On September 04 2011 04:50 wherebugsgo wrote:Show nested quote +On September 03 2011 06:32 iGrok wrote:On September 03 2011 06:08 sandroba wrote:
Igrok, can we please get a vote count?
We have to consolidate the votes now, so mafia can't lynch whoever they want.
There will be no vote count. I will tell you who has voted for who.
Jackal58 =====chaos13
RedFF=======Varpulis
Sknowman====jcarlsoniv
Kenpachi=====Varpulis
wherebugsgo==OriginalName
sinani206=====bumatlarge
Drazerk=======sinani206
jcarlsoniv=====sinani206
Varpulis======sinani206
Ace==========chaos13
Original Name==Kenpachi
Palmar========bumatlarge
chaos13=======Palmar
bumatlarge====Kenpachi
Sandroba======bumatlarge
bumatlarge=====varpulis Few things here I want to point out. There's a bunch of WIFOM here with respect to bum. For me, personally, looking at everything that's happened today/yesterday and at the vote counts, I give bum a 50/50% shot at flipping mafia. I think sandroba is town, so I value his RB claim (and no one has counter claimed RB) so I think it's very possible that mafia RBed sandroba in order to get fewer votes on bum. Then again, we could very likely have been on the path to lynch 3 townies, so mafia could've just arbitrarily picked sandroba because he appeared to be a definite town, possibly with a power, so they blocked him and created this WIFOM because of sandroba's insistence on lynching bum.
bum=?
Next, look at the other two people who voted varpulis. Kenpachi and red. They voted together on me as well. I'm thinking their alignments are possibly linked. I give them a strong chance to both flip mafia, or both flip town. I'll get back to them in a sec.
The remaining two players I suspect are chaos13 and ON.
+ Show Spoiler +On September 03 2011 23:58 chaos13 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 03 2011 15:49 sandroba wrote:
okay what? What are you actually saying in this post? Why am I scum? And why did you suddenly change your mind about ON? Please ignore chaos13 post and vote for bum and ON.
Oh look, somebody is defending WBG by means of deflecting attention away from his lynch. Not only that, they're doing it by asking someone to
ignore an analysis on a player.
You know scum, just because it's a no flip game doesn't mean you don't have to put effort in.
sinani206
Wherebugsgo
sandroba Well, all three of those players are green. I can guarantee you all that.
Chaos here attempting to forge a connection between myself and sandroba somehow. Any decent player will know that no such connection exists. He then immediately follows up with this:
+ Show Spoiler +On September 04 2011 00:14 chaos13 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 04 2011 00:04 jcarlsoniv wrote:
Ok, assuming there are 3 scum, this would mean the mafia kp is 2. 3 died last night. So that means someone died by a way other than mafia kp. This is either the minion shot or the vig shot. I'm going to assume the vig didn't shoot already, but it's possible.
If sinani had been scum, this would reduce the mafia numbers to 2, and thus, their kp to 1. Chances are very very high that sinani was not scum.
@_@
Good point.
Show nested quote +On September 04 2011 00:12 Palmar wrote:
yeah, chaos13 is the remaining scum.
gogo
Hi Palmar.
When immediately called out on his shitty reasoning, he just says "good point" without explicitly acknowledging that he's dead wrong/being misleading about sinani/me/sandroba. Sinani is not scum.
Then, doesn't actually question Palmar, doesn't defend himself, doesn't do anything to actually substantiate his arguments. Whenever attention goes to chaos, he brushes it off and tries to go under the radar. This happened day 1 when he got two votes as well; he just completely dismissed the votes and tried getting less attention. I figure he probably knew that trying to defend himself would just expose more of his scumminess.
+ Show Spoiler +On September 03 2011 09:10 chaos13 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 03 2011 09:06 jcarlsoniv wrote:On September 03 2011 09:02 chaos13 wrote:On September 03 2011 08:57 sandroba wrote:
Okay, but you would rather let mafia decide who they lynch? If you don't switch for some of the leading candidates I'm gonna hunt you down if somehow I survive this night.
So in other words you think mafia are all on the big(gest) wagons right now?
That's not at all what he's saying. When all the votes are this close, if mafia has a roleblocker, they can null a vote and decide who gets lynched.
wat.
Mafia can block votes??
brb, re-reading OP
Shows a blatant disregard for actually reading the thread/being informed.
He then tries to make a case on me for having apparently shitty reasoning/trying to inform the town of game mechanics. So, if he's town, he's completely stupid, which I find rather unlikely. Instead, I find him probably to be mafia, being purposely misleading. No one misses this many things as a dumb townie.
+ Show Spoiler +On September 03 2011 08:30 chaos13 wrote:Show nested quote +On September 03 2011 01:28 Jackal58 wrote:
This makes no sense to me. "I think he's town but I'm going to plant a little scummy seed"
Chaos started with the same "Don't Spam My Game or I'll be Pissed Off" post that he did in Werewolves. Ya he was scum there too.
##VOTE: Chaos13
What I meant was that I'm leaning town, but I'm not positive of his alignment. In other words if he's scum, he's doing very well. I just stated it somewhat unclearly.
Hello Ace.
And for the strongest meta argument I've seen
##unvote
##vote Varpulis Here's where he replies to both votes on him day 1, but doesn't really do anything about it, just tries to brush off the votes.
1. He doesn't address Jackal's meta argument. If Jackal had it incorrect, I'd think chaos would've actually responded somehow to it.
2. Chaos acknowledges that Ace has voted him for no reason, but doesn't actually provoke Ace or demand Ace provide reasoning. Just "hello Ace."
He then IMMEDIATELY slips into something else, bringing attention away from those votes on himself:
+ Show Spoiler +On September 03 2011 09:10 chaos13 wrote:
And for the strongest meta argument I've seen
##unvote
##vote Varpulis
So, he votes Varpulis for apparently having a shitty meta argument. I'm taking "for the strongest mta argument I've seen" to be sarcasm.
Here is Varp's filter:
Filter Varpulis-what meta?Either I'm retarded, or Varp never once used meta to accuse anyone of anything.
On the other hand, this brings up a great question. Why would chaos vote varp for having a shitty meta argument (when, in fact, he had no meta argument whatsoever) but would not call out Jackal's meta argument against himself? Did he not want attention brought to it?
I think so. I think the running theme of chaos13 is "don't bring attention to myself."
Don't believe me? Read his filter.
Filter Chaos13 Since I get the vibe you don't want attention, chaos, I'm giving it to you. Bring it on, biatch.
Finally, ON. I called him out after the voting was closed, right before the daypost, for not changing his vote. He threw away his vote on Kenpachi similar to how chaos had thrown his vote on Palmar prior to voting Varpulis. The only difference is that ON was actually around to change his vote but didn't change. He was aware that his vote didn't matter, and his argument was nonexistent. This is why I voted ON with the intention of getting people's attention away from sinani+varp, who were clearly town. In the 6 hours I was gone though, no one actually paid attention to my argument.
He didn't really respond at all to me pointing out that he wasted his vote, and he was even there right before the closure of votes. The problem is that now there is more information to go on and make a case against chaos than there is against ON, since chaos has appeared more scummy in the time that ON has not posted.
Here's where I come back to redff and kenpachi. While I think there's a strong chance these guys are linked, I also think that there exists an opposing link between ON and kenpachi. I can't be sure of this, but this is my gut feeling. If ON is mafia, kenpachi is town, and vice versa.
HOWEVER, this does not rule out the possibility that there are 4 mafia, or at least 3 mafia and some independent role we need to kill anyway. I am most sure of chaos, ON, redff, kenpachi, bum in that order. Things may change as people post more, but for now I really think the only person who is not going to come off that list is chaos, so I'm going to vote him.
##unvote
##vote chaos13. Also upon reading bum's posts I lean town on him. He's giving me a different vibe than I got in XLIV. It doesn't rule him out of being mafia, just something I feel at this particular juncture.