In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!
NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious. Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
On May 09 2017 05:29 zlefin wrote: If we removed all the politicians that did stupid stuff in hearings like wasting time grandstanding or asking off-topic questions the system would be much better; we wouldn't have anyone in congress
To the contrary, I feel like if more people watched these they would know who the hell to vote out of office.
i'm not sure how that's to the contrary, but I take your point.
On May 04 2017 05:44 a_flayer wrote: There you go again. A constant flow of misinformation coming from Russia. There is no constant flow of misinformation from Russia that is influencing the election somehow. It's coming from Breitbart (Bannon, Mercer, other rich guys in America). Fox News, infotainment, partisan news, biased news (Rupert Murdoch, Roger Ailes, whoever is in charge of that shit).
There's a constant flow of misinformation from both Russia and the others you mention. I trust Comey's word on Russia's intent and capability.
So you agree with the FBI assessments that I quoted from the ODNI report? Americans who attended the Occupy Wallstreet movement and called for a revolution are more or less equal to Russian propagandists? The two-party system does not fail to represent about 1/3rd of the American population (that's less than the amount of people who don't even bother voting in presidential elections), and if you say that on TV you are spreading Russian propaganda?
Also, the FBI actually said in that report that they do not know how much success/influence the Russian had in their media campaign. They could not assess this accurately. So what's that about capability that Comey said?
I think you are conflating some things because Russia could have a propaganda effort that happens to align with views expressed in the past by various people in the US. I'm only saying Russia's campaign had influence, and while the FBI doesn't know how much influence it had, I'm sure the FBI would say there was some amount of influence.
I'm not conflating things at all. I understand perfectly well the nuances surrounding this discussion.
I'll ask you the same that I asked Plansix: do you have a definition by the FBI regarding what constitutes Russian misinformation other than the one I've gleaned from the ODNI report? The one in the ODNI report may accurately represent positions that the Russians use with an intent to sow dissent, but many of the opinions and criticisms listed are perfectly valid. That's definitely not misinformation or fake news, and borderline propaganda at best (based on funding alone). So unless you have another more sensible definition that the FBI uses, then I cannot agree with the FBI assessment that Russia is responsible for widespread misinformation regarding issues surrounding the election.
In terms of influence, I'd say actual Russian misinformation and fake news (which does exist on RT America and other forms of Russian-funded media, just as American-based misinformation exists on CNN, or other sources - deliberate or not), would account for something like 0.001% of influence in terms of stopping people from voting or changing peoples mind. Something absurdly low. Probably lower than that. Admittedly, its a made up percentage.
The remaining 99.9~% of people who decide not to vote or are independent enough from both of the parties to actually change their minds between Trump or Hillary would be affected by the reality of the political situation itself which they'd glean from American media sources (in the broadest sense of the word). That includes influence from RT America to support American opinions such as the 3rd party voters which the FBI also suggested to be Russian propaganda in the ODNI report (which is just utter tripe), and influence from things like Breitbart and SuperPAC ads both courtesy of people like my good American friend Mr Mercer.
The actual Russian propaganda regarding those American dissenting opinions listed in the ODNI report only exists within the social media sphere as a result of Russian-funded bots/comments/retweets. It cannot come directly from RT America, because these are American reporters and Americans who share their honest perspectives, and people who watch them might share in those opinions. If you want to call that Russian propaganda, may I suggest you re-institute the HUAC?
The social media sphere does not not have this qualifier, and can thus easily be classified as genuine Russian propaganda. However, there is no way that only Russia thought to use methods like that. Or would only Russia be smart enough to employ data mining and targeted ads in a political campaign? I think not, and Mercer's activities are clear evidence of this (and that influence is equally unmeasurable). The Russian measure of influence in social media could be bigger in relative terms compared to their influence in the mainstream TV media (which was evidenced by the ODNI report), but they did not list websites like Infowars/Breitbart, their social media presence or other absurdly anti-Clinton media - they just compared RT America with CNN and the like.
But even if you say everything on RT is Russian propaganda because it funded by the Russian state, then the amount of influence they have is very likely to be negligible. How many people really watch that? How many people would be subjected to their Twitter bot spam? Besides, I've held many of the opinions I've seen on RT America way before I ever saw them on there, and so do most of the people I know who share in those opinions.
I guess it's possible that Breitbart also receives funding from the Russian state or Russian oligarchs acting on behalf of the state, which would complicate things. I don't know though, it seems like there's plenty of big-moneyed American names behind it. This whole culture war thing between more secular liberal ideas and religion-based conservative ideas is something that is happening across the whole planet, at any rate, so to lob it all in under the nomer "Russian propaganda" would be absurd.
I read your link on Mercer, and wow. The left needs to catch up. Where the hell is Soros? One can only imagine the impact that Cambridge Analytica had - for both Brexit and Trump. I didn't realize how connected the data operations for Brexit and Trump likely are. These movements are all allied and, by the way, unusually supportive of Russia. I can only hope the FBI and IC get to the bottom of this.
Cambridge Analytica took a shitton of Cruz's money and gave him nothing to show for it. Right now it's not clear that they're able to deliver on their claims.
Maybe forty percent of America of America is waiting. But he is absolutely incorrect in regards to the FBI investigation; it's taxpayer funded and everybody wants to know if Trump actually coordinated with Russian agents to hack and release. The craziness and furor regarding it must end, though maybe not before Comey report and possibly not before Trump 2020 gets full into swing. The same kind of people that thought 538 severely underestimated Clinton's chances at 65% now think the country is united in wanting this pace of articles, unsubstantiated leaks, the whole nine yards. The opposition has to grow some balls and man up to their systemic problems in reporting on this political climate, though NYT BretStephens hiring (willing to expand their political reporting) did signal some overtures in the other direction.
Maybe forty percent of America of America is waiting. But he is absolutely incorrect in regards to the FBI investigation; it's taxpayer funded and everybody wants to know if Trump actually coordinated with Russian agents to hack and release. The craziness and furor regarding it must end, though maybe not before Comey report and possibly not before Trump 2020 gets full into swing. The same kind of people that thought 538 severely underestimated Clinton's chances at 65% now think the country is united in wanting this pace of articles, unsubstantiated leaks, the whole nine yards. The opposition has to grow some balls and man up to their systemic problems in reporting on this political climate, though NYT BretStephens hiring (willing to expand their political reporting) did signal some overtures in the other direction.
US media is a for profit business. The fact that they keep putting out the pace 'the whole nine yards' means that its making more money then their usual reporting.
People love sensation, they love scandals, hence why Trumps constant scandals keep making the news. The solution is not to cry foul at the opposition and the media for reporting on it, the solution is for Trump and Republicans to the news in the first place by bring utterly incompetent.
ACLU lawyer says a different candidate might have issued Trump's EO and it would be constitutional in that case, vs unconstitutional in Trump's case. This is the fourth circuit court of appeals. I had no idea the identity of the person in the office influences what constitutional actions he or she could take.
On May 09 2017 09:42 Danglars wrote: https://youtube.com/watch?v=BcG25EgOlu4 ACLU lawyer says a different candidate might have issued Trump's EO and it would be constitutional in that case, vs unconstitutional in Trump's case. This is the fourth circuit court of appeals. I had no idea the identity of the person in the office influences what constitutional actions he or she could take.
Other people in office wouldn't have made his public statements that it was a religious ban
On May 04 2017 05:44 a_flayer wrote: There you go again. A constant flow of misinformation coming from Russia. There is no constant flow of misinformation from Russia that is influencing the election somehow. It's coming from Breitbart (Bannon, Mercer, other rich guys in America). Fox News, infotainment, partisan news, biased news (Rupert Murdoch, Roger Ailes, whoever is in charge of that shit).
There's a constant flow of misinformation from both Russia and the others you mention. I trust Comey's word on Russia's intent and capability.
So you agree with the FBI assessments that I quoted from the ODNI report? Americans who attended the Occupy Wallstreet movement and called for a revolution are more or less equal to Russian propagandists? The two-party system does not fail to represent about 1/3rd of the American population (that's less than the amount of people who don't even bother voting in presidential elections), and if you say that on TV you are spreading Russian propaganda?
Also, the FBI actually said in that report that they do not know how much success/influence the Russian had in their media campaign. They could not assess this accurately. So what's that about capability that Comey said?
I think you are conflating some things because Russia could have a propaganda effort that happens to align with views expressed in the past by various people in the US. I'm only saying Russia's campaign had influence, and while the FBI doesn't know how much influence it had, I'm sure the FBI would say there was some amount of influence.
I'm not conflating things at all. I understand perfectly well the nuances surrounding this discussion.
I'll ask you the same that I asked Plansix: do you have a definition by the FBI regarding what constitutes Russian misinformation other than the one I've gleaned from the ODNI report? The one in the ODNI report may accurately represent positions that the Russians use with an intent to sow dissent, but many of the opinions and criticisms listed are perfectly valid. That's definitely not misinformation or fake news, and borderline propaganda at best (based on funding alone). So unless you have another more sensible definition that the FBI uses, then I cannot agree with the FBI assessment that Russia is responsible for widespread misinformation regarding issues surrounding the election.
In terms of influence, I'd say actual Russian misinformation and fake news (which does exist on RT America and other forms of Russian-funded media, just as American-based misinformation exists on CNN, or other sources - deliberate or not), would account for something like 0.001% of influence in terms of stopping people from voting or changing peoples mind. Something absurdly low. Probably lower than that. Admittedly, its a made up percentage.
The remaining 99.9~% of people who decide not to vote or are independent enough from both of the parties to actually change their minds between Trump or Hillary would be affected by the reality of the political situation itself which they'd glean from American media sources (in the broadest sense of the word). That includes influence from RT America to support American opinions such as the 3rd party voters which the FBI also suggested to be Russian propaganda in the ODNI report (which is just utter tripe), and influence from things like Breitbart and SuperPAC ads both courtesy of people like my good American friend Mr Mercer.
The actual Russian propaganda regarding those American dissenting opinions listed in the ODNI report only exists within the social media sphere as a result of Russian-funded bots/comments/retweets. It cannot come directly from RT America, because these are American reporters and Americans who share their honest perspectives, and people who watch them might share in those opinions. If you want to call that Russian propaganda, may I suggest you re-institute the HUAC?
The social media sphere does not not have this qualifier, and can thus easily be classified as genuine Russian propaganda. However, there is no way that only Russia thought to use methods like that. Or would only Russia be smart enough to employ data mining and targeted ads in a political campaign? I think not, and Mercer's activities are clear evidence of this (and that influence is equally unmeasurable). The Russian measure of influence in social media could be bigger in relative terms compared to their influence in the mainstream TV media (which was evidenced by the ODNI report), but they did not list websites like Infowars/Breitbart, their social media presence or other absurdly anti-Clinton media - they just compared RT America with CNN and the like.
But even if you say everything on RT is Russian propaganda because it funded by the Russian state, then the amount of influence they have is very likely to be negligible. How many people really watch that? How many people would be subjected to their Twitter bot spam? Besides, I've held many of the opinions I've seen on RT America way before I ever saw them on there, and so do most of the people I know who share in those opinions.
I guess it's possible that Breitbart also receives funding from the Russian state or Russian oligarchs acting on behalf of the state, which would complicate things. I don't know though, it seems like there's plenty of big-moneyed American names behind it. This whole culture war thing between more secular liberal ideas and religion-based conservative ideas is something that is happening across the whole planet, at any rate, so to lob it all in under the nomer "Russian propaganda" would be absurd.
I read your link on Mercer, and wow. The left needs to catch up. Where the hell is Soros? One can only imagine the impact that Cambridge Analytica had - for both Brexit and Trump. I didn't realize how connected the data operations for Brexit and Trump likely are. These movements are all allied and, by the way, unusually supportive of Russia. I can only hope the FBI and IC get to the bottom of this.
I think the primary connection between Russia and the Republicans is that they are both very conservative. That is why it seems like they are working in tandem. It is just part of the global culture war (progressive vs conservative) that is happening as a result of the increasingly globalized communications through internet & social media which helped push polarization between the two sides. The Arab Spring and an increase in the practice of fundamental Islamism in another example of this. There might be monetary connection between some Republicans and Russia as well, but it is very unlikely that people are deliberately selling their country out to any Russian geopolitical interests.
There are so many reasons why Russia would act out of their own accord to try and discredit Hillary. All those reasons seem far more likely than the Trump team reaching out to them. It's possible that unscrupulous people like Paul Manafort were paid or otherwise convinced by Russia to implant some pro-Russia stance in the Republican party, but any direct connections to the hacks or any Russian troll campaigns seem very unlikely to me. Russia probably just looked for things within the US political parties themselves, just as the CIA/NSA has done in Europe. They published the data because they had an additional goal in mind (undermine Hillary, and have a candidate who does not constantly vilify them win). This goal happened to align with the goals of the Republicans: to have their candidate win. Hence the appearance of collaboration.
Also, hired internet trolls are nothing new. I saw on Russian media recently that apparently Monsanto is being sued in the United States for hiring a troll army to combat online criticism against their business methods. I can't find a reasonable source to back this up, but it seems unlikely that they would make up a lawsuit (even if perhaps they are deliberately highlighting the existence of the lawsuit for the very purpose of me telling you this as some sort of comprehensive distraction technique from their nefarious plots).
Does anyone have a theory as to why Collins wasn't included in the Senate group which is drafting the healthcare bill? Having 13 old white dudes drafting a healthcare bill is pretty bad optics, and including her would seem to be a no brainer when unlike most of them she actually has helped draft a relatively reasonable healthcare reform bill.
On May 09 2017 08:06 KwarK wrote: Cambridge Analytica took a shitton of Cruz's money and gave him nothing to show for it. Right now it's not clear that they're able to deliver on their claims.
A new bill aims to dismantle the powers of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the independent watchdog that protects consumers and investors and has saved Americans almost $12 billion since it was created six years ago.
Supporters say the Financial CHOICE Act will undo the regulatory burdens that have harmed financial service companies and provide Congress with much-needed oversight. But consumer advocates insist the bill would eliminate the CFPB's independence and greatly reduce its ability to regulate.
Republicans in Congress are focused on eliminating regulations — including many put in place by the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act following the financial crisis that peaked in 2008. The Financial CHOICE Act, which passed the House Financial Services Committee on a 34-26 party line vote last week, is the first attempt to do that.
The CHOICE Act would do more than reduce financial regulations enacted under the Obama administration. It also targets the CFPB, the regulatory agency created by Dodd-Frank to police the financial marketplace.
Maybe forty percent of America of America is waiting. But he is absolutely incorrect in regards to the FBI investigation; it's taxpayer funded and everybody wants to know if Trump actually coordinated with Russian agents to hack and release. The craziness and furor regarding it must end, though maybe not before Comey report and possibly not before Trump 2020 gets full into swing. The same kind of people that thought 538 severely underestimated Clinton's chances at 65% now think the country is united in wanting this pace of articles, unsubstantiated leaks, the whole nine yards. The opposition has to grow some balls and man up to their systemic problems in reporting on this political climate, though NYT BretStephens hiring (willing to expand their political reporting) did signal some overtures in the other direction.
i dont remember you being so anti-furor and tax spending during benghazi
On May 04 2017 05:44 a_flayer wrote: There you go again. A constant flow of misinformation coming from Russia. There is no constant flow of misinformation from Russia that is influencing the election somehow. It's coming from Breitbart (Bannon, Mercer, other rich guys in America). Fox News, infotainment, partisan news, biased news (Rupert Murdoch, Roger Ailes, whoever is in charge of that shit).
There's a constant flow of misinformation from both Russia and the others you mention. I trust Comey's word on Russia's intent and capability.
So you agree with the FBI assessments that I quoted from the ODNI report? Americans who attended the Occupy Wallstreet movement and called for a revolution are more or less equal to Russian propagandists? The two-party system does not fail to represent about 1/3rd of the American population (that's less than the amount of people who don't even bother voting in presidential elections), and if you say that on TV you are spreading Russian propaganda?
Also, the FBI actually said in that report that they do not know how much success/influence the Russian had in their media campaign. They could not assess this accurately. So what's that about capability that Comey said?
I think you are conflating some things because Russia could have a propaganda effort that happens to align with views expressed in the past by various people in the US. I'm only saying Russia's campaign had influence, and while the FBI doesn't know how much influence it had, I'm sure the FBI would say there was some amount of influence.
I'm not conflating things at all. I understand perfectly well the nuances surrounding this discussion.
I'll ask you the same that I asked Plansix: do you have a definition by the FBI regarding what constitutes Russian misinformation other than the one I've gleaned from the ODNI report? The one in the ODNI report may accurately represent positions that the Russians use with an intent to sow dissent, but many of the opinions and criticisms listed are perfectly valid. That's definitely not misinformation or fake news, and borderline propaganda at best (based on funding alone). So unless you have another more sensible definition that the FBI uses, then I cannot agree with the FBI assessment that Russia is responsible for widespread misinformation regarding issues surrounding the election.
In terms of influence, I'd say actual Russian misinformation and fake news (which does exist on RT America and other forms of Russian-funded media, just as American-based misinformation exists on CNN, or other sources - deliberate or not), would account for something like 0.001% of influence in terms of stopping people from voting or changing peoples mind. Something absurdly low. Probably lower than that. Admittedly, its a made up percentage.
The remaining 99.9~% of people who decide not to vote or are independent enough from both of the parties to actually change their minds between Trump or Hillary would be affected by the reality of the political situation itself which they'd glean from American media sources (in the broadest sense of the word). That includes influence from RT America to support American opinions such as the 3rd party voters which the FBI also suggested to be Russian propaganda in the ODNI report (which is just utter tripe), and influence from things like Breitbart and SuperPAC ads both courtesy of people like my good American friend Mr Mercer.
The actual Russian propaganda regarding those American dissenting opinions listed in the ODNI report only exists within the social media sphere as a result of Russian-funded bots/comments/retweets. It cannot come directly from RT America, because these are American reporters and Americans who share their honest perspectives, and people who watch them might share in those opinions. If you want to call that Russian propaganda, may I suggest you re-institute the HUAC?
The social media sphere does not not have this qualifier, and can thus easily be classified as genuine Russian propaganda. However, there is no way that only Russia thought to use methods like that. Or would only Russia be smart enough to employ data mining and targeted ads in a political campaign? I think not, and Mercer's activities are clear evidence of this (and that influence is equally unmeasurable). The Russian measure of influence in social media could be bigger in relative terms compared to their influence in the mainstream TV media (which was evidenced by the ODNI report), but they did not list websites like Infowars/Breitbart, their social media presence or other absurdly anti-Clinton media - they just compared RT America with CNN and the like.
But even if you say everything on RT is Russian propaganda because it funded by the Russian state, then the amount of influence they have is very likely to be negligible. How many people really watch that? How many people would be subjected to their Twitter bot spam? Besides, I've held many of the opinions I've seen on RT America way before I ever saw them on there, and so do most of the people I know who share in those opinions.
I guess it's possible that Breitbart also receives funding from the Russian state or Russian oligarchs acting on behalf of the state, which would complicate things. I don't know though, it seems like there's plenty of big-moneyed American names behind it. This whole culture war thing between more secular liberal ideas and religion-based conservative ideas is something that is happening across the whole planet, at any rate, so to lob it all in under the nomer "Russian propaganda" would be absurd.
I read your link on Mercer, and wow. The left needs to catch up. Where the hell is Soros? One can only imagine the impact that Cambridge Analytica had - for both Brexit and Trump. I didn't realize how connected the data operations for Brexit and Trump likely are. These movements are all allied and, by the way, unusually supportive of Russia. I can only hope the FBI and IC get to the bottom of this.
I think the primary connection between Russia and the Republicans is that they are both very conservative. That is why it seems like they are working in tandem. It is just part of the global culture war (progressive vs conservative) that is happening as a result of the increasingly globalized communications through internet & social media which helped push polarization between the two sides. The Arab Spring and an increase in the practice of fundamental Islamism in another example of this. There might be monetary connection between some Republicans and Russia as well, but it is very unlikely that people are deliberately selling their country out to any Russian geopolitical interests.
There are so many reasons why Russia would act out of their own accord to try and discredit Hillary. All those reasons seem far more likely than the Trump team reaching out to them. It's possible that unscrupulous people like Paul Manafort were paid or otherwise convinced by Russia to implant some pro-Russia stance in the Republican party, but any direct connections to the hacks or any Russian troll campaigns seem very unlikely to me. Russia probably just looked for things within the US political parties themselves, just as the CIA/NSA has done in Europe. They published the data because they had an additional goal in mind (undermine Hillary, and have a candidate who does not constantly vilify them win). This goal happened to align with the goals of the Republicans: to have their candidate win. Hence the appearance of collaboration.
Also, hired internet trolls are nothing new. I saw on Russian media recently that apparently Monsanto is being sued in the United States for hiring a troll army to combat online criticism against their business methods. I can't find a reasonable source to back this up, but it seems unlikely that they would make up a lawsuit (even if perhaps they are deliberately highlighting the existence of the lawsuit for the very purpose of me telling you this as some sort of comprehensive distraction technique from their nefarious plots).
Are Republicans synonymous with Trump? Because It's not about Russia and the Republicans, it's about Russia and Trump. If Ted Cruz had won the Republican nomination and the presidency we wouldn't be going down this road. At least certainly not to this extent. This all ties back into the people Trump hired. His statements, his relationships, his business dealings. The rest of the Republicans are just there to try and prevent their party from looking like a bunch of assholes by association.
On May 09 2017 08:06 KwarK wrote: Cambridge Analytica took a shitton of Cruz's money and gave him nothing to show for it. Right now it's not clear that they're able to deliver on their claims.
is this an example of reverse cargo cultism?
Cambridge Analytica was useless for Ted Cruz in the Republican primary, so it must also have been useless when they started backing Trump, but somehow Russia used tactics similar to Cambridge Analytica, and was super effective?
I think the thing that made BOTH these tactics more effective was the fact that Russia leaked the hacked data from the DNC, and retweeted conservative-slanted articles (from sources like Breitbart) about them. I'd like to see some stats (which would probably be very hard to compile) about who retweeted Breitbart more - CA bots, or Russian bots, before I make some kind of judgement about impact.
And, like, where did Breitbart come from? Why was it so popular all of a sudden? Don't you think that there may be some connection between Breitbart and Cambridge Analytica twitter-bots/trolls? Like, both of these companies being funded by the same man, Robert Mercer? From the same The Guardian article I've linked before:
The money he gives to the Media Research Center, with its mission of correcting “liberal bias” is just one of his media plays.
I'd say this man is much more of a problem for any progressive/liberal agenda in the US than the Russians. The global state-sponsored hacking war for political interests is quite separate from this, even if it did bleed into the global social media-based culture war this time.