Jackal58 wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 11:14 Refallen wrote:So to conclude my posting for now, my lynch targets are Palmar and risk.nuke. Among the two, I'm not sure who I want to lynch first. Are you scum too? There should be zero confusion about which of those 2 you would want to lynch if you believe them both to be scum. No offense risk.nuke but you're not scary. Scum Palmar is scary. This is just fearmongering. @Refallen, it is a townie priority to look town. But what you're doing is not that. You're writing useless posts hoping on a brief glance they will make it look as you're contributing. And when most of your posts are like that I get suspicious. There is nothing wrong or scummy with anyone of your posts. But they are all very easy to make as a scum. And I have not made a case yet, if you think what I wrote on you and bluelightz are cases I promise you this. When I make a case it will have a conclusion that says this guy is scum and we should lynch his arse. Next he opposes a palmar lynch without adressing the reasons for a palmar lynch. To some people this is a fair argument and to others it is very poor ground for not lynching a player. He does however make a good point about Jackal fearmogering,- the type of point i would expect risk.nuke to make. He then re-surmises what he has said about refallen, says then refallen is still acting the same way that makes him scummy. From here-on in he does not mention accuse refallen of anything. On January 06 2012 12:51 risk.nuke wrote: I'm not reading anything that long tonight, it's 5 am and I'm only up because sweden are fucking bosses at hockey!! excuse On January 07 2012 04:24 risk.nuke wrote: The thread have really come to a stop since yesterday. I'll write my opinion on who to lynch tonight when I have time to review. You may or may not look forward to it. I don't know if it will be "mindblowing" or "meh". promises content. Last part is non-committal which might allow for him to provide little. On January 07 2012 08:40 risk.nuke wrote: Got bussy writing the daypost for newbie mafia. I'm here now. legitimate excuse for activity, but because he is here hopefully he can deliver that mind blowing content, right? On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote: Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr. Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar. He Provides little! (the scummy option) He calls Erandorr scum but does not provide enough to support a vote or lynch. He presents the beginnings of a case against Jackal, he may have some points that he could further push. But Jackal is one of the 7/18 player so far to not receive a vote. When there are a number of candidates already being discussed why would you present 1 paragraph about a player being scummy and pick a player that, at the time was in absolutely no danger of being lynched? Perhaps he wants to spilt the vote or try to get a no-lynch. When serious discussion about who to lynch had began risk pipes in to sheep a case and maybe start a case. He does not follow either case up and he does not vote. This does not make sense if he truly feels like Jackal is the best lynch and he is town, or if he feels that jumping on Erandorr will kill scum. On January 07 2012 09:15 risk.nuke wrote: Blazinghand what are you on about? Asks a question, not a contribution. On January 07 2012 11:00 risk.nuke wrote: Slowly and steadily I'm beeing raised to the top, scumagenda *cough* His response to votes is a one line joking comment that scum are voting for him. Earlier he had stated how he as town would respond by getting annoyed or by defending himself. risk.nuke not doing what he said he would do ask town ===> risk.nuke is scum? risk.nuke currently the only thing that might make me think you aren't scum is when you make your case because: On January 06 2012 12:45 risk.nuke wrote: You also admit that what you wrote about refallen and bluelightz had very little value in it. And that was most of the substance in your posts so far...And I have not made a case yet, if you think what I wrote on you and bluelightz are cases I promise you this. When I make a case it will have a conclusion that says this guy is scum and we should lynch his arse. Conclusion: risk.nuke's play does not math the town risk.nuke you may have come to know and love. He was willing to offer thoughts at the start when doing so was not useful and when it was easy for scum to do so. He has made excuses and promised content. He has yet to deliver that content. He has not been aggressive in calling people out as he has previuosly and has criticised syllogism for calling him out. He avoided has provided a very fluffy answer to HoD's question. He has contradicted his own declarations of good town play. He has avoided making any serious contributions now that we actuaaly have to decide who we are lynching. He has not made an effort to defend himself, but has called everybody voting for him scum. Vote risk.nuke filters in past games: Election mafia (town) Tl Mafia XLVII (town) Steamship (Tl mafia 46) (town) Newbie mini mafia (town)+ nice hotbid post TL Mafia XLV (town) almost no posts day1 | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
My two weapons are fear and surprise and ruthless efficiency.. My three weapons are fear and surprise and rutherless efficiency and an almost fanatical devotion to the pope! Four, no Amongst my Weapons.. Amongst my weaponry are elements such as fear and - I will post again.. Happy birthday Erandorr! care to spent some of it here? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Your defence is evasive at best: @risk.nuke HoD asked this^Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? You say you answer him here, in This post (clicky) I'm not sure what you're meaning here, we're talking about beeing nervous and beeing carefree and I think I answered that. I think your mind is living in a world where mislynches doesn't exist. You didn't really answer the carefree town question. You just talked about behaviour under pressure as town, you made no links between how town or scum would act and how BL was acting, so you definately didn't answer the second and more important question of how BL behavior was implicating him.@risk.nuke please explain why exactly you felt that those traits do not stike you as townlike? You didn't answer when i rephrased the question here either, but you did make a bunch of unhelpful comments.I don't see the point of lynching palmar in a multiteam setup. Worst case he is town and we just lyched palmar. Best case he is scum and he can't help us find the other scumteam, That's why I got really suspicious of all the vets wanting him out asap, wiggles sort of dodged me because I really liked his initial big post. I said that some people are okay with the reasoning but that some would find is suspicious (Wiggles had made the point) but basically because auto-deciding not to vote for a player and disregarding their play would be something scum would rather do if the person was on their team. I will add that the problem with your argument is that you could very well maintain that stance into day 2 or 3, even if the evidence for that player (in this case Palmar) being scum was overwhelming! In a game with such a low proportion of town it is crucial that town players can get behind lynches together and thus a stance like yours could be very anti-town (depending on how long you maintain it). Why did you simply re-state your reasoning? That doesn't affect the point whatsoever.I didn't even disagree with your reasoning, i just said that some might find it scummy. I haven't called everyone who votes for me scum wtf? well... On January 07 2012 11:00 risk.nuke wrote: implies scum are voting for you but you don't name somebody specific, so it follows that multiple people that are scum are voting for you(you either 2 or 3 votes at this point) so it is reasonable to infer that you believe either 2/2 2/3 or 3/3 of them are scum.Slowly and steadily I'm beeing raised to the top, scumagenda *cough* Your dismissal confirms this I'm wasn't joking, judging from how I looked it was pretty obvious (or atleast a good chance) scum would slowly push for my lynch to protect their own. so you felt that scum were slowly voting for you?surely that would mean that you felt that more than one of the people voting for you were scum? therefore 2/3 or all of the people voting for you were scumThere is no reason not to state what you think, If I were to come in two days and say, well I thought jackal was scummy two days ago people would either not belive me or legitimitly ask me why the hell I didn't say something Do you mind explaining why you have not been saying what you think about the important issue of the lynch?Blazinghand was acting high on coffe shouting all over the place how erandorr is hustling us, I didn't much get him. He may have been acting silly but a quick filter click would have removed the need to ask a question. Why are you addressing a comment about a post "asks a question" that has no bearing on your alignment? People doesn't love my townplay I said people may know and love your townplay so this quote from you is not only irrelevant to my case but it is also incorrect. Why would you make a point like that in the first place? You are trying to paint my conclusion as wrong but you can't so you are trying to split hairs to make what i am saying carry less weight. I haven't given any serious contributions because I'm not good day 1 and I know it. And if you want to see one of my case you'll unfortunatly have to wait untill someone says something I can use because I can't magicly spawn cases. But you did promise more content and you haven't supplied it.You don't need to maically spawn cases you need to look at players behaviour and analyse it as you have in the past. You might want to do. Even if you don't construct a case you really haven't made it clear where you stand with regards to todays lynch. We have less than six hours and possibly 1 other candidate that could realistically be lynched yet you haven't shared you opinion, this is quite concerning. Some people are good at finding scum day1, I'm not so I let them do their thing while I don't them in trying to do something I would probably fail with. Isntead I try to find somehting my own way, and setting a trap isn't scummy. Lying is scummy. Not saying what you were doing afterwards is scummy. If you have something to say then say it, don't hint that you think i am a liar.I think your mind is living in a world where mislynches doesn't exist. Why don't you attack my arguments rather than attacking me? +my lurker post was entirely based on the fact that day1 mislynches are common and that we should adjust our play to put in a good position if a mislynch does happen.If I were a scum why would I not pressure him if as you say I had good reason to, exept if you think I'm refallens scumbuddy Why don't you explain why you didn't go after him rather than trying to put words in my mouth(post)?If you think I've contradicted myself you need to go back and reread that or repost it to me so I can correct you Here: It depends. If you are having a single one or two people accusing you, you get annoyed. Like I am now now with syllo. Or example in steamship prplhz tried to get me lynched on a bad case. I got annoyed. Then there are situations where you have a majority of people looking suspiciously at you. You've likely messed up and done something to justify their suspicions but you need to defend yourself. If you mess up town mislynch you. There is a situation I would be nervous in. here you explain how you feel town specifcally a town risk.nuke reacts under pressure. On January 07 2012 11:00 risk.nuke wrote: This is basically your entire defense before my post today. Why did you not defend yourself?Slowly and steadily I'm beeing raised to the top, scumagenda *cough* Also you attack syllogism for doing something on day 1 that you typically do as town on day 1. (calling people out on what you think is scummy or BS). How is this not a contradiction? You really haven't invalidated my conclusion so i would prefer it if you would avoid profanities like "bogus" i am very sensitive you know. You have responded to comments that aren't accusations and you have avoided actually answering the main issues that i presented. I also think you shouldn't decide to completely ignore the argument that you are playing in a way that does match your previous play as town, particular as you better than anyone know the reasons for you actions and should be able to explain why you are acting differently. So my vote is staying on you @everyone else what time do you think would be best for the lynch? I can stay for another 2 and a half hours, and still get a good nights sleep. | ||
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On January 08 2012 06:33 Mr. Wiggles wrote: risk.nuke, does what Palmar say accurately reflect what you had in mind with your "plan"? Wait a minute! I think I might have also been using this plan! What are the chances? risk.nuke are you spying on my brain? hmmm... how should i test this?... @risk.nuke What is my favorite race in fantasy genres? + Show Spoiler + if he says dwarf i will send a complaint to zona because he must be spying on me | ||
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convince somebody to swap to Erandorr? stfu? pick one ![]() | ||
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On January 08 2012 08:17 risk.nuke wrote: "Halfhearted defense", what the hell is there to defend myself against? meta, sure let me get my magical metashield of hopes and dreams. You decided to completely ignore the meta so you don't even get to call that bit halfhearted | ||
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fuck you guys | ||
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On January 08 2012 09:08 syllogism wrote: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 09:06 layabout wrote: last minute non-justified swapping? fuck you guys He is going to flip scum, don't worry some concerns: -risk nuke had 9 votes and bluelighz game him a time limit before he would hammer, i don't see what risk.nuke has done to justify a switch. -I am okay with an Erandorr lynch but i am more confident in an risk.nuke lynch -TL Mafia XLVIIIn this game Erandorr was scum and he ran for major and was active towards the end of day1 so i am not % sure of meta, i will check more games though. -This situation is becoming chaotic and i don't think that that is beneficial to town. -Scum could very easily control who gets lynched | ||
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We have 30 minutes but as zbot takes pms every 5 mintues to be safe we need to give ourselves some room so we only really have 20-25 minutes i will only switch if it is absolutely necessary | ||
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On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 1 Lynch. With 18 alive, 10 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: Erandorr (7): risk.nuke (7): risk's list looks greener than Eran's | ||
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i am willing to switch to eran if necessary | ||
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(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻) what now? how should we approach night-time discussion | ||
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Voting System: This game utilizes the Instant Majority Lynch system. If at any point during the day over half the players alive are voting to lynch a particular player, that player will be instantly lynched, and the night will immediately begin. seeing as its possible to lynch and have 8/18 players not vote it seems unlikely that you would be mod-killed | ||
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-people most responsible for the lynch Mr. Wiggles Layabout + Palmar Refallen RoL (if they did switch) -People who should have known better Yesterdays Lynch timeline Lynch deadline: January 08 10:00 According to the lynch and the posts in the thread this is what happened: On January 08 2012 09:45 ZBot wrote: End of Day 1 Lynched: Erandorr (10): Current votes: risk.nuke (4): -6 hours before the lynch risk nuke had 6 votes after i post my case http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13040868 -5 hours before the lynch Erandor had 4 votes as cwave votes him http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13042316 -4 hours 30 minutes left and Palmar (+Wiggles) pressure risk http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13042907 -HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935 -I then post my criticism of risk's "defence" with 3 hours left http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13045264 -Syllogism posts On January 08 2012 07:02 syllogism wrote: Day ends in 3 hours, but within an hour or two is fine. I'm fine with lynching either erandorr/risk -2 hours 30 minutes before the lynch risk had 9 votes and Eran has 4 votes Mr. Wiggles votes risk (swaps from Palmar), Grackaroni votes risk(swaps from Eran) and Palmar votes Eran (swaps from Wiggles) http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603¤tpage=35 By this point risk had had 3 hours to satisfactorily defend himself but nobody at any point during the time states that they felt he had convinced them of his innocence, furthermore nothing new against Erandor is presented. -1 hour 45 to go Blazinghand says he will hammer risk in 1 hour 30 and that risk should put together his final contribution http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13047615 Read through what happens next very carefully, Syllogism posts this On January 08 2012 08:32 syllogism wrote: How many do we have around? I'm fine with switching to erandorr, I'm virtually certain that erandorr is scum and only very convinced that risk is then Blazinghand goes from On January 08 2012 08:18 Blazinghand wrote: risk.nuke if you're town, maybe you can pull some amazing argument out of your ass. If you don't think you can, please try to be helpful. Clock's ticking. to On January 08 2012 08:34 Blazinghand wrote: Man I'm amazed nobody understands that Erandorr is hustlin us as I have been saying Rather than following up on his "post before i hammer you" stance BHsuddenly wants to switch to Eran Syllogism had already stated that he was fine with lynching either but with 9 votes on risk and somebody promising to hammer he has a change of heart. -1 hour 25 minutes left Next, Grackaroni says he will switch On January 08 2012 08:35 Grackaroni wrote: I'm still here if we want to re-switch -At this point Syllogism has changed his vote (so its 8/6 risk/Erandorr) but he has not declared it in the thread. He tells poeple to only switch if they can stay until the deadline -He and BH then encourage people to switch, -risk votes for erandor BH reposts case on Eran On January 08 2012 08:36 Blazinghand wrote: risk.nuke you haven't voted? ._. cmon man. pm to: zbot subject: purgatory body: ##Vote Erandorr -1 hour 20 minutes left Mr. Wiggles wants to know why syllo will switch On January 08 2012 08:41 Mr. Wiggles wrote: I'm around. Why the change of heart? -1 hour 12mins left Grackaroni switches to Erandorr vote are now tied at 7/7 On January 08 2012 08:48 Grackaroni wrote: I'm going to go back to Erandorr then, there's no harm in doing it I'll be here if we can't secure enough votes. -1 hour 10 before the lynch 98% sure BH is being sarcastic and still thinks risk is scum On January 08 2012 08:47 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:47 risk.nuke wrote: I'm not scum, A nolynch would even be better then to mislynch a townie. OH WOW GREAT ARGUMENT YOU CONVINCE ME NOW On January 08 2012 08:49 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:48 risk.nuke wrote: Blazinghand quit beeing a huge troll. You did some pressuring but that's all you've done, after that you just got convinced of your own selfimportance so please tune it down. You made an argument that consisted of "well you guys shouldn't lynch me because i'm town" Really? Why would you even say that. Grackaroni says he is going back to risk but he doesn't On January 08 2012 08:48 Grackaroni wrote: I'm going to go back to Erandorr then, there's no harm in doing it I'll be here if we can't secure enough votes. -1 hour left -Palmar will lynch either now? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13048314 -update from syllo On January 08 2012 08:58 syllogism wrote: No I still think risk is scum, but I'm pretty much certain that erandorr is. -55 minutes left RoL says he will read the thread and syllo tells us how to pm to vote for Erandorr http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13048410 -42 minutes left A wild Refallen appears! On January 08 2012 09:17 Refallen wrote: Just woke up. Are we switching to erandorr? Why not risk? And how long do we have? wants to lynch risk but willing to vote either -33 minutes left On January 08 2012 09:27 Mr. Wiggles wrote: If we're going to lynch Erandorr, you still need two more people besides me. Who are they? I don't want a no-lynch. with Wiggles prepared to switch it is now possible to lynch Erandorr Vote tally Risk nuke: Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr, Mr. Wiggles, Palmar, Erandor: Cwave, HarbingerOfDoom, syllogism, risk.nuke, Grackaroni, Tyrran, Blazinghand -Refallen Wiggle and palmar have all stated their willingness to vote for either and BH and syllogism have been pressuring people to vote Eran, If you want to avoid a no-lunch, who does it seem is most likely to be lynched? My excuse for my actions to come: I felt by this point it would be Erandorr who would be lynched, i had opposed the vote switch but as stated earlier i stated that i was fine with an Erandorr lynch, and a no-lynch would have been really bad. Syllo did say that they could switch back so i -30 minutes left until deadline On January 08 2012 09:31 Blazinghand wrote: No you guys come over to Erandorr we still have like 10ish minutes On January 08 2012 09:33 layabout wrote: A bit of derpage here although we really shouldn't be voting in the last 10-15 minutes so its almost accurateoh shit it is about 10-15 People still around: risk.nuke Blazinghand syllogism Palmar Mr. Wiggles layabout Refallen Grackaroni RoL -27 minutes left On January 08 2012 09:33 Refallen wrote: I'm going to swich in about 5 minutes if its clear no one is switching to risk Refallen is on risk.nuke if he switches then vote is 6/8 risk/eran The implication of this is that if people have not switched back in those 5 minutes Eran gets another vote, therefore if people on Eran switch to risk, risk is lynched, if they stay Eran gets lynched, so they will probably stay -25 minutes left A scumbag drops out of the sky, It used to be know as Jackal 58, it doesn't say much anymore On January 08 2012 09:35 Jackal58 wrote: Since Palmar isn't happening I switched to Erandorr. Between he and risk I'd rather have risk around another day. Erandorr's alignment will be impossible to determine by his activity. I think RoL did vote but he spelled it wrong. Dunno if that matters or not. Vote is now 7/8 risk/eran Refallen is promising to switch to Eran to no body switches back he also has a defence for RoL disappearing, could be nothing could be scummy -1 minute later Wiggles will now vote for Erandorr, so if people do what they have declared they will Erandorr is now going to be lynched On January 08 2012 09:36 Mr. Wiggles wrote: If two people switch to Erandorr, I'll hammer. Otherwise, move back onto risk. RoL, have you read "the last few pages" yet, it's been a half hour. -21 minutes until deadline I am willing to switch On January 08 2012 09:39 layabout wrote: if you switch back to risk will we have enough? i am willing to switch to eran if necessary On January 08 2012 09:39 Mr. Wiggles wrote: There's 11 minutes left. Zbot will only update two more times. Somebody switch, post, and I'll hammer. from this post i conclude that the lynch may in fact be at 9:50 instead of 10:00 in terms of the times at the post, either way there is very little time left! -20 or maybe 10 minutes left http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13048770 9:40 Refallen says he has changed to Eran 9:41 Then Wiggles says to expect flip in 4 minutes 9:41 Then I say i have changed to Eran (i posted done immediately after i sent my pm) risk.nuke (4): If we look at the vote count refallen unvotes first then wiggles does then i do ( i unvoted just before i voted and then posted "done") But if we look at the final votes for Eran (below) my vote clearly goes though before Erandorrs. Could Refallen have simply not voted? Votes are counted in the order they are received, correct? Yes. Will Zbot count votes received during the same refresh cycle after majority has been reached? Once majority has been reached, voting is over and all subsequent votes are ignored. (i didn't ask these questions) it seems like if Refallens vote was sent first then his name should have been on the list. He may have been trying to trick us into no-lyching but there is to much uncertainty for me to confidently say he did. It is a possiblity worth considering nevertheless On January 08 2012 09:45 ZBot wrote: End of Day 1 Lynched: Erandorr (10): Current votes: risk.nuke (4): Tyrran (1): RebirthOfLeGenD (0): Palmar (0): Refallen (0): Bluelightz (0): Mr. Wiggles (0): Dirkzor (0): HarbingerOfDoom (0): Grackaroni (0): Palmar and RoL have also claimed to have tried to vote for Erandorr too. -2 minutes before nightpost On January 08 2012 09:43 Refallen wrote: Risk if you're some kind of role you should claim, just pointing ouy In light of the fact that he allegedly just hammered Erandorr and that risk will live into the night, claiming would allow an acolyte to kill him, yes? -1 minute before nighpost care to explain this? On January 08 2012 09:44 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 09:36 Mr. Wiggles wrote: If two people switch to Erandorr, I'll hammer. Otherwise, move back onto risk. RoL, have you read "the last few pages" yet, it's been a half hour. I did and I cast my vote for Erandorr through the PM thing. Here is my reasoning. Switching from target A to target B is highly unlikely to ever hit a scum barring a DT check (This is more true in town/scum no third faction games, but still holds true here) no second bandwagon should gain momentum if its scum because the scum wouldn't let it happen. That being said, since my other post only about 6-7 pages have happened in game iirc and somehow risk.nuke attained a near majority which is insane. There is no way you are going to hit scum with that kind of rapid vote switch and in fact, that somewhat incriminates Erandorr because why else would a vote switch happen so rapidly? I read some of Risk's posts, admittedly not all, but he didn't seem too bad from my point of view, I don't know what the hell palmar is getting at. But I only inferred that from his posts on pages 34-36ish since I know we are nearing the deadline. Lastly, I read Blazinghand's analysis of Erandorr which seemed good, in the sense that I agree that Erandorr comes off as a disconcerned scum on D1. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603¤tpage=37#723 So I am keeping my vote on Erandorr, anyone on the risk.nuke lynch is suspect for jumping ship so hard, if erandorr flips scum then Palmar deserves a hard look. I also have a plan I have been considering, I plan on enlightening you all during the night phase assuming I can flesh out all the weird possibilities in this set up. You say that Eran was the lynch and that risk.nuke was the scum, bandwagon. "Anyone on risk.nuke is suspect for jumping so hard" wtf? I hope that the rest of this post demonstrates why exactly that is incorrect You haven't even read all of risks posts? You ignore the case against risk but you decide that BH's analysis of Erandorr seemed good and can support it. In the hour or so between you popping up saying you wil read the thread, and you posting that you voted after people claimed to have decided the lynch what exactly did you do? because you apparantly haven't read both players filters and you have only reference one argument for one player being scummy and none for the other. You better present this plan soon because you have lurker harder than Erandor did and a number of people have said that you are a good target for night actions. So Yeah a lot can be made of what happened but i hope that this can help to clarify, what happened or can push you to carefully read though and draw your own conclusions! now time to proof reed... | ||
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I explained it here [quote]I was so convinced that they would both flip scum, just different teams, that I thought the switch would produce free information. It did produce information, but unfortunately it was hardly free; I think Jackal looks quite suspicious as he suddenly shows up, hasn't even mentioned erandorr until then and only mentioned risk in passing and is immediately willing to switch to erandorr. If risk flips scum, Jackal is relatively likely to be his team mate.[/quote] Erandorr lied and his play looked exactly like his recent scum play. Unfortunately he apparently had some real life issues/was busy/lazy, so the lesson here is never to go for pure meta when there is a very good alternative that is based on something more substantial[/QUOTE] that hurts | ||
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also cwave had to take some of the blame for the lynch | ||
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How do the angels react to the colour claim? They probably target blues as they wish to kill town blues They could hide amongst the blues for protection or the sea of greens for anonymity therefore how do demons react to this plan? they claim green to reduce the chance of being killed by angels they take a massive risk and claim blue increasing their chances of being killed how do blues react? they claim blue and a no-flip death they claim green to minimise the chance of being killed by angels how do greens react? they claim green they claim blue so that angels kill them. The demons will know if any of the blue claims are demons, therefore the rest of the blue are angels vanilla town or blue town.Similarly the angels will know if any of the blues are angels so the rest are demons blues or vainlla taon. Why would the demons want to protect non-demon claiming blue? after all they need to kill two blues as part of their win condition. Why would the demons wish to corrupt a blue when then need to kill 2/4 town blue and when town blues are getting banished and demons only get corrupt every other night? How do we end up with 4 confirmed town? Especially if multiple vanilla's or scum claim blue. I think it is very likely that some people will not like this plan and that some town aligned people will fake-claim if it goes ahead, wouldn't this ruin the whole plan? If no vanilla town fake-claim then then angels will be killing a demon or blue every night, the only way to stop this is with the channeller. If the channeller dies and the demons do not protect blues town could lose all blues town could lose 4 blues in two nights, whilst that is an extreme scenario the plan is over reliant on the channeller +demon help AND we might not even know if the channeller is killed. Doesn't this plan give scum more information than it gives to town because they will know some of the fakers for certain? the more honest town is the better off the angels are. the less honest town is the less information town has but the better off they are in terms of living blues. it potentially put angels in a good position and demons in a manageable decision whilst it could put town in an okay-really bad position ... bad plan perhaps it can be adjusted but i think that currently it would do far more harm than good. | ||
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does RoL typically suggest plans and does anybody have links to previous ones? I spent ages in risk.nukes filters yesterday and i don't have the time to do more today. | ||
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Suggesting plans, including weird lynching strategies, is a null tell unless the plan in question is very pro town or otherwise demonstrates a pro town mindset. It can change from null to something else depending on who is saying it. If it's a player who isn't known for great scum play and wouldn't assume that majority of players to react in the same way I did (i.e. thinking that suggesting dumb plans is often towny), then it's probably slightly townly. If for instance someone is known for always coming up with plans and is smart, and then suggests a rather weak plan, it could be suspicious as then it seems like he is suggesting a plan only because he is known for doing that as town. I don't think I can generalize it better than that, and as I said I'm not reading the plan or your analysis of the plan. If you aren't sure, it's better to treat it as a null tell. I also think that Jackal, HoD and Cwave need to be looked at based on their roles in the lynching | ||
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I think it would be helpful if players would vote, then announce that vote in the thread and attach the zbot vote count at that time to the post, (with their vote in it). That way we can look back only events clearly and actually analyse it. However this might lead to or force corrupted town to reveals themselves, which they might not wish to do and which might not be in town's best interests. I suggest that every every 3 votes somebody should attach the vote count at that time (possibly in a spoiler), so that we can look back and have a clear picture of what happened. @at everyone Do you agree? Should we have a different interval?(for instance 5 votes or every 12 hours) | ||
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I may have stayed up late last night but there isn't a chance of me doing it tonight so i would like to hear thoughts soon. If nobody responds or they do respond but we cannot improve the plan i want it known that i oppose it. | ||
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On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Well.. i made a slight error here (RoL had said he would vote for erandor here but he never voted) -HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935 Erandor had four votes when HoD voted: Grackaroni, Blazinghand, Tyrran and Cwave Risk.nuke had 6 votes:syllogism, Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr, @HoD your primary reasoning was to that to avoid a no-lynch you would vote for Erandorr because you were "fine with lynching him" in light of all of the pressure of risk.nuke why didn't you comment on it? if you wanted to avoid the no-lynch why did you vote Erandorr rather than voting for risk, who had the most votes? | ||
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On November 17 2011 01:24 risk.nuke wrote: ##Vote Forumite I'm not okey with you not responding to a direct vote against you. assertive vote for a clear reason On November 17 2011 02:21 risk.nuke wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 01:36 Forumite wrote: On November 17 2011 01:24 risk.nuke wrote: ##Vote Forumite I'm not okey with you not responding to a direct vote against you. Please clarify, do you agree with the other votes and vote for that reason, or do you think me not responding is the scummy part? Neither and both. You're FoSing two people on nothing. And then there is a similar thing on Sabini. Add to that letting the vote on you slip by without a hint of defense from your side. I don't know what you are doing but it is not pro-town play and that is why I vote for you. attacks Forumite for a reason On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote: Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town. ##Vote Kenpachi throws around his vote On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote: On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote: Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town. ##Vote Kenpachi perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him? If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum. If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy. If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment. If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum. I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment. gives some reasoning On November 17 2011 08:40 risk.nuke wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 08:31 sinani206 wrote: scumbuddies ##Vote: Lanaia ##Vote: Kenpachi ##Vote: Sinani206 makes his second vote because of sinani's vote (kenpachi and sinani got lynched and both flipped blue, risk was town) So i actually this compared to this game risk nuke was aggressiv in attacking players even if he was relatively inactive. So your meta reason is bollocks | ||
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On January 09 2012 05:29 Spaackle wrote: @RofL While I agree that we need a plan for day 2, yours is not the one I would go with. Mass claiming like that will only paint a target on our blues for the scumteams. We'll lose our blue powers so fast that we'll get almost no use out of them, and where will we be then? @risk Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 04:50 risk.nuke wrote: On January 09 2012 04:32 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:18 Dirkzor wrote: On January 09 2012 04:06 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:01 Palmar wrote: yeah, this needs to be done now, or not. I'd rather go with not. This is palmar scum claiming. He has been trolling for a while now but this is as close at is gets If I had written that would you take that as scum claiming? No, but you aren't a player who I talk extensively about the game, in and out of the game. It's extremely unlikely that he would say that as town and I'm pretty sure that when he wrote that he knew very well how it would look like to me; he has by this point realized that there is little he can do to avoid being lynched so might as well have some fun. Imo a town Palmar would respond to that with a pretty huge post declaring why the plan is dumb alternativly if he approved of the plan he would write additional thoughts or/and reason further why it is a good plan. I thought you hated meta arguments? He doesn't hate them he just ignores meta arguments against himself by default! He is still allowed to use them you just can't use them against him, why can't you understand that? Also don't try to hold other players up to standards. | ||
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Eventually he became aggressive, but he wasn't right off the bat. If my meta reason is bollocks, then what, did I magically post that in a prior game to cover my ass in this one? Don't be dense. Your reasoning this game fir him being not scummy is that: In a previous game you felt he wasn't being aggressive at a certain point during day1 and that this might have made him scummy. He turned out to be town. In this game at a point near the end of day 1 risk nuke hadn't been aggressive and conclude that he isn't scummy, or completely dismiss the difference in play style. There is a difference in his play style and it was apparent when you voted. In this game he had had an awful lot longer to be aggressive but he wasn't (and still hasn't been). This means that actually his meta was different There were numerous other reasons that had been pointed out which you completely disregarded. Also, if you were in this game, you would know that this is his vote being "thrown around" is the farthest thing from the truth. By "throw around" i mean used for pressure. In that game he was exercising he voting power and using it to get reactions out of people, in this game he hopped on erandor at the brink to save himself. | ||
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On January 09 2012 05:44 Jackal58 wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 05:02 Dirkzor wrote: Oh I love your cases Jackal. Oh well thought out and in depth they are. /Sarcasm end It doesn't take a 3000 word essay to point out the obvious. /No sarcasm. What if the person you are talking to is incapable of noticing the obvious? | ||
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It doesn't take a 3000 word essay to point out the obvious. my comment was really only about that point but thanks for actually writing something! | ||
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No mafia has the opportunity to claim a blue role without instantly getting caught and killed. There is a counter claim, we will figure it out, and the scum faction loses a player and all we lose is 1 confirmed townie and a voting block in the worst case scenario for us, but regardless they lose the mafia. can you explain the logistics of this? Why wouldn't the scum team know who there own player is? That's like my mom not knowing who I am when shes sober. The latter half is just asusmign the townies and blues are being dicks and lying when its incredibly anti-town to do. the point is that scum can trade a player they don't think will survive long to for all blue to reveal themselves. The angelic observers power is to help figure out blues (+demons) and getting all four blues might not be acheivable in normal play so there is potential gain there for angels.For demons they could probably waste the concealer and then know for certain who the demon hunter and sage are. If either team does this the other team can reap the benefits without the cost. How many blues do you expect to still be alive night 3 and how many scum? | ||
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claiming any scum except for the AoD or acolyte claim channeller real channeller claims channeller real channeller cannot be protected by anyone other than the transporter or the twister at night but they don't protect day2 case 1 we lynch real channeller demons conceal night 2 angels kill 1 or 2 blues demons corrupt we have 1 blue left + 1 fake blue left case2 we lynch fake channeller demons conceal night 2 angels still get at least 1 kill possibly 2 demons corrupt a player day 3 We would not be able to accurately figure out which happened so we lynch the other claimed player Angels can now kill remaining 2 blues or 1 blue +acolyte on another target if they killed 2 blues Wouldn't this be not only extremely feasible for scum to do but also completely fuck town? | ||
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Day3 2 players for scumteam 3 player other scumteam (if the demon hunter does well for us maybe 2 on each or 1 / 3) 0 blues alive 7 vanilla alive 6 vanilla alive (if angels get two night kills) 5 vanilla alive (if angels get 2 night kills and demonhunter hits town + 1 corupted townie or no corrupted townie. which could be lylo? (if i am right) | ||
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i beleive i have accounted for nearly all of the uncertainty how would you have us believe a demon or observer claiming channeller would play out if scum take those actions? | ||
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Syllo and HoD sent to purgatory palmar tageted Syllo/Hod channeller targeted the other HoD/Syllo Palmar flipped scum Demon Hunter attacked him Acolyte missed (they picked a vannilla; picked wrong role; the target was twisted or sent to purgatory; or they picked correctly and target was twisted or sent to Purgatory.) this seems likely. OR Acolyte picked demon on palmar and slayed him and demon hunter missed but didn't hit town (they picked a target in purgatory or was sent there or picked an angel or didn't attack) No AoD kill: either the AoD was sent to purgatory and is syllo or HoD. -likely OR the AoD targeted a player sent to purgatory (either syllo or HoD). -likely OR the AoD targeted a player that was twisted. -less likely OR didnt send a kill. -makes no sense To me it seems most likely that syllo or HoD is the angel of death but with only the channeller and likeliness of neither being the angel of death it seems very dangerous to assume that one of them is. +I can (99%) confirm that i sent my vote before refallen last night so when he wrote "done" he was lying about his vote at the last minute + Show Spoiler + Original Message From Zona: The list of votes (and unvotes) on the same target are in the order that ZBot received them, even in the same refresh cycle. Suppose "Player A" voted on Zona at 10:07, and "Player B" voted on Zona at 10:09, and ZBot refreshed at 10:05 and 10:10. 10:05 would show no votes 10:10 would show Zona (2): Player A, Player B I have in the past, tried to determine for myself whether or not TL consistently lists pms sent during the same minute in the order that they were sent and vaguely remember an incident in which TL did not, but even if I am remembering correctly, this rarely happens. Show nested quote + Original Message From layabout: How does zbot handle mutiple votes for the same target sent in the same refresh cycle? In what order does it receive them? (does it sort by time sent, alphabetically, asccending or decending etc..?) I know you have answered something similar but it still seems unclear exactly how it would work in practice. If for instance someone named "Player A" sent a vote at 10:07 and "Player B" sent a vote at 10:09 for the same person which would appear first? I have asked Zona what would happen if the demon hunter and AoD picked the same target too. | ||
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risk.nuke Refallen Tyrran Dirkzor RoL Jackal? (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) | ||
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@cwave what are your thoughts on the game so far? who do you think we should be lynching? | ||
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On January 10 2012 03:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Why I think I was put in purgatory: I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts: + Show Spoiler + Detailed understanding of the role: On January 04 2012 17:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote: Game on! This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway... I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills. Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful. What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter. Demon Hunter: Twister: Doesn't make any mention of attack (nor of sense). Demon hunter should be good to go on any twisted demons. First to point out that the demon hunter is also effective vs angels: On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Some things to think about: If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well. The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel. The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that. On Bluelightz: I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about. Unfortunately for the demons, and fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face. (Yes, it is possible that it was the acolyte, but why would the angels kill someone they could get lynched when lynching is the only way for us to kill the angels?) Gloating and WIFOM in the same post? scummy? | ||
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How does it help town? I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts: You connect the idea of you being sent to purgatory* with the idea that your posting caused the demons to think that you were the demon hunter. You present the idea of your posts being responsible for the angels banishing you because you have made them think that you were the demonhunter. From this it would easily be infered that you posted TO make them think you were they demon hunter. You then say fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face To me this seems like gloating because you associate the demons thinking that you were the demon hunter (which is WIFOM and total speculation) with a demon being lynchedI don't see how this helps town but i do see how you associate your posting at the start of the game and a demon flipping and how this tries to put you in a better light despite the fact that your decisions about how to behave were almost certainly not made with that goal in mind and if they were the actual chance of them acheiving the result of a dead demon is next to none. That is why i see it as gloating. Speculation about scum motivation and scum goals when they commit actions that will be subject to scrutiny is what part of your post is and is almost the perfect example of WIFOM. *which could have been because either the channeller though you were a town asset to protect or a demon or angel to roleblock OR the demons felt that you were a blue or an angel OR you were targeted by one of the two because they felt night actions would land on you and they wished to roleblock those targerting you OR they may have simply wanted increase attention on you. There is a plethora of reasons that could be the case and without addition information we cannot rule many out. If the demons send a player to purgatory they know towwn will find out and this will impact their decision making. | ||
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The post serves to help clarify the situation and give town some potentially useful information, clarity and information are both valuable to town. Ideally it also lowers suspicion on myself, which seeing as I know I am town, is also good for town. Also, as I said, it is NOT WIFOM if the goal is to roleblock. Not doing it doesn't roleblock me, it isn't like if I was the demon hunter I'd go "better not send in a night action in case I get roleblocked!" Roleblocking stops someone from using their role if roleblock them, and doesn't if you don't do it. WIFOM is they killed x, he was suspicious of y! Does that mean y is scum, or they want us to think y is scum? Yes, it is possible they wanted to increase suspicion on me as well, and that part is subject to WIFOM'ing. (They wanted to make me more suspicious, so that actually makes me less suspicious, but they would know that so it is more suspicious....etc etc etc) You haven't said what the "potentially useful information is" yet you say that you have given it and that it was valuable to town. You don't know what the goal is! You can'teven know for certain who palmar transported (unless you are a demon and he told you or you are the channeller). I suggest that the whole thing is subject to WIFOM-ing. It is called "Why i think i was put in Purgatory", what exactly can you follow that up with that is wifom!! Wifom is also: did Palmar tansported HoD? why? Does that mean HoD is scum with him? Did Palmar think he was the other scumteam? Did Palmar wish to increase suspicion? since your post provides answers to those questions and attempts to explain them then yes it is WIFOM. It isn't helpful. | ||
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I really do not like the ##Vote Cwave, AHA i got you cwave! ##Unvote play +you weren't on my Likey town list anyway +what kind of respectable townie doesn't know monty python? Not sure if i have time to come up with a detailed case today particularly as it's only the start of day2, and there are better candidates. (thats means you risk.nuke) | ||
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On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote: Suspicious bastards: risk.nuke If you do not know why he is here then you aren't reading the thread Refallen Some found him scummy day1 but the lie about voting erandorr is one of the most anti-town acts thusfar Tyrran Not posted a whole lot, persistently called scum but has done nothing to help town nor suggest townie. Dirkzor I literally just wrote why (he is a fairly new addition) RoL For suggesting a plan that could easily have caused lylo day 4 with no blues and his actions around lynch-time. Jackal? His actions around lynch time and lack of justification and lack of willingness to discuss. (least scummy) (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) If you had been reading the thread the least obvious would have been Tyrran because i haven't really talked about him up until this point. The others i feel i have already justified in a way that makes your questioning redundant. | ||
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Do you agree/disagree? Think it is good/bad? Think it does/doesn't need changes? Since there have been some votes already i am going to start off by noting this: Current Vote Count: + Show Spoiler + On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 2 Lynch. With 16 alive, 9 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: Dirkzor (1): Jackal58 risk.nuke (1): Cwave (0): The Day 2 deadline is at January 12 2012 10:00 KST. (That's approximately 2 days, 5:04:51 from now.) | ||
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If you wanted me to provide 100% of my reasoning then you should have asked that. Care to anything about it? I had said enough previously for your vague question of "care to anything about it" to be redundant. Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler. You call it empty useless filler. Your posting today has been empty useless filler. Unless you have anything valid and worthy of my attention to say to me then I am going to ignore you for as long as I feel like/ | ||
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from http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13054091 Why would you make chaos on purpose to switch from a guy that you find scummy to a guy you find more scummy? Asks a question that answers itself.(you want to lynch the most scummy player)On January 08 2012 21:46 syllogism wrote: Here is an explanation about why what you suggested in in the post is very unlikely.Hello Dirkzor. Are you scum or just stupid? Do you realize that I'm the one who started the risk wagon and pretty much the reason he was sitting at 9 votes (-1 hammer) for something like several hours? Do you think my plan was to bus my team mate for the whole day, wait until he was almost lynched and then do a last minute switch to someone else? Remember, anyone could have hammered him at any point before the switch. How likely do you think it is for scum to bus a team mate in a setup like this? What was the motivation? On January 08 2012 21:55 Dirkzor wrote: Call yourself stupid.People less likely to listen to you. Harder for you to persuade people when you are right.I might be stupid... but with a 2 team setup they could both _not_ be on your team. I can just not find any real reason for you to switch unless risk's defence convinced you or Erandorr did something to enhance his case. Neither of which happened. I realized you have pointed towards risk the whole day and criticized his first post. It only enhanced my question: Why the change? Whilst it was strange that syllo changed if you think that syllo thought he was more scummy then you already had the answer. Here: On January 09 2012 04:45 Dirkzor wrote: See, all i have is your word for it. But i guess we can lynch him and if he flips town we lynch you... Then: On January 09 2012 07:06 Dirkzor wrote: I don't like his last few posts. I just feel that either syllo, palmar or jackal are scum. (or 2 of the 3) on the account on how they interact. But I'm way to tired now to try to figure out who. Logic of, if Player X is town then Player Y and Z are scum because of how they interact, is bad. Given that town generally don't know the alignment of players they interact with and scum can choose how they interact with players they also know are scum, they can deliberately behave in such as way as to make you think that they cannot both be scum. So it is dangerous to make inferences of the kind, well if x flips <something> then y must be <something>. It can lead to falsely beleving scum are near confirmed town or lynching two townies. Here: On January 09 2012 20:32 Dirkzor wrote: I don't think Risk is a bad lynch target. But I wouldn't mind hitting Cwave. Then: On January 09 2012 20:37 Dirkzor wrote: Actually: ##Vote Cwave Either he is scum with palmar or he is a townie with a bad read (on me). Then: On January 10 2012 03:30 Dirkzor wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 11:36 Jackal58 wrote: On January 09 2012 11:30 Grackaroni wrote: Yeah I wouldn't put too much importance on Palmar's list there spaackle. Also I'm going to assume that Palmar was the person that put you in purgatory HoD. It just makes more sense for the Channeler to protect syllo. It makes more sense for Palmar to protect a teammate than to try to block a blue. I think Palmar sent Syllo to purgatory. You still think syllo is on palmars team? If yes, so you think I'm on that team aswell? Because thats a crap theory. You just think i'm palmars scumbuddy because he called me town several times the first day - or? I don't want to lynch Cwave. I wanted him to think for himself! + Show Spoiler + On January 08 2012 22:02 Dirkzor wrote: I'm looking through Cwave's filter. He looks fishy. Not only for saying he thinks i'm scum several times with the only reasoning is a weak ass "case" about my first post and because It found a difference in the OP and Zbot vote count post. But more so because he havent said anything else the entire first day. He have spend the entire day 1 pointing out the obvious: RoL arent posting, Jackal have done nothing but hate palmar (But i must admit i found his post on Jackal amusing =)) He haven't taken a stance on anything and voted Erandorr with the reason that he is lurking. I'll keep an eye on him... It was a pure pressure vote and it worked. Also i noted that Tyrran came after me. Totally justified since all I did was voting for Cwave with no real reason. But having in mind that he knows he is already under suspicion he wants to find another target. Lastly I want to look at this post: + Show Spoiler + On January 09 2012 21:16 Refallen wrote: Well I decided to take a look at Cwave since Dirk is voting for him. Cwave Show nested quote + We also have a seer who in my opinion has the most important power of the game, namely the identification of angels! As of such, please don't roleclaim for now as mentioned in the pre-game discussion for with 3 factions in this game, 2 factions will instantly try to kill you. Ok, weird role to choose the most important power of. Unless you're a demon. Show nested quote + I think this is a good hypothetical question to answer. One everyone should answer! Dikrzor for me at the moment. For you Palmar & Syllo, who would you pop right now if you had to? Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 05:17 Palmar wrote: I don't have all night risk.nuke Cwave, what do you think about risk? Do you think his plan was reasonable? What plan do you mean? On January 06 2012 12:45 risk.nuke wrote: I don't want to lynch palmar because first of all he is Palmar and secondly he seems to be missing. Why should we lynch the (imo) best player in the game in a 2 mafia team setup day 1. Not too bad of a plan since you do tend to create good ripples in the water. And with ripples comes information. Or this one? Buddying with Palmar, possible scumbuddies? The exchange about risk.nuke and his plan sounds especially contrived. Show nested quote + @ Risknuke. 6 voted on you at the moment and it seems 5 people haven't voted yet, including myself. Other then your defense that you "got annoyed with meta in the face", any reason i shouldn't vote you? Seems such a waste to hang someone like you for information as suggested by other people in here. While i await your asnwer im parking my vote on Erandorr. Main reason is this post which puts Erandorr along side RoL for me in terms of bad/useless. ##VOTE: Erandorr Not wanting to vote risk.nuke? I'm going to say that if we lynch risk.nuke and he flips demon, Cwave is most probably the last one. The first point he makes is the exact same one i made earlier. How is asking and answering Palmars question buddying up to him? I fail to see that. And the part about risk's plan Refallen actually cut the end of the post from Cwave where he answered the question from Palmar. Palmar never clarified which plan he was talking about - it was kinda obvious what he meant but it could also easily be misunderstood if cwave just went through risk's filter looking for a plan. Last Refallen conclude that if Risk is demon Cwave must be too. While it is possible that palmar was bussing risk I find it unlikely. So Refallen is just trying to jump an easy wagon? His case just seemed forced as if he wanted Cwave to appear scummy because I already voted for him. Either way I'm unvoting Cwave. That vote did what was intended. Should be obvious. You vote to lynch. You Lynch to kill scum. Otherwise don't vote. (cough cough BH) Bad/anti town play | ||
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If he believes his plan is bad for town, then it follows that it is scummy. | ||
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can one of you comment on/explain how we should react to RoL + his plan to BH? i have to go. | ||
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quote is syllo what is important is how RoL expects/ want the plan to impact the game. we don't know this so we have to use what he says to decide what we think his aim was and whether that is scummy null or pro town. It is more than I see RoL's plan as anti-town therefore RoL is scum. | ||
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Blazinghand, 10 votes just wrote FoS! | ||
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I am going to wait until closer to the deadline before i vote. I dislike the reasons given for lynching RoL. Now I need to go do some work. | ||
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On January 10 2012 08:55 Mr. Wiggles wrote: Wow, Blazinghand, you beat me to it. (Also sorry for not being around, University just started back up) I was basically going to post something like: Show nested quote + RoL:
Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 08:29 layabout wrote: Essentially, If he believes his plan is good for town then regardless of whether it is good or bad it is not scummy to suggest the plan. If he believes his plan is bad for town, then it follows that it is scummy. This is a very weak criticism, as RoL will always say that he thought his plan was good for town, especially if he is scum. What you're saying only holds under the assumption he is town, and we can all know he is town, which we obviously don't. Pushing a bad plan doesn't automatically make you scum, but you have to look at the plan, the player, and how they're pushing it. There's also the difference between a bad plan, and an anti-town plan. A bad plan just won't work, an anti-town plan will hurt the town. I like the way you criticise a simplification of my point and then say my point in another form. I never said we ask him, so that is not a valid criticism of my criticism. If we want to analyse the plan we need to do the following: We need to look a the player and look at what he is saying. We need to make a judgements on:
we can also look at possible motivations for suggesting the plan, and how these might change with different alignments etc... We have to look at a lot of different things in order to decide upon whether his plan makes him more likely to be scum. jumping from Is active during the night, pushing a plan that is arguably anti-town to ##Vote: RebirthOfLeGenD is logically unsound. What is more important is whether RoL beleived it was anti-town when he suggested it (if he didn't then it is null). If you think he did believe it was anti-town we then have to look at his actions more closely to find evidence to support that ideas and ways in which RoL tries to push an anti-town plan. The judgements that i have made about his plan (i haven't shared them) have lead me to the conclusion that is is not scummy. +i might post about risk later or tomorrow if i feel like it | ||
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On January 11 2012 02:22 Dirkzor wrote: FUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUCK I had a really long post about RoL, Tyrran and Risk, then i closed the tab it was in on mistake =/. I don't want to write it again now. The short version. RoL is a bad lynch, Risk is a good lynch, Tyrran is the best lynch. I'm going to eat now and then i'll try to rewrite it. @Lay want me to answer your antitown behaviour case? Just seems like we moved on to someelse and an answer to that would disrupt this discussion. I will if you, or others, want me to. No i only pointed it out because you asked. | ||
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On January 10 2012 19:48 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 19:45 Refallen wrote: And the alignment of the people on the wagon plays no part in how likely someone is about to point out scum mirite? Also, if you're still on that hidden vote thing, I derped, I said it, I stopped doing it. You don't know the alignment of the people on the wagon either; but here's the thing-- if RoL is scum, I don't give a dick about who agrees with me or not. Maybe he's the 2nd demon and angels are trying to wipe the demons quick. Maybe he's an angel and the two demons are trying to get back into the game. Or maybe all that matters is my analysis is spot-on, he's definitely scum, and he still hasn't come here to defend himself. If you have a problem with my analysis, say it. If not, get out of my way. "It" | ||
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On January 11 2012 04:08 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 04:03 Dirkzor wrote: We can discuss other things then the actual lynch target. RoL's allignment seems in question at the moment. There's no question he's obvious scum Your analysis sucks balls | ||
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You also have not sufficiently shown how his plan is anti town. Before RoL suggested his plan I: -Was suspicious of him for not doing anything to help day 1 -.and i felt that his "voting mistake" and support of the erandor lynch after it had been decided were not things that were in his favour. -I was enjoying the game and i did not really wish to adapt a plan that could radically change the way the game was playing out, in a negative way. The first time I read though -I did not have a particularly open mind when i read through his post. -I thought it would take the fun out of the setup -I thought it was a bad plan and that it was anti-town and that by trying to push it RoL was trying to mislead and hurt town. -I immediately began to criticise it and voiced my initial concerns -I also thought back to the things syllogism said to me when he was my coach in sudent mafia (i posted the relevant bit) When i joined that game a lot had happened. I caught one scum and i was trying to find the other. My mindset was very much a case of, he has said X in this post this specific thing could be scummy IF... . I was looking for small things and trying to make them scummy rather than taking an objective approach and using processes such as elimination or trying to look at general behavioural patterns. I had a hard time discriminating between bad, anti-town and scummy Syllogisms responses essentially changed my approach I had been looking for reasons that would people scum, i was forcing my analysis. But then i realised that Tunkeg's proposing his anti-town plan was not a scummy action and his subsequent behaviour seemed green. I then turned my full attention back to xtfftc and velinath and BH voted him with me and BL the goon surrendered and we won and there was hip hop. -I decided to reread, ask for an instance of RoL suggesting a plan in the past, i tried to ask more pertinent questions and i looked closely at what RoL was saying in response to the thread. -I became increasingly convinced that the plan might work and that it could actually have a good outcome. -Then as i was brushing my teeth, i thought of a way for scum to "break" the plan -I tried to articulate this and posted it. -I also do not believe that RoL has acted in a way that is scummy, based on what i have read. So, i opposed it at first, I tried to look at his posts from an objective standpoint, it made more sense, i thought of a criticism that was strong and made it. I feel like you had made your mind up before you began to analyse what RoL was doing and that you did not really explore his plan or his actions enough to conclude that he is scum. You definately have not done enough to justify | ||
layabout
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mind explaining to me why you hammered the lynch 10+ hours early? | ||
layabout
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+this game was the first time i had been around at lynch time so i am pissed that i missed it. My other concern is that night appears to be bad for scum-hunting. | ||
layabout
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On January 12 2012 02:08 Jackal58 wrote: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 01:25 syllogism wrote: Because he was going to be lynched anyway and it appears that the night is accordingly longer? Considering that I personally would have liked to hammer yesterday, I wouldn't read too much into that. Jackal's tone however seems off though. Specifically his random apology. Did he apologize to erandorr yesterday? No. Does he ever apologize when lynching someone? I doubt it. Ya I believe I have apologized for being impulsive before. And wrong. And no I didn't apologize to Erandorr because Erandorr was max derp. If it makes you feel better next time I vote for somebody I'll post DIE MOTHERFUCKER along with it. Why did risk.nuke deserve an apology from you? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 11 2012 08:16 Jackal58 wrote: I'd assume risk.nuke since his vote is on him. I'm leaving my vote on diz for the moment because he is apparently not going to get hammered anytime soon. Also because he's scum. We have 5 scum left. More than enough to kill either risk or RoL atm. As that hasn't happened yet it's possible we have 1 from each team hanging there. I'm leaving for the evening so please refrain from doing anything stupid for the next couple of hours. Like a massive vote switch. Unless you all want to switch to diz cause like he is scum and all. On January 11 2012 23:45 Jackal58 wrote: Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 23:06 Dirkzor wrote: On January 11 2012 21:30 Cwave wrote: + Show Spoiler + Vote count for the Day 2 Lynch. With 16 alive, 9 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: risk.nuke (7): Bluelightz, Refallen, -Bluelightz, syllogism, Bluelightz, Zephirdd, RebirthOfLeGenD, Grackaroni, Blazinghand RebirthOfLeGenD (2): Blazinghand, Mr. Wiggles, Zephirdd, Spaackle, Cwave, -Zephirdd, -Spaackle, -Blazinghand Tyrran (1): HarbingerOfDoom Dirkzor (1): Jackal58 Cwave (0): Dirkzor, -Dirkzor The Day 2 deadline is at January 12 2012 10:00 KST. (That's approximately 12:44:13 from now.)Last edit: 2012-01-11 21:15:47 No votes as of yet from Dirkzor layabout Tyrran Layabout made it clear he wants to vote on Risk, how about Dirkzor/Tyrran? Who is your best lynch target as of today? You stopped reading the thread? Maybe go re-read... Seems like i forgot to vote when i last posted. ##Vote tyrran I will come back before deadline and hammer Risk if needed but I still feel that Tyrran is a better lynch. You are best lynch. But I'm not going to hold my breath. Let's see if there is a reason for voting for somebody nobody else is interested in voting today. ##Vote: risk.nuke. If you flip town risk I am sorry. And now I await everybody telling me how scummy I am for hammering you. ![]() Was that the full extent of your reasoning for hammering risk? | ||
layabout
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I will not post much post tomorrow because of IRL stuff. | ||
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layabout
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and everyone else what's with the inactivity? | ||
layabout
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Make actual arguments and criticsms. Realise that you will not be right all of the time. Stop the tunnelling. Grow a pair. | ||
layabout
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On January 13 2012 03:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive.His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). What in the fuck? | ||
layabout
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after this post + Show Spoiler + On January 13 2012 02:56 syllogism wrote: I can't believe I somehow had missed this Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 15:05 Blazinghand wrote: On January 10 2012 15:04 syllogism wrote: Hello Tyrran is Risk still a null read to you and why? What do you think about these posts? Syllogism, there are two days left why woudl I commit to lynching this soon. I took the topics of the time and wrote my thoughts on them. Then I wanted to see who would comment on it further, what they would say, who would push for their lynch etc. What the hell are you doing? commenting on how useless I am when you don't know my agenda which you just ruined because you didn't think it through. Or were you planning on pushing for my lynch today. Cause if you weren't there is nothing pro-town about calling me out. I'm town and you're forcing me to reveal what I wanted to do. If I had been scum you would had just tipped me off instead of saving it for a case you would write against me. So syllogism I don't like having meta thrown in my face. First of all nobody likes having meta thrown in thier face because it's not really something you can defend yourself against. But there are different sorts of meta. There are meta of people who have played alot of games who's meta can be very clear (erandorr). Then there is meta of people who have played games as both mafia and town. Then there is meta against me who have only played as town. I mean I've had people calling me out on meta in all of my games exept 1 or 2 and I've always been town including this time so I'm getting a bit sick of it. Both of those guys are also scum so it's not really useful to talk to them Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 15:15 Blazinghand wrote: I think risk is scum and I need to read tyrran's filter So first you called them both scum and then 10 minutes later you have to read Tyrran's filter to answer. You never posted your thoughts on Tyrran after that. You have done absolutely nothing in the last few days. I'd read the rest of your filter but it's a bit too taunting to bother right now, but just the above peculiarity is starting to make me wonder if your scum play too resembles that of WBGs. On January 13 2012 03:24 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 02:56 syllogism wrote: I can't believe I somehow had missed this On January 10 2012 15:05 Blazinghand wrote: On January 10 2012 15:04 syllogism wrote: Hello Tyrran is Risk still a null read to you and why? What do you think about these posts? Syllogism, there are two days left why woudl I commit to lynching this soon. I took the topics of the time and wrote my thoughts on them. Then I wanted to see who would comment on it further, what they would say, who would push for their lynch etc. What the hell are you doing? commenting on how useless I am when you don't know my agenda which you just ruined because you didn't think it through. Or were you planning on pushing for my lynch today. Cause if you weren't there is nothing pro-town about calling me out. I'm town and you're forcing me to reveal what I wanted to do. If I had been scum you would had just tipped me off instead of saving it for a case you would write against me. So syllogism I don't like having meta thrown in my face. First of all nobody likes having meta thrown in thier face because it's not really something you can defend yourself against. But there are different sorts of meta. There are meta of people who have played alot of games who's meta can be very clear (erandorr). Then there is meta of people who have played games as both mafia and town. Then there is meta against me who have only played as town. I mean I've had people calling me out on meta in all of my games exept 1 or 2 and I've always been town including this time so I'm getting a bit sick of it. Both of those guys are also scum so it's not really useful to talk to them On January 10 2012 15:15 Blazinghand wrote: I think risk is scum and I need to read tyrran's filter So first you called them both scum and then 10 minutes later you have to read Tyrran's filter to answer. You never posted your thoughts on Tyrran after that. You have done absolutely nothing in the last few days. I'd read the rest of your filter but it's a bit too taunting to bother right now, but just the above peculiarity is starting to make me wonder if your scum play too resembles that of WBGs. I didn't say i was gonna read tyrran's filter, just that i need to if I want to make a read. And honestly, I haven't read tyrran's filter, and when I feel like it, I'll make a read on him. At the moment, though, that's completely non-relevant to my interests. You know why? Because I've already got a target that I'm 100% sure is scum, and I will push him until he gets lynched. That's all that matters now. I literally don't give a dick about what other people are because at the moment we need to kill RoL. He's obvious scum and the fact that people are unwilling to lynch him despite the fact that he's literally done nothing useful all game is disheartening at best. On January 13 2012 03:24 Blazinghand wrote: Also tyrran is probs scum On January 13 2012 03:27 syllogism wrote: Oh another instant delurker. Your case is incredibly bad whether RoL is scum or not and thus it's extremely difficult to believe your confidence is genuine On January 13 2012 03:28 Blazinghand wrote: Also if you have a case to make against me, read my filter and make it. If I'm scum, you need to put together a comprehensive case. My filter is large, but that shouldn't be daunting-- there should be a plethora of evidence for you to find. Also my filter isn't THAT large. Don't half-ass it. Make your case, if you really think it exists. If you don't, you're either a lazy worthless town or a scum player stirring shit. #ComeAtMeBro On January 13 2012 03:29 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 03:27 syllogism wrote: Oh another instant delurker. Your case is incredibly bad whether RoL is scum or not and thus it's extremely difficult to believe your confidence is genuine Are you kidding me? No, you're just not reading it. RoL's plan is bad. If he believed in his plan, he'd be pushing it right now! THINK ABOUT IT. The plan applies as long as no masked flips have happened yet, now on N2 is our last chance to implement it. He's obvious scum pushing a shitty plan to get a couple VT claims. God, it's like you don't even bother making reads. Or like you're his scumbuddy. On January 13 2012 03:30 syllogism wrote: You hadn't read tyrran's filter, but you called him scum. You still haven't read his filter, but you call him scum. On January 13 2012 03:30 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 03:30 syllogism wrote: You hadn't read tyrran's filter, but you called him scum. You still haven't read his filter, but you call him scum. ??? No response to my questions I see, just dodging. On January 13 2012 03:31 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 03:30 syllogism wrote: You hadn't read tyrran's filter, but you called him scum. You still haven't read his filter, but you call him scum. "hi my name is syllogism and I'm trying to make a case against blazinghand, but because I'm scum I won't actually make one, and instead just say random stuff" <--- this is you, syllogism On January 13 2012 03:34 Blazinghand wrote: yeah dont got nothing to say to that do ya On January 13 2012 03:39 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 03:38 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Syllo Based on what I have seen of his play/thoughts on other games, I think Blazinghand may genuinely believe his case on RoL is good. IT DOESN'T MATTER WHAT I BELIEVE. What matters is that it *IS* objectively a good case. God what is iit with you people and belief Look RoL obviously scum, why isnt' he pushing his plan RIGHT NOW. WHY ISN'T ROL PUSHING HIS PLAN RIGHT NOW THATS RIGHT HES SCUM AND ITS A SHITTY PLAN @Anybody that isn't Blazinghand What the flying fuck do you think Blazing hand is doing here? Do you think he makes any valid points at all? Do you see any questions that he has asked that syllogism is dodging? I will henceforth ignore Blazinghand | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 13 2012 04:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 03:41 layabout wrote: On January 13 2012 03:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive.What in the fuck? What? He said an angel hit on a townie was bad for demons, and that is absolutely false. If demons get down to that scenario, they lynch an angel, 2/3 chance they remove a potential kp and win automatically. Then 1/3 chance they get the observer, then angels need to get both hits through the twisting/sending to purgatory, so they need to hit the only 2 unprotected of the 4. So 1/18 total chance of angel win if it gets down to that scenario, and that is assuming they know which one is town out of the 4. Lower if they don't. So if angels hit nothing but town, which he claims is bad for demons, the demons will very likely win. Hell, even if they don't have a corrupted town left alive and it is a regular vt, town gets a minor victory by killing all angels, so it would be the same result anyway unless the townie decides to ignore that minor win condition. Why on earth do you base your decision of "does killing town benefit demons?" on an unrealistic (and in this game impossible) extreme scenario in which there are 3 demons 1 corrupted town and 2 angels left in the game? In order for them to make use of the corrupted town mechanic demons need to corrupt town players. They need these players to be alive to count towards their win condition. All three angels and the sage are immune to corruption. Plus the demons cannot corrupt themselves. The demons get 1 corruption every two nights. As it currently stands: there are 13 non-demons out of 15 players. 9/13 can be corrupted. 3 blues 6 vanillas. it is likely that several of these players will not still be alive by night 4 (the demons next corruption). Killing vanilla town weakens the power of corruption drastically. It reduces the number of players that can be corrupted increasing the chance of is missing. And it increases the proportion of blues and Angels in the player base which increases the chance that demons will be investigated or killed. Demons need to kill 2/4 blues and 3/3 angels and gain a majority with corruption, killing vanilla town is a bad lynch from the demons perspective only a demon or the seer flipping is worse for them. (the value of a channeller lynch for them could be argued either way as the channeller keeps players alive but could stop a corruption). | ||
layabout
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But just proving the point that demons don't mind townies being dead. You simply cannot use Prove in this context. You have not proven anything. DOES ANYBODY ACTUALLY POSSES THE ABILITY TO THINK! -no editing here- | ||
layabout
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...states: that the quantity of bullshit posted by a player is directly proportional to their percentage chance of bring a non-town aligned role" or P (Player X is scum ) is approximated by K x B ----------- B + N Where "K" is the coefficient of Bullshit, 0.7<K<1 K is dependent on the game set-up, a normal set-up has a Bullshit coefficient of 0.96 whilst a 4 faction game with Bullshit Vigilantes would have a K value of 0.701. And N is defined by (Player X's Total Number of posts after game start) minus (Player X's number of one liner posts that do not contain Bullshit or Content) "B" is "Player X's" Bullshit score What is a player's Bullshit score? A players bullshit score is calculated by adding up the players total number of bullshit points that they acquire: (a work in progress) A player states anything that isn't a fact as if it were a fact + 5 A player speculates without an apparent purpose + 5 A player votes without providing any reason + 5 A player promises analysis and then repeats what has already been said + 10 A player role claims without a good reason + 10 A player says they will not be online and then posts in another thread + 20 A player refers to a general or vague statement made earlier to prove that they always had their current opinion + 10 A player contradicts themselves +10 bonus + 5 if the contradictions are within 3 posts or an hour of each other + 5 if it is within the same post A player makes a summarising comment that does not relate to alignment and calls it "scum hunting" or "analysis" +5 Any logic that can be WIFOM-ed +10 A player write lots of words without drawing any substantially conclusions +5 A player writes a list of all of their reads +10 +5 if over half of them are "Null" or "Scum" A player does something and at the same time apologizes for doing it despite being in the act of doing it +10 A player comments on a post that he hasn't read +10 +5 if they criticise part of it +5 if in doing so they ignore the entire point/argument presented in said post 1/2 points are awarded if the content is implied + (that players percentage of the total posts amongst the living players where there are more than 8 players living divided by) (K^2) No single post can score more than 35 bullshit points. lets start by looking at bullshit scores in practice. Since this game has 3 teams and there should be no-strong reason for bullshiting the bullshit coefficient is = 0.84 Bluelightz Bullshit score: Total posts since game start: 60 one line content/bullshit-less posts: 25 side note: Bluelightz may in fact be a BOT programmed to announce its sleeping patterns publicly and ask people who they wish to lynch + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 04:54 Bluelightz wrote: Im about to sleep >.> but anyway i got like half an hour so do what you will! On January 05 2012 05:15 Bluelightz wrote: im gonna sleep now cya in a few/lots of hours On January 05 2012 11:42 Bluelightz wrote: Blast me with questions now im available again! ![]() On January 06 2012 01:07 Bluelightz wrote: Okay Palmar, I'm about to sleep.So, ask me what you want to ask now :3 On January 06 2012 09:39 Bluelightz wrote: Okay guys I'm back! Anyway, holy derp we have votes spread on 4 people ._. I'll be updating my reads on people and looking more closely at people On January 07 2012 00:38 Bluelightz wrote: Okay guys i'm going to sleep cya in the morning ![]() On January 07 2012 10:17 Bluelightz wrote: I'm awake now anyway will read thread. ![]() On January 08 2012 09:54 Bluelightz wrote: I was sleeping >.< >.< I tried to switch >_> <_< On January 09 2012 01:20 Bluelightz wrote: Im gonna sleep now gyus, also I want to notify you that the period's I will be available will be shorter because School! is starting ![]() On January 09 2012 18:39 Bluelightz wrote: Okay guys I'm back anyway, I'm LOLing so hard at Palmar's flip XD also, I'm very glad no townies died that night :> On January 10 2012 00:16 Bluelightz wrote: I'm gonna sleep now guys cya when I get back from school! :D On January 12 2012 00:01 Bluelightz wrote: Im gonna sleep now guys On January 12 2012 19:32 Bluelightz wrote: I'm back now! On January 13 2012 00:42 Bluelightz wrote: I'm gonna sleep now guys gonna make a case on someone when i get back from school On January 06 2012 13:01 Bluelightz wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 12:51 risk.nuke wrote: I'm not reading anything that long tonight, it's 5 am and I'm only up because sweden are fucking bosses at hockey!! Risk, who do you want to lynch? and why? On January 06 2012 13:09 Bluelightz wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 13:06 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Sorry, I had to finish up some business in the Responsibility game. Now that that is over this game gets my full attention. Who do you want to lynch? why? On January 10 2012 20:18 Bluelightz wrote: @risk Just this, who do you want to lynch and why? join the discussion! When you are available just post your thoughts.And now, I told everyone already that there would be difference on when I post. Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 01:20 Bluelightz wrote: Im gonna sleep now gyus, also I want to notify you that the period's I will be available will be shorter because School! is starting ![]() On January 09 2012 20:21 Bluelightz wrote: @Dirk who do you think is scum then?and why? On January 10 2012 21:03 Bluelightz wrote: Okay risk, i believe you for now. So, who do you want to lynch? why? On January 11 2012 23:53 Bluelightz wrote: ._. ![]() +10 Apology relevant to the game + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 21:36 Bluelightz wrote: Okay here's the continuation of my reads Errandor, Null: Lurking cannot determine alignment Grackaroni, Null: His posting contains his case against me and discussing about the lurkers in this game. HarbingerOfDoom, Null/Leaning Town: His posting contains discussion of strategy for town, Discussing LA-Lurkers Jackal58, Null: 2 posts since the start of the game cannot determine alignment. Layabout, Leaning Town: When I compare when Layabout was town in Student and if he is town here his posting style is much the same being aggressive and starting discussion Mr.Wiggles, Leaning Town: His posts while not alot has very good content. Palmar, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he starts discussion himself. RebirthOfLeGenD, Null: Lurking cannot determine alignment. Refallen, Null: His posts contain discussion about the lurkers,etc risk.nuke, Null: Has not posted alot syllogism, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he also shares his reads with others. Tyrran, Null: While lurking a little I can't determine his alignment xsksc, Null: Needs to start posting Zepphird, Null: His post's discuss about LA-Lurkers and strategy Okay I'm done if you have a question about my reads go for it ![]() Now, I have many town reads because this is day 1 and also people haven't posted much(including me) So, here it is! +10 +5 list of reads, all null + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 12:09 Bluelightz wrote: Updated list of reads: Blazinghand, Leaning Town: From the way he is posting I assume that he is Town Cwave, Null: His post's contain pressure to Dirkzor discussion about strategy Dirkzor, Null: When comparing his post's from Mr.Wiggles Mini and Here he acts differently, In Mr.Wiggles Mini he analyzes other people's post, etc that is town Dirk. But here, he discusses Strategy,etc but this is a new/ diffrent setup Errandor, Null: Lurking he has not contributed in any way so i cannot determine his alignment Grackaroni, Null: His posting contains his case against me.discussing about the lurkers in this game. and responding to accusations by HoD HarbingerOfDoom, Null/Leaning Town: His posting contains discussion of strategy for town, Discussing LA-Lurkers Jackal58, Null: He votes for Palmar because of meta. Layabout, Leaning Town: When I compare when Layabout was town in Student and if he is town here his posting style is much the same being aggressive and starting discussion Mr.Wiggles, Leaning Town: His posts while not alot has very good content. Palmar, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he starts discussion himself. RebirthOfLeGenD, Null/FoS: Lurking cannot determine alignment but, he had 6 hours after he started to post in the thread Refallen, Null: His posts contain discussion about the lurkers, also his suspicions on Palmar and risk.nuke risk.nuke, Null: Has not posted alot so, Null syllogism, Leaning Town/Null: His post's generate discussion and he also shares his reads with others. Tyrran, Null: While lurking a little I can't determine his alignment xsksc, Null: Needs to start posting Zepphird, Null: His post's discuss about LA-Lurkers and strategy For now, I want the lurkers to start posting. +10 +5 another list of reads all null + Show Spoiler + On January 05 2012 04:52 Bluelightz wrote: Okay, im back guys :p Im gonna start responding to cases and make cases myself. Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 04:28 layabout wrote: Bluelightz i think...: he lacks confidence in his own abilities that he may try to lurk that he has not tried to help that what he has written makes sense from a "town that has to get on a plane and will have limited internet acess" perspective he has provided us with very little that can be analysed effectively i do not think that there you can make all of those inferences + Show Spoiler + "profoundly unuseful" and "anti town" BH at this point in time nearly any case you can come up with needs to forced and isn't necessarily helpful You seem to like throwing your vote around but do you really think that at the current moment in time everyone should vote for bluelightz to kill him, possibly end the day and let night actions happen? if i were the type i might accuse you of "trying to gain town cred by forcing a case based off of thin air." i will not do that. ![]() Anyway, first I clearly said that I wouldn't be available till about now(Flight was delayed ;|) Anyway, my thoughts on lynching lurkers. It ends up lynching a townie usually No comments on the actual plan suggested a vague comment on LaL to dismiss the plan He refers to the quoted post as a "case" and says he will respond to it but the only thing in the posts he mentions is that he was on a airplane. (+20 for contradiction /2 for being implied) + 10 for not showing he has read the quoted post + Show Spoiler + On January 07 2012 21:21 Bluelightz wrote: As of now, I'll be switching my vote to Errandor as he is the best lynch for now. First, before this I am still supicious of RoL, i am also suspicious of Grackaroni. First, his post's Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 09:48 Erandorr wrote: The last time I looked the game was full already, didn't even realize I am in this until now. The biggest question for me right now is this: Blazinghand are you WBGs Smurf? Or his long lost brother, maybe? Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 09:54 Erandorr wrote: On January 05 2012 09:49 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 09:49 Blazinghand wrote: On January 05 2012 09:48 Erandorr wrote: The last time I looked the game was full already, didn't even realize I am in this until now. The biggest question for me right now is this: Blazinghand are you WBGs Smurf? Or his long lost brother, maybe? Yes clearly i'm WBG's smurf with thousands of posts This post is sarcastic. I am not his smurf. In case that's not clear. And the long lost brother part? Filler. Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 09:16 Erandorr wrote: Ya I probably should post sometime soon but I am really tired and want to sleep soon. If anyone has any question for me just go ahead, I will provide content of my own tomorrow. Says, he will contribute Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 00:45 Erandorr wrote: What would be Wiggles motivation as Scum to go after Palmar with a case like that in a two family setup? Ask's a question to Palmar, nothing shining his alignment here Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 01:39 Erandorr wrote: On January 07 2012 00:51 syllogism wrote: While I consider palmar the better lynch out of wiggles/palmar, I don't think it's a good idea to lynch palmar today. We've other very good lynches available, it's a setup with 6 scum and he is very likely to become more transparent the longer the game goes on if he is scum or dead if he is town. I'll probably narrow the list down but I would like to keep the lynch between erandorr/risk/tyrran/refallen. Out of those erandorr appears to be by far the safest lynch and the only reason I haven't been actively pushing him as the #1 lynch was to give him more time and because it's pretty disappointing if he again decided not to play due to rolling scum. I actually didn't roll scum. I just missed the start and don't seem to find a way into the game. I already stated with my brilliant 1 liner that I sort of dislike a Wiggles lynch and actually would like to lynch Palmar today. I don't quite know what to do with all the other crap that has been posted, since the only person I have a clear Town read on is you (YES IM TRYING TO BUDDY UP) Err, nothing shining alignment. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 01:55 Erandorr wrote: On January 07 2012 01:48 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:30 Refallen wrote: Yes, but would a scum immediately stick his neck out to try to lynch one of the more prominent players here? Especially assuming, of course, if Palmar flips town he will probably get lynched or at the very least be focused on the next day? Essentially trading a townie for a scum. And even if a scum team deems this worthwhile, would they send mr.wiggles to do the accusing, seeing as how he has a high chance of being the better player on the scum team? Same thing with jackal, and it's why I think they might be town. The only mitigating factor is the fact that syllo was on palmars case early in the game, and wiggles/jackal thought that was the green light in getting palmar lynched. I think the explanation that they're town is more likely though. Also, syllo, why do you still want to lynch me? They would, exactly because someone would end up asking this question. Someone mentioned that there is a 80% rate of mislynch on day one on a mafia dedicated forum, and that is quite something. This is enough to say that you cannot push someone as scum because he made a mistake day 1 - which is something many players interpret wrongly. It's NORMAL for town to make mistakes as long as they are justifiable. However, Palmar points out a good amount of inconsistencies on MrWiggles' case, and we should also consider that he is an experienced player(compared to most of the lineup). He knows better than making those mistakes, and we all know that inexperienced players would fail to see these little inconsistencies and end up lynching Palmar. If there is one thing perfectly fine for a scum team, is to lynch an enemy Palmar right off the bat; ESPECIALLY day 1 where the most wrong cases occur. Although the same could be said for MW(a scum Palmar would benefit a whole lot from lynching MW), the difference is that Palmar's case is much stronger than MrWiggles, especially when, by building that case, he broke a good lot of MrWiggles' arguments. Either way, we can also consider that both Palmar AND MrWiggles may be scum(two families). Out of the two, which is the one you would rather like to lynch and why? Ask's a question. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 02:11 Erandorr wrote: On January 07 2012 01:56 Dirkzor wrote: On January 07 2012 00:51 syllogism wrote: While I consider palmar the better lynch out of wiggles/palmar, I don't think it's a good idea to lynch palmar today. We've other very good lynches available, it's a setup with 6 scum and he is very likely to become more transparent the longer the game goes on if he is scum or dead if he is town. I'll probably narrow the list down but I would like to keep the lynch between erandorr/risk/tyrran/refallen. Out of those erandorr appears to be by far the safest lynch and the only reason I haven't been actively pushing him as the #1 lynch was to give him more time and because it's pretty disappointing if he again decided not to play due to rolling scum. While I agree that palmar/Wiggles aren't our best lynch option, why would you rather hang Palmar? Meta? Because i feel that Wiggles case is bad. Whether it is intentionally to push an agenda or just bad i don't know. About your other targets I find risk the most scummiest. Why do you think Risk is scummiest and not Tyrran/me? If I am not mistaken then Syllos reasons to rather lynch Palmar have very little to do with the arguments Wiggles brought forward. On January 07 2012 01:59 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:55 Erandorr wrote: On January 07 2012 01:48 Zephirdd wrote: On January 07 2012 01:30 Refallen wrote: Yes, but would a scum immediately stick his neck out to try to lynch one of the more prominent players here? Especially assuming, of course, if Palmar flips town he will probably get lynched or at the very least be focused on the next day? Essentially trading a townie for a scum. And even if a scum team deems this worthwhile, would they send mr.wiggles to do the accusing, seeing as how he has a high chance of being the better player on the scum team? Same thing with jackal, and it's why I think they might be town. The only mitigating factor is the fact that syllo was on palmars case early in the game, and wiggles/jackal thought that was the green light in getting palmar lynched. I think the explanation that they're town is more likely though. Also, syllo, why do you still want to lynch me? They would, exactly because someone would end up asking this question. Someone mentioned that there is a 80% rate of mislynch on day one on a mafia dedicated forum, and that is quite something. This is enough to say that you cannot push someone as scum because he made a mistake day 1 - which is something many players interpret wrongly. It's NORMAL for town to make mistakes as long as they are justifiable. However, Palmar points out a good amount of inconsistencies on MrWiggles' case, and we should also consider that he is an experienced player(compared to most of the lineup). He knows better than making those mistakes, and we all know that inexperienced players would fail to see these little inconsistencies and end up lynching Palmar. If there is one thing perfectly fine for a scum team, is to lynch an enemy Palmar right off the bat; ESPECIALLY day 1 where the most wrong cases occur. Although the same could be said for MW(a scum Palmar would benefit a whole lot from lynching MW), the difference is that Palmar's case is much stronger than MrWiggles, especially when, by building that case, he broke a good lot of MrWiggles' arguments. Either way, we can also consider that both Palmar AND MrWiggles may be scum(two families). Out of the two, which is the one you would rather like to lynch and why? Check the voting post and decide for yourself who I would rather like to lynch. Hint: it's obvious As for "why", I think I stated a couple times already. Ya, mistake on my side, sorry. Ask's a question to Dirkzor and admits a mistake, here he like in BH's cases "Hustleing" Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 02:58 Erandorr wrote: Shut up WBGs Smurf, I am trying to get into this. Filler -,- Okay, so he say's he will contribute but from his filter Evidently NOT So, this is the reason's I will be voting Erandorr empty summary comments (6 x 5) implies that it was his analysis +(10/2) + Show Spoiler + On January 07 2012 22:55 Bluelightz wrote: also, to make it clear im unvoting Erandorr and Voting Tyrran Reason why, Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 19:45 Tyrran wrote: /in And the game is on. I'll start with some basic guidelines about mafia : * DO NOT BANDWAGON. Please always gives a reason for you vote. More importantly dont vote without thinking about just because 5 other players already voted. * BUILD STRONG CASE WHEN SCUMHUNTING. This game is about convincing other people, not yourself. dont expect people to follow your vote if dont build a strong case. * DEFEND YOURSELF. Even as town, you migth get FoS'ed or have a case build up against you. Please dont go troll mode, dont call everyone dumb, but instead defend yourself and tell us what was going through your mind. This is your best chance of not being lynched. Not following these basic guidelines is what screwed town over in the steamship mafia. Follow them to maximize our chances to win this game. Going to lunch now, I'll post about the specificities of the setup later today. Here, Tyrran talks what a townie should do Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 23:27 Tyrran wrote: Okay, first of all, as many people already have stated, the angel of Death should be our first target. Not only does he hold the angel KP, but the main issue for me is that The roles and alignement of his victim is NOT revealed. This does not seem to be the case if the other Angels use the slay ability. Zona, can you confirm that the role and alignement of a player killed using the slay ability, by the Angel acolyte and/or the Angelic observer are revealed? Not knowing the alignement/role of a killed player is devastating for town. Is the demon hunter still alive? Is the seer? is the sage? how many demons remains ? Setting up a stratey with limited information on the blue roles still alive will be pretty hard. The Demons can also conceal a lynch, but they can only do it once a game, so it have a smaller impact. On January 04 2012 20:07 syllogism wrote: Due to the fact the players who are sent to purgatory is publicly announced and the fact the same angel role(s) perform night kills every night, it appears optimal to use the power with a focus on the role blocking aspect of it. On night 1 however the channeler and the demonic courier (yes, this is in your best interest) should target players who are highly likely to be killed without protection if they are town/demon. Even if they appear scummy, role blocking at least two out of the three angel roles is beneficial and even if the target is a demon, it's possible that they chose him to perform corruption (this is unlikely however on n1 due to obvious reasons). You can stray from this plan if there is a highly suspicious player as just the fact that this is the starting point should deter angels from hitting with impunity. Actually, we can use the banish ability offensively to determine the role of scummy player. If the slay ability is not used one nigth, then the banished (or the transported) player are very likely to be the angel holding the power of the death ray, and they should be priority target for investingation/future banishement. Therefore we can banish one of the player we think is an angel and see if the slay ability is used that nigth. Note that if no corruption happens on even numbered nigths , its harder to conclude because Demons could have tried to corrupt an angel or the sage. Strategy. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 23:32 Tyrran wrote: On December 29 2011 22:23 Palmar wrote: yo ##Signup If I get the angel with a wraithcannon, I'll make syllo disappear n1. that's a promise. On January 04 2012 21:07 syllogism wrote: We should probably lynch palmar today, he appears to be some sort of scum and hating his life right now I dunno what's going on between these two, but we should just ignore this for now. Filler Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 03:53 Tyrran wrote: On January 06 2012 01:56 syllogism wrote: . Tyrran you have shown that you can be useful, do you intend to post anything at all today? I posted hastiliy from work, and i missed the post just above the Day 1 post. Mea culpa. Im in now. I first posted a message avoiding to avoid us played as bad as town as we did in steamship liquidia. Then I wanted to make a post explaining that information was going to be the key of this game. I added a idea I just had, on how we could use purgatory information to deduce scum role. It did not turn out to be as good as i thougth. I still stand by the fact that we are going to heavily analyse nigth actions in order to win this game. Now back to scum hunt. Reffalen On January 04 2012 17:59 Refallen wrote: Not to mention that while angels CAN kill demons, it hardly seems optimal for them. With 11 town and only 3 of each faction, for angels to kill off demons would just mean that town will have an easier time. I think that we can consider the scenario of angel and demon killing each other therfore, highly improbable. I would like him to explain this statement. The more I think about it, the less sense it makes to me. Actually it looks more like he is saying "hey angels, please dont shoot demons". In practice of course killing all the demons is pretty good for the angels as they would not have to worry about them getting a lot of votes through corruption. And a blue is not more threatening than a demon for an angel. So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ? His case against refallen Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 19:04 Tyrran wrote: On January 06 2012 11:14 Refallen wrote: I'm thinking Jackal is town this game. At least, he appears to be taking a different route than on TLXLVIII when he was scum. Plus I don't think any scum would risk trying to outright lynch Palmar without a really detailed case. I disagree with you here. From the few games I've read Palmar seems to be a efficient scum hunter.Bussing Palmar is therefore an good scum strat. Almost EVERY SINGLE one of Jackal post were attacking palmar. And he NEVER had more than 1 line of justification. He did not even refer to MrWiggles case. That is scummy play for me. Also note that as there is 2 scum faction, they can perfectly both be scum, one angel and one demon. I'll be looking at both of them today. Palmar need to step up his game, and Jackal needs to start become useful. Talking about meta Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 09:12 Tyrran wrote: On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran If you read steamship mafia, you'll notice i wasnt really active before I had some hard fact to analyse ( ie kenpachi lynch). I'm not good at analysing Meta, because its only my second game here. Half the accusation here are made on meta. I'm looking for contradictions, votes, something i can work on. I dont like making case for the sake on making one. I'll make a case after day 1, when i'll have more info to work with. Responding to HoD's case Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 21:50 Tyrran wrote: On January 07 2012 14:36 Mr. Wiggles wrote: Tyrran: He started out the game with very general advice. This seems weird, but it might be due to the mini games, in which I've seen new players do that to each other. Still something to note though, as scum like to use it to look like they're contributing. Compared to steamship that you linked, he is much more careful and timid in this game. In steamship, just reading through his early posts, he didn't seem scared to call people out and ask direct questions. In that game, he was vanilla, however, so there could be something to do with the set-up contributing to his timidness (less likely because he talks about the set-up in this game), or he's some kind of power role. Verdict: Scummy. Not as direct as his last game, and timid. However, I'm willing to give him slightly more time to see if he starts to contribute. Might be a good vig shot night 2. Does anyone have a game in which Tyrran rolled scum that I can read? @Tyrran, what do you think of the accusations against you? Who do you want to lynch? People are basically trying to Meta me based on the single game I played before, which is a bit silly, but apparently that's the main scumhunt method on day 1. I agree that i'm not as aggressive as i could be, but i'm also less active due to more IRL stuff. As for who i would lynch now, the three target i have in mind are Errandor , for lurking and being useless , Jackal 58 for being overly agressive on pamar with no real case behind it, and Palmar because i found your case solid. Of course, you are going to ask me to pick one, and as i said before, i'm not aware of the meta enough to lynch someone based on meta alone. That's why i'm not going to vote on jackal and palmar and vote for Errandor instead. HIs filter is full of uselss post where he isnt even trying to help town, jsut saying random stuff not even related to the game ( BH being WBG smurf...). Therefore, ##Vote : Errandor Now, here is where I think he's scum, "As for who i would lynch now, the three target i have in mind are Errandor , for lurking and being useless , Jackal 58 for being overly agressive on pamar with no real case behind it, and Palmar because i found your case solid." ^wat? First, Erandorr is leading at votes but now Tyrran just following rhough with it just listing simple reason's I feel like he is scum when you read his steamship filter, he made cases etc etc http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 so, I'm unvoting Erandorr and voting Tyrran comments presented as analsis +(6x5) couldn't be arese to work out the percentage of current player votes but it would be about 10 After a hurried scoring the resulted are in! B=135 K=0.83 N=35 Bullshit-based chance of flipping scum= 0.66% (2s.f.) I believe that makes him the person with the most thought out and well reasoned case for being scum. | ||
layabout
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Is it worth asking Zona to let me edit the post to update the Bullshit score counter? | ||
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On January 13 2012 08:24 Spaackle wrote: I'll be around for a little while, so feel free to ask/tell/compliment/insult me anything. Your bullshit score is under 5% congrats. If i were to suggest to you that the majority of HoD's post are about "safe" or irrelevant issues that do not require him to take a stance; That he draws and promotes strange conclusions; that a lot of his interaction's and question answering ignore the issue at hand; that he picks up on non-issues and tries to uses that to defeat arguments; and that misrepresents scenario's or mis-applies concepts like occam's razor you would say what? | ||
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On January 13 2012 09:07 Grackaroni wrote: @Layabout: Do you really think that Bluelightz would only post bullshit posts as scum? I think it's just his general style to make posts to say he's reading the thread or that he is going to school/sleep and asking people to ask him questions. Imagine he is scum this game. Do you think that he would act like this as town as well or is his scum play just worse than his not yet seen town play. Public Service Announcement! The bullshit law is being be renamed Layabout's Horseshit Hypothesis for two reasons: 1) I think horseshit sounds better if you try to speak like a posh Englishman 2) I am fond of Alliteration 3) Due to a complete absence of experimental data the bullshit scores need adjusting: I think it would be best to multiply all current "Horseshit scores" by a factor of 0.6 so that single instances of bullshit have less of an impact on the overall % chance and then the % chance will better account for the natural increase in amount of Horseshit over time. This adjustment would change BL's Horse-shit based % chance of flipping scum from 66% to (0.84x135x0.6)/35+135x0.6)x100 58% I think you do not understand the Horseshit law Grack, maybe you should go think about it. | ||
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In order for him to not be then AoD must have targeted him, Syllogism or a twisted Demon/townie night 1.(or not targeted anyone) Killing the AoD is an extremely desirable propect as it reduces Angel KP and prevents the loss of information from the no-flip. Given that there is a case against HoD and given the high chance of the AoD lynch, everybody should be strongly considering lynching him. I intend to explain my specific thoughts about his play in detail tomorrow morning (IRL). | ||
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On January 13 2012 11:10 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 11:04 Refallen wrote: That's retarded. After syllo posted his "I want to die", channeled should have taken the hint and roleblocked harbringer instead. Or maybe he had the same logic as me? At least this now confirms syllo as town. MrWiggles was town as well; He couldn't possibly be Demon(see his Palmar case). We just won't know if he was a blue or not. TBH that was a poor decision by the AoD, unless he had actually found an Angel and was ready to push him. His last actions were attacking RoL. Apply Occam's Razor(The correct solution is usually the simplest one), ##Vote RoL What is poor about the decision to kill and experienced player that had already caught 1 scum this game? | ||
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What specifically do you like about Grack's case on Spaackle? Why do you think RoL is the best lynch bearing in mind that nearly every point made against him has been complete horseshit? Why are you completely disregarding the fact that the night actions suggest that HoD being the AoD is not only the most likely but the simplest explanation? I just think it's a waste of game mechanics; Killing someone who people didn't knew would create a bigger confusion, as in "we don't know how many demons live". MrWiggles was obviously not a Demon, so it is kind of a waste of a mechanic. Granted, we don't know if he was a blue, but I don't think it matters as much at this point "not knowing how many demons live" - the ????-flip aspect ensures town do not KNOW how many demons live. Do you not think that the function of killing power is to remove threats to angels and that while the ????-flip serves to deny information in addition to removing a threat the ????-flip is not the point of the kill. Threats include strong town players and players people think are likely town as they are more likely to listen to someone they think is town than someone they think is scum. Threats also include blue roles. Can you think of any players that if killed and flipped ???? would leave sufficient confusion to justify the angels using their only reliable KP on, over a player that looked like a blue, demon or is strong at scumhunting? Why do you think the goal of the kill is to cause confusion????????????????????????????????????????????????????? | ||
layabout
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Every time i log on and every time i F5 i feel sad. Can we please put EFFORT into this lynch and ensure that by the end of the day each candidate with a vote/votes has been discussed by all (even if there are just short BUT VALID criticisms) and there are clear outlined cases as to why people believe that player has a high chance of being an Angel/Demon. We cannot afford to keep lynching townies. We cannot afford to mindlessly follow poor/absent cases or continue to vote for people because players in the thread repeatedly shout that a Player is scum. If you are present and see that nobody has written anything or that discussion has been dead for several hours, make an effort to produce useful discussion. | ||
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On January 14 2012 06:13 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 00:52 Dirkzor wrote: Jackal.. Have you forgotten me? I was so used to your devoted attention! Assuming Wiggles was town, and i assume that, it puts more pressure on RoL. That was the last person that Wiggles talked about (and attacking me about). Combine that with a wall-of-text case that is actually not very big in terms of content I see RoL as more scummy then before he started scumhunting. His case is just not good, its just long so it appears to be good/solid. Long is not always better. This is such sound logic! I am going to kill one of my attackers further implicating me. I thought he was just making a penis joke. Speaking of Giant Dicks Do you really think that we should lynch Blazinghand if want to kill scum? If you want a nice thread then sure. But your case isn't very compelling, and it seems highly unlikely that you will get BH lynched. So what are you going to do about the lynch? | ||
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Or convince us that he is scum. Or tell us who your scumbuddy/buddies are. | ||
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Tyrran: His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). Hod:If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive. I find this criticism to be fundamentally flawed. Because it is only valid if the demons are not trying to achieve their win condition. To win; The Demons need to kill 3 angels and the sage and the demon hunter. Hod (in his defence of his original idea) basically argues that vanilla town dying helps the demons because they (+ corrupted town) need to make up half of the remaining players as well as achieving the other condition to win the game. He says that killing vt reduces the total number of players and makes it easier to meet this condition. This would be valid if not for the need for demons to also kill 2blues+angels because they cannot kill angels with anything other than the lynch, and lynching blue also aids their decision making as then can then know whether or not the blues are dead in a late-game scenario.They also would suffer if a demon were lynched. Killing vanillas means that the remaining pool will contain more players with demon investigating/killing roles. Than it would had players with roles been killed instead. It leaves the roles that could harm demons unharmed Killing town makes corruption less likely to be successful too. Killing vanillas is bad for demons. The way in which HoD pushes the idea that it is good for demons, well... it's bad. He uses an irrelevant hypothetical with 3 demons 3 angels and 1 corrupted town, (i wrote 3d/2a/1ct earlier and he quoted that and just ignored my argument, I found this distasteful) to argue that no vanillas are good for Demons because demons generally win in that hypothetical. The hypothetical also relies on no blues and no lynches or kills on any demons or angels (and cannot possibly occur this game). How can this be of any value?? He uses this ultraspecificandimpossibleinthisgame hypothetical to talk about the merits of a Vanilla town lynch in general. He does not evaluate the general case or compare the consequences of a vanilla town lynch to another role being lynched. On January 13 2012 05:22 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 04:52 layabout wrote: On January 13 2012 04:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 13 2012 03:41 layabout wrote: On January 13 2012 03:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive.What in the fuck? What? He said an angel hit on a townie was bad for demons, and that is absolutely false. If demons get down to that scenario, they lynch an angel, 2/3 chance they remove a potential kp and win automatically. Then 1/3 chance they get the observer, then angels need to get both hits through the twisting/sending to purgatory, so they need to hit the only 2 unprotected of the 4. So 1/18 total chance of angel win if it gets down to that scenario, and that is assuming they know which one is town out of the 4. Lower if they don't. So if angels hit nothing but town, which he claims is bad for demons, the demons will very likely win. Hell, even if they don't have a corrupted town left alive and it is a regular vt, town gets a minor victory by killing all angels, so it would be the same result anyway unless the townie decides to ignore that minor win condition. Why on earth do you base your decision of "does killing town benefit demons?" on an unrealistic (and in this game impossible) extreme scenario in which there are 3 demons 1 corrupted town and 2 angels left in the game? In order for them to make use of the corrupted town mechanic demons need to corrupt town players. They need these players to be alive to count towards their win condition. All three angels and the sage are immune to corruption. Plus the demons cannot corrupt themselves. The demons get 1 corruption every two nights. As it currently stands: there are 13 non-demons out of 15 players. 9/13 can be corrupted. 3 blues 6 vanillas. it is likely that several of these players will not still be alive by night 4 (the demons next corruption). Killing vanilla town weakens the power of corruption drastically. It reduces the number of players that can be corrupted increasing the chance of is missing. And it increases the proportion of blues and Angels in the player base which increases the chance that demons will be investigated or killed. Demons need to kill 2/4 blues and 3/3 angels and gain a majority with corruption, killing vanilla town is a bad lynch from the demons perspective only a demon or the seer flipping is worse for them. (the value of a channeller lynch for them could be argued either way as the channeller keeps players alive but could stop a corruption). 3 demons, 1 town, 3 angels, not 2 angels. Unrealistic, yes. But just proving the point that demons don't mind townies being dead. Also shows that even if they don't get angels killed early on, as long as they stay alive any death brings them closer to winning. Nowhere does it say if the hit/lynch is on vanilla town - just on town in general, but if you think their corruption being slightly more likely to fail is their primary concern, I think you are quite mistaken. The longer this game goes on with the demon hunter and sage alive, the more likely they are to lose, regardless of their ability to corrupt. They can't kill those people themselves, so they either need to mislynch them, or hope the angels hit them. Assuming the angels use their acolyte to try to kill people with dark powers, which I assure you they will, the proportion of blues will go down, not up. Yes, the sage can't be killed with that, but he can be killed by the AoD, and I doubt the demons would mind the demon hunter or channeler ending up dead. You stress they need those players alive to count for their win condition, which is true, but you ignore the other half of their win condition. They/their corrupted minions need to outnumber the remaining players in the game. So they want the number of remaining players to be as small as possible. tl;dr: Holy fuck they don't need to corrupt anyone to win this game, and they want to survive while everyone else dies, not make this game last a bajillion days. Show nested quote + Secondly : Wtf if this tl:dr ? Demons should win without using corrupt ? Are you going to argue next that Angels should win wihtout killing anyone ? I look forward to you hosting a normal game where scum has no KP and town has vigs because " well scum can just survive while everyone else dies". I said don't need to, as in it is possible for them to win without it, not should. Don't twist my words. Saying that the demons don't need to use corruption to win because it is possible for them to win without using it suggests a way of thinking that is bizarre. By this logic in a standard game scum do not need to use their shots or roleblocks in order to win the game. They simply need to convince town that they should be lynching other townies and then win once town kills themselves with their guidance... ...ohwaitno that is total horseshit The game has mechanics such as Night kills hidden flips, corruption, investigation's and an "open" set-up is in order to balance it. The fact that is is possible to win without making full use of the mechanics has no bearing on the fact that the game is balanced around you using them. It accounts for you occasionally missing (with any of them) but rewards you for selecting targets with skill. You have pushed the ideas that the demon team would not wish to use their abilities/role/powers/mechanics to their advantage and that is disgusting. So what was the original purpose of his original criticism? It was to defend himself against This post (clicky), in particular it was about tyrran calling HoD out for bullshit. He responded with logically unsound reasoning and false conclusions. He defends himself against Bullshit with bullshit. And that is what he spent most of day 2 doing. | ||
layabout
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+ Show Spoiler + On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 3 Lynch. With 13 alive, 7 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: HarbingerOfDoom (3): Tyrran, syllogism, layabout RebirthOfLeGenD (2): Grackaroni, Spaackle (1): Zephirdd Bluelightz (1): Jackal58 Blazinghand (1): RebirthOfLeGenD The Day 3 deadline is at January 15 2012 10:00 KST. (That's approximately 1 day, 1:48:45 from now.) Vote HarbingerOfDoom | ||
layabout
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+ Show Spoiler + On January 08 2012 11:07 Spaackle wrote: So, the experienced player obviously know how to play town (duh, they're experienced). They know how to be as helpful to the town as possible. Taking from Ver's guide(?) to town play:Link here (clicky) + Show Spoiler + There are three main goals for the town on day 1 in a standard game: 1) Get useful information (often achieved via point 2) 2) Create an ideal atmosphere (will go over this in detail in town guide) 3) Figure out your plans/direction The obvious way to analyze the situation would be to take the current players in suspicion and see if they are trying to achieve the above goals.: risk.nuke: Filter (clicky) 1) Get Information -- I hate to make a meta argument, but I feel like it's necessary here. When I played with risk in Election, he spent much of Day 1 jabbing at other players and trying to squeeze info out of them. I feel like he isn't doing this so much now. Many of his posts have been reactions to the poking of others, and he's offered little analysis of his own. His play in this regard doesn't look very towney to me. 2) Create an atmosphere -- This goal is linked with the previous one. The best atmosphere for town is one where they can get as much information as possible. I feel like risk is falling short here too. He hasn't been offering many points for discussion, and his reactionary posting has most other townies snapping at him. 3) Figure out plans -- This is a tough one. There really haven't been any plans put forth by anyone, just some bandwagons and a lot of finger pointing. risk has been doing just about as much of this as everyone else. Risk's play is looking a bit scummy to me. He hasn't been offering much solid analysis, and he fans the flames of the arguments in the thread. We definitely need to pressure him some more tomorrow. More coming soon! here spaackle ADDS to the criticism against risk. nuke by seeing how his play fits the town objectives for day1 outlined in Ver's guide. He judges him based upon a measure of what general town goals are and how risk.nuke was not playing towards them. That is one of the least bullcrap evaluations in the entire thread. He then does the same for Palmar. He gets the alignments wrong on both acoounts. But his reasoning is coherent. On January 09 2012 05:29 Spaackle wrote: @RofL While I agree that we need a plan for day 2, yours is not the one I would go with. Mass claiming like that will only paint a target on our blues for the scumteams. We'll lose our blue powers so fast that we'll get almost no use out of them, and where will we be then? @risk Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 04:50 risk.nuke wrote: On January 09 2012 04:32 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:18 Dirkzor wrote: On January 09 2012 04:06 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:01 Palmar wrote: yeah, this needs to be done now, or not. I'd rather go with not. This is palmar scum claiming. He has been trolling for a while now but this is as close at is gets If I had written that would you take that as scum claiming? No, but you aren't a player who I talk extensively about the game, in and out of the game. It's extremely unlikely that he would say that as town and I'm pretty sure that when he wrote that he knew very well how it would look like to me; he has by this point realized that there is little he can do to avoid being lynched so might as well have some fun. Imo a town Palmar would respond to that with a pretty huge post declaring why the plan is dumb alternativly if he approved of the plan he would write additional thoughts or/and reason further why it is a good plan. I thought you hated meta arguments? Calls out a contradiction. On January 09 2012 05:51 Spaackle wrote: @Jackal Hypothetically, let's say I'm a complete noob and I don't know how to play this game. Explain to me: why is it obvious? Could you please give a little bit more reasoning, even if it is things that others have already pointed out? Prods Jackal for reasoning On January 10 2012 13:02 Spaackle wrote: I'm with you on this one, BH. At first I thought that the RoL plan was merely just an ill-thought out plan, but after your and Mr Wiggles' arguments against it, now I see that the RoL plan isn't just bad, but that it seems to be intentionally anti-town. I want to see a defense from RoL, but until then: ##vote RebirthOfLegend He decides to vote for RoL after reading the BS from BH. He states that he wants to see RoL defence and will leave the vote until then. Presumably he will look at the defence RoL makes and decide whether or not the case holds weight. On January 11 2012 14:31 Spaackle wrote: So, after a bit more of BH and RoL duking it out, I've decided to Unvote RoL for now. RoL has spent a long time and a lot of effort defending it, and a scum Probably would have dropped it long ago. RoL is still pretty null to me, though. Give me a bit more time to finish catching up on the thread and reading some filter, and I'll have an analysis for both Tyrran and risk.nuke Decides that RoL effort in defending the plan makes his suggesting of the plan not a scummy thing to do. Reverts to old read: Null On January 11 2012 14:47 Spaackle wrote: Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 14:40 Blazinghand wrote: On January 11 2012 14:31 Spaackle wrote: So, after a bit more of BH and RoL duking it out, I've decided to Unvote RoL for now. RoL has spent a long time and a lot of effort defending it, and a scum Probably would have dropped it long ago. RoL is still pretty null to me, though. Give me a bit more time to finish catching up on the thread and reading some filter, and I'll have an analysis for both Tyrran and risk.nuke What? Are you listening to yourself? If he were scum he'd cling to it since it's the only thing he's done all game besides lurk and fail to vote Erandorr properly. If he were town, he'd believe in his plan so he'd defend it anyways. RoL of any alignment will defend his plan. RoL isn't null, he's anti-useful and I have no idea why you'd unvote him at this time. Give me some time to read the thread. I'm inviting because I think RoL may not be the best lynch right now, and I'm going through the filters of the other main suspects. If I think that they are better lynches, I'll vote them, and if they're not, my vote comes back to RoL. Even if I don't vote him, I still think he'd be a good target for our Demon Hunter. Now back to reading. Says that he will unvote because he thinks a RoL lynch may not be the best one. Says he will vote him IF after he fliters the other subjects he decide that RoL is the best lynch. Thinks he might be a good target for a demon hunter. Whilst you might then conclude that Null is probably not his exactly read, you should be able to see how these post fit together and are consistent with him re-evaluating his thoughts as new information arises. On January 11 2012 15:51 Spaackle wrote: So, after reading through Tyrran's thread, he's starring to look pretty scummy to me. He's posted much less than most others in this game, and his posts are long and full of fluff. He seems to spend a lot of time trying to tell other players how to play when he could be giving analysis or answering questions. He also contradicts himself a few times. Posts that really stand out to me: + Show Spoiler + What makes you think that angels will want to target the blues ? They are pretty much immune to blues, appart from the seer which will be desintegrated by the Angel of Death if he ever claim ( or i guess you could banish him, but then he would be pretty useless). So angel will just randomly shoot into townies, who knows, they migth even get a lucky shot on a demon, they migth also kill townies with dark power if they are not banished. Secondly you suppose that Demons are going to want to use their banish defensively. If they want to do this, then Demons will just banish the Demon Hunter ( which will NEVER EVER be targeted by angels, because he basically works for them). If they have corrupted someone, they can also banish the sage, and just enjoy they extra vote ! They are not going to banish someone in order to 'protect' him. Your plan gives HUGE information to both scum faction, and town actually gains very little from it. I dont like it. I think it favors Demons way too much ( because they can protect themself way more easely using their power knowing who the blues are), it also helps angels a bit ( they can kill the seer, they do not risk killing the demon hunter by mistake). But town is definitively the big loser in your plan. And Okay, i misread and missed the color only claim part. My bad, gotta go back some new googles. Your plan is therefore much better than i initially thougth. I still have an issue with how you are going to deal with corruption. Angels are not the only one that need to prevent a voting block from forming, we need to prevent it too. On one hand you say that corrupted town should claim, but on the other hand you also advise multiple claim. What does town gain form multiple corruption claim ? While i agree that this migth confuse scum, If the angels are in doubt on how to get rid of corrupted townies, how are we going to know how to deal with it ? These posts are a glaring contradictions to each other. Tyrran points out several large flaws in RoL's plan. However, when RoL clears up the color claim issue, suddenly these flaws aren't so bad anymore. To me this represents a bit of wishy-washiness on Tyrran's part. He's very opposed to RoL's plan one minute, then thinks it's not too bad the next. There's Also this bit: Show nested quote + Angels are not the only one that need to prevent a voting block from forming, we need to prevent it too. By we, does Tyrran mean town? Or is there some special we only him and RoL know about? This post caught my eye too: Show nested quote + Well I dont see how this could have gone better :D. One demon dead ( GJ DemonHunter or Angel Acolyte, whoever got him) and no unrevealed death. Perfect N1 for town. Here are some initial thought about what happened N1 : On January 09 2012 12:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: I agree that it was most likely Palmar that sent me to purgatory, as I can't see any town player choosing to protect me over syllo, and I can't see town trying to use it for the roleblock on me instead of protecting someone. What I am more confused about is why he would do that. Agreed. Syllo was one of the most valuable town assets day 1, channeler sending him to purgatory was the best and obvious move. Palmar maybe thougth you were AoD, and/or DemonHunter. He also maybe tried to protect you. The fact that there were no ???? flip leaves us with 4 probability: AoD targeted Syllo. This is unlikely. It was clear in the thread that the banish was going to be used defensively, and Syllogism was one of the most obvious target. I' not sure why angels would target him other than them being bad. AoD targeted HarbingerOfDoom. This is a possibility. I'm not sure why they would choose him over BH, Wiggles, layabout tho Syllo is the AoD. This is unlikely, he has been very active for town during day 1. Yet, we cannot ignore this possibility. I dont want him lynched today, but if he is banished again N2, and once again the AoD do not kill, then we will have to consider him as a lynch. HoD is the AoD. This is a possibility too, but i'm not sure about it. I'll try to find some time to read his filter today. Questions to discuss day 2 : What do you guys think of Syllo and HoD ? Are they summy too you. Do you think they were liekly target for the AoD? With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it? this is one of theposts that I really think paints Tyrran as a scum. He starts by congratulating the DH for the kill, then starts listing possibilities. His possibilities state what could have happened, but Tyrran doesnt really ever state what he thinks happened. Just "well maybe this or that." This noncommittal post also really highlights just how wishy-washy Tyrran has been this whole game. Tyrran, wha do you have to say for yourself? If he is to be believed then Spaackel jsut finished reading the thread of the main suspects. He presents things Tyrran have done, explain why he finds them scummy and asks for answers to his points. What is wrong with this? On January 12 2012 02:55 Spaackle wrote: @Zeph I unvoted RoL because I thought there might be a better lynch than him. I posted my reads on Tyrran last night, and was going to do the same for risk today, but you guys hammered the lunch during my morning classes. I Would have voted risk, but I wanted to do a thorough analysis of his posts before I put the last nail in his coffin. You guys beat me to the punch. The fact that risk flipped town is problematic. It brings us no closer to finding the rest of the scum. However, risk is still the best option for yesterday, IMO. Tonight, DH should hit either Tyrran or RoL. Explains his unvoting to zeph. Says that risk was the best lynch. He hadn't analysed risk on day 2 but he did write: On January 11 2012 14:31 Spaackle wrote: Give me a bit more time to finish catching up on the thread and reading some filter, and I'll have an analysis for both Tyrran and risk.nuke And the day was cut short. He also found risk scummy when he joined late in day1. These actions all seem fine. On January 13 2012 08:23 Spaackle wrote: I've been asked to do some reads, so here goes: Tyrran: I've already made an analysis on him see that for my main reasoning. I think he looks pretty scummy, even though he's started posting a bit more as of late. RoL: he's basically invisible for the first day, then during night one he comes up with a plan to mass claim. His plan is torn to shreds by everyone else while he quietly slips back into the shadows, reemerging only to defend his plan but not to do much of anything else. His lurkiness combined with his lack of contribution makes me think that he is a scum. Between him and Tyrran, I'd probably lynch RoL first. Grack and cwave look a little scummy to me, seeing as they've both lurked a bit and not posted too much of actual value. However, there's much bigger fish to fry than them. He then makes this post and then you and BH call him scummy. you posted this: On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 11:22 Spaackle wrote: Well, now that we know that Palmar is scum, we should take a look at a post the he made earlier: On January 09 2012 06:41 Palmar wrote: And when those two flip, kill risk.nuke, tyrran too. Probably bluelightz, and then find the last one. HoD is a possibility, so is Refallen, maybe Grackaroni... Blazinghand, Cwave, Dirkzor, layabout, RebirthOfLeGenD, Spaackle, Zephirdd and Mr. Wiggles are town. I'll bet we find Palmar's scumbuddies in the list of the people that he declared as townies. Yeah, there may be Palmar's scumbuddies there. Let's see, we got Cwave, Dirkzor, RoL... OH HAI SPAACKLE. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 11:30 Spaackle wrote: Palmar:Filter (clicky) 1) Get Information -- Palmar has been pretty active in this goal. He's been putting forth a lots of questions (even if no one answers them). He also pressured Bluelightz for a good while, trying to get an actual response out of him. He's also been putting lots of pressure on Wiggles, but this was mostly in response to Wiggles' accusation of him. I'd like to see a bit more justification out of him though. 2) Create an Atmosphere -- Palmar has been acting pretty town here too. He's been answering questions, and in turn posing many more. His posting hasn't been very reactionary, and for the most part, he's been trying to keep the town discussing relevant subjects. 3) Figure out Plans -- As I said in the risk.nuke analysis, there's hasn't been much of this in this game. Palmar is one of the closest to actually doing this. He's been trying to keep discussion relevant, and I guess this eventually leads to plans. Palmar is looking like a townie to me, but don't stop watching him. Yup, definitely townie, with green color! No, there is not enough info for pushing a lynch, but I'd like people to keep an eye on him. Also Tyrran, his posts are weird for me. as for flips, people said already the possibilities, but I don't think the AoD in on the list(syllo/HoD); most likely he targetted one of them. Question is which one was saved by a demon and which one was saved by town. Question: Why was HoD jailed? We can explain syllo - he is strong as town and it's possible that our jailer targeted him since he is a likely n1 shot. But what would be Town motivation to jail HoD? Does he have a history of great town play(like syllo)? If you can't find a reasonable answer for that question, what are the odds that HoD was a demon, or that HoD was targetted by Palmar in order to make people look at him(ie. jailing to bring suspicion)? Finally, I don't get the Cwave/Dirkzor thing. If someone could kindly summarize it for me, I'd appreciate it. Funny that they are on Palmar's "Town" list. Yes, I know I am on that list as well, but that's just because I was this close to sucking him yesterday after his case. That was due to the XLVIII fiasco and I told myself "listen to veterans you know". I swear I'd probably end up helping demons this game, had Palmar not died. which calls spaackle scum for no reason. Then: On January 10 2012 13:18 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 13:02 Spaackle wrote: I'm with you on this one, BH. At first I thought that the RoL plan was merely just an ill-thought out plan, but after your and Mr Wiggles' arguments against it, now I see that the RoL plan isn't just bad, but that it seems to be intentionally anti-town. I want to see a defense from RoL, but until then: ##vote RebirthOfLegend If you honestly truly believe that this is a town post, I feel sorry for you. I said it before, and I think Spaackle is Palmar's buddy. If RoL flips Angel, you know what to do. You then post this. So after providing no new content about him you are suddenly so convinced that Spaackle is scum taht you "feel sorry" for another player because they do not think he is scum too? I think you are calling him scum so that you can later pretend that you have a case on him. you say that grackaroni's analysis has swayed you but in it On January 13 2012 07:55 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 12:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Grackaroni, Spaackle, Cwave I would like to hear a couple scum reads from each of you, along with brief explanations. @Jackal Zbot can count votes from a thread, not sure why Zona chose to use PM's for voting for this game (maybe because of the corrupted town deal?), but so be it. That thing is still fucking cool. I think that RoL is scummy, and I've already explained a bit on him earlier. He is putting a lot of time into the game but not in scumhunting but instead in making an anti-town plan. Spaackle is also probably scum. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 11:30 Spaackle wrote: Palmar:Filter (clicky) 1) Get Information -- Palmar has been pretty active in this goal. He's been putting forth a lots of questions (even if no one answers them). He also pressured Bluelightz for a good while, trying to get an actual response out of him. He's also been putting lots of pressure on Wiggles, but this was mostly in response to Wiggles' accusation of him. I'd like to see a bit more justification out of him though. 2) Create an Atmosphere -- Palmar has been acting pretty town here too. He's been answering questions, and in turn posing many more. His posting hasn't been very reactionary, and for the most part, he's been trying to keep the town discussing relevant subjects. 3) Figure out Plans -- As I said in the risk.nuke analysis, there's hasn't been much of this in this game. Palmar is one of the closest to actually doing this. He's been trying to keep discussion relevant, and I guess this eventually leads to plans. Palmar is looking like a townie to me, but don't stop watching him. His way of coming to the conclusion that Palmar is town looks suspect to me. He says he hasn't been very reactionary but Palmar only showed up when a case was made against him by Wiggles. His pressure on bluelightz was just a way of pretending to be participating. I just don't know how you could confidently jump to the conclusion that Palmar is town from the information he was giving. He also shows a lot of wishy-washyness during the RoL lynch. And of course he is lurking. he cites "wishy-washyness" during the RoL lynch. I think i have shown why he really wasn't wishy-washy. He calls him scum for concluding Palmar is scummy by using Ver's guide as the basis for his thoughts. Gracks case smells like the manure of a certain well-endowed animal to me.. To date nearly every accusation against spaackle holds little-to-no weight. What has been said against him seems like Forced Analysis by people that have no interest in hunting actual scum. @everyone, do you think that there is a substantial case for Spaackle being scum that as of this post? Do you think that he is a good/bad candidate? | ||
layabout
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He says he hasn't been very reactionary but Palmar only showed up when a case was made against him by Wiggles. His pressure on bluelightz was just a way of pretending to be participating. I just don't know how you could confidently jump to the conclusion that Palmar is town from the information he was giving. The bolded is something that you have concluded and is not a verifiable fact The underlined is simply a result of the fact that you do not think in the exact same way and that the actions are open to interpretation. Spaackle interpreted the same actions (Palmars posting) as unreactionary. How can that be the basis for the case again him? | ||
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On January 14 2012 09:23 Zephirdd wrote: The first time I actually call him a scum is right after he makes a post calling Palmar green, RIGHT when people were calling him scum. I specifically said "Palmar/Spaackle scumbuddies". http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603¤tpage=43#849 Reading his analysis to why Palmar is green, he actually forces a green read on him instead of getting the essence of what Palmar had done. MrWiggles had just shown good reasoning to why Palmar would be red, but he basically ignores that reasoning. He then proceeds to lurk. Also, regarding this quote by Spaackle: Show nested quote + I'm with you on this one, BH. At first I thought that the RoL plan was merely just an ill-thought out plan, but after your and Mr Wiggles' arguments against it, now I see that the RoL plan isn't just bad, but that it seems to be intentionally anti-town. I want to see a defense from RoL, but until then: ##vote RebirthOfLegend I've been scum once, and I admit it is low experience, but I swear this was Steamship Liquida and this was my post when I read it. "At first I thought he was town, but after the arguments of the loud mouth and a good player, I have to put a vote on him to look good". Doesn't helps that his reasoning(that the plan is anti-town) isn't the best either, as explained a few times by other people when counter-argumenting BH. He just follows the one argument BH uses the most and uses it as a reasoning to jump on a low-level wagon, thus "disappearing". He isn't wishy-washy at RoL's case, he is generally wishy-washy. Let me be clear tho; I don't like to create new cases even though I'm willing to take responsibility for it. Reason is simple: 100% of cases I have made by myself were wrong. AKA. I don't trust myself. Do you actually think any of that justifies a spaackle vote compared to any of the other players with votes on them? Get off spaackle and vote for a case that stands a chance of killing the AoD. Vote HoD | ||
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/unignore Blazinghand... i have ... a need for your skills There has been an influx of bullshit in the thread and i am struggling to keep track of it. This bullshit threatens to destroy reason, logic and towns chance of winning You seem to have an awful lot of free time on your hands, but you could put it to better use. A giant dick once told me that you study physics. And so i ask you this: Can you begin recording the Horseshit scores for the entire thread and calculating their corresponding Bullshit-based chance of flipping scum? We need to cut down on the bullshit. Help me Blazinghand! You are my only hope.. | ||
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I will take the top half of posters Blazinghand Bluelightz Dirkzor Grackaroni HarbingerOfDoom Jackal58 layabout RebirthOfLeGenD Refallen syllogism Tyrran Spaackle Zephirdd You take the bottom | ||
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On January 14 2012 09:46 Blazinghand wrote: Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 09:46 Blazinghand wrote: On January 14 2012 09:43 layabout wrote: GET YOUR HEADS OUT OF YOUR ARSES /unignore Blazinghand... i have ... a need for your skills There has been an influx of bullshit in the thread and i am struggling to keep track of it. This bullshit threatens to destroy reason, logic and towns chance of winning You seem to have an awful lot of free time on your hands, but you could put it to better use. A giant dick once told me that you study physics. And so i ask you this: Can you begin recording the Horseshit scores for the entire thread and calculating their corresponding Bullshit-based chance of flipping scum? We need to cut down on the bullshit. Help me Blazinghand! You are my only hope.. Are we gonna be dividing this up by posters or by pages or what PS. am I a head-asser? (since my vote is on RoL) I think that you have shown that as far as you are concerned what other people say doesn't make a blind bit of difference. So you might as well decide for yourself. remember old bullshit scores must by multiplied by 0.6 so +5 would become +3 and +10 would become +6 in the updated calculations. (that is not meant to be patronising) | ||
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+ I think that Tyrran's points have not been refuted | ||
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It will prove itself. | ||
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+ we shouldn't lynch while players are asleep and not aware of what is happening. (BL left when HoD had 1 or 2 votes) | ||
layabout
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we should let everybody have a chance to provide their thoughts on the matter. | ||
layabout
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But banishing him allows us to determine whether he is the AoD. (it is improbable that he would be banished, the AoD would be somebody else, and they would then miss). The important thing for now is where is RoL? Since there appear to be no other candidates are we left to vote RoL by default? Should we really be voting to kill RoL? | ||
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You will know why. | ||
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we have like 10 hours.. | ||
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I will vote within the hour. | ||
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what now? | ||
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On January 15 2012 10:17 Refallen wrote: layabout can you explain why you could only vote in the hour? I am not quite sure what you mean... I said i would vote at that time I did not wish to vote earlier because the last early lynch ruined the atmosphere and killed activity. It also meant that by 8:00KST the lynch would almost certainly happen, which would give RoL plenty of time to help us if he wanted to. He didn't. Also why is HoD trying calling me scummy for using my 250th post to articulate a bullshit law? It's literally called "Laybout's Bullshit law". It is based entirely on Bullshit. I haven't used it to scumhunt whatsoever. But doing it lightens up the reading though filters process and allows me to highlight things i think players have done/said that are misleading bad or wrong etc... | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Right now HoD is perhaps the scummiest player in the game right now and this should show why. Let's start by looking at the major eventss to happen in the thread and compare them to what HoD has been posting about. Day1 major events: People began by pointing fingers because he said he would be busy IRL and didn't provide much content before he left. We moved on from this because there was nothing was raised that made Bluelights seem likeley to flip scum My "lets not let people lurk" plan is met with resounding apathy Mr. Wiggles posted analysis of Palmar and Palmar received votes Palmar posted a defence/counter-case and WIggles received votes People spoke out against this and the main focus was placed on players who were lurking risk/refallen/Erandor/Tyrran/Grackaroni/RoL were the other players in the spotlight Erandor gathered votes and a case was made against risk.nuke Risk.nuke lead votes and reached 9 votes There was a switch in the last hour/5minutes to lynch Erandorr HoD day1 posts: + Show Spoiler + On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Oh hey, a game of mafia! So as I am sure many of you are aware, the demons have no kp. The angels on the other hand, have 1 kp that they can use on anything, and 1 kp that they can use on demons, or "dark" town players. Given that we also have a demon hunter that can kill anything that isn't an angel, and a town sage that can undo the demonic corruption, I think it is pretty clear that our first priority should be to find and lynch angels. Hell, corrupted town can even help us find the demons. Lynching a demon is certainly preferable to no lynching or lynching town, but our main focus must be on lynching angels. They cannot be killed outside of lynching, and if we manage to lynch either the angel of death or the acolyte we lower their potential kp. If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now. All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more. Starts out writing about Angels and Demons Recommends we do not discuss Angel or Demon strategies so that we do not help them out. On January 04 2012 16:17 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 16:02 Blazinghand wrote: On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now. I'm guessing we'll just identify scum and kill them. Also, although angels have the KPs, it's possible to kill an angel while eliminating 0 kps or just eliminating their "semi" kp while conserving their masked KP. Demons are a much bigger threat long run with their lynch control. On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more. No. This is a terrible idea. If there are strategies for angels and demons that are obvious (like demons using corrupted votes to go after blues or masking an important death) it's so, SO important that you share it so we can figure out how to deal with it. If it can help, share it with the town. Honestly, they already have 3 people per team and already know whatever it is you're gonna share. The idea that we should try to avoid sharing information is exactly the kind of scummy idea that sinks towns. Don't be that guy. On January 04 2012 15:51 Bluelightz wrote: Well, helo guys anyway what do you think on how should we approach the day 1 lynch? step 1) find scum step 2) lynch them step 0 is get everyone to talk so we can get reads. You are informed when you are corrupted. If the sage is still alive you say "I got corrupted" and then the sage cleans you of corruption. 2 cycles of demon powers taken care of. (they only get to corrupt every other night) As I said, I am not very worried about them until we lose our demon hunter or sage. Tells corrupted town to claim, which would allow the acolyte to kill them. On January 04 2012 16:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 16:52 Refallen wrote: Finally started! Hype! My first thoughts on the setup; Obviously, I think the best way to go about this game is to focus on killing angels in the early game. Once we get rid of the acolyte, the seer has an infinitely easier job in cleansing corruption because we can actually claim if we got corrupted and not get targetted right now as we get closer to the late game lynching demons obviously becomes more and more important, but town would have a huge benefit if we can reduce angel KP early on in the game, as this has a building effect of letting more townies live = demon corrupt has less of an impact. Oh right, kills resolve before corruption removal. T_T This is pointed out, and he acknowledges it. He doesn't say don't claim, but it is implied. Bearing in mind that he later claims sage, he doesn't seem to understand how the sage functions after he received his role, (because he isn't the sage). On January 04 2012 17:19 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 16:58 Blazinghand wrote: On January 04 2012 16:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 04 2012 16:52 Refallen wrote: Finally started! Hype! My first thoughts on the setup; Obviously, I think the best way to go about this game is to focus on killing angels in the early game. Once we get rid of the acolyte, the seer has an infinitely easier job in cleansing corruption because we can actually claim if we got corrupted and not get targetted right now as we get closer to the late game lynching demons obviously becomes more and more important, but town would have a huge benefit if we can reduce angel KP early on in the game, as this has a building effect of letting more townies live = demon corrupt has less of an impact. Oh right, kills resolve before corruption removal. T_T Why are you quoting him and not me ._. i be all up in in this thread pointing these things out way earlier You pointed it out in the post prior, I was reading the thread, and read the whole thread before replying to it, and his was the more recent mention of it so I hit the quote button on that one. Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 16:31 Blazinghand wrote: On January 04 2012 16:20 Bluelightz wrote: I think that the channeler should use his/her ability as a medic power as well as being a roleblock power Yes this seems fairly obvious for a "jailer" type ability On January 04 2012 16:17 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 04 2012 16:02 Blazinghand wrote: On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: If we lose our demon hunter or sage, then we need to start worrying about the demons more, and if we lose both then they become a threat on par with the angels, if not a greater threat. Now, I am not really sure how to distinguish between angel and demon rather than just town or not town until we get an angel or a demon to flip, but if you have a leaning toward one or the other, remember that killing angels is more important for now. I'm guessing we'll just identify scum and kill them. Also, although angels have the KPs, it's possible to kill an angel while eliminating 0 kps or just eliminating their "semi" kp while conserving their masked KP. Demons are a much bigger threat long run with their lynch control. On January 04 2012 15:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: All that being said, I don't want to hear about strategies for angels or for demons unless you also have a very good counter to said strategy that you will be sharing with us. They both already have 3 people per team to figure out the best way to play this setup, no sense in helping them out even more. No. This is a terrible idea. If there are strategies for angels and demons that are obvious (like demons using corrupted votes to go after blues or masking an important death) it's so, SO important that you share it so we can figure out how to deal with it. If it can help, share it with the town. Honestly, they already have 3 people per team and already know whatever it is you're gonna share. The idea that we should try to avoid sharing information is exactly the kind of scummy idea that sinks towns. Don't be that guy. On January 04 2012 15:51 Bluelightz wrote: Well, helo guys anyway what do you think on how should we approach the day 1 lynch? step 1) find scum step 2) lynch them step 0 is get everyone to talk so we can get reads. You are informed when you are corrupted. If the sage is still alive you say "I got corrupted" and then the sage cleans you of corruption. 2 cycles of demon powers taken care of. (they only get to corrupt every other night) As I said, I am not very worried about them until we lose our demon hunter or sage. What do you think about information sharing? Are you still anti-sharing-ways-to-fight-strategies-and-stuff? Also-- the downside of claiming corruption is the "night actions order" The Transport and Banish actions are resolved simultaneously before all other actions, and can consequently cause the other actions to fail. All other actions except corruption and the cleansing aspect of the illuminate action are then resolved. The corruption action is then resolved (even if the demon who is performing the action was killed the same night.) Finally, the cleansing aspect of the illuminate action is resolved (even if the sage was killed the same night.) The acolyte can just crap on you before you get cleansed. that's the risk. This is a complicated game, take some time to read the OP before commenting on this sort of thing I explicitly said don't share them unless you have a counter. I never said I was against sharing ways to fight strategies. If anything my statement implies that you should share if you have a counter to an angel or demon strategy. Don't twist my words. As for the order of action resolution, I read it when the game was posted and for some reason thought I recalled the cleansing being the first thing to resolve, not last. My bad. Emphasises the "Unless you have a counter" part. As if that justifies the don't talk about scum strats in an open setup stance. (it doesn't) On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Some things to think about: If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well. The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel. The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that. On Bluelightz: I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about. On his 12th post he promises to read BL's filter.Everything else before this has been roles and setup-based speculation. This kind of posting is really safe to make at the start of the game as he doesn't need to make a stance on anything. Note the Bolded part. Note that HoD claimed that Grackaroni was "not demon" when he claimed. Not only is this a contradiction, but this time he didn't add a condition whereby what he is saying doesn't apply as he did in his first post. On January 05 2012 04:53 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 05 2012 04:45 Blazinghand wrote: So HoD, you rather reasonably want to give BL an additional chance to post, and rather reasonably don't want to always be lynching lurkers. What are your thoughts for a d1 lynch then, if it's not gonna be "guy who's posting terribly"? Or are we still acquiring reads or what Lynch the person that seems scummiest, obviously. And still acquiring reads. We have plenty of time left, no need to rush the lynch. Not only is this general easy-to-give general advice but when he later votes, HoD votes to "avoid a no-lynch" On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He has now talked a little about lynching lurkers, He suggests lynching Palmar or Erandorr for inactivity. (this is pre-Wiggles case) On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote: HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick. He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup. (this is what the majority of his posts are about) At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town. In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting. So far there has been no scumhunting done by him On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for) Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to. I'll wait for more posts. All but two of my posts as of when you said this occurred while I was one of 5 people with posts in the game. Clearly I shoulda been scum hunting hard with all that info in the thread. I also did not and do not want a lurker lynch today. I wanted Palmar and Erandorr to start contributing, and the thread was fairly inactive at the time, so I thought bringing up a more controversial idea like lynching a couple veteran players might help get things moving, or at least get them contributing a bit more. Also, please don't use my first game ever to establish a meta on me. I've obviously adjusted my play since then. Try checking out Steamship or Election (as TotallyNotTwoPeople, starting game day 2 for when I basically began playing solo) to get a better meta read on me. @risk.nuke Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? The "everyone looks town!" is surely incriminating, but I am not finding the carefree being incriminating. Why would town get nervous when accused? They know they are innocent. Explaining themselves, yes, but I know I get annoyed, not nervous. @jackal, erandorr, xsksc and RebirthOfLeGenD Planning on doing...anything? Posting things would be appreciated. @refallen In election mafia I was only able to clear you on the basis of you figuring out exactly what scum had done in several situations when pointing it out was solely detrimental to scum. That is not the most reliable way of establishing your innocence if you are in fact town. Do you have a lynch target yet? He steps up to defend himself and makes two contradictions: underlined: "I didn't want to bolded: "Don't use meta from my first (but recent) game against me. I have changed. Use meta from a game where i was account sharing day1 when you try to analyse my day1 play, or use meta from another game". The "I've obviously adjusted my play" really doesn't hold weight given how few games he has played. The question to risk nuke adds to the discussion topic at the time. The rest is useless. On January 06 2012 12:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Grackaroni: + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 09:06 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote: HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick. He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup. (this is what the majority of his posts are about) At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town. In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting. So far there has been no scumhunting done by him On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for) Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to. I'll wait for more posts. All but two of my posts as of when you said this occurred while I was one of 5 people with posts in the game. Clearly I shoulda been scum hunting hard with all that info in the thread. I also did not and do not want a lurker lynch today. I wanted Palmar and Erandorr to start contributing, and the thread was fairly inactive at the time, so I thought bringing up a more controversial idea like lynching a couple veteran players might help get things moving, or at least get them contributing a bit more. Also, please don't use my first game ever to establish a meta on me. I've obviously adjusted my play since then. Try checking out Steamship or Election (as TotallyNotTwoPeople, starting game day 2 for when I basically began playing solo) to get a better meta read on me. That's basically one of the reasons I'm suspicious. You post a lot at the start and then when scumhunting begins you disappear, not that you didn't scumhunt at the start. The only meta I got from you was that you seemed like somebody who posted a lot and spent a lot of time scumhunting in that game. I should have looked into more recent games but what's wrong with letting me think that of you? Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 05:50 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 06 2012 05:39 risk.nuke wrote: On January 06 2012 05:08 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @risk.nuke Isn't carefree play usually a townie trait? How does seeming carefree implicate bluelightz? The "everyone looks town!" is surely incriminating, but I am not finding the carefree being incriminating. Why would town get nervous when accused? They know they are innocent. Explaining themselves, yes, but I know I get annoyed, not nervous. It depends. If you are having a single one or two people accusing you, you get annoyed. Like I am now now with syllo. Or example in steamship prplhz tried to get me lynched on a bad case. I got annoyed. Then there are situations where you have a majority of people looking suspiciously at you. You've likely messed up and done something to justify their suspicions but you need to defend yourself. If you mess up town mislynch you. There is a situation I would be nervous in. Hmm, a fair point I suppose, but he had about as many people saying he was a bad lynch as he had saying he was a decent target, so I still don't know how much nervousness that would really induce. Also, an accusation from syllo is more likely to be a death-sentence than an accusation from someone like grackaroni or blazinghand, so I would think that would be more of the nervousness inducing suspicion... :-) @Grackaroni Could you please explain why you are using your previous game experience with bluelightz, where he was scum, to influence your opinion of how useful he may end up being as town in this game? Things like that along with your poorly constructed case on me certainly aren't looking very good to me so far, but I'll be checking out your previous games to see what kind of standard you should be held to when it comes to your use of logic/case building. the first part of your quote strikes me the wrong way because I get the feeling that you just wanted to downplay my abilities, you don't care if I accuse you and think my opinion should be worth less than a veteran like syllogism. You've done nothing to change my mind, the only person you call scummy is me and your reasoning is that you think my case against you is shitty + you add in my opinion of bluelightz which I don't think you would have even mentioned if I didn't accuse you. Next you make some posts about people lurking and leave. You haven't been scumhunting but you keep giving me reasons to believe that you have lots of time to do so : [previous game with lots of scumhunting and posting, early signup, post a lot on strategies at the start of the game (early to find out it started too) quick to see my post and has time to defend yourself] You're definitely holding back in your posting. Yes, I give your opinion less weight than I give syllo's. If you want to change that, be correct as often as he is over the course of many games. I am often around, as I work from a computer all day, but my availability fluctuates. I found out about this game through a PM for early signups from Zona, so yes I found out about it pretty early, I don't see what that has to do with anything. If you check when I usually start posting during the day, you will find that it is often around the time you posted your accusations against me. I am not holding back in my posts, I just like to get at least something from everyone before I really start making judgements. If you actually cared, you could easily look up my more recent play and you'd find that I tend to ask a lot of questions during games and I don't usually do a ton of case-building day 1 and realize your meta-argument is useless. If you think inactivity is a scum tell for me, be sure to read day 1 of election mafia. I did roughly nothing, I was town. Basically what I am trying to say is, you are wasting time/effort tunneling me and I'd appreciate it if you put in the effort needed to realize that. Speaking of asking questions, you ignored my question regarding bluelightz. Anyway, on to more useful topics. Re: Palmar I agree that his lack of activity is suspicious and rather out of the ordinary for him, but I am wondering if it is worthwhile to risk lynching a potentially very strong scum-hunter on the grounds of not caring this early into the game. I know of at least one other game where he didn't take day 1 very seriously (XVIII I think it was?). If that is the only one, than obviously his play so far is more damning than if he does this every so often. If any of the vets could fill me in on whether or not he has messed around day 1 in other games as well it would be appreciated. I'd also like to hear syllo's opinion on the matter, since if I am not mistaken syllo is usually quite good at reading Palmar. (If I am mistaken, feel free to correct me) @Refallen You seem more aggressive/bold in your defense than the past two games of yours that I just took a quick look back at. Have any explanation in particular for that? After some more comments about BL he decides to defend Palmar because town Palmar is valuable. He praises syllogism a lot. On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran Based on limited past experience and meta: Eran lynch- fine Risk lynch- unsure, wants to here more Tyrran lynch- very limited arguments for him being scum, "placeholder vote" He then calls Palmar apathetic, generally asks for thoughts on Tyrran. Then he posts this: On January 08 2012 06:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Unfortunately I will not be around for the lynch deadline. As stated previously, I am also fine with an Erandorr lynch, so I will be switching my vote to him now as I don't want a no-lynch to occur. Sorry, no birthday sympathy from me. He has shown no commitment to this game, and it is my understanding that this makes him very likely to be scum. In spite of the fact that at this point in time the tide was turning on risk and the votes were 6/5 risk/Eran before he voted. and that he says he voted because he didn't want a no-lynch to occur he votes for Eran tie-ing the vote. The two players that had a chance of being lynched were Erandorr and risk.nuke. This had been evident from before his post in which he voted Tyrran, and wrote a sentence on both risk and Erandor. He avoids giving an opinion on risk.nuke. HoD barely talks about either risk or Erandorr, he was actively taking part in discussion early on but when the lynch drew near he didn't bother to give a proper opinion or try to influence other peoples opinions. Major events Night 2/ Day 3: High levels of inactivity. notable acussations against Jackal, HoD, Tyrran Grackaroni makes the first "spaackel is scum post" because spaackal thought Palmar was town. Cwave killed by Demon Hunter, Mr Wiggles killed by AoD, Syllogism Jailed. Lynch targets and cases against RoL, and HoD. HoD gains 5 votes and people willing to hamer in. Hold off of lynching him and agree to lynch RoL and jail HoD. HoD claims sage during this time. RoL given time to defend self. RoL claims channeller, doesw very little else RoL lynched flip is concealed. HoD day2 posts: + Show Spoiler + On January 08 2012 13:44 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Hmm, should have stayed on Tyrran I guess. Ah well, based on his effort so far in this game/in election mafia, nothing of value was lost (at least not beyond the worth of another warm body). I'm still interested in Tyrran as a lynch target, and I would like to hear more people's opinions of him. He starts out by saying he still think's Tyrran is a good lynch and wants other people to contribute their thoughts. He does not commit to saying why or making a strong case. If you are town and you think a player should be lynched, is this how you would approach it? Asking other people to offer opinions and then give yours? What if you think they are really scummy and have reasons? Wouldn't you provide them and give people a reason to focus on that player? However if you are mafia then saying you find a player scummy but not saying why makes a lot of sense: If people start to indicate that they also feel the player is scum you can hide amongst them and seem like a townie voting for a player they think is scum. It allows you to claim that you started the case or that you had been pressuring the player should player question what you have been doing. It allows you to back off and not bring it up again should you widh because you haven't committed any arguments as to why you think that. On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 20:31 syllogism wrote: Harbingerofdoom's refusal to vote for Risk seems quite bad as well. He is still ignoring risk and not really explaining why. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. @RebirthOfLegend Demons ignore the blues, angels target two, they have a 50% chance of killing the channeler night 1, second night they get him for sure. Best case scenario is we have one blue alive after night 2, worst case they are all dead night 2. In the meantime we roleblock one of our own blues. Alternately, they ignore blues with the angel of death, use that kill on our best scum hunters and use the acolyte on our blues. Also, this plan ignores the possibility of a blue deciding not to go along with it and claim. Basically, I think the plan is quite bad. He defends himself and says that the reason people are calling his actions around the vote are that he was soft-defending risk. He then attacks that logic to defend himself. Actually what is scummy is that he was disinterested in the vote because if he was/is mafia then he knew the players were not on his team but that one of them could have been on the opposite scum team. Should he get involved and one player gets lynched and flips scum and the other later flips scum, he would then receive a ton of attention. If he is town then he should not need to be so cautious and should have been making himself heard. He then comments on RoL's plan by re-hashing outcomes i had previously outlined here and here On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 04:57 layabout wrote: On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Well.. i made a slight error here (RoL had said he would vote for erandor here but he never voted) -HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935 Erandor had four votes when HoD voted: Grackaroni, Blazinghand, Tyrran and Cwave Risk.nuke had 6 votes:syllogism, Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr, @HoD your primary reasoning was to that to avoid a no-lynch you would vote for Erandorr because you were "fine with lynching him" in light of all of the pressure of risk.nuke why didn't you comment on it? if you wanted to avoid the no-lynch why did you vote Erandorr rather than voting for risk, who had the most votes? ...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game: Show nested quote + Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong? Here is me asking about him in Steamship: Show nested quote + Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.@risk.nuke Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game? He was leaning scum on Erandor and Null on risk. Which is interesting because on that day he basically ignored risk and his "leaning scum" was due to inactivity. He draws a parallel between day1 this game and day1 steamship, implies that him not being aggressive day1 in both games and him being town that game means that he must be town this game. Not only is that poor logic, but he has criticised the points made against risk by addressing an aspect of the meta side and ignore the rest. (fun (slightly subjective)fact:risk just ignored the meta side and made weak comments that did not directly address the other points) On January 09 2012 06:12 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 05:55 layabout wrote: Eventually he became aggressive, but he wasn't right off the bat. If my meta reason is bollocks, then what, did I magically post that in a prior game to cover my ass in this one? Don't be dense. Your reasoning this game fir him being not scummy is that: In a previous game you felt he wasn't being aggressive at a certain point during day1 and that this might have made him scummy. He turned out to be town. In this game at a point near the end of day 1 risk nuke hadn't been aggressive and conclude that he isn't scummy, or completely dismiss the difference in play style. There is a difference in his play style and it was apparent when you voted. In this game he had had an awful lot longer to be aggressive but he wasn't (and still hasn't been). This means that actually his meta was different There were numerous other reasons that had been pointed out which you completely disregarded. Also, if you were in this game, you would know that this is his vote being "thrown around" is the farthest thing from the truth. By "throw around" i mean used for pressure. In that game he was exercising he voting power and using it to get reactions out of people, in this game he hopped on erandor at the brink to save himself.Oh shit, he went 24 hours more than he did previously without being aggressive? Clearly scum! Also, when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it. And there definitely wasn't any aggressive tones in these posts, no, not at all! Before my vote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote: Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr. Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar. After it: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:02 risk.nuke wrote: The one fucking thing that should make you realise what a bad lynch I am is how fucking easily I'm getting bandwagon-sheeped to the block. Layabout is really the only one who's tried to write some reasoning, even though it's really really bad reasoning that was all it took because with that and ridiculous meta-claims I'm free to sheep, you don't need to state why I'm scummy, hell this is a bandwagon the more the merrier right. What information will you get when I flip town? Squat. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:12 risk.nuke wrote: I should had taken a bus 10 minutes ago, but I'm waiting here for you, in the bloody of-chance that you might see some reason and change the lynch because if I left now I know I will die and when I flip town people is going to whine and bitch about how I gave up and let myself get lynched so please speak. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:48 risk.nuke wrote: Blazinghand quit beeing a huge troll. You did some pressuring but that's all you've done, after that you just got convinced of your own selfimportance so please tune it down. Now, can I stop talking about somebody I still have a damn null read on, or would you like me to keep wasting time on the matter? Underlined:Clearly a lot of people didn't have null reads on risk nuke as he had reached 9 votes before AND was under a lot of pressure at this time AND was lynched quite a while before the lynch deadline. Why would HoD try to distance himself from a risk lynch? Because he knew that risk was not on his team. Bolded:"when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it." he basically admits that he didn't put effort into deciding who to vote + On January 07 2012 08:07 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 08:06 Blazinghand wrote: On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran So you are voting Tyrran based on Meta instead of Erandorr who you think is likely to be scum due to being a lurker? Yes, because I think Tyrran is more likely to be scum than Erandorr at this time. On January 09 2012 10:48 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 10:46 Jackal58 wrote: On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet). Why would he flip?. He's not dead. You didn't flip. What? Why would who flip? I was/am confused that the angel of death didn't kill anyone and think it is most likely that syllo was targeted by the angel of death. Having popped in to defend himself he tries to force discussion about safer topics: Speculation about about night actions! On January 10 2012 03:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Why I think I was put in purgatory: I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts: + Show Spoiler + Detailed understanding of the role: On January 04 2012 17:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote: Game on! This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway... I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills. Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful. What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter. Demon Hunter: Twister: Doesn't make any mention of attack (nor of sense). Demon hunter should be good to go on any twisted demons. First to point out that the demon hunter is also effective vs angels: On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Some things to think about: If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well. The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel. The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that. On Bluelightz: I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about. Unfortunately for the demons, and fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face. (Yes, it is possible that it was the acolyte, but why would the angels kill someone they could get lynched when lynching is the only way for us to kill the angels?) I already highlighted why this is scummy/ incorrect http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13077558 please read the full exchange for context On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote: I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!) It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway. Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do. Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel? Let's look at the scenarios: 1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons. 2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons. 3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill. I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel. Not only is this stupid but it relies on assumptions about how the angels would act - He would kill Palmar because he could get him lynched? Based on the effort he has put into getting players lynched I sincerely doubt that this is the case. On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:22 layabout wrote: The post serves to help clarify the situation and give town some potentially useful information, clarity and information are both valuable to town. Ideally it also lowers suspicion on myself, which seeing as I know I am town, is also good for town. Also, as I said, it is NOT WIFOM if the goal is to roleblock. Not doing it doesn't roleblock me, it isn't like if I was the demon hunter I'd go "better not send in a night action in case I get roleblocked!" Roleblocking stops someone from using their role if roleblock them, and doesn't if you don't do it. WIFOM is they killed x, he was suspicious of y! Does that mean y is scum, or they want us to think y is scum? Yes, it is possible they wanted to increase suspicion on me as well, and that part is subject to WIFOM'ing. (They wanted to make me more suspicious, so that actually makes me less suspicious, but they would know that so it is more suspicious....etc etc etc) You haven't said what the "potentially useful information is" yet you say that you have given it and that it was valuable to town. You don't know what the goal is! You can'teven know for certain who palmar transported (unless you are a demon and he told you or you are the channeller). I suggest that the whole thing is subject to WIFOM-ing. It is called "Why i think i was put in Purgatory", what exactly can you follow that up with that is wifom!! Wifom is also: did Palmar tansported HoD? why? Does that mean HoD is scum with him? Did Palmar think he was the other scumteam? Did Palmar wish to increase suspicion? since your post provides answers to those questions and attempts to explain them then yes it is WIFOM. It isn't helpful. *sigh* So if you think this is pure WIFOM, why are you even discussing it? I found a simple explanation for my being sent to purgatory, simple explanations are often correct. And no, I can't know for certain that it was Palmar that did it, but if it was the town channeler then our channeler is dumb as fuck, which I find unlikely. The valuable information is what likely happened in regards to the night actions last night. Knowing our own roles and alignments, Syllo and I have better insight into it than most. Obviously the channeler, demon hunter, and scum teams know a good deal as well, but I doubt they'll be claiming just to clarify this. He asks why i am discussing WIFOM. I am accusing him of using WIFOM. Note that the two are different and that as he is being accused and is scum it makes sense for him to make it seem like a discussion instead. If you believe that we were discussing it then he makes the point that i shouldn't be doing so because i believe it to be WIFOM. If i shouldn't be discussing it why should you be reading it? He calls it a discussion to make you think it was a discussion and then dismiss it. He also uses occams razor, its a simple solution, the simplest solution is usually correct ==> you should believe the simple solution i have suggested. There are many other simple solutions to "what happened and why" that he could have been defending. He is applying the logic to mislead in a situation in which it is not valid. On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:09 Cwave wrote: On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel? Let's look at the scenarios: 1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons. 2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons. 3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill. I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel. Wowowowo, you oversee(on purpose?) one thing. This is a 3 faction game but when it comes to lyncing, its a 2 faction game looking from your own POV(town,angel,demon). Lynching is our only way to kill angels and demons help just as much with their lynch vote as the town when it comes to killing an angel. So your point 3 is wrong cause when you are the AoD you want demon and town dead as they can lynch vote you. And of all the demons, the demonic courier is the one that can actually hurt the angel team. So hell yeah you would hit Palmar if you knew he was the courier. Point 1) can you out your angel of death and get him couriered for 3 straight nights. Point 2) can get you the twister or courier killed, all in the benefit of both the town and angels. Another weird point if that you choose to eloborate point 3) with way more effort and text. If this was "The mentalist" or "Lie to me" i would call dibs in the couch on who was the liar as people tend to put to much effort in the lie they want to tell. Points up on my suspected angel-list HoB...... ...but there is literally a 0% chance of angels knowing which demon role Palmar was before he flipped so that is irrelevant. And you hit blues over demons because the seer, demon hunter, and channeler are all incredibly potent town assets against angels, and demons being alive gives you valid targets to scum hunt and get lynched instead of your teammates. If town is weak, sure, they might start killing off some demons on purpose, but them doing so now would be stupid. I elaborated point 3 because it was the only one that might actually be worth a damn to the demons. Now, unless anyone has specific questions for me or actually wants to lynch me instead of just saying "I think he might be an angel" and then doing nothing about it, I will no longer be mentioning my trip to purgatory/what I think the reasoning behind it is and will instead focus on more useful shit. Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote: Suspicious bastards: risk.nuke Refallen Tyrran Dirkzor RoL Jackal? (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler. @Tyrran You still have yet to make any real contributions. Planning to start doing so any time soon? @Those suspicious of Syllo I think you are mistaken. The odds of him being a demon after his interactions with Palmar seems quite low to me, unless he was willing to bus Palmar today, he mentioned Palmar was essentially claiming scum during the night. I think it is very likely he was targeted by the angel of death, the only way I could see him not being town is if he is the angel of death. He speculates even more about angels and demons and commits to "focusing on more useful shit" He does this by asking me to explain my "suspicious bastards" list after i had been pressuring him. Now if you have had eve a cursory glance at my filter you will probably observe that i am thorough. I highlight things and i had during the previous day/night mentioned things i found scummy about all but one of these players. Other players have sheep voted or made baseless accusations and HoD could have picked up on one of these. So i then posted a sort explanation of why and he responded: On January 10 2012 05:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:48 layabout wrote: @ Hod On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote: Suspicious bastards: risk.nuke If you do not know why he is here then you aren't reading the thread Refallen Some found him scummy day1 but the lie about voting erandorr is one of the most anti-town acts thusfar Tyrran Not posted a whole lot, persistently called scum but has done nothing to help town nor suggest townie. Dirkzor I literally just wrote why (he is a fairly new addition) RoL For suggesting a plan that could easily have caused lylo day 4 with no blues and his actions around lynch-time. Jackal? His actions around lynch time and lack of justification and lack of willingness to discuss. (least scummy) (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) If you had been reading the thread the least obvious would have been Tyrran because i haven't really talked about him up until this point. The others i feel i have already justified in a way that makes your questioning redundant. Why insinuate that I haven't been reading the thread? I assure you I have read every post at least once, and most more than that. Also, I started writing that post (and my one immediately prior) before your explanation of Dirkzor, and had not refreshed since then. I have no way of knowing if you have posted 100% of your reasoning for a player being scum, I saw you had called RoL's plan bad, but so had lots of people, and I don't think merely suggesting it is enough to make him scum and wanted to know if there was anything else. Syllo already pointed out why your reasoning for Refallen is questionable, and I honestly didn't think you would deem him scummy solely on that. Presumably after Palmar's flip Jackal looks better - he strongly wanted people to vote Palmar, so I wanted to know what your reasoning was there. As you said, you hadn't mentioned much on Tyrran yet. Hey look, my question was valid on 5/6 (or 4/6 had I refreshed earlier), sure was redundant! underlined:This is quite a strange statement why would i have posted 100% of my reasoning for all 6 of those players being scum. Since i had barely (if at all) mentioned Tyrran and since before he refreshed i hadn't mentioned Dirkzor, it is obvious that i hadn't posted all of my reasoning, thus he should not have judged my calling them suspicious by the standard of have you posted 100% of your reasoning? +(i do not want to make an issuse of this now) it should be obvious why i believed Refallen lied about his vote on the deadline and it should be obvious why i might find that suspicious. +Palmars flip may have made Jackal look suspicious but given that Jackal always focuses on Palmar day1 to me it didn't even make it much less likely that Jackal was a demon. My suspicion of him was based on his arriving at the last minute and basically deciding the vote having not made his stance on the candidates clear earlier (most of that was in the timeline post) On January 10 2012 05:45 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 05:39 layabout wrote: @HoD If you wanted me to provide 100% of my reasoning then you should have asked that. Care to anything about it? I had said enough previously for your vague question of "care to anything about it" to be redundant. Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler. You call it empty useless filler. Your posting today has been empty useless filler. Unless you have anything valid and worthy of my attention to say to me then I am going to ignore you for as long as I feel like/ I could have asked that, but townies usually like to be transparent in their actions, so I thought asking if you'd like to explain would suffice. Also, please don't use the quote tag and then include something which is not a quote. That is misleading. The actual quote is: Not : his original question was "Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler." I wanted to make the point that given how vague this question was and given that i had raised suspicions about the players in the list i felt that it was redundant question. I then challenged him to make his first real contribution. But alas my inept typing/formatting let me down. And like every other person to lose an argument ever he corrects my grammar and ignores my point. On January 10 2012 05:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Zephirdd Care to elaborate on what it is about Tyrran's posting that makes you change your mind between here Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 13:54 Zephirdd wrote: I dont think Tyrran is a good kill, in fact he is playinmg just like his meta. And here: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote: -snipped- No, there is not enough info for pushing a lynch, but I'd like people to keep an eye on him. Also Tyrran, his posts are weird for me. Changing your mind is obviously fine, but I'd like to know why beyond "his posts are weird". He is still poking people to get them to call Tyrran scummy without providing his own contribution. He then makes a few more posts that speculate about night actions On January 10 2012 15:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: While I still agree RoL is far from being the towniest of players, I'm having trouble seeing how he suggests that plan as scum. The only reason for scum to suggest a knowingly anti-town plan is if they also think they will be able to get town to follow through with it. Given the overwhelming negative response to the plan, I think it was quite clear to most people that a town would never follow through with that plan. Also, this is the guy that suggested we lynch 7 people in one day in steamship when there was an explicit warning about dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day (for those not aware, we could vote for and lynch as many as we wanted to in one day in that game), so I am not sold on him being too bright to suggest this plan as town. I'm not sure if anyone else picked up on it, but despite all of the legitimate concerns voiced against the plan during the night, Tyrran had this to say earlier today: Show nested quote + With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it? I would obviously prefer to lynch Tyrran over Risk today, but I don't like how Risk has fallen off the face of the earth now that there has been less suspicion on him/pushing for his lynch. He hasn't gotten himself into any real shouting matches yet either, which is unlike him. Also the fact that Syllo is still suspicious of him is of interest of me, because Syllo is often right, and the later into the game it goes, the more likely it is that he is correct. @Syllo Is there anything in particular that makes you think Risk is a better lynch than Tyrran? He post's this. most of the points are already made by sylloigsm here (clicky)here and The reasoning was also outlined here from an exchange between myself and syllogism. I later try to explain this to BH much to my own frustration. This argument is completely not original. He also makes it in a peculiar way Bolded: they fact that the town response was negative does not also mean that scum would have expected an entirely negative response. Underlined: In steamship, if town had lynched those 7 players you would have killed zephird, Greymist and cyber cheese, since Greymists role is what killed town after the roleclaim then that plan arguably would have won the game, so i don't get what your point is. Your say you would like a tyrran lynch and you also encourage people to listen to syllo who wants to lynch risk. Scum HoD would have known for certain that a risk lynch was not going to kill his team-mate. On January 10 2012 17:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Grackaroni At the start of this game it looked like you were going to be useful and do things and say stuff. Then the day one lynch happened and you apparently decided that you had done quite enough of that 'being involved in the game' nonsense. Since then the only real post you've made is still not particularly useful or insightful: + Show Spoiler + On January 10 2012 13:07 Grackaroni wrote: I agree with you BH, RoL looks really scummy. It's not the fact that he has been fairly inactive and "hustling" like erandorr but that he's been actively using his time to push a plan that is bad for town and defending his plan rather than scumhunting. Since he is already coming kind of close to the lynch (would be 5/9) I'm going to refrain from voting until he comes in to defend himself. Why the loss of interest? Are you planning on going back to being active/useful anytime soon? Do you have any other reads you might like to share? You criticise Grack for behaviour that matches yous (saying stuff early and then not contributing) and ask him a bunch of questions On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @RoL See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6 Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither. My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now: Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote: In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran. So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ? You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ? On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ? Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched. While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game: + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote: Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too ##Vote Kenpachi So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously). Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777 + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote: Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it. ##Vote: Kenpachi ##Vote: Nisani201 And this Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote: ##Vote: Sabin010 Bad vibes also this - On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote: I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off. On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote: This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same. Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on. You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other. If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day. On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote: Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit. We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are. Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit. Oh, hi kibbibit ![]() ##Vote Nisani201 On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote: We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here. Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy. Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote: Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though. So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ? FoS bumatlarge. On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote: On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote: On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote: Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town. ##Vote Kenpachi perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him? If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum. If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy. If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment. If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum. I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment. Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free. Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway. Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that. ##Vote Kenpachi On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote: So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum. First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy? He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him. ##Vote Sinani206 On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote: Also, while I'm at it : ##Vote: Coagulation ##Vote: Sabin010 ##Vote: xsksc You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way. I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have. xsksc's filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333 Spaackle takes over: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534 I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before. @Cwave Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet. Some examples: + Show Spoiler + Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town. Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother. This logic is flimsy at best.Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners. -snip- In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1. He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell. ...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever. You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel..... (this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched? In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know. Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget. No, i say Risk is my number one case. Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?If we can lynch him today, i will vote. Also, why did you say this: Show nested quote + And then never vote for me?As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD. Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course. ##Vote: Tyrran FINALLY you post WHY you think Tyrran is scum! why? because "His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now" dirkzor wrote: In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran. The point has been made that this matches your behavior around the lynch. You yourself highlight that Dirkzor had already made the point you are making. It is not original. You then cast doubt of spaackle because he thought Palmar was town. You encourage people to look at Bluelightz and tell you what they think. You ask Cwave to clarify something. You say a risk lynch is better than a RoL (which is relevant only because tehy are the two people that might ACTUALLY get lynched) You say that would would prefer we lynch neither yet you fail to say why they are bad lynches and you do not provide any convincing reasons for why we should lynch others. You then vote Tyrran, having stated a reason that applies to you, having made next to no effort to convince others to do so. The only other person to vote tyrran was Dirkzor, i wonder why... (it was his argument you were using) + here is a fun activity to try: click on HarbingerOfDoom click all hit Ctrl F type "Tyrran" what do you notice? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
instead of Major events Night 2/ Day 3: it should be Night1/Day2 events: Night Discussion was focused on RoL's plan Palmar flips courier Syllogism/ HoD jailed Discussion about night events and possible actions Priamry lynch candidates: risk.nuke RoL Arguements about the plan +Accusations against: 2 votes on tyrran (HoD, Dirkzor) 1 vote on cwave (Tyrran) 1 vote on Drikzor (Jackal) risknuke hammered with half of the day left HoD day2 posts: + Show Spoiler + On January 08 2012 13:44 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Hmm, should have stayed on Tyrran I guess. Ah well, based on his effort so far in this game/in election mafia, nothing of value was lost (at least not beyond the worth of another warm body). I'm still interested in Tyrran as a lynch target, and I would like to hear more people's opinions of him. He starts out by saying he still think's Tyrran is a good lynch and wants other people to contribute their thoughts. He does not commit to saying why or making a strong case. If you are town and you think a player should be lynched, is this how you would approach it? Asking other people to offer opinions and then give yours? What if you think they are really scummy and have reasons? Wouldn't you provide them and give people a reason to focus on that player? However if you are mafia then saying you find a player scummy but not saying why makes a lot of sense: If people start to indicate that they also feel the player is scum you can hide amongst them and seem like a townie voting for a player they think is scum. It allows you to claim that you started the case or that you had been pressuring the player should player question what you have been doing. It allows you to back off and not bring it up again should you widh because you haven't committed any arguments as to why you think that. On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 20:31 syllogism wrote: Harbingerofdoom's refusal to vote for Risk seems quite bad as well. He is still ignoring risk and not really explaining why. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. @RebirthOfLegend Demons ignore the blues, angels target two, they have a 50% chance of killing the channeler night 1, second night they get him for sure. Best case scenario is we have one blue alive after night 2, worst case they are all dead night 2. In the meantime we roleblock one of our own blues. Alternately, they ignore blues with the angel of death, use that kill on our best scum hunters and use the acolyte on our blues. Also, this plan ignores the possibility of a blue deciding not to go along with it and claim. Basically, I think the plan is quite bad. He defends himself and says that the reason people are calling his actions around the vote are that he was soft-defending risk. He then attacks that logic to defend himself. Actually what is scummy is that he was disinterested in the vote because if he was/is mafia then he knew the players were not on his team but that one of them could have been on the opposite scum team. Should he get involved and one player gets lynched and flips scum and the other later flips scum, he would then receive a ton of attention. If he is town then he should not need to be so cautious and should have been making himself heard. He then comments on RoL's plan by re-hashing outcomes i had previously outlined here and here On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 04:57 layabout wrote: On January 09 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Well.. i made a slight error here (RoL had said he would vote for erandor here but he never voted) -HoD makes it 6-6 risk/eran with just over 3 hours to go to avoid a no lynch he votes for Eran which makes 6-6 whilst a risk vote would have made it 7-5 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13044935 Erandor had four votes when HoD voted: Grackaroni, Blazinghand, Tyrran and Cwave Risk.nuke had 6 votes:syllogism, Refallen, Dirkzor, Zephirdd, layabout, Erandorr, @HoD your primary reasoning was to that to avoid a no-lynch you would vote for Erandorr because you were "fine with lynching him" in light of all of the pressure of risk.nuke why didn't you comment on it? if you wanted to avoid the no-lynch why did you vote Erandorr rather than voting for risk, who had the most votes? ...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game: Show nested quote + Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong? Here is me asking about him in Steamship: Show nested quote + Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.@risk.nuke Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game? He was leaning scum on Erandor and Null on risk. Which is interesting because on that day he basically ignored risk and his "leaning scum" was due to inactivity. He draws a parallel between day1 this game and day1 steamship, implies that him not being aggressive day1 in both games and him being town that game means that he must be town this game. Not only is that poor logic, but he has criticised the points made against risk by addressing an aspect of the meta side and ignore the rest. (fun (slightly subjective)fact:risk just ignored the meta side and made weak comments that did not directly address the other points) On January 09 2012 06:12 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 05:55 layabout wrote: Eventually he became aggressive, but he wasn't right off the bat. If my meta reason is bollocks, then what, did I magically post that in a prior game to cover my ass in this one? Don't be dense. Your reasoning this game fir him being not scummy is that: In a previous game you felt he wasn't being aggressive at a certain point during day1 and that this might have made him scummy. He turned out to be town. In this game at a point near the end of day 1 risk nuke hadn't been aggressive and conclude that he isn't scummy, or completely dismiss the difference in play style. There is a difference in his play style and it was apparent when you voted. In this game he had had an awful lot longer to be aggressive but he wasn't (and still hasn't been). This means that actually his meta was different There were numerous other reasons that had been pointed out which you completely disregarded. Also, if you were in this game, you would know that this is his vote being "thrown around" is the farthest thing from the truth. By "throw around" i mean used for pressure. In that game he was exercising he voting power and using it to get reactions out of people, in this game he hopped on erandor at the brink to save himself.Oh shit, he went 24 hours more than he did previously without being aggressive? Clearly scum! Also, when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it. And there definitely wasn't any aggressive tones in these posts, no, not at all! Before my vote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 09:04 risk.nuke wrote: Erandorr is very likely scum. Simply because a non-posting Erandorr is a red Erandorr. Jackal58 is another person who would likely bleed red. The first thing he does is attack palmar and keeps at it using tunneling and fearmongering, while I am also slightly leaning red on palmar I don't think Jackal would hit him this hard if Jackal was town-aligned, he's just trying to get rid of palmar any means neccersary. He justifys it by saying he always attack palmar day 1 but I think this is just an excuse. He takes a break from his Palmar tunneling to rightfully rage alittle on people listing no-reads but it doesn't mean anything and he haven't contributed anything himself exept tunneling palmar. After it: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:02 risk.nuke wrote: The one fucking thing that should make you realise what a bad lynch I am is how fucking easily I'm getting bandwagon-sheeped to the block. Layabout is really the only one who's tried to write some reasoning, even though it's really really bad reasoning that was all it took because with that and ridiculous meta-claims I'm free to sheep, you don't need to state why I'm scummy, hell this is a bandwagon the more the merrier right. What information will you get when I flip town? Squat. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:12 risk.nuke wrote: I should had taken a bus 10 minutes ago, but I'm waiting here for you, in the bloody of-chance that you might see some reason and change the lynch because if I left now I know I will die and when I flip town people is going to whine and bitch about how I gave up and let myself get lynched so please speak. Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:48 risk.nuke wrote: Blazinghand quit beeing a huge troll. You did some pressuring but that's all you've done, after that you just got convinced of your own selfimportance so please tune it down. Now, can I stop talking about somebody I still have a damn null read on, or would you like me to keep wasting time on the matter? Underlined:Clearly a lot of people didn't have null reads on risk nuke as he had reached 9 votes before AND was under a lot of pressure at this time AND was lynched quite a while before the lynch deadline. Why would HoD try to distance himself from a risk lynch? Because he knew that risk was not on his team. Bolded:"when I voted I hadn't read the newer parts of the thread very carefully as I was busy most of yesterday so I went with my best scum read at the time. Deal with it." he basically admits that he didn't put effort into deciding who to vote + On January 07 2012 08:07 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 08:06 Blazinghand wrote: On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran So you are voting Tyrran based on Meta instead of Erandorr who you think is likely to be scum due to being a lurker? Yes, because I think Tyrran is more likely to be scum than Erandorr at this time. On January 09 2012 10:48 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 10:46 Jackal58 wrote: On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet). Why would he flip?. He's not dead. You didn't flip. What? Why would who flip? I was/am confused that the angel of death didn't kill anyone and think it is most likely that syllo was targeted by the angel of death. Having popped in to defend himself he tries to force discussion about safer topics: Speculation about about night actions! On January 10 2012 03:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Why I think I was put in purgatory: I think Palmar and/or his team mistakenly believed that I was the demon hunter due to these posts: + Show Spoiler + Detailed understanding of the role: On January 04 2012 17:56 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 04 2012 17:46 Dirkzor wrote: Game on! This setup scares the living shit out of me. So many nuances to keep track of. Anyway... I agree that Angels appear to be strongest in the beginning with 1/2 KP. But what haven't been mentioned is that Angels can kill the demon for us aswell. If we lynch Angel of Death and Angelic Acolyte we will have to lynch/Demon hunter the Demons. Since I don't know the Demon hunter or how good that person is, he could just aswell kill 3 town people the first 3 nights which of course would not be very favourable for us. It basicly means we would need to do more correct lynches while having a good demon hunter that don't fuck us over with continously town kills. Demons also have the Twist ability which basicly makes one (1) of their members immune to night actions, rendering the demon hunter to be less useful. What i wanted to point out that even if we get 3 correct Angel lynches (unlikely) the first 3 nights. The demons are equally capable to fuck us over. That is why I think that killing any angel or demon is good. Not one over the other. If we knew which angel or demon, it would be a different matter. Demon Hunter: Twister: Doesn't make any mention of attack (nor of sense). Demon hunter should be good to go on any twisted demons. First to point out that the demon hunter is also effective vs angels: On January 05 2012 03:55 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Some things to think about: If the town seer claims after finding a single angel we have a 2/3 chance of reducing their kp, 2/3 chance of making it much safer to claim corruption, and a 100% chance of getting a lot of good information after the angel flips. There are no abilities in the game which make the reads come back incorrect. The angels also DO NOT have a roleblocking ability, so they then have to decide if they want to target the seer and risk missing a kp if the seer is sent to purgatory or leave him be. Obviously this becomes much riskier if we have already lost our channeler. I'd be interested to hear if other people think having the seer claim after their first angel find is a good idea as well. The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel. The demon hunter is not only useful against demons. His attacks kill anything that isn't an angel....meaning if his target lives and wasn't sent to purgatory, he has successfully identified an angel. However, since he poses a significant threat to both angels and demons, I don't really see much of a reason for the demon hunter to ever claim, except perhaps to avoid a lynch if he fucks up and appears scummy. So please don't do that. On Bluelightz: I will go check out his filter in the newbie game to see what all the fuss is about. Unfortunately for the demons, and fortunately for us, they were incorrect and Palmar got stabbed in the face. (Yes, it is possible that it was the acolyte, but why would the angels kill someone they could get lynched when lynching is the only way for us to kill the angels?) I already highlighted why this is scummy/ incorrect http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13077558 please read the full exchange for context On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote: I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!) It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway. Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do. Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel? Let's look at the scenarios: 1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons. 2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons. 3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill. I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel. Not only is this stupid but it relies on assumptions about how the angels would act - He would kill Palmar because he could get him lynched? Based on the effort he has put into getting players lynched I sincerely doubt that this is the case. On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:22 layabout wrote: The post serves to help clarify the situation and give town some potentially useful information, clarity and information are both valuable to town. Ideally it also lowers suspicion on myself, which seeing as I know I am town, is also good for town. Also, as I said, it is NOT WIFOM if the goal is to roleblock. Not doing it doesn't roleblock me, it isn't like if I was the demon hunter I'd go "better not send in a night action in case I get roleblocked!" Roleblocking stops someone from using their role if roleblock them, and doesn't if you don't do it. WIFOM is they killed x, he was suspicious of y! Does that mean y is scum, or they want us to think y is scum? Yes, it is possible they wanted to increase suspicion on me as well, and that part is subject to WIFOM'ing. (They wanted to make me more suspicious, so that actually makes me less suspicious, but they would know that so it is more suspicious....etc etc etc) You haven't said what the "potentially useful information is" yet you say that you have given it and that it was valuable to town. You don't know what the goal is! You can'teven know for certain who palmar transported (unless you are a demon and he told you or you are the channeller). I suggest that the whole thing is subject to WIFOM-ing. It is called "Why i think i was put in Purgatory", what exactly can you follow that up with that is wifom!! Wifom is also: did Palmar tansported HoD? why? Does that mean HoD is scum with him? Did Palmar think he was the other scumteam? Did Palmar wish to increase suspicion? since your post provides answers to those questions and attempts to explain them then yes it is WIFOM. It isn't helpful. *sigh* So if you think this is pure WIFOM, why are you even discussing it? I found a simple explanation for my being sent to purgatory, simple explanations are often correct. And no, I can't know for certain that it was Palmar that did it, but if it was the town channeler then our channeler is dumb as fuck, which I find unlikely. The valuable information is what likely happened in regards to the night actions last night. Knowing our own roles and alignments, Syllo and I have better insight into it than most. Obviously the channeler, demon hunter, and scum teams know a good deal as well, but I doubt they'll be claiming just to clarify this. He asks why i am discussing WIFOM. I am accusing him of using WIFOM. Note that the two are different and that as he is being accused and is scum it makes sense for him to make it seem like a discussion instead. If you believe that we were discussing it then he makes the point that i shouldn't be doing so because i believe it to be WIFOM. If i shouldn't be discussing it why should you be reading it? He calls it a discussion to make you think it was a discussion and then dismiss it. He also uses occams razor, its a simple solution, the simplest solution is usually correct ==> you should believe the simple solution i have suggested. There are many other simple solutions to "what happened and why" that he could have been defending. He is applying the logic to mislead in a situation in which it is not valid. On January 10 2012 04:32 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:09 Cwave wrote: On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel? Let's look at the scenarios: 1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons. 2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons. 3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill. I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel. Wowowowo, you oversee(on purpose?) one thing. This is a 3 faction game but when it comes to lyncing, its a 2 faction game looking from your own POV(town,angel,demon). Lynching is our only way to kill angels and demons help just as much with their lynch vote as the town when it comes to killing an angel. So your point 3 is wrong cause when you are the AoD you want demon and town dead as they can lynch vote you. And of all the demons, the demonic courier is the one that can actually hurt the angel team. So hell yeah you would hit Palmar if you knew he was the courier. Point 1) can you out your angel of death and get him couriered for 3 straight nights. Point 2) can get you the twister or courier killed, all in the benefit of both the town and angels. Another weird point if that you choose to eloborate point 3) with way more effort and text. If this was "The mentalist" or "Lie to me" i would call dibs in the couch on who was the liar as people tend to put to much effort in the lie they want to tell. Points up on my suspected angel-list HoB...... ...but there is literally a 0% chance of angels knowing which demon role Palmar was before he flipped so that is irrelevant. And you hit blues over demons because the seer, demon hunter, and channeler are all incredibly potent town assets against angels, and demons being alive gives you valid targets to scum hunt and get lynched instead of your teammates. If town is weak, sure, they might start killing off some demons on purpose, but them doing so now would be stupid. I elaborated point 3 because it was the only one that might actually be worth a damn to the demons. Now, unless anyone has specific questions for me or actually wants to lynch me instead of just saying "I think he might be an angel" and then doing nothing about it, I will no longer be mentioning my trip to purgatory/what I think the reasoning behind it is and will instead focus on more useful shit. Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote: Suspicious bastards: risk.nuke Refallen Tyrran Dirkzor RoL Jackal? (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler. @Tyrran You still have yet to make any real contributions. Planning to start doing so any time soon? @Those suspicious of Syllo I think you are mistaken. The odds of him being a demon after his interactions with Palmar seems quite low to me, unless he was willing to bus Palmar today, he mentioned Palmar was essentially claiming scum during the night. I think it is very likely he was targeted by the angel of death, the only way I could see him not being town is if he is the angel of death. He speculates even more about angels and demons and commits to "focusing on more useful shit" He does this by asking me to explain my "suspicious bastards" list after i had been pressuring him. Now if you have had eve a cursory glance at my filter you will probably observe that i am thorough. I highlight things and i had during the previous day/night mentioned things i found scummy about all but one of these players. Other players have sheep voted or made baseless accusations and HoD could have picked up on one of these. So i then posted a sort explanation of why and he responded: On January 10 2012 05:21 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 04:48 layabout wrote: @ Hod On January 10 2012 03:08 layabout wrote: Suspicious bastards: risk.nuke If you do not know why he is here then you aren't reading the thread Refallen Some found him scummy day1 but the lie about voting erandorr is one of the most anti-town acts thusfar Tyrran Not posted a whole lot, persistently called scum but has done nothing to help town nor suggest townie. Dirkzor I literally just wrote why (he is a fairly new addition) RoL For suggesting a plan that could easily have caused lylo day 4 with no blues and his actions around lynch-time. Jackal? His actions around lynch time and lack of justification and lack of willingness to discuss. (least scummy) (there is town there but i think these players should receive heightened attention) If you had been reading the thread the least obvious would have been Tyrran because i haven't really talked about him up until this point. The others i feel i have already justified in a way that makes your questioning redundant. Why insinuate that I haven't been reading the thread? I assure you I have read every post at least once, and most more than that. Also, I started writing that post (and my one immediately prior) before your explanation of Dirkzor, and had not refreshed since then. I have no way of knowing if you have posted 100% of your reasoning for a player being scum, I saw you had called RoL's plan bad, but so had lots of people, and I don't think merely suggesting it is enough to make him scum and wanted to know if there was anything else. Syllo already pointed out why your reasoning for Refallen is questionable, and I honestly didn't think you would deem him scummy solely on that. Presumably after Palmar's flip Jackal looks better - he strongly wanted people to vote Palmar, so I wanted to know what your reasoning was there. As you said, you hadn't mentioned much on Tyrran yet. Hey look, my question was valid on 5/6 (or 4/6 had I refreshed earlier), sure was redundant! underlined:This is quite a strange statement why would i have posted 100% of my reasoning for all 6 of those players being scum. Since i had barely (if at all) mentioned Tyrran and since before he refreshed i hadn't mentioned Dirkzor, it is obvious that i hadn't posted all of my reasoning, thus he should not have judged my calling them suspicious by the standard of have you posted 100% of your reasoning? +(i do not want to make an issuse of this now) it should be obvious why i believed Refallen lied about his vote on the deadline and it should be obvious why i might find that suspicious. +Palmars flip may have made Jackal look suspicious but given that Jackal always focuses on Palmar day1 to me it didn't even make it much less likely that Jackal was a demon. My suspicion of him was based on his arriving at the last minute and basically deciding the vote having not made his stance on the candidates clear earlier (most of that was in the timeline post) On January 10 2012 05:45 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 05:39 layabout wrote: @HoD If you wanted me to provide 100% of my reasoning then you should have asked that. Care to anything about it? I had said enough previously for your vague question of "care to anything about it" to be redundant. Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler. You call it empty useless filler. Your posting today has been empty useless filler. Unless you have anything valid and worthy of my attention to say to me then I am going to ignore you for as long as I feel like/ I could have asked that, but townies usually like to be transparent in their actions, so I thought asking if you'd like to explain would suffice. Also, please don't use the quote tag and then include something which is not a quote. That is misleading. The actual quote is: Not : his original question was "Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler." I wanted to make the point that given how vague this question was and given that i had raised suspicions about the players in the list i felt that it was redundant question. I then challenged him to make his first real contribution. But alas my inept typing/formatting let me down. And like every other person to lose an argument ever he corrects my grammar and ignores my point. On January 10 2012 05:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Zephirdd Care to elaborate on what it is about Tyrran's posting that makes you change your mind between here Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 13:54 Zephirdd wrote: I dont think Tyrran is a good kill, in fact he is playinmg just like his meta. And here: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote: -snipped- No, there is not enough info for pushing a lynch, but I'd like people to keep an eye on him. Also Tyrran, his posts are weird for me. Changing your mind is obviously fine, but I'd like to know why beyond "his posts are weird". He is still poking people to get them to call Tyrran scummy without providing his own contribution. He then makes a few more posts that speculate about night actions On January 10 2012 15:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: While I still agree RoL is far from being the towniest of players, I'm having trouble seeing how he suggests that plan as scum. The only reason for scum to suggest a knowingly anti-town plan is if they also think they will be able to get town to follow through with it. Given the overwhelming negative response to the plan, I think it was quite clear to most people that a town would never follow through with that plan. Also, this is the guy that suggested we lynch 7 people in one day in steamship when there was an explicit warning about dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day (for those not aware, we could vote for and lynch as many as we wanted to in one day in that game), so I am not sold on him being too bright to suggest this plan as town. I'm not sure if anyone else picked up on it, but despite all of the legitimate concerns voiced against the plan during the night, Tyrran had this to say earlier today: Show nested quote + With no ???? flip, RoL plan could still be put into motion. What do you think about it? I would obviously prefer to lynch Tyrran over Risk today, but I don't like how Risk has fallen off the face of the earth now that there has been less suspicion on him/pushing for his lynch. He hasn't gotten himself into any real shouting matches yet either, which is unlike him. Also the fact that Syllo is still suspicious of him is of interest of me, because Syllo is often right, and the later into the game it goes, the more likely it is that he is correct. @Syllo Is there anything in particular that makes you think Risk is a better lynch than Tyrran? He post's this. most of the points are already made by sylloigsm here (clicky)here and The reasoning was also outlined here from an exchange between myself and syllogism. I later try to explain this to BH much to my own frustration. This argument is completely not original. He also makes it in a peculiar way Bolded: they fact that the town response was negative does not also mean that scum would have expected an entirely negative response. Underlined: In steamship, if town had lynched those 7 players you would have killed zephird, Greymist and cyber cheese, since Greymists role is what killed town after the roleclaim then that plan arguably would have won the game, so i don't get what your point is. Your say you would like a tyrran lynch and you also encourage people to listen to syllo who wants to lynch risk. Scum HoD would have known for certain that a risk lynch was not going to kill his team-mate. On January 10 2012 17:14 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Grackaroni At the start of this game it looked like you were going to be useful and do things and say stuff. Then the day one lynch happened and you apparently decided that you had done quite enough of that 'being involved in the game' nonsense. Since then the only real post you've made is still not particularly useful or insightful: + Show Spoiler + On January 10 2012 13:07 Grackaroni wrote: I agree with you BH, RoL looks really scummy. It's not the fact that he has been fairly inactive and "hustling" like erandorr but that he's been actively using his time to push a plan that is bad for town and defending his plan rather than scumhunting. Since he is already coming kind of close to the lynch (would be 5/9) I'm going to refrain from voting until he comes in to defend himself. Why the loss of interest? Are you planning on going back to being active/useful anytime soon? Do you have any other reads you might like to share? You criticise Grack for behaviour that matches yous (saying stuff early and then not contributing) and ask him a bunch of questions On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @RoL See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6 Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither. My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now: Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote: In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran. So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ? You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ? On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ? Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched. While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game: + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote: Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too ##Vote Kenpachi So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously). Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777 + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote: Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it. ##Vote: Kenpachi ##Vote: Nisani201 And this Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote: ##Vote: Sabin010 Bad vibes also this - On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote: I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off. On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote: This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same. Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on. You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other. If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day. On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote: Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit. We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are. Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit. Oh, hi kibbibit ![]() ##Vote Nisani201 On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote: We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here. Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy. Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote: Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though. So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ? FoS bumatlarge. On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote: On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote: On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote: Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town. ##Vote Kenpachi perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him? If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum. If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy. If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment. If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum. I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment. Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free. Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway. Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that. ##Vote Kenpachi On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote: So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum. First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy? He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him. ##Vote Sinani206 On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote: Also, while I'm at it : ##Vote: Coagulation ##Vote: Sabin010 ##Vote: xsksc You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way. I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have. xsksc's filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333 Spaackle takes over: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534 I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before. @Cwave Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet. Some examples: + Show Spoiler + Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town. Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother. This logic is flimsy at best.Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners. -snip- In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1. He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell. ...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever. You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel..... (this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched? In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know. Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget. No, i say Risk is my number one case. Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?If we can lynch him today, i will vote. Also, why did you say this: Show nested quote + And then never vote for me?As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD. Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course. ##Vote: Tyrran FINALLY you post WHY you think Tyrran is scum! why? because "His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now" dirkzor wrote: In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran. The point has been made that this matches your behavior around the lynch. You yourself highlight that Dirkzor had already made the point you are making. It is not original. You then cast doubt of spaackle because he thought Palmar was town. You encourage people to look at Bluelightz and tell you what they think. You ask Cwave to clarify something. You say a risk lynch is better than a RoL (which is relevant only because tehy are the two people that might ACTUALLY get lynched) You say that would would prefer we lynch neither yet you fail to say why they are bad lynches and you do not provide any convincing reasons for why we should lynch others. You then vote Tyrran, having stated a reason that applies to you, having made next to no effort to convince others to do so. The only other person to vote tyrran was Dirkzor, i wonder why... (it was his argument you were using) | ||
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Times for reference: pg41 day1 ends January 8 2012 9:45 KST pg49 night1 ends January 09 2012 10:25 KST pg67Day2 ends January 11 2012 23:47 KST pg 76 night2 ends January 13 2012 10:11 KST pg 90 day3 ends January 15 2012 07:06 KST | ||
layabout
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no to the first yes to the second | ||
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maybe they are on this page. cough Hod is Scum cough | ||
layabout
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I don't have word so i used a bit of notepad. Spelling and grammar could be disastrous. Major events Night 2/ Day 3 High levels of inactivity. night: notable acussations against Jackal, HoD, Tyrran Grackaroni makes the first "spaackel is scum post" because spaackal thought Palmar was town. day: Cwave killed by Demon Hunter, Mr Wiggles killed by AoD, Syllogism Jailed. Lynch targets and cases against RoL, and HoD. HoD gains 5 votes and people willing to hamer in. Hold off of lynching him and agree to lynch RoL and jail HoD. HoD claims sage during this time. RoL given time to defend self. RoL claims channeller, doesw very little else RoL lynched flip is concealed. HoD's posts on Day 3: + Show Spoiler + On January 12 2012 04:16 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Alright Syllo, what the fuck is this: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 00:03 syllogism wrote: Alright, first of all I will never admit that was a poor lynch. Risk did no scum hunting at all following his single case post, which itself was suspicious, on day 1 and his defense made no sense at all. Further, a bunch of people acted suspiciously when asked for the opinion on him and Tyrran/Cwave refused to touch the lynch on two days. The fact I was wrong likely means that I was not hit on day 1, which significantly increases the likelihood of HoD being the angel of death. I will have to consider something. Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 00:37 syllogism wrote: Harbingerofdoom posted this day 1 Are people seriously trying to implicate me on the basis of "soft-defending" risk by voting Erandorr instead? Now, I can't speak for the people throwing suspicion on me, but I sure as hell don't know risk's alignment, and unless they somehow do, I don't see how it can be implicate me as being scum. Anyone trying to implicate me on this before risk flips is using shitty logic. If risk flips scum and then you want to come after me, then you have some logic on your side. I did not vote for risk nor comment on it much as I had (and still have) a null read on risk. Risk has been in every game I've played on here, and his play-style has varied too much from game to game for me to be comfortable with a day 1 read on him. This sounds as if you knew he was going to flip town. I suppose the problem with that is that he could still have flipped the other scum team. Grackaroni you have basically stopped playing. Another player who clearly does not care about the game at all. First of all, if you had stopped your tunnel vision you would have seen he wasn't such a great lynch, especially in comparison to some of the other players in this game. Being wrong on one of your day 1 lynch targets is also no reason for scum to not try killing you, and you should know that. As for my post, I didn't know what he was going to flip, but I thought it was a lot more likely that he would flip town than most people seemed to be expecting, and it would have given people some reason to go after me. It was not confidence that he would flip town, but merely confidence that if he didn't, I could defend myself. I defended him, and if he flipped scum, I was aware I would look bad. But, I thought the case against him wasn't very good, so I defended him and pushed someone I thought was much more likely to flip scum. I asked you why you wanted to lynch Risk over Tyrran and the only explanation you gave me was: Show nested quote + I asked that because I honestly didn't see how a good player could look at the cases against both Risk and Tyrran and come out thinking Risk was the better lynch. On January 10 2012 15:44 syllogism wrote: HoD: I'll have to think about it more, but purely based on informational purposes risk is much better given the activity surrounding him on day 1 Having ensured that your vote would not be killing anyone you then start to criticism syllogism for pushing risk.nuke after syllogism says one of your posts sounds like you knew risk was going to flip town (or other scum team). (+syllo was one of the people calling tyrran suspicious earlier and saying why) Despite the absence of a case by you against Tyrran you conclude "I honestly didn't see how any player could look at the cases against risk.nuke and Tyrran and think Risk was the better lynch". Given that we all knew risk was vanilla this is quite a safe thing to say as you now know that risk was a mislynch. Quite clearly you aren't talking about this game because only you then Bluelightz voted for HoD, yet 9 voted for risk.nuke and another was prepared to hammer but switch to Erandorr at the end. If you cared about the lynch at all and you were right then you could have made it so that nobody else could see why risk was a better lynch. You didn't. As soon as Syllogism starts to point the "might be scum" finger at you you try to discredit HoD now presents his day1 actions in a new way: Apparantly he knew what the best lynch was, he pushed for it and everyone else was blind to it. Bolded: Only scum should should let those fears determine their actions On January 12 2012 04:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 04:22 syllogism wrote: Pretty much everything you said about Tyrran (passivity, lack of confidence in his reads, overall disinterest in the lynches) applied to risk as well. Can you point out what made risk look like a townie (?) to you? gasdjafeaiuhfaisdf ...you think a guy who nearly got lynched wasn't interested in the lynch? Are you being serious right now? Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 08:15 risk.nuke wrote: layabout is probably a townie, Question Palmar and Dirkzor, Erandorr and Jackal are red. Banish syllo/wiggles tonight, see you. Show nested quote + On January 09 2012 04:50 risk.nuke wrote: On January 09 2012 04:32 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:18 Dirkzor wrote: On January 09 2012 04:06 syllogism wrote: On January 09 2012 04:01 Palmar wrote: yeah, this needs to be done now, or not. I'd rather go with not. This is palmar scum claiming. He has been trolling for a while now but this is as close at is gets If I had written that would you take that as scum claiming? No, but you aren't a player who I talk extensively about the game, in and out of the game. It's extremely unlikely that he would say that as town and I'm pretty sure that when he wrote that he knew very well how it would look like to me; he has by this point realized that there is little he can do to avoid being lynched so might as well have some fun. Imo a town Palmar would respond to that with a pretty huge post declaring why the plan is dumb alternativly if he approved of the plan he would write additional thoughts or/and reason further why it is a good plan. Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 00:49 risk.nuke wrote: On January 11 2012 00:19 syllogism wrote: On January 10 2012 23:34 risk.nuke wrote: On January 10 2012 23:33 syllogism wrote: Zephirdd: you don't assume stupid things just because they are possible. Read my filter and tell me if it looks like scum play; it does not. I even suggested that the channeler should use its power to protect likely n1 targets, which would be ridiculously bad if I was the angel of death. Thus you should either conclude that they tried to hit me or HoD is the angel. The former likely implies that there was a reason for angels to want me dead, which implicates risk/tyrran. This means nothing, quite obviously if you were scum you would act like you played pro town. This is perhaps the single most scummiest thing I've seen on TL Mafia. Lynch this scum please lol, bullshit. There were a very very fucking very good chance that if you hadn't said that somebody else would had and you know that. The abillity has 2 functions, roleblock and save. Save is about 1000xtimes better. Period. I laugh at your "I said it first and it's an anti angel move so I can't be an angel" logic. fucking proposterous that you're trying to milk that so far. You're trying to claim that just because you're playing pro-town you can't possibly be scum. Ha. And right now you're tunneling me on a shitty case that only makes sense if you were an angel so thats what I think of you beeing pro-town. Yup, no confidence in any of those, certainly no aggressive tones or anything either. Also, as I stated before, Risk's play varies quite widely from game to game, despite him having been town in every game I have played with him. That is certainly not the norm for most players. But, the real deciding factor for me was nothing to do with that, it was simply that Risk's play seemed to be explainable from the perspective of a townie on the verge of being lynched and frustrated at having to defend himself. Knowing my own alignment, it was also odd to me that I was his main defender, I figured if he was scum surely a scum buddy would support my defense of him. Obviously that point doesn't get to apply to other people though, as they don't know my alignment. Was I sold on him being town? No, but he also didn't make my top 5 most likely to be scum. Tyrran on the other hand was doing that shit with me being the only real source of pressure on him. top part just isn't valid. + you had no reason to mash your keyboard as if the other person is wrong and can't see it because you are wrong. You then produce an bunch more reasons as to why risk was town. risk.nuke had flipped town by this point and you had avoided providing thoughts day1 and called him null and ignore him on day2. You were not entitled to make these criticism and since you know his alignment now you are not in a position to legitimately criticise those they thought he was scum when his alignment was unknown. +risk.nuke really didn't do anything day2 to show us that he was town "he didn't make my top 5 most likely scum" If what you have so far written can be trusted that is BULLSHIT On January 12 2012 04:54 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 04:44 syllogism wrote: Besides you didn't "defend" risk or push Tyrran. You made a few posts stating on your opinion on the lynches (it sounded like you were ok with risk lynch). Who are the "other players" in the game you would have lynched over risk, besides Tyrran? Overall I don't have a problem with your posting. The issue I have is that if you aren't AoD, why did they risk shooting me last night if I was likely going to be leading another mislynch? Err, then what was this post? Show nested quote + I was ok with it over a no-lynch, but I clearly stated I wanted neither Risk nor RoL lynched. And you know as well as I do that pushing someone else to be lynched is a way to defend someone. Cwave and Spaackle were two others I would have preferred over Risk. Bluelightz I wanted to hear some more on (and still do), but was favoring him over Risk as well, although only slightly.On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @RoL See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6 Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither. My top target remains Tyrran. His passivity and seeming lack of confidence in his reads and overall disinterest in the lynches just seems unlike most townies, and unlike how he played in my prior game with him. While I didn't want to make the following point yet to see if he would keep doing it, Dirkzor already brought it up and stated it quite well, so no reason not to restate it now: On January 11 2012 03:38 Dirkzor wrote: In the end I'll just quote how Tyrran have taken no stance on anybody he have written a case on. Note: These quotes are cut, but they are all the last part of Posts by Tyrran. So reffallen, can you please explain why you thought it is not optimal for angels to kill demons ? I dont see much drawback for them doing this. Also it's your turn to step and and post. Who do you think is most scum rigth now ? You seems to hold a grudge against him because he called you fishy early day 1. Why do you focus so much on him, and not on Blazinghand who actually voted against you ? On the other hand, i would also like to see you post more Cwave. You seems to have an excel file where you write your read on us. Tell me, who do you think we should lynch today, why ? Cwave, you are someone who seems towns, but in reality you did not help much at all until now. While you migth be a timid town, I also think it is likely you are scum player. Please answer this : Is there anyone you really think is scum ? Someone you would be fine pushing for lynch ? Who ? Why ? You seem to spend a lot of time analysing people. Please prove us that you are town by trying to get scummy people lynched. While I think that alone is scummy for any player to do, here's some examples of how Tyrran himself presented cases in his prior game: + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote: Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too ##Vote Kenpachi So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously). Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777 + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote: Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it. ##Vote: Kenpachi ##Vote: Nisani201 And this Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote: ##Vote: Sabin010 Bad vibes also this - On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote: I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off. On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote: This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same. Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on. You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other. If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day. On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote: Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit. We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are. Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit. Oh, hi kibbibit ![]() ##Vote Nisani201 On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote: We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here. Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy. Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote: Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though. So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ? FoS bumatlarge. On November 17 2011 06:55 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 17 2011 06:47 risk.nuke wrote: On November 17 2011 06:34 GreYMisT wrote: On November 17 2011 06:32 risk.nuke wrote: Okey, but isn't this exacly one of those situations where we connected two people and should not lynch both of them incase they are town. ##Vote Kenpachi perhaps, but why choose to lynch kenpachi over the guy who anti-voted him? If kenpachi is green, then lanaia probably isn't scum. If kenpachi is red we got a scumkill even if that doesn't necessarily mean lanaia is his buddy. If lanai is green that means nothing for kenpachis alignment. If lanai is red then kenpachi is scum. I think we learn more from knowing kenpachis alignment. Actually, i think that's a good point. However, if kenpachi flips red, i still think we should auto lynch lanaia. We cant let someone that anti voted a scum go free. Also, if lanaia is blue, she will most likely be a priority kill for the mafia ( who now knows she isnt green), and migth not live to see day 2 anyway. Also kenpachi, you're only defense is : "LOL TOWN IS BAD". I seriously hope that you can do better than that. ##Vote Kenpachi On November 18 2011 07:20 Tyrran wrote: So within four hours, we must focus on getting another lynch. We already have 2 people a 8 votes, i suggest we focus on them. Both look scummy, both are in my likely scum list, yet Drazerk voted for Sinani206 so its unlikely that both are scum. First of all, Sinani was a big partisan of dividing our attention . Quite amusingly he used the divide and conquer analogy, where as pointed by WBG, you are suppose to divide you enemy. Meaning we town are the enemy? He Bandwagoned against Lanaia, which as i explained before, is something that is very pro-mafia. Just look at his post just before, when we already established that Lanaia should not be lynched. Both his votes are given without any explanation other than "its obvious". He is either scum or an extremely bad town. Even Drazerk looks good in comparison. I dont think town needs him. ##Vote Sinani206 On November 22 2011 07:19 Tyrran wrote: Also, while I'm at it : ##Vote: Coagulation ##Vote: Sabin010 ##Vote: xsksc You lurkers unburrow just to lynch an innocent WITHOUT any justification at all, and completely disregarding the post where I understand that prp is a potential blue ( yes i called him vigi which he denied but still) and Palmar huge post in his defence. You are either scum or really crappy town, i dont want you in the game either way. I also dislike the look of xsksc->spaackle so far. I think the only original contribution either has made was spaackle's argument of Palmar looking town...which is not the best contribution to have. xsksc's filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=149333 Spaackle takes over: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=164534 I would appreciate it if others would take a look at bluelightz and tell me what they think. I am having trouble seeing how his posts make sense from a town perspective or a scum perspective, which is baffling to me. He seems to really like doing post by post...but then summarizing instead of analyzing. I don't think I've ever seen such a style before. @Cwave Please try to make your posts a bit more clear. I understand that english may not be your native language, but reading your filter hurts my head. Also, a good deal of your logic seems questionable, but I am not sure if that makes you scum yet. Some examples: + Show Spoiler + Palmar creates information spam, useless stuff and usefull stuff. I don't see how that observation by me makes me his buddy? I've played games with Palmar outside of the TL context and he is known for his textwalling and informationgathering skills, no matter what side he is on. Information and interaction is good for our town. Unless Palmar plays very differently outside of TL, I don't see how this can be true.Looking into Palmar his filter, he and Wiggles go off on some sort of duet where they distance eachother and vote for eachother. This logic is flimsy at best.Then they both switch and nothing is said of it and right before Palmar flips, he lists Wiggles as town. Where as before in his filter, nowhere does it come forward that he has really changed his mind or that Wiggles has him convinced that he is town. Seeing as Palmar flipped scum, im thinking MrWiggles might be one of his demonic dancing partners. -snip- In conclusion, these two were giving eachother nothing but hate right up until ~7:30 on the 8th of januari. Looks like a planned and organised move to move the votes of eachother after they created some distance of eachother on day1. He said he would claim. He didnt say he would claim VT like the states in his last post i quoted here. Wonder if that's semantics or a slip that he said he would claim VT against his scumbuddies and then thought he claimed it in here aswell. ...seriously? If he said he would claim, and he is a vt, then "I will claim" and "I will claim vt" are equivalent. Also, how could someone say they are going to claim VT later without having claimed... "Guys, I'm going to claim floridian later, but not yet!" His statement here has no logical thought in it whatsoever. You only have to fear the lynch if you are an angel..... (this quote was said in the context of him/layabout pressuring me) What the fuck? Why wouldn't demons or towns fear being lynched? In short, lynching Risk but hammering RoL is second best option. Syllo doesn't seem to agree on this, why i don't know. Unlike RoL(aka the guy who doesn't post) risk.nuke is still producing reactions and information in the progress, so RoL is a good option in my book. Hence i vote for him at this point as lynchtarget. No, i say Risk is my number one case. Calls Risk his strongest case, then votes for RoL instead...then seems to imply risk.nuke is producing useful information while RoL is not...then reiterates that Risk is his best case. What?If we can lynch him today, i will vote. Also, why did you say this: As you choose to ignore my post and after reading your responses, you are forcing me to vote for your lynch HoD. And then never vote for me?Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course. ##Vote: Tyrran Cwave Spaackle and Bluelightz are all players that you had not taken stances on but rather asked other to do so and vaguely hinted that they might be scum. "You wanted neither risk nor RoL lynched" if you are town and you felt that way then fuck you. On January 12 2012 12:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Grackaroni, Spaackle, Cwave I would like to hear a couple scum reads from each of you, along with brief explanations. @Jackal Zbot can count votes from a thread, not sure why Zona chose to use PM's for voting for this game (maybe because of the corrupted town deal?), but so be it. That thing is still fucking cool. Another quote in which he tries to make others contribute without actually doing so himself. On January 13 2012 03:34 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 12 2012 23:20 Tyrran wrote: Okay, I've been asked to make a case, So i'm going to explain here why HarbingerofDoom, despite his name, is an angel. Yes he has been active, and has been tunneling me. Some people migth think that this may him looks town. However, in a three faction game, and especially in this setup, the main goal of ANY faction, is to get rid of the other faction. Therefore, it is quite important for bot angels and demon to scumhunt and get the other faction lynched. I'm going to add something else about the setup that everyone should have realized: Demons wins by corrupting town and lynching angels, Angels win by killing everyone. This means that each time a VT is lynched, it is a failure for demons as well, not only for town. They lose a potential corrupt target, and more importantly they failed to prevent angels from getting closer of winning. Angels on the other hand do not care. Sure they would have prefered to get a demon or blue, but they still have chances to get them with slay and stalk. So my conclusion here is while it is important to properly scumhunt as Demon, Angels can just tunnel someone and be fine with it. If they get their target lynched : best case they killed a blue/demon, worst case a townie, but they are still one step closer to victory. Im not going to focus on Jackal, but the same holds for him : HoD and Jackal have done nothing but tunnelling this game. HoD on me, Jackal on Palmar then Dirzkor. Not only that, but they had NO INTEREST at all about the player that was getting lyched. Here are some example : Day 1 : main Target are risk/palmar/Erandorr On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran Yup, lynch are fine. TUNNEL TYRRAN. Day 2 : Its obvious lycnh are going to be risk or RoL On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither. [...] Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course. ##Vote: Tyrran Every day i'm tunnelling... Secondly, his post are full of contradiction, which are for me one of the biggest scumtell. On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran On January 09 2012 05:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: ...because I was leaning scum on Erandorr and was not on Risk. I didn't comment more on it because I was busy yesterday as I had to get shit ready for my girlfriend's birthday party/then was at it. For those wondering why I had a null read on risk, here is what Syllo said about him earlier this game: Where is the active and opinionated and aggressive risk.nuke of Election mafia who posted a lot and certainly didn't just repeat what others had said, right or wrong? Here is me asking about him in Steamship: @risk.nuke Notice any similarities? Fun fact, he was town in steamship.Last game I played with you you were extremely aggressive early on. This game you haven't attacked anyone yet, or even directly addressed someone. Any particular reason why you were active and aggressive last time, and are thus far being passive this game? So he tunnels me based on a 1-game Meta, but still admits that meta lynch are unreliable. Wut ? On January 08 2012 06:41 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Unfortunately I will not be around for the lynch deadline. As stated previously, I am also fine with an Erandorr lynch, so I will be switching my vote to him now as I don't want a no-lynch to occur. Sorry, no birthday sympathy from me. He has shown no commitment to this game, and it is my understanding that this makes him very likely to be scum. Of course he doesnt want a no-lynch to occurs, that's pretty mach the only bad outcome for angels at the end of day 1. Secondly, notice the "it is my understanding". He was the one to call for a Erandorr lynch based on meta. Yet this makes him look like he wasnt. Thirdly : His reaction after Nigth one is strange, and deceptive. I think you all remember on how his being the AoD is a possibility. Well his reaction after On January 09 2012 10:42 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: I was sent to purgatory? What in the fuck? Also, no unrevealed flip? So either syllo = angel of death (seems unlikely to me, but possible) or angel of death targeted him or me (seems much more likely, and probably him if I had to bet). Why does being sent to purgatory bother him? I mean, any regular townie would have been happy to be sent to purgatory as it makes you immune to any nigth actions. So this post alone makes me think that HoD is at least a blue, more likely and angel. On January 10 2012 03:52 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 09 2012 19:58 syllogism wrote: I'm pretty sure palmar sent HoD to purgatory because he thought he was likely an angel. We of course can't draw any conclusions from that, but as noted before HoD's play has been somewhat suspicious so far. Anyway, either the angel of death attempted to hit me or the angel is HoD (or both!) It's also fairly likely that Palmar was a demon hunter hit because demon Demonic Twister's power protects against slay/stalk but not against demon hunter. Palmar had an important role, so it's somewhat likely that they would use it on him. I'm not sure if the twister can use the ability on himself, but right considering Palmar was by far attracting the most attention, that might change things depending on who the twister is. The only reason why it matters who hit Palmar is because the other possibility is that the demon hunter hit an angel who did not die, in which case we could discuss whether him claiming would be worthwhile. Probably not and his likely target would be risk nuke anyway. Risk.nuke still looks like the best lynch. The case against him still stands and quite a few people were against his lynch without adequately explaining why. They obviously can't all be his team mates, but it's hard to believe there would be that many townies unwilling to lynch him in that situation and be perfectly fine with lynching erandorr. His behaviour hasn't improved at all and that vt claim right before day post doesn't seem like something a townie would do. Syllo, you're pretty smart, so please tell me why on earth you think Palmar would banish me to purgatory if he thought I was an angel? Let's look at the scenarios: 1) I am the Angelic Observer - sending me to purgatory does nothing for the demons. 2) I am the Acolyte - unless I for some reason decide to go after a demon instead of a blue, does nothing for the demons. If I do go after blues, doing this hurts the demons. 3) I am the Angel of Death - I would never hit Palmar when I could get town to use up a lynch on him as lynching is the only anti-angel kp. Also leading a scum lynch can get some town cred. So one demon (Palmar) is safe. Another demon can be twisted, so now 2 are safe. Note, so far this also applies to the acolyte even if the acolyte is targeting a demon. So now blocking the angel of death is only useful if the third demon is also a likely target for a scum night kill. I don't see how any of those are a better choice than targeting someone you think is a blue, especially if you have no idea which I am and are taking the 1/3 chance of a remotely useful roleblock. As I stated, I think it is much more likely he thought I was blue than an angel. Okay, this post is just full of bullshit. I can see plenty of reason for demon to roleblock angels. His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). Secondly you once again makes it sound like angels do not want to target demons. This is plain wrong. They want to get rid of demons. Demons are at least as dangerous for angels than blues. Channeler and courrier have the same ability to RB them, and twister is an anti angel doctor. On the other hand, going for blue gives the risk of killing the demon hunter which is basically working for them early game. You also make it look like angels would not target palmar because he could be lynched day 2. I do not agree. If they have a strong demon read on someone, i think angels would go for it. For once because they cannot be sure that he will be lynched next day ( it could very well have been risk or RoL over palmar again), and secondly because they was no corrupted town yet, finding a blue would be difficult. So because his plays correspond perfectly on how I think angels would play, because he contradict himself, and because he keeps telling shit about angel strategy, I think he is an angel himself. And I think we shoud lynch him tomorrow. Anyway, my lunch break was a bit longer that it should have been, will be back later tonigth. So your case seems to largely revolve around me tunneling you, which is interesting because that doesn't say much about alignment, and if you want to bring meta into it, feel free to look at my play in Election Mafia (as TotallyNotTwoPeople) and Steamship - here's a hint, I focus on the person I think is scummiest. You also conveniently snipped out the part of that post where I talk about other people and pretty well prove I have been extensively reading the thread/filters instead of just tunneling. As for the lack of interest in the person being lynched, that is pure bullshit. I've been pushing you for the lynch, and if you ctrl+f my filter for mentions of Risk, I talk about him plenty. And yes, I have only played one game with Erandorr and he was part of a hydra that game, so I qualified it with "from what I know about him". Show nested quote + Already addressed in my filter, but apparently you aren't really reading it. Meta ON RISK is pretty useless because his play style varies so much every game, which as I have already stated IS NOT THE NORM for most players. I also already stated that your actions would be scummy even without accounting for meta. You also say my posts are full of contradiction and then that is the only example you cite. Care to point out the others? So he tunnels me based on a 1-game Meta, but still admits that meta lynch are unreliable. Wut ? Show nested quote + Fun tidbit about me - I use "what in the fuck" for confusion, "what the fuck" for annoyance/anger/etc. You might be able to look up other uses of this through my profile, but you might just have to take my word on it. A quick check shows I have used both once in this game so far. Being sent to purgatory didn't bother me, it confused me. I wasn't exactly fearful of night actions night one, I've never been shot night one, demons couldn't corrupt night one, and why would I care if I get investigated? That would just help me prove my innocence. Why does being sent to purgatory bother him? I mean, any regular townie would have been happy to be sent to purgatory as it makes you immune to any nigth actions. So this post alone makes me think that HoD is at least a blue, more likely and angel. Show nested quote + If you think this, I don't know what to tell you. Say a day starts with 1 corrupted town, 3 demons, and 3 angels. In this situation, demons win nearly 100% of the time. Given the fact that there are investigative roles and an anti-corruption role, demons are definitely not looking to drag this game out more than they have to so long as those roles are still alive.His post focus on why demons would try to save palmar. The goal of demons is not only to save themself, they also have to prevent angels to win. Banishing them is a good move in this regard as they have a high chance of reducing their KP ( as I stated before, any angel hit, be it town or demon,is actually bad for demon). Show nested quote + If the demon hunter hits someone, they live, and they weren't banished to purgatory, he knows that person is an angel - no exceptions. He is not working for the angels, he is nearly as anti-angel as he is anti-demon. This has already been pointed out as well. I also don't see how they could find demons to be a bigger threat early game than town. The channeler, seer, and demon hunter combined have about as much anti-angel ability as the entire demon team...and then you have 1 more blue and a bunch of vanillas as well for town. The only way they might consider town less dangerous is the lack of coordination. Secondly you once again makes it sound like angels do not want to target demons. This is plain wrong. They want to get rid of demons. Demons are at least as dangerous for angels than blues. Channeler and courrier have the same ability to RB them, and twister is an anti angel doctor. On the other hand, going for blue gives the risk of killing the demon hunter which is basically working for them early game. Whilst the word "risk" is in your filter a lot in terms of actually talking about risk.nuke before the lynch: the word risk appears 48 times posts that mention risk nuke himself are: here Day 2 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/postmessage.php?quote=1262&topic_id=298603 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13083116 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13083116 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13061983 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13061400 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13060795 on Day 1 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13026989 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13007788 + most of the day 2 stuff is meta. Regarding Tyrran's case: He asserts that you showed no interest in the Lynch He asserts that all you really did was tunnel him He points out a contradiction you make He calls your reaction to the nightpost strange and picks one of your posts in which you speculate about how you would play as an angel (which you do a lot and when you consider your 1st post Lets not discuss scum strategies is amusing) and he outlines how what you say is bullshit Bolded: You summarise the case against you as you were tunneling tyrran, so tyrran called you scum and then you spew some crap about meta. You then say You also conveniently snipped out the part of that post where I talk about other people and pretty well prove I have been extensively reading the thread/filters instead of just tunneling. so you point is what? You are reading the thread? Every player should be reading the thread. Why would you feel the need to point this out?? You then say you were confused about night actions even though you thought you had figured them out earlier here (clicky) You then make a statement that i have criticised before (clicky) You then make some more speculation about scum. You don't really address the case at all... You then post a bit a RoL and BH but nothing of worth. You then (poorly) argue with my criticism of your speculation On January 13 2012 08:53 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 08:35 layabout wrote: On January 13 2012 08:24 Spaackle wrote: I'll be around for a little while, so feel free to ask/tell/compliment/insult me anything. Your bullshit score is under 5% congrats. If i were to suggest to you that the majority of HoD's post are about "safe" or irrelevant issues that do not require him to take a stance; That he draws and promotes strange conclusions; that a lot of his interaction's and question answering ignore the issue at hand; that he picks up on non-issues and tries to uses that to defeat arguments; and that misrepresents scenario's or mis-applies concepts like occam's razor you would say what? I posted my top four (if I am recalling the number correctly) scum reads in the thread, I commented on both the RoL and the Risk.Nuke cases, I voted to lynch Erandorr, I voted to lynch Tyrran, I have stated I believe Syllo to most likely be town, I don't know if I directly stated it but I believe Blazinghand to be town as well. Show nested quote + On January 13 2012 08:49 syllogism wrote: HoD you asked Grackaroni, Spaackle and Cwave for their scum reads and they mostly didn't materialize. Do you not care? You have been quite detached from the game; certainly not one I would characterize as someone who attempts to produce information and then do something with it. Indeed you seem to put most of your efforts into defending yourself or arguing about irrelevant game mechanics/strategy issues. I have limited time, and people keep asking me about that shit so I answer them. I should probably just ignore them though. Spaackle and Grackaroni replied. Cwave is the only one that ignored me, but that's fine for now. In this post you respond to my accusation taht you haven't taken a stance and yet you respond by saying you posted your top 4 scum read vote Erandorr and voted tyrran and Call syllo and BH town. If this is not already clear to someone reading this those actions were not taking strong stances and they do not make him town. At all. He then says he has limited time and he is just answering shit that people ask. This is more or less an admission that he hasn't done anything. He posts this http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13124188 (Isn't useful in any way but serves to make people focus on Tyrran, again. On January 14 2012 07:13 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @Tyrran Show nested quote + You consider that claiming to be angel, and then you assert that they will go after demons/corrupted town instead, as well as assigning 0% probability to them targeting syllo night one. So I make an assertion about their decisions, it is me claiming angel, but when you do it then it is totally fine? First of all : "Assuming the angels use their acolyte to try to kill people with dark powers, which I assure you they will " If this isnt a angel claim, then i dont know what it is. Do what you want with your acolyte, but I really do not see why blues are priority target and demons/corrupted town are not. Killing the DH early would be really bad for angels. Killing a corrupted town however is really good for them. Why wouldnt they try to reduce the demons voting power ? Show nested quote + I said don't need to, as in it is possible for them to win without it, not should. Don't twist my words.Secondly : Wtf if this tl:dr ? Demons should win without using corrupt ? Are you going to argue next that Angels should win wihtout killing anyone ? I look forward to you hosting a normal game where scum has no KP and town has vigs because " well scum can just survive while everyone else dies". Show nested quote + I just found it amusing that after being specifically told to not make more 'contributions' using arguments that have already been made, you then do just that. That wasn't my ultimate argument, my argument was my long response post, obviously.This is your ultimate argument ? That my case against you did not fullfill the Syllogism's standard and therefore is, I quote : "Trolololol". Well, that sure makes you look town. Show nested quote + This is just dumb.Lastly : So Syllo is not AoD. Would the AoD have targeted Syllo N1 ? If you consider that 1) Syllo was very likely getting banished and 2) Syllo was pushing for lynching 3 non angel target ( palmar(Demon), Erandorr(VT), Risk(VT), ). There was absolutely no reason for AoD to shoot him N1. So either you are AoD, or he shot you. The only reason he would have shot you is by shooting randomly ( as you had no reason to be killed prior to any other player), meaning there was a 1/10th of a chance that you would get hit. So it boils down to this: Either you are AoD, or you got shot which had about 10% chance of happening. Well, math says that there is 90% chance you are AoD. Also, I am beginning to think all of Tyrran's ridiculous statements such as saying there is no way Syllo would be targeted night one, or that every night kill is bad for demons are more likely to be just poor reasoning than a charade as scum. I just don't see how scum could be making all these bizarre assertions. He bashes the case against him with a pile of shit in the hope that some of it will stick.. On January 14 2012 07:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Grackaroni is also less likely scum than I previously thought, I reread his filter and looked through his filters from his previous games and overall he seems ok. Don't have time to explain more now, but wanted to at least say that before I had to leave for like 5 hours or so. note the time and date 6 hours later: On January 14 2012 13:25 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Oh hai bandwagon. I am the sage. Show nested quote + On January 11 2012 14:02 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: @RoL See this post for the current time remaining in the day: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603#6 Anyway, I got the chance to spend some time today doing a bunch of rereading, and after doing so I will not be voting for RoL nor Risk today. Maybe I'm being dense, but I really don't see them as being leading candidates for flipping scum. If I end up having to choose between the two to avoid a no lynch, I favor lynching Risk over RoL, but I'd prefer to lynch neither. -snip- Geez that post came out longer than I expected. Ending with a vote on Tyrran, of course. ##Vote: Tyrran Night 1 I was banished so my investigation failed, but I tried to investigate Tyrran. Night 2 I investigated Grackaroni and got not-demon. Carry on. HoD could have died. Perhaps he should have died (because he is scum) He points out that he bread crumbed sage during day 2 a few hours before the lynch. He posted his Grackaroni "not demon crumb" before this post when he was leading on votes It has been pointed out that he Angels can safely make this role claim. He cannot verify it. The letters also seem cherry-picked http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13134627 + he said at the very start that the sage should not claim without 2 "demon" results On January 14 2012 13:33 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Oh, and I was going to investigate Cwave last night, but with not too long left I decided the demon hunter was probably going to stab him and switched my investigation to Grackaroni. seriously what the fuck is this? at the last minute he figured out what the demon hunter would do and so investigated someone else? He is taking the piss because he cannot believe we didn't kill him. On January 14 2012 13:37 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: And layabout, I like how you managed to find a replacement for doing any actual analysis or scum-hunting, it's cute. Here he attacks my credibility. which is strange because whilst i had pressured him i also seem to remember stopping him being hammered, so we could make a decision that everyone was aware of understood and had the chance to object to. On January 15 2012 03:39 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 18:34 Blazinghand wrote: On January 14 2012 18:17 Tyrran wrote: Okay so it seems i was wrong about HoD. I'm going to unvote him . Unless someone counter claims which is extremely unlikely due to breadcrumbs. Anyone who thinks that breadcrumbs are a reasonable explanation or support for a claim needs to spend some more time thinking. A good scum player breadcrumbs every blue role during the start of the game, then points them out if he wants to claim. This should be obvious. The real question we should be asking is: Where did HoD breadcrumb his investigative results in the event of being shot by the acolyte? Read the OP. The acolyte can't kill me. Investigation result: Show nested quote + (Although I did reread his filter as well)On January 14 2012 07:26 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Grackaroni is also less likely scum than I previously thought, I reread his filter and looked through his filters from his previous games and overall he seems ok. Don't have time to explain more now, but wanted to at least say that before I had to leave for like 5 hours or so. And yes, clearly I breadcrumbed sage before killing wiggles with no way of knowing what his role would be, and then just so happened to get super lucky and killed the sage and that is why there is no counter-claim. Makes perfect sense. And it also makes perfect sense that you found scum with 2 teammates alive and yet you were nearly able to lynch me in a mere 6 hours with the help of people like Zephirrd, who, 6 hours prior to voting for me, said this: Show nested quote + Yeah, that's not suspicious at all.I like Grack's case on Spaackle; I still have a hard time to understand why HoD was jailed n1, and by who. Maybe his posts about mechanics made Palmar want him roleblocked? No idea, but I can't see HoD as scum from his filter. @Syllo I put barely any effort into my defense because I had about 45 minutes during which time I also had to get shit ready to head back out. Show nested quote + I mostly work by process of elimination. And the list of people I cast suspicion on included much of the same reads as the list you made shortly after. Clearly I came up with largely the same reads by doing no scum-hunting whatsoever. Tyrran finally bothered to defend himself, Cwave died and flipped green, and Grackaroni I investigated and got not-demon. So yeah, that obviously changed some shit. Feel free to count all the people I list as scum up through the end of day 3 in election mafia btw.Alright, Harbingerofdoom's only scum read in the last few days has been Tyrran and now he isn't so sure any more. He doesn't think blazing is scum. Probably not Grackaroni. RoL? Nope. Cwave? Err, no HoD didn't really say that either, though apparently he was one of the people he would have lynched over risk. Spaackle? He dislikes "the look of spaackle", asks him a question and doesn't follow up. No scum anywhere apparently But, since it seems like you really want it, 5 scum remain, I will post my bottom 6: Zephirdd xsksc replaced by Spaackle layabout Bluelightz Jackal58 RebirthOfLeGenD he says he didn't put effort into his defence - what a town-like thing to do He posts what i think are townreads? Which is odd because he has called Spack and BL scum RoL is getting lynched instead of him, he hasn't commented on jackal other than (he was right about Palmar) and he then starts to attack me. On January 15 2012 03:43 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: As you wish *tips hat* Do you want me to vote now, or wait? Syllogism pretty much forces him to promise to vote RoL which he does, later On January 15 2012 04:00 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 15 2012 03:50 syllogism wrote: I did not and we've a reason to believe that Wiggles was the sage. Are you going to spend your time today posting analysis or are you going to be really busy again? Look, Thursday of last week I went to a Bruin's game, my work won a new contract on Friday of last week and my girlfriend's birthday was on Tuesday of this week. We went out Tuesday, and attended dinner parties last night and on Sunday, her birthday party was Saturday, and I met up with a friend for dinner on Thursday, so yes, I have been a bit absent. I honestly don't give a fuck if you think that makes me scum. That being said, I only have about an hour before I have to head out to do grocery shopping and such. I'll do what I can and then vote RoL for you before I leave. Posts a ton of excuses for inactivity. Hey HoD would it interest you to know that i spent 35+ hours doing revision last week and that i have exams coming up? Or that i do tutoring on Tuesdays? No-one cares. No-one expects you to spend most of your day doing mafia but your are expected to make an effort, and to find a bit of time to contribute. You have also had plenty of time to re-read every post more that once and keep up with the thread, and you have taken time to point that out. On January 15 2012 04:33 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Anyway, Zephirrd: Show nested quote + HoD is not scumOn January 14 2012 03:53 Zephirdd wrote: On January 14 2012 02:20 layabout wrote: On January 13 2012 11:10 Zephirdd wrote: On January 13 2012 11:04 Refallen wrote: That's retarded. After syllo posted his "I want to die", channeled should have taken the hint and roleblocked harbringer instead. Or maybe he had the same logic as me? At least this now confirms syllo as town. MrWiggles was town as well; He couldn't possibly be Demon(see his Palmar case). We just won't know if he was a blue or not. TBH that was a poor decision by the AoD, unless he had actually found an Angel and was ready to push him. His last actions were attacking RoL. Apply Occam's Razor(The correct solution is usually the simplest one), ##Vote RoL What is poor about the decision to kill and experienced player that had already caught 1 scum this game? I just think it's a waste of game mechanics; Killing someone who people didn't knew would create a bigger confusion, as in "we don't know how many demons live". MrWiggles was obviously not a Demon, so it is kind of a waste of a mechanic. Granted, we don't know if he was a blue, but I don't think it matters as much at this point. I like Grack's case on Spaackle; I still have a hard time to understand why HoD was jailed n1, and by who. Maybe his posts about mechanics made Palmar want him roleblocked? No idea, but I can't see HoD as scum from his filter. RoL still looks like the best lynch, but we'll see what happens. No wait, scum. Because I've been 'invisible'?: Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 10:04 Zephirdd wrote: On January 14 2012 09:49 syllogism wrote: Zephirdd where did you disappear? Are you willing to vote for HoD? I'll rather have this conversation now than right before deadline tomorrow. I'm playing billiards with a couple of friends atm, finding some time to post in between. If you care, I'm crushing them hard. HoD has been basically invisible this game; nothing about him, besides the jailing, stands out. However, it makes a lot of sense that AoD would target you. HOWEVER, being "invisible" is usually a scum trait. So yeah, I'm willing to vote him; I really want to see his response though I've said it before, and I'll say it again though. Take a good look at Spaackle's posting, now and in the future. Also lol @ layabout being serious about that scum flip probability. How you apply math on something so inexact, I have no idea. ~>Voting HoD as of now J/K, not scum: Show nested quote + Time elapsed: 10 hoursOn January 14 2012 13:51 Zephirdd wrote: Unvoting HoD for the following reasons A) Less chance of ninja scum hammering B) I want to hear other people's(esp. syllo) thoughts on this C) I fail to understand why is it so hard to believe that the AoD targeted syllo night 1, instead of HoD=AoD I'm sleepy atm, so I'll brb tomorrow. Mb I should leave my vote back on Spaackle. Actually, yeah, I'll do that. 'night Show nested quote + Uh huh...On January 10 2012 02:27 Zephirdd wrote: Yes, I know I am on that list as well, but that's just because I was this close to sucking him yesterday after his case. That was due to the XLVIII fiasco and I told myself "listen to veterans you know". I swear I'd probably end up helping demons this game, had Palmar not died. Show nested quote + Passing some responsibility.On January 11 2012 03:24 Zephirdd wrote: Syllogism, sir Lynch leader, please explain this situation. Anyone else is also invited to do so. Show nested quote + Hey guys, don't blame me if I am wrong, I'm always wrong!On January 14 2012 09:23 Zephirdd wrote: Let me be clear tho; I don't like to create new cases even though I'm willing to take responsibility for it. Reason is simple: 100% of cases I have made by myself were wrong. AKA. I don't trust myself. He is clearly avoiding blame for any of the lynches, and he went from stating I am not scum to voting for me as soon as my lynch started gaining some traction. Then, immediately unvotes with my claim and again implies he thinks it is likely I am not the angel of death. Nothing very town-like about that. You then post very little to called Zephird, one of your bottom 6 un-town-like You then try to dismiss syllo's "But Wiggles actually looked more like the sage" posts. You then focus on My Bullshit law. then you seculate about night-actions. Is that enough scumhunting for you? | ||
layabout
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when he made his first post he said that we should not dscuss angel/demon strategies unless we had a strategy to counter them When he said just that the sage should not claim without two "demon" results? If he was the sage it would make sense to add, "if they are going to be lynched then the sage should claim" because that is what he claims he is doing now. According to day1 HoD the sage should not have claimed in day 3 HoD's position. Day3 HoD had zero demons identified. | ||
layabout
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layabout
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layabout
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I just don't see how spaackle is scummy. | ||
layabout
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On January 16 2012 19:07 Blazinghand wrote: ##Vote: Layabout LAYABOUT WHERE ON GODS GREEN EARTH ARE YOU The night post happened at 1:30 am and i just got home, it is now 5:20 pm On January 16 2012 22:36 Jackal58 wrote: Just got to work and getting caught up. Layabout - Wtf is up with your vote. BH is so freaking town it's not even funny. Your vote hits me as a PSA from scum screaming "here I am" Show nested quote + On January 16 2012 21:13 Blazinghand wrote: The other option we have is to openly ask an angel to claim-- we lynch the angel then the remaining angel splits fire with the demon hunter between me and layabout. This can be done if Syllogism was the Seer. The angels *MAY* agree to this because if they don't, there's a high chance the demons just win. they probably won't if the acolyte is somehow alive, and just try to kill both me and layabout themselves tonight. If RoL was an Angel they might. If RoL was Channeler and there are still 3 Angels remaining I wouldn't count on it. I'm gonna call it now. Dirkzor and Layabout are the Demons. Bluelightz is an Angel. I have no clue yet as to who the remaining one or two are. On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 4 Lynch. With 10 alive, 6 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: layabout (1): Blazinghand Refallen (0): The Day 4 deadline is at 2012-01-18 10:00:00 KST. (That's approximately 1 day, 7:43:18 from now.) What on earth are you talking about Jackal? +so yesterday we nearly lynched HoD but decided to banish him and lynch RoL. During the night i post a big case about why HoD is scum. No banish happens and HoD claims that i have been twisted. (the sage and Angels are the only players that can tell if a player is twisted). How does that make me a demon? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 16 2012 18:56 Refallen wrote: Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 08:12 layabout wrote: Current Vote Count: + Show Spoiler + On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 3 Lynch. With 13 alive, 7 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: HarbingerOfDoom (3): Tyrran, syllogism, layabout RebirthOfLeGenD (2): Grackaroni, Spaackle (1): Zephirdd Bluelightz (1): Jackal58 Blazinghand (1): RebirthOfLeGenD The Day 3 deadline is at January 15 2012 10:00 KST. (That's approximately 1 day, 1:48:45 from now.) Vote HarbingerOfDoom Votes first, apparently, then quotes in the thread, where in previous days he's always voting through his posts. Show nested quote + Conclusion: risk.nuke's play does not math the town risk.nuke you may have come to know and love. He was willing to offer thoughts at the start when doing so was not useful and when it was easy for scum to do so. He has made excuses and promised content. He has yet to deliver that content. He has not been aggressive in calling people out as he has previuosly and has criticised syllogism for calling him out. He avoided has provided a very fluffy answer to HoD's question. He has contradicted his own declarations of good town play. He has avoided making any serious contributions now that we actuaaly have to decide who we are lynching. He has not made an effort to defend himself, but has called everybody voting for him scum. Vote risk.nuke ^^ This is how he voted on previous days Show nested quote + On January 14 2012 22:52 layabout wrote: I will vote just before 8:00 KST. You will know why. ^ Then he says this. And misses the lynch. Gives the reason for this as "not wanting to ruin town atmosphere" sounds like a soft claim to me. So what I want to know is, if he really was the corrupted townie or if there is someone else out there. Do you not agree that if he wasn't the corrupted townie, and HoD claiming he was twisted, that demons would hardly have reason to be twisting layabout? Do you not agree, that wiggles was much more likely to be the fucking channeler than fucking RoL? And if that's the case, would HoD's sage claim not gain some credibility, seeing as there is no counterclaim? What the fuck is this? Yes, RoL was probably a fucking angel. Not the AoD obviously, and since there's a pretty damn good chance the acolyte is dead I rather the ctownie claim now so we have a clear target in the form of layabout. That's what I think. But before that, we can ask ourselves first if demons have any motivation to twist layabout if he wasn't a demon. I'll ask that to you, what do you think? On January 15 2012 07:06 ZBot wrote: End of Day 3 Lynched: RebirthOfLeGenD (7): Current votes: HarbingerOfDoom (2): Bluelightz (1): Jackal58 Spaackle (0): Blazinghand (0): The third day brought a new dimension of suffering. There was no wind, nor heat, but thick grey clouds covered the sky. The temperature dropped quickly, and soon everyone was shivering and huddling in whatever clothes they had left. A thin layer of frost covered the ground, every breath condensed immediately in the cold air. Still, those that remained persevered. Some thought of their loved ones, elsewhere in the universe. Others remembered good times in the past. Still others drew upon an inner reserve of pure will. Everyone continued to talk and accuse, in hopes of identifying the spirits that blended in among them. As the day continued, those that remained would eventually come to a mental consensus, and a figure was pulled towards the center of the town square, where the throne and spire stood ready. But a swirling ball of emptiness appeared and hid everything from sight. In no time, a scream of pain pierced the air, but nothing could be seen in the darkness. RebirthOfLeGenD, the ??? was lynched Day 3! It is now Night 3. The night will end 2012-01-16 10:00:57. (That's approximately 1 day, 2:54:00 from now.) When i said i would vote at 8:00 my vote was on HoD, I was waiting for RoL to make a defence which i could respond to. He didn't I said i would vote at 8:00. The lynch happened at 7:06. That was not a "soft claim" in any way. You call it a soft claim and then ask for a corrupted townie to claim so that i can be a target because you have decided that i was trying to soft claim corrupted town. You then try to support HoD's sage claim. And then say that this makes me a target because HoD says i was twisted, HoD is a player player who STILL stands a very high chance of being the AoD If he is an Angel he has either 1 or 2 team-mates who have night-actions that can fail if they are on a player who is twisted. Who was more likely to target me last night if HoD is an Angel. The sage or an angel? How does being twisted make me a better lynch target than HoD in any way? + Show Spoiler + I am going to quote wiggles now: About voting: On January 05 2012 07:05 Mr. Wiggles wrote: -cut- Don't Hammer. While we don't have to worry about corruption until day three, we should still be careful of keeping the lynch under our control. Always check the vote-count before voting, and always vote in the thread along with your PM to ZBot, so that we can see when you voted, as well as who you voted for, before Zbot the count. No one should be hammering a lynch until later in the day if we can help it, as this will give us the most time for discussion and information gathering. Those are my thoughts so far after reading the set-up again, and through the thread once. I'm going away for a little bit, but I'll read through the thread again and be back later. Anyway Refallen: On January 09 2012 02:30 layabout wrote: Trying to figure out who was voting for who and when, is quite a pain. I think it would be helpful if players would vote, then announce that vote in the thread and attach the zbot vote count at that time to the post, (with their vote in it). That way we can look back only events clearly and actually analyse it. However this might lead to or force corrupted town to reveals themselves, which they might not wish to do and which might not be in town's best interests. I suggest that every every 3 votes somebody should attach the vote count at that time (possibly in a spoiler), so that we can look back and have a clear picture of what happened. @at everyone Do you agree? Should we have a different interval?(for instance 5 votes or every 12 hours) Night 1 i said that players should vote and then attach the zbot count including their vote to the post in which they vote. By "On previous days" i suppose you mean on day 1? BEFORE I SAID THAT I WOULD CHANGE HOW I VOTE? You are deliberately misleading people and you have been calling me a demon. Why would you do this as town? On January 08 2012 01:43 layabout wrote: Conclusion: risk.nuke's play does not math the town risk.nuke you may have come to know and love. He was willing to offer thoughts at the start when doing so was not useful and when it was easy for scum to do so. He has made excuses and promised content. He has yet to deliver that content. He has not been aggressive in calling people out as he has previuosly and has criticised syllogism for calling him out. He avoided has provided a very fluffy answer to HoD's question. He has contradicted his own declarations of good town play. He has avoided making any serious contributions now that we actuaaly have to decide who we are lynching. He has not made an effort to defend himself, but has called everybody voting for him scum. Vote risk.nuke filters in past games: Election mafia (town) Tl Mafia XLVII (town) Steamship (Tl mafia 46) (town) Newbie mini mafia (town)+ nice hotbid post TL Mafia XLV (town) almost no posts day1 You removed the date stamp on my post, here is the quote with the time and date attached plus a link to it http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13039009 | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 16 2012 12:06 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Re: Layabout's case You're right layabout, I should have been cared about the lynch day 2 as much as you did and not place a vote at any point during the day. That shows you care a lot more than I do. I also liked that part where you didn't include this day 1 post of mine and then claim I never gave reasons for why Tyrran was scummy until the large day 2 post I made. Show nested quote + On January 07 2012 15:03 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: On January 07 2012 09:12 Tyrran wrote: On January 07 2012 07:47 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Well, it appears as though xsksc is no longer playing this game, as his last post was: January 04 2012 23:24. I don't like lynching lurkers, but from what I know of Erandorr, his lurking makes him likely to be scum, and I do like lynching scum. Barring him showing an actual commitment to playing, I would be fine with lynching him. On risk.nuke, his playstyle seems to vary a good deal between games, so I am not sold on him being scum yet and would certainly like to hear a bit more from him before deciding whether or not I think he is worth a lynch. Tyrran Tyrran's play seems very different from his play in steamship where he was town. He is being much less aggressive so far, and usually people are more aggressive as town than they are as scum. I think he would make a fine lynch for the day. My only qualm with lynching him is that he hasn't interacted with other players much so far, so his flip will be less revealing, but I like our odds of hitting scum here. My vote will be on him for now. His steamship filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=57176 His filter so far this game: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=57176 ##Vote: Tyrran If you read steamship mafia, you'll notice i wasnt really active before I had some hard fact to analyse ( ie kenpachi lynch). I'm not good at analysing Meta, because its only my second game here. Half the accusation here are made on meta. I'm looking for contradictions, votes, something i can work on. I dont like making case for the sake on making one. I'll make a case after day 1, when i'll have more info to work with. No, I accused you of being non-aggressive/passive, not of being inactive. Saying that you weren't very active at first in steamship doesn't have any bearing on the argument I am making. Comparing these posts, which were 2 of your first 4 posts in steamship: + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 04:01 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 03:00 Sabin010 wrote: On November 16 2011 02:37 Zephirdd wrote: On November 16 2011 02:25 Tyrran wrote: On November 16 2011 01:59 Sabin010 wrote: I agree about lynching liars, but if we're lynching lurkers because they're not active just doesn't seem to be a good way to go about this. If some one proposes we lynch a lurker, I'm not voting. So you are basically saying : " hey mafia, go lurk and stop posting and you'll be safe from me". I hope you understand how this is suspicious. Gotta agree with Tyrran here. Lurkers are bad for townies. That said, I don't want to just go on "lynch ALL the lurkers!" mode, but at least lynching one or two a day should make them stay in high alert. You know I never thought about it like that. What kind of defense is that ? No, I dont know what is in your head. The only reason you gave for not lynching lurkers is it "I'm sure some of the lurkers are blues". And we are not speaking of lynching them rigth now, but more toward the end of day 1. Not being active is one of the easiest way for mafia player to stay under the radar. we should prevent taht as much as possible. And blues, stay active, dont get lynched. On November 16 2011 20:07 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 18:23 prplhz wrote: Yea I like Kenpachi as a lynch too ##Vote Kenpachi So you were a fervent defender of only lynching 'scummy' lurkers. And now you suddenly decide to vote for kenpachi without giving any reason Could you please detail a bit more on why you like kenpachi as a vote, other than the fact that he did not post much ? His townie claim basically does not mean anything Keeping an eyes on lurkers is good, but i would wait to the end on day 1(the last 24 hours) before voting for one of them. It seems to me that blanket voting this early on day one can only lead us divide our attention. Voting for someone whenever he says something strange without trying to pressure him more/confirm him as scum is a great way to lynch a lot of townies and seems to be a good strategy for the mafia side, but not that great for town ( obviously). Bumatlarge espescially has been trying to push the town into lynching as many people as possible. Almost each one of his post include a quote on how we should lynch every single player. Spoiler below shows some example from this filter : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=282366&user=31777 + Show Spoiler + On November 16 2011 10:36 bumatlarge wrote: Why would you FoS when you can just vote them. Don't be pansies. Realized I didn't properly vote. I doubt I will ever take my vote off of kenpachi, it's not that I don't like him, but he is not an asset to the town at the moment, or the forseeable future. Nisani has proceeded to call me dumb or scum, but that doesn't change the fact that his fluffy posts stick out, so it will stay there until he remedies it. ##Vote: Kenpachi ##Vote: Nisani201 And this Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 05:13 Drazerk wrote: ##Vote: Sabin010 Bad vibes also this - On November 16 2011 00:22 Sabin010 wrote: I have seen to many games where we lose our cop or doc first day and end up wasting our time as the mob picks us off. On November 16 2011 01:06 Sabin010 wrote: This is my first game and im not sure of all the terms. I thought scum, mob, and mafia are the same. Is why LAL is bad. What possible reason would cause mafia to post this instead of town. By all means keep up the detective work and checking out all the inconsistencies, but use a little sense. This definetely contradicts itself, and it could very well be an intentional lie, but even that doesn't make him scum. The bad strategy reason tht DCL brought up is actually something to go on. You are pushing your luck by trying to find lies a day into the game. Use that energy to filter a suspicious person instead and get a general vibe, and see if their future posts push you one way or the other. If there wasn't a majority lynch in play, I'd put my vote on everyone, and start taking off people who don't register as scum. That's about how many people I think should be lynched each day. On November 16 2011 02:32 bumatlarge wrote: Next person that mentions LAL is getting a vote placed on them. Seriously enough with the useless shit. We will be lynching however many scummy people we can find on the particular day. We are restricting ourselves when we don't have a clue as to what our boundaries are. Nisani has posted complete fluff and none of it shows any effort in actually heling town. I don't think the new people are brain-dead, so unless the specifically ask about something, don't use them as an excuse to post asinine shit. Oh, hi kibbibit ![]() ##Vote Nisani201 On November 16 2011 12:37 bumatlarge wrote: We got 48 hours from now, right? This time tomorrow we need to look at the votes and see where people stand. I'm honestly surprised how few votes there are, you get as many as you want, a decent townie can take advantage of this. There is no comparing how scummy certain players are to others, you just lynch them or you don't. I guess it's still early, and I'm still fishing for reads here. Oh and surprise, the only post not advocating to lynch the entire town is to defend chaoser, the ONLY person that agreed with the 'vote for everyone' strategy, after he got pressured by WBG. And by defending him, he explains than chaoser should stop doing just what he was advocating the town to do i.e: vote for everyone that seems scummy. Show nested quote + On November 16 2011 12:50 bumatlarge wrote: Welcome to WBG logic. But that doesn't make what he says untrue, I think chaoser should focus his attention more and prove singleton cases rather then babble on about everything. Doubt he's scum though. So you spend all your post explaining we should vote for anyone who seems scummy, and you defend chaoser that was doing exactly that by saying "he should focus his attention more". How is that not a huge contradiction ? FoS bumatlarge. to your play so far just seems incredibly different. It reads to me like you are playing scared this game. Scared because you're scum. Don't comment on things you don't know about, it makes you look bad. Show nested quote + If we lynched them all in one day the platform collapses and nobody gets lynched instead of all of them getting lynched, wasting an entire day. The OP hinted at this by saying there were dangers in store for a town that lynches too many people in one day, but RoL suggested lynching 7 at once.Underlined: In steamship, if town had lynched those 7 players you would have killed zephird, Greymist and cyber cheese, since Greymists role is what killed town after the roleclaim then that plan arguably would have won the game, so i don't get what your point is. Show nested quote + You think a vague question that requires a contribution to answer it is useless, but a vague challenge to make a contribution is good, I see, I see.his original question was "Hey look - a list! Care to explain anything about it? Lists without reasons are pretty useless filler." I wanted to make the point that given how vague this question was and given that i had raised suspicions about the players in the list i felt that it was redundant question. I then challenged him to make his first real contribution. But alas my inept typing/formatting let me down. And like every other person to lose an argument ever he corrects my grammar and ignores my point. Show nested quote + And not a lot of people here have played 4 out of 4 of their games with risk in them either. What's your point?Underlined:Clearly a lot of people didn't have null reads on risk nuke as he had reached 9 votes before AND was under a lot of pressure at this time AND was lynched quite a while before the lynch deadline. Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 05:26 layabout wrote: Grackaroni: In this post his writes a pile of nothing to call HoD scum. my comments have been italicised On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote: HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick. He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup. (this is what the majority of his posts are about) -a completely null tell At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town. -asking to not reveal game winning strategies for the other team is weird for town?this strikes me as counter-intuitive In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting. So far there has been no scumhunting done by him -no scumhunting halfway into day 1, applies to a large number of players in this game and isn't necessarily a scummy thing to do. On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for) Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to. I'll wait for more posts. -here he accepts HoD's early posting is null tell -he offers weak "meta analysis" based off of a single game -decides to wait for more information, likely because the case isn't strong enough to justify voting Show nested quote + So earlier you thought it made sense from a town perspective, now you disagree with it?Emphasises the "Unless you have a counter" part. As if that justifies the don't talk about scum strats in an open setup stance. (it doesn't) Show nested quote + Earlier it was weak to use it, now it is fine, I see...bolded: "Don't use meta from my first (but recent) game against me. I have changed. Use meta from a game where i was account sharing day1 when you try to analyse my day1 play, or use meta from another game". The "I've obviously adjusted my play" really doesn't hold weight given how few games he has played. Show nested quote + The above was a statement I made day 1.The sage on the other hand probably shouldn't claim unless he has 2 demons identified. If he claims with only one identified, 0% chance of reducing kp or reducing the corruption ability, demons have a roleblock ability, angels can kill the sage to make demons a larger threat to town thereby reducing focus on them. Still gain information obviously, but overall seems like a much weaker play than the seer claiming after finding an angel. Show nested quote + The demon role-blocker is dead, and I had about 45 minutes to defend myself from a lynch before I had to leave again, clearly I should have not claimed and died instead. Makes perfect sense.When he said just that the sage should not claim without two "demon" results? If he was the sage it would make sense to add, "if they are going to be lynched then the sage should claim" because that is what he claims he is doing now. According to day1 HoD the sage should not have claimed in day 3 HoD's position. Day3 HoD had zero demons identified. Show nested quote + I needed something that started with a g to continue my breadcrumb. Keyboard mashing was the easiest g beginning I could come up with that made sense in the contexttop part just isn't valid. + you had no reason to mash your keyboard as if the other person is wrong and can't see it because you are wrong. Show nested quote + It clearly states scum reads, but I guess I should know by now not to expect much reading comprehension from you. He posts what i think are townreads? Which is odd because he has called Spack and BL scum RoL is getting lynched instead of him, he hasn't commented on jackal other than (he was right about Palmar) and he then starts to attack me.. ...in fact in the same post you post the correct interpretation: Why contradict yourself within the same post? I can respond to more points of it if needed, but I think that is sufficient for now. DOES ANYBODY BUY ANY OF THIS CRAP? DID ANYBODY READ MY CASE? WHY AREN'T YOU VOTING FOR HOD? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
read through his filter and look at what he has been saying and feel ashamed of yourselves http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=298603&user=102651¤tpage=All | ||
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On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 4 Lynch. With 10 alive, 6 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: layabout (1): Blazinghand HarbingerOfDoom (1): layabout Refallen (0): The Day 4 deadline is at 2012-01-18 10:00:00 KST. (That's approximately 1 day, 6:42:30 from now.) ##Vote HoD | ||
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You're right layabout, I should have been cared about the lynch day 2 as much as you did and not place a vote at any point during the day. That shows you care a lot more than I do. I also liked that part where you didn't include this day 1 post of mine and then claim I never gave reasons for why Tyrran was scummy until the large day 2 post I made. statements like this only make sense if the reader does not posses the ability to think critically. He insinuates that because he voted for Tyrran (who was NOT getting lynched in a month of sundays) and that i didn't vote that that mean that he cared about the lynch more than i did. On January 11 2012 01:12 layabout wrote: I will be voting for risk nuke. I am going to wait until closer to the deadline before i vote. I dislike the reasons given for lynching RoL. Now I need to go do some work. On January 11 2012 01:41 layabout wrote: careful adding more votes, it would be stupid to end the day so soon I then spent time criticising the case against RoL at the time. RoL had 5 votes and the case was just bad, i tried to explain this. On January 11 2012 04:52 layabout wrote: EBWOP that was meant to be a spoiler not a quote-tag my last post before the lynch. On January 12 2012 01:19 layabout wrote: Hey guys! mind explaining to me why you hammered the lynch 10+ hours early? the time i get back to the thread I had expressed my opinions very clearly. I had no control over the lynch, it happened while i did not get computer access. you placed a throw-away vote on tyrran and avoided mentioning risk nuke or RoL like the plague. | ||
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On January 16 2012 12:06 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Re: Layabout's case You're right layabout, I should have been cared about the lynch day 2 as much as you did and not place a vote at any point during the day. That shows you care a lot more than I do. I also liked that part where you didn't include this day 1 post of mine and then claim I never gave reasons for why Tyrran was scummy until the large day 2 post I made. statements like this only make sense if the reader does not posses the ability to think critically. EBWOP ^ + HoD's defence is misleading and i have posted in great detail why i think he is scum. | ||
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On January 10 2012 23:52 Jackal58 wrote: Show nested quote + On January 10 2012 23:11 Tyrran wrote: On January 10 2012 21:56 Cwave wrote: Why i ask is because i find it a given you post protown stuff as ... town. To articulate it and stress it that you are gonna be pro-town leads me to believe you are forcing yourself to do pro-town stuff. You should read Steamship Mafia Day 1. If townies only posted pro-town stuff, this game would be so much easier. On January 10 2012 22:10 syllogism wrote: Tyrran: is this the reason you find jackal scummy? Jackal 58 for being overly agressive on pamar with no real case behind it, and Palmar because i found your case solid. Now that Palmar flipped demon, you still think he is a good lynch today? Sorry, there is no way you can honestly believe that. What I did not like on Jackal filter is that he hardly gave any reasoning for his hyper agression. He tunnelled on palmar, and did not even had the sligthtest reaction when MrWiggle made a solid case on Palmar. This is wy he looks scummy to me. It was better towards the end of day 2, and Palmar flipped scum, so i was about to let go on him, but then he does exactly the same thing on dirkzor day 2. Should you ask me if we should lynch him now, I'd answer no. Both Cwave and risk are more scummy. Yet I want to keep an eye on him. You'll get used to me. Palmar was obv scum. Nothing Wiggles said either expanded nor contradicted my belief that Palmar was scum. Dirkzor is also scum. It's also obvious to me why. I explained part of it day 1. His lack of interest or caring if he lynches town or scum that is evident from one of his only posts during this day cycle merely reinforces my beliefs. I assume you guys read the same drivel from the same people I do. I lack the ability and desire to write a thesis on everybody I see as scummy. I point it out and assume you guys are smart enough to see it too with out me interjecting 300 lines of rhetoric and hyperbola. Jackal, given what you have read so far, do you think that assuming people in this thread can be relied upon to figure out what is scummy benefits town at all? could you please make an effort to help people make the correct lynch today? | ||
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On January 17 2012 05:07 Tyrran wrote: Show nested quote + On January 16 2012 20:30 Blazinghand wrote: The other thing this means is that town has 5 votes, angels have 2 votes, and the demons have 3 votes, including mine. This means that the town cannot win a vote today unless we have the help of one of the scum teams. I have some nominal control over my vote until the demons mess with it, meaning that assuming they're afraid of WIFOM or something, they probably won't actually manipulate my vote since they're afraid of giving something away. Their goal is to kill an angel or the DH today and get up to 4 votes out of 8 or 7 tomorrow, controlling the town vote. ;_; i'm unclear on where to go here guys I'm afraid Syllo was seer, and with no angel check, we are in trouble. You said you had a non-dark sense last nigth. Now that you have claimed, I think you should tell us who it is. It cant be the DT, and HoD is likely the sage ( either that or the angeglic observer). There are at least two ( possibly 3) angels left, and 2 VT left. A non dark read is an at least 50% chance of being an angel. While not enough for lynching, I think we should have a close look at your non dark sense. Concerning the layabout case. Even if HoD is the observer and not the sage, layabout being twisted is a very strong Demon tell. But we can deal with him at night ( Demons have no protection against DH). For the lynch, let's focus on a angel. Hey guys why don't we ignore the fact that i am an excellent target for the DH because i have yet to make a real contribution to the thread and instead have the DH KILL THE MOST PROTOWN PLAYER IN THE THREAD INSTEAD OF ME (psst i am town and a dh hit would kill me) | ||
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Lame speculation based argument that you seem to prefer to analysis: + Show Spoiler + Syllogism believed that Mr. Wiggles was the sage.Syllogism believed that HoD was an Angel. If syllogism was a demon then the demons could have twisted him and 100% protected him from an angel hit. If syllogism was an angel then the angels had no reason to kill him. The plus channeller would have know that by protecting syllogism 2 days in a row (if Palmar transported day1 then channeller could still save syllogism) when everyone knows that the courier was dead syllogism would have no protection on the next night. Given the no-AoD kill and likelihoods of HoD or Syllo being banished and the fact that syllo wanted to lynch risk nuke (who isn't an angel) AoD-ing syllogism night 2 would have been very risky move for angels. If Wiggles was the channeller then he condemned a town syllogism to death last night. Do you really think he would do that? We can fairly safely assume that syllogism was town. We can therefore look at his posts knowing they were from a town syllogism that was disappointed in how town was playing, but that his posts were made from the point of somebody who was-town aligned. Syllogism believed that HoD's sage claim was not only a lie but a valid claim for angels to make. Syllogism puts actual thought into his reads, do you? I have said why i find the sage claim rubbish http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13154469 We do not know if the sage is alive. If the sage is alive they might not wish to claim, particularly if they don't have any "demon" results. I criticised what i felt was a case that i think town could not have legitimately got behind. I did not know that Palmar would flip scum, and criticising wiggles case and pushing my own case is not something that you can say makes me scummy, because it makes complete sense when look at from the perspective of me being town, and similarly makes sense if looked at from teh perspective of my being a demon, (it is however a risky thing to do as scum) Without the banish we are still left in a situation in which HoD has a very high chance of being the AoD. Tunnel my left bum-cheek. On day 2 the reason we lynched RoL over HoD was that banishing HoD would let us confirm that he wasn't the AoD and we would be able to use that to-re-asses the case on HoD. Look at my case on HoD look at how HoD is behaving. It makes complete sense for him to act this way if he is an angel, especially the AoD. His "layabout was twisted" claim has been the basis for thinking i might be scum. | ||
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Since i am town i know i am not an angel. If you think i am a demon + Show Spoiler + because you cannot think critically If you think i am town then you think i am not an angel. Unless anybody actually thinks i am an angel i think it is fair to say that no-matter what lynching me will not kill an angel. If you were to lynch me this means that town absolutely must lynch an angel tomorrow or face very probable doom. We have 0 angel flips so far and if we do not kill an angel today or tomorrow then they will almost certainly win: (assuming the angels do not hit twisted players) today: 10 players alive 2 or 3 are angels: In 2 days: 2 lynches on non-angels 8 players alive - 2 or 3 angels, 2 AoD kills 6 players alive 2 or 3 angels 2 no-flips up 2 to demon hunter kills 4-6 players alive 2 or 3 angels up to two (unlikely) Acolyte kills 2-6 players alive 2 or 3 angels + Show Spoiler + of course if the DH were to not shoot then the demons would stand a very good chance of winning, and the angels would have less of a chance You:"layabout that is fearmongering" Me: "It's the truth" Even if you think i am a demon, the optimal play is to kill an angel either today or tomorrow. By lynching me you essentially ensure lylo tomorrow. And it is the angels who who win. You cannot allow HoD to get away with this. (plus there is not a substantial/considerable/valid/strong/reasonable/sensible/logical/coherent/anyoftheabove case on me) | ||
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How about the real sage if they are alive takes care of BH? How about we lynch HoD the scummiest player in the thread and make decisions after he flips Like the Angel of death he is? | ||
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TT | ||
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+ if you are faking then this is hilarious If you are town would you care to analyse some players? (and then vote HoD because my points are still spot-on) | ||
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If you are a corrupted town: You might have a blue role You count against the Angels win condition The demons will only have 2-4 votes tomorrow (its slightly possible they are all dead but very unlikely) You can investigate players and get dark or not dark. You are a town aligned force in the thread +killing you would not kill a demon + it would not hit and fail against an angel Why would the demons give up their information advantage and hand town the win? Your play has had major flaws that i am sure will be highlighted post-game, you could be doing anything as town for a whole host of barely-reasons. | ||
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if you are asking the demons to help town win instead of letting the angels win, the demons will not acheive their win condition either way. so why would they help you? it isn't in their interest. GUYS IT ISN'T TO LATE TO USE BEHAVIOURAL ANALYSIS. | ||
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Demons have at most a concealer with no power and a twister. Wiggles, Syllogism, and RoL have flipped ???? The demons know what RoL was. The AoD is still alive HoD claims the twister targeted me last night. HoD claims sage. You claim that you are the corrupted town and you know a player is "not dark" The DH was alive last night. The demons have no protection against the DH. There are only two lynch candidates: HoD: who was essentially dead and VERY likely the AoD, was spared who claimed sage, and then claimed his accusor was protected by demons. Me: his (remaining) accusor, It would require phenomenal demon play phenomenally bad town play, and phenomenally worse town play for demons to win. | ||
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Syllo was also arguing that I was scum-buddies with RoL, a scenario that is now known by all to be 100% impossible, so don't go using his assumptions as the basis for your argument. I don't care whether you are demon or town right now, all I know is you are not an angel, and I am not an angel, and we really must kill an angel today. So let's do that, shall we? Hell, if you think I am an angel so much, please point out one of my angel scum buddies and let's lynch the shit out of him, ok? how is it 100% possible I think lynching the AoD is optimal, when you consider that no-one else has made an effort to find scum and that my effort has been defeated by "layabout was twisted last night" i see no point in trying to do more(yet i continue to ![]() | ||
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is it 100% impossible for HoD and RoL to be scum-buddies based on the information that you have access to? | ||
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On January 17 2012 08:10 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: 100% impossible Well, first of all I am the sage so it was 100% impossible to begin with. But, RoL was either the channeler, or scum. If he was the channeler, obviously we can't be scum buddies, regardless of my alignment. If he was scum, then wiggles was the channeler and nobody has counterclaimed me, which therefore requires me being the sage. Or, you know, the sage to be absolutely fucking retarded. On January 17 2012 08:24 Refallen wrote: ^^ This. With the unknown flips we cannot be 100% certain who has flipped what, so the best we can do is to make reasonable assumptions. HoD's sage claim has to stand because obviously, no one has counterclaimed it. And wiggles was channeled by virtue of te fact that RoL fake-claimed channeler because there was no way RoL was town. No way. So RoL is an angel, either acolyte or observer, because he knew that channeler was dead and he could try fake-claiming that role. Jackal, you said you were confused by the flips. Does the above sound logical to you? If so, does your lynch target still stay as bluelightz? On January 17 2012 08:29 Refallen wrote: Meant to point to HoD's post not layabout's. And yes it is impossible because there was only one ??? Flip when the two of them claimed. Roll's claim was stealing wiggles role. Also explains why wiggles died, observer probably saw him banishing syllo, so he became a target. With the only ??? Flip confirmed at that time, now HoD is confirmed to be sage by virtue of there being no counter-claim. The only scenario that HoD could be lying was that syllo is the sage, and angels got really fucking lucky on killing him before day starts, because once there is a counterclaim HoD was gonna be lynched for sure. The actual question. On January 17 2012 08:18 layabout wrote: @ thread ANSWER is it 100% impossible for HoD and RoL to be scum-buddies based on the information that you have access to? + Show Spoiler + underlined statements are based upon assumptions + he even outlines one of the possible scenario in which HoD could not be the sage, yet does not explain how he can be sure that RoL and HoD could not both be scum in that scenario and then says it is impossible for HoD and RoL to both be scum. Seeing as Refallen is making assumptions about unknown information there is no way that it could be 100% impossible for HoD and RoL to be on the same team. Refallen is telling us that certain flips are 100% confrimed based upon assumptions No-one is publicly confirmed anything until they flip.* Refallen is lying to you to stop you from lynching HoD. *+ Show Spoiler + technically there are scenarios in which it is possible to work out what all of the remaining roles are and use you own alignment and DT checks to become 100% sure of a living players flip | ||
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On December 28 2011 15:42 ZBot wrote: Vote count for the Day 4 Lynch. With 10 alive, 6 votes are required to lynch. Current votes: layabout (1): HarbingerOfDoom (1): layabout Refallen (0): The Day 4 deadline is at 2012-01-18 10:00:00 KST. (That's approximately 11:20:10 from now.) | ||
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You openly admit to not putting in effort. Please do not sign up for games. | ||
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+ Show Spoiler + unless your scum + Show Spoiler + @BH yes this is a spoiler inside of a spoiler and I hope you enjoyed clicking it | ||
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I think we can agree that we need to lynch someone. + Show Spoiler + I will not be voting for anyone other than HoD or Refallen unless you can present reasons that suggest that voting for another player has a better chance of killing (angel) scum. BL has basically thrown his vote on Jackal. BH claims CT of the total votes its likely that 2-6 of them are scum controlled (most likely = 2 demon 3 angel 1 ct or 2 demon 2 angel 1ct) As we need 6 votes total to lynch and it's unlikely that Angels or Demons will actually vote and kill one of their own, If we wish to lynch an angel we likely need demons help, and we need town united on the same candidate. If we wish to lynch a demon we will need the Angels help, and we need town united on the same candidate. We need that candidate + Show Spoiler + It's HoD + Show Spoiler + vote HoD | ||
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for instance, wiggles and syllogism could have been a demons killed by angels and RoL an angel whose kill was concealed. 0demons 2 angels ct gets own vote whilst it seems sensible to dismiss this possibility we should dismiss it actively rather than pretending it is not possible. We should consider whether or not different possibilities should have an impact on our decision-making. I think that, that example should not affect out decision-making but i also think that treating things like that as impossible and then treating much more likely possibilities that would have a real impact on what we should do, is something that we cannot afford to do. | ||
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??????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????? why would a scum team willingly give up information to town that could be to their detriment how about instead of first assuming that i am a demon, you try to look at how HoD has behaved and see how it makes sense if he is an angel. claiming sage was not only safe for an angel but it allowed him to then make an OMGUS against me. +did you really think that i looked like scum until HoD said that i was twisted? Consider that i believe HoD to be the AoD. Consider that my reasons have not been shown to be incorrect. (because they aren't) Consider that as town i need to lynch an angel and that killing the AoD is the best possible lynch for town. | ||
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he is trolling you with a complete list of reads! + Show Spoiler + inside of that list of reads he criticises another player for posting a complete list of reads | ||
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do you try to find all of the scum at once? or do you try to read people draw the best conclusions you feel you can and then evaluate the implications of those conclusions? | ||
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On January 18 2012 03:36 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Reads/Explanations: Blazinghand - 99% town, 1% demon. Claimed corrupted town. He is either town (very likely), or an exceptionally ballsy demon. Bluelightz - Wat. Just posted his list of reads, includes more town reads than the number of remaining townies, unless Syllo was somehow a demon and RoL was an angel. I want to believe he is town, but he makes it so hard to. Reading his filter makes my brain numb. I would not be particularly surprised with him flipping any alignment. Dirkzor - Seems scummy to me, I could see him flipping angel or demon. any scum Grackaroni - Leaning town. 100% not a demon. Some chance of being an angel, but I have now read his past games and the main difference I see is only a bit of a drop in activity. Also, if you were scum, Palmar was not on your team, and he was acting fairly scummy and being attacked by several vets, would you defend him day 1? I know I wouldn't. However, he still remains a potential angel, although I do not think it is the most likely. [b]town Jackal58 - Might be an angel...? I can't shake the feeling that he might be an angel, but I don't have any particularly good explanation for it. layabout - Probably demon. He was twisted, but is not the corrupted townie. Also wants me dead like none other. Possibility of him being town if the demons managed to guess who I was investigating. Refallen - Probably town. Besides being more aggressive, which is in itself generally a town trait, and his play has been fairly consistent with my last game with him where he was town. Tyrran - Still isn't playing anything like he did when he was town in steamship. A number of his statements don't seem like a bullshitting scum player...but his play is still very different. I could see him flipping any alignment. Zephirdd - Hopefully town. While his actions have been odd, they don't match up with his scum play from steamship. His reactions to being accused by syllo of being scum-buddies with me seemed extremely similar to my reaction to being tied to Risk. So, I am willing to take our chances on lynching Bluelightz, Dirkzor, Jackal, Tyrran, or Grackaroni, with a preference of not Grackaroni. so thats: Town Any a bit scummy leaning town maybe angel probably demon probably town Any hopefully town 1 scum read 2"maybe" scum 2 i havent a clue Bluelightz had: [B]On January 17 2012 23:53 Bluelightz wrote: Blazinghand: Leaning Town Dirkzor: Leaning Town Grackaroni: Leaning Town / Scum HarbingerOfDoom: Leaning Town Jackal58: Leaning Town/Scum layabout: Leaning Town Refallen: Leaning Scum Tyrran: Leaning Zephirdd: Leaning Town 1 maybe scum 2 maybe scum, maybe town. way to go stick your neck out and criticise BL from a position that you could legitimately do so from. | ||
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he is posting his read on players based on what he has read. "seems scummmy" is not a scum read, it's very non-committal "he is scummy" on the other hand would pretty much a scum read "he is scum" is a scumread "Probably" indicates that you think him being scum is the most likely alignment "seems" or "scummy" is not "seems and scummy" is not a scumread. | ||
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On January 18 2012 04:30 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: Show nested quote + On January 18 2012 04:23 layabout wrote: he isn't suggesting a scenario he is posting his read on players based on what he has read. "seems scummmy" is not a scum read, it's very non-committal "he is scummy" on the other hand would pretty much a scum read "he is scum" is a scumread "Probably" indicates that you think him being scum is the most likely alignment "seems" or "scummy" is not "seems and scummy" is not a scumread. So I say he seems scummy and I could see him being angel or demon, and I say I am fine lynching him, and you interpret it with your comment as "any scum", but it isn't a scum read? I see. Re Bluelightz: You have a list of conclusions. Some of your conclusions must be false. Do you 1) Rethink some of the conclusions 2) Accept them all and share them ...? the phrase "seems scummy" does not definitively indicate that you have a scum read on a player, whereby a scumread is defined as: "i think that player's most likely alignment is scum" From google point number 2 seems : "Used to make a statement or description of one's thoughts, feelings, or actions less assertive or forceful." If you want to call bluelightz stupid then go ahead. I shall not. Given that he has been making town and null reads for the entire game, if you truly believe that that makes him likely scum (which it does not) then why wait until now to make the point, and why not explain the point because it is a pointed that is questionable at it's absolute best. You also present his choice of options in a way that Bluelightz almost certainly did not consider or frame it, so it really cannot be used to evaluate his decisions. Plus he cannot come back to defend himself because he should be sleeping. | ||
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However i will say this: The town performance in student mafia was exceptional. Every town player through their posting made themselves easily identifyable as town from day number 1. On day 1 BH voted for lots of players to pressure them into contributing, The way in which most players made these contributions was though lists of all of their reads. + Show Spoiler + Shameless self-praise Bluelightz who had replaced in as scum then conceeded the game. Overall it was not evident that he was putting a lot of thought into his post. His posts lacked a confident tone. I think it is extremely easy to see why Bluelightz may have thought that posting all of his reads regularly would be a very pro-town thing to do. You could try to WIFOM this by saying that if one could easily understand how BL might think that then he should play up to his noobishness and do that because it makes him look like a new player, who is trying to do what they believe is a good thing for town to do. I think BL has a high chance of flipping town, should we be dumb enough to vote for him link to day1 list-ville: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12587434 | ||
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http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993110 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993196 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993370 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993677 please use common sense to select the information that is of value in this context. | ||
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On January 18 2012 05:03 Zephirdd wrote: Show nested quote + On January 18 2012 04:58 layabout wrote: Be mindfull of these posts (+the rest of the filter because it has more sense in it than the combined filters of all of the players that are still alive) http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993110 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993196 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993370 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=12993677 please use common sense to select the information that is of value in this context. TBH most of these are valid only during the first few days. It's been fifteen days already. Why are you trying so hard to defend him? I already gave up on him, and I'll just wait for his defense tomorrow after today's lynch(no-lynch would only benefit angels on this scenario IMO). I am explaining that i think he is town and that lynching him would be a poor decision. If you cannot see how some of the statements about using meta on bluelightz could be relevant then maybe you haven't been reading your own filter: On January 18 2012 04:35 Zephirdd wrote: Good, so he should realize that bluelightz look scum here, unless I'm missing something. I didn't observe that game(was busy reading Mafia XLVII in order to catch up just to die the next day), but scum BL from student and BL from here look incredibly similar. Having the opinion from someone familiar to his meta would be great. + Show Spoiler + fuck it's on this page and it was 30 minutes ago | ||
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refallen | ||
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Reffallen in particular because he has been misleading and outright lied in his statements about possible roles/actions and because i think that other lynches have less of a chance of hitting angels | ||
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if you are implying that we should be relying on anything other than claims made in the thread i feel it is my duty to remind you that you are playing mafia, and that analysis is forbidden. | ||
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but we should all agree before anyone changes their vote. | ||
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+ the LSB guide is out-dated: Analysis This is the most important part of the game. This is how you catch scum. It is incredibly difficult. However, with enough practice and a bit of work, you can do it too! Logic Logic is incredibly important. One of the biggest parts, yet the most underrated part, is well thought out plan. For example, this game On a lighter note, dead angel! we got this. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
I am not sure whether to be angry or amused as many of these decisions were based upon incomplete information. After day 1 i feel that my posting got substantially worse, in part this was due to IRL pressures that i was avoiding but a major part was frustration at towns's play. On day 2: Concealing a risk lynch would have been really powerful, It would have really confused town as he was expected to flip scum, and it would have meant that later on in the game there would have been real uncertainty about how many angels/demons were still alive, that we could have used to our advantage. I did not conceal because i was unable to contact my team during the day and i did not anticipate risk being lynched before i got computer access the next day, so i decided to wait, discuss with my team and then decide. On day 3: I basically prevented the sage from being hammered. TT I concealed the lynch but as the deadline drew near i began to play nation red with my friends during the free weekend, and didn't think about the implications of the RoL channeller claim. During the night, i derped hard and posted a big "lets lynch HoD case", the problem with this was that it was almost completely defeated by the night actions. On day 4: During the day i am fairly sure some of my responses to the accusations against me would have shown my red colours not that anybody bothered to point them out. For some reason i was able to get a town vote on HoD, be called a demon by most of the thread and then get town players to vote for Refallen. At the time i had no idea that he was the demonhunter. Tyrran was offline I suggest you read this in our qt for timestamps but this was the worst moment for me in the entire game: + Show Spoiler + layabout Tyrran if you were here we could lynch.. I'm here. vote him whatif he is the demon hunter? do you think i should wait to force the vote? If he is demon hunter, its the best thing htat can happen for us. Town lose their KP against us. We can twist the AoD/Sage, in dramatically increases our chance of winnning how long should i wait between now/ you voting and changing BH's vote? i need to leave soon, please say something I voted for Refallen i immediately respond i should vote immediately 1 cycle after later?? since tyrran had posted his vote in the thread HoD unvoted to prevent the demons from hammering despite the fact that he had voted on the premise of "a lynch is more likely to hit an angel than a no-lynch" what a twat I then stopped posting to see what would happen, hoping that the angels would realise that lynchng a non-angel would save them completely from the lynch. Before i went to sleep I put blazinghands vote on Jackal. I am pleased that he was then lynched and flipped angel because i feel that the angels had the power to stop town from winning but instead killed us and gave town the win. After the lynch I should have tried to communicate with the Angel of death to prevent them from handing town the win. Now angel team: Can you please explain to me why you acted how you did on day 4 and night 4? I don't understand how you could have done anything less-optimal than what you actually did. -You decide not to support a lynch on a player not on your team -You then bus one of your own when you could have played for a no-lynch -In the night you either target BH (who was the optimal choice for being twisted) instead of kiling HoD who was basically confirmed -You allow Refallen's kill to go through so that he also become confirmed. I am disappointed in how the game ended because as soon as i flipped demon and there were no other kills, town should win from that position every time but different actions would have meant that town could not freely vote for fear of the demons hammering and then gaining vote control the angel would have to play to eliminate confirmed town but as the same time not allow demons to kill them. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=13121038 +that was not my demon hunter breadcrumb: (click the spoiler in the last post) This was my demon Hunter crumb: + Show Spoiler + On January 06 2012 05:26 layabout wrote: Grackaroni: In this post his writes a pile of nothing to call HoD scum. my comments have been italicised Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 04:06 Grackaroni wrote: HarbingerofDoom is my scum pick. He was one of the first people into the game and took a lot of time to comment on the setup. (this is what the majority of his posts are about) -a completely null tell At the start of the game he asks for us to give strategies for demons/angels which to me seemed weird from a town perspective and not beneficial to town. -asking to not reveal game winning strategies for the other team is weird for town?this strikes me as counter-intuitive In Newbie mini Mafia he was very active and spent a lot of time scum hunting. So far there has been no scumhunting done by him -no scumhunting halfway into day 1, applies to a large number of players in this game and isn't necessarily a scummy thing to do. On January 05 2012 15:05 HarbingerOfDoom wrote: So how would people feel about lynching Palmar or Erandorr if they don't start posting more? Both have posted nothing of worth so far, Palmar was even active elsewhere on the mafia forum today, and both are known for doing very little as scum. He seems fairly content with lynching a lurker. (Palmar/Errandorr are the only people he's pushed lynches for) Together this paints a picture to me, he is one of the earlier players to sign up, he was here right when the game started, he had the time to post quite a few things about the setup which tells us nothing about his allignment. In another game when he is town he is more active and does a lot of scumhunting but in this game he wants a lurker lynch.(granted it did include some meta with it) He has the time to post but chooses not to. I'll wait for more posts. -here he accepts HoD's early posting is null tell -he offers weak "meta analysis" based off of a single game -decides to wait for more information, likely because the case isn't strong enough to justify voting Here, he decides that the person that he thinks should die right now, which is equivalent to his best lynch target for now is not HoD but Bluelightz Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 04:24 Grackaroni wrote: As for the Palmar question I would shoot Bluelightz because he could easily be mafia, there's much less downside to shooting him than a potentially useful town player who I think is scum and there's no way of knowing his allignment unless he takes a stance on something. However the lynch is used for Information as well as killing scum, it wouldn't give the most information but more than I previously thought as a lot of people seem split on whether he is scum or not. Question for Syllogism, Why do you dislike lynching BlueLightz? Is it because you have gotten a town read on him, (if yes plz do share), or was it just because of the way I presented his lynch. Says he would lynch bluelightz mostly because "there's much less downside to shooting him than a potentially useful town player who I think is scum and there's no way of knowing his allignment unless he takes a stance on something" which is an awful reason to kill a player. Show nested quote + On January 06 2012 04:26 Grackaroni wrote: On January 06 2012 04:23 Blazinghand wrote: If I knew 100% Bluelightz was town, I'd be focusing other players. There's a difference between saying I wouldn't mind if he is town and it might be good to kill, just because even if he is town he could be useless. "Oh but Blazinghand I am grackaroni and have no understanding of nuance please explain" Oh, Grackaroni, you are always so self-derprecating. Here I will help you. If Bluelights is lynched and flips scum, that would be sweet. If Bluelightz flips town, i'm gonna mind a lot. I'm gonna be pissed because he played like shitty dick. It will still have been the right move to have lynched him based on the info we had, and even if he is town, you have to admit he's useless-- indistinguishable from scum and actively hurtful if he, somehow, lives to LYLO. So I guess my question for you, Captain Grack Sparrow, is, do you really think I'd be happy lynching a townie day 1? Or do you think I'm just willing to accept the consequences of my actions, like a goddamn man, make a case, like a goddamn man, and ACTUALLY VOTE AND DO STUFF. fine. ##Vote: HarbingerofDoom But with that I am off, Will be back in a few hours though, I promise ![]() votes that we lynch and kill a player other than the player he said he would most like to kill 2minutes earlier this is a glaring contradiction. I cannot understand why he would post such a thing as town. a universe in which those actions make sense would be a universe that sucks big ol' hairy BearBollocks. It seems that he could have decided to vote because Blazinghand told him to do something and he responded by voting, but all i can see is weak/barely even reasoning behind him thinking HoD is scum and nothing of worth to justify a vote. I do not think we should let players vote for such bad reasons. I think the vote is scummy. Does anybody thing his defence in this post is adequate? ( i do not ) On January 07 2012 01:19 layabout wrote: WoW that is quite a mess! EBWOP: Show nested quote + What if Wiggles is a demon/angel and Palmar is not on his team? Then Wiggles knows that Palmar is either a townie or the other faction out of Angel/Demon. And that Palmars win condition will require him to kill Wiggles. (except in the True love exception) If Palmar has a power role and thinks that Wiggles is an angel/demon then he will likely try to investigate or slay wiggles, with his or his team-mates night actions. Alternately he might try to lynch him later on using forced votes and/or make a case against him. None of these actions are good for Wiggles. As someone regarded as a strong scumhunter Palmar is likely to be the one to figure out that Wiggles is scum and then convince others that wiggles is scum. In short if Wiggles is scum and Palmar isn't on his team, then Palmar presents a threat to Wiggles and killing him early would help Wiggles team. Jackal, would you maybe do something? On January 08 2012 07:03 layabout wrote: Show nested quote + On January 08 2012 06:33 Mr. Wiggles wrote: risk.nuke, does what Palmar say accurately reflect what you had in mind with your "plan"? "I'll comment on the situation and see how people respond". Wait a minute! I think I might have also been using this plan! What are the chances? risk.nuke are you spying on my brain? hmmm... how should i test this?... @risk.nuke What is my favorite race in fantasy genres? + Show Spoiler + if he says dwarf i will send a complaint to zona because he must be spying on me | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Which leads me to my main problem this game: A large number of people clearly were not reading the thread!. It felt like town players were really not making themselves useful or trying to catch scum. I think that Town should have lost but they got lucky with the actions of power roles.
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
+it resulted in lynching risk.nuke based on day 1 accusations and a long and boring night which did not help town, @BH I still do not think that you showed how what he did was so scummy, i think that his actions day3 were a much better reason to lynch him. I think you made yourself very clearly town and therefore played better than most of the thread. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Establishing a group of players that are town is very powerful, do you not think that he could have felt that the plan in that or an adjusted form could have established that? | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 22 2012 02:48 Blazinghand wrote: I think the plan was bad for town. I think you would only suggest the plan as scum. Establishing a group of players that are town is powerful, but singling out our blues will just get them killed. In fact, I think everyone agreed it was a terrible plan that hurt town. Why would RoL suggest this plan? Because he is scum. The logic there seems impeccable. EDIT: Like, given that everyone thought the plan hurt town, I'm amazed we didn't just dogpile him and lynch him right away after he suggested it. Srsly. I think that most of the criticisms were weak and that many people showed that they did not fully understand the plan. I think that RoL's responses were actually much stronger than the criticisms. I think that town players, are entirely capable of coming up with or pushing plans that are bad for town. I think that we could not have made a reliable judgement concerning how good/bad RoL thought his plan was for town, since he was out-arguing his critics and trying to push the plan to convince us to follow it (this would make sense for a player of either alignment) Since we could not reliably judge whether or not he was trying to manipulate or help us i think that we could not use his plan as the basis for calling him scum. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Can a corrupted town player ever cast a vote? A corrupted town player starts the day able to vote normally, but whoever controls his/her vote can change the vote at any time (or can cast the vote if the corrupted player hasn't voted yet), and once that happens, the corrupted town player cannot change his/her "own" vote in any way. Night ended at about 1:30 AM for me i could not stop BH from voting. Since the vote would update after 5 minutes and at certain times there were a limited number of players that would have access to the thread, i was not able to change BH's vote around without risking being caught. Since Tyrran was offline he could not stop the CT from voting for him. I think it would have been reasonable for any demon to be able change the vote. Or to change the vote with a reasonable delay. Since the courier died n1 and we still had chances to win i am not going to complain about balance which seems about right, but i would like to say that: The corrupt mechanic was not particularly useful this game.
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layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
i blame you for this: On January 13 2012 05:29 layabout wrote: You simply cannot use Prove in this context. You have not proven anything. DOES ANYBODY ACTUAL POSSES THE ABILITY TO THINK! But it was still a bad plan, and he was still pushing it. Why would you push a bad plan? Because you are scum. You cannot go from bad plan to scum. | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
On January 22 2012 02:53 syllogism wrote: RoL still insists that he thought the plan favors angels AND town, so if that is truly his take on it, it's a null tell i am giving up. your stubbornness is unfathomable Edit: It doesn't even matter what his alignment is/was Edit: all this editing is so fun, maybe i should go back and put more spoilers into my posts | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
Poll: How much of the thread did you read? All of it, and a few filters, twice (5) All of it, and every filter multiple times! (4) All of it, once, maybe a filter or two (2) Most of it (1) Not much at all (1) I was posting, isn't that enough? (1) Some of it (0) 14 total votes Your vote: How much of the thread did you read? (Vote): All of it, and every filter multiple times! | ||
layabout
United Kingdom2600 Posts
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