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TL Mafia XXII - Page 53

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IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32277 Posts
April 21 2010 04:51 GMT
#1041
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.
Moderator<:3-/-<
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 04:52 GMT
#1042
On April 21 2010 13:31 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:25 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
On April 21 2010 13:16 Ace wrote:
oh nice of you to finally call out Caller after I already did the dirty work infundibulum. Put your vote where your mouth is and get rid of this scum.


Not so fast, Ace. What happened to always lynching the claimer, your old mantra? There is always the possibility that you are lying about your rolecheck, and then we lynch Caller and lo and behold he flips not green then we have to spend another Day lynching you.

Granted this is a different scenario than a Day 1 claim as we have some posts to analyze. But I'm not going place any votes on anyone yet until i'm caught up with the thread all they way (missing some pages before this one, just saw this as I replied)


Yea this isn't a Day 1 RC. This is an RC after I already found Caller to be scummy. But hey if you guys want to lynch me good luck!


Right. Part of me thinks you're not actually a DT and just using your clout to bluff this through because you think Caller is red. And don't get me wrong, since I do particularly value your thoughts on other players to be very worth considering.

Caller's reaction is funny too because it's exactly like Rage's reaction that he was analyzing; brushing off the assault casually and without concern. Anyway maybe he's writing up some fantastic defensive post, probably about 1 of the following

a) he must be the miller
b) ace is a liar
c) a big twisty post because caller is red and trying not to get executed
d) all of the above :p
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
April 21 2010 04:54 GMT
#1043
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.


This is true, but we have two situations as I see it:

1) Ace is mafia and tricking us - we lynch Caller and see that he's lying, so he's just given himself up. It's still pretty early in the game, so this would be pretty stupid, a 1 for 1 trade cutting the mafia down to 6 with only 3 KP.

2) Ace is the DT and telling the truth and pro-town. We lynch Caller, he's red, and ... all is well. lol.
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 04:56 GMT
#1044
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.

You could be right, however he would be playing very anti-town then. The thing is if Ace is lying and just wants to kill Caller it would be stupid, he could argue behavior analysis and probably get him lynched. Sure this would get it done with less effort, however if hes wrong he sets us back two lynches, which would suck for us.

In short, he could lie, but it wouldn't make sense unless he was trying to sac caller to gain town trust to ride it through the game to mislead us further.

That move was done to caller by MrBabyHands in a previous mafia game.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
April 21 2010 04:57 GMT
#1045
On April 21 2010 13:27 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Great, so I have to nail a mafia every day or you will kill me?

Fine, BC is mafia.

Rolecheck confirmed it.


In light of this, and Ace's alleged RC on Caller, would it be appropriate to double lynch today (Day 2)?

In doing so, we catch either of them if they are lying, or else we kill two scum, which seems like a great result to me.

+ Show Spoiler +

On April 21 2010 13:43 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 12:12 KF91 wrote:
Alright, I'm going to go along with Incognito and do my part:

iNfuNdiBuLuM

Important post summaries:
- Urges people to vote to prevent a no lynch

On April 18 2010 04:43 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
I want to remind you guys that this game is running the "majority lynch" rule. This means that if no majority is reached, there won't be a lynch.

No lynch is bad for the town. It's like giving a time walk to the mafia (mtg reference nerd lol). This also means abstaining is bad! So please pay attention during votes as they operate a bit differently in this game than most TL mafias.


- Talks about the timing of the double lynch
On April 18 2010 06:34 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
@ KF91 and radfield

I have never liked double lynching early. Most of the time there just isn't a good amount of information at this time and at least 1 townie gets lynched.

One thing fw needs to clean up is whether we can have a double lynch but then only lynch 1 player. I myself doubt it.However, if we can back out, then double lynching is a little less risky since we won't be forced to do a lynch on bad info.


- Supplies the inactive list
On April 19 2010 02:11 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
These people have not posted yet since the game started or have made about one post with only a few lines in it of little substance:

Roffles
nbtnbt5
krndandaman
Fishball
Elemenope
tree.hugger
rebirth of legend (but he posted a lot pregame too)
RaGe
Jadefist
TheLardyGooser
Caller (wtf mate)
love1another
jpak

Now this is a rather large list (let me know if i missed anybody). One reason could be that the game started on the weekend, so don't think this is some end all be all declaration of scum/inactivity.

However, two things:

1. if we want to lynch an inactive Day 1 this is where we start
2. if you are new and not posting but are here, you should probably start! we don't bite.


- Defends Caller saying that he wouldn't pull of the same mafia act twice in a row
On April 19 2010 02:19 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
On April 19 2010 02:17 TheLardyGooser wrote:
I still think BMs plan makes the most sense if I understand it right. I feel like it would put the mafia at a much bigger disadvantage but I am still new at this?


The problem is that we have guarantee that everyone will comply, especially the Assns. As i posted before, the plan basically runs contrary to the victory condition of an assassin, so it makes no sense for them to comply. If i was an assassin i'd spend the first couple nights rolechecking people anyway, since you have so few kills.


On April 19 2010 02:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
edit: NO guarantee.


On April 19 2010 05:58 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
On April 19 2010 05:56 Ace wrote:
We can just lynch Caller since it's been shown when he doesn't post he's scum.


I dont know. do you really think he'd expect to get away with the same thing for 2 games in a row?


- Medic and DT list

On April 20 2010 13:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Guys remember to check out the ZBOT thread, it will be a very useful tool in the near future. I wonder where Zona is though? Busy programming/making love to the robot? I'm sure he'll turn up.

Anyway some suggestions from little old me -

DT list:

Anyone suspicious and/or semi active. From my POV this includes motbob, tree.hugger, BM, TheLardyGooser. Maybe rage because of Day 1? Use your best judgment.

Medic List:

The obvious - Ace (even though he's not helping ... yet, he actually might be a DT), Zona, BC, Incognito, myself (lol )


What makes me really suspicious about infun is the fact that he is looking very pro-town by stating is facts clearly and not getting accused that much, but at the same time, he hasn't been giving any ideas as to what the town should do. He's been giving little nudges here and there to guide the town, but he hasn't really put out a plan we should look at. He doesn't make any type of accusations about anybody and I believe that he doesn't even have suspicions against others.

He really hasn't contributed much after the Ace/Caller/nAi incident, and his last few posts have been mostly one-liners (But I guess I can't really blame him, because the thread post-Night 1 has been getting... spammy.), but it is quite noticeable how his long-drawn posts have recently turned into short one-liners.

Random trivia:
- Infun made the most interaction with Caller in his posts.
- He has made 27 posts since the beginning of the game (Using the archive, so I may be wrong)
- Voted for jpak during Day 1

Final Conclusions:
I personally believe that Infun could be a mafia. His non-aggressive posting style and his recent inactivity (Or lack of posts with content) makes me want to believe that he is mafia pretending to be a "helpful" townie member. He might have had something come up in real life, so we'll have to hear what he has to say. Of course, these are just my thoughts, so feel free to criticize me about what I think about him, and Infun can bash on me if he wants to as well. :D


Well I can't hate on you for getting analysis out there, since it's what everyone needs to be doing instead of posting useless garbage. So props. But some things you said about me simply are, well, factually incorrect or misguided.

I already explained my inactivity in another post. Real life shit; I am a busy man. Here I am posting and making up for lost time though.

I'm not sure why you think it's suspicious that I'm contributing to the town. Look at all the players that aren't contributing anything. It sounds like your concerned that I'm contributing, but not contributing enough. That's fine, I'll try to be more direct in my posts. I never bothered posting any sort of town plan in this game, largely since this game is not about specific town plans - e.g. Bodyguard plans or Assassin plans - but largely about town activity and discussion, which is why i was trying to post helpful information and thoughts about general playing strategy that will best benefit the town. Additionally, why do I have to post aggressively to be town? I have never been a particularly aggressive player, except that one time in Mini Mafia I where the town lynched me and I was the medic and I got really mad (jerks).

You say I was never suspicious of anybody..., right after a quote of my DT list of people I thought were suspicious.

I'll add a couple more:

Caller
Abenson (strangely quiet)
meeple - same as others
RoL - based on my previous analysis
Scaramanga - probably pretending to be useless

anyway i ask people to continue the incog idea of player-beneath-you analysis. hopefully this will get some inactives out of the woodworks when they see their name in the thread.





When I was going through Osmoses's posts, I noticed that too... Abenson hasn't really done anything since the beginning of the game.. pretty suspicious.
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 04:58 GMT
#1046
On April 21 2010 13:54 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.


This is true, but we have two situations as I see it:

1) Ace is mafia and tricking us - we lynch Caller and see that he's lying, so he's just given himself up. It's still pretty early in the game, so this would be pretty stupid, a 1 for 1 trade cutting the mafia down to 6 with only 3 KP.

2) Ace is the DT and telling the truth and pro-town. We lynch Caller, he's red, and ... all is well. lol.

and option three as I showed it!

Both are red, and Ace is GF/Mafia earning trust. It would be an awesome ballsy move.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
DarthThienAn
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States2734 Posts
April 21 2010 05:00 GMT
#1047
On April 21 2010 13:58 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:54 DarthThienAn wrote:
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.


This is true, but we have two situations as I see it:

1) Ace is mafia and tricking us - we lynch Caller and see that he's lying, so he's just given himself up. It's still pretty early in the game, so this would be pretty stupid, a 1 for 1 trade cutting the mafia down to 6 with only 3 KP.

2) Ace is the DT and telling the truth and pro-town. We lynch Caller, he's red, and ... all is well. lol.

and option three as I showed it!

Both are red, and Ace is GF/Mafia earning trust. It would be an awesome ballsy move.


Yeah I considered that, but it's way too ballsy. It's too early to do this kind of move IMO. It's just not beneficial to trade 1 for 1 for 1 (Town, Mafia, KP) and leave only 6 mafia left with 3 KP. And now that we have two alleged DTs, and hopefully medics to cover them, getting two mafia right now would put us in a great spot.
www.cstarleague.com | Love is like playing the piano. First you must learn to play by the rules, then you must forget the rules and play from your heart.
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:01 GMT
#1048
On April 21 2010 13:56 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.

You could be right, however he would be playing very anti-town then. The thing is if Ace is lying and just wants to kill Caller it would be stupid, he could argue behavior analysis and probably get him lynched. Sure this would get it done with less effort, however if hes wrong he sets us back two lynches, which would suck for us.

In short, he could lie, but it wouldn't make sense unless he was trying to sac caller to gain town trust to ride it through the game to mislead us further.

That move was done to caller by MrBabyHands in a previous mafia game.


I guess that's possible, and that's the problem if caller flips red. Because everyone would probably trust Ace. I wonder if the gain in trust for Ace would be worth losing the KP though (if another mafia dies the kp goes to 3).
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:02 GMT
#1049
On April 21 2010 13:57 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:27 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Great, so I have to nail a mafia every day or you will kill me?

Fine, BC is mafia.

Rolecheck confirmed it.


In light of this, and Ace's alleged RC on Caller, would it be appropriate to double lynch today (Day 2)?
.


We can't double lynch today. We can do it tomorrow if we get a majority vote for double lynch today though.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
April 21 2010 05:03 GMT
#1050
If I was the GF why would I railroad Caller to die when no one else had a decent case against him? I was the only one who put Caller in the hot seat from Day 1. If I was the GF I'd have no reason to kill Caller because he'd be virtually under no suspicion.

But hey think through all the likely scenarios and motives for yourselves ^_^
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 05:04 GMT
#1051
I am down to vote double lynch. LETS DO IT!
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32277 Posts
April 21 2010 05:06 GMT
#1052
Ok, time for some wall of text:

About Ace:

He started this little game on biding. The first thing I'm suspicious of is the way he distributed his fake money:

+ Show Spoiler +
# Zona - $100
# CynanMachae - $100
# tree.hugger - $75
# d3_crescentia - $50
# KF91 - $100
# iNfuNdiBuLuM - $75
# RebirthOfLegend - $100
# BloodyC0bbler - $200
# Jugan - $30
# Scaramanga - $0 (get a job)
# Bill Murray - $100
# Fishball - $85
# RaGe - $100
# Foolishness - $no
# Scamp - $100
# Abenson - $90
# Caller - $175
# [NyC]HoBbes - $100
# meeple - $120
# Fulgrim - $70
# JadeFist - $100
# Roffles - $100
# krndandaman - $0
# Falcynn - $40
# nbtnbt5 - $60
# IntoTheWow - $100
# Incognito - $25
# love1another - $66
# AcrossFiveJulys - $50
# nAi.PrOtOsS - $0.50
# DarthThienAn - $60
# Radfield - $100
# TheLardyGooser - $80
# Osmoses - $2
# jpak - $21
# motbob - $100
# madnessman - $75


First, he gave BloodyC0bbler the most bidding power, even thought he has hardly participated so far. Point? Please don't say it's random.

Then he says he gave Caller the most bidding power to make him fall for his trap. Makes sense with meeple riding 120$ and BC as well, but then again there's other suspicious people Foolishness no money? Did you know he was going to die?

You could be an Assassin and then this game would make zero sense at all, since all it's doing is keeping you in the spotlish, either to be lynched or in Mafia eyes to take you down if they feel you are a threat.

If you were a real detective, I don't think this helps too much, you are just instantly rallying people into what you want to do.

You could very well make up whatever answer it fits you best as mafia. If somebody rolechecks anyone, you can make up whatever is the general idea of that person's role. Then again, with one detective down, it's hard to really know what you are up to. If somebody asks for a self-role check (like Jugan did) you can make up whatever you like, Townie would have a high % of nailing it. If you feel your plan might fall that way, you can just kill him during the night before revealing the role check and hence, knowing what the person's role was.

I'm not sure why you are trying to pull this little game, it doesn't help the town at all in my opinion. At the same time I haven't played other Mafia games here, so I don't know if this is your general playstyle, or something you have done before.




I will post more on other people soon, just want to stop some bandwagon that makes no sense. I suspect of Ace as much as I suspect of Caller.
Moderator<:3-/-<
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 05:06 GMT
#1053
LISTEN ACE, I WAS JUST POINTING OUT A POSSIBLE SCENARIO.

YOU WOULD DO SOMETHING I WOULD DEEM UNLIKELY, WHICH IS HOW YOU GOT THAT SCUM NEMY TO SLIDE UNDER MY NOSE BY HAVING HIM VOTE FOR YOU IN MM1.

I ain't falling for your games again. I am keeping an open mind.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 05:08 GMT
#1054
On April 21 2010 14:06 IntoTheWow wrote:
Ok, time for some wall of text:

About Ace:

He started this little game on biding. The first thing I'm suspicious of is the way he distributed his fake money:

+ Show Spoiler +
# Zona - $100
# CynanMachae - $100
# tree.hugger - $75
# d3_crescentia - $50
# KF91 - $100
# iNfuNdiBuLuM - $75
# RebirthOfLegend - $100
# BloodyC0bbler - $200
# Jugan - $30
# Scaramanga - $0 (get a job)
# Bill Murray - $100
# Fishball - $85
# RaGe - $100
# Foolishness - $no
# Scamp - $100
# Abenson - $90
# Caller - $175
# [NyC]HoBbes - $100
# meeple - $120
# Fulgrim - $70
# JadeFist - $100
# Roffles - $100
# krndandaman - $0
# Falcynn - $40
# nbtnbt5 - $60
# IntoTheWow - $100
# Incognito - $25
# love1another - $66
# AcrossFiveJulys - $50
# nAi.PrOtOsS - $0.50
# DarthThienAn - $60
# Radfield - $100
# TheLardyGooser - $80
# Osmoses - $2
# jpak - $21
# motbob - $100
# madnessman - $75


First, he gave BloodyC0bbler the most bidding power, even thought he has hardly participated so far. Point? Please don't say it's random.

Then he says he gave Caller the most bidding power to make him fall for his trap. Makes sense with meeple riding 120$ and BC as well, but then again there's other suspicious people Foolishness no money? Did you know he was going to die?

You could be an Assassin and then this game would make zero sense at all, since all it's doing is keeping you in the spotlish, either to be lynched or in Mafia eyes to take you down if they feel you are a threat.

If you were a real detective, I don't think this helps too much, you are just instantly rallying people into what you want to do.

You could very well make up whatever answer it fits you best as mafia. If somebody rolechecks anyone, you can make up whatever is the general idea of that person's role. Then again, with one detective down, it's hard to really know what you are up to. If somebody asks for a self-role check (like Jugan did) you can make up whatever you like, Townie would have a high % of nailing it. If you feel your plan might fall that way, you can just kill him during the night before revealing the role check and hence, knowing what the person's role was.

I'm not sure why you are trying to pull this little game, it doesn't help the town at all in my opinion. At the same time I haven't played other Mafia games here, so I don't know if this is your general playstyle, or something you have done before.




I will post more on other people soon, just want to stop some bandwagon that makes no sense. I suspect of Ace as much as I suspect of Caller.


Then I propose we lynch BC! He is mafia afterall.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
IntoTheWow
Profile Blog Joined May 2004
is awesome32277 Posts
April 21 2010 05:09 GMT
#1055
Some stuff I left out.

If Ace wants Caller dead for some reason, he rallies us today, we lynch him, and we know he was bullshitting, ergo, we want to lynch him. The problem is, the moment this is made public, the Mafia roleblocker can kick in, and we are down one Vigilante already.
Moderator<:3-/-<
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
April 21 2010 05:11 GMT
#1056
Ok ITW try and discredit me as hard as you want lol. You can get rolechecked tonight after Caller gets the boot.

I don't know why you even mention players like Foolishness and me "knowing he was going to die" - nice attempt at subtle scum info there. Doesn't work. Same with BC - I wasn't even paying him any mind at the moment. My sights were on Caller all game. For some one reading my posts you sure missed that big glaring sign.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
April 21 2010 05:12 GMT
#1057
On April 21 2010 14:09 IntoTheWow wrote:
Some stuff I left out.

If Ace wants Caller dead for some reason, he rallies us today, we lynch him, and we know he was bullshitting, ergo, we want to lynch him. The problem is, the moment this is made public, the Mafia roleblocker can kick in, and we are down one Vigilante already.


How would the Mafia know who the Vigilante is?

:/
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 05:12 GMT
#1058
If ace is bullshitting us then what is the roleblocker going to do to stop us from killing him?
I don't see the problem here. The roleblocker chooses a person to block for that night (assuming the person is a power role) and disallows that. The power of the roleblocker wouldn't have any effect in killing Ace the next day during a double lynch.
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
April 21 2010 05:14 GMT
#1059
Ace, I feel like we are going the wrong way with this game. I have yet to once see you call me dumb, nor have I tried to get you killed.

What has the mafia based world come to?
Be a man, Become a Legend. TL Mafia Forum Ask for access!!
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
April 21 2010 05:15 GMT
#1060
Don't worry you're still an idiot. Caller is just much dumber lol.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
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