US Politics Mega-thread - Page 888
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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please. In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up! NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action. | ||
oneofthem
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
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xDaunt
United States17988 Posts
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Jormundr
United States1678 Posts
On February 20 2014 09:12 xDaunt wrote: At $50k per year in a reasonable suburban or even metropolitan environment, you can definitely survive, but you're not living high on the hog at all. You have minimal disposable income, and saving for retirement is difficult. And let's not even talking about finding the money to make a down payment on a house. http://money.cnn.com/2013/09/17/news/economy/poverty-income/ Welcome to America. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
On February 20 2014 07:21 Nyxisto wrote: Democrats are a good party if you want to call the other guys the party of the rich. That is, it's a great party for envy. The Obamacare rollout has hurt their image as the 'party of smart,' but only a little. Obama's sagging popularity heralds a return to politics as usual, not a reformed political system with a new kind of president.What I basically want to say is that there is a very huge group of 'ordinary people' that are part of an eroding working class that have not benefited from the economical changes of the last few decades. The democrats seem like a good party for well educated academics and the Republicans seem to be a great choice for an oil tycoon. But there's an insanely large group of people that have basically fallen off the political grid. Only 58% percent of people who could have voted in the last presidential election actually did. I don't know why people are obsessing over some swing states when there is a giant group of people that's not even voting for anyone. Problem is these people are not going to vote for stupid laissez - faire policies or supply side economics that are going to hurt them even more, so if the GOP wants to win over some of these people they'd probably have to over-think their ideological position. As much as Democrats have damaged themselves lately, Republicans have hurt their brand more. It's more and more clear they're more interested in damaging tea party candidates in primaries than opposing the Democrats. Of course political participation is falling ... neither party rallies more support to their cause. Your vote becomes more meaningless when neither party represents a change from today's status quo. All the Republicans have going for them is Cruz, Sessions, Lee, Paul, and a handful of others. You can't even trust a reversal of current policies if Republicans win back the Senate and hold the House, giving how much spending and bloat was accomplished in the Bush years. | ||
Mercy13
United States718 Posts
On February 20 2014 05:46 Introvert wrote: I don't know to what iron you are referring. He challenged Ford and lost (but not by much, considering it was the sitting president!) and then came back after the sucky Carter years and won two of the most massive landslides in history. Will a 49 state win happen again? No, but the point is that it can be done. My point was that A) a conservative can actually get the nomination, and B) that the Republican's need to hold on to some sort of principle. Obviously the mere fact that most Americans are not liberals doesn't help at all unless you can make the people vote for you. The Republican's talk tough and then give up. They keep picking moderate Republicans that NO ONE is excited to vote for. Funny. But contrary to popular belief, conservatives don't care where you were born (so long as you are a citizen and thus able to run, that is!). I've never understood the conservative fascination with Reagan. I'm not going to opine on whether he was a good president or not, but his policies certainly don't seem in line with what "true conservatives" want these days: Federal outlays (total spending) rose by 40 percent under Reagan’s first four budgets (fiscal year 1985 vs. Carter’s last budget for fiscal 1981). That was two-and-a-half times faster than the rate of inflation, which rose 16 percent during the same period, as measured by the Consumer Price Index. And far from cutting debt, Reagan borrowed more heavily than previous presidents. In Reagan’s first term, debt owed to the public increased by nearly 91 percent by the end of fiscal year 1985, compared with what it had been at the end of Carter’s fiscal 1981. Source Increasing spending during rough economic times to offset decreases in consumer demand seems reasonable to me, but that's not what the GOP has been supporting lately. | ||
Danglars
United States12133 Posts
The Republican establishment in his time is just as whiny as they are today. Reagan first had to fight them before the Democrats. He talked directly to the people, gathered popular support, and forced the GOP regulars to get behind him. He beat them on the strength of his ideas explained to the American public, not by groveling to establishment types (Bush Sr was one example) or by preaching compromise with Democrats (for the Carter policies had to be undone). You'd have to look back to Coolidge to see another of his conviction, and maybe we'll have to look forward another 20 to 30 years if history is any predictor. Amongst conservatives also, there is belief that had he not had to fight and win the Cold War, the focus could've been on reducing government spending and cutting taxes/encouraging growth. Can't focus and build support for everything at all times. | ||
Mercy13
United States718 Posts
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Introvert
United States4748 Posts
On February 20 2014 13:50 Mercy13 wrote: Okay... but he allowed spending to rise, which is completely anathema to conservatives today. "allowed" is an odd word to use. But was he perfect? No. The reason I brought him up, apart from the record that we could delve into some other time, is that A) people said he couldn't win B) he had to fight the establishment, and C) he was able to communicate his ideas and get people behind him. That's why I brought him up. He had to deal with a democratic house his entire presidency. And let me say, Tip O'Neill was no John Boehner. Tip fought for what he wanted, helped shut down the government multiple times, and attached irrelevant things to debt ceilings and budgets. Sound familiar? When the democrats aren't whining about it, they're doing it. If I recall correctly, under Reagan domestic spending saw either a decrease or almost no increase in his 8 years (in terms of GDP %). Most of the large spending came from dems in the House and his military spending. Reagan even wanted to get rid of the DOE, but couldn't- his own party was against it. So he wasn't perfect (his stance and actions on gun control are unfortunate), but the point is that he actual got in with a solid conservative message and did his darnedest to achieve conservative goals. besides that, he was 10x better for the American people than Carter, who was rightly viewed as weak and demoralizing. | ||
Mindcrime
United States6899 Posts
On February 20 2014 14:03 Introvert wrote: besides that, he was 10x better for the American people than Carter, who was rightly viewed as weak and demoralizing. Yeah, remember that time 241 servicemen were killed in Lebanon and and our weak president invaded Grenada in response? Oh wait | ||
Cainam
United States421 Posts
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Mercy13
United States718 Posts
On February 20 2014 14:03 Introvert wrote: "allowed" is an odd word to use. But was he perfect? No. The reason I brought him up, apart from the record that we could delve into some other time, is that A) people said he couldn't win B) he had to fight the establishment, and C) he was able to communicate his ideas and get people behind him. That's why I brought him up. He had to deal with a democratic house his entire presidency. And let me say, Tip O'Neill was no John Boehner. Tip fought for what he wanted, helped shut down the government multiple times, and attached irrelevant things to debt ceilings and budgets. Sound familiar? When the democrats aren't whining about it, they're doing it. If I recall correctly, under Reagan domestic spending saw either a decrease or almost no increase in his 8 years (in terms of GDP %). Most of the large spending came from dems in the House and his military spending. Reagan even wanted to get rid of the DOE, but couldn't- his own party was against it. So he wasn't perfect (his stance and actions on gun control are unfortunate), but the point is that he actual got in with a solid conservative message and did his darnedest to achieve conservative goals. besides that, he was 10x better for the American people than Carter, who was rightly viewed as weak and demoralizing. Why is allowed an odd word to use? It just seems odd to me that conservatives hold a president in such reverence who compromised with Democrats on multiple occasions and presided over a period of increasing deficits and spending. I cannot see the current conservative champions such as Cruz supporting either of those things, whatever the circumstances. | ||
ArTiFaKs
United States1229 Posts
On February 15 2014 22:33 JonnyBNoHo wrote: That's a trivial point though. The incentive to make society worse by having more prisoners is way to small to move the needle in any decision making process. Public prisons involve people with a vested interest in keeping the number of prisoners high as well. Police officers have a vested interest in keeping crime high. Just because an interest exists doesn't make it a relevant factor. That comparison doesn't really work at all. Police officers are city paid employee's, their salary is paid by the tax payers. For-profit prisons trade their stocks on wall-street based on the number of prisoners they currently have incarcerated. That's a huge incentive when you think about it. Especially since there are a very small number of companies who specialize in this sort of thing, and they are expanding to different states all over the country (as far as I know, unless there's been a huge boom in the for-profit prison industry recently). As for Police officers have incentive for crime rates to stay high, this isn't actually true at all either. The Police Commissioners and high ranking officials are pressured by government officials to keep arrest rates high, crime rates steady, basically not rising. Crime is always going to be there, it might not be the high-profile crime or anything like that. But since 9/11 law-enforcement on the local level's has been getting massive, massive funding from the government. So they are pressured to use that funding and actually turn in results. That's why you actually have the New York Commissioner of Police cracking down on Jay-Walking. This isn't really a crime that is deemed a "threat to society", but since practically stopping every person that jay-walks, this will sooner or later lead to a more serious crime that you wouldn't of otherwise found, for instance a fire-arm, or drug possession. There is massive incentive due to civil-asset forfeiture laws to keep drugs illegal, because that is a huge influx of cash and funding to these local departments, and without it there really isn't any need for a militarized police force on the local levels. The incentive for police is not to keep crime-rates high, but to ensure that things that are viewed and currently illegal, stay illegal, while constantly trying to enforce petty crimes, and continue lobbying for more and more activities to become illegal. This by proxy, might look as keeping crime rates high, but that would look bad for them, the higher ranking officials, and give citizens something to bitch about. So there is actually incentive to low ball crime rates, while continuing to prosecute lesser, more petty crimes. That's why you see rape cases, murder cases, etc get way less time, man-power or whatever then drug cases and petty speeding tickets, traffic violations etc etc. Honestly there is 0 incentive for them to have less prisoners, like literally there is none. And you check out the backgrounds of these companies and it's all shady as fuck. Really the Law-Enforcement and For-Profit Prison system go hand in hand, they need to crack down on petty crime, for profit prisons are happy to take any prisoner they can get, increasing stock prices by doing so. Win-Win. | ||
ArTiFaKs
United States1229 Posts
On February 20 2014 14:22 Cainam wrote: Is it possible that we're heading towards a place where a third party could rise up? So many people are in a place where neither current party really represents their interests. In the current system it's almost impossible for a 3rd party to get in on the action. The 2 major parties control the TV-Debate system, and the media outlets today won't pay them any attention whatsoever because of the sad fact that the corporations that own them are almost always committed to one party or the other, giving them incentive to just ignore a 3rd party candidate. We saw this with Ron Paul in 2012, he was practically ignored by the mainstream media, even during the debates he was hardly ever seen or talked about afterwards. And he was even running on the Republican ticket if I remember correctly, after running as an independent the election previous (as far as I remember, I could be wrong). But the system is basically controlled every step of the way by the 2 major parties, and it would take a miracle for a 3rd party or Independent to actually have a chance on election day. They would need to be the perfect candidate, have shit-loads of money already so as to not have to worry about that, and basically pay shit-loads of money to news outlets to run his shit, and be tech-savvy enough to basically flood the internet with his shit as well. My only hope for an Independent is the Internet, but "they" are already trying to get that under control for the next election so I doubt that will even last. Not to mention the 2 party system is so ingrained in everybody's psyche in the US that it's almost impossible to see enough people breaking from party lines and voting for someone who actually lines up with their interests or ideals in the first place. Although, the 2 parties just lie their ass off to make it seem like they align with people's ideals and interests so I'm kindof shutting down my own ideas while I type them. I basically have no faith that anything is going to work out until we actually set up term limits, basically eliminating the process of re-election for every government office. If anyone is looking for a pretty good political commentator check out Dan Carlin's "Common Sense" podcast, he does a good job touching on a lot of subjects and current events in the US political sphere. And this isn't even touching on how actually running without a major-party backing is almost impossible in the first place unless you are a career politician these days, the process of actually getting your name on a ballot is just absurd, and ensures that there isn't a lot of turn-over in the system, and the powers-that-be know exactly everyone they are dealing with. Just research the process of getting yourself into an election, even the House of Reps or local stuff, it's ridiculous and pretty much requires a team of lawyers and shitload of money. | ||
Simberto
Germany11507 Posts
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zlefin
United States7689 Posts
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Adreme
United States5574 Posts
On February 20 2014 11:30 Danglars wrote: Democrats are a good party if you want to call the other guys the party of the rich. That is, it's a great party for envy. The Obamacare rollout has hurt their image as the 'party of smart,' but only a little. Obama's sagging popularity heralds a return to politics as usual, not a reformed political system with a new kind of president. As much as Democrats have damaged themselves lately, Republicans have hurt their brand more. It's more and more clear they're more interested in damaging tea party candidates in primaries than opposing the Democrats. Of course political participation is falling ... neither party rallies more support to their cause. Your vote becomes more meaningless when neither party represents a change from today's status quo. All the Republicans have going for them is Cruz, Sessions, Lee, Paul, and a handful of others. You can't even trust a reversal of current policies if Republicans win back the Senate and hold the House, giving how much spending and bloat was accomplished in the Bush years. "Party of the rich" becomes more then a line when the budget said party proposes cuts taxes even more for them despite the fact that the rich are the only group doing well right now. You are the party of the rich when you vote to keep oil subsidies companies testified they don't need that cost more then the unemployment insurance you voted to stop extending. You can call what they other side is doing envy but over 30 years we did an experiment of trickle down economics where the rich were allowed to pay far less in taxes then ever before and the theory was it would trickle down to the rest of us. The end result was of course that that did not happen and that while the middle class and poor kept there wages stagnant the income of the rich exploded in a way that had not happened in the years before. Thinking that somehow America was not a failed state before the 1980s and wanting to go back to a system that seemed to serve the middle class better before then is not exactly envy but looking at the facts of how things were then to how they are now and going "we screwed up somewhere" | ||
Introvert
United States4748 Posts
On February 20 2014 14:23 Mercy13 wrote: Why is allowed an odd word to use? It just seems odd to me that conservatives hold a president in such reverence who compromised with Democrats on multiple occasions and presided over a period of increasing deficits and spending. I cannot see the current conservative champions such as Cruz supporting either of those things, whatever the circumstances. It's confusing to you because the common propaganda line is that the Tea Party is against compromise (nevermind it was Obama who said "I will not compromise"). Reagan had the fortitude to fight and actually make real gains. Could he accomplish everything? No. But you can only do so much, especially considering the cold war. He made deals, but unlike today's Republicans, he actually got something from them. The modern republican party just throws a hissy fit then gives Obama 90% of what he wants. It's called the "era of Reagan" for a reason. He did as much as he could. Were Cruz to become president, he wouldn't be able to undo 100 years of progressive garbage, but he could at least slow the advance. I already explained the deficit to you. He held domestic spending relatively constant while (re)building the military. He made deals to get as much as he could. He did admit, however that his greatest regret after 8 years was the debt. But under his term the economy expanded so quickly that by the 90s there wasn't much of it left. [Edit: NOT what sub40 says. Actually the opposite lolool] Reagan could afford it because of the economic gains. The debt we have now is not his debt, for the most part. TL;DR he did what he could, as is evidenced by the way the left hates him, while their politicians simultaneously try to claim him. | ||
Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On February 20 2014 15:45 Adreme wrote: "Party of the rich" becomes more then a line when the budget said party proposes cuts taxes even more for them despite the fact that the rich are the only group doing well right now. You are the party of the rich when you vote to keep oil subsidies companies testified they don't need that cost more then the unemployment insurance you voted to stop extending. You can call what they other side is doing envy but over 30 years we did an experiment of trickle down economics where the rich were allowed to pay far less in taxes then ever before and the theory was it would trickle down to the rest of us. The end result was of course that that did not happen and that while the middle class and poor kept there wages stagnant the income of the rich exploded in a way that had not happened in the years before. Thinking that somehow America was not a failed state before the 1980s and wanting to go back to a system that seemed to serve the middle class better before then is not exactly envy but looking at the facts of how things were then to how they are now and going "we screwed up somewhere" First off, people need to stop equating 'rich' with 'fascist'. Not every rich person gets their's on the dole from the taxpayer, and secondly, people need to get off the greed and envy train and start focusing on the ethics of HOW people make their money, not said fact people may have more or less money than others (in other words, start being more libertarian and less communist). This isn't even touching your point about pre-1980's. Something tells me you don't want to slash the CFR in half. Now, on to the common myth that the GOP is the 'party of the rich' and the democrats are the 'party of the poor'. Both parties are parties of and for the Oligopoly, and guess what, you're not invited. They may throw some scraps your way to keep you dependent and keep themselves in power, but first and foremost, their priorities are of themselves, and their crony friends. They could give two shits about the average person. The only people who've really cared for the average person have been Classical Liberals (libertarians) going all the way back to the Anti-Corn League fellows in Cobden and Bright, and the french folks like Bastiat, Dunoyer, Condorcet, and Charles Comte (and Americans like Ron Paul, Howard Buffett, Anti-Imperialist League, etc.). Democrats are just as in tow to the MIC, to subsidies via GE, Chrysler, etc. It seems to me people who spout this line obviously have some cognitive dissonance going on as they in the same breath will argue for more money to be given to these supra-national Corporations. Now, if we wanted to go back to the most period of growth for the 'middle class' in America, we'd have to go back to 1880 to 1905 (for ex. per capita income rose over 50% during this time and standard of living exploded). Of course, that was Pre-Income Tax, pre-95% of Government we have today, and that is just nonbo for so many Americans today unfortunately. We also didn't have the Federal Reserve at the time, and oh-so-many other lovely crap handed to us via the Progressive Era (goes without saying Obama loves following Wilsonian authoritarianism just like Bush!). Anyways, the point is that neither party represents some ridiculous mantra of 'poor' and 'rich', in some constant flux of battle and positioning. If you had a more objective viewpoint you'd see that both parties are about the .05% and THEMSELVES. Guess which area in the country has the highest per capita GDP? The highest income? It's fucking DC and surrounding suburbs. Guess who are some of the richest people in the US? It's the same people tied to Government corruption, the Federal Reserve, and all its other shenanigans. You can't use this tool that these people use to make 'good'. Government at its best is intolerable, unethical, and abused. Those who are attracted to power will always use this institution to their advantage over those who are either far-too removed to do so themselves, or people who have ethics always get screwed (e.g. the average person). It's no different today than the Monarchy days when guilds and other plutocratic constituencies like the EITC used Government for their own personal gain because Government is the monopoly on law, power, and force and it can be harnessed to extract your property and liberties. At least socialists like Orwell and Franz Oppenheimer understood this. Today's socialists and commies are fools - used by Fascist tools like GE and the MIC. You can't even see the Welfare State as used to keep the poor docile, dependent, and servile. Ending the Welfare State would go a lot farther in getting these people to finally wake up and maybe do something about their induced poverty via Government and its cronies. | ||
Sub40APM
6336 Posts
On February 20 2014 15:55 Introvert wrote: I am going to skip the editorializing for the most part because I accept that sometimes people just disagree but you know, some of the statements you make can be verified factually with just literally a second of googling: But under his term the economy expanded so quickly that by the 90s there wasn't much of it left. [Edit: NOT what sub40 says. Actually the opposite lolool] In 1980, Debt to GDP is approximately 20%. In 1988 its over 50%. In 1992 its over 60%. T Clinton knocked it down to a level Reagan. | ||
Wegandi
United States2455 Posts
On February 20 2014 15:55 Introvert wrote: It's confusing to you because the common propaganda line is that the Tea Party is against compromise (nevermind it was Obama who said "I will not compromise"). Reagan had the fortitude to fight and actually make real gains. Could he accomplish everything? No. But you can only do so much, especially considering the cold war. He made deals, but unlike today's Republicans, he actually got something from them. The modern republican party just throws a hissy fit then gives Obama 90% of what he wants. It's called the "era of Reagan" for a reason. He did as much as he could. Were Cruz to become president, he wouldn't be able to undo 100 years of progressive garbage, but he could at least slow the advance. I already explained the deficit to you. He held domestic spending relatively constant while (re)building the military. He made deals to get as much as he could. He did admit, however that his greatest regret after 8 years was the debt. But under his term the economy expanded so quickly that by the 90s there wasn't much of it left. [Edit: NOT what sub40 says. Actually the opposite lolool] Reagan could afford it because of the economic gains. The debt we have now is not his debt, for the most part. TL;DR he did what he could, as is evidenced by the way the left hates him, while their politicians simultaneously try to claim him. Reagan was a buffoon. He expanded the size, scope, and power of DC more than Carter did...never mind his bellicose foreign policy (at least he had the decency to pull out of Lebanon). I think Murray does a superb job: http://archive.lewrockwell.com/rothbard/rothbard60.html Has the Reagan Administration done nothing good in its eight ghastly years on earth, you might ask? Yes, it has done one good thing; it has repealed the despotic 55-mile-per-hour highway speed limit. And that is it. So, that about sums it up. Which frankly makes the other posters prop about 'laissez-faire' or whatever post-1980 pretty laughable. How many times must we hear this out-right lie time and time again. | ||
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