I have been following this thread for a while but I think it has run its course. i don't think any additional speculation is warranted until we receive some more facts or hear any news on the probe from Chinese authorities (if that's actually being taken seriously). we've seen the replays; we've seen the betting line changes.
edit: at the beginning, people were posting with all the facts in mind and had researched what happened but now people seem to just be adding +1's to whatever they believed in going in