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Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia II - Page 20

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
May 20 2011 00:41 GMT
#381
Dude, prplhz did NOT claim Doc...he's postulating about what Mafia might've been thinking.

I repeat, prplhz did NOT CLAIM DOC. Stop telling people to claim roles...this is getting out of hand. lol
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
hiro protagonist
Profile Joined January 2009
1294 Posts
May 20 2011 00:42 GMT
#382
but then they kill the cop... the longer he stays under, the more reports he can do, the better for us
"I guess if you climb enough off-widths, one of these days, your gonna get your knee stuck and shit your pants. Its just an odds thing really" -Jason Kruk
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 00:44 GMT
#383
seems like a few other people are suspicious of hiro who i am the most convinced of being a good guy (at least of those i could analyze until now)..

deepblu2, i would suggest reading up the first pages again. the reasoning behind his suspicions make a lot of sense if you see them in the context of the wild finger-pointing in the early game. also - as i stated already - the reason leading up to his vote (and me bandwagoning it) convinced me the most (kill the most inactive on day1 if we have nothing to be sure of yet - check. stay aware of giygas, who might spoil more for mafia if he is indeed mafia? - check.)

since my last big post you suddenly showed up with way more posts & content than before and try to raise suspicion of me, and now you're blaming the one i'm convinced the most of being a townie - funny coincident that you were the most suspicious in my post
i was unsure of you being a inactive/inexperienced player or mafia, but this presses me to

FoS deepblu2

I would love to see some other opinions on deepblu2, especially from our most active guys

---

I'm also not a fan of blowing up eventual power roles today. Nobody claimed doc as far as i know, so what use would it be to have a potential "real" doc stand up?
Only advantage i can see is to maybe know if purplehaze lied about being roleblocked which i dont see as the most important point, especially coupled with the high cost of our blues being unveiled..

to finish up this post, a small explanation about my posting hours - right now its 7:30 am for me, work starts around 8. as the daycycle ends at 9am for me i was throwing in my vote on day 1 just after waking up and reading up on the thread. i'll create my 2nd part of the analysis this afternoon (my time).
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
May 20 2011 00:47 GMT
#384
Okay I'm back.

First of all: Do not roleclaim.

Here is what will happen if a cop claims:

Mafia immediately knows the setup. If they have a roleblocker, they know there is a doctor too. If they don't have a roleblocker, they know there is no doctor.

a) If they do have a roleblocker, they'll just roleblock the cop until the end of the game, making it useless.

b) If they don't have a roleblocker, they know there is no doctor, so they just.... shoot the cop.

The only situation a roleclaim is advisable, is if the cop actually found Mafia. And even then it'd be better to simply go back, read the post of whoever they found to be scum, and try to get them lynched the old way.
Computer says mafia
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 00:48 GMT
#385
btw:

If we have a cop he MUST claim. The reward is instantly getting an innocent report and a mafia. The risk is getting heavily messed with by scum.

this makes no sense. yes we know one more innocent (the cop himself) who now needs doc protection every night. mafia will have it easier to go after doc.
also cop might have been unlucky on day1 and scanned a townie, so the possibilty of knowing a mafia for sure is slim...

also we might have no doc/cop at all.
if we have one, i strongly suggest staying undercover for now and come out in the open when you have done some important scans, be it a mafia or a important townie who is under a lot of pressure.
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
May 20 2011 00:50 GMT
#386
I loathe to say it, but I agree with Palmar fully in this respect. Then if he's got innocent reports, he can defend the innocence in silence too. Obviously there's a CHANCE Maf will randomly hit him, but that's better than the ONE report and certain death, isn't it? Maybe my math is off...
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
Mataza
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Germany5364 Posts
May 20 2011 00:51 GMT
#387
Prplhz is not doc, he is scum.

I can and I will explain every little detail about my plan once I am sure that we 100% have a cop/do not have a cop.


Also as far as voting is concerned:
18:01 VisceraEyes -> stefftastiq
18:59 Palmar -> DeepBlue2
19:54 DeepBlue2 -> GiygaS
01:00 Mataza -> GiygaS
01:39 VisceraEyes -> ()
02:48 Skrammen -> GiygaS
07:25 GiygaS -> Skrammen
07:35 prplhz -> Skrammen

07:51 VisceraEyes -> prplhz
09:01 VisceraEyes -> ()
09:01 VisceraEyes -> GiygaS
09:05 Karshe -> Skrammen
09:48 hiro protagonist -> Skrammen
09:56 Wunder -> Skrammen
09:58 stefftastiq -> GiygaS
10:08 nard -> Skrammen
10:55 prplhz -> ()
10:55 prplhz -> GiygaS
11:00 Voting ends

We know Giygas is mafia. He was the first to vote Skrammen.
A short time later, but not immediately afterwards, prplhz follows.

Skrammen of course was a perfect safe lynch, chosen by mafia. Also consider this:
On May 18 2011 07:25 GiygaS wrote:
Hello everyone!

On the subject of me having 3 votes, I'm more worried about who could slip by. Namely Skrammen.

Skrammen hasn't posted at all until suddenly, he burst on the scene: Announcing his business the last few days very vaguely, Then jumps on the current trend of voting for me, without any reasoning behind doing so. This seems very dangerous to me, so I'm going to vote for him for the same reason that prplhz has reasoned: an evil unknown is far greater then a known one.

##Vote Skrammen


His voting on Skrammen was not his own choice, but apparently Purplehaze´s.

##vote prplhz


Only thing that could make me think he is town is a very good analysis or a cop claim.
Trust me on this, we didn´t need a blue role day 1, we don´t need a blue day 2.
If nobody hates you, you´re doing something wrong. However someone hating you doesn´t make you right
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
May 20 2011 00:54 GMT
#388
No VisEyes, you're perfectly correct. I'm sorry to have put you in a position where you have to agree with me.

Didn't Mataza claim to be an experienced player? Is there a chance this unhelpful roleclaim idea wasn't a simple mistake, but an elaborate plan? I was pretty sure Mataza wasn't one of the people I had to really analyse, but I guess I might have to spend some time re-reading his stuff.
Computer says mafia
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 00:56 GMT
#389
the voting time is suspicious but not enough for me to cast a vote just yet.

also - what??? in the same post you say:


I can and I will explain every little detail about my plan once I am sure that we 100% have a cop/do not have a cop.


Trust me on this, we didn´t need a blue role day 1, we don´t need a blue day 2.


this doesnt make sense..
DeepBlu2
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
United States975 Posts
May 20 2011 00:56 GMT
#390
On May 20 2011 09:51 Mataza wrote:
Prplhz is not doc, he is scum.

I can and I will explain every little detail about my plan once I am sure that we 100% have a cop/do not have a cop.


Also as far as voting is concerned:
Show nested quote +
18:01 VisceraEyes -> stefftastiq
18:59 Palmar -> DeepBlue2
19:54 DeepBlue2 -> GiygaS
01:00 Mataza -> GiygaS
01:39 VisceraEyes -> ()
02:48 Skrammen -> GiygaS
07:25 GiygaS -> Skrammen
07:35 prplhz -> Skrammen

07:51 VisceraEyes -> prplhz
09:01 VisceraEyes -> ()
09:01 VisceraEyes -> GiygaS
09:05 Karshe -> Skrammen
09:48 hiro protagonist -> Skrammen
09:56 Wunder -> Skrammen
09:58 stefftastiq -> GiygaS
10:08 nard -> Skrammen
10:55 prplhz -> ()
10:55 prplhz -> GiygaS
11:00 Voting ends

We know Giygas is mafia. He was the first to vote Skrammen.
A short time later, but not immediately afterwards, prplhz follows.

Skrammen of course was a perfect safe lynch, chosen by mafia. Also consider this:
Show nested quote +
On May 18 2011 07:25 GiygaS wrote:
Hello everyone!

On the subject of me having 3 votes, I'm more worried about who could slip by. Namely Skrammen.

Skrammen hasn't posted at all until suddenly, he burst on the scene: Announcing his business the last few days very vaguely, Then jumps on the current trend of voting for me, without any reasoning behind doing so. This seems very dangerous to me, so I'm going to vote for him for the same reason that prplhz has reasoned: an evil unknown is far greater then a known one.

##Vote Skrammen


His voting on Skrammen was not his own choice, but apparently Purplehaze´s.

##vote prplhz


Only thing that could make me think he is town is a very good analysis or a cop claim.
Trust me on this, we didn´t need a blue role day 1, we don´t need a blue day 2.




I still think nord or Hiro is one of the mafia, maybe both, if your incorrect that is... I'm kind of stuck as to who to lynch tonight. I agree with your reasoning, but consider, that my reasoning was near identical. While you picked purplehaze because of the timing, 2-3 people who I suspect did the same exact thing basically when it became more clear that that the mafia was trying to save Glygas.

09:48 hiro protagonist -> Skrammen
09:56 Wunder -> Skrammen
10:08 nard -> Skrammen

u gotta sk8
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 00:57 GMT
#391
thinking about it, it makes sense in the way that you suggest a loss of blue roles is not a big deal?
dude, youre digging your own grave.

gotta go now, i will be back in ~ 8 hours

happy scum hunting everyone :>
Mataza
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Germany5364 Posts
May 20 2011 00:58 GMT
#392
Nope, if Cop dies without ever outing a report, or his claim, he is nothing more than a green townie for us.


However, right now we have a scenario in which we either get
- a lot of confirmed innocents, which facilitates scumhunt immensely
- 1 scum
- 2 scum

I know what I´m doing. Prplhz was right when he called me a risktaker. I did this before and I will do it again, if the risk/reward is favorable.
If nobody hates you, you´re doing something wrong. However someone hating you doesn´t make you right
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 00:59 GMT
#393
also PLEASE get some analysis done on deepblu2.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
May 20 2011 00:59 GMT
#394
@DeepBlu

did you go back and check Wunder? I am very interested in what an analysis of him might reveal.
Computer says mafia
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
May 20 2011 00:59 GMT
#395
My vote stands unless something convinces me otherwise. Something real. There has been a lot of bandwagon jumping (even by GiygaS himself)...prplhz is on my list too, but Palmar is WAY above him and while the timing of the votes is suspect, keep in mind that prplhz said in advance that he was voting for an inactive...and just because he voted the same as GiygaS does NOT make him scum.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
nard
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany124 Posts
May 20 2011 01:01 GMT
#396
if cop dies without reporting, we can still analyze his earlier posts before death.
this is getting intense, i'll put a 2nd FoS on Matazar.

summing up:

FoS deepblu2
FoS Matazar


now i really gotta go, 2 minutes till work starts ,_,
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
May 20 2011 01:01 GMT
#397
Maybe you can call us all sheep today too. -.- And I had just about cleared you in my mind. Back to page 3 I guess.

*weep*
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
Mataza
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Germany5364 Posts
May 20 2011 01:02 GMT
#398
On May 20 2011 09:56 nard wrote:
the voting time is suspicious but not enough for me to cast a vote just yet.

also - what??? in the same post you say:

Show nested quote +

I can and I will explain every little detail about my plan once I am sure that we 100% have a cop/do not have a cop.

Show nested quote +

Trust me on this, we didn´t need a blue role day 1, we don´t need a blue day 2.


this doesnt make sense..


Why, it makes good sense. We got Giygas without any blue role. And if the maf really has a roleblocker, we could be all townies.
If a blue role would be so important that you couldn´t win without it, it wouldn´t be a possible setup.
If nobody hates you, you´re doing something wrong. However someone hating you doesn´t make you right
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21170 Posts
May 20 2011 01:16 GMT
#399
No one's saying it's impossible without a blue role Mata, just that it's much easier with one that's ALIVE IF HE EXISTS. Outting him seems TOO risky, even for you sir. Your risks have paid off in the past, the past does NOT dictate the future.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
DeepBlu2
Profile Blog Joined April 2004
United States975 Posts
May 20 2011 01:18 GMT
#400
On May 20 2011 10:02 Mataza wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2011 09:56 nard wrote:
the voting time is suspicious but not enough for me to cast a vote just yet.

also - what??? in the same post you say:


I can and I will explain every little detail about my plan once I am sure that we 100% have a cop/do not have a cop.


Trust me on this, we didn´t need a blue role day 1, we don´t need a blue day 2.


this doesnt make sense..


Why, it makes good sense. We got Giygas without any blue role. And if the maf really has a roleblocker, we could be all townies.
If a blue role would be so important that you couldn´t win without it, it wouldn´t be a possible setup.



18:01 VisceraEyes -> stefftastiq
18:59 Palmar -> DeepBlue2
19:54 DeepBlue2 -> GiygaS
01:00 Mataza -> GiygaS
01:39 VisceraEyes -> ()
02:48 Skrammen -> GiygaS
07:25 GiygaS -> Skrammen
07:35 prplhz -> Skrammen
07:51 VisceraEyes -> prplhz
09:01 VisceraEyes -> ()
09:01 VisceraEyes -> GiygaS
09:05 Karshe -> Skrammen
09:48 hiro protagonist -> Skrammen
09:56 Wunder -> Skrammen
09:58 stefftastiq -> GiygaS
10:08 nard -> Skrammen
10:55 prplhz -> ()
10:55 prplhz -> GiygaS
11:00 Voting ends

“All truths are easy to understand once they are discovered; the point is to discover them.” -Galileo Galilei
u gotta sk8
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