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IEM NY - Day 1 Open Bracket Preview

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IEM NY - Day 1 Open Bracket Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
October 9th, 2013 19:15 GMT
2013 GSL Season 2

IEM Global Challenge
New York 2013



Open Bracket Preview
Four spots into the group stage


Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

IEM Day 1 Preview

The Open Bracket

by Zealously

Countdown to Start:

It is no secret that the North American scene is considered weak and often the target of ridicule. It's hard to know the exact reason why half a billion people combined can't produce better StarCraft players, but there does happen to be a glaring lack of tournament opportunities. With IPL gone, NASL on hiatus and MLG practicing their last hitting, IEM New York's qualifier bracket was the one of the first big opportunities available for North Americans in a long time.


So of course, this open bracket was promptly filled with some of the best players Korea has to offer, with some Europeans thrown in for good measure. The IEM open bracket should provide great games and plenty of entertainment to the general StarCraft 2 fan, but if you're a fan of the NA scene then you should probably go back to crying in a corner.

The Koreans

The Defending Champion: (Z)MVP.DongRaeGu

At IEM New York 2011, DongRaeGu would win the first major championship of his career. DRG has been through a lot in the two years since, from winning Code S and becoming the best in the world, to slumping so hard he fell down to Code A. As he returns to New York to defend his IEM title, he appears to have recovered much of his old form.

DongRaeGu played one of the best TvZ's of all time against Innovation in the GSL Round of 32, leading many to believe that he had fully regained his championship-winning form. But while it was true that DRG had regained the dominant ZvT form that made him famous in the first place, his ZvP and ZvZ weren't quite on the same level, and he fell 1-2 to Dear and Soulkey to be eliminated in the Ro16.

Losing to those two is no shame, and doesn't diminish how good a player DongRaeGu is. After dropping out, DRG quickly gave IEM a call, asking if there was a spot for the previous IEM New York champion to come defend his title. And lo, here he is!

[image loading]
Double Elimination Bracket #1: Two players qualify for the Ro16 group stage.


The Uncertainty: (Z)ST_Life

”Is Life back?” is a question I've asked myself many times over the last month or so. I remain adamant that he hasn't really returned, but that he's still come a long way since hitting the bottom of his deep slump where he was more likely to win with his hands off the keyboard than on it. By reaching the top 4 at DH Bucharest he showed the world that he is once again ready to steal foreigner money, even if he has to work a lot harder for it than he used to.

Fans of Life still have reason for hope as he's been looking better each time he plays, even after Bucharest. The prodigy stated in an interview that he's back to practicing hard to reach his old level of dominance, and it's been showing in his play. Down in Code A, he dismantled Trust with unique and efficient burrow roach tactics, and swarmed over Aria in ZvP. Also, his wins over the innovative Supernova at Bucharest speak favorably of his ZvT as well.

That still leaves us with the recurring problem for Life: his ZvZ. It's a weakness that's even more pronounced given that DongRaeGu is in his bracket. The two could advance side by side, but a trip to the losers' bracket isn't a risk Life will want to avoid.

The Less-Known but Equally Dangerous: (T)ST_Hack and QualifierKing (P)Yoe.San

San has always been an enigma. He dominates online leagues and qualifiers while looking like the world's premier Protoss, but he tends to bow out quickly to players he would otherwise crush when he's playing live. Perhaps that was all just a years long run of weird luck for San, as he was marvelous at this year's ASUS ROG Summer where he came in second place. He'll be one of the many dark horse candidates to take the title in New York.

Hack is travelling to a foreign tournament for the first time in his career, trying to make himself known to the international scene by coming to New York. But like many of the other Koreans, it's hard to know what level of play he will bring. Hack has carried the banner for StarTale in WCS AM, getting through the Ro32 with wins over aLive and Arthur – but the games were played online. Things might be different for Hack as he plays in the weekend tournament environment for the first time.

Also, Hack has fallen out of the GSTL rotation for Startale, which is never a good sign. We know Hack's level right now is at least decent, and he's probably going to beat the foreigners and advance to the group stage. But if we had to point out a potential weakness in the Korean line-up, it would be Hack.

The Defenders of Freedom, Justice, and the American Way

Leading the Charge: (P)ROOT.puCK, (Z)coL.Hendralisk*, (Z)EG.Suppy

It falls upon these three to carry the flag of everything non-Korean in New York. As the primary line of defense, they are the best North American bets to make it out of the open bracket and deny a Korean a place. Of course, saying they have the best chance out of the foreigners doesn't mean they have a good chance, so don't be surprised if we see MLG-esque results where the outnumbered Koreans take every qualifying spot out of the open tournament.

[image loading]
Double Elimination Bracket #2: Two players qualify for the Ro16 group stage.

While Hendralisk, puCK, and Suppy are the foreigners coming into the open bracket with the best results as of late, they've all taken plenty of losses against some of the weaker Korean players as well their own countrymen. I don't mean to downplay the skills of their recent opponents, but there are even bigger fish in the waters of the IEM New York open brackets.

The way the brackets have been formed, it should be very difficult to make it to the group stage without beating at least one Korean. Whether they do it on the back of jetlagged opponents, coin-flips in mirrors, or just bringing their absolute best play, these guy will have to beat the odds somehow. For puCK, things get serious right away with DongRaeGu as his first opponent. Can the Americans* make something happen like the Swedes often do on their own home turf?

*Ah f*** it, let the Americans claim the Canadians.

Long Shots: (P)DuSt.sWs, (P)c.Shew, (Z)coL.Sasquatch, (P)desRow, (P)Siphonn

Yeah, I'm going to have to say things aren't going to go well for these players. Things are particularly awful for Sasquatch, who has been dealt Life as his first opponents. Life's ZvZ issues do give Sasquatch a tiny glimmer of hope, but in truth Life may want to consider switching to playing TvZ if he somehow loses to Sasquatch.

At least two of these guys will be getting a little bit of help. Shew's scheduled opponent StarDust was forced to cancel his participation, while sWs' opponent Hyun was vacated the open bracket as he will be taking Polt's place in the group stage. While IEM is looking for last second replacements, you have to think there's quite a good chance they will get first round byes.

On the other hand, given how things have played out in this tournament so far, it wouldn't be surprising to see INnoVation and TaeJa parachute in at the last second as special, dream-killing forces.

And Some Europeans: (Z)Liquid`Snute and (T)EG.DeMusliM

You have to wonder how Snute felt when he saw the full list of open bracket participants. Certainly there couldn't have been that many Koreans who could afford the trip to New York, right? Not after they all spent money to go to DreamHack Bucharest! Alas, his hopes of preying on solely North Americans to advance to the group stage have been dashed as a surprising number of Koreans decided to make the 13 hour flight to NYC. Snute is arguably the best foreigner in the entire open bracket, but even he will be hard pressed to defeat San and Hack to make it through.

As for Demuslim, we really should be counting him as American by now (I mean, we counted SeleCT as American for years), but that adorable accent stops us in our tracks. Also, we'd prefer to be able to make "Englishman in New York" jokes. The last time Demuslim played a tournament in New York he was able to score a massive upset against Nestea, one of the highlights in an up and down career. He has the potential to deliver such an upset again, but we wouldn't bet on it.

Writers: Zealously and Waxangel.
Photos: R1CH.
Editor: Waxangel.
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TL+ Member
JustPassingBy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
10776 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-09 19:18:48
October 09 2013 19:18 GMT
#2
DERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRKYYYYYYY­YYYYYYYYYYYYYDDDDDDDDDDDUUUUUUUUUU­UURRRRRR!
As far as Life and Korea vs the rest goes, the sad truth is he doesn't need to be "back" to beat the rest.
edit: anyways, TLO fighting! :D
pms
Profile Joined April 2008
Poland611 Posts
October 09 2013 19:22 GMT
#3
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?
jackslater
Profile Joined November 2012
Russian Federation604 Posts
October 09 2013 19:27 GMT
#4
Wow! DRG will win this!
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
October 09 2013 19:29 GMT
#5
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?


I would believe if Life wasn't there but now that he is I am not permitted to believe in anyone else
AdministratorBreak the chains
ethantremblay
Profile Joined October 2013
3 Posts
October 09 2013 19:29 GMT
#6
san and hyun are both destroying in ATC lately.
Taeja / Bomber // Parting / San // DongRaeGu / Scarlett / Jaedong / Life
TommyP
Profile Joined December 2011
United States6231 Posts
October 09 2013 19:31 GMT
#7
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?

What place does he have to get in order to make it?

also gogo DRG
#TheOneTrueDong
pandabox
Profile Joined March 2013
20 Posts
October 09 2013 19:33 GMT
#8
Life will find a way
In love with a lifestyle I can't afford
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
October 09 2013 19:34 GMT
#9
On October 10 2013 04:31 TommyP wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?

What place does he have to get in order to make it?

also gogo DRG


Naniwa needs to get 2nd for a 30% shot of making it. He needs 1st for a 70% shot.
Moderator
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
October 09 2013 19:37 GMT
#10
On October 10 2013 04:15 TeamLiquid ESPORTS wrote:
(I mean, we counted SeleCT as American for years)


I still do.
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
Darkhorse
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
United States23455 Posts
October 09 2013 19:37 GMT
#11
LEE SEUNG HYUN!!
WriterRecently Necro'd (?)
TommyP
Profile Joined December 2011
United States6231 Posts
October 09 2013 19:38 GMT
#12
On October 10 2013 04:34 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2013 04:31 TommyP wrote:
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?

What place does he have to get in order to make it?

also gogo DRG


Naniwa needs to get 2nd for a 30% shot of making it. He needs 1st for a 70% shot.

i see. I highly doubt naniwa makes it then
#TheOneTrueDong
Darrkhan
Profile Joined February 2012
Finland1236 Posts
October 09 2013 19:39 GMT
#13
On October 10 2013 04:34 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 10 2013 04:31 TommyP wrote:
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?

What place does he have to get in order to make it?

also gogo DRG


Naniwa needs to get 2nd for a 30% shot of making it. He needs 1st for a 70% shot.


Don't think that will happen.

San hwaitin!!! And also, I wanna see how DRG and Life will do
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
October 09 2013 19:43 GMT
#14
Life
DRG
HerO
sOs

in that order of who I think wins this.
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3813 Posts
October 09 2013 19:45 GMT
#15
but a trip to the losers' bracket isn't a risk life will want to avoid.


Double negative. Life do want to avoid the LB.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13991 Posts
October 09 2013 19:47 GMT
#16
HUK DRG HUK DRG SOS SOS HUK DRG
Chain 1 Arthalion Chain 2 Urgula Chain 3 Mululu Chain 4 Lukias
Muffloe
Profile Joined December 2012
Sweden6061 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-09 20:09:46
October 09 2013 20:09 GMT
#17
Probably Naniwa 1st and Life/DRG 2nd and 3rd
Grotfange
Profile Joined February 2012
France7 Posts
October 09 2013 20:24 GMT
#18
in fact naniwa's chance of qualifing depend on how soo and dear perform at WCS3 final ...
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
October 09 2013 20:28 GMT
#19
On October 10 2013 05:24 Grotfange wrote:
in fact naniwa's chance of qualifing depend on how soo and dear perform at WCS3 final ...


True, but even if they are eliminated right away he needs to perform well in NY
AdministratorBreak the chains
4ZakeN87
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden1071 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-10-09 20:50:54
October 09 2013 20:42 GMT
#20
On October 10 2013 04:22 pms wrote:
Anybody believing here that Naniwa can make it to the WCS Global Finals with this tournament?


Think it is really low. Even if he would win it would not guarantee him a spot, would be cool but I think not. Think Scarlett is going to be the only foreigner at blizzcon, she might even knock Naniwa out of the top 16. Hyun is the same story.
"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler" Einstein
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