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Micro-MAFIA (The Second) - Page 17

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:20 GMT
#321
i find it suspicious of some things you wouldn't notice at first assuming vivi and foolishness are both mafia: vivi tried to get a quick day 1 lynch on me by throwing a vote on me before I was active based upon me not posting yet. That'd be fine if people wouldn't do it, but since it's me, he probably hoped for a quick lynch of someone he knew was town (remember, this is assuming they're mafia).

On pages 7, 8 Foolishness and Vivi both try to start different wagons. Vivi tries to start one on L, and Foolishness tries to start one on RoL. Innocent? possibly, but let's look at it from the perspective that they're mafia. Wouldn't they want veterans to get bandwagoned? Yes. Yes, they would.
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:22 GMT
#322
vivi wouldn't make any sense to me, cynan, because of this

possible pairings:

foolishness vivi
foolishness madnessman
foolishness cynanmachae
vivi madnessman
vivi cynanmachae
cynanmachae madnessman



On March 31 2010 13:22 Vivi57 wrote:
Right now, I'm seeing cynan as our best target. He basically says the day1 lynch will suck because of lack of information. Perfect way for scum to hide and makes a good excuse for not contributing. Then he says the rol drawing attention is the thing that he noticed most. Odd that trying to create discussion and drawing attention to himself, both very pro town reads, is the thing he noticed most. The states a very obvious fact that we should compare behavior to previous games.

This looks super characteristic of the "I'm mafia pretending to contribute" gameplan.

##vote CynanMachae##

Also, now that bm has joined the party, he's acting like himself again and he's slightly pro town to me. As long as he's posting, there's no reason we should lynch bm day1 because it should be painfully obvious in a day or two if he's mafia based on his posts.



also notice how he tries to retract his obvious attempt to get a quick lynch of a townie? suspicious
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:22 GMT
#323
so take yours off the list imo

possible pairings:

foolishness vivi
foolishness madnessman
foolishness cynanmachae
vivi madnessman
cynanmachae madnessman
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:26 GMT
#324
here's another instance foolishness puts really light FoS on you, cynan.

"Right now I also believe Cynan is suspicious since I do not think he has defended accusations against him well. He's worthy of a check, but I think he's the person we can hold responsible and make sure he's posting over the next day."

That's the second one i've noticed, and i'm not even halfway through the thread properly
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:31 GMT
#325
On April 02 2010 15:16 Foolishness wrote:
I want Cynan to make some legit posts.


and again... third time's the charm.

Is it that unreasonable you're both mafia?
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:39 GMT
#326
the end of day 2 whenever KF91 died is making me suspicious of Vivi and Foolishness as a pairing.
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 07 2010 12:40 GMT
#327
On April 06 2010 05:46 Foolishness wrote:


madnessman should really be talking more



well, fuck.
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
April 07 2010 14:21 GMT
#328
On April 07 2010 21:20 Bill Murray wrote:
i find it suspicious of some things you wouldn't notice at first assuming vivi and foolishness are both mafia: vivi tried to get a quick day 1 lynch on me by throwing a vote on me before I was active based upon me not posting yet. That'd be fine if people wouldn't do it, but since it's me, he probably hoped for a quick lynch of someone he knew was town (remember, this is assuming they're mafia).

On pages 7, 8 Foolishness and Vivi both try to start different wagons. Vivi tries to start one on L, and Foolishness tries to start one on RoL. Innocent? possibly, but let's look at it from the perspective that they're mafia. Wouldn't they want veterans to get bandwagoned? Yes. Yes, they would.

Okay I'm going reiterate what I said. If Vivi and I are both mafia, that would mean we would have had staged the whole accusation/defense between the two of us. Do you really think the mafia would go through such an elaborate plan? Maybe, but given the fact that there have been some pairings that have been pretty chill at each other (madnessman/Cynan, BM/anyone but madnessman for example) I don't think this is likely.

Also consider, given the fact that RoL died after he was putting constant pressure on me, I'd be the number one lynch candidate right now. After Vivi voted for me today, I thought there'd be a huge bandwagon on me, and I was practically shitting my pants cause I thought I'd died for sure and then town would lose. If we were both mafia, there'd be no reason for Vivi to vote for me like that, he could just easily put the pressure on someone else, and there'd be no reason for him to accuse me (especially since me having to defend myself just makes it more likely I'll slip up).

And yeah, I want to hold Cynan to his word. So far he's half delivering. I think if he was posting more it would clear up a lot of confusion. I normally don't like voting early, but as BM said it's necessary to get things moving. Hopefully he'll talk some more and we can figure this out.

##Vote CynanMachae##
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
CynanMachae
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Canada1459 Posts
April 07 2010 15:06 GMT
#329
So what about Vivi then? I do agree that if you and Vivi were mafia, some of the stuff would have to be "staged" and some elaborate plan, but that's not that far-fetched since most of the accusations were easy to dismiss or not that elaborate

You are very quick to dismiss the Vivi/BM possibility. You say you and Vivi aren't mafia, but does that clear Vivi? I don't think so. You say you want me to post more and clear stuff, but the same can be said about Vivi who so far have been delivering far less.
Jang Yoon Chul hwaiting!
CynanMachae
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Canada1459 Posts
April 07 2010 16:01 GMT
#330
On April 07 2010 06:52 madnessman wrote:
At this point, only RoL has voted for Foolishness to be lynched, and is hard on Foolisheness' case, so I think we can pretty much assume that this post is directed towards RoL. After this post, we see that RoL changes his vote to KF91. Later, Vivi SWITCHES his vote, when it's obvious that Foolishness is NOT going to get lynched, since it's a) close to the deadline b) everyone else OTHER THAN foolishness has voted, and obviously he's not going to vote for himself?!

What I find interesting is that when Vivi changes his vote from KF to Foolishness, he changes the vote count from KF:3, Vivi:2, to KF:2, Vivi:2. Why would ANY rational player put himself in that position, ESPECIALLY when Foolishness hasn't voted yet and could easily vote for Vivi? Obviously, he would have no reason to worry if he and Foolish are acting together and he knew that Foolishness would be voting for KF91.

I really want to point this out again.

Also, I would really like that you guys notice who's basing their accusations on mafia duos and not. So far, Vivi and Foolishness have both been voting for me but neither of them have been putting much thoughts into who would be my partner. Some mention that it could be madnessman, but not really any reasoning behind it. Meanwhile, madnessman, BM and myself habe been suggesting mafia duos and throwing our reasonings behind it. Reasoning with mafia duos give us a loooooot more information.
Jang Yoon Chul hwaiting!
Vivi57
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States6599 Posts
April 07 2010 17:23 GMT
#331
Possible pairings:

cynan/madnessman - already covered
bm/foolishness - then both are playing really well and there's about 0% chance we can coordinate against them
vivi/foolishness - if I'm red without knowing it, town is also screwed


anyone have a votecount?
Flash hwaiting! Nal_rA forever!
flamewheel
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
FREEAGLELAND26782 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-07 20:14:04
April 07 2010 20:12 GMT
#332
Since Zona and his bot seem to be out of commission at the moment, as a courtesy I'll give you guys a vote count >.>

Vote Count:

Foolishness (0)
Vivi57
Bill Murray

madnessman (1)
Bill Murray

CynanMachae (2)
Vivi57
madnessman
Foolishness

Vivi57 (2)
madnessman
madnessman
CynanMachae

Vote history by voter:

Vivi57 voted for:
Foolishness
CynanMachae

Bill Murray voted for:
Foolishness
madnessman

madnessman voted for:
Vivi57
CynanMachae
Vivi57

CynanMachae voted for:
Vivi57

Foolishness voted for:
CynanMachae

Let me know if I made any mistakes in this, did it in the five minutes I had before I have to run to tennis practice. Zona, I did this because you haven't been around (still sick? ) and your bot hasn't updated since post 235, almost a full hundred posts ago. If you don't want it on here, PM me and I'll take it out.
Writerdamn, i was two days from retirement
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
April 07 2010 21:29 GMT
#333
On April 08 2010 00:06 CynanMachae wrote:
So what about Vivi then? I do agree that if you and Vivi were mafia, some of the stuff would have to be "staged" and some elaborate plan, but that's not that far-fetched since most of the accusations were easy to dismiss or not that elaborate

You are very quick to dismiss the Vivi/BM possibility. You say you and Vivi aren't mafia, but does that clear Vivi? I don't think so. You say you want me to post more and clear stuff, but the same can be said about Vivi who so far have been delivering far less.

I'm definitely not dismissing any possibility. As I said in my post, I ruled out any combo with Vivi in it because he's the person I least suspect. Doesn't mean I'm advocating he's 100% on the side of the town.

If we're trying to find mafia by pairing people together, it seems to me that BM could easily be paired with anyone save madnessman. He's been constantly under the radar this whole game and nobody has seemed to hardcore suspect him. I don't think he's said anything in his defense other than "i'm green". Doesn't mean he's mafia, but it's still suspicious.

I just voted for you to get things moving (not that they hadn't already or anything). I'm going to wait until more people post, especially to hear Vivi's response to your posts.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
CynanMachae
Profile Blog Joined September 2006
Canada1459 Posts
April 07 2010 22:41 GMT
#334
I might have missed it, but why did the BM/madnessman pairing seemed less probable?
Jang Yoon Chul hwaiting!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
April 08 2010 00:59 GMT
#335
On April 08 2010 07:41 CynanMachae wrote:
I might have missed it, but why did the BM/madnessman pairing seemed less probable?

They had that whole squabble with each other yesterday. madnessman was comparing BM's posts to a Katy Perry song.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
madnessman
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States1581 Posts
April 08 2010 01:38 GMT
#336
I made a comment and BM wasn't very happy about it.

On April 07 2010 23:21 Foolishness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2010 21:20 Bill Murray wrote:
i find it suspicious of some things you wouldn't notice at first assuming vivi and foolishness are both mafia: vivi tried to get a quick day 1 lynch on me by throwing a vote on me before I was active based upon me not posting yet. That'd be fine if people wouldn't do it, but since it's me, he probably hoped for a quick lynch of someone he knew was town (remember, this is assuming they're mafia).

On pages 7, 8 Foolishness and Vivi both try to start different wagons. Vivi tries to start one on L, and Foolishness tries to start one on RoL. Innocent? possibly, but let's look at it from the perspective that they're mafia. Wouldn't they want veterans to get bandwagoned? Yes. Yes, they would.

Okay I'm going reiterate what I said. If Vivi and I are both mafia, that would mean we would have had staged the whole accusation/defense between the two of us. Do you really think the mafia would go through such an elaborate plan? Maybe, but given the fact that there have been some pairings that have been pretty chill at each other (madnessman/Cynan, BM/anyone but madnessman for example) I don't think this is likely.

Also consider, given the fact that RoL died after he was putting constant pressure on me, I'd be the number one lynch candidate right now. After Vivi voted for me today, I thought there'd be a huge bandwagon on me, and I was practically shitting my pants cause I thought I'd died for sure and then town would lose. If we were both mafia, there'd be no reason for Vivi to vote for me like that, he could just easily put the pressure on someone else, and there'd be no reason for him to accuse me (especially since me having to defend myself just makes it more likely I'll slip up).

And yeah, I want to hold Cynan to his word. So far he's half delivering. I think if he was posting more it would clear up a lot of confusion. I normally don't like voting early, but as BM said it's necessary to get things moving. Hopefully he'll talk some more and we can figure this out.

##Vote CynanMachae##


So I see that Foolishness is voting in alignment with Vivi...why doesn't that surprise me? I really don't think it would be a "huge, elaborate" plan for Vivi and Foolish to be working together. Why? Vivi defends Foolish when there's pressure on him, and only accuses him only when there's little to no chance he's going to get lynched. Sounds like a pretty good way for mafia members to disassociate themselves from each other. Also, I don't think we can take Vivi's voting pattern as coincidence. He puts himself in danger of being lynched, when Foolish is casting the deciding vote and could vote for him. If a regular townie thought Foolish was mafia, why would he put himself in a position where Foolish could easily get him lynched?

Looks like the game is in BM's hands now. It's wound up to be me and cynan voting against vivi and foolishness, with BM casting the deciding vote. I think I've brought up specific scenarios where vivi acts scummy, and acting as though he's in alignment with foolish, which would make voting for vivi a pretty safe bet. On the other hand, vivi and foolishness hardly provide solid reasons why they think cynan is scum. So I don't know what else I can say...Seems pretty clear cut to me, but BM I hope yo uthink all this over and make the right decision. Unless you're mafia then we're screwed with you casting the final vote :/.
Vivi57
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
United States6599 Posts
April 08 2010 01:40 GMT
#337
I'm going to cry if it ends up being foolishness/bm
Flash hwaiting! Nal_rA forever!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
April 08 2010 01:54 GMT
#338
On April 08 2010 10:38 madnessman wrote:
I made a comment and BM wasn't very happy about it.

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2010 23:21 Foolishness wrote:
On April 07 2010 21:20 Bill Murray wrote:
i find it suspicious of some things you wouldn't notice at first assuming vivi and foolishness are both mafia: vivi tried to get a quick day 1 lynch on me by throwing a vote on me before I was active based upon me not posting yet. That'd be fine if people wouldn't do it, but since it's me, he probably hoped for a quick lynch of someone he knew was town (remember, this is assuming they're mafia).

On pages 7, 8 Foolishness and Vivi both try to start different wagons. Vivi tries to start one on L, and Foolishness tries to start one on RoL. Innocent? possibly, but let's look at it from the perspective that they're mafia. Wouldn't they want veterans to get bandwagoned? Yes. Yes, they would.

Okay I'm going reiterate what I said. If Vivi and I are both mafia, that would mean we would have had staged the whole accusation/defense between the two of us. Do you really think the mafia would go through such an elaborate plan? Maybe, but given the fact that there have been some pairings that have been pretty chill at each other (madnessman/Cynan, BM/anyone but madnessman for example) I don't think this is likely.

Also consider, given the fact that RoL died after he was putting constant pressure on me, I'd be the number one lynch candidate right now. After Vivi voted for me today, I thought there'd be a huge bandwagon on me, and I was practically shitting my pants cause I thought I'd died for sure and then town would lose. If we were both mafia, there'd be no reason for Vivi to vote for me like that, he could just easily put the pressure on someone else, and there'd be no reason for him to accuse me (especially since me having to defend myself just makes it more likely I'll slip up).

And yeah, I want to hold Cynan to his word. So far he's half delivering. I think if he was posting more it would clear up a lot of confusion. I normally don't like voting early, but as BM said it's necessary to get things moving. Hopefully he'll talk some more and we can figure this out.

##Vote CynanMachae##


So I see that Foolishness is voting in alignment with Vivi...why doesn't that surprise me? I really don't think it would be a "huge, elaborate" plan for Vivi and Foolish to be working together. Why? Vivi defends Foolish when there's pressure on him, and only accuses him only when there's little to no chance he's going to get lynched. Sounds like a pretty good way for mafia members to disassociate themselves from each other. Also, I don't think we can take Vivi's voting pattern as coincidence. He puts himself in danger of being lynched, when Foolish is casting the deciding vote and could vote for him. If a regular townie thought Foolish was mafia, why would he put himself in a position where Foolish could easily get him lynched?

Looks like the game is in BM's hands now. It's wound up to be me and cynan voting against vivi and foolishness, with BM casting the deciding vote. I think I've brought up specific scenarios where vivi acts scummy, and acting as though he's in alignment with foolish, which would make voting for vivi a pretty safe bet. On the other hand, vivi and foolishness hardly provide solid reasons why they think cynan is scum. So I don't know what else I can say...Seems pretty clear cut to me, but BM I hope yo uthink all this over and make the right decision. Unless you're mafia then we're screwed with you casting the final vote :/.

What do you mean "little to no chance he's going to get lynched"? I'm the only one alive right now that's been under the most pressure all game. I've been defending myself since yesterday after RoL accused me. I was shitting bricks this morning (game time) when RoL came up innocent cause I was definitely the easy target to lynch.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
madnessman
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States1581 Posts
April 08 2010 02:00 GMT
#339
eh. what's zona's policy in the case of a tie? -.^
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
April 08 2010 02:01 GMT
#340
fuck it ##vote vivi57##
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
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