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2020 US Election - Page 214

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TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 06 2020 14:14 GMT
#4261
I think Biden is going to win with 306 electoral votes and 5 million + in the popular vote. Trump's gonna be real sad it's a bigger "landslide" than his was.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23956 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 14:15:36
November 06 2020 14:14 GMT
#4262
So it seems Biden is safe (though still not enough for the decision desks) to take the official vote counts in enough states to secure a presupposed electoral college win.

Trump isn't going to prevail in court to a degree to save him by all credible accounts I've seen.

So we're down to political leverage to push faithless electors as a technical victory and/or outright instigating (more than he has) violent refusal to accept the results or any verification of them. This is the first election in living memory where that last one is a serious (albeit still fairly remote) wildcard possibility in the US.

What concerns me the most right now is that Trump/Republicans might not have the ability to rein in his most fanatical supporters at this point, even if they wanted to.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45926 Posts
November 06 2020 14:16 GMT
#4263
So now Biden has overwhelmingly won the popular vote and officially won the electoral college. If you're interested in further paranoia, given Trump's propensity for cheating and rigging things, the electors don't vote until December 14th. Feel free to stay nervous - for the next five weeks - that a bunch of faithless electors will try to give Trump a free presidency, completely nullifying the entire election. Or that Biden gets assassinated. I don't really have the energy to worry about those things right now though; I'm just hoping that Trump voters don't become too violent over the next few days.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35173 Posts
November 06 2020 14:18 GMT
#4264
Meanwhile the specter of January looms, where Georgia's 2 seats will most likely decide who holds the Senate.
Diavlo
Profile Joined July 2011
Belgium2915 Posts
November 06 2020 14:19 GMT
#4265
On November 06 2020 23:14 GreenHorizons wrote:
So it seems Biden is safe (though still not enough for the decision desks) to take the official vote counts in enough states to secure a presupposed electoral college win.

Trump isn't going to prevail in court to a degree to save him by all credible accounts I've seen.

So we're down to political leverage to push faithless electors as a technical victory and/or outright instigating (more than he has) violent refusal to accept the results or any verification of them. This is the first election in living memory where that last one is a serious (albeit still fairly remote) wildcard possibility in the US.

What concerns me the most right now is that Trump/Republicans might not have the ability to rein in his most fanatical supporters at this point, even if they wanted to.


Decision Desk HQ projects that
@JoeBiden
has won Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes for a total of 273.

Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President of the United States of America.

Race called at 11-06 08:50 AM EST
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984?s=20
"I don't know how many years on this Earth I got left. I'm gonna get real weird with it."
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26795 Posts
November 06 2020 14:19 GMT
#4266
On November 06 2020 23:11 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 23:09 WombaT wrote:
Is Nate Silver one guy or an organisation? If the former he’s been putting in one hell of a shift.

Thank fuck Trump is gone (fingers crossed there’s not some ridiculous court ruling), nice sharing the thread with you all, next step the socialist revolution.


Next step keep people into politics even though orange man gone :p

Within the Northern Irish context Orangeman is never gone :p

If we could collectively at least shift out of this ‘culture war’ and back to something approximating issues of policy that would be tasty.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
JinDesu
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3990 Posts
November 06 2020 14:24 GMT
#4267
Did Arizona expand Biden's lead just now? I swear I saw it was +40k for Biden and now it's +45k?
Using AP's map.
Yargh
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 14:26:54
November 06 2020 14:26 GMT
#4268
AZ's votes are too weird to read into ATM. I'd just wait for the big Maricopa numbers to come in.

If Maricopa numbers came in and expanded Biden's lead...that's another story. Don't see anything suggesting it from the person I've been following in AZ though.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10402 Posts
November 06 2020 14:26 GMT
#4269
GOOD MORNING TEAMLIQUID ELECTION DAY THREAD AND WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING I WAKE UP TO!

On November 06 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 11:24 InFiNitY[pG] wrote:
Just call PA tonight and be done with this. I can't handle it anymore.

Ok here you go:

TEAMLIQUID.NET ELECTION COVERAGE TEAM HAS CALLED PENNSYLVANIA FOR VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN. JOE BIDEN WILL CAPTURE ITS 20 ELECTORAL VOTES AND HE NOW HAS SURPASSED THE NECESSARY 270 ELECTORAL VOTES WITH 279, MAKING JOE BIDEN THE PRESUMPTIVE PRESIDENT-ELECT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Just wanted to point out that I called this shit 11 hours ago, but hey, not every news station and polling org can be as good as your friends here at the Teamliquid.net Decision Desk.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984?s=20

Decision Desk seems to have been the only large-ish coverage team that has officially called this race, though Nate Silver and Nate Cohn seemed to imply that it was also over a long time ago.

GEORGIA FLIPPED HAHAHAHAAHAHA

Alright well I think this will do it, I'll probably keep up with the major pollsters for a little bit until they finally announce the President-elect and I'll stay up to date with the numbers in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia for a bit. NC will come out next week, when I get news of that I'll update assuming the main USPMT is gonna be back up.

Thanks everyone to an awesome coverage, it was fun being your newscaster for this election. Shoutouts to everyone who followed this thread and used this as your main source of info, hopefully in 2 years we can do this again and I'll be right back here on the TL.net Decision Desk.

AND HAPPY 9000 POSTS TO ME!
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42400 Posts
November 06 2020 14:27 GMT
#4270
On November 06 2020 23:24 JinDesu wrote:
Did Arizona expand Biden's lead just now? I swear I saw it was +40k for Biden and now it's +45k?
Using AP's map.


According to this the last update was 9 hours ago. Maricopa County's next report is at 11am. ET

https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
JinDesu
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States3990 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 14:27:50
November 06 2020 14:27 GMT
#4271
On November 06 2020 23:26 FlaShFTW wrote:
GOOD MORNING TEAMLIQUID ELECTION DAY THREAD AND WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING I WAKE UP TO!

Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:
On November 06 2020 11:24 InFiNitY[pG] wrote:
Just call PA tonight and be done with this. I can't handle it anymore.

Ok here you go:

TEAMLIQUID.NET ELECTION COVERAGE TEAM HAS CALLED PENNSYLVANIA FOR VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN. JOE BIDEN WILL CAPTURE ITS 20 ELECTORAL VOTES AND HE NOW HAS SURPASSED THE NECESSARY 270 ELECTORAL VOTES WITH 279, MAKING JOE BIDEN THE PRESUMPTIVE PRESIDENT-ELECT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Just wanted to point out that I called this shit 11 hours ago, but hey, not every news station and polling org can be as good as your friends here at the Teamliquid.net Decision Desk.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984?s=20

Decision Desk seems to have been the only large-ish coverage team that has officially called this race, though Nate Silver and Nate Cohn seemed to imply that it was also over a long time ago.

GEORGIA FLIPPED HAHAHAHAAHAHA

Alright well I think this will do it, I'll probably keep up with the major pollsters for a little bit until they finally announce the President-elect and I'll stay up to date with the numbers in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia for a bit. NC will come out next week, when I get news of that I'll update assuming the main USPMT is gonna be back up.

Thanks everyone to an awesome coverage, it was fun being your newscaster for this election. Shoutouts to everyone who followed this thread and used this as your main source of info, hopefully in 2 years we can do this again and I'll be right back here on the TL.net Decision Desk.

AND HAPPY 9000 POSTS TO ME!


When are you making it over 9000?

On November 06 2020 23:27 Grettin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 23:24 JinDesu wrote:
Did Arizona expand Biden's lead just now? I swear I saw it was +40k for Biden and now it's +45k?
Using AP's map.


According to this the last update was 9 hours ago. Maricopa County's next report is at 11am. ET

https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html


Thanks - I'll look at that link then.
Yargh
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24773 Posts
November 06 2020 14:27 GMT
#4272
If halfway through Biden's first term he decides to retire (or other non-sudden transition of power), is it automatic that Harris becomes president?

How is the VP decided at that time?
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8081 Posts
November 06 2020 14:28 GMT
#4273
On November 06 2020 23:16 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
So now Biden has overwhelmingly won the popular vote and officially won the electoral college. If you're interested in further paranoia, given Trump's propensity for cheating and rigging things, the electors don't vote until December 14th. Feel free to stay nervous - for the next five weeks - that a bunch of faithless electors will try to give Trump a free presidency, completely nullifying the entire election. Or that Biden gets assassinated. I don't really have the energy to worry about those things right now though; I'm just hoping that Trump voters don't become too violent over the next few days.

Are faithless electors really a thing?

Anyway. Glad that this absolute nightmare of a presidency comes to an end. I hope they now win the senate and that Biden can implement at least part of his program and start the long process of cleaning up that mess.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 06 2020 14:29 GMT
#4274
On November 06 2020 23:27 micronesia wrote:
If halfway through Biden's first term he decides to retire (or other non-sudden transition of power), is it automatic that Harris becomes president?

How is the VP decided at that time?


As in any time the VP takes over, they would just pick a new VP
Something witty
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 14:32:20
November 06 2020 14:30 GMT
#4275
Some of the desks claiming they're waiting until 99.5% chances of victory to call PA. I'd be shocked if their models aren't saying 99.9% right now.

On November 06 2020 23:28 Biff The Understudy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 23:16 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
So now Biden has overwhelmingly won the popular vote and officially won the electoral college. If you're interested in further paranoia, given Trump's propensity for cheating and rigging things, the electors don't vote until December 14th. Feel free to stay nervous - for the next five weeks - that a bunch of faithless electors will try to give Trump a free presidency, completely nullifying the entire election. Or that Biden gets assassinated. I don't really have the energy to worry about those things right now though; I'm just hoping that Trump voters don't become too violent over the next few days.

Are faithless electors really a thing?

Anyway. Glad that this absolute nightmare of a presidency comes to an end. I hope they now win the senate and that Biden can implement at least part of his program and start the long process of cleaning up that mess.


Faithless electors are a thing, but faithless electors overturning the EC victory/popular vote victory has never happened. Not sure they've ever overturned the EC victory alone either. And I think it would require establishment support that Trump...lacks, to put it politely.
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8081 Posts
November 06 2020 14:30 GMT
#4276
On November 06 2020 23:26 FlaShFTW wrote:
GOOD MORNING TEAMLIQUID ELECTION DAY THREAD AND WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING I WAKE UP TO!

Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:
On November 06 2020 11:24 InFiNitY[pG] wrote:
Just call PA tonight and be done with this. I can't handle it anymore.

Ok here you go:

TEAMLIQUID.NET ELECTION COVERAGE TEAM HAS CALLED PENNSYLVANIA FOR VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN. JOE BIDEN WILL CAPTURE ITS 20 ELECTORAL VOTES AND HE NOW HAS SURPASSED THE NECESSARY 270 ELECTORAL VOTES WITH 279, MAKING JOE BIDEN THE PRESUMPTIVE PRESIDENT-ELECT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Just wanted to point out that I called this shit 11 hours ago, but hey, not every news station and polling org can be as good as your friends here at the Teamliquid.net Decision Desk.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984?s=20

Decision Desk seems to have been the only large-ish coverage team that has officially called this race, though Nate Silver and Nate Cohn seemed to imply that it was also over a long time ago.

GEORGIA FLIPPED HAHAHAHAAHAHA

Alright well I think this will do it, I'll probably keep up with the major pollsters for a little bit until they finally announce the President-elect and I'll stay up to date with the numbers in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia for a bit. NC will come out next week, when I get news of that I'll update assuming the main USPMT is gonna be back up.

Thanks everyone to an awesome coverage, it was fun being your newscaster for this election. Shoutouts to everyone who followed this thread and used this as your main source of info, hopefully in 2 years we can do this again and I'll be right back here on the TL.net Decision Desk.

AND HAPPY 9000 POSTS TO ME!

Thanks Flash, you are a legend. And congrats to your 9000 on such a post.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Biff The Understudy
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
France8081 Posts
November 06 2020 14:32 GMT
#4277
On November 06 2020 23:30 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 23:28 Biff The Understudy wrote:
On November 06 2020 23:16 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
So now Biden has overwhelmingly won the popular vote and officially won the electoral college. If you're interested in further paranoia, given Trump's propensity for cheating and rigging things, the electors don't vote until December 14th. Feel free to stay nervous - for the next five weeks - that a bunch of faithless electors will try to give Trump a free presidency, completely nullifying the entire election. Or that Biden gets assassinated. I don't really have the energy to worry about those things right now though; I'm just hoping that Trump voters don't become too violent over the next few days.

Are faithless electors really a thing?

Anyway. Glad that this absolute nightmare of a presidency comes to an end. I hope they now win the senate and that Biden can implement at least part of his program and start the long process of cleaning up that mess.


Faithless electors are a thing, but faithless electors overturning the vote has never happened. And I think it would require establishment support that Trump...lacks, to put it politely.

Yeah. I'll order 12 trucks of popcorns and see everyone turn against Trump in the next weeks. That's going to be absolutely orgasmic.
The fellow who is out to burn things up is the counterpart of the fool who thinks he can save the world. The world needs neither to be burned up nor to be saved. The world is, we are. Transients, if we buck it; here to stay if we accept it. ~H.Miller
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18291 Posts
November 06 2020 14:32 GMT
#4278
On November 06 2020 23:27 micronesia wrote:
If halfway through Biden's first term he decides to retire (or other non-sudden transition of power), is it automatic that Harris becomes president?

How is the VP decided at that time?

Yes, and Harris gets to pick a new VP that the senate has to approve.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
November 06 2020 14:33 GMT
#4279
On November 06 2020 23:09 WombaT wrote:
Is Nate Silver one guy or an organisation? If the former he’s been putting in one hell of a shift.

Thank fuck Trump is gone (fingers crossed there’s not some ridiculous court ruling), nice sharing the thread with you all, next step the socialist revolution.

To elaborate on what other people said, he's the founder and editor in chief of fivethirtyeight, a stats website. He's the one who designed their model, which is something he did almost alone in 2008 but now has like 30 people helping out.
ChristianS
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States3304 Posts
November 06 2020 14:33 GMT
#4280
On November 06 2020 23:26 FlaShFTW wrote:
GOOD MORNING TEAMLIQUID ELECTION DAY THREAD AND WHAT A GLORIOUS MORNING I WAKE UP TO!

Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:
On November 06 2020 11:24 InFiNitY[pG] wrote:
Just call PA tonight and be done with this. I can't handle it anymore.

Ok here you go:

TEAMLIQUID.NET ELECTION COVERAGE TEAM HAS CALLED PENNSYLVANIA FOR VICE PRESIDENT JOE BIDEN. JOE BIDEN WILL CAPTURE ITS 20 ELECTORAL VOTES AND HE NOW HAS SURPASSED THE NECESSARY 270 ELECTORAL VOTES WITH 279, MAKING JOE BIDEN THE PRESUMPTIVE PRESIDENT-ELECT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

Just wanted to point out that I called this shit 11 hours ago, but hey, not every news station and polling org can be as good as your friends here at the Teamliquid.net Decision Desk.

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324710866516905984?s=20

Decision Desk seems to have been the only large-ish coverage team that has officially called this race, though Nate Silver and Nate Cohn seemed to imply that it was also over a long time ago.

GEORGIA FLIPPED HAHAHAHAAHAHA

Alright well I think this will do it, I'll probably keep up with the major pollsters for a little bit until they finally announce the President-elect and I'll stay up to date with the numbers in Arizona, Nevada, and Georgia for a bit. NC will come out next week, when I get news of that I'll update assuming the main USPMT is gonna be back up.

Thanks everyone to an awesome coverage, it was fun being your newscaster for this election. Shoutouts to everyone who followed this thread and used this as your main source of info, hopefully in 2 years we can do this again and I'll be right back here on the TL.net Decision Desk.

AND HAPPY 9000 POSTS TO ME!

What a 9000, congrats
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." -Robert J. Hanlon
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