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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
WolfintheSheep
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada14127 Posts
July 10 2015 05:18 GMT
#41841
On July 10 2015 13:50 Mohdoo wrote:
I can't help but wonder if maybe Trump really does intend to run for president. Anyone else starting to think "maybe this isn't just a stunt"?

Given that he's actually polling well compared to his competition, it's not really surprising. I imagine everyone would make the jump from "joke campaign" to "actual campaign" if it looked like they had a real chance.
Average means I'm better than half of you.
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15736 Posts
July 10 2015 06:14 GMT
#41842
On July 10 2015 14:18 WolfintheSheep wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 13:50 Mohdoo wrote:
I can't help but wonder if maybe Trump really does intend to run for president. Anyone else starting to think "maybe this isn't just a stunt"?

Given that he's actually polling well compared to his competition, it's not really surprising. I imagine everyone would make the jump from "joke campaign" to "actual campaign" if it looked like they had a real chance.


One thing that I think is interesting is that he could out-fund every other candidate from his personal fortune. If he wanted, he could spend billions of his own money and very likely buy himself the republican nomination.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 10 2015 06:45 GMT
#41843
Money helps, but there's limits to it. He can't just buy it by spending tons of cash. Especially in a high profile race where there's enough other people throwing lots of money in as well.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-10 06:55:16
July 10 2015 06:53 GMT
#41844
Money is mostly a threshold question. It's basically a measure of if you have enough dedicated supporters. A recent example would be gay marriage, which never had substantial support until its dedicated minority spent huge sums on advocacy.

Almost no candidate wins or loses based on money, and if they do, it is because no one really gave a shit about them to get them to the threshold.
Freeeeeeedom
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11413 Posts
July 10 2015 07:42 GMT
#41845
Well, I wonder if he doesn't make it through the Republican primary, would he become the next Ross Perot and go third party?
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
July 10 2015 07:51 GMT
#41846
falling -> no he wouldn't. He often runs, and no one ever expects him to actually stay in. I don't think he really cares enough.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
DannyJ
Profile Joined March 2010
United States5110 Posts
July 10 2015 08:01 GMT
#41847
It's basically the best publicity money can buy.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23639 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-10 09:53:29
July 10 2015 09:37 GMT
#41848
On July 10 2015 16:42 Falling wrote:
Well, I wonder if he doesn't make it through the Republican primary, would he become the next Ross Perot and go third party?



He's already floated the idea, and he claims he's going to have his financials in on time (which is early for what's expected).

He's got like 90 days worth of extensions after next week I think it is. He claims he doesn't plan on using the extensions.

EDIT: If the financials come in, this is a real deal run. If Jeb wins, and it's not from a total meltdown, he'll probably run third party.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
July 10 2015 13:52 GMT
#41849
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Bagration
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States18282 Posts
July 10 2015 15:30 GMT
#41850
On July 10 2015 16:42 Falling wrote:
Well, I wonder if he doesn't make it through the Republican primary, would he become the next Ross Perot and go third party?


If that happens, then the Democrats could run nearly anyone and still win. The electoral map is already skewed against the Republicans.
Team Slayers, Axiom-Acer and Vile forever
whatisthisasheep
Profile Joined April 2015
624 Posts
July 10 2015 15:47 GMT
#41851
Some interesting questions are going to be asked by the miss USA judges on Sunday and Trump will be In attendence. Should be enteraining to say the least
Please help me get in contact with the Pats organization because I'd love to personally deflate Tom's balls.
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45275 Posts
July 10 2015 16:04 GMT
#41852
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 10 2015 16:06 GMT
#41853
On July 11 2015 00:30 Bagration wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 16:42 Falling wrote:
Well, I wonder if he doesn't make it through the Republican primary, would he become the next Ross Perot and go third party?


If that happens, then the Democrats could run nearly anyone and still win. The electoral map is already skewed against the Republicans.


Not to mention that a lot of the Republicans redistricting efforts are slowly being thrown out by courts, further hurting their chances. I don’t know why they thought the courts would let them pull the shit they did.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/30/us/supreme-court-upholds-creation-of-arizona-redistricting-commission.html?_r=0

I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
farvacola
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
United States18846 Posts
July 10 2015 16:06 GMT
#41854
I don't think net worth is the right number to be looking at.
"when the Dead Kennedys found out they had skinhead fans, they literally wrote a song titled 'Nazi Punks Fuck Off'"
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22088 Posts
July 10 2015 16:21 GMT
#41855
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.

Net worth and "Money he can spend" are 2 very different things.
He doesn't have a bank account with 9 billion in it.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-10 16:27:39
July 10 2015 16:26 GMT
#41856
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.


Appealing? I really thought the public just thought he was an egotistical douche and kind of a joke businessman by this point in his career. He will never win anything in this election because no one will ever take him seriously or think he can actually do the job. If he were to magically win the primary the country will be out of their seats laughing at what the GOP has let itself become and the Dems cruise to an ez life victory.
Never Knows Best.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23639 Posts
July 10 2015 16:27 GMT
#41857
On July 11 2015 01:26 Slaughter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.


Appealing? I really thought the public just thought he was an egotistical douche and kind of a joke businessman by this point in his career. He will never win anything in politics because no one will ever take him seriously or think he can actually do the job.


He's straight up leading the Republican party for the nomination, they seem to take him quite seriously now.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Slaughter
Profile Blog Joined November 2003
United States20254 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-10 16:32:14
July 10 2015 16:30 GMT
#41858
On July 11 2015 01:27 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 01:26 Slaughter wrote:
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.


Appealing? I really thought the public just thought he was an egotistical douche and kind of a joke businessman by this point in his career. He will never win anything in politics because no one will ever take him seriously or think he can actually do the job.


He's straight up leading the Republican party for the nomination, they seem to take him quite seriously now.


I will actually believe that when he wins in the election, not this retarded fluff shit the media hypes way before anything substantial actually happens.
Never Knows Best.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
July 10 2015 16:34 GMT
#41859
On July 11 2015 01:27 GreenHorizons wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 01:26 Slaughter wrote:
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.


Appealing? I really thought the public just thought he was an egotistical douche and kind of a joke businessman by this point in his career. He will never win anything in politics because no one will ever take him seriously or think he can actually do the job.


He's straight up leading the Republican party for the nomination, they seem to take him quite seriously now.

I think that might be more representative of how little people know of the other republican candidates. Or that the Republicans grabbing headlines for the last 4 years have been clowns like Ted Cruz or damaged goods like Christy.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States45275 Posts
July 10 2015 16:37 GMT
#41860
On July 11 2015 01:21 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 01:04 DarkPlasmaBall wrote:
On July 10 2015 22:52 ticklishmusic wrote:
Trump isn't near as rich as he claims to be. He *might* be about rich as Perot, but with super PAC's that counts for a lot less.

Besides, he's already bought publicity. Or rather, he's lost a shit ton of money because people now refuse to do business with him.


$9 billion is Trump's net worth, right?
http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-net-worth-2015-6

Even if it's exaggerated, that's still more than the hundreds of millions raised by other candidates.

For comparison, Ross Perot had about $3.5 billion net worth. Although I think what's more important is the fact that Trump is a hell of a lot more intimidating yet appealing to the common person who doesn't really follow politics.

Net worth and "Money he can spend" are 2 very different things.
He doesn't have a bank account with 9 billion in it.


Fair enough, although he's clearly got incredibly deep pockets that he could unload for a decent shot at the nomination, I think.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
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