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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 7753

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12070 Posts
June 04 2017 04:41 GMT
#155041
On June 04 2017 09:07 LegalLord wrote:
Well maybe it was the idea of a ban that just scared em off and convinced them to go attack Europe instead?


What are you talking about, of course they stopped attacking you because Trump is now saying "radical islamic terrorism" and Obama wasn't.
"It is capitalism that is incentivizing me to lazily explain this to you while at work because I am not rewarded for generating additional value."
Karis Vas Ryaar
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States4396 Posts
June 04 2017 04:45 GMT
#155042
On June 04 2017 13:05 On_Slaught wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 10:37 Plansix wrote:
How to lose a Supreme Court challenge in a single tweet:



Epic failure and ignorance. Wonder how the acting solicitor general geeks about this. Honestly I don't think they will even take the case at this point.


they should reject it unanimously under the reason that the administration admits its a ban and cite the tweet.
"I'm not agreeing with a lot of Virus's decisions but they are working" Tasteless. Ipl4 Losers Bracket Virus 2-1 Maru
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 05:07:34
June 04 2017 05:05 GMT
#155043
On June 04 2017 07:22 IgnE wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 04 2017 06:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 06:34 zlefin wrote:
On June 04 2017 06:30 pmh wrote:
On June 03 2017 09:47 LegalLord wrote:
I predict that in a few years, instead of gasoline, our cars will run on the power of hope. Sure is a lot of that stuff around, we could probably use it as a power source.



You are such a troll lol,sometimes I wonder why people react seriously to you. Maybe you know them irl,i don't know.
Anyway,while I do agree with quiet a few of your opinions and projections I think you are wrong when it comes to electric cars. Electricity is the future and it will in the end replace all fossil. But this might still take a very long time,a lot of money is invested in the fossil industry and the lobby and money also effects policys and other investments. Musk is a true pioneer for trying to go against the mainstream. For electric cars to take over and become 50%+ of all vehicles,i doubt we will see that in this century but it will happen eventually. Untill then the tesla cars are a good niche at the worst,and a lot more at the best. Lots of people want to "go green" and tesla is one of the few brands to do so. It has become a sort of status symbol,a way to show that you care about the environment and that you have an enlightened spirit. The valuation of tesla is real,the stocks are bought and sold for that valuation every day. You wont get such a high price just from people who think tesla is cool,this is not the dot com bubble. There must be some real perspective for growth and sustainability to sustain such a high price. That you or I don't see it doesn't mean that it is not there.

why do you conclude it being impossible to be a bubble? such things are found in many fields outside the dotcom area.
Of course it probably has more to do with potential, much as in the dotcom fields; it's very hard to tell who's going ot win decades down the line, but if you pick the right ones they can absolutely explode in value.

I think we might well see electrics take over by the end of the century; a lot really depends on how battery/energy storage tech goes. There's nothing that promising in the next 20-30 years or so; but in 60 years? quite possibly. It's really just the battery issue keeping electric cars down; too bad battery tech hasn't gone as well as some other tech paths.


Compare Batteries from 10 years and to ones today and I think you will see some improvement.


How about coal from 10 years ago to coal today? I don't know that lithium metal oxide based batteries with silicon/carbon anodes have that much more room for improvement, even if the cutting edge hasn't quite been commercialized yet. Although the new Goodenough battery appears to defy physics:

In 1980, his work led to the invention of the lithium-ion battery — now crucial to powering everything from cellphones and laptops to electric cars. For a lot of people, that would probably be enough. But at 94 years old, he's still at it.

"All the young people that I had as postdocs are getting ready to retire," he says, laughing.

Now, Goodenough and his team say they've created a new battery that may store up to five times more power than current ones. And, even better, such a battery would charge and recharge in a matter of minutes — all without exploding.

…

"As revered and important as John Goodenough is," Steingart says, "the mechanism described to account for the anomalous capacity appeared to be in conflict with the first law of thermodynamics."

www.npr.org

See also:
[image loading]

https://medium.com/the-unfortunate-tetrahedron/a-potential-big-deal-in-batteries-298c7ad9543a


I remember only scraps from chem and the explanation on why it seems weird seems to make sense. But uh, wouldn't it be possible to just independently verify the experiment since the paper kind of lays out how to do it? Like, the proposed mechanism the researchers came up with might not be right, but hey if the setup works and can be put in a usable battery then cool, we'll figure out the mechanism later.

Also, Goodenough look s in amazing shape for a 94 year old.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
June 04 2017 06:29 GMT
#155044
I imagine in a few months we will know the answer to that question when someone who is trying to independently verify it publishes a paper. It was only published a few months ago.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Slydie
Profile Joined August 2013
1913 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 07:17:40
June 04 2017 07:15 GMT
#155045
On June 04 2017 06:57 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Hence Solar farms, wind farms, charging stations powered by solar, battery exchange stations powered by solar and so on.


That is not cheap energy. The construction and maintenance cost is simply too high, and wind, sun and waves are all too unreliable, and need big backup systems. The whole green-energy sector is still financed by subsidies and investors, not actual profit. Higher fuel prices will change that at some point, though.
Buff the siegetank
Diavlo
Profile Joined July 2011
Belgium2915 Posts
June 04 2017 08:31 GMT
#155046
On June 04 2017 16:15 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 06:57 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Hence Solar farms, wind farms, charging stations powered by solar, battery exchange stations powered by solar and so on.


That is not cheap energy. The construction and maintenance cost is simply too high, and wind, sun and waves are all too unreliable, and need big backup systems. The whole green-energy sector is still financed by subsidies and investors, not actual profit. Higher fuel prices will change that at some point, though.

That's not true. Wind power is profitable and Solar is really close to be. They are more expensive than fossil fuel of course, but if you put them against one another then you can't take out state subsidies out of comparison because those subsidies are meant to balance the cost of fossil fuel in other area (such as health, energy autonomy, foreign relation and environmental strain).

"I don't know how many years on this Earth I got left. I'm gonna get real weird with it."
Yurie
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
11781 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 09:05:41
June 04 2017 09:04 GMT
#155047
On June 04 2017 17:31 Diavlo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 16:15 Slydie wrote:
On June 04 2017 06:57 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Hence Solar farms, wind farms, charging stations powered by solar, battery exchange stations powered by solar and so on.


That is not cheap energy. The construction and maintenance cost is simply too high, and wind, sun and waves are all too unreliable, and need big backup systems. The whole green-energy sector is still financed by subsidies and investors, not actual profit. Higher fuel prices will change that at some point, though.

That's not true. Wind power is profitable and Solar is really close to be. They are more expensive than fossil fuel of course, but if you put them against one another then you can't take out state subsidies out of comparison because those subsidies are meant to balance the cost of fossil fuel in other area (such as health, energy autonomy, foreign relation and environmental strain).



Solar is looking good in the long term. Showing big improvements in research labs. The question will just be which models are most economical in manufacture and material in the long term.

I'm especially looking forward to if quantum dot can keep climbing in efficiency. It should use the least material, if manufacturing turns out decent it would be a very good compromise on material usage vs efficiency. Hybrids like having a thin coating might be how it ends up though.

https://www.nrel.gov/pv/assets/images/efficiency-chart.png
Neneu
Profile Joined September 2010
Norway492 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 13:10:24
June 04 2017 10:54 GMT
#155048
On June 04 2017 16:15 Slydie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 06:57 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Hence Solar farms, wind farms, charging stations powered by solar, battery exchange stations powered by solar and so on.


That is not cheap energy. The construction and maintenance cost is simply too high, and wind, sun and waves are all too unreliable, and need big backup systems. The whole green-energy sector is still financed by s8ubsidies and investors, not actual profit. Higher fuel prices will change that at some point, though.


Solar power might be unreliant in Norway, but is it in e.g. a desert in Arizona?

When it comes to subsidies, you have to remember that most energy production is subsidized, e.g coal is even more subsidized than green energy in US and every single form of enery production in the Norwegian market is heavily subsidized. The reason for this is that energy production is considered to be critical infrastructure and therefor encouraged to the extent that it becomes subsidized.

So stop talking about subsidies, it is idiotic since it permeates the entire market.

They are also btw not expensive anymore. Norway's difficult topographic do not apply to most other countries

https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/1*PdbtiGQgxLTzrXLV2VWb-g.png
https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/800/1*Kh_ss6BeNeft6poguYImAw.png

Edit: charts
Artisreal
Profile Joined June 2009
Germany9234 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 11:32:36
June 04 2017 11:32 GMT
#155049
In Germany they are not yet there, wind being self sustaining financially.
Though two of the three offshore wind farms that have been commissioned in 2017 won't receive any additional compensation in accordance with the German renewable energy act. In sum 1,1 GW capcaity.
The operators thus assume that in 2025, when the farms are supposed to be set up and connected to the grid, wind power is competitive. To put it into perspective, the operators supposedly assume way higher compensation at the energy exchange than currently and a reduction in custruction cost. Not unreasonable per se but no figures and/or calculations have been disclosed to my knowledge.
passive quaranstream fan
Gahlo
Profile Joined February 2010
United States35121 Posts
June 04 2017 16:08 GMT
#155050
On June 04 2017 13:45 Karis Vas Ryaar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2017 13:05 On_Slaught wrote:
On June 04 2017 10:37 Plansix wrote:
How to lose a Supreme Court challenge in a single tweet:

https://twitter.com/johnson_carrie/status/871163065466802178


Epic failure and ignorance. Wonder how the acting solicitor general geeks about this. Honestly I don't think they will even take the case at this point.


they should reject it unanimously under the reason that the administration admits its a ban and cite the tweet.

"The president didn't mean ban in the same way the word is normally used. He and a few others knew exactly what it meant. How dare you try to twist his words around. You should all be ashamed of yourselves and apologize."
- Angry Spice
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42364 Posts
June 04 2017 16:24 GMT
#155051
"The President was quoting you when you asked what the President meant by a ban"
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 16:25:40
June 04 2017 16:25 GMT
#155052
Trump has already killed off his own EO. I don't know if he will try again but it definitely won't pass the courts at this point. It's already been done twice.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
June 04 2017 17:04 GMT
#155053
Arguing intent of the legislature/executive branch was to make an unconstitutional law/order should be a nearly impossible legal argument. But Trump makes the impossible seem simple.

I am convinced that Trump is so out of touch with reality he wouldn't even know when he was doing something illegal.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21563 Posts
June 04 2017 17:08 GMT
#155054
On June 05 2017 02:04 Plansix wrote:
Arguing intent of the legislature/executive branch was to make an unconstitutional law/order should be a nearly impossible legal argument. But Trump makes the impossible seem simple.

I am convinced that Trump is so out of touch with reality he wouldn't even know when he was doing something illegal.

I thought his attacks on the judiciary made that self evident. He is the President, he can do what he want in his mind.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
biology]major
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States2253 Posts
June 04 2017 17:12 GMT
#155055
I'd love to see some Trump tweets if it goes to SCOTUS and if gorsuch goes against it.
Question.?
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
June 04 2017 17:15 GMT
#155056
Gorsuch has not lacked criticism of Trump. He is thankfully his own man and even though that seat should have been Garland's, Gorsuch certainly deserves a spot there.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23019 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-06-04 17:39:32
June 04 2017 17:38 GMT
#155057
Well, it's looking like Democrats will have no unified vision for 2018 (other than clinging to Russia it seems) and the primary for 2020 is going to be a drag out brawl with no clear establishment candidate (though Hillary very well might run).

Dems want Hillary Clinton to leave spotlight


Democrats say they’d like Hillary Clinton to take a cue from former President Obama and step out of the spotlight.

They say her string of remarks explaining her stunning loss in November coupled with the public remarks blaming the Democratic National Committee for the defeat — which many took as also critical of Obama — are hurting the party and making the 2016 candidate look bitter.

The Hill interviewed more a dozen Democrats about Clinton’s remarks, including many staunch Clinton supporters and former aides.

They said they understood the need for Clinton to explain what happened in the election, and many also empathized with Clinton’s anger over former FBI Director James Comey’s handling of a probe into her private email server.

But they also unanimously said Clinton needs to rethink her public blaming tour.
“Good God, what is she doing?” one longtime aide wondered after watching Clinton at the Recode conference in California on Wednesday. “She's apparently still really, really angry. I mean, we all are. The election was stolen from her, and that's how she feels.

“But to go out there publicly again and again and talk about it? And then blame the DNC?” the aide wondered. "It's not helpful to Democrats. It's not helpful to the country, and I don't think it's helpful to her.”

Former Obama aides are among those scratching their heads over Clinton’s strategy.

At the Recode conference, she said she had inherited nothing from a “bankrupt” Democratic Party led by Obama for eight years.

“If she is trying to come across as the leader of the angry movement of what happened in 2016, then she's achieving it,” said one former senior aide to Obama. “But part of the problem she had was she didn't have a vision for the Democratic Party, and she needs to now take a break and let others come to the forefront.”

Source
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
June 04 2017 17:39 GMT
#155058
On June 05 2017 01:25 LegalLord wrote:
Trump has already killed off his own EO. I don't know if he will try again but it definitely won't pass the courts at this point. It's already been done twice.

But the courts definitely need to refine and constrain the 4th circuit's rationale. Highlighted in the dissent:
While the court acknowledged the President’s authority under 8 U.S.C. §§ 1182(f) and 1185(a) to enter the Order and also acknowledged that the national security reasons given on the face of the Order were legitimate, the court refused to apply Kleindienst v. Mandel, 408 U.S. 753 (1972), which held that courts are precluded from “look[ing] behind” “facially legitimate and bona fide” exercises of executive discretion in the immigration context to discern other possible purposes, id. at 770. Relying on statements made by candidate Trump during the presidential campaign, the district court construed the Executive Order to be directed against Muslims because of their religion and held therefore that it likely violated the Establishment Clause of the First Amendment.

I conclude that the district court seriously erred (1) by refusing to apply the Supreme Court’s decision in Mandel; (2) by fabricating a new proposition of law — indeed, a new rule — that provides for the consideration of campaign statements to recast a later-issued executive order; and (3) by radically extending Supreme Court Establishment Clause precedents. The district court’s approach is not only unprecedented, it is totally unworkable and inappropriate under any standard of analysis. [...]

Because of their nature, campaign statements are unbounded resources by which to find intent of various kinds. They are often short-hand for larger ideas; they are explained, modified, retracted, and amplified as they are repeated and as new circumstances and arguments arise. And they are often ambiguous. A court applying the majority’s new rule could thus have free reign to select whichever expression of a candidate’s developing ideas best supports its desired conclusion.

I find great cause to fear for the circuit court's effects on campaign speech in the future. Hopefully, the justices of the Supreme Court clarify such a radical departure from Supreme Court precedent in Mandel and others.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42364 Posts
June 04 2017 17:43 GMT
#155059
On June 05 2017 02:39 Danglars wrote:
I find great cause to fear for the circuit court's effects on campaign speech in the future. Hopefully, the justices of the Supreme Court clarify such a radical departure from Supreme Court precedent in Mandel and others.

Yeah, if the courts keep using the stated intentions of individuals to draw conclusions about the intentions of those individuals then that could be the death of making wild unconstitutional promises during campaigns. Can you imagine the grim future in which politicians don't pledge to pass unconstitutional laws that discriminate against the people?
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
June 04 2017 17:43 GMT
#155060
Clinton has no understanding of why exactly it is that people don't like her. Reading about how she coped with the 2008 loss (by creating an unbeatable coalition of loyalists and pushing down them traitors who made her lose), it's clear she doesn't understand what she's doing wrong here either. Until she and her cronies step away from the party apparatus, it will have no chance of evolving into anything more effective. Unfortunately they want to just continue to let Trump win despite being universally disliked through overuse of a "foreign devil" copout to all their faults.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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