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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 488

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Banaora
Profile Joined May 2013
Germany234 Posts
March 13 2019 20:01 GMT
#9741
Tomorrow is going to be interesting when they debate extending article 50. Jeremy Corbyn has reached out to Tory MPs to find a common solution. Bercow is ensuring that the House can debate what it wants to debate.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22084 Posts
March 13 2019 20:08 GMT
#9742
Voting to ask the EU for an extension after today is just dumb (yes I know the vote will be held, and I thought they would chose to ask for it just hours ago).
The situation is clear from the 308-312 vote. A deal that satisfies 311 people to beat the apparent large group that is satisfied with a no-deal Brexit does not exist. (and the EU has said time and time again that there will be no different deal that what is already on the table).

If the UK wants to avoid a hard Brexit the only choice left is to strait up cancel article 50 and render the last 2 years a complete farce that pissed away any good will the UK had within the EU.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-13 20:10:46
March 13 2019 20:08 GMT
#9743
Nigel Farage has announced he is lobbying European Governments to veto any extension request possibly Italy is a big target for him, he would only need to get one government to veto.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22084 Posts
March 13 2019 20:11 GMT
#9744
On March 14 2019 05:08 Zaros wrote:
Nigel Farage has announced he is lobbying European Governments to veto any extension request possibly Italy is a big target for him.
waste of breath when the EU has no interest in extending when there is no possible solution in sight (and any claim of it existing is dead after todays vote).

It will get voted down in the EU parliament without his lobbying.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Excludos
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway8232 Posts
March 13 2019 20:14 GMT
#9745
On March 14 2019 05:11 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2019 05:08 Zaros wrote:
Nigel Farage has announced he is lobbying European Governments to veto any extension request possibly Italy is a big target for him.
waste of breath when the EU has no interest in extending when there is no possible solution in sight (and any claim of it existing is dead after todays vote).

It will get voted down in the EU parliament without his lobbying.


Kinda pointless to vote no when the Uk can just go "Alright then, we'll cancel Brexit then..for another year and then start the whole process again", which they are entirely allowed to do.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-13 20:50:08
March 13 2019 20:48 GMT
#9746
May plan for meaningful vote 3 next week trying to get brexiteers back on side now parliament will vote to extend, but i suspect this attempt will fail because she isnt sacking remainers who voted against the government. Election is coming soon the government is falling apart.

Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22084 Posts
March 13 2019 21:00 GMT
#9747
Insanity "trying the exact same thing and expecting a different outcome"
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18211 Posts
March 13 2019 21:01 GMT
#9748
On March 14 2019 04:51 Banaora wrote:
Motion passes as amended by spelman 321 - 278 so no deal voted out.

What does this even mean. If they don't agree to the EU deal (and they voted that down), then no-deal is happening. They need to vote FOR something to avoid no-deal Brexit... so this is a completely useless motion.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-13 21:05:57
March 13 2019 21:05 GMT
#9749
On March 14 2019 06:01 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2019 04:51 Banaora wrote:
Motion passes as amended by spelman 321 - 278 so no deal voted out.

What does this even mean. If they don't agree to the EU deal (and they voted that down), then no-deal is happening. They need to vote FOR something to avoid no-deal Brexit... so this is a completely useless motion.
In theory it could mean that they need to withdraw article 50 if a hard Brexit were to happen.

Its the only way Britain has of avoiding leaving that they have full control over.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-13 21:07:40
March 13 2019 21:06 GMT
#9750
On March 14 2019 06:01 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2019 04:51 Banaora wrote:
Motion passes as amended by spelman 321 - 278 so no deal voted out.

What does this even mean. If they don't agree to the EU deal (and they voted that down), then no-deal is happening. They need to vote FOR something to avoid no-deal Brexit... so this is a completely useless motion.

It scraps one option. So now they either need to accept a deal real fast, find an extension somehow, or cancel article 50. Saw a conservative MP on BBC saying that he now sees himself forced to vote for the (bad in his eyes) deal or face no brexit at all, because going out without a deal is off the table politically.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11743 Posts
March 13 2019 21:08 GMT
#9751
On March 14 2019 05:14 Excludos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 14 2019 05:11 Gorsameth wrote:
On March 14 2019 05:08 Zaros wrote:
Nigel Farage has announced he is lobbying European Governments to veto any extension request possibly Italy is a big target for him.
waste of breath when the EU has no interest in extending when there is no possible solution in sight (and any claim of it existing is dead after todays vote).

It will get voted down in the EU parliament without his lobbying.


Kinda pointless to vote no when the Uk can just go "Alright then, we'll cancel Brexit then..for another year and then start the whole process again", which they are entirely allowed to do.


I find it to be weird to lobby foreign governments to deny something that your government asks for. That sounds like something that should ideally be solved internally.

Also, there is a difference between extending and cancelling. While it might technically be possible to indefinitely cancel and restart the brexit process, i am quite confident that once that starts happening, a) the chances of the UK getting deal that they would be happy with decline even more rapidly, because i doubt that the EU folks would be very happy with the UK trying to obviously fool them, and b) some legal reason that that is not possible would quickly manifest in some way or other, due to the same reason.

I also think that once article 50 is cancelled, the motivation to start this whole bullshit again might be not that high. It has become clear at this point that the brexit that was sold to the population in britain is not manifesting, and it should be obvious that it won't happen if you just give it more time. The main thing that happened during the two years is that britain has proven that it can not find a majority for any of the possibilities, is utterly confused by this, and hopes that the problem will solve itself via to everyone outside of britain realizing that the UK is utterly totally amazing and that they really should give them anything they want at the last minute.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
March 13 2019 21:41 GMT
#9752
Honestly, it means nothing. If Parliament continues to downvote everything that comes their way, then the process will default to a no deal, to a hard brexit anyways. Perhaps some MP's feel like they may have to vote for May's deal, and push it through, or perhaps they can vote to revoke article 50 and May sends that result off in time; who can tell at this point in time.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
March 13 2019 22:44 GMT
#9753
I kind of wonder what would happen if Brexit gets cancel'd or if a delay beyond EU-election happens...
I can understand that politicians over here would probably be happy about that. But does anyone actually want that? I can't imagine having the UK be part of the decision process of the EU is something anyone wants to have in the first place. Sure, we can all talk about having a pipe dream about how brexit-cancel or a temporary delay that turns into brexit-cancel come next election would solve issues because the UK stays in the EU but it's not like that changes the mind of the people in the UK. If anything I only see it getting worse.

I don't think we'd be done with it at all and being done with it is what I want and I assume most people look at it the same way. So letting them delay past june (not saying it's happening, just tossing it out) seems like an incredibly stupid idea to me. In that sense, I'm with Nigel Farage on this one. Obviously not the method because that seems shady as fuck but yeah, please no delay for no reason dragging this out for years to come.
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-14 00:08:11
March 13 2019 23:35 GMT
#9754
If brexit gets cancelled...in the short term it is difficult to tell. Though opinion polls favours remain higher than leave, this may simply be because Theresa May has royally fucked up the whole process. Perhaps UKIP returns as a force. Perhaps The Conservative Party fractures completely. Perhaps Labour fractures too. The Daily Mail will continue to spout crap about the EU. Boris Johnson will still try to be PM. Politicians will continue to stab UK in the back. Random people will still spout crap about "taking back control" and "hordes of immigrants", though probably not "350 million a year for the NHS". Perhaps the whole cycle is repeated again for another 4 years. Though this time no one will be stupid enough to invoke article 50 before negotiations have finished and certainly not stupid enough when negotiations have not even started.

I imagine that, things will be rather awkward in the EU as UK still has the usual mechanisms of power in the EU as if they never tried to leave. UK influence will be greatly lessened I am sure though.

In the long term...as long as the cycle isn't repeated, as more elderly die off, as more young enter voting age, as memories fade, it'll just be remembered as a period when the politicans of UK decided to hold a gun to its UK as a threat to the EU in order to secure favourable political concessions.

That is if brexit get cancelled.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9768 Posts
March 14 2019 00:06 GMT
#9755
Hi we're British politicians
We don't what we want
But we know that we don't want any of the things we wanted 2 years ago
And we don't want to not have those things either

So just give us that and shut up.
RIP Meatloaf <3
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
March 14 2019 01:27 GMT
#9756
One thing is for certain, the EU is better off without the UK for one simple reason. The future of the UK is people like Farage and Rees Mogg, both of which showed absolutely zero interest in law or integrity.

It's pretty telling when the attorney general has to remind you that the UK isn't some kind of shitshow where laws and integrity are just buzzwords.

"Technically we could just say "yeah sure" and then do however we please whenever we feel like it - what they gon do about it" is probably the dumbest thing a politician could say to a person with even a shred of decency. And he didn't just do it once, he tried on multiple occasions to get confirmation in regards to "the EU not able to do anything if the UK simply decides that whatever is agreed upon isn't good enough and goes ahead to break the treaty".

That's your future. It's not that "influence" of the UK in the EU has declined, the UK has shown that if push comes to shove, the government isn't functioning and is even humouring the thought of accepting a treaty and then breaking it to get the upper hand.

Funniest part was him making clear that this all doesn't matter since it's not not legally binding, and then goes ahead to argue that the 17.4 million (whoever that would be) can't be betrayed. Leaving out that this obviously also wasn't legally binding (and that it's not 17.4 million anymore). But that's what "the people" apparently respond to. Opportunistic crooks, headlines that usually are written with a few words in all caps, chestbeating over accomplishments which usually lie 60-500 years ago, and not to forget: simple solutions to problems that are so mindbogglingly complicated that even people doing it professionally are just shrugging helplessly.

Simpletons.
On track to MA1950A.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43557 Posts
March 14 2019 01:28 GMT
#9757
If it gets cancelled I very much doubt voters will look back in the last two years and say “yeah, let’s do that again”.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
m4ini
Profile Joined February 2014
4215 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-14 01:59:11
March 14 2019 01:56 GMT
#9758
It won't get cancelled (and what Kwark said is the reason for it - this is the only chance for europhobics). I'd bet one of these glasses of piss stella on that one.

I thought that was a very apt description of the House yesterday.

+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
On track to MA1950A.
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4383 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-03-14 09:38:57
March 14 2019 09:36 GMT
#9759
They want a second referendum.
Like i said before the EU cannot allow the UK to actually leave because the EU exports far more to the UK than vice versa so any type of tough bargain would hurt the EU.Any type of favourable economic exit deal makes leaving more viable for other EU nations so they can't have that either.With Germany barely avoiding recession a couple weeks back - last 1/4 GDP print 0.0 with a negative the quarter before.Italy already back in recession now of course.

So it's like Lisbon Treaty in Ireland a decade ago.Keep voting until you give the EU the outcome they want.
Riots will start up soon.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9768 Posts
March 14 2019 09:43 GMT
#9760
On March 14 2019 18:36 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
They want a second referendum.
Like i said before the EU cannot allow the UK to actually leave because the EU exports far more to the UK than vice versa so any type of tough bargain would hurt the EU.Any type of favourable economic exit deal makes leaving more viable for other EU nations so they can't have that either.With Germany barely avoiding recession a couple weeks back - last 1/4 GDP print 0.0 with a negative the quarter before.Italy already back in recession now of course.

So it's like Lisbon Treaty in Ireland a decade ago.Keep voting until you give the EU the outcome they want.
Riots will start up soon.


What are you even talking about?
The EU was absolutely ready to let the UK leave. The EU are still pushing for UK politicians to accept the deal they agreed with May.
Its Parliament that are causing the problems.
Collectively they are acting like a 4 year old kid and just shouting 'no!' at everything you offer them.

The problem here is that Brexit was founded on a delusion and that delusion is being tested now as we get closer to the date. There are no circumstances in which anyone gets the Brexit they want except the EU, and that was always the case.
RIP Meatloaf <3
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