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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42490 Posts
October 11 2016 19:22 GMT
#110141
I feel like the Christians are having a lot of fun trying to incorporate Trumpianity into their dogma. He's literally everything Jesus was telling people reject. This is a good year.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 11 2016 19:23 GMT
#110142
On October 12 2016 04:11 L_Master wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 03:50 Plansix wrote:
The misunderstanding of the role of the press and how they remain neutral is a problem in general. The efforts to justify Trump’s banning and threatening legal reprisal for their coverage was troubling. That the press can only be neutral if the candidates take all coverage as part of the process, warts and all.

Press are not allowed in the well of the senate or house. The cameras in there are controlled by congress, not the press. The press is allowed into the white house because the presidents before now believed that the best place for the press was within government. Even if they didn’t like the coverage, it was part of the deal. Trump and his supporters like Bannon threatened to end that.

On October 12 2016 03:45 Mohdoo wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:41 Slaughter wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:36 Plansix wrote:
I don’t know, the number of discussions we have had about why “random youtuber number 57” is not reliable source makes me thing we need to re-educate the population on the subject.


Younger people are better at it then older people but yea they still do suck at it in general.


Had a really interesting conversation with an older co-worker. They basically had no idea how they are ever supposed to know if something is credible or not. Lots of websites give the illusion of being legitimate. Think about how hard it is to make a website that looks at least comparable to CNN. People just say "looks legit". Or on Facebook, if 2000 people liked it, surely they can't all be dipshits, can they?


Crowd sourcing as a metric for merit is a blight. From reddit to steam reviews, you see people saying that the number of people who clicked a thing proves something.

I said it a couple days again: It is a myth that authoritarianism is unpopular. That is why we are supposed to fear it.


Can you elaborate a little?

Don't mean this in a disagreeing way, definitely in a I'm curious for some more info way".

When people are disillusioned with the government and system over a long period of time, people look for quick, easy solutions to problems. They desire a “strong leader”, quick action, reprisal and most of all, action. Even if that action isn’t right.

Look at 9/11. After 9/11, everyone was all about whatever we go do to feel safer. Faith in our government was high, public opinion of the president was good. We were all about whatever solutions they had. So they created the patriot act, limited our civil liberties, created special rules for terrorists. We openly talked about torturing people as a solution to getting information we needed to be self. The US, a country that has a basic right that cruel and unusual punishment is not allowed. Ever. But we went along. Even our left wing was on board, with a few exceptions. We backed a war again a nation based on questionable evidence and created a spying program on our own citizens.

Support for all these things is at an all time low now, but at the time we were all about it. Collectively we have forgotten how appealing authoritarian ideas are. We beat those mean Nazis in 1940 and solved that problem, so we never need fear it again. But we forget that we almost feel prey to the exact same things in the 1950s.

Where we changed the pledge of alliance to say “one nation, under God” and required kids to say it in school. Because if we got to them early and often, they wouldn’t become communist. And to this day, we can’t get the pledge of alliance out of our schools or change it back to say “one nation, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.”
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-11 19:29:34
October 11 2016 19:27 GMT
#110143
This latest batch of national polls are just backbreaking for Trump. He hasn't cracked 40% in any of the 3/4-way polls.

Whether he won the debate or not, it definitely wasn't enough to counterbalance the tapes. Time for more praying for Putin 400 pound hackers to save his ass.

That, or praying that they decide to hold the election using Drudge's online poll software.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
October 11 2016 19:27 GMT
#110144
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32740 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-11 19:34:03
October 11 2016 19:31 GMT
#110145
On October 12 2016 04:22 KwarK wrote:
I feel like the Christians are having a lot of fun trying to incorporate Trumpianity into their dogma. He's literally everything Jesus was telling people reject. This is a good year.

I wonder how many Trump supporting pastors facepalmed when he said, "Two Corinthians". Then again I'd assume the majority of them are the prosperity gospel type Christians, so Trump is blessed by the Lord with his wealth despite three marriages, infidelity, lying, and general disdain for the poor and widowed.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 11 2016 19:32 GMT
#110146
On October 12 2016 04:14 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 03:59 Danglars wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:46 Dromar wrote:
Honestly, I fully expect Donald Trump to not accept the result of the election if/when he loses.

He will demand an investigation. He'll say it was rigged. He'll imply in some way that "we need to take our country back, by force if necessary," all of which are things he's set up the groundwork for already. The question from the first debate "will you accept the result of the election?" was in reference to these things, and while he did eventually say that he would honor the result, he only did so under duress. What else could you say in that situation? Aside from that, he's shown that he's very comfortable not keeping his word. I imagine he'll deny that he ever said it.

I'm not sure how things will transition from there. Maybe he puts out a message to his most devoted followers "We're gonna continue getting to the bottom of this, and make America great again, on Trump TV. Check your local cable provider." Maybe he's actually 100% insane and will try to stir shit up with the goal of becoming a martyr. Either way I think things only actually get worse once the election ends. Trump has given a voice and validity to a group that will openly denounce the presidency of the US. And that group is much larger than many of us thought it was.

This election has been a nonstop shitfest. But I really think that the shit has only begun to hit the fan, so to speak.

To end on a bright note, I can say 2 good things:

1) Democracy works. The republican party has been largely ignoring the people they claim to represent for a long time, saying what they needed to say to get voters, and then doing their own thing in congress. It's become very clear that that's not gonna fly anymore.

2) I feel like Donald Trump has been such a unique presidential candidate that the average American will be much more involved in government in the coming years. Some credit is definitely due to Bernie Sanders here as well.

Will it take four, six, eight, sixteen years out of power before a new crop stops ignoring the interests of the people who sent them there? It's been a very good year for GOP primary incumbency.

Half the involvement has been spectacle. The very same people who hated on the way Clinton and Trump conducted their campaigns, America deserves better etc, told me the vice presidential debate was boring. They had productive policy exchanges even on local policing for god's sake. I'm not sold on the idea.

Productive policy exchanges on local polices? Pence dismissed the idea of any implicit bias, claiming instead that black people have a superpower that gives them immunity from picking up any bias while growing up in a society that has institutional racism. It wasn't much of an exchange.

The talk on community policing was tacit agreement, and both sides were outlined quite effectively. You're just going to see what you want to see. Take two steps back from the partisan divide and racial analysis.

Sen. Kaine: Here is what I learned as a mayor and governor. The way you make communities safer and the way you make police safer is through community policing. You build the bonds between community and the police force, bonds of understanding — that’s between the community and the police — force bonds of understanding. When that gap narrows, it is safer for communities, and for the police. That model works across our country. There are other models that do not work, and overly aggressive more militarized model. Donald Trump recently said we need to do more stop and frisk around the country. That would be a big mistake because it polarizes the relationship between the police and the community…

Gov. Pence: My uncle was a cop, career cop. On the beat in downtown Chicago. He was my hero when I grew up. My three brothers and I would marvel at my uncle when he would come out in his uniform, sidearm at his side. Police officers are the best of us, men and women, white, African-American, Asian, Latino, Hispanic, they put their lives on the line every single day. Let me say, at the risk of agreeing with you, community policing is a great idea. It has worked in the Hoosier state. We fully support that…

They hear the bad mouthing that comes from people that seize upon tragedy as a reason to use a broad brush to accuse law enforcement of implicit bias or institutional racism. That really has got to stop. When an African-American police officer in Charlotte, an all-star football player who went to Liberty University, followed his dad into law enforcement, joined the force in Charlotte in 2014, was involved in a police action shooting that claimed the life of Keith Lamont Scott, it was a tragedy. We mourn with those who mourn, we grieve with those who grieve, and we are saddened at the loss of life.

Hillary Clinton actually referred to that moment as an example of implicit bias in the police force, when she was asked a week ago, whether there was implicit bias in law enforcement, should correctly answer was that there is implicit bias and everyone in the United States I just think what we ought to do is stop seizing on these moments of tragedy. We assure the public we have a full and complete and transparent investigation whenever there is a loss of life because of police action, but Senator, please, enough of this seeking every opportunity to demean law enforcement by making accusation of implicit bias every time tragedy occurs.

Gov. Pence: I would say that we need to adopt criminal justice reform nationally. I had signed criminal justice reform in the state of Indiana senate, and very proud about it. I worked in Congress on the second chance act. We have got to do a better job recognizing and correcting the errors in the system that do reflect institutional bias in criminal justice.


And to your point:
Kaine: Elaine, people shouldn't be afraid to bring up issues of bias in law enforcement. And if you're afraid to --
Pence: I'm not afraid to bring that up.


This thread's partisan, maybe hyperpartisan, so you'll likely forever believe the takeaway is Pence is wrong and Kaine is right, and anything that involves Pence being allowed to make the *wrong* argument is an example of a bad exchange. Voters that watched got an idea of the two sides presented in soft voices. They were denied such a hearing in mainstream media and in the presidential debates (tiny bits occurred in the second). If you think productive is too far, call it a healthy discussion. Two sides making their best cases covering a racially and politically charged issue is huge for America, no matter what side you believe.
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18822 Posts
October 11 2016 19:32 GMT
#110147
On October 12 2016 04:22 KwarK wrote:
I feel like the Christians are having a lot of fun trying to incorporate Trumpianity into their dogma. He's literally everything Jesus was telling people reject. This is a good year.

Now now, "the Christians" isn't really the proper title here, we're talking Evangelicals, Baptists, and Non-Denominationals for the most part. The vast majority of Catholics and most Protestant ecclesiastical polities have largely denounced Trump, though some have definitely taken longer to do it than others. IIRC the largest association of Catholic clergy manifestly denounced Trump all the way back in March or something.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Danglars
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States12133 Posts
October 11 2016 19:35 GMT
#110148
On October 12 2016 04:20 OuchyDathurts wrote:
Yeah the VP debates were worthless really. The Hillary Bernie debates on the other hand were "boring" policy talks, especially compared to the freak show that was the republican debates and that was fantastic IMO.

Hey look, turns out Carson continues to prove he's one of the dumbest humans to ever walk the planet, cool!

Two people from the left talking policy is a different kind of healthy. Moving to someone from the right doesn't mean we've gone from helpful to worthless. Maybe today's charged atmosphere means any fair hearing of both sides is ultimately worthless simply because one side is obviously wrong, full stop?
Great armies come from happy zealots, and happy zealots come from California!
TL+ Member
L_Master
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States8017 Posts
October 11 2016 19:35 GMT
#110149
On October 12 2016 04:23 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 04:11 L_Master wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:50 Plansix wrote:
The misunderstanding of the role of the press and how they remain neutral is a problem in general. The efforts to justify Trump’s banning and threatening legal reprisal for their coverage was troubling. That the press can only be neutral if the candidates take all coverage as part of the process, warts and all.

Press are not allowed in the well of the senate or house. The cameras in there are controlled by congress, not the press. The press is allowed into the white house because the presidents before now believed that the best place for the press was within government. Even if they didn’t like the coverage, it was part of the deal. Trump and his supporters like Bannon threatened to end that.

On October 12 2016 03:45 Mohdoo wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:41 Slaughter wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:36 Plansix wrote:
I don’t know, the number of discussions we have had about why “random youtuber number 57” is not reliable source makes me thing we need to re-educate the population on the subject.


Younger people are better at it then older people but yea they still do suck at it in general.


Had a really interesting conversation with an older co-worker. They basically had no idea how they are ever supposed to know if something is credible or not. Lots of websites give the illusion of being legitimate. Think about how hard it is to make a website that looks at least comparable to CNN. People just say "looks legit". Or on Facebook, if 2000 people liked it, surely they can't all be dipshits, can they?


Crowd sourcing as a metric for merit is a blight. From reddit to steam reviews, you see people saying that the number of people who clicked a thing proves something.

I said it a couple days again: It is a myth that authoritarianism is unpopular. That is why we are supposed to fear it.


Can you elaborate a little?

Don't mean this in a disagreeing way, definitely in a I'm curious for some more info way".

When people are disillusioned with the government and system over a long period of time, people look for quick, easy solutions to problems. They desire a “strong leader”, quick action, reprisal and most of all, action. Even if that action isn’t right.

Look at 9/11. After 9/11, everyone was all about whatever we go do to feel safer. Faith in our government was high, public opinion of the president was good. We were all about whatever solutions they had. So they created the patriot act, limited our civil liberties, created special rules for terrorists. We openly talked about torturing people as a solution to getting information we needed to be self. The US, a country that has a basic right that cruel and unusual punishment is not allowed. Ever. But we went along. Even our left wing was on board, with a few exceptions. We backed a war again a nation based on questionable evidence and created a spying program on our own citizens.

Support for all these things is at an all time low now, but at the time we were all about it. Collectively we have forgotten how appealing authoritarian ideas are. We beat those mean Nazis in 1940 and solved that problem, so we never need fear it again. But we forget that we almost feel prey to the exact same things in the 1950s.

Where we changed the pledge of alliance to say “one nation, under God” and required kids to say it in school. Because if we got to them early and often, they wouldn’t become communist. And to this day, we can’t get the pledge of alliance out of our schools or change it back to say “one nation, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.”


I see where you're coming from, and I'd agree. Perhaps I've always seen it as something that people don't necessarily acknowledge on the surface as popular, but yet when things get perceived as bad/dangerous/chaotic they begin to find it appealing. Something comforting I guess in the idea that their is this big, powerful, organized thing looking to keep you out of harms way.

As an aside, maybe authoritarianism is why it got there, but the under God aspect to me seems to remain largely because of the religious group in this country, that now believe it's an important part of what this country is and needs to remain there.
EffOrt and Soulkey Hwaiting!
BallinWitStalin
Profile Joined July 2008
1177 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-12-11 19:16:22
October 11 2016 19:36 GMT
#110150
I await the reminiscent nerd chills I will get when I hear a Korean broadcaster yell "WEEAAAAVVVVVUUUHHH" while watching Dota
Logo
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United States7542 Posts
October 11 2016 19:36 GMT
#110151
On October 12 2016 03:46 Dromar wrote:
1) Democracy works (in a sense). The republican party has been largely ignoring the people they claim to represent for a long time, saying what they needed to say to get voters, and then doing their own thing in congress. It's become very clear that that's not gonna fly anymore.


I feel like this is a pretty important point. The % of Americans that are white has been declining steadily for basically ever, the Republicans have committed fully to winning the white male vote at the expense of everything else.

Even before Trump it was a losing strategy, all Trump has done, if anything, is accelerated that problem by bringing the demographic issues the Republicans have (i.e being terrible to everyone but white males) more to the forefront.
Logo
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9111 Posts
October 11 2016 19:38 GMT
#110152


The election that keeps on giving
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
October 11 2016 19:39 GMT
#110153
Rather than police demanding that discussions about institutionalized racism stop, maybe they should try to prove to the public that they are addressing the concern?

The excuse that the discussion makes police feel bad does not hold a lot of water. Even in one of the most liberal states country there is major push back to even discussing the issue or using body cameras. That isn’t earning trust. They are going to keep getting video taped doing shitty things. So police need to accept this new reality and talk about how they are going to deal with them.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain17959 Posts
October 11 2016 19:42 GMT
#110154
On October 12 2016 02:31 Introvert wrote:
You think this is bad? The day he loses will be a sight to behold. Nothing is ever his fault, and his final humiliation will be no different. But in the meantime the whole GOP has to lose for his own ego.

And that's one reason why I don't post much right now. This election cycle is hot garbage, from both candidates, every single day.

Yeah, I sympathize with you. Your party got hijacked by the loonie bin. But you're party is also at fault for that hijacking. You court crazy long enough and it takes over. And being the science denying run foil hat condoning party is definitely courting crazy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42490 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-11 19:46:24
October 11 2016 19:44 GMT
#110155
On October 12 2016 04:35 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 04:20 OuchyDathurts wrote:
Yeah the VP debates were worthless really. The Hillary Bernie debates on the other hand were "boring" policy talks, especially compared to the freak show that was the republican debates and that was fantastic IMO.

Hey look, turns out Carson continues to prove he's one of the dumbest humans to ever walk the planet, cool!

Two people from the left talking policy is a different kind of healthy. Moving to someone from the right doesn't mean we've gone from helpful to worthless. Maybe today's charged atmosphere means any fair hearing of both sides is ultimately worthless simply because one side is obviously wrong, full stop?

Outside of the American political system it was two people, one from the left, one from the right. The center of mass shifts, you can have a left and a right between Clinton and Bernie, as you ought to know. Right and left will always exist between any two people, suggesting that an elimination of the right is being called for is absurd. Trump is to the left of a great many people, to the right of many more. It's all relative. The philosophical contest between left and right does not need a Republican party to continue.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States42490 Posts
October 11 2016 19:49 GMT
#110156
On October 12 2016 04:32 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 04:14 KwarK wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:59 Danglars wrote:
On October 12 2016 03:46 Dromar wrote:
Honestly, I fully expect Donald Trump to not accept the result of the election if/when he loses.

He will demand an investigation. He'll say it was rigged. He'll imply in some way that "we need to take our country back, by force if necessary," all of which are things he's set up the groundwork for already. The question from the first debate "will you accept the result of the election?" was in reference to these things, and while he did eventually say that he would honor the result, he only did so under duress. What else could you say in that situation? Aside from that, he's shown that he's very comfortable not keeping his word. I imagine he'll deny that he ever said it.

I'm not sure how things will transition from there. Maybe he puts out a message to his most devoted followers "We're gonna continue getting to the bottom of this, and make America great again, on Trump TV. Check your local cable provider." Maybe he's actually 100% insane and will try to stir shit up with the goal of becoming a martyr. Either way I think things only actually get worse once the election ends. Trump has given a voice and validity to a group that will openly denounce the presidency of the US. And that group is much larger than many of us thought it was.

This election has been a nonstop shitfest. But I really think that the shit has only begun to hit the fan, so to speak.

To end on a bright note, I can say 2 good things:

1) Democracy works. The republican party has been largely ignoring the people they claim to represent for a long time, saying what they needed to say to get voters, and then doing their own thing in congress. It's become very clear that that's not gonna fly anymore.

2) I feel like Donald Trump has been such a unique presidential candidate that the average American will be much more involved in government in the coming years. Some credit is definitely due to Bernie Sanders here as well.

Will it take four, six, eight, sixteen years out of power before a new crop stops ignoring the interests of the people who sent them there? It's been a very good year for GOP primary incumbency.

Half the involvement has been spectacle. The very same people who hated on the way Clinton and Trump conducted their campaigns, America deserves better etc, told me the vice presidential debate was boring. They had productive policy exchanges even on local policing for god's sake. I'm not sold on the idea.

Productive policy exchanges on local polices? Pence dismissed the idea of any implicit bias, claiming instead that black people have a superpower that gives them immunity from picking up any bias while growing up in a society that has institutional racism. It wasn't much of an exchange.

The talk on community policing was tacit agreement, and both sides were outlined quite effectively. You're just going to see what you want to see. Take two steps back from the partisan divide and racial analysis.

Show nested quote +
Sen. Kaine: Here is what I learned as a mayor and governor. The way you make communities safer and the way you make police safer is through community policing. You build the bonds between community and the police force, bonds of understanding — that’s between the community and the police — force bonds of understanding. When that gap narrows, it is safer for communities, and for the police. That model works across our country. There are other models that do not work, and overly aggressive more militarized model. Donald Trump recently said we need to do more stop and frisk around the country. That would be a big mistake because it polarizes the relationship between the police and the community…

Gov. Pence: My uncle was a cop, career cop. On the beat in downtown Chicago. He was my hero when I grew up. My three brothers and I would marvel at my uncle when he would come out in his uniform, sidearm at his side. Police officers are the best of us, men and women, white, African-American, Asian, Latino, Hispanic, they put their lives on the line every single day. Let me say, at the risk of agreeing with you, community policing is a great idea. It has worked in the Hoosier state. We fully support that…

They hear the bad mouthing that comes from people that seize upon tragedy as a reason to use a broad brush to accuse law enforcement of implicit bias or institutional racism. That really has got to stop. When an African-American police officer in Charlotte, an all-star football player who went to Liberty University, followed his dad into law enforcement, joined the force in Charlotte in 2014, was involved in a police action shooting that claimed the life of Keith Lamont Scott, it was a tragedy. We mourn with those who mourn, we grieve with those who grieve, and we are saddened at the loss of life.

Hillary Clinton actually referred to that moment as an example of implicit bias in the police force, when she was asked a week ago, whether there was implicit bias in law enforcement, should correctly answer was that there is implicit bias and everyone in the United States I just think what we ought to do is stop seizing on these moments of tragedy. We assure the public we have a full and complete and transparent investigation whenever there is a loss of life because of police action, but Senator, please, enough of this seeking every opportunity to demean law enforcement by making accusation of implicit bias every time tragedy occurs.

Show nested quote +
Gov. Pence: I would say that we need to adopt criminal justice reform nationally. I had signed criminal justice reform in the state of Indiana senate, and very proud about it. I worked in Congress on the second chance act. We have got to do a better job recognizing and correcting the errors in the system that do reflect institutional bias in criminal justice.


And to your point:
Show nested quote +
Kaine: Elaine, people shouldn't be afraid to bring up issues of bias in law enforcement. And if you're afraid to --
Pence: I'm not afraid to bring that up.


This thread's partisan, maybe hyperpartisan, so you'll likely forever believe the takeaway is Pence is wrong and Kaine is right, and anything that involves Pence being allowed to make the *wrong* argument is an example of a bad exchange. Voters that watched got an idea of the two sides presented in soft voices. They were denied such a hearing in mainstream media and in the presidential debates (tiny bits occurred in the second). If you think productive is too far, call it a healthy discussion. Two sides making their best cases covering a racially and politically charged issue is huge for America, no matter what side you believe.

PENCE: Senator, when African-American police officers involved in a police action shooting involving an African-American, why would Hillary Clinton accuse that African-American police officer of implicit bias?

KAINE: Well, I guess I can't believe you are defending the position that there is no bias and it's a topic we don't even...


You left out the part that I was specifically referring to.

The part where Pence insisted that Clinton was wrong to mention any implicit bias within the actions of an African-American. That's the part I referred to when I wrote
claiming instead that black people have a superpower that gives them immunity from picking up any bias while growing up in a society that has institutional racism.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9111 Posts
October 11 2016 19:50 GMT
#110157
Hillary Clinton's campaign is confronting an emerging risk to her presidential ambitions - if Donald Trump continues to trail her in opinion polls many Democrats may simply stay at home on Election Day.

Without enough popular support, Clinton would enter the White House lacking the political capital she would need to drive through her agenda. In the worst-case scenario it could cost her the presidency if Republicans turn out in big numbers on Nov. 8.

Clinton, the Democratic nominee, has spent much of her campaign sounding the alarm over the prospect of a President Trump. She has struggled to lay out a compelling vision for her presidency and has failed to excite key constituencies, including millennials, minority voters and liberal Democrats.

Opinion polls show that many voters are backing Clinton primarily to stop Trump, the Republican nominee, from getting into the White House. If they believe he has no hope of winning, then what would their motivation be to turn up at the polls?

In a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll about half of all Clinton supporters said they were backing her to keep Trump from winning. By contrast, just 36.5 percent said it was because of Clinton’s policies and just 12.6 percent said it was because they like her personally.

“Turnout is correlated with levels of competition,” said Michael McDonald, an elections expert at the University of Florida. “The higher the competition, the higher the turnout.”

The young Americans, blacks, Latinos, and low-income voters who make up much of the Democratic base often need to feel motivated by a particular candidate or issue to turn out, McDonald said, as was the case with President Barack Obama’s candidacy in 2008.

Clinton’s campaign has long worried about voter complacency and has at every turn pushed the notion that the race is close and that Trump is unfit to be president. With her lead growing, that task grows more difficult.

A Reuters/Ipsos 50-state survey (carried out before Friday's release of a video tape in which Trump makes vulgar remarks about women) gave the Democratic nominee a 95 percent chance of winning the election. An NBC/Wall Street Journal poll on Monday showed Clinton with an 11-point lead nationally over Trump.

Low Democratic voter turnout could leave Trump an opening in swing states. And should Clinton win the election, a slim margin of victory could compound the challenge she will face in trying to govern a deeply divided nation.

[...]


http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-clinton-message-analysis-idUSKCN12A2J3
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-11 19:54:00
October 11 2016 19:50 GMT
#110158
On October 12 2016 04:42 Acrofales wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 02:31 Introvert wrote:
You think this is bad? The day he loses will be a sight to behold. Nothing is ever his fault, and his final humiliation will be no different. But in the meantime the whole GOP has to lose for his own ego.

And that's one reason why I don't post much right now. This election cycle is hot garbage, from both candidates, every single day.

Yeah, I sympathize with you. Your party got hijacked by the loonie bin. But you're party is also at fault for that hijacking. You court crazy long enough and it takes over. And being the science denying run foil hat condoning party is definitely courting crazy.

If Republicans voted for that loonie, then it means something about the republicans. You prefer Ted Cruz for real ? At least Trump is funny.

Maybe they needed that idiot to bounce back.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
OuchyDathurts
Profile Joined September 2010
United States4588 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-10-11 19:57:49
October 11 2016 19:52 GMT
#110159
On October 12 2016 04:35 Danglars wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 04:20 OuchyDathurts wrote:
Yeah the VP debates were worthless really. The Hillary Bernie debates on the other hand were "boring" policy talks, especially compared to the freak show that was the republican debates and that was fantastic IMO.

Hey look, turns out Carson continues to prove he's one of the dumbest humans to ever walk the planet, cool!

Two people from the left talking policy is a different kind of healthy. Moving to someone from the right doesn't mean we've gone from helpful to worthless. Maybe today's charged atmosphere means any fair hearing of both sides is ultimately worthless simply because one side is obviously wrong, full stop?


The vast majority of the VP debate was Kaine interrupting but also doing some quoting on policy, numbers, and Trump's lunacy. Pence on the other wise of things was slightly more cordial but didn't bring up any points and was denying reality at an alarming rate. It wasn't some amazing back and forth boring policy fest that you apparently thought it was. They lightly touched on a topic or two. Trust me I would have loved it to be a reasonable boring as fuck back and forth.

I'd say any hearing where one side denies reality exists is completely and totally worthless full stop, yes. If one party thinks that climate change doesn't exist there is nothing to discuss. If one side says no taxes ever there's nowhere to go from there. You do understand when one person comes to the table with an absolute position that's literally at the furthest end of the spectrum there's really no sense in going on right? When one side of the table sticks their fingers in their ears when the evidence is mountainous and crumbling the planet then you're dealing with a crazy person and there's no dealing with crazy.

There are things you can be absolutely wrong on, sometimes reality is binary and opinions don't matter. Man made climate change is real, end of. NOW, we might have some back and forth on how to best deal with it, slow it, stop it, make the world better for everyone. But if you flat out deny its existence then yes any talks are a waste of time.

It's possible to have a civil debate and talk nuance and substance and be cordial. Bernie and Hillary did it because they're not children and they don't have to defend the indefensible the whole time. Maybe next time the RNC won't put a clown at the head of their ticket that drags everything into the mud and then people can talk about substance the whole time. That would be pretty neato if you ask me.

On October 12 2016 04:44 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 12 2016 04:35 Danglars wrote:
On October 12 2016 04:20 OuchyDathurts wrote:
Yeah the VP debates were worthless really. The Hillary Bernie debates on the other hand were "boring" policy talks, especially compared to the freak show that was the republican debates and that was fantastic IMO.

Hey look, turns out Carson continues to prove he's one of the dumbest humans to ever walk the planet, cool!

Two people from the left talking policy is a different kind of healthy. Moving to someone from the right doesn't mean we've gone from helpful to worthless. Maybe today's charged atmosphere means any fair hearing of both sides is ultimately worthless simply because one side is obviously wrong, full stop?

Outside of the American political system it was two people, one from the left, one from the right. The center of mass shifts, you can have a left and a right between Clinton and Bernie, as you ought to know. Right and left will always exist between any two people, suggesting that an elimination of the right is being called for is absurd. Trump is to the left of a great many people, to the right of many more. It's all relative. The philosophical contest between left and right does not need a Republican party to continue.


Yes and many of the American Right's positions are becoming completely untenable. You can't stop the world from changing and many of their age old positions they need to completely drop or die. Things will have to shift to something more like that.
LiquidDota Staff
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15584 Posts
October 11 2016 19:55 GMT
#110160
After someone calls you a weak and ineffective leader, how do you justify your endorsement for that same person? Good grief.

The GOP wanted to prevent fracturing by backing Trump. Now they have no other choice.
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