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TL Mafia 2 [GG]

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 3 Next All
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 14 2008 00:34 GMT
#140
Sign me up please :D
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 18 2008 23:57 GMT
#786
Ace:

About your Bodyguard plan, what stops a mafia mayor from pming each actual bodyguard with a list that is something like:

mafia 1
mafia 2
mafia 3
bodyguard #

Each actual bodyguard would get a pm back from each of the fake mafia-bodyguards and they wouldn't know.

Then once the mayor gets checked by a detective, couldn't there be fake mafia-detectives that state that the mayor is innocent?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 00:09 GMT
#802
On March 19 2008 09:02 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2008 08:57 Kau wrote:
Ace:

About your Bodyguard plan, what stops a mafia mayor from pming each actual bodyguard with a list that is something like:

mafia 1
mafia 2
mafia 3
bodyguard #

Each actual bodyguard would get a pm back from each of the fake mafia-bodyguards and they wouldn't know.

Then once the mayor gets checked by a detective, couldn't there be fake mafia-detectives that state that the mayor is innocent?


They can't because all the other Bodyguards that didn't get a PM would know something is wrong. In the event that they do that, it just helps the town because we can just apply all clues and DT/Jack power to that list of suspects and catch the Mafia asap.

No fake detective is going to spring forward and state the Mayor is innocent because they run the risk at having a real detective also step forward and once again we are back to place where we have confirmed a situation with at least 1 suspect as Mafia (because someone is lying) and a sure fire Mafia lynching.



What I'm saying is that the pm is sent to every real bodyguard. Say there are 3 bodyguards. 3 pms would be sent out:

Mafia 1
Mafia 2
Bodyguard 1

Mafia 1
Mafia 2
Bodyguard 2

Mafia 1
Mafia 2
Bodyguard 3

Each bodyguard would then get pms back from Mafia 1 and 2 and thus are "confirmed".

And about fake detectives springing forward and stating the mayor is innocent, the townies have no way of knowing who is telling the truth and who isn't. We can't know when a real detective steps forward because he could very well be fake.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 00:32 GMT
#817
On March 19 2008 09:12 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2008 09:04 qrs wrote:

Edit: @ Ace: He's saying that every bodyguard would get a PM. Their PM would list Mafia members as bodyguards. Each bodyguard's PM would list (the same) fake bodyguards as their colleagues. None of the bodyguards would know the difference.


They'd still be caught. Ok let's look at like this:


Scenario 1:

There are 7 bodyguards total. 2 Mafia members "fake" PM the BG's with a Mafia Mayor who also sends out the PM.

We will know how many BGs are there when the elections are over. The Mafia can't leave 2 of the real Bodyguards off the list because the 2 that didn't get a PM would speak up. They can't just add an extra 2 to the PM because any BG getting a PM from the Mayor with 9 names obviously means the Mayor is clearly not thinking straight and is fishy.

Scenario 2:


There are 7 bodyguards total. 2 Mafia members "fake" PM the BG's with an Innocent Mayor who also sends out the PM.

The PMs from the Mayor don't match those 2 "fake" PMs. Even better, the names of those 2 fakers never even appear in the Mayor's original PM and they just outted themselves as Mafia for a pathetic chance at confusion.

How can the Mafia possibly get away with faking any of it without drawing attention to their members?


Ace, I don't see how scenario 1 would happen at all. Unless I don't understand how the game works (which is a definite possibility), this is how I see it using your numbers.

What everyone knows:
There are 7 bodyguards.
Only the mayor knows which 7 people are bodyguards.

Now, we assume that the mayor is also mafia, so he can coordinate with other mafia members.

Since he knows who each bodyguard is, he will send each of the 7 bodyguards a pm. Each pm will have 7 people in it: 6 mafia and 1 bodyguard. Each bodyguard gets pm'ed back by the mafia members (6 different pm's for each bodyguard) and so they believe there are 7 bodyguards. No bodyguards are left out. Each list sent contains 7 people. Each bodyguard recieves 6 confirmation pm's.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 00:51 GMT
#836
On March 19 2008 09:39 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2008 09:32 Kau wrote:
On March 19 2008 09:12 Ace wrote:
On March 19 2008 09:04 qrs wrote:

Edit: @ Ace: He's saying that every bodyguard would get a PM. Their PM would list Mafia members as bodyguards. Each bodyguard's PM would list (the same) fake bodyguards as their colleagues. None of the bodyguards would know the difference.


They'd still be caught. Ok let's look at like this:


Scenario 1:

There are 7 bodyguards total. 2 Mafia members "fake" PM the BG's with a Mafia Mayor who also sends out the PM.

We will know how many BGs are there when the elections are over. The Mafia can't leave 2 of the real Bodyguards off the list because the 2 that didn't get a PM would speak up. They can't just add an extra 2 to the PM because any BG getting a PM from the Mayor with 9 names obviously means the Mayor is clearly not thinking straight and is fishy.

Scenario 2:


There are 7 bodyguards total. 2 Mafia members "fake" PM the BG's with an Innocent Mayor who also sends out the PM.

The PMs from the Mayor don't match those 2 "fake" PMs. Even better, the names of those 2 fakers never even appear in the Mayor's original PM and they just outted themselves as Mafia for a pathetic chance at confusion.

How can the Mafia possibly get away with faking any of it without drawing attention to their members?


Ace, I don't see how scenario 1 would happen at all. Unless I don't understand how the game works (which is a definite possibility), this is how I see it using your numbers.

What everyone knows:
There are 7 bodyguards.
Only the mayor knows which 7 people are bodyguards.

Now, we assume that the mayor is also mafia, so he can coordinate with other mafia members.

Since he knows who each bodyguard is, he will send each of the 7 bodyguards a pm. Each pm will have 7 people in it: 6 mafia and 1 bodyguard. Each bodyguard gets pm'ed back by the mafia members (6 different pm's for each bodyguard) and so they believe there are 7 bodyguards. No bodyguards are left out. Each list sent contains 7 people. Each bodyguard recieves 6 confirmation pm's.


As I had said earlier, once one bodyguard dies, the other bodyguards would find out that the one that died isn't in their list and would obviously protest. Mayor gets lynched and people get the list of a large portion of the mafia, plus the mayor.


So in the case a bodyguard speaks out, we lynch the mayor?

Then what happens when the mayor was innocent and he sent all the pm's as he should. Some mafia could speak out and we'd lynch our mayor?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 00:54 GMT
#840

Detectives stay silent if the Mayor is legit, and speak up if he is Mafia


Ah, this fixes everything then. I hadn't thought of that.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 01:10 GMT
#852
Guys, the reason I brought up this hole was because I didn't know that the mayor could be proven mafia or innocent. Since Ace cleared it up, sending fake pms as a mafia mayor will just get them killed.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 01:30 GMT
#871
On March 19 2008 10:16 qrs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 19 2008 09:58 CDRdude wrote:
After thinking this through, I have come to the conclusion that there is no flaw.
+ Show Spoiler [Why there is no flaw] +

Okay. In this example, we will have 7 bodyguards, 1 mayor, 20 mafia, and a bunch of other people who aren't important, we can call them townies.

If the mayor is mafia, and is smart, he will do this:
Send a PM to:
Bodyguard 1
Mafia 1
Mafia 2
.
.
.
Mafia 6

As far as the legitimate bodyguard can tell, this is legit. The mafia will obviously claim to be bodyguards, and Bodyguard 1 won't know better.

Send a PM to:
Bodyguard 2
Mafia 1
Mafia 2
.
.
.
Mafia 6

Again, the real bodyguard can't tell the difference.

PM3:
Mafia 1
Mafia 2
.
.
.
Mafia 6

You should be getting the point by now. If you aren't, you probably don't deserve to be mayor.

The mafia mayor can do this a total of seven times, so that each bodyguard receives a PM with 6 other people on it. Each of those people insist that they are bodyguards, the real bodyguards won't know the difference, and no real bodyguard will be left out. Since no real bodyguard will be left out, nobody will stand out to say that they didn't receive a PM.

This can't last forever, but it can do a lot of damage. One of two things will happen; either a bodyguard will stand out, according to qrs' plan. The other (real) bodyguards will recognize him as not being in their group, and they'll cry out. Confusion ensues, but people will soon realize that the mayor is a mafioso. However, this takes a bit of time, and the mafia gets a good bit of damage in. BUT---once the real situation is discovered, mafia's 1-6 lives are forfeit. Net gain for the town. The mafia could avoid some of this by mixing in more bodyguards to the PM's, but even then it's a loss for the mafia, gain for the town.

The other possibility is if no bodyguard stands out (the mayor ignores qrs' plan) and a fake detective proclaims that the mayor is innocent. That's nice. However, that also assumes that no other detective checked on the mayor, which is unlikely to happen. Soon, the truth will come out, and the bodyguards will realize that the others in the message are fakes, and can be lynched/mad hatted/killed during the night/permabanned or whatever. End result: town is ahead. This will be a bit bloody, but about equal numbers of mafia and town will die here, so that's still +town.


How to avoid all the mess: Basically, qrs' plan is needed. A bodyguard has to step forward. All the real bodyguards will know whether or not he was included in the PM to them, so you don't have to confirm anything. Of course, that bodyguard will probably be gunned down during the night, but whatever, sucks for him.
Much as I hate to admit it, I believe my plan is flawed. As per Kau's post, a Mafia can identify himself as a bodyguard, and all the bodyguards will believe he is telling the truth. The Bodyguard plan is not failsafe after all. Unless someone comes up with something new, we will have to waste some detective power as Ghar has been saying.


We would only have to lose one detective.

Ace said that if the detectives find the mayor is innocent, then they say nothing. If the mayor is mafia, then the detectives speak out.

Now in the case the detectives speak out, we would first have to lynch the detective to see if he's an actual detective or mafia. If he's actual detective then we know the mayor is mafia. If he's mafia then we know the mayor is townie.

Hmm... Actually, what happens in the case the mayor is mafia, and a mafia-detective points him out along with real detective. Would we have to lynch both to be sure?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 15:15 GMT
#1017
So we're allowed to change our vote?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 15:56 GMT
#1029
On March 20 2008 00:53 Pangolin wrote:
If he is able to tell us why he is pardoning somebody and the town agrees I don't see why we shouldn't allow him to pardon people, the same as any pardoner.

Are we waiting for most people to vote before closing polls or is there some kind of time limit?


http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=67925&currentpage=18#348

Have you tried reading this?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 23:44 GMT
#1143
Yogurt, instead of waiting for Ace to post, I'd be interested in discussing it with you.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 23:49 GMT
#1146
I think it'd be kinda unfair if the jack potentially gets 6 role checks compared to an actual detective that only gets 2, but I guess we'll have to wait for Chuiu to confirm.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 19 2008 23:54 GMT
#1150
Also, even if they got 6 checks, it'd be a bad idea to have them use it on the mayor because we could end up with a miscount and that would lead us to lynch innocent people.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 00:27 GMT
#1166
On March 20 2008 09:04 Caller wrote:
I have a concern with Ace's plan:

suppose that the mayor is townie and all the bodyguards get the right messages

then suppose that a mafia false claims that hes a bodyguard.

that means we'll end up killing several bodyguards and potentially the mayor for a mafiaso. not a good trade.


The mayor gets a list of the bodyguards.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:33 GMT
#1270
Ace, couldn't you have clicked the All pages link and then just F-search one huge page? Would've saved some time :p
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:34 GMT
#1274
On March 20 2008 13:32 bumatlarge wrote:
I was gonna say, if Ace picked a mafia out of the hat like that, I bet he would be mafia. In order to maybe prove his worth, the mafia agreed to lynch one of their own, to give a mafia mayor some lee-way when things don't look so good for townies.


That would make no sense because if any of the detectives follow the plan he laid out, he'd be sacrificing himself and another mafia member for one detective?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:41 GMT
#1297
Ah well, it was hit or miss, what can you do...
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:46 GMT
#1314
On March 20 2008 13:44 ShaLLoW[baY] wrote:
Can I propose we have a detective check up on our mayor? I think a Blue being lynched out of 129 possibilities is really..unlikely.


It's unlikely whether or not he's mafia though. I mean 1 out of 129 isn't that far from 1 out of 110.
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:47 GMT
#1316
So Showtime, who would you have had lynched?
Moderator
Kau *
Profile Joined March 2007
Canada3500 Posts
March 20 2008 04:52 GMT
#1332
qrs

How do we know he isn't lying "again" to save himself?
Moderator
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