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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 5917

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:19:54
November 04 2016 17:17 GMT
#118321
she needs to put some substance behind the russia critique. make it about a positive vision for something.

without that positive vision it would look like a nationalist squabble, and that does look dangerous. but if she talks about upholding institutions and values, against kleptocracy and rent extracting institutions foreign and domestic, that is a message that is both appealing and also not overtly militaristic

putin has expressed admiration for hrc's ability and drive before. he just pissed that his coup got verbally condemned by hillary, and it should have
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
DannyJ
Profile Joined March 2010
United States5110 Posts
November 04 2016 17:17 GMT
#118322
On November 05 2016 02:05 ticklishmusic wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 02:03 Oswald wrote:
On November 05 2016 01:06 Plansix wrote:
I have noticed this trend of Trump super fans and a complete failure of civics education. I’m not surprised, but it is depressing.


I've always found this correlation depressing. It makes me wonder whether there should be some sort minimal voter education requirements, but that seems blatantly unconstitutional.


this is when i mutter "democracy is the worst form of government except for all the rest" to myself.


I think that everytime i realize millions of votes will be cast for Johnson/Stein.
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
November 04 2016 17:17 GMT
#118323
On November 05 2016 02:12 biology]major wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 02:08 CobaltBlu wrote:
I like how biology]major managed to slip 'being a woman' in there as a negative for Clinton.


Being a woman is not a negative, but you are a moron if you think women in power don't face certain pressures that men don't. She can easily overcompensate in the face of such pressure and amplify her hawkishness.

And Trump faces pressures that men with much larger hands don't. He often overcompensates in the face of such pressure with personal attacks and public outbursts.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Madkipz
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Norway1643 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:23:34
November 04 2016 17:19 GMT
#118324
On November 05 2016 01:43 BallinWitStalin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 01:08 Stratos_speAr wrote:
On November 05 2016 00:08 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
On November 05 2016 00:03 The_Templar wrote:
On November 04 2016 23:54 iPlaY.NettleS wrote:
On November 04 2016 23:26 farvacola wrote:
On November 04 2016 23:25 Uldridge wrote:
Will this have been the most drama filled election in US history?
It's just astounding howmuch shit keeps hitting the fan every moment.. Truly incredible

I doubt it; the elections leading up to and surrounding the Civil War likely put this one to shame in that department, though it's virtually impossible to go about qualifying such an observation.

Decent chance whoever wins that there will be a civil war in the US again.
We're just looking at polar opposites the two sides here.
Can you imagine for instance San Francisco if Trump wins?
Chaos.Ungovernable.Guaranteed riots in the streets, guaranteed.
A Clinton win, just 11 days after a fresh FBI investigation launched? No, that ain't healthy for civil order either.

Don't be ridiculous. There won't be a civil war over the result of a single election.

Has there been a time since the civil war when America was this divided?
And IMO the division is getting worse not better.


This is a textbook case of, "My time is the most dramatic/intense ever!"

Many people (particularly younger individuals) do this a lot; they see strife or difficulty in their time and think that it could have never been this bad, without having any real perspective on what was really happening throughout history.

There have been some pretty awful times in American history. This definitely isn't one of the worst. The economy is doing fairly well, crime is down, etc. etc. etc. The only thing that makes it seem bad is social media-driven echo chambers that constantly perpetuate lies and myths to galvanize each side's unbridled anger at each other.


I never understood that perspective. Like, people really need to attempt to put themselves into other times. Right now, Americans live in the most objectively powerful and rich country/empire in the history of the world. They live with fantastic technology, live in a peaceful society that lacks war, low crime, lots of opportunity (although this could be better), etc. Corruption is definitely a legitimate issue, but this whole "ITS SO BAD FUCK IT LETS WATCH IT BURN" attitude is frankly bizarre; Americans have it really fucking good (for the most part) compared to most humans on the globe today and historically. There's lots of stuff you can improve on (what society is perfect?), but good lord living standards could get so much fucking worse.

Like, good god World war 1 and 2 were terrible times to be alive. The great depression, Vietnam, the Cuban missile crisis, the entire fucking cold war, literal segregation based on race -> these are all things people living today have experienced, and yet somehow young people nowadays think things are currently awful because of an e-mail scandal? There were literal genocidal purges of millions of people in developed countries, 25% unemployment, internment camps (in America!), and a high chance of a nuclear holocaust for like 50 years. How do these things even compare to what's going on today? And yet people act like it's the end of the world....


Your argument is essentially "but they have ipods, there's no war, and they're the richest poor people in the world."


That's not how people measure themselves. They don't go "This is all my own fault, and what am I complaining about. I've got an Iphone."


The trends that have led to what is happening today aren't going away and the problems that have manifested into people voting as they are - aren't going away. Because it would require politicians to have changed their positions on several issues and maybe change their opinions. In a society when what the electorate wants doesn't concern the people in power the common response is to bump up the riot police and ignore the people, but in a society where people can vote? They have the means to burn it all down.


Everyone knows about wealth inequality, and there are people doing well and people doing poorly. The people going well can espouse the american dream and talk about how things like job creation are going well, but the rate of jobs going back to the places where they were lost?


What used to be the middle class is being split by the people in the cities that have a job, and the people that lost their job and will never be doing well enough in a society ever again, and the number of people on the latter side have grown on all sides of the political spectrum. If you don't solve the problem they aren't going away.


Brexit and Trump is a response to watching politicians getting away with incompetence, malpractice, and grabbing a bunch of the wealth for themselves for 30 years. They've removed low skill jobs and factory jobs for a large swathe of people and regions while ignoring the people who worked there, and these people have grown large enough to vote against your interest.





"Mudkip"
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:23:42
November 04 2016 17:20 GMT
#118325
On November 05 2016 02:06 TheYango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 01:24 ZeaL. wrote:
I fucking hate Trump but I could imagine myself as a conservative who would vote for Trump with the belief that he will simply be a figurehead. Pence and the legislature will run the country and while he posts conservative SC justices and runs around bloviating to the base.

The curious thing about conservatives that hold this position is that they have to recognize that their position is also irreconcilable with a large component of Trump's base--those who view Trump as an anti-establishment candidate and detest the GOP old guard. Getting what they want for the next 4 years isn't going to make those people go away, and they need to answer to those people in a better way than "suck up to Trump + business as usual".

Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 01:52 biology]major wrote:
While you guys are drinking the 'trump is going to bring the apocalypse' kool aid, realize that clinton and Putin have a personal deep seated animosity towards each other. This combined with her poor judgement and having a chip on her shoulder for being a woman president and to be "strong", can easily result in war. This is before considering the alleged interference in the election by Russia, so you can bet she has a personal agenda on top of all of the above. Carry on

Clinton is not stupid. She is hawkish, is inimical toward Russia, has something to prove, and has displayed poor judgment in complex FP scenarios in the past. But she also acts rationally and has sufficient knowledge of the risks.

I expect her to make mistakes again in complex FP scenarios. I do not expect her to do obviously stupid things because that's simply not within her range. Outright war with Russia falls in that category of "obviously stupid things".


Can I ask if you think she might make the mistake of having certain foreign leaders that she doesn't agree with assassinated while she is in office, resulting in something she hadn't anticipated? Like, for example, killing Kim Yong Un or something (doesn't seem entirely out of the question) which somehow escalates into a war with China? Or killing Ahmadinejad (or his replacement, or the one after that) on behalf of the Saudis and thereby pulling Russia into it?

We know it only takes 5 weeks...
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
Nyxisto
Profile Joined August 2010
Germany6287 Posts
November 04 2016 17:21 GMT
#118326
On November 05 2016 02:17 oneofthem wrote:
she needs to put some substance behind the russia critique. make it about a positive vision for something.

without that positive vision it would look like a nationalist squabble, and that does look dangerous. but if she talks about upholding institutions and values, against kleptocracy and rent extracting institutions foreign and domestic, that is a message that is both appealing and also not overtly militaristic

putin has expressed admiration for hrc's ability and drive before. he just pissed that his coup got verbally condemned by hillary, and it should have


They both love tigers, that must mean something right?

“One time, I was visiting with him in his dacha outside of Moscow, and
he was going on and on, you know, just listing all of the problems that he thinks are caused by
the United States. And I said, ‘Well, you know, Mr.’—at that time, he was still prime minister. I
said, ‘You know, Mr. Prime Minister, we actually have some things in common. We both want to
protect wildlife, and I know how committed you are to protecting the tiger.’ I mean, all of a
sudden, he sat up straight and his eyes got big and he goes, ‘You care about the tiger? I said, ‘I
care about the tiger, I care about the elephant, I care about the rhinoceros, I care about the
whale. I mean, yeah, I think we have a duty. You know, it’s an obligation that we as human
beings have to protect God’s creation.’ He goes, ‘Come with me.’ So we go down the
stairs, we go down this long hall, we go into this private inner sanctum. All of his, you know,
very beefy security guys are there, they all jump up at attention, you know, they punch a code,
he goes through a heavily-armed door. And then we’re in an inner, inner sanctum with, you
know, just this long, wooden table, and then further back, there’s a desk and the biggest map of
Russia I ever saw. And he starts talking to me about, you know, the habitat of the tigers
and the habitat of the seals and the whales. And it was quite something.”
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
November 04 2016 17:25 GMT
#118327
clinton has a history of finding common ground with adversaries too. maybe that's the woman thing.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:26:51
November 04 2016 17:26 GMT
#118328
What I don't get about the Russia strategy is why Hillary's camp is trying to pin the actions on a state backed actor (hard to prove) when pinning it on just foreign provocateurs is a lot more believable and can be better supported by evidence like Trump's twitter botnet, foreign fake news sites ( https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/aug/24/facebook-clickbait-political-news-sites-us-election-trump ) and independently(?) motivated pro-Trump russian trolls: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/russian-online-troll-tells-samantha-bee-why-she-prefers-donald-trump_us_58184cafe4b0990edc3340d2 .

Like I guess it's not nearly as much of a narrative, but it's a whole lot more palatable.
Logo
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:31:16
November 04 2016 17:26 GMT
#118329
I love how contrary support and criticism of the candidates manages to be.

Trump will not be an issue because Congress will block him and he has no power. Trump is good because he will change everything up and destroy the status quo.

Hillary is evil and will start wars and assassinate leaders and Congress can't stop her. Hillary is so establishment she will maintain the status quo and nothing will change under her.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Rebs
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Pakistan10726 Posts
November 04 2016 17:28 GMT
#118330
On November 05 2016 02:26 WolfintheSheep wrote:
I love how contrary support and criticism of the candidates manages to be.

Drumpf will not be an issue because Congress will block him and he has no power. Drumpf is good because he will change everything up and destroy the status quo.

Hillary is evil and will start wars and assassinate leaders and Congress can't stop her. Hillary is so establishment will maintain the status quo and nothing will change under her.


Whatever suits the narrative that they are peddling, all arguments are made in the vacuum of Hillary = bad. Your already thinking to far and big picture, you need to realize a lot of Drumpfs support comes form people who think like he does.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
November 04 2016 17:29 GMT
#118331
On November 05 2016 02:26 Logo wrote:
What I don't get about the Russia strategy is why Hillary's camp is trying to pin the actions on a state backed actor (hard to prove) when pinning it on just foreign provocateurs is a lot more believable and can be better supported by evidence like Trump's twitter botnet, foreign fake news sites ( https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/aug/24/facebook-clickbait-political-news-sites-us-election-trump ) and independently(?) motivated pro-Trump russian trolls: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/russian-online-troll-tells-samantha-bee-why-she-prefers-donald-trump_us_58184cafe4b0990edc3340d2 .

Like I guess it's not nearly as much of a narrative, but it's a whole lot more palatable.

The worry that people on the other side of the world have is that it's her trying to build a case for a later aggressive approach to Russia policy.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
November 04 2016 17:30 GMT
#118332
On November 05 2016 02:26 Logo wrote:
What I don't get about the Russia strategy is why Hillary's camp is trying to pin the actions on a state backed actor (hard to prove) when pinning it on just foreign provocateurs is a lot more believable and can be better supported by evidence like Trump's twitter botnet, foreign fake news sites ( https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/aug/24/facebook-clickbait-political-news-sites-us-election-trump ) and independently(?) motivated pro-Trump russian trolls: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/russian-online-troll-tells-samantha-bee-why-she-prefers-donald-trump_us_58184cafe4b0990edc3340d2 .

Like I guess it's not nearly as much of a narrative, but it's a whole lot more palatable.

Well, you realize that early this year it was found that "Russian Troll" was a state-backed and well-funded industry? Not to say that non-state Russian trolls don't exist, but yeah...
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:34:16
November 04 2016 17:33 GMT
#118333
On November 05 2016 02:30 WolfintheSheep wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2016 02:26 Logo wrote:
What I don't get about the Russia strategy is why Hillary's camp is trying to pin the actions on a state backed actor (hard to prove) when pinning it on just foreign provocateurs is a lot more believable and can be better supported by evidence like Trump's twitter botnet, foreign fake news sites ( https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/aug/24/facebook-clickbait-political-news-sites-us-election-trump ) and independently(?) motivated pro-Trump russian trolls: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/russian-online-troll-tells-samantha-bee-why-she-prefers-donald-trump_us_58184cafe4b0990edc3340d2 .

Like I guess it's not nearly as much of a narrative, but it's a whole lot more palatable.

Well, you realize that early this year it was found that "Russian Troll" was a state-backed and well-funded industry? Not to say that non-state Russian trolls don't exist, but yeah...


My impression is that the Russian state-backing wasn't really floating too well in terms of changing minds or being believed. I've seen a lot of journalists, including seeming pretty credible ones, cast a lot of skepticism on the connection based on current publicly available information.

But then again since facts don't seem to matter this election it's hard to read too much into it I guess.
Logo
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
November 04 2016 17:33 GMT
#118334
On November 05 2016 01:52 biology]major wrote:
While you guys are drinking the 'trump is going to bring the apocalypse' kool aid, realize that clinton and Putin have a personal deep seated animosity towards each other. This combined with her poor judgement and having a chip on her shoulder for being a woman president and to be "strong", can easily result in war. This is before considering the alleged interference in the election by Russia, so you can bet she has a personal agenda on top of all of the above. Carry on


Hopefully at some point after the election you will realize that the words coming out of Trump's mouth were the things he meant to say, and your mention of "kool aid" is irrelevant.

"If we have nukes, why can't we use them?"
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-04 17:36:16
November 04 2016 17:34 GMT
#118335
On November 05 2016 02:20 a_flayer wrote:
Can I ask if you think she might make the mistake of having certain foreign leaders that she doesn't agree with assassinated while she is in office, resulting in something she hadn't anticipated? Like, for example, killing Kim Yong Un or something (doesn't seem entirely out of the question) which somehow escalates into a war with China? Or killing Ahmadinejad (or his replacement, or the one after that) on behalf of the Saudis and thereby pulling Russia into it?

We know it only takes 5 weeks...

The assumption that "pulling Russia into it" results in war with Russia is predicated on Putin being stupid enough to take things that far.

Again, both of them know what the stakes are. Someone's going to lose face, but outright war just isn't a very likely outcome without some incredibly drastic and unlikely things happening.
Moderator
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
November 04 2016 17:35 GMT
#118336
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
November 04 2016 17:35 GMT
#118337
I have seen plenty of what looks like state-sponsored trolls pushing a rather broad range of positions. It somehow even made its way into Russian language news. It's an unfortunate development that exists in the internet world and it's widespread enough to make quality discussion difficult.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
November 04 2016 17:36 GMT
#118338
I do enjoy the argument from Trump fans that he will "get along with Putin" as some selling point.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15664 Posts
November 04 2016 17:37 GMT
#118339
On November 05 2016 02:36 Plansix wrote:
I do enjoy the argument from Trump fans that he will "get along with Putin" as some selling point.


As if shootin' the shit is some kinda method of bridging international relations. It's not a fucking dating simulation.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
November 04 2016 17:39 GMT
#118340
He'll get along with Putin about as long as it takes until he finds something petty to disagree about. I don't blame Putin for being willing to compliment unusually conciliatory rhetoric from an American presidential candidate though. That's pretty much all he's been willing to talk about in regards to the elections, mostly saying "the US makes its own decisions, we'll take who they choose and find a way to work with them."
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
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