EPT[SWL] KT Rolster vs Woongjin Stars - Page 62
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imperfect
Canada1652 Posts
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Amnesia
United States3818 Posts
On January 26 2011 20:23 aimaimaim wrote: W T F !!!! SRSLY WOW!!! props to you man! such awesome skills of prediction right there!!!!!!! it's 50/50 lol | ||
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Kenpachi
United States9908 Posts
On January 27 2011 00:19 imperfect wrote: Stars and ace matches.. gave Action super powers.. | ||
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Holgerius
Sweden16951 Posts
You fail. Flash is 27-3 in this seasons PL/WL (18-2, 9-1) and undefeated in WL until today. It is by no means 50/50. | ||
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FakePlasticLove
United States357 Posts
On January 27 2011 00:53 Holgerius wrote: You fail. Flash is 27-3 in this seasons PL/WL (18-2, 9-1) and undefeated in WL until today. It is by no means 50/50. It's win = 50% or lose 50%. Obviously i too have gosu predicting skills and I predict Flash will win a game next match. | ||
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Holgerius
Sweden16951 Posts
On January 27 2011 00:59 FakePlasticLove wrote: It's win = 50% or lose 50%. Obviously i too have gosu predicting skills and I predict Flash will win a game next match. Explain to me how it's 50/50 when he has a 90% winrate. | ||
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MarKoNiO
Peru888 Posts
Glad KT won, Flash is still king | ||
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xarthaz
1704 Posts
On January 27 2011 01:05 Holgerius wrote: Explain to me how it's 50/50 when he has a 90% winrate. Class probability says nothing about individual probabilty. The probabilty of individual events cannot be numerically evaluated. | ||
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Elroi
Sweden5599 Posts
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okum
France5778 Posts
On January 27 2011 01:23 xarthaz wrote: Yesss Zero proving what ive known all along, zerglings are the best zerg unit! Larva heavy pure crackling late game master!! Too bad about last set Class probability says nothing about individual probabilty. The probabilty of individual events cannot be numerically evaluated. Of course they can. The meaning of "probability of an individual event" (given some statistical model, e.g. a random variable) is precise both mathematically and intuitively. Now, if you personally subscribe to an interpretation of statistics where probabilities are considered meaningless for predictive purposes, that's your problem. The rest of us prefer living in reality. | ||
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xarthaz
1704 Posts
On January 27 2011 03:49 okum wrote: Of course they can. The meaning of "probability of an individual event" (given some statistical model, e.g. a random variable) is precise both mathematically and intuitively. Now, if you personally subscribe to an interpretation of statistics where probabilities are considered meaningless for predictive purposes, that's your problem. The rest of us prefer living in reality. Class probability means: We know or assume to know, with regard to the problem concerned, everything about the behavior of a whole class of events or phenomena; but about the actual singular events or phenomena we know nothing but that they are elements of this class. For this defective knowledge the calculus of probability provides a presentation in symbols of the mathematical terminology. It neither expands nor deepens nor complements our knowledge. It translates it into mathemat- ical language. Its calculations repeat in algebraic formulas what we knew beforehand. They do not lead to results that would tell us anything about the actual singular events. And, of course, they do not add anything to our knowledge concerning the behavior of the whole class, as this knowledge was already perfect—or was considered perfect—at the very outset of our consideration of the matter. Case probability means: We know, with regard to a particular event, some of the factors which determine its outcome; but there are other determining factors about which we know nothing. Case probability has nothing in common with class probability but the incompleteness of our knowledge. In every other regard the two are entirely different. | ||
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okum
France5778 Posts
Edit: ah, I see now why you're not making sense. Your post is copied verbatim from some book, and you're not providing any context. If you have something to say, do it with your own words (and don't plagiarize -- it makes you look like a moron). | ||
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Cambium
United States16368 Posts
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infinity2k9
United Kingdom2397 Posts
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xarthaz
1704 Posts
On January 27 2011 05:16 okum wrote: probability of "flash winning a game" is case probability, hence numerically not evaluable. The post was an elaboration of the concept. Huh? You're still not making sense. Edit: ah, I see now why you're not making sense. Your post is copied verbatim from some book, and you're not providing any context. If you have something to say, do it with your own words (and don't plagiarize -- it makes you look like a moron). Also, prescriptive statements are noth truth apt, hence do not imply point. | ||
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Monkeyshark
United States406 Posts
On January 27 2011 07:52 infinity2k9 wrote: Finally the ridiculous mech shit defeated, although i don't think it was as effective mech as it could have been... lack of mines and lack of tanks near the start. Wonderful macro by ZerO. And the typical boring as fuck building 100 turrets and split the map of Flash. So he should gg after he lost all of those goliath in the beginning is what you're saying? | ||
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Craton
United States17281 Posts
I love how the last page of this thread has turned into an argument over statistics. | ||
Antoine
United States7481 Posts
On January 27 2011 07:52 infinity2k9 wrote: Finally the ridiculous mech shit defeated, although i don't think it was as effective mech as it could have been... lack of mines and lack of tanks near the start. Wonderful macro by ZerO. And the typical boring as fuck building 100 turrets and split the map of Flash. Are you trying to say that this was typical Flash play? While I'll agree that he is the one of the only terrans to play this way (Sea probably being the most prominent amongst the others), by no means is it something he commonly does. | ||
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lastmotion
368 Posts
On January 26 2011 15:51 Scaramanga wrote: Cause it takes like 12 gas' to be effective aha and Tanks + Mines literally rape all ground units, including Ultras while Mass Goliath + Irradiate > Infinity Number of Mutas (Mech OP!) | ||
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lastmotion
368 Posts
On January 27 2011 07:52 infinity2k9 wrote: Finally the ridiculous mech shit defeated, although i don't think it was as effective mech as it could have been... lack of mines and lack of tanks near the start. Wonderful macro by ZerO. And the typical boring as fuck building 100 turrets and split the map of Flash. I dont think this mech play was anything near good enough to be called a effective mech play for one, T let Z get million bases and did not do enough vulture harrass too many goliaths and not enough mines imo. when you see a shitload of lings + hydras, I would assume that the logical unit composition would be vulture + tanks + mines, with enough goliaths just to shut down mutas since you have irradiate. Flash went too goliath-heavy imo and played too defensively | ||
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