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On July 26 2011 05:59 Gaga wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 05:51 Reyis wrote:On July 26 2011 05:16 Danger_Duck wrote: You guys forget. The US can always print more dollars. No individual European country has the power to make more Euros to appear to pay off their debt every country in the world can print more money. but that wouldnt sort anything. let me tell you, imagine; 1 apple is 5 euro/10 dollars right now in the global market and you have 1 euro only. so you go and print 4 more euros thinking you will have 5 euro in the end and finally manage to buy the apple which will sort your problems but unfortunately its not that simple and wont happen because lets say there are 100 euros around the world and 200 dolars around the world due to 1 apple price in euro/dollar. with printing 4 more euros there will be 104 euro and 200 dolars overall. which means there will be more euros in the market and less dollars, so it makes euro less valuable and dolar more valuable. at the end it turns back to 100 euro and 192 dollars in the values market and 1 apple will cost five-six point something euros/nine point something dollars because of that. you have printed 4 more euros so you can have the 5 euro to buy the apple right? but it costs more than 5 euros now unfortunately so all you have done was pointless basicly. it only made you have more money in your own currency for short term spendings which is by the way is still not letting you buy anything new at all but in the long term you have also ruined everything because your currency lost some value. you lose either way. well on the bright side, you can wipe your ass with that printed out 4 euros. yeah .. if you start to explain monetary policies with apples you wont get anywhere. Printing money does a lot ... the US is doing it a lot right now. unfortunatly the FED who prints the money does lend it to the US state. It buys US Bonds.
surely, printing money does a lot. but it has no help to the governments budget deficit when there are no bonds. and yeah you actually come to my point.
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What's going on in the media and politics right now is nothing more than a bad reality TV show that has the masses enamored with its drama and spectacle. Defaulting is literally impossible.
Exhibit A:
![[image loading]](http://www.intellectualtakeout.org/sites/default/files/Debt%20Ceiling%202000%20to%202011_0.jpeg)
10 years, 10 increases to the debt limit.
Exhibit B:
The fact that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. Government can’t pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government’s reckless fiscal policies. … Increasing America’s debt weakens us domestically and internationally. Leadership means that “the buck stops here.” Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better.
Barack Obama back in 2006.
Either our politicians are horrifically badly informed as to the realities of the theater they work in, or they're just playing the same game while they have us convinced that somehow we have a hand in it. The last thing any American citizen should be doing is putting more money into the hands of these people.
I don't care what your financial situation is, you shouldn't feel like either of the last two administrations, or either of the existing groups of politicians have had your best interests at heart. The moment you give them more money, they just up and spend it before you know what the fuck. Nobody in power in politics today has the balls to think long-term and exercise the restraint necessary to look at that big pile of money without spending it on something that can easily be justified as an 'investment in the future', that just winds up biting us all in the ass, later.
I've only been actively following politics for less than a decade and I'm already utterly disgusted by what I've been witnessing. Unless a bill passes that limits government spending during times of economic prosperity, we're just going to keep digging the hole bigger and bigger. Rome didn't fall in a day.
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I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again.
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On July 26 2011 08:39 jon arbuckle wrote: I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again.
Signed.
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I have an account with US savings. However, the interests seem very low, and I'm scared its value continue to tank compared to Canadian$. Should I just close the account and convert all USD into CAD? Or should I keep it open, assuming that whatever happens, default or not, higher limit or not, I'm still better off with that account open, because eventually it will go higher?
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On July 26 2011 09:12 XenOmega wrote: I have an account with US savings. However, the interests seem very low, and I'm scared its value continue to tank compared to Canadian$. Should I just close the account and convert all USD into CAD? Or should I keep it open, assuming that whatever happens, default or not, higher limit or not, I'm still better off with that account open, because eventually it will go higher?
Probably convert it. The USD is not going to get any stronger any time soon.
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On July 26 2011 08:39 jon arbuckle wrote: I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again.
Yes, good budget control is bad. SPEND SPEND SPEND MORE DEBT WILL MAKE BETTER ECONOMY
In all seriousness, everyone needs to realize that strong changes will need to be made in order to prevent us from going the same way as Greece (but worse of course).
Pull out of foreign wars such as Iraq or Afghanistan, which are huge money suckers.
Increase age limit to social security from 62 to 68. (62 is the earliest age you can begin collecting. Even a small change like this would save).
Cut pet projects and the hundreds of useless social projects that simply bloat the government.
And finally a constitutional amendment for a balanced budget so politicians on BOTH sides have to be sensible.
On July 26 2011 06:14 farvacola wrote:
You drastically underestimate the value of what corporations primarily, and the richest American citizens secondarily, owe the government in terms of ludicrous tax shelters, tax evasions, entitlements, and perhaps most importantly, reduced salaries/employee benefits and job opportunities. Yeah, I always find it strange how the right wing ignores the lost income that results after American businesses ship jobs overseas, in addition to the billions upon billions of dollars worth of additional burden on social services that are a result of either two things: companies cutting insurance policies and benefits, or cutting jobs and moving them elsewhere altogether.
The richest citizens do shelter a lot of money away from the government. But this money is a drop in the bucket compared to what is needed to fix the debt crisis. Even a 100% income tax on all those "mean wealthy upper class" people would hardly solve the solution, it would make it worse in the end.
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On July 26 2011 09:25 xXFireandIceXx wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 09:12 XenOmega wrote: I have an account with US savings. However, the interests seem very low, and I'm scared its value continue to tank compared to Canadian$. Should I just close the account and convert all USD into CAD? Or should I keep it open, assuming that whatever happens, default or not, higher limit or not, I'm still better off with that account open, because eventually it will go higher? Probably convert it. The USD is not going to get any stronger any time soon.
1 U.S. dollar = 0.945099188 Canadian dollars :'( Not even 1 for 1.
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On July 26 2011 09:42 rapidash88 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 08:39 jon arbuckle wrote: I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again. Yes, good budget control is bad. SPEND SPEND SPEND MORE DEBT WILL MAKE BETTER ECONOMY In all seriousness, everyone needs to realize that strong changes will need to be made in order to prevent us from going the same way as Greece (but worse of course). Pull out of foreign wars such as Iraq or Afghanistan, which are huge money suckers. Increase age limit to social security from 62 to 68. (62 is the earliest age you can begin collecting. Even a small change like this would save). Cut pet projects and the hundreds of useless social projects that simply bloat the government. And finally a constitutional amendment for a balanced budget so politicians on BOTH sides have to be sensible. Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 06:14 farvacola wrote:
You drastically underestimate the value of what corporations primarily, and the richest American citizens secondarily, owe the government in terms of ludicrous tax shelters, tax evasions, entitlements, and perhaps most importantly, reduced salaries/employee benefits and job opportunities. Yeah, I always find it strange how the right wing ignores the lost income that results after American businesses ship jobs overseas, in addition to the billions upon billions of dollars worth of additional burden on social services that are a result of either two things: companies cutting insurance policies and benefits, or cutting jobs and moving them elsewhere altogether.
The richest citizens do shelter a lot of money away from the government. But this money is a drop in the bucket compared to what is needed to fix the debt crisis. Even a 100% income tax on all those "mean wealthy upper class" people would hardly solve the solution, it would make it worse in the end. You are ignoring the bulk of my post.
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On July 26 2011 05:51 Reyis wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 05:16 Danger_Duck wrote: You guys forget. The US can always print more dollars. No individual European country has the power to make more Euros to appear to pay off their debt every country in the world can print more money. but that wouldnt sort anything. let me tell you, imagine; 1 apple is 5 euro/10 dollars right now in the global market and you have 1 euro only. so you go and print 4 more euros thinking you will have 5 euro in the end and finally manage to buy the apple which will sort your problems but unfortunately its not that simple and wont happen because lets say there are 100 euros around the world and 200 dolars around the world due to 1 apple price in euro/dollar. with printing 4 more euros there will be 104 euro and 200 dolars overall. which means there will be more euros in the market and less dollars, so it makes euro less valuable and dolar more valuable. at the end it turns back to 100 euro and 192 dollars in the values market and 1 apple will cost five-six point something euros/nine point something dollars because of that. you have printed 4 more euros so you can have the 5 euro to buy the apple right? but it costs more than 5 euros now unfortunately so all you have done was pointless basicly. it only made you have more money in your own currency for short term spendings which is by the way is still not letting you buy anything new at all but in the long term you have also ruined everything because your currency lost some value. you lose either way. well on the bright side, you can wipe your ass with that printed out 4 euros.
Horrible example. Sure the price of something to be bought in the future will go up. But as far as US debts go, they are at a fixed price in USD. Hypothetically speaking we could just hyperinflate our way out of debt to the point where your apple costs $50 trillion. Guess what? Our debt will still be stuck at $14 trillion.
Obviously the rest of the world wouldn't be happy with that though. They'll get their $14 trillion, but they won't be able to buy jack shit with it.
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On July 26 2011 09:42 rapidash88 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 08:39 jon arbuckle wrote: I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again. Yes, good budget control is bad. SPEND SPEND SPEND MORE DEBT WILL MAKE BETTER ECONOMY In all seriousness, everyone needs to realize that strong changes will need to be made in order to prevent us from going the same way as Greece (but worse of course). Pull out of foreign wars such as Iraq or Afghanistan, which are huge money suckers. Increase age limit to social security from 62 to 68. (62 is the earliest age you can begin collecting. Even a small change like this would save). Cut pet projects and the hundreds of useless social projects that simply bloat the government. And finally a constitutional amendment for a balanced budget so politicians on BOTH sides have to be sensible.
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On July 26 2011 09:49 farvacola wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 09:42 rapidash88 wrote:On July 26 2011 08:39 jon arbuckle wrote: I hope Ron Paul falls off a cliff while chasing a roadrunner and is never heard from again. Yes, good budget control is bad. SPEND SPEND SPEND MORE DEBT WILL MAKE BETTER ECONOMY In all seriousness, everyone needs to realize that strong changes will need to be made in order to prevent us from going the same way as Greece (but worse of course). Pull out of foreign wars such as Iraq or Afghanistan, which are huge money suckers. Increase age limit to social security from 62 to 68. (62 is the earliest age you can begin collecting. Even a small change like this would save). Cut pet projects and the hundreds of useless social projects that simply bloat the government. And finally a constitutional amendment for a balanced budget so politicians on BOTH sides have to be sensible. On July 26 2011 06:14 farvacola wrote:
You drastically underestimate the value of what corporations primarily, and the richest American citizens secondarily, owe the government in terms of ludicrous tax shelters, tax evasions, entitlements, and perhaps most importantly, reduced salaries/employee benefits and job opportunities. Yeah, I always find it strange how the right wing ignores the lost income that results after American businesses ship jobs overseas, in addition to the billions upon billions of dollars worth of additional burden on social services that are a result of either two things: companies cutting insurance policies and benefits, or cutting jobs and moving them elsewhere altogether.
The richest citizens do shelter a lot of money away from the government. But this money is a drop in the bucket compared to what is needed to fix the debt crisis. Even a 100% income tax on all those "mean wealthy upper class" people would hardly solve the solution, it would make it worse in the end. You are ignoring the bulk of my post.
On July 26 2011 06:14 farvacola wrote:
You drastically underestimate the value of what corporations primarily, and the richest American citizens secondarily, owe the government in terms of ludicrous tax shelters, tax evasions, entitlements, and perhaps most importantly, reduced salaries/employee benefits and job opportunities. Yeah, I always find it strange how the right wing ignores the lost income that results after American businesses ship jobs overseas, in addition to the billions upon billions of dollars worth of additional burden on social services that are a result of either two things: companies cutting insurance policies and benefits, or cutting jobs and moving them elsewhere altogether.
The broken dynamic of the health insurance situation alone costs the government so much in terms of spending, and yet, the right wing insists that instead of addressing the actual issue of effectively "fixing" healthcare in America they simply want to cut everything, as though the problems then go away? Expect uncovered emergency room visits to skyrocket the moment medicare/medicaid gets cut, expect earlier deaths and increases in uncovered elderly healthcare costs as people are forced to work longer for less due to cuts in social security, and expect the gradual dissolution of the middle class, as the rich get richer and the poor get poorer due to weakened federal policies and influence.
I'm not denying health care is broken in this country. But the global climate right now does not bode well for a European style socialist Health Care system. European countries have been forced to cut back and in a country as large as ours, that type of system would be simply disasterous.
Businesses ship jobs overseas and the easy solution for it is sharp tarrifs. If they chose to ship jobs overseas, then our government will make money on the importation. If they move jobs here, we have jobs at home now.
As for the buisneses right now, its their decision for what they chose to do with their companies. Call them evil all you want, but trying to catch the big bad corporations is hardly going to solve the economic issues or the debt issues.
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Since everybody else is talking out of their ass about things that they don't know about, I will too.
Here's a simple solution to fix the debt and the fucking economy and at the same time save bajillions on paper work.
a) all income, whether it be wage-based, capital gains, or whatever, is classified as one thing: income. b) You are allowed to keep up to some amount (let's say 20%) of your income tax free provided it is invested or put into a bank or something along those lines. c) the rest of your income is taxed at, let's say, 35% straight, unless you spend it. So your typical person will keep 20% of their income in the bank (whether it be 20% of 10k or 10 mil or whatever) and spend the rest of it on stuff. Stuff will be taxed at a much lower rate-10% or less, but because I'm bad at math and lazy I'm not going to say exactly how much.
Now let's assume that people value stuff as much as they value money. Which is to say they value whatever crap they buy at $100 to be worth as much as $100 to them. This would make sense as generally you buy crap that you need. Firstly, because income = income, and isn't subdivided into god knows what, we can just straight up take GDP as income. So in the case of the US I'm being lazy and saying we have 10 trillion in GDP annually. We'll also use a very, very basic formula to model growth in GDP-namely, GDP of next year = GDP of this year - government taxes + investment of this year. And finally, government revenue is equal to, of course, government taxes. Which is, in turn, tax rate *GDP. We're assuming interest rate is 0, because, well, it is 0 right now, ain't it?
So because people have no interest in taking a 35% tax rate when they can get away with a 10% tax rate, they'll spend their money. All but 20% of it, because 0% tax rate is better than 10%. So investment will be 2 trillion. Taxes will be 10% of 80% of GDP, so 800 billion (By comparison, our current tax revenue is about 2 trillion.). Therefore, growth in the economy is 1.2 trillion. In other words, the economy is growing by 12% annually, compared to a recent high of 7%-and that was fueled by a bubble.
Let's see how long it takes for growth in the economy to reach equilibrium-namely, the 2 trillion in tax revenue vs. the 800 billion we have now. It'd require GDP to be 20 trillion, which at 12% growth gives us about... holy crap, 6 years. So with my crappy overly simplistic uneducated plan, we'd greatly simplify the tax system, slash income taxes by effectively two-thirds, increase consumer spending to 72% of GDP, have an equal tax revenue to what we have now, oh yeah, and double the size of the fucking economy. And all we have to do is borrow our way for the next 6 or 7 years (+ interest). Unless, of course, we simply cut military budgets, social programs, unemployment (which, with the economy growing as fast as 12%, shouldn't be an issue) and etc.
The upper class will be happy, because they get to potentially keep all of their money at a huge tax premium, while at the same time being able to buy whatever the fuck they want. The middle class will be happy, because they can pay college tuition with money that's being taxed at 10% instead of 30+payroll. And the lower class will be happy, because they spend all their money anyways on goods, and more importantly more jobs will be created. The only people that won't be happy will be foreign governments, the military, and politicians. And to be honest, they deserve to be cut loose.
See? I can come up with ways to sound smart by talking about the debt and economy despite not knowing what the fuck i'm talking about either.
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This image is from a book by Joseph Stiglitz, an admittedly liberal economist, but does a good job showing just how much more we've spent in Iraq and Afghanistan than we would otherwise. You are substantially underestimating the expense involved in fighting two wars halfway around the world.
That image is hilarious, $200-$300 billion a year is a joke to blame the skyrocketing debt on. Meanwhile the yearly deficit is approaching $2 trillion dollars. The wars are 10% or less of that cost. And the wars have been a decreasing in spending amount for several years now, at least Iraq. George Bush at one point in 2007 had deficit spending down to about $150 billion a month.
Anytime you hear or read someone ranting about how it's military spending that is a huge problem, you can safely assume that they do not know what they are talking about. Including Secretary Gates. It's time to stop acting like a few hundred billion and a few trillion are comparable; they are not. Adding $300 billion to the debt every year, no one cares. The US can do that until doomsday without trouble. Adding 1.5-2 trillion a year? No. Sorry.
Time for people to acknowledge that even with the wars about 2/3 of yearly government spending is entitlements and less than 10% on "the wars," and another 20% or so on maintaining the military in general, hmm I wonder what I should be focusing on to cut, the things I spend over 60% of my spending on, or the things I spend 20% of it on, or the things I spend 10% of it on. I wonder, what should be my main focus. Maybe someone can help me out, because I keep reading people whine about the wars and the military, I don't understand how going from 1.6 trillion yearly deficits to 1.4 or 1.3 is going to be much of a difference.
It may be ideologically convenient to complain about military spending but it does nothing to address the issue of the US debt. It's just another excuse for people who are against military spending for non-fiscal reasons to trot out their tired old gut the military arguments. I'm all for not expanding combat to a new country every six months or so like Obama has been doing, but I am not for mindlessly cutting military spending just because some people say we "have to" when there are about ten other items that should be much much much higher priority to cut.
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Blah, Governor Jerry Brown signed the Dream Act. Hooray for giving money to illegal immigrants that can go to California colleges when our own student citizens can barely afford it.
I feel like I am just paying to increase our debt now...
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Obama's speech is an absolute disgrace. A president should never use this kind of televised speech for purely partisan purposes. He even repeated the lie about social security checks not going out if we default. This guy is such a joke and an embarassment to the country.
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On July 26 2011 07:36 sunprince wrote:Show nested quote +On July 26 2011 04:41 xDaunt wrote: Can we finally just admit and accept that democrats simply haven't offered any meaningful spending cuts? The problem is that they are not politically in a position to do so, the same way that the Republicans cannot politically afford to offer meaningful revenue increases. The simple fact of the matter is that the budget deficit can only be meaningfully closed by a combination of cutting the major entitlement programs (Medicare especially, but also Social Security/Medicaid) and raising taxes (closing corporate loopholes, taxing capital gains, top bracket increases). Unfortunately, both ends are poltical third rails, and the Democrats represent interests that would kick them out of office if they cut entitltements significantly, the same way that Republicans represent interests that kick them out if they raise taxes significantly. So what both parties are effectively doing is engaging in a chest-thumping game, so that when the compromises are finally made, both sides can tell their constituents that they tried their best to fight for their interests and deserve to be re-elected despite technically losing ground. I have little faith in democracy in general, but I trust that politicians are looking out for their own self-interest. While this does mean that they won't let America slide into economic ruin, it also means that they will draw out the prevention process as long as possible in the pursuit of political gain.
I agree that the democrats are politically compromised on this issue. But again, the basic dynamics of this situation dictate that they are the ones who are going to have to appear to cave. Raising taxes won't even come close to fixing the US's fiscal house. Only severe spending cuts are going to do it.
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He even repeated the lie about social security checks not going out if we default.
Yeah it's a disgrace, the Executive Branch will get to pick and choose what bills to pay if the debt ceiling is not raised.
If a debt deal is not reached and social security and other entitlement checks do not go out, the responsibility for that will be Barack Obama's. There's no law that says you can't use the revenue you are still getting from taxes and other sources to pay entitlements. It's entirely up to him. He could say "Treasury, pay absolutely no other bills until those Social Security checks are cleared" and that's the way it would be, but instead he's fearmongering.
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On July 26 2011 10:15 DeepElemBlues wrote:Show nested quote +He even repeated the lie about social security checks not going out if we default. Yeah it's a disgrace, the Executive Branch will get to pick and choose what bills to pay if the debt ceiling is not raised. If a debt deal is not reached and social security and other entitlement checks do not go out, the responsibility for that will be Barack Obama's. There's no law that says you can't use the revenue you are still getting from taxes and other sources to pay entitlements. It's entirely up to him. He could say "Treasury, pay absolutely no other bills until those Social Security checks are cleared" and that's the way it would be, but instead he's fearmongering.
It's a lie because there's $2.4 trillion in a special trust fund held by the treasury that exists solely to pay social security checks when there's a current account deficit in the social security program (ie, a default). In short, there's a shitton of money there for paying social security obligations.
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On July 26 2011 10:00 Caller wrote: Since everybody else is talking out of their ass about things that they don't know about, I will too.
Here's a simple solution to fix the debt and the fucking economy and at the same time save bajillions on paper work.
a) all income, whether it be wage-based, capital gains, or whatever, is classified as one thing: income. b) You are allowed to keep up to some amount (let's say 20%) of your income tax free provided it is invested or put into a bank or something along those lines. c) the rest of your income is taxed at, let's say, 35% straight, unless you spend it. So your typical person will keep 20% of their income in the bank (whether it be 20% of 10k or 10 mil or whatever) and spend the rest of it on stuff. Stuff will be taxed at a much lower rate-10% or less, but because I'm bad at math and lazy I'm not going to say exactly how much.
Now let's assume that people value stuff as much as they value money. Which is to say they value whatever crap they buy at $100 to be worth as much as $100 to them. This would make sense as generally you buy crap that you need. Firstly, because income = income, and isn't subdivided into god knows what, we can just straight up take GDP as income. So in the case of the US I'm being lazy and saying we have 10 trillion in GDP annually. We'll also use a very, very basic formula to model growth in GDP-namely, GDP of next year = GDP of this year - government taxes + investment of this year. And finally, government revenue is equal to, of course, government taxes. Which is, in turn, tax rate *GDP. We're assuming interest rate is 0, because, well, it is 0 right now, ain't it?
So because people have no interest in taking a 35% tax rate when they can get away with a 10% tax rate, they'll spend their money. All but 20% of it, because 0% tax rate is better than 10%. So investment will be 2 trillion. Taxes will be 10% of 80% of GDP, so 800 billion (By comparison, our current tax revenue is about 2 trillion.). Therefore, growth in the economy is 1.2 trillion. In other words, the economy is growing by 12% annually, compared to a recent high of 7%-and that was fueled by a bubble.
Let's see how long it takes for growth in the economy to reach equilibrium-namely, the 2 trillion in tax revenue vs. the 800 billion we have now. It'd require GDP to be 20 trillion, which at 12% growth gives us about... holy crap, 6 years. So with my crappy overly simplistic uneducated plan, we'd greatly simplify the tax system, slash income taxes by effectively two-thirds, increase consumer spending to 72% of GDP, have an equal tax revenue to what we have now, oh yeah, and double the size of the fucking economy. And all we have to do is borrow our way for the next 6 or 7 years (+ interest). Unless, of course, we simply cut military budgets, social programs, unemployment (which, with the economy growing as fast as 12%, shouldn't be an issue) and etc.
The upper class will be happy, because they get to potentially keep all of their money at a huge tax premium, while at the same time being able to buy whatever the fuck they want. The middle class will be happy, because they can pay college tuition with money that's being taxed at 10% instead of 30+payroll. And the lower class will be happy, because they spend all their money anyways on goods, and more importantly more jobs will be created. The only people that won't be happy will be foreign governments, the military, and politicians. And to be honest, they deserve to be cut loose.
See? I can come up with ways to sound smart by talking about the debt and economy despite not knowing what the fuck i'm talking about either.
At least you recognize how horrid your concept of economics is.
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