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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:24 FlaShFTW wrote: https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324506632081080320?s=20 Another smaller batch, probably from Pinal: Biden +1k Trump +4.7k Really good news for Trump once again. He has to run these up right? Because once the large counties come in we expect AZ to stay with Biden? | ||
FlaShFTW
United States10532 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:26 IyMoon wrote: He has to run these up right? Because once the large counties come in we expect AZ to stay with Biden? No idea at the moment, I think Maricopa is gonna be the big dump so these small gains in the small counties wont matter as much, I think the line is about 57/58% that Trump needs. | ||
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CorsairHero
Canada9491 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:11 Jockmcplop wrote: On Fox News, Kellyanne Conway said it was “the state of the race from his perspective”. That reads to me like 'social distancing'. more like keeping her family intact (George Conway cofounded the Lincoln Project and her kid hates Trump) | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10532 Posts
Trump lead is 3.5k. There are only 3 counties left that are still not at 98%+: Clayton, Floyd, and Taylor. Taylor only has like 4k votes, Floyd will have about another 4k, and Clayton is the big one with at least 5-6k left. All signs point that Biden in the two smaller counties of Floyd and Taylor might eek out another 100-200 vote gain. All eyes on Clayton. | ||
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DarkPlasmaBall
United States46251 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10532 Posts
19k total votes outstanding, in absentee and military. Military votes obviously skew Republican, but will Biden get enough? I think if before the provisionals/military that Biden can be ahead by 1-1.5k, he'll have it. | ||
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Nebuchad
Switzerland12488 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:25 IyMoon wrote: Wait, we dont say transsexual? What do we say? Have I been fucking this up for years? The terminology has been different in different times. "Transsexual" today typically means that the person has transitioned with medical assistance (sex reassignment surgery), which not all trans people do. That distinction won't be very important in most conversations so transgender is more natural. | ||
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:32 Nebuchad wrote: The terminology has been different in different times. "Transsexual" today typically means that the person has transitioned with medical assistance (sex reassignment surgery), which not all trans people do. I always shorten it to trans when talking. I just always assumed it was short for transsexual. It's good to know thats not the case | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:31 FlaShFTW wrote: https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1324509121496915968?s=20 19k total votes outstanding, in absentee and military. Military votes obviously skew Republican, but will Biden get enough? I think if before the provisionals/military that Biden can be ahead by 1-1.5k, he'll have it. I was reading that as 19k PLUS military etc. votes. Provisionals are going to skew heavily for democrats this year, as the main reason to cast one is if you aren't sure your mail in ballot would arrive on time (or you never got the one you requested). | ||
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Deleted User 173346
16169 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10532 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:33 Nevuk wrote: I was reading that as 19k PLUS military etc. votes. Provisionals are going to skew heavily for democrats this year, as the main reason to cast one is if you aren't sure your mail in ballot would arrive on time (or you never got the one you requested). True. Im just saying that even if Biden takes the lead in Georgia, don't expect a call from any news orgs. | ||
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CorsairHero
Canada9491 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:31 FlaShFTW wrote: https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1324509121496915968?s=20 19k total votes outstanding, in absentee and military. Military votes obviously skew Republican, but will Biden get enough? I think if before the provisionals/military that Biden can be ahead by 1-1.5k, he'll have it. I wonder how much the Russian bounty on American troops issue affected the military votes | ||
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Deleted User 173346
16169 Posts
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Shingi11
290 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:20 KungKras wrote: That so fucked up. When the police starts turning against what they view as political opponents.... thats a bad sign. I am more afraid to go to some of these red states then say north Korea. Outside of being a straight white male you are in just about as much danger. | ||
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Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:23 plasmidghost wrote: I'm honestly not surprised a loser like her is trying to say that my rights as a "transsexual" (a word we haven't even used for decades) is one of the reasons why Dems lost working-class voters, like we're not working-class ourselves https://twitter.com/_waleedshahid/status/1324216738465173505 You cant be a Democrat if youre pro 2A or anti abortion. Doesnt she know that? Thats where the Dems have gone. (Coincidentally why this myth of compromise is bullshit. Theres almost no overlap with the parties outside foreign policy consensus nowadays) | ||
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IyMoon
United States1249 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:35 Wegandi wrote: You cant be a Democrat if youre pro 2A or anti abortion. Doesnt she know that? Thats where the Dems have gone. (Coincidentally why this myth of compromise is bullshit. Theres almost no overlap with the parties outside foreign policy consensus nowadays) r/liberalgunowner might disagree with you on Pro 2A part. | ||
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Nevuk
United States16280 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:33 FlaShFTW wrote: True. Im just saying that even if Biden takes the lead in Georgia, don't expect a call from any news orgs. Yep. It's a good thing it looks like it won't come down to GA or NC. FWIW, I think the military vote won't really be particularly republican skewed. His popularity has taken big dips there. Last military times poll put him 4 points behind Biden, with a 50% unfavorable rating. https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2020/08/31/as-trumps-popularity-slips-in-latest-military-times-poll-more-troops-say-theyll-vote-for-biden/ | ||
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Shingi11
290 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:34 CorsairHero wrote: I wonder how much the Russian bounty on American troops issue affected the military votes Ya not this. Trump has really pissed off about just all levels of the military from enlisted to officer. | ||
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CorsairHero
Canada9491 Posts
On November 06 2020 09:34 plasmidghost wrote: But on politics, I am quite interested in the runoff happening in Georgia's two Senate races in January. I can imagine that there's going to be millions of dollars spent there to see who controls the Senate I dont think Ossoff is out of the woods yet. | ||
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FlaShFTW
United States10532 Posts
Nate Cohn implying that maybe overseas and military votes could cancel out. If that's the case, then if Biden surpasses, I'm confident that I could call Georgia. | ||
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