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On April 24 2010 16:41 IntoTheWow wrote: Scaramanga, motbob and Roffles have barely posted while they have been active on TL in other areas. I know everyone can be busy, but I'm curious on what you guys think of the current situation (no jersey shore jokes please). I didn't even think of making a joke until you went along and suggested it. Now..must..resist...
In response to your observation, I don't know whether being active on other areas in TL and not posting in mafia thread is indicative of being scum... I would think that if you were mafia, you would be paranoid of people noticing you lurking in the mafia thread when you're obviously around, and would therefore be careful not to post in other areas if you're not posting in the mafia thread. Just my opinion though.. I could be wrong; they could be mafia and just not be as paranoid a player as I was when I was mafia, or then again just town-aligned players feeling lazy and having nothing to contribute... Basically I'm saying that while it shouldn't clear them from suspicion, I don't think such actions should be the CAUSE of suspicion/basis of FoS.
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FREEAGLELAND26780 Posts
Day 3 Double Lynch: Lynch One
Votes came in quickly and rapidly for the first of the double lynches. Less than two hours into the day, there were enough votes to condemn iNfuNdiBuLuM to death by hanging. The first actual hanging the town was to have ended quickly, with the town breathing a bit more easily at the sight of iNfuNdiBuLuM's body hanging limply at the end of the noose.
iNfuNdiBuLuM the Mafia Goon has been lynched.
There is still one lynch to go. Follow the rules in the voting thread. Deadline to vote is Monday, Apr 26 1:00am GMT (GMT+00:00).
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Woooot!! Nice... we're starting to see the change here. Nice job Ace
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On April 23 2010 13:17 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: The thing is, I have already stated that I believe BC's behavior points to him being innocent, as he so openly railed against Ace. If you look at the circumstances of RoL's rolecheck, it was a lot different than Ace's rolecheck because Ace checked a player that he had publicly suspected Day 1, and Caller was unlucky enough to be the miller. Combined with Caller's already odd play it was enough to get people to vote for him. However it seems like theres a lot more doubt in the town regarding rol/bc. I mean I guess it's totally possible that BC is also a Miller, and RoL does have a point that his play doesn't make a whole lot of sense from the mafia perspective (though is this a bit of a wifom? it sort of sounds like it). Korynne has similar sentiments expressed in her post above.
Basically i think the plan tonight is to hope our medics are playing up to speed. Vigi's should hit whoever they think is suspicious (i consider Caller's suspect list a decent starting point, minus ITW who i feel has shown himself to be a pretty solidly town player, and add Scaramanga). Hopefully DT's dont check any more(?) Millers.
Also i don't think ALL vigis should shoot tonight like Ace said, considering its a 1 time power and the outcome of tomorrows lynch could set up some good vigi targets for tomorrows night. Of course there's no way to coordinate this, so if you're a vigi with no idea who to hit it might be smarter to wait instead of risking your 1 shot - town is pretty much on the verge of death here.
On April 23 2010 14:24 Ace wrote: Vigis shoot infundibulum too he's useless.
You'd have to be pretty scummy to think all Vigis shouldn't shoot the same target with the situation we had.
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is awesome32266 Posts
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FREEAGLELAND26780 Posts
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is awesome32266 Posts
On April 21 2010 13:43 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: Well I can't hate on you for getting analysis out there, since it's what everyone needs to be doing instead of posting useless garbage. So props. But some things you said about me simply are, well, factually incorrect or misguided.
I already explained my inactivity in another post. Real life shit; I am a busy man. Here I am posting and making up for lost time though.
I'm not sure why you think it's suspicious that I'm contributing to the town. Look at all the players that aren't contributing anything. It sounds like your concerned that I'm contributing, but not contributing enough. That's fine, I'll try to be more direct in my posts. I never bothered posting any sort of town plan in this game, largely since this game is not about specific town plans - e.g. Bodyguard plans or Assassin plans - but largely about town activity and discussion, which is why i was trying to post helpful information and thoughts about general playing strategy that will best benefit the town. Additionally, why do I have to post aggressively to be town? I have never been a particularly aggressive player, except that one time in Mini Mafia I where the town lynched me and I was the medic and I got really mad (jerks).
You say I was never suspicious of anybody..., right after a quote of my DT list of people I thought were suspicious.
I'll add a couple more:
Caller Abenson (strangely quiet) meeple - same as others RoL - based on my previous analysis Scaramanga - probably pretending to be useless
anyway i ask people to continue the incog idea of player-beneath-you analysis. hopefully this will get some inactives out of the woodworks when they see their name in the thread.
Caller turned to be miller Abenson (strangely quiet) townie meeple - same as others ? RoL - based on my previous analysis assassin Scaramanga ?
Italics by me ofc.
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Fishball: Its day 3, you're a troll, and you gotta come out now. Thanks. Oh also one interesting thing to note is that you comment saying the zbot archive is awesome. Why is this so? Either you just threw this out there to fake activity, or you're actually using it to do analysis. Take your pick.
Bill Murray: At first he made me think he was just playing usual and just be ignored. But his posting has dramatically declined. Busy? Thinks he's in the clear? Not his spammy usual self anymore. But then again, its really hard to read him. If he's mafia, he may be receiving orders from a strong mafia player (BC). Lets see if his posting deteriorates even more after BC is offed. He's been acting inconsistently though. No. 1 RC suspect imo.
Scaramanga: You've been useless enough, been called out enough times on it, and haven't responded. Moreover, you seem to be active elsewhere but not here. You've been around long enough to know what is expected.
motbob: motbob is inconsistent. Besides his early useless posts, he posts this:
On April 21 2010 15:49 motbob wrote: I don't want to get modkilled, so here I am, posting. I think town is pretty much on the right track so there is no need to delve into anyone's posts or anything yet.
But only two posts later, he says:
On April 24 2010 10:46 motbob wrote: ....I don't think this game is winnable unless we hit on every lynch. 14 town and 7 mafia. Mafia have 3KP in a best case scenario. If mafia just skip likely medic targets and hit random town, and we miss a lynch, this game is basically over. What makes this worse is that (imo) we don't have any likely lynch targets. So town is in roleclaim mode IMO. What does everyone else think?
So the town is on the right track, but then only two posts later we're doomed? What happened? I'm sure the night kills didn't change your mind that much...your posting is inconsistent, and you just seem to be stirring the pot and trying to avoid discussion when possible. Then, you pop up and say we're doomed, likely because you want to out all the power roles. Given that I still think there's at least 2 medics in there, that would help you a lot if you were mafia, right? Trying to push the boat in the direction you want? Seems like it to me.
Falcynn: I thought you could've been mafiassassin given that you were talking a lot about assassins in your early posts. But now that all the assassins are gone, I guess that clears a few things up. Other than that, advocates a randomlynch, posts more useless information, then responds to me. Then your posts really start to slide. Defending your terrible play, admitting to active lurking, and even more defense of your terrible play. I wish townies would just stop defending their terrible play. Either way, I don't think you're a townie, so whatever. In response to your post, I had an inkling AFJ was an assassin, and felt bored last night. Sadly, he didn't bother following through and choosing to kill you. If you tried to kill him to stop his hit from coming through, it wouldn't work, all night actions happen simultaneously. So no, I won't use that excuse, but then again, I don't really need to.
d3: hmm the Caller-is-innocent vibes may have been coming from reading my list of innocents. Blindly following me? Or having a subconscious bias of Caller's innocence because of my statement? Other than that, he seems to be posting like normal from past games. I like my other suspects better. Although d3 hasn't been extremely helpful. Hmm...I seem to remember that he is usually more technical and planning-oriented. Didn't see too much of that in his current posts.
Scamp: probably town. I like RoL(?)'s and meeple's latest analysis of him. yeah, he voted jpak, but I don't know how much weight that holds for me. His mention of TheLardyGooser doesn't seem a mafia oriented action. And even though he's been around for a while, I don't think he would be one to accuse his own mafia member off the bat. Although given the weird activities going around lately, I wouldn't be surprised if the mafia had a solid player around trying to coach the weaker ones. (Would make sense since BC has been so inactive all game).
Anyway, paper due on monday morning, so I will probably be less active until then. Looks like not much is happening right now though.
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is awesome32266 Posts
We are 1 vote away from lynching BC. Wut.
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On April 24 2010 18:07 Incognito wrote:Fishball: Its day 3, you're a troll, and you gotta come out now. Thanks. Oh also one interesting thing to note is that you comment saying the zbot archive is awesome. Why is this so? Either you just threw this out there to fake activity, or you're actually using it to do analysis. Take your pick. Bill Murray: At first he made me think he was just playing usual and just be ignored. But his posting has dramatically declined. Busy? Thinks he's in the clear? Not his spammy usual self anymore. But then again, its really hard to read him. If he's mafia, he may be receiving orders from a strong mafia player (BC). Lets see if his posting deteriorates even more after BC is offed. He's been acting inconsistently though. No. 1 RC suspect imo. Scaramanga: You've been useless enough, been called out enough times on it, and haven't responded. Moreover, you seem to be active elsewhere but not here. You've been around long enough to know what is expected. motbob: motbob is inconsistent. Besides his early useless posts, he posts this: Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 15:49 motbob wrote: I don't want to get modkilled, so here I am, posting. I think town is pretty much on the right track so there is no need to delve into anyone's posts or anything yet.
But only two posts later, he says: Show nested quote +On April 24 2010 10:46 motbob wrote: ....I don't think this game is winnable unless we hit on every lynch. 14 town and 7 mafia. Mafia have 3KP in a best case scenario. If mafia just skip likely medic targets and hit random town, and we miss a lynch, this game is basically over. What makes this worse is that (imo) we don't have any likely lynch targets. So town is in roleclaim mode IMO. What does everyone else think?
So the town is on the right track, but then only two posts later we're doomed? What happened? I'm sure the night kills didn't change your mind that much...your posting is inconsistent, and you just seem to be stirring the pot and trying to avoid discussion when possible. Then, you pop up and say we're doomed, likely because you want to out all the power roles. Given that I still think there's at least 2 medics in there, that would help you a lot if you were mafia, right? Trying to push the boat in the direction you want? Seems like it to me. Falcynn: I thought you could've been mafiassassin given that you were talking a lot about assassins in your early posts. But now that all the assassins are gone, I guess that clears a few things up. Other than that, advocates a randomlynch, posts more useless information, then responds to me. Then your posts really start to slide. Defending your terrible play, admitting to active lurking, and even more defense of your terrible play. I wish townies would just stop defending their terrible play. Either way, I don't think you're a townie, so whatever. In response to your post, I had an inkling AFJ was an assassin, and felt bored last night. Sadly, he didn't bother following through and choosing to kill you. If you tried to kill him to stop his hit from coming through, it wouldn't work, all night actions happen simultaneously. So no, I won't use that excuse, but then again, I don't really need to. d3: hmm the Caller-is-innocent vibes may have been coming from reading my list of innocents. Blindly following me? Or having a subconscious bias of Caller's innocence because of my statement? Other than that, he seems to be posting like normal from past games. I like my other suspects better. Although d3 hasn't been extremely helpful. Hmm...I seem to remember that he is usually more technical and planning-oriented. Didn't see too much of that in his current posts. Scamp: probably town. I like RoL(?)'s and meeple's latest analysis of him. yeah, he voted jpak, but I don't know how much weight that holds for me. His mention of TheLardyGooser doesn't seem a mafia oriented action. And even though he's been around for a while, I don't think he would be one to accuse his own mafia member off the bat. Although given the weird activities going around lately, I wouldn't be surprised if the mafia had a solid player around trying to coach the weaker ones. (Would make sense since BC has been so inactive all game). Anyway, paper due on monday morning, so I will probably be less active until then. Looks like not much is happening right now though.
No analysis. I'm just mainly tagging along for the joy ride. There is no "fake" activity. Zbot is awesome, because it is? Can it not just be a simple compliment? Motbob is the only person I'm pointing fingers at if you wanted something from me.
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On April 24 2010 18:07 Incognito wrote:Fishball: Its day 3, you're a troll, and you gotta come out now. Thanks. Oh also one interesting thing to note is that you comment saying the zbot archive is awesome. Why is this so? Either you just threw this out there to fake activity, or you're actually using it to do analysis. Take your pick. Bill Murray: At first he made me think he was just playing usual and just be ignored. But his posting has dramatically declined. Busy? Thinks he's in the clear? Not his spammy usual self anymore. But then again, its really hard to read him. If he's mafia, he may be receiving orders from a strong mafia player (BC). Lets see if his posting deteriorates even more after BC is offed. He's been acting inconsistently though. No. 1 RC suspect imo. Scaramanga: You've been useless enough, been called out enough times on it, and haven't responded. Moreover, you seem to be active elsewhere but not here. You've been around long enough to know what is expected. motbob: motbob is inconsistent. Besides his early useless posts, he posts this: Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 15:49 motbob wrote: I don't want to get modkilled, so here I am, posting. I think town is pretty much on the right track so there is no need to delve into anyone's posts or anything yet.
But only two posts later, he says: Show nested quote +On April 24 2010 10:46 motbob wrote: ....I don't think this game is winnable unless we hit on every lynch. 14 town and 7 mafia. Mafia have 3KP in a best case scenario. If mafia just skip likely medic targets and hit random town, and we miss a lynch, this game is basically over. What makes this worse is that (imo) we don't have any likely lynch targets. So town is in roleclaim mode IMO. What does everyone else think?
So the town is on the right track, but then only two posts later we're doomed? What happened? I'm sure the night kills didn't change your mind that much...your posting is inconsistent, and you just seem to be stirring the pot and trying to avoid discussion when possible. Then, you pop up and say we're doomed, likely because you want to out all the power roles. Given that I still think there's at least 2 medics in there, that would help you a lot if you were mafia, right? Trying to push the boat in the direction you want? Seems like it to me. Falcynn: I thought you could've been mafiassassin given that you were talking a lot about assassins in your early posts. But now that all the assassins are gone, I guess that clears a few things up. Other than that, advocates a randomlynch, posts more useless information, then responds to me. Then your posts really start to slide. Defending your terrible play, admitting to active lurking, and even more defense of your terrible play. I wish townies would just stop defending their terrible play. Either way, I don't think you're a townie, so whatever. In response to your post, I had an inkling AFJ was an assassin, and felt bored last night. Sadly, he didn't bother following through and choosing to kill you. If you tried to kill him to stop his hit from coming through, it wouldn't work, all night actions happen simultaneously. So no, I won't use that excuse, but then again, I don't really need to. d3: hmm the Caller-is-innocent vibes may have been coming from reading my list of innocents. Blindly following me? Or having a subconscious bias of Caller's innocence because of my statement? Other than that, he seems to be posting like normal from past games. I like my other suspects better. Although d3 hasn't been extremely helpful. Hmm...I seem to remember that he is usually more technical and planning-oriented. Didn't see too much of that in his current posts. Scamp: probably town. I like RoL(?)'s and meeple's latest analysis of him. yeah, he voted jpak, but I don't know how much weight that holds for me. His mention of TheLardyGooser doesn't seem a mafia oriented action. And even though he's been around for a while, I don't think he would be one to accuse his own mafia member off the bat. Although given the weird activities going around lately, I wouldn't be surprised if the mafia had a solid player around trying to coach the weaker ones. (Would make sense since BC has been so inactive all game). Anyway, paper due on monday morning, so I will probably be less active until then. Looks like not much is happening right now though. Im active elsewhere? care to elaborate? Again i'll say im reading and responding to best keep the town moving forward
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Belgium9942 Posts
Wow. Nice job guys.
I think infundibulum considered himself pretty safe so we can definitely deduce a BC lynch from that post Ace quoted, not too sure about the rest of the players he mentions to be 'townie'. It's definitely a list we'll have to cross check.
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motbob
United States12546 Posts
On April 24 2010 18:07 Incognito wrote:motbob: motbob is inconsistent. Besides his early useless posts, he posts this: Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 15:49 motbob wrote: I don't want to get modkilled, so here I am, posting. I think town is pretty much on the right track so there is no need to delve into anyone's posts or anything yet.
But only two posts later, he says: Show nested quote +On April 24 2010 10:46 motbob wrote: ....I don't think this game is winnable unless we hit on every lynch. 14 town and 7 mafia. Mafia have 3KP in a best case scenario. If mafia just skip likely medic targets and hit random town, and we miss a lynch, this game is basically over. What makes this worse is that (imo) we don't have any likely lynch targets. So town is in roleclaim mode IMO. What does everyone else think?
So the town is on the right track, but then only two posts later we're doomed? What happened? I'm sure the night kills didn't change your mind that much...your posting is inconsistent, and you just seem to be stirring the pot and trying to avoid discussion when possible. Then, you pop up and say we're doomed, likely because you want to out all the power roles. Given that I still think there's at least 2 medics in there, that would help you a lot if you were mafia, right? Trying to push the boat in the direction you want? Seems like it to me. Your analysis on me is poor. In between those two posts, the mafia that Ace fingered turned out to be a miller. Three townies were modkilled before night one. Five non-mafia players were removed from the game during night one: two townies and three assassins. RoL's role check alone shows us that assassins can be helpful to town.
Nine non-mafia players were eliminated, and zero mafia members were eliminated.
After these events I make my second post. It is a massive misrepresentation of my posting to note that my posts came one after the other, but fail to mention that they were three days apart.
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So like I did some thinking but I doubt we have another DT. In the rare case that we do have another DT it would be very wise if you roleclaimed now and let the town know who you checked. I think I've banned another scum but I want to be sure.
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Belgium9942 Posts
Gonna quote some posts I thought were interesting:
On April 20 2010 13:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: Guys remember to check out the ZBOT thread, it will be a very useful tool in the near future. I wonder where Zona is though? Busy programming/making love to the robot? I'm sure he'll turn up.
Anyway some suggestions from little old me -
DT list:
Anyone suspicious and/or semi active. From my POV this includes motbob, tree.hugger, BM, TheLardyGooser. Maybe rage because of Day 1? Use your best judgment.
Medic List:
The obvious - Ace (even though he's not helping ... yet, he actually might be a DT), Zona, BC, Incognito, myself (lol )
He's also been trying to accuse Ace throughout his entire post history, so unless this is some really elaborate hoax, Ace is even more confirmed DT.
He also keeps stressing the importance of "Caller's List":
On April 21 2010 23:52 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: So we lynch Caller, what happens next?
Say double lynch is in effect.
1. Caller is red. Lynch who and who? 2. Caller is green/blue. Lynch Ace and who? 3. Caller is an assassin. Do we lynch Ace in case he's also an assassin and we don't want him to "win"? But then we still need a 2nd target.
What are some possible people to lynch during the double? - I personally don't think BC is red. I hope we don't have to lynch him just to clear up RoL's claim - motbob isn't helping and freely admits it.
- Caller's list: ITW, Meeple, Motbob, BC
no matter what color caller flips, these are important people to look at. I guess if worse comes to worse we can just use 1 of the 2 lynches on an inactive if there aren't any convincing targets. But personally i'd rather hope we see the inactive(s) modkilled.
Gotta agree with this, the big debate only really rested between Ace, Caller, BC, and Rol and i had a couple posts in it. Given the number of people just sitting back and voting i'd wager the mafia just took this as a freebie.
Keep in mind caller's suspect list: BC, meeple, motbob, ITW.
But given the logic posted by Korynne, it wouldn't make sense for BC to be red since he was Aces strongest opponent. I'm more wary of RoL given the circumstances of his roleclaim - right after Ace, and right after I pointed out that he hadn't really contributed anything to the town since he get back, despite saying he would.
This is interesting right? He keeps repeating Caller's list but only defends BloodyC0bbler on that list. His reason? "BC is suspicious of Ace." It seems like a weird claim since, if we would have lynched Ace (which he suggested to be the next step after Caller flips town, which he expected to happen) It would not only endanger BC but also himself if Ace flips DT. This makes me fairly sure that the entire Mafia crew disregarded the possibility of Caller flipping Miller and Ace really being a DT. That makes prominent Ace accusations all the more suspicious.
On April 19 2010 14:01 BloodyC0bbler wrote: Show nested quote + On April 19 2010 13:53 Incognito wrote: Ok. Time for some stuff.
First of all, theres a lot of people moaning that we should just lynch an inactive because we don't have enough information. These people should step it up. There is actually quite a bit of information out here to analyze. So instead of waiting for one of us to come up and hand you the information on a plate, please try to go through and look through posts organized by user.
First off, innocents.
A few people have caught my attention as very likely innocents. These people are:
Zona BC d3_crescentia Caller
All the people on this list have been posting rationally. (Ace would probably disagree with me on this about Caller, but from what I remember from Caller's previous games, he didn't post like this as mafia).
Time to pull out the accusation gun.
Osmoses:
On April 18 2010 07:08 Osmoses wrote: I'm a total newbie but wouldn't it make more sense to save double lynches as late as possible, when you have solid info to go on?
This is his first real post. He plays the I'm a newbie card, and proceeds to ask a question that is already being discussed. No contribution here. He also makes preemptive excuses for his posting, emphasizing that he is a newbie, but...you get the picture. Check out TL Mafia V for an example of Tricode pulling the same stunt. From experience, new pro-town players would not try to emphasize their newbiness, as it adds a burden for the town. On the other hand, new mafia players tend to use this to excuse their useless behavior. Panic usually sets in and they try to play the im confused card.
On April 19 2010 05:58 Osmoses wrote: Assassins will influence politics, trying to gear lynches in their favor against the ones they suspect to be assassins... Basically they will be the very annoying players that you can't really pin as scum or townie because they have double agendas. They may just appear confused or stupid, I mean they'd have to cook up some pretty elaborate schemes to sway the votes in the favor of someone they want killed if that person doesn't act like scum.
Its really pretty tiring trying to figure out who's what and who and why with such little information, and no clues -_- The only effect assassins have on the town is their votes and their influence, but lynching the right guy seems hard enough already, so if they do sway the vote we might just get a scum anyway... Should we really even be worrying about them? Their night kills, having only 2, will surely be spent on someone they truly believe to be an assassin, so as not to waste them, and the longer the game goes the closer the odds get to 50%. Those seems like good odds.
More confusion. How ironic. Anyway...Ok...So its tiring trying to find out who is who...but you haven't said anything yet about what you HAVE found out. Oh you also say there's little information to go on? Yeah I'm sure its very tiring to look for information that's not there...in which case you might as well just have given up. Oops! Well, if you're so tired trying to information, surely you must have found at least something. Spit it out. We want to hear it.
Anyway, thats the one person who stuck out in my mind. Everyone should be looking for information instead of lying around and complaining how there is no information. Some information is there. And some of it we have to bring out so we get more information. From experience, mafia games are usually more stagnant when theres no pms. You can't call people out as effectively as you can in pmland, partially because of spam, and partially because people don't feel inclined to respond when theres more than one accusation out there. So for now, I'm going to switch strategies and only try to focus on one suspect at a time. I expect responses.
Welcome to the front lines Incog. Glad to see a familiar face whos semi friendly in these unfamiliar times.
I personally would add Bill Murray to your list of innocents. His current play style is extremely hilarious, and based on the reactions garnered has been one of the best fishing hooks I've seen. Deff town or insanely ballsy red. I find him more green however.
I am going to go back over osmosis' posts personally now to see if I have the same reaction to him you do.
However, I personally find RoL, and abenson to be fan favorite's at the moment Incognito has a 'likely innocent list' without much argumentation, in which he includes among others BC, BM and Caller. Maybe they were expecting Caller to get lynched over his argument with Ace, trying to clear this list? BC posts a fairly useless reply, seemingly to just bring more attention to the post, making this scenario even more likely.
On April 20 2010 03:59 BloodyC0bbler wrote: D3 posted a fairly decent list of "inactive" posters on the previous page. I am stealing said list for use of this post.
Alright, quick morning post before I go to work. I'm glad Jugan is starting to speak up. Here's the list of semi-inactives again, stolen from IntotheWow from some pages ago with some modifications - - Hide Spoiler -
RebirthOfLegend Scaramanga RaGe [NyC]HoBbes Fulgrim krndandaman nbtnbt5 love1another jpak motbob
Now, of that list.
Rage has just started posting as of last page, to jump out of no where and point at RoL. This seems to me a very scummy sort of move.
Krndandaman has made no useful posts so far in this game. Hes don't a random one liner that didn't contribute.
Jpak I have already covered in a post above
scara has posted slightly more than a few others on the list, so i would give him a clear on a lynch target for the day.
RoL is really inactive, very off since hes normally really active.
Fulgrim is surprisingly inactive. He really needs to come out to justify it as well, not excusable based on his experience.
Motbob is being "inactive" really scummy at the moment.
The rest are all names that haven't raised red flags yet, but are stupidly inactive. Motbob and Jpak are the two most suspicious names off the list, followed by rage and RoL. Jpak is a more logical vote as he has given no real contribution nor appears too where as the other three might.
An interesting list we should definitely keep an eye on. Is he purposely omitting someone here? Infundibulum didn't ommit a Mafia from his inactives list earlier in the game (TheLardyGooser was on there), but he did put them far down the list to make sure going down the list wouldn't get him. Maybe BC did the same thing here? Definitely don't have enough info to go off this yet, but we should come back to this later.
On April 19 2010 14:16 BloodyC0bbler wrote: Show nested quote + On April 19 2010 14:11 Incognito wrote: Hmm. At first, I thought Bill wasn't spammy enough for me to be comfortable. But after thinking about it, he has been a catalyst for some pretty stupid responses. Won't mention names yet until (someone) responds to my accusation, but you guys know who you are. Get productive or we're going to have to bring down the hammer on you.
Updated innocent list:
Zona BC d3_crescentia Caller Bill Murray
If he responds to your accusation, I will be impressed, he seems to be an "inactive" har har
He does the exact same thing, a useless reply to Incognito's innocent list, possibly trying to get it in to the spotlight if Caller dies in his conflict with Ace.
On April 21 2010 14:46 BloodyC0bbler wrote: Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 11:16 Bill Murray wrote: This just means we have to work harder to win, but i'm worried that there's no town circle forming. veterans like ace and bc need to get off their asses and actually do something instead of appearing bored and letting the town go to shit.
since you guys aren't stepping it up, i'll have to. since i know i'm green, we can create a town circle around me. I'm not asking you to roleclaim to me, but if you are a member of this town, and want to contribute and win then u need to listen to me.
We need to get rid of people who aren't stepping up to the plate. these players are supposed to be good and helpful players but instead they are not helping or are just posting garbage: Tree.Hugger, Ace, BC, Infundibulum,
There are also people who have scummy suspicious posts or are strangely quiet like meeple, Zona, abenson, or KF91
Hi BM.
This post is the first one of a series I get to analyze because I'm suddenly getting jumped in the time I was at work. Now everyone, lets start the game of fun.
Notice the bolded part of the post of BM's. He wants a town circle going (yay circles) but he specifically mentions creating the circle around him.....HOW. Without the use of private messaging, no circle can form around any specific member, as he can't be their voice. In a game with post in thread only information, a circle is formed via public roleclaims (which would have to be proven). The only real way to accomplish this is for DT's to publically announce their checks, then you have to prove the dt. THey die their info is legit, etc...
Lets carry on.
Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 10:13 Caller wrote: obvious blue snipers are obvious who's capable of blue sniping?
Zona Ace BloodyCobbler (he's REALLY good at it) me Incognito
Hi caller.
Let me educate you on something. I am by far the worst blue sniper on that list in this format. My entire style is based around manipulation of people via out of thread communication. Anyone who has talked to me previous would also know my style of hitting people as mafia is killing key contributors, not blue sniping. Thanks for playing though.
Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 13:57 DarthThienAn wrote: On April 21 2010 13:27 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: Great, so I have to nail a mafia every day or you will kill me?
Fine, BC is mafia.
Rolecheck confirmed it.
In light of this, and Ace's alleged RC on Caller, would it be appropriate to double lynch today (Day 2)?
In doing so, we catch either of them if they are lying, or else we kill two scum, which seems like a great result to me.
+ Show Spoiler +
On April 21 2010 13:43 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: Show nested quote + On April 21 2010 12:12 KF91 wrote: Alright, I'm going to go along with Incognito and do my part:
iNfuNdiBuLuM
Important post summaries: - Urges people to vote to prevent a no lynch
On April 18 2010 04:43 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: I want to remind you guys that this game is running the "majority lynch" rule. This means that if no majority is reached, there won't be a lynch.
No lynch is bad for the town. It's like giving a time walk to the mafia (mtg reference nerd lol). This also means abstaining is bad! So please pay attention during votes as they operate a bit differently in this game than most TL mafias.
- Talks about the timing of the double lynch On April 18 2010 06:34 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: @ KF91 and radfield
I have never liked double lynching early. Most of the time there just isn't a good amount of information at this time and at least 1 townie gets lynched.
One thing fw needs to clean up is whether we can have a double lynch but then only lynch 1 player. I myself doubt it.However, if we can back out, then double lynching is a little less risky since we won't be forced to do a lynch on bad info.
- Supplies the inactive list On April 19 2010 02:11 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: These people have not posted yet since the game started or have made about one post with only a few lines in it of little substance:
Roffles nbtnbt5 krndandaman Fishball Elemenope tree.hugger rebirth of legend (but he posted a lot pregame too) RaGe Jadefist TheLardyGooser Caller (wtf mate) love1another jpak
Now this is a rather large list (let me know if i missed anybody). One reason could be that the game started on the weekend, so don't think this is some end all be all declaration of scum/inactivity.
However, two things:
1. if we want to lynch an inactive Day 1 this is where we start 2. if you are new and not posting but are here, you should probably start! we don't bite.
- Defends Caller saying that he wouldn't pull of the same mafia act twice in a row On April 19 2010 02:19 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: On April 19 2010 02:17 TheLardyGooser wrote: I still think BMs plan makes the most sense if I understand it right. I feel like it would put the mafia at a much bigger disadvantage but I am still new at this?
The problem is that we have guarantee that everyone will comply, especially the Assns. As i posted before, the plan basically runs contrary to the victory condition of an assassin, so it makes no sense for them to comply. If i was an assassin i'd spend the first couple nights rolechecking people anyway, since you have so few kills.
On April 19 2010 02:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: edit: NO guarantee.
On April 19 2010 05:58 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: On April 19 2010 05:56 Ace wrote: We can just lynch Caller since it's been shown when he doesn't post he's scum.
I dont know. do you really think he'd expect to get away with the same thing for 2 games in a row?
- Medic and DT list
On April 20 2010 13:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote: Guys remember to check out the ZBOT thread, it will be a very useful tool in the near future. I wonder where Zona is though? Busy programming/making love to the robot? I'm sure he'll turn up.
Anyway some suggestions from little old me -
DT list:
Anyone suspicious and/or semi active. From my POV this includes motbob, tree.hugger, BM, TheLardyGooser. Maybe rage because of Day 1? Use your best judgment.
Medic List:
The obvious - Ace (even though he's not helping ... yet, he actually might be a DT), Zona, BC, Incognito, myself (lol )
What makes me really suspicious about infun is the fact that he is looking very pro-town by stating is facts clearly and not getting accused that much, but at the same time, he hasn't been giving any ideas as to what the town should do. He's been giving little nudges here and there to guide the town, but he hasn't really put out a plan we should look at. He doesn't make any type of accusations about anybody and I believe that he doesn't even have suspicions against others.
He really hasn't contributed much after the Ace/Caller/nAi incident, and his last few posts have been mostly one-liners (But I guess I can't really blame him, because the thread post-Night 1 has been getting... spammy.), but it is quite noticeable how his long-drawn posts have recently turned into short one-liners.
Random trivia: - Infun made the most interaction with Caller in his posts. - He has made 27 posts since the beginning of the game (Using the archive, so I may be wrong) - Voted for jpak during Day 1
Final Conclusions: I personally believe that Infun could be a mafia. His non-aggressive posting style and his recent inactivity (Or lack of posts with content) makes me want to believe that he is mafia pretending to be a "helpful" townie member. He might have had something come up in real life, so we'll have to hear what he has to say. Of course, these are just my thoughts, so feel free to criticize me about what I think about him, and Infun can bash on me if he wants to as well. :D
Well I can't hate on you for getting analysis out there, since it's what everyone needs to be doing instead of posting useless garbage. So props. But some things you said about me simply are, well, factually incorrect or misguided.
I already explained my inactivity in another post. Real life shit; I am a busy man. Here I am posting and making up for lost time though.
I'm not sure why you think it's suspicious that I'm contributing to the town. Look at all the players that aren't contributing anything. It sounds like your concerned that I'm contributing, but not contributing enough. That's fine, I'll try to be more direct in my posts. I never bothered posting any sort of town plan in this game, largely since this game is not about specific town plans - e.g. Bodyguard plans or Assassin plans - but largely about town activity and discussion, which is why i was trying to post helpful information and thoughts about general playing strategy that will best benefit the town. Additionally, why do I have to post aggressively to be town? I have never been a particularly aggressive player, except that one time in Mini Mafia I where the town lynched me and I was the medic and I got really mad (jerks).
You say I was never suspicious of anybody..., right after a quote of my DT list of people I thought were suspicious.
I'll add a couple more:
Caller Abenson (strangely quiet) meeple - same as others RoL - based on my previous analysis Scaramanga - probably pretending to be useless
anyway i ask people to continue the incog idea of player-beneath-you analysis. hopefully this will get some inactives out of the woodworks when they see their name in the thread.
When I was going through Osmoses's posts, I noticed that too... Abenson hasn't really done anything since the beginning of the game.. pretty suspicious.
It has been mentioned multiple times in this thread we can vote on double lynch and it then is able to be used the following day.
Also, with one dt dead, and ace and RoL claiming dt(or assassin). The chances of having any more than the three is slim (possibly 1 more?) plus however remaining assassins. Heres the issue. Why would two veteran players publicly claim that they are assassin/DT day 2. Ace claimed day 1 and spent the day being a complete tard, and RoL was completely inactive. Suddenly both are saviours day 2? hardly. One if not both are completely full of it.
This game is hilarious. In the span of 6 hours, two people who were fully inactive have jumped out to "save our town" and bring us to victory. Both know the flaws of this sort of play.
However, lets start with the fun and excitement of it all.
RebirthofLegend. RoL is typically insanely active of a player. Hiding in the shadows could be explained if he was a DT, as he would want to avoid being hit. However, with a record of activity then suddenly none at all, this would stand out to any player who has played with him, and most likely led to his death. Sudden change of behaviour like this is something someone would zero in on. Next, as a random note. While he was posting his incriminating facts against me here he forgot one vital key. When your suddenly posting insanely actively in a thread against someone you talk to daily, blocking them or appearing offline on a messenger client, not the smartest idea (no this isn't a rule break already clarified with flamewheel that it is a legitimate). GG mate.
Motbob. Don't let this man fool you. He has been active on TL. While he has been ignoring things like mafia, he has been streaming, being heavily active on irc, etc... Again. A player with a history of activity vanishing into thin air but still active elsewhere shows fishyness. GG again.
Zona Hi buddy, Your on a list of suspects because of one key issue. YOUR NOT POSTING. I don't care if the excuse will be "sorry guys, was building an archiving bot to make our lives glorious". It serves no purpose as you have contributed nothing to this thread. You were initially active then faded for days, while proving you were still around but not posting. Get off your ass and help or get shot like your mafia pals.
Caller You put me on a list knowing full well where my speciality in this game lies. Then emphasized me over Ace who is much better at behaviourally linking roles in thread. Pushing for my lynch is clever, but sadly with Ace's RC of you, your red. But don't let that stop you, your buddy RoL came in to save your by pointing a RC at me. The days of glory are upon you. A few pages and some countless spam and even you could be saved in a hilarious way yet again!
Bill Murray and DarthThienAn and ITW for all posting stupid crap regarding PM usage, and use of Double lynch that we can only vote on but not use today, are on the derailer list.
I will have more thoughts as i go back and re read. Stop making me play, I was happy relaxing.
Another accusation of a mafia member towards motbob. Interesting to note is that, despite Incognito mentioning BM on his list and BC supporting BM as town earlier, he now accuses him, but again far down the list with some confirmed townies as main suspects. Makes it less likely that Incognito is Mafia imo.
A lot of his following posts are a desperate effort to get Ace lynched/Vigi'd
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Wow good post Rage. I just saw something interesting in that last compilation. Looking through Incognito's list of earlier likely innocents almost all of them ended up being useless players.
Do we have any mad hatters left? Role claim now if you are alive.
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Belgium9942 Posts
Also, let's not forget the jpak vote:
On April 21 2010 06:49 Radfield wrote:Show nested quote +On April 21 2010 05:37 Falcynn wrote: Wait...so Caller's argument against Rage is that Rage is way too calm in his defending of himself and as a result must be mafia? I realize I'm a total noob and am probably being premature with this but I'm giving a FoS (am I using this term right? just looked it up on that mafiascum wiki) to Caller, because it seems like he's purposely trying to sow discord with these "rules" he's using to spot mafia.
Then again, as stated, he is a way more experienced player than me, but I still don't see the logic in the way he makes some of his accusations. Main reason I don't think Callers mafia is because of the jpak vote. As far as the mafia were concerned, jpak was pro-town, possibly a blue. They had every reason to jump on the bandwagon and take him out. We were down one vote, Caller was around, and certainly could have put us to the limit. Not only did he not, but he was adamantly against the vote, and seemingly disappointed that Jugan switched last minute to put it through. Also, he's stirring shit up, and as far as im concerned, that's good at this point. So who did vote for jpak? Presumably the mafia would be more than happy to bandwagon on to jpak in an effort to lynch a townie. I would guess a fair percentage of the mafia are in this list. BloodyC0bbler Fishball Radfield (*gasp* voter number three!) KF91 CynanMachae d3_crescentia Osmoses [NyC]HoBbes Abenson RebirthOfLeGend meeple Zona incognito scamp madnessman Foolishness Infuldubulm Dartheinan Lardy Gooser Jugan The problem is that I feel there was also a good pro-town reason to vote out jpak. But at least this gives a list of more suspect people. Additional Bandwagonners: Dartheinian and Lardygooser both hopped on and off the RoL train Meeple, Infuldubulm, and scamp all jumped on and off the Rage wagon Also, special consideration has to go to Jadefist for voting Jpak after the deadline Very Inactive people: nbtnbt5, Jadefist, Fulgrim, love1another, motbob
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As promised, I will be writing up an analysis today (It's Day 3). It'll take a little time to write up, but it'll be posted today for sure. I'll be focusing on the first 9 players that are still alive:
1. BrownBear 4. d3_crescentia 8. BloodyC0bbler (He's going to be lynched, so I'll just skip him. 10. Scaramanga 11. Bill Murray 12. Fishball 13. RaGe 15. Scamp 17. Ace 20. meeple
It may seem redundant to see another analysis of players that have been analyzed already, but it's also to help me catch up on what exactly has been happening (If you noticed, which I'm pretty sure most people did; I haven't been posting in a while) to make sure I am voting on the right person (Although it seems that Ace is running this show at this moment XD)
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