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WCS Europe Premier League - Ro16 Group A

Blogs > ApolloSC2
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ApolloSC2
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United Kingdom804 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-13 23:32:03
May 13 2013 23:21 GMT
#1
Verging on irrelevancy - 4 players who have something to prove

[image loading]

The WCS Europe Premier League Season 1 continues tomorrow as we approach the round of 16. I want to go through Group A which will be played on May 14th and look at the players who, I feel, need to bring their best performance to date.


Ro16 of WCS Europe Premier League Group A:

[image loading] [image loading] TLO - Team Liquid

[image loading]


[image loading] [image loading] MMA - Team Acer
[image loading]


[image loading] [image loading] Strelok - Natus Vincere
[image loading]

[image loading] [image loading] ForGG - Millenium
[image loading]


The Group Matchups
TLO vs. ForGG
MMA vs. Strelok



TLO - Can he keep his performances up?
Dario ‘TLO’ Wünsch, the community fan favourite, has been pouring hours and hours into rebuilding himself from his former glory days when StarCraft was first released. His last tournament victory was in January 2011 and since then he has not come close to claiming another tournament win.
Since that time, TLO has lived and trained in Sweden, he currently lives back in Germany but most notably he stayed in Korea where he still struggled to show improved results as he could not qualify for Code A and had low finishes at international tournaments.
He is now on a big swing full of momentum with great posting of improved results over the last 6months where he has finished multiple times Top 8 but he is still in search of the big result that he desperately needs.
He enters the Ro16 with a group full of Terrans, which greatly eases his preparation as he only needs to practice one matchup, Zerg vs Terran. This is his chance to prove to all of us that he has what it takes to compete at the most prestigious level of StarCraft. Do you think TLO has what it takes?

Prediction: 2nd place



MMA - The son of Boxer returns?
Mun Seong Won also known to us as MMA the son of Boxer. A former Code S, MLG and IEM champion. Through a period of 2011 MMA was regarded as one of, if not, the best player in StarCraft. Today MMA is a shell of his former self without a big result to his name in over a year. No other player has seen such highs and lows combined with drama around them.
This is his chance to return, his chance to get back to the top of his game and really prove to us that the old MMA is still there. Will we see the recovery play out, live, throughout this group?

Prediction: 1st place



Strelok - Another Ukrainian Korean killer?
Eugin ‘Strelok’ Oparyshev, the Ukrainian shadowed by his fellow country men such as Dimaga, Kas and WhiteRa. If he is able to do well within this group, especially in a group with two Koreans in it, this will be his chance to challenge them and in all honesty, return some former glory back to Ukraine.
The last time we saw big results from Ukraine against Koreans was when we saw Dimaga beat Nestea, JulyZerg and the king himself, MVP back in 2011 for the GSL World Championship and not forgetting his great run at Blizzcon 2011.
Strelok is probably going into this group as the underdog but with his recent performances in Heart of the Swarm, his technical and strategic side shining through with his consistent use of Mech, its possible he could advance. As Strelok approaches his 28th birthday come the 25th May, could this be his one last true attempt to prove himself within the SC community.

Prediction: 4th place



ForGG - Can he find glory in SC2?
Park Ji Soo also known as ForGG. The original Elephant, the first top tier Brood War professional to move into StarCraft II. He holds 3 SC:BW titles, 2 Proleague victories and 1 MSL (1v1) victory, where he beat KaL, Flash and Jaedong to claim it.
Within StarCraft he went straight through Code A into Code S after only a few months of his official switching date but fell straight back down again. ForGG had different plans than the standard Korean who aspires to challenge the Korean scene and rise the ranks, he decided to join Millenium, a French team, and conquer Europe where he found great success.
ForGG has finished 2nd place at two big international tournaments, ESWC and Dreamhack Valencia yet is still without a StarCraft tournament victory. He is looking incredibly strong coming into this, especially when it comes down to Terran vs Terran games. In April, ForGG streamed 184 hours, does he still have it in him to be a champion or is he content to just carve out a decent living being an online streamer?

Prediction: 3rd place

*****
www.twitter.com/apollosc2
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33494 Posts
May 13 2013 23:25 GMT
#2
didn't call TLO creative, 5/5 stars
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
DenTenker
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
United States606 Posts
May 13 2013 23:27 GMT
#3
I believe that as long as TLO plays as well as he has been in the last couple of months, he should make it out of his group. Practicing only 1 matchup greatly improves his odds of winning. But, only time will tell. Can't wait to watch!
If your all in didn't work, you didn't pull the workers.
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
May 13 2013 23:30 GMT
#4
I like how creative and inspirational TLO is.
5/5
prOpSnuffe
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden241 Posts
May 13 2013 23:30 GMT
#5
"ForGG has finished 2nd place at two big international tournaments, ESWC and Assembly Summer yet is still without a StarCraft tournament victory." Dreamhack Valencia doesn't count as a big international tournament?
Best starcraft 2 player of all time? INnoVation
StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
May 13 2013 23:37 GMT
#6
I hope the opposite happens!
Heyoka
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
Katowice25012 Posts
May 13 2013 23:48 GMT
#7
I believe in you TLO.

And your creativity.
@RealHeyoka | ESL / DreamHack StarCraft Lead
Otolia
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
France5805 Posts
May 13 2013 23:59 GMT
#8
On May 14 2013 08:30 prOpSnuffe wrote:
"ForGG has finished 2nd place at two big international tournaments, ESWC and Assembly Summer yet is still without a StarCraft tournament victory." Dreamhack Valencia doesn't count as a big international tournament?

He didn't win it. TaeJa did thus beginning the Summer of TaeJa. Overall ForGG is a nightmare for Millenium fans. He looks so strong sometimes but can lose stupidly in the next game. If stars align then the sky is the limit ...
ReignSupreme.
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Australia4123 Posts
May 14 2013 00:02 GMT
#9
I want TLO to make it through for obvious reasons, but this Terran stacked group...
Tppz!
Profile Joined October 2010
Germany1449 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-14 00:31:12
May 14 2013 00:30 GMT
#10
exactly like my predictions: (ger)
http://starcraft2.ingame.de/kommentare.php?s=82&newsid=114651
so they must come true!


btw:
TLO won 2:0 vs forgg at dreamhack

TLO & MMA fighting!

nice writeup apollo, but i would have loved a bit more information
KadaverBB
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Germany25657 Posts
May 14 2013 01:13 GMT
#11
TLO is obviously going to win this
AdministratorLaws change depending on who's making them, but justice is justice
Bagration
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
United States18282 Posts
May 14 2013 01:25 GMT
#12
I want to see MMA win another Premier tournament. WCS EU would be nice
Team Slayers, Axiom-Acer and Vile forever
AnachronisticAnarchy
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States2957 Posts
May 14 2013 02:07 GMT
#13
On May 14 2013 08:30 kollin wrote:
I like how creative and inspirational TLO is.
5/5


On May 14 2013 08:48 heyoka wrote:
I believe in you TLO.

And your creativity.


Why are we making jokes about this again? I don't get the context.
"How are you?" "I am fine, because it is not normal to scream in pain."
Wunder
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom2950 Posts
May 14 2013 02:21 GMT
#14
Go MMA! For my Fantasy points.
Writer@joonjoewong
Mahanaim
Profile Joined December 2012
Korea (South)1002 Posts
May 14 2013 03:51 GMT
#15
I hope TLO and ForGG advance...
Celebrating Starcraft since... a long time ago.
Daswollvieh
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
5553 Posts
May 14 2013 06:07 GMT
#16
There is this tendency of Koreans crushing aspiring foreigners by sheer amount of pressure. Hope TLO is ready for Hellbat and mine abuse to the max.

Also hope TLO will not try to win pretty, but win no matter what it takes.
Frankon
Profile Joined May 2010
3054 Posts
May 14 2013 06:07 GMT
#17
Remember Apollo NOT to do any bets on LM finals with Carmac. Im sure he will find something better than pink pikachu.

Also... MMA and Strelok to advance.... HPM all the way ^^
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
May 14 2013 06:35 GMT
#18
i hope TLO and forgg advance. would be ok with strelok over forgg. europe must hold!
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
May 14 2013 06:44 GMT
#19
I'm predicting the exact opposite. I think ForGG has the strongest TvT by far, and Strelok comes in second in that. TLO might make it out if he manages to beat MMA in the loser's match though.
iNcontroL *
Profile Blog Joined July 2004
USA29055 Posts
May 14 2013 09:19 GMT
#20
kinda funny using that strelok picture btw.. he lost a TON of weight and looks a lot different than that atm
7mk
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Germany10157 Posts
May 14 2013 09:20 GMT
#21
I'm not sure I'd call ForGG the original elephant, he was far from top tier at the end, other than that nice blog. I also have TLO and MMA advancing, although I have no idea how good MMA is atm
beep boop
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
May 14 2013 09:30 GMT
#22
On May 14 2013 11:07 AnachronisticAnarchy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 14 2013 08:30 kollin wrote:
I like how creative and inspirational TLO is.
5/5


Show nested quote +
On May 14 2013 08:48 heyoka wrote:
I believe in you TLO.

And your creativity.


Why are we making jokes about this again? I don't get the context.



how many times have you heard someone call TLO creative?
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
JollYRoGeR
Profile Blog Joined December 2002
Sweden342 Posts
May 14 2013 10:37 GMT
#23
On May 14 2013 18:20 7mk wrote:
I'm not sure I'd call ForGG the original elephant, he was far from top tier at the end, other than that nice blog. I also have TLO and MMA advancing, although I have no idea how good MMA is atm

Original elephant as in the first GOOD progamer to switch from SC:BW to SC2
StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-14 10:59:36
May 14 2013 10:57 GMT
#24
On May 14 2013 18:19 iNcontroL wrote:
kinda funny using that strelok picture btw.. he lost a TON of weight and looks a lot different than that atm

Ya, should've used this one

[image loading]


Strelok has a shot, I think and so does everyone else in this group.

I'd say that the first game between TLO and ForGG could already decide the group.
BiG
Profile Joined June 2010
Germany153 Posts
May 14 2013 11:03 GMT
#25
#1 ForGG
#2 MMA
#3/#4 TLO/Strelok

not because of koreans being generally better than europeans, but because strelok doesnt seem to be as good as the 2 other Ts in the group and TLO is very gimmicky, which most of the times doesnt work against koreans, especially now that some of his stuff has been shown already.
7mk
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Germany10157 Posts
May 14 2013 11:03 GMT
#26
On May 14 2013 19:37 JollYRoGeR wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 14 2013 18:20 7mk wrote:
I'm not sure I'd call ForGG the original elephant, he was far from top tier at the end, other than that nice blog. I also have TLO and MMA advancing, although I have no idea how good MMA is atm

Original elephant as in the first GOOD progamer to switch from SC:BW to SC2

yeah but he wasn't actually good at the time of the switch anymore, he lost 8 out of his 10 last matches. MVP for example was imo doing slightly better before his much earlier switch, for example won against some strong players in Hana Daetoo msl round before getting knocked out by Flash.
But hey this is all just nitpicking, there's definitely more important things to argue about :p
beep boop
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
May 14 2013 11:37 GMT
#27
I think you underestimate Strelok and overvalue MMA.
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
TBO
Profile Joined September 2009
Germany1350 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-14 12:28:53
May 14 2013 12:26 GMT
#28
On May 14 2013 20:37 Type|NarutO wrote:
I think you underestimate Strelok and overvalue MMA.


Think so too, but MMA really is the wildcard of this group, I have a clear idea about the strenghts/weaknesses of forGG,Strelok and Dario but there just isn't much to work with when it comes to evaluate MMA. Last WCS group and a few ATC matches are all there is available and in those he showed very mixed performances (not looking at results at match outcome but the way he played).
7mk
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Germany10157 Posts
May 14 2013 12:36 GMT
#29
On May 14 2013 20:03 BiG wrote:
#1 ForGG
#2 MMA
#3/#4 TLO/Strelok

not because of koreans being generally better than europeans, but because strelok doesnt seem to be as good as the 2 other Ts in the group and TLO is very gimmicky, which most of the times doesnt work against koreans, especially now that some of his stuff has been shown already.

TLO has a history of beating strong korean terrans when he wasn't nearly as solid as he's now. You might call it gimmicky but him being unpredictable and not going for the greedy style every game is exactly what terrans are afraid of.
beep boop
DavoS
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States4605 Posts
May 14 2013 13:01 GMT
#30
On May 14 2013 08:59 Otolia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 14 2013 08:30 prOpSnuffe wrote:
"ForGG has finished 2nd place at two big international tournaments, ESWC and Assembly Summer yet is still without a StarCraft tournament victory." Dreamhack Valencia doesn't count as a big international tournament?

He didn't win it. TaeJa did thus beginning the Summer of TaeJa. Overall ForGG is a nightmare for Millenium fans. He looks so strong sometimes but can lose stupidly in the next game. If stars align then the sky is the limit ...


I think he was referring more to the fact that ForGG should be credited with 3 big 2nd place finishes, not two.
"KDA is actually the most useless stat in the game" Aui_2000
Thor.Rush
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden702 Posts
May 14 2013 13:14 GMT
#31
Forgg slightly favored over TLO but not by much. Should be an interesting match for sure.
| SaSe | Naniwa |Stephano | LucifroN | Mvp | MarineKing | ByuN | Polt | MC | Parting |
StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
May 14 2013 15:25 GMT
#32
On May 14 2013 22:01 DavoS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 14 2013 08:59 Otolia wrote:
On May 14 2013 08:30 prOpSnuffe wrote:
"ForGG has finished 2nd place at two big international tournaments, ESWC and Assembly Summer yet is still without a StarCraft tournament victory." Dreamhack Valencia doesn't count as a big international tournament?

He didn't win it. TaeJa did thus beginning the Summer of TaeJa. Overall ForGG is a nightmare for Millenium fans. He looks so strong sometimes but can lose stupidly in the next game. If stars align then the sky is the limit ...


I think he was referring more to the fact that ForGG should be credited with 3 big 2nd place finishes, not two.

He shouldn't though, Apollo screwed up, ForGG got 3rd place at ASUS ROG and 2nd at ESWC and DH Valencia, it's still "only" two 2nd place finishes.
GhandiEAGLE
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States20754 Posts
May 14 2013 15:44 GMT
#33
If I don't vote for TLO, he'll make it for sure.

Go not TLO!
Oh, my achin' hands, from rakin' in grands, and breakin' in mic stands
Gamegene
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States8308 Posts
May 14 2013 15:51 GMT
#34
On May 14 2013 22:14 Thor.Rush wrote:
Forgg slightly favored over TLO but not by much. Should be an interesting match for sure.


TLO has had ForGG's number for quite some time now.

That being said, I've become a ForGG fan all over again watching the showmethemsl vods. Definitely hope he pulls through.
Throw on your favorite jacket and you're good to roll. Stroll through the trees and let your miseries go.
sertman
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States540 Posts
May 14 2013 21:43 GMT
#35
my favorite thing about this whole thread is how everyone makes fun of people who call TLO creative and then he gets out of his group by being creative
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
May 14 2013 21:48 GMT
#36
On May 14 2013 18:19 iNcontroL wrote:
kinda funny using that strelok picture btw.. he lost a TON of weight and looks a lot different than that atm

wow I hadnt seen him in a long time and when he was on stream it was like a completely different person almost
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
GhandiEAGLE
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States20754 Posts
May 15 2013 06:41 GMT
#37
On May 15 2013 06:43 sertman wrote:
my favorite thing about this whole thread is how everyone makes fun of people who call TLO creative and then he gets out of his group by being creative

I came back to this blog the moment I watched his games, lol...
Oh, my achin' hands, from rakin' in grands, and breakin' in mic stands
NarutO
Profile Blog Joined December 2006
Germany18839 Posts
May 15 2013 06:46 GMT
#38
On May 15 2013 06:43 sertman wrote:
my favorite thing about this whole thread is how everyone makes fun of people who call TLO creative and then he gets out of his group by being creative


How was TLO creative? The only thing he did that was uncommon, was a swarmhost drop that didn't win him the game. The early spire and the damage done from it was key. He could have continued a complete standard game and still would be very good in there.

Other than that, I saw 3 solid games vs forGG... so :x yeah
CommentatorPolt | MMA | Jjakji | BoxeR | NaDa | MVP | MKP ... truly inspiring.
Dumbledore
Profile Joined April 2011
Sweden725 Posts
May 15 2013 06:46 GMT
#39
Where can I find the vods for this?
Thanks
Have a nice day ;)
Daswollvieh
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
5553 Posts
May 15 2013 07:10 GMT
#40
On May 15 2013 15:46 Dumbledore wrote:
Where can I find the vods for this?
Thanks


On their regular twitch stream page.
virpi
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Germany3599 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-15 08:12:00
May 15 2013 08:11 GMT
#41
On May 15 2013 15:46 Type|NarutO wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 15 2013 06:43 sertman wrote:
my favorite thing about this whole thread is how everyone makes fun of people who call TLO creative and then he gets out of his group by being creative


How was TLO creative? The only thing he did that was uncommon, was a swarmhost drop that didn't win him the game. The early spire and the damage done from it was key. He could have continued a complete standard game and still would be very good in there.

Other than that, I saw 3 solid games vs forGG... so :x yeah

I agree. TLO used to be a gimmicky player, but nowadays, he seems to have become much more solid. His defense vs. ForGG in game 2 and game 3 was very well done. Strelok just got rolled by TLO's strategy, which basically hard-countered Strelok's playstyle. Game 1 in that series was really nice, TLO didn't just abuse his opponent's build (quick mutas, fast tech), he also took advantage of the map layout. (sh drop, huuuge concave to siege Strelok's third.)

I think that TLO has never been better. Depending on who he meets in the next round, he could go very far in the tournament.
first we make expand, then we defense it.
virpi
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Germany3599 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-05-15 08:12:15
May 15 2013 08:11 GMT
#42
oops, double post.
first we make expand, then we defense it.
snively
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States1159 Posts
May 15 2013 20:56 GMT
#43
nuuu mma lose whai
My religion is Starcraft
styLesdavis
Profile Joined March 2012
Germany833 Posts
May 16 2013 10:09 GMT
#44
On May 15 2013 15:46 Type|NarutO wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 15 2013 06:43 sertman wrote:
my favorite thing about this whole thread is how everyone makes fun of people who call TLO creative and then he gets out of his group by being creative


How was TLO creative? The only thing he did that was uncommon, was a swarmhost drop that didn't win him the game. The early spire and the damage done from it was key. He could have continued a complete standard game and still would be very good in there.

Other than that, I saw 3 solid games vs forGG... so :x yeah


Of course those drops didn`t won him the game but at what other game did you see sh-drops
at a pro level? Those drops made Strelok split his main army into two to defend his 3rd and main.
I think you can be creative by doing things that won`t win you a game directly.

But the main reason i am posting here was that nobody even mentioned that Apollo
was so fu**in hilarious! When he analysed game 1 against Strelok i was literally laughing
my ass off.
LiquidTLO - LiquidTaeja - LiquidHero - LiquidSnute - LiquidRet
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