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[SRT] Ro16 Preview - The New Normal

Forum Index > BW General
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[SRT] Ro16 Preview - The New Normal

Text bykjwcj
Graphics byShiroiusagi
July 21st, 2013 21:54 GMT

15th SOSPA Ranking Tournament Ro16 Preview

Table of Contents



The Story So Far
Ro32 Happenings.

Ro16 Preview
I hope you like PvP.

More on Liquipedia


With all the growth happening in the offline portion of SOSPA competition, the SRT, with its traditional 200,000 KRW first prize was increasingly beginning to look like the SSL's ugly cousin. Enter iStar PC Mall, best known as personal sponsors to a number of Afreeca BJs, who have stumped up a 1,500,000 KRW prize pool, making SRT15 a larger tournament monetarily than some early SSLs.

Along with the increase in the size of the prize pool has come an increase in the size of the player pool, which sees this SRT open with a Ro32, rather than a Ro16 as in the past. As such, rather than exhaust both myself and the reader with exhaustive recaps of each of the eight groups, we've opted to select a number of the more interesting happenings from the last fortnight's play and condense it into one small section. Following this, we have the usual preview section taking a look at the mirror heavy Ro16. For detailed results as well as full VODs, courtesy of ArvickHero and KristofferAG (who else?), head over to the R&S or follow the Liquipedia link below the table of contents.

Those of you who have been following SOSPA news for a while will know that we're about to arrive at he part of the intro where I say that this is the biggest and best thing Sonic has done yet, and who am I to disappoint? 1,500,000 KRW, 32 players strong and with both Sea and Movie both with a chance to take a record third title, bring it on.

The Story So Far



No Serial Killer

After his first ever defeat in a SOSPA tournament in the final of SRT14, Killer pulled out of his Ro32 group last week, in the process losing out on a shot at the 1,000,000 KRW first prize. While it’s disappointing to see Afreeca’s highest ranked player withdraw from the first independently sponsored SRT, Killer has hardly been active since his SSL8 win and the manner in which he lost the last SRT final implied that perhaps his heart wasn’t entirely in it.


What's a million won to a progamer like me?

Killer’s absence undoubtedly weakens the field, and even though his dominance has now been interrupted, there’s a sense that no SOSPA tournament can really be classified as a major unless he’s playing in it. The irony is, of course, that in terms of the tournament itself this is the most major SRT that has ever been held, and in withdrawing Killer has given up his chance to take part of a prize-pool which represents a pretty significant fraction of what was offer in his two previous SSL wins. Regardless, Killer’s loss could be a gain for Sea, Movie or whoever else is able to step up.

Stillbirth

Given the amateur heavy makeup of the Ro32, Larva’s chances of bouncing back from his first round elimination in SRT14 seemed pretty good. However after an opening series loss to a revitalised Pusan, Larva lost again in his trademark ZvP match-up against semi-pro Hint.


Less crossdress, more practice.

During SSL8, we wrote about how Larva had perhaps become distracted from playing by his involvement in helping Sonic organise and commentate on SOSPA tournaments. Since then, Larva’s results have continued to decline, with his ZvP win-rate dropping to an all-time low of 54% following losses to Sky, Shuttle, and now Hint and Pusan. Even with his commitments elsewhere in the SOSPA scene, Larva’s results since SSL8 have been disappointing and with the return of an apparently in-shape ZergMaN, his place just below Killer and hero in the SOSPA Zerg rankings is in real danger.

Protossed

While it’s probably a bit early to be talking about dragons, the number of Protoss players who have progressed to the Ro16 is unique in SOSPA, with the development of less known sons of Aiur like Olympus, Hint and Hi especially interesting.


SRT15 is Hint's best chance yet.

Each of the three amateur (or semi-pro) Protoss players to advance to the Ro16 did so by beating top players, with Olympus and Hi taking out HiyA and Mong respectively, while Hint overcame Larva’s once invincible ZvP. The apparent weakness of basically every big Afreeca Terran in TvP, along with the slightly anemic Zerg contingent, mean that this tournament represents a very real chance for one of these three to put in the kind of break-out performance that has seen players like ZeLoT and beast become household names (in the TL Brood War forum).

I'm Ill, Not Sick

Once upon a time, ZergMaN was one of the players of the Afreeca scene. Competing closely with the other top players of 2011, Anytime, Savior and HiyA (who he always race-picked Protoss versus), ZergMaN was the best non-matchfixer Zerg around. Like any number of other players that we’ve written about before, ZergMaN’s successes were inversely proportional with the number of other ex-pros competing in tournaments, and when he dropped out of SSL8 due to hospitalisation it was easy to imagine that he’d never feature in a SOSPA tournament again.


As a consequence of ZergMaN's non-participation in any offline SSL stages, this is the most recent picture we have of him. A good reason to train hard for SSL9.

Some of the magic clearly still remains, with ZergMaN’s first three games of SRT15 currently making up the entirety of his record for 2013, leaving him with an undefeated record in this calendar year. While a 2-0 win over complete unknown Minus)Crack and a Bo1 victory over the notoriously unstable PvZ of Movie is not quite grounds to be re evaluating ZergMaN’s current status as a SOSPA also-ran, his performance in this and future SRTs could see him regain some of the respect that he held in the good old days.

Ro16 Preview



Group A
Tuesday, Jul 23 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)


(T)Ample vs. (P)Hint
(P)Hi vs. (P)Movie

The first of two triple Protoss groups of the Ro16, the makeup of this group tells a story about how the tournament overall has gone so far, with Hint and Hi featuring as two of the three amateur (or semi-pro) Protoss players who advanced past the opening round. Elsewhere, double SRT champion Movie should be perhaps a little relieved that this group features no Zergs, after he barely made it out of the Ro32, losing to the almost forgotten ZergMaN in the Group F Winners’ Match. Rounding out the group is old favourite Ample, who has a lot on his plate up against three Protoss players all holding quite impressive PvT credentials.


"I love losing pointless games in the first round of tournaments" ...or at least I think that's what the heart says.

Ample’s heart hasn’t really looked in it for a while now, with his exit in SSL8 exemplary of a player for whom Brood War competition was slowly becoming a hobby, rather than an occupation. While he advanced quite easily from the Ro32, he benefited from facing one of the weaker amateurs in the tournament. Hint and Hi’s progress to the Ro16 involved series versus Sexy and Mong, with both players excelling against their much better known Terran opponents.

While he does have the occasional strange result, given the match-ups this group ought to be a formality for Movie, whose chances of collecting a third title have risen ever so slightly following Killer’s withdrawal earlier this week. Second place is likely to come down to a Group Final showdown between Hint and Hi, with Hint the apparent favourite given his longer history in SOSPA competition and previous wins against Pusan and Sky in unofficial matches.

(P)Movie and (P)Hint to advance.

Group B
Wednesday, Jul 24 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)


(P)Shuttle vs. (Z)hero
(Z)ZergMaN vs. (P)Sky

Group B is one of the more interestingly balanced group of this Ro16 and features the only two surviving Zergs in the tournament. hero and Shuttle are the two great deputies of SOSPA competition, with each player impressive on their own merits but always found wanting in comparison to the reigning kings of Zerg and Protoss. Alongside this pairing are the ghosts of Christmas past, with ZergMaN and Sky’s strong showings in the Ro32 reminiscent of their respective heydays in early 2012.

Although he has been largely off the radar for all of 2013, Sky actually made it to the Ro4 of SRT13, before he failed to show up for the Ro4, leading to an early final and Movie’s second championship. This is the kind of showing that we’ve come to expect from Sky, who exists now as an almost infamous misfit, able to find conflict with Sonic, his viewers and just about anyone else who happens to be in his vicinity. There’s no doubting how good Sky can be at his best, and it’s not hard to see how he could end up winning this group, even up against the strength of Shuttle’s PvP and hero’s ZvP. Of course there also remains the possibility that he won’t show up at all.


Sky contemplates the next way in which he will attempt to sabotage his SOSPA career.

While ZergMaN’s upset win in the Ro32 was interesting, given his lack of any other recent results it seems unlikely that he’ll be able to match-up against such strong opposition. Given his long history of good results against Afreeca’s best Protoss, hero looks best placed to take first place in the group, with second likely decided by the winner of Shuttle versus Sky. Shuttle’s 58% winrate in PvP is significantly lower than Sky’s impressive 70%, but is largely the result of series after series of close losses against Movie. Given how narrowly he has been edged out of the last three SRT in PvP series, Shuttle should be well prepared for Sky, should they meet.

(Z)hero and (P)Shuttle to advance.

Group C
Thursday, Jul 25 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)


(T)sSak vs. (T)HiyA
(P)Olympus vs. (T)Shout

In a welcome (?) departure from the PvP heavy groups A and D, group C sees two of Afreeca’s heavyweight Terrans facing off against the returning Olympus and promising young newcomer Shout. Right off the bat, sSak and HiyA appear the two players most likely to advance from this group, however Olympus’ 2-0 win over the ex-Hwaseung Terran in the Ro32 means that this group is far from perfunctory.


After a great debut in SSL8, sSak is still finding his feet.

The arrival of Shout following his retirement from Woongjin is one of the more interesting developments in the SOSPA scene so far this year. Having been drafted in what appears to have been the final Rookie League draft ever in April 2012, Shout was among the first players from his group of draftees to be added to the Proleague roster but never ended up playing a single broadcast game during his pro career. While Shout is unlikely to have the instant impact of other recent retirees like sSak and Movie, he is following in the tradition of a number of other very successful ex-pro BJs, including SRT winner Mong and old favourite MinHo.

Even though he’s been away from top level Afreeca competition for a long time, after his 2-0 win over HiyA in the Ro32 means that Olympus represents a credible threat to all three of his potential Terran opposition in this group. Without hitting the TvT or TvZ highs of some other SOSPA Terran, sSak is beginning to look like one of its most stable TvP players. At this moment in time, it seems easiest to trust that the Ro32 result was a classic HiyA wobble and pick him to win the group, but Olympus could easily disrupt his progress again.

(T)HiyA and (T)sSak to advance.

Group D
Friday, Jul 26 12:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00)


(P)Pusan vs. (P)Tyson
(T)Sea vs. (P)Lazy

Clearly someone has it in for Sea. Any ideas that the former MBC progamer had overcome his past struggles with Protoss following a 3-1 win over Movie in SRT14 were quickly dispelled by his 1-2 loss to Sky in the opening series of Ro32 group G. As if having detected Sea’s renewed weakness, fate conspired to place him against three of the nine Protoss players participating in the Ro16. While none of Pusan, Tyson or Lazy are expected to make a major impact on this tournament, all three possess enough (that is, very little) skill in PvT to pose a problem for Sea.

Somewhat remarkably given his lack of any significant results on Afreeca so far Lazy enters this group with the highest SOSPA Elo of the three Protoss players. While it’s hard to believe Lazy represents the greatest threat to Sea, his strength in PvP, evidenced by a recent 2-0 victory over Tyson, could be important if he has plans of making it past this stage. A year ago, this would have been the perfect group for Pusan but it will take a continuation of his current upswing in form for the godfather of Afreeca Protoss to find himself in the Ro8.


If he's focused and well prepared, Tyson should be the favourite for group D's PvP melee.

Facing off against Lazy in the group’s opening series, Sea stands a slightly better chance of making it to the Winners’ Final and advancing from the group in first place than he might were he starting off against Tyson or Pusan. The results for the group seem to hinge on this initial encounter, with the head to head match-ups of the three Protoss players slightly difficult to judge. After this group draw, Sea is due a bit of good fortune, so with that in mind it seems only fair to predict in his favour, with the second spot going to Tyson’s reasonable showings in PvP against Afreeca’s top two Protoss.

(P)Tyson and (T)Sea to advance.

WRITING - kjwcj
GRAPHICS - shiroiusagi
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Writer
2Pacalypse-
Profile Joined October 2006
Croatia9510 Posts
July 22 2013 01:05 GMT
#2
Only two Zergs in Ro16; why can't TLS be like this!

Gogo Sea!
Moderator"We're a community of geniuses because we've found how to extract 95% of the feeling of doing something amazing without actually doing anything." - Chill
VaultD
Profile Joined October 2011
Finland85 Posts
July 22 2013 01:15 GMT
#3
Great preview, rooting for Sea and HiyA to make it through!
“Real stupidity beats artificial intelligence every time.”
art_of_turtle
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
United States1198 Posts
July 22 2013 01:24 GMT
#4
Protoss Imba!!!! But I do want Tyson to make it out
Flash should fear Sacsri
endy
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Switzerland8970 Posts
July 22 2013 01:42 GMT
#5
I hope we'll get more info about Killer soon. Do not retire mini-dong !!
ॐ
chaosTheory_14cc
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Canada1270 Posts
July 22 2013 03:15 GMT
#6
I hope Sea and Hiya advance, I'd like to see at least one of them in the finals.
MinscandBoo
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
252 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-22 03:48:47
July 22 2013 03:45 GMT
#7
So freaking pumped for this. Definitely rooting for Sea and lol at that ZergMan picture. What was he sick with? Off to search tl.

edit: Hip surgery! Did he fall or something?
Swords! Not words!
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19257 Posts
July 22 2013 04:10 GMT
#8
Ample will hold on to advance, but this is Pusan's time to shine.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
Phyanketto
Profile Joined September 2011
United States511 Posts
July 22 2013 04:43 GMT
#9
Here we go; finally something that gets me to care about SRT at the same level I care about SSL. Is there any English commentary?
세 가지 제어
jjwhg
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States155 Posts
July 22 2013 06:19 GMT
#10
OMG, I'm so excited for SRT! Gogo Sea
♥ Bisu ♥
Mewka
Profile Joined February 2011
Poland1458 Posts
July 22 2013 06:36 GMT
#11
great preview, so hyped ~~
Mewka, Mewka[AoV], Fox.Mewka, Mewman
Sinedd
Profile Joined July 2008
Poland7052 Posts
July 22 2013 06:51 GMT
#12
awesome article

this is gonna be good !
T H C makes ppl happy
Epoxide
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Magic Woods9326 Posts
July 22 2013 07:40 GMT
#13
kjwcj you make such interesting reads~~thanks
LiquipediaSouma: EU MM is just Russian Roulette. Literally.
ArvickHero
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
10387 Posts
July 22 2013 08:01 GMT
#14
great write up but .. some players just got switched around. Sorry at least Group B remains unchanged (for now)
Writerptrk
kjwcj
Profile Joined November 2011
Australia1064 Posts
July 22 2013 09:15 GMT
#15
Haha, oh well.
Writer
Plissken_2097
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Spain628 Posts
July 22 2013 11:21 GMT
#16
Oh so Pusan is spared from the mbc genocide. I guess it's for the best. He's such a nice guy, it would affect him having to obliterate all his former partners
Formerly Golondrin
Greg_J
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
China4409 Posts
July 22 2013 12:51 GMT
#17
I'm still waiting for the vods of the games I haven't seen in the round of 32. So reading this article is a minefield of trying to enjoy the content without spoiling games I haven't seen yet.

Thanks for the write up its good to hear other people out there still have a good passion for Broodwar. It’s very disappointing to hear Killer has pulled out. I was hoping to watch him tear through the field and fly the flag for the very sparsely represented race. I hope he has some time and energy to come back and play in some future tournaments regardless of what’s going on in his life.
amazingxkcd
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
GRAND OLD AMERICA16375 Posts
July 22 2013 12:54 GMT
#18
Let's go Shout! Defeat all of the complacent Afreeca pros!
The world is burning and you rather be on this terrible website discussing video games and your shallow feelings
Terrorterran
Profile Joined January 2009
Peru256 Posts
July 22 2013 13:03 GMT
#19
I thought this was today. Anyway nice write up.
GG
kjwcj
Profile Joined November 2011
Australia1064 Posts
July 22 2013 13:19 GMT
#20
If I have time tomorrow morning I'll re-do the groups that were changed, until then I guess the old version can exist as a monument to my naivety (in thinking that SRT groups would last 48 hours without being altered).
Writer
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