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Dwarf Fortress Mini Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 05 2012 04:08 GMT
#5
/in

I will not be banned in the first game Bluelightz is hosting.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 05 2012 04:33 GMT
#10
spoiler it?
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 05 2012 23:41 GMT
#37
On August 06 2012 07:11 Mordanis wrote:
Does one have to have played DF to play in this? If you banned people for that, that would probably be my only danger of being banned. That last sentence came out surprisingly non-sensical...

Edit: Assuming that no prior knowledge of DF is needed
/in, and I will not be modkilled, nor banned, nor burned at the stake, nor sexually harrased, nor shot, nor stabbed, nor force-fed Scottish food in punishment during the first game that the good Bluelightz is hosting. I reserve the right to take the listed punishments during Bluelightz' second hosted game until further notice.


There's no possible way you can promise that.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 06 2012 13:04 GMT
#68
On August 06 2012 21:15 marvellosity wrote:
the playerlist scares me a little!


as it should

muahahahaha
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 06 2012 13:10 GMT
#73
On August 06 2012 22:06 HiroPro wrote:
Dat smurf


smurf? wat's a smurf?

We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 06 2012 14:27 GMT
#78
Back in MY day that didn't HAVE newbie mafia.

Had to walk uphill both ways 7 miles in the snow barefoot!
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 06 2012 19:14 GMT
#83
On August 07 2012 03:57 HiroPro wrote:
Nah, he's actually just a huge lurker. If he makes more than 1 post this game, we lynch him.


Npnp, I find scum in that one post.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 06 2012 21:53 GMT
#86
ಠ╭╮ಠ

Try again.

+ Show Spoiler +
Hint: My sig is a clue to my identity. Oh, but you must be clever to know.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 07 2012 16:40 GMT
#128
On August 08 2012 00:39 sciberbia wrote:
Hello everyone! Top of the morning to ya :D

First thing's first: I can truthfully report that I have rolled Dwarf,


...


Thoughts on roleclaims:
Vanilla Townies
Please do not roleclaim without a very good reason.


We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 07 2012 19:31 GMT
#137
On August 08 2012 04:26 Mordanis wrote:
CVSTO LVNA PRO SVVS ABVTOR GENITIVI PROVOCO ET AVT NOMEN SVVS MVTAVERIT AVT DABO SENSVS MEVS EI

+ Show Spoiler [Translation] +
For his abuse of the genitive I am calling out Custo Luna, and he must either change his name or I will vote for him.+ Show Spoiler +
Not really, this was just a fun may to make my 4 years of latin worthwhile, and for anyone who's taken latin: Come on, Luna is a first declension noun. Easiest one to learn, and CL has it wrong in his name (Unless his name is just supposed to be two unrelated nouns, like JingleHell, VisceraEyes, and if you allow one word to be an adjective, BlazingHand, BloodyCobbler, etc, etc, etc.). This is therefore a joke.


Funnily enough, the first person I'd like to ask a question is Mr. CL himself. In a way, Sciberbia's post telling people not to claim VT doesn't make any sense, especially when he comes out and says that he's a dwarf. On the other hand though, I don't see why you called out that illogical passage. Are you implying that bad logic is scummy? Or are you just poking fun at him?


I took 6 years of Latin, but it's been 5 years since I took my last class D= you should petition the mods to change it for me

Mostly just poking for now, I'm at work and reading when I can, so I'm making note of things I see.

To everyone: stop discussing the possibilities of a D1 double lynch when you have 0 candidates. There is no point to posit the idea of killing 2 when there isn't even 1 on the table.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 07 2012 23:30 GMT
#174
Watcher tracks and Tracker watches. got it
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 04:18 GMT
#192
hmm, had less time than i anticipated tonight, can't do much heavy analysis.

shiaopi triggers my scumdar.
prplhz raised an eyebrow, but i keep looking

night - gotta go protect the moon
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 15:26 GMT
#214
I apologize friends, the moon is very demanding today (busy day at work). I want to make a nice post when I get some time. Just letting it be known that I am here and reading, I just haven't had the time to write a comprehensive post.

Also: Last night when I said ShiaoPi was triggering my scumdar, I meant Scib. Combination of tired brain + new names for me. This was just preliminary thinking before sleep. All opinions subject to change.

A couple things I can quickly address:

On August 08 2012 17:48 Forumite wrote:
Hey, Custos Luna! You are supposed to be a well-known Veteran, what are your reads on the game so far, apart from weak suspicion on prplhz and ShiaoPi?


So far, most reads are weak, and there doesn't seem to be much commital aside from a few players. That said:

I agree with Shiao's case on Mordanis. The biggest one that stands out is his last post

On August 08 2012 05:23 Mordanis wrote:
Right, and so saying that you shouldn't claim VT when you make a statement that's only purpose is to make yourself be perceived as VT seems illogical to me. Enough on that subject though ^^

Wow, Forumite's accusation came much earlier than I expected. All Shiao had done was come out as anti-policy, and then when pressed came out against lying and lurking. What in that is scummy, I have no idea. I think its clear that Forumite has some type of plan hatching, but until we find out what the plan is, his early accusation is sort of weightless. It could be an attempt to draw scum out or to force townie mistakes in order to mislynch. Or it could be something completely different, or even some amazing, irrefutable meta-read that paints Shiao as scum already. I don't see how that could be possible, but without further information, it's sort of a null read on Forumite for now. I think Forumite does deserve some extra attention, as I'm always kind of wary of people who are scheming.


Of all the players here, Mord is the most non-commital of them all. It's not even wishy-washy, it's just flat out grey space. He seems shocked that Forumite would create an accusation so early, but doesn't really do anything with it. So here is the moon's demand, mord:

Take a stand. Faith or heresy. Ignorance or truth. The moon does not like goblins.

##vote Mordanis
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 15:31 GMT
#217
@prplhz:

Where you at bro. You've made 2 posts and said absolutely nothing. Vaguely shedding suspicion on Forumite with questions, but not actually doing anything.

Whatcha feelin mang?
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 15:46 GMT
#219
On August 09 2012 00:31 marvellosity wrote:
Final post for now.

People who don't care about town:

prplhz. For your convenience, his posts so far:

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 05:38 prplhz wrote:
Hey didn't read thread yet can anybody tell me who is scum?


Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 06:43 prplhz wrote:
Too weak?

Callign ShiaoPi out for nothing and now you are actually complaining about the setup, in a game that already started. What exactly are you trying to do?


Posting to say he isn't reading, and casting doubt with seemingly no purpose. This is seriously pants. I'd be happier to vote for him if I hadn't seen him do similar as town before.


Custos Moony

This dude is worse. DoYouHas talked about him a little yesterday, and I agree with what he said. To expand:

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 01:40 Custos Luna wrote:
On August 08 2012 00:39 sciberbia wrote:
Hello everyone! Top of the morning to ya :D

First thing's first: I can truthfully report that I have rolled Dwarf,


...


Thoughts on roleclaims:
Vanilla Townies
Please do not roleclaim without a very good reason.




This goes back to part of Shiao's case on Mordanis, where Mordanis tied himself up in knots a bit about it. However, I see the root cause of that particular problem as Luna's post here (of course sciberbia was the originator, but Luna is the one to highlight it). The problem I have with this post is that it's highlighting something without providing your own commentary on it. As DYH said, it's highlighting a contradiction that wasn't even really a contradiction. What it *is* doing is planting an idea into town, an idea that can't be fruitful, and then letting town shit itself up with it. I see strong scum motive in this.

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 04:31 Custos Luna wrote:
On August 08 2012 04:26 Mordanis wrote:
CVSTO LVNA PRO SVVS ABVTOR GENITIVI PROVOCO ET AVT NOMEN SVVS MVTAVERIT AVT DABO SENSVS MEVS EI

+ Show Spoiler [Translation] +
For his abuse of the genitive I am calling out Custo Luna, and he must either change his name or I will vote for him.+ Show Spoiler +
Not really, this was just a fun may to make my 4 years of latin worthwhile, and for anyone who's taken latin: Come on, Luna is a first declension noun. Easiest one to learn, and CL has it wrong in his name (Unless his name is just supposed to be two unrelated nouns, like JingleHell, VisceraEyes, and if you allow one word to be an adjective, BlazingHand, BloodyCobbler, etc, etc, etc.). This is therefore a joke.


Funnily enough, the first person I'd like to ask a question is Mr. CL himself. In a way, Sciberbia's post telling people not to claim VT doesn't make any sense, especially when he comes out and says that he's a dwarf. On the other hand though, I don't see why you called out that illogical passage. Are you implying that bad logic is scummy? Or are you just poking fun at him?


I took 6 years of Latin, but it's been 5 years since I took my last class D= you should petition the mods to change it for me

Mostly just poking for now, I'm at work and reading when I can, so I'm making note of things I see.

To everyone: stop discussing the possibilities of a D1 double lynch when you have 0 candidates. There is no point to posit the idea of killing 2 when there isn't even 1 on the table.


Again as DYH points out, everyone wasn't talking about a D1 double lynch at all. It was mentioned offhandedly as a bad idea a couple of times, but never seriously proposed in any way. In an empty filter, it's empty filler devoid of content for the sake of saying something. Further to note - he's at work and reading where he can, and just "poking". Excuse for not being substantial.

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 08:30 Custos Luna wrote:
Watcher tracks and Tracker watches. got it


Just pointless. If it was sandwiched between content, fine, but it isn't. The fact of the matter is that Custos was around the thread at at least three points yesterday (just check the timestamps of what I quoted) but when he's around he contributes nothing or even causes thread disruption.

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 13:18 Custos Luna wrote:
hmm, had less time than i anticipated tonight, can't do much heavy analysis.

shiaopi triggers my scumdar.
prplhz raised an eyebrow, but i keep looking

night - gotta go protect the moon


Second excuse for doing nothing.

In short, Custos Luna doesn't give a shit about town. His original quote-post of scib's was unexplained with his own opinion and served to disrupt the thread by making people talk about an irrelevant non-contradiction. He excuses himself for scumhunting. He is currently my favourite lynch target.

##Vote: Custos Luna


My friend, I'm sad you think I don't care for town. The moon cares for nothing but the truth. But you are right, my content was...lacking, and I will try to address your points.

The logical fallicy I quoted from Scib was based on the first thing I learned playing Mafia many moons ago. A town player will feel no guilt or extra drive to appear as town. A scum player wants to point out that he's town. He wants to establish his innocense so he can fly under the radar.

In general, I am against deep policy discussion. It is very easy for scum to hide among that, and people will almost never agree on a blanket statement procedure. This is why I wanted to curb the double lynch discussion as it was a non-value add discussion at the time (especially Day 1, unless something out of the ordinary happens).

Now, a question for you.

On August 09 2012 00:16 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 15:52 sciberbia wrote:
my case on Forumite. Sorry for the length, but I think it's worth a thorough read.

His read on shiaopi (the logical inconsistencies)


1) Why didn't he explain his initial read on shiaopi?+ Show Spoiler +

On August 08 2012 00:46 Forumite wrote:
I think shiaopi is a Goblin

On August 08 2012 01:09 Forumite wrote:
I´d prefer not to discuss my read yet though, I hope you understand.

On August 08 2012 03:17 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 01:12 shiaopi wrote:
Well, I understand if you understand me not taking it serious at all then.

That´s okay, you are more likely to scumslip if you don´t think there´s any danger.


If Forumite wanted shiaopi to feel a sense of security, why did Forumite voice his suspicions of shiaopi at all? I see no good explanation for why Forumite voiced his suspicions, but would not explain them. I find it suspicious that Forumite tried to provide townie motivation for his behavior, but it didn't really make sense.


2) What exactly did Forumite find scummy about shiaopi?+ Show Spoiler +

On August 08 2012 06:37 Forumite wrote:
Okay. It´s based on the first post, quoted below:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 00:08 shiaopi wrote:
Well well, let's get started!
Skip policytalking, we all know lurkers suck, you should not lie etc. etc. LiquidTomb's fallen demand justice, so let's go hammer some goblins.

When I read that I see someone who is rushing a greeting to show that he´s here, doesn´t say anything on his own views and wants to shut down policydiscussion. It´s the very first post of the game, and he wants us to NOT talk about the only thing there is to talk about.


When I asked Forumite to explain precisely why he has changed his mind about shiaopi, Forumite said this:
On August 08 2012 11:11 Forumite wrote:
Current read:
Nullread. I´ve thrown out my initial scumread, it was probably just the one odd post, especially as shiaopi showed that he was willing to discuss the setup just a few posts after the initial incriminating post.


What I gather from this is that:
-- Forumite's main beef with shiaopi was shiaopi's stance on policy discussion
-- Forumite later decided to null this suspicion because shiaopi showed willingness to discuss the setup

This logic is dubious to me, but what I find really suspicious is that Forumite continued to talk about his bold, red scumread on shiaopi even after shiaopi made some posts about setup and policy. The timing doesn't match up.

Here are the relevant posts in chronological order:+ Show Spoiler +

On August 08 2012 00:46 Forumite wrote:
I think shiaopi is a Goblin

On August 08 2012 00:51 shiaopi wrote:
@scib:

I can agree with your thoughts about the roleclaims, but I have a question about the 1+ Lynches.
In your 2nd example you say that we can get an extralynch off if we lynch 2 instead of 1 at 6 vs 1
wouldn't it end still in 2 cycles as the night following a double mislynch would be 4-1. with the subsequent nighthit it gets to 3-1 and another mislynch ends the game as it will be 1-1 after the NK.
Just my maths being wrong or an oversight from your side?


On August 08 2012 00:55 shiaopi wrote:
Watcher/Tracker are probably weaker than DT. Speculating on them being in the possible setups does not get us far though imo. Maybe for balance purposes but as marv points out the watcher at least has 2 things to watch.

On August 08 2012 00:58 shiaopi wrote:
Ah so another doublelynch instead of a single one. Makes sense now.

On August 08 2012 05:39 shiaopi wrote:
@HiroPro:
Seeing as you seem to want a tracker to claim at some point, how do you plan to confirm him (like an innocent child would be)? I don't think we would get mod-confirmation for a tracker and therefore scum could fakeclaim just as well. Kind of defeats the entire purpose you had when you try to confirm a townie via claiming.

On August 08 2012 05:54 shiaopi wrote:
So your scenario would not differ much from a standard claim and therefore it should be examined and then judged based on the situation and not just accepted (like child claim would be), would be too easy for scum then.
Too bad I thought you found a way to circumvent the gamerules to modconfirm a tracker

On August 08 2012 06:07 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 05:38 prplhz wrote:
Hey didn't read thread yet can anybody tell me who is scum?

Yay, prplhz!

shiaopi looks like scum, just read the few introposts.

On August 08 2012 06:21 shiaopi wrote:
But stilll there is no need for him to claim. Just with his presence it would let our doc work much easier as scum cannot do too many RB's with his potential check. Do not see the need to lynch both claimers, just evaluate on the claims independently,I dislike both options , whether it is giving it a freepass or lynching.

On August 08 2012 06:36 shiaopi wrote:
While it would be sub-optimal play for scum to trade 1 for 1 that early, you cannot dismiss the possibility.

On the other hand I could see it working out for the better if he claims as early as you suggest. He would leave scum fishing for the doc between the other townies.

On August 08 2012 06:37 Forumite wrote:Okay. It´s based on the first post, quoted below:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 00:08 shiaopi wrote:
Well well, let's get started!
Skip policytalking, we all know lurkers suck, you should not lie etc. etc. LiquidTomb's fallen demand justice, so let's go hammer some goblins.

When I read that I see someone who is rushing a greeting to show that he´s here, doesn´t say anything on his own views and wants to shut down policydiscussion. It´s the very first post of the game, and he wants us to NOT talk about the only thing there is to talk about.

...
On August 08 2012 11:11 Forumite wrote:
Current read:
Nullread. I´ve thrown out my initial scumread, it was probably just the one odd post, especially as shiaopi showed that he was willing to discuss the setup just a few posts after the initial incriminating post.


To recap
1) shiaopi is aganist discussing setup/policy
2) Forumite finds shiaopi very suspicious for not discussing setup/policy
3) shiaopi discusses a good deal of setup/policy
4) Forumite still finds shiaopi quite suspicious
...
5) Forumite no longer finds shiaopi suspicious because of the posts shiaopi made in phase (3)

I trust you can all see the inconsistency here. In Forumite's explanation to me on why he has retracted his suspicions on shiaopi, Forumite references that "shiaopi showed that he was willing to discuss the setup just a few posts after the initial incriminating post".

But this did not stop Forumite from telling prplhz all about how shiaopi is scum. And I don't believe for a second that Forumite wasn't paying close attention to shiaopi's posts after he stuck his neck out and accused shiaopi.

I see a significant contradiction here.


3) Why exactly did Forumite change his mind on shiaopi?+ Show Spoiler +

This post took him 28 minuts to come up with after I asked him to more fully explain why he changed his opinion on shiaopi:
On August 08 2012 11:11 Forumite wrote:
Current read:
Nullread. I´ve thrown out my initial scumread, it was probably just the one odd post, especially as shiaopi showed that he was willing to discuss the setup just a few posts after the initial incriminating post. I changed my mind because I knew I wasn´t getting anywhere. I didn´t have much to start with, and I got conflicting reads the first time I reexamined the case. That HiroPro, marvel and prplhz spoke up against me making accusations and/or against the actual case mattered a lot too, because I doubted my read if none of the other "veterans" agreed, and because I didn´t want to distract the thread more than I had allready done.

That´s about it, I´m back to square one on shiaopi.


OK so let me break this down:
1) shiaopi showed that he was willing to discuss the setup -- I discussed my issues with this logic previously
2) Forumite knew he wasn't getting anywhere -- This means nothing to me
3) Forumite didn't have much to start with and got conflicting reads -- That's not what it sounded like when he told prplhz how shiaopi is scum
4) The vets didn't agree

This last point about the vets I find especially bad. Forumite references marv, HiroPro, and prplhz

marv
On August 08 2012 06:08 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 06:07 Forumite wrote:
On August 08 2012 05:38 prplhz wrote:
Hey didn't read thread yet can anybody tell me who is scum?

Yay, prplhz!

shiaopi looks like scum, just read the few introposts.


don't be insidious, explain why you find them scummy or shut up about it.

This is all marv says on shiaopi. Marv doesn't actually give any read on shiaopi whatsoever. Marv merely expresses displeasure at Forumite's behavior. This does not count as 'disagreeing with the case'

HiroPro
On August 08 2012 05:00 HiroPro wrote:
(directed at Mordanis)
What do you think of Forumite witholding his reason for thinking Shiao is scum?

On August 08 2012 06:49 HiroPro wrote:
Forumite, what do you make of the fact that Shiao has been willing to discuss the setup right after that?

In the first quote, HiroPro casts some doubt on Forumite's behavior, but doesn't address shiaopi at all. In the second quote, unless I'm mistaken, HiroPro is actually supporting the idea that shiaopi is scum, by showing how shiaopi has contradicted his own distaste for discussing setup/policy. HiroPro certainly doesn't "disagree" with the case in any way.

prplhz
On August 08 2012 06:43 prplhz wrote:
Too weak?

Callign shiaopi out for nothing and now you are actually complaining about the setup, in a game that already started. What exactly are you trying to do?


prplhz does think that Forumite's case on shiaopi is bad, but like Keirathi said, why on earth is Forumite taking prplhz's opinion into account here? First of all, prplhz has done nothing to convince anyone that he is town. And secondly, prplhz doesn't even explain why the case on shiaopi is bad.

Put yourself in Forumite's shoes:
1) You have a scumread on shiaopi that you feel good enough about to announce to the thread
2) some vet comes into the thread and calls you an idiot but doesn't justify himself
3) You conclude that you must have been wrong about your scumread???

It just doesn't follow. See his thoughts on prplhz here:
On August 08 2012 10:39 Forumite wrote:
On prplhz
Right now I´m in danger of falling into the OMGUS-trap, because the only thing I´ve gotten from him is the greeting and him calling me out. prplhz calling me out makes me think there´s something wrong with MY play, which makes prplhz a nulltell.


I have a hard time believing that this would be any townie's reaction to essentially being called an idiot with no justification given.



Other scummy points

the way in which he discredits his own reads+ Show Spoiler +

On August 08 2012 10:39 Forumite wrote:
On me
HiroPro called me out too.
I agree that my case was bad and that it makes me look bad, but I object to one thing; I´m always falsely confident of my bad reads.


I find this response suspicious. It looks like he is trying to garner sympathy and not inflate the issue.

I don't know why a townie would call his own cases bad and cast doubt on his own scumhunting ability.


he seems scared of marv, prplhz, me + Show Spoiler +

Not sure if all of this really fits under the term buddying, but I get the feeling that he is playing a bit scared of influential players:

marv
-- Forumite explains his read on shiaopi only when demanded by marv
-- "I agree with marvellosity, not tracking nightkills make the Tracker and Watcher too weak."
-- changes his read on shiaopi based on opinion of vet marv

prplhz
His interactions with prplhz seem really odd. It's like he worships prplhz. I looked through Forumite's D1 of Wheel of Fortune, where Forumite was scum and spent some time defending prplhz, so I find this especially suspicious.

On August 08 2012 06:07 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 05:38 prplhz wrote:
Hey didn't read thread yet can anybody tell me who is scum?

Yay, prplhz!

shiaopi looks like scum, just read the few introposts.

-- backs off his read on shiaopi after scolded by prplhz
-- concludes that he himself must be playing bad because prplhz thinks he is scummy

me
On August 08 2012 09:36 Forumite wrote:

@sciberbia
Fair enough, we´ve talked too much about the innocent child and need to scumhunt. Any tips on where to start?

On August 08 2012 10:39 Forumite wrote:
On me
HiroPro called me out too.
I agree that my case was bad and that it makes me look bad, but I object to one thing; I´m always falsely confident of my bad reads.




It's actually remarkable how much of his filter I take issue with considering we are like 15 hours into D1. As I've been writing this case, I have a pretty good feeling about it. The only thing that really makes me hesitate is it seems almost too obvious, and that no scum would be so obvious on D1. Forumite doesn't seem like a bad/noob player, and I think he made it to the end of Wheel of Fortune as scum.

I really want opinions on this case. If you are online, please post your thoughts.

I think Forumite is more likely scum than not, and he is far and away my top scum candidate at this point, so

##Vote Forumite


There are some pretty good things about this case. The strongest thing about the whole case is contained within the first section.

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 03:17 Forumite wrote:
On August 08 2012 01:12 shiaopi wrote:
Well, I understand if you understand me not taking it serious at all then.

That´s okay, you are more likely to scumslip if you don´t think there´s any danger.


scib comments thusly: "If Forumite wanted shiaopi to feel a sense of security, why did Forumite voice his suspicions of shiaopi at all? I see no good explanation for why Forumite voiced his suspicions, but would not explain them."

Totally valid. There are two contradicting stories. Forumite has repeatedly alluded to creating 'pressure' on ShiaoPi with his early accusation. But there's no pressure in such an empty accusation - see Shiao's repsonse just there. But Forumite replies to him that he's more likely to scumslip if he doesn't think there's any danger. So... why point the finger at him? That 100% makes someone more vigilant. There's a big contradiction in wanting to create pressure and thinking someone will scumslip if there is... no pressure!

Further, I agree with scib's point about calling your own cases/confidence bad. There's no town motivation for wanting to have lower credibility with your reads, but it does provide an excuse for bad reads later (e.g. 'accidentally' mislynching a townie at some point).

I dislike that Forumite has replied several times in thread but has not in fact addressed sciberbia's case against him. In fact his reply was to *slOosh*, who merely passed a little bit of comment on it, but nothing back at scib. Why?

A couple of things on the flip side: I don't particularly agree with the whole vet stuff. At that point it's kinda a lose-lose situation. Foru could have gone the other way and pursued his post 1 read despite fairly influential townies being quite sceptical. In that case he would have been accused of blindly tunnelling with zero support.

Like I mentioned a couple of posts ago, I don't know why scum Foru would make himself so noticeable like that when my read of his scumplay was blendy, and scib alludes to this too. Also the fact that Foru poked me about how I picked him up on it - why bring further thread exposure to the whole issue? Why bring me back to the topic?

Basically I'm getting conflicting reads from various things. The whole contradiction with pressure vs more likely to scumslip without danger is a big point to me, because it makes him sound like squirmy scum who can't quite explain himself. Against this being a good player drawing attention to himself where unnecessary.

People should be discussing scib's case/Forumite today please.


You make this nice post discussing Forumite and scib, and then request that everyone focus on these two as the candidates. However, then you make a post (further down on the same page) as a case against me and vote for me, completely contradicting your previous post. Why so flip-floppy?
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 17:10 GMT
#234
On August 09 2012 00:50 marvellosity wrote:
you misread: scib's case = Forumite, not scib AND forumite. i.e. I want people to be discussing Forumite (something you have avoided doing three times already on this page) but you were my current strongest read.

Clear?


Ah, understood.

I'm not intentionally avoiding the topic of Forumite, I just don't have much to say about it at this point. I understand the case, and it does have some merit. However, I have been in Forumite's position before as town, so I'm still trying to decide if it was blind aggression to generate discussion (and as a result he has now been forced to backpedal), or just general scum activity. I will be rereading to try and get a better idea/feel.

I do wish to hear from Mord/prplhz soon though

On August 09 2012 01:57 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 01:54 Keirathi wrote:
On August 09 2012 01:43 marvellosity wrote:
my case against CL does not need to be furthered.

I am unsure about aspects of Forumite which is why I particularly want it discussed.

Now why don't you actually do so instead of nitpicking?

I'm not nitpicking. I honestly think you're not making any sense. You don't want to get your scumread lynched, but instead want to talk about Forumite, and you try to discredit me for standing up to you about it.


About Forumite: I really don't have much to add. He's said some dumb things and been stupidly wishy-washy, but I have a hard time believing scum would be so openly bad this early on day1. Not that its impossible, but I've never seen a scum be so transparent this early.

And you dismissed it, but basically admitting that he was going to be sheeped by the "vets" still completely boggles me mind.


Are you on drugs? Where did I say that?

Scum are openly bad all the time. The just-abandoned XXIII had YourHarry throwing votes around with no explanation and he was scum. Normal Mini Mafia had prplhz throw around votes followed by a terrible cop claim and we all didn't lynch him because we didn't believe scum could be so bad, but he was scum and he was that bad.


That's a rather ignorant blanket statement. You have clearly not been utterly destroyed by some of the scum teams on this forum.

Also, hindsight is 20/20. It's easy to look back and pluck examples like that, but there are just as many, if not more, examples of townies being bad and throwing votes around.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 18:39 GMT
#245
On August 09 2012 03:28 sciberbia wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +

On August 09 2012 02:57 DoYouHas wrote:
Currently I am basing my reads as much on intuition as on logic.

Although scrib makes good points against Forumite I don't find myself convinced. The motive I read behind Forumite's inconsistencies and subsequent posts is an attempt to get things going and then trying to both be transparent and move the thread forward. I completely agree that the way he has handled himself so far has been bad, but both town and scum can play badly. What matters is the motivation behind the actions. I feel like his motivation is more likely to be town than scum at the moment.

I agree with CL's opinion of Mord. I see Mord's focus on the VT claim that wasn't really a VT claim and make note of how that whole exchange gained the town exactly zilch and wasted our time. His first and last posts also bother me. His first post only stands out because of the end. He ends his post with a strong statement about how he is going to go scum hunting. What comes of that? 1 Question to CL. Then Mord completely sidetracks to the "VT claim" thing. Then the only other thing we get from him is the very lackluster response to Hiro about Forumite. It reads as very likely to be scum to me.

prplhz is looking worse and worse in my eyes because of his lack of quality early and his lurking now. I don't really have anything new to bring against him as he hasn't written anything new. But his silence is condemning, his apparent desire to fly under the radar while everyone is focusing on Shiao/Mord/Forum. He needs to be kept in the spotlight with all our other suspects and he has earned my vote.

##Vote: prplhz



This post of DoYouHas makes me suspicious of him.

1) Perhaps I am biased, but I don't like his reasons for soft defending Forumite. I don't know how announcing a read but keeping it to yourself is 'transparent' and 'trying to move the thread forward'. His stance on Forumite seems wishy/washy and I'm not a fan.
2) He says that Mordanis reads as 'very likely scum', but then he votes prplhz for lurking? wtf? If you think somebody is very likely scum, and they already have two votes on them, you as a townie should add your vote, not vote for a lurker to 'keep him in the spotlight'.


FoS DoYouHas


To be fair, that's pretty much what marvel did with Forumite/me. I'm not sure how suspicious marvel still finds me, but he has at least been very vocal and forthright with his thoughts as opposed to DoYouHas.

I will add a point to your thoughts though. Day 1, it is extremely difficult to distinguish scummy play from poor/misinformed town play. In my eyes, it is not the blatantly bad people that need to be as heavily focused on - they will continue to be bad and always be under the microscope. It is the complacent, quiet, and appeasing ones that are worrisome for town because they can slide under the radar and stay there.

In DYH's posts, he hasn't really added much at all. In his 3 content posts, he mainly focused on double-lynch discussion, prplhz's 2 useless posts, and really nothing else. There has been very little added from his posts. Nothing really new has been brought up. He's agreeing with arguments without building upon it in an attempt to keep blame off of him.

I do agree with DYH in that prpl needs to show up, but DYH also needs to be watched closely.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 08 2012 19:38 GMT
#251
On August 09 2012 04:03 Mordanis wrote:
Wow, I picked the anti-timing to sleep -.-

I'll do some defense first, because it takes less time, and in a while I'll come back with my reads so far.

First things first: + Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 16:00 slOosh wrote:
Hey guys, didn't anticipate the early deadline so yea ...

Anyways, any of the blue roles can be used to the "innocent child" effect. Scum are extremely limited in their ability to fakeclaim because it is a blue-wise open setup (we might not know the 2nd blue identity but we can still cc any blue claim instantly). I recommend whoever is blue to consider this and not hastily throw away a potential advantage here by claiming early (mainly tracker but same thing extends to watcher/cop).

No go on double lynch. Too exploitable / volatile in a game this small.

Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 03:34 Mordanis wrote:
I actually disagree that talking policy early on is bad. It is only bad when the policy talk tells scum how to get off free. "We will only lynch active players" tells scum that they can get one or two players to the late-game with as little content to hold against them as possible. On a similar note, it's probably not a good idea to discuss your heuristics for finding scum until you find examples of them in people's play. If you start talking about them right now, unless you list 173 of them, scum probably will actively avoid fitting your heuristic, thus ruining your chance of finding scum.
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2012 05:23 Mordanis wrote:
Wow, Forumite's accusation came much earlier than I expected. All Shiao had done was come out as anti-policy, and then when pressed came out against lying and lurking. What in that is scummy, I have no idea. I think its clear that Forumite has some type of plan hatching, but until we find out what the plan is, his early accusation is sort of weightless. It could be an attempt to draw scum out or to force townie mistakes in order to mislynch.

Hey Mordanis, could you explain this contradiction? If this was an attempt to draw scum out, you have now just alerted them all with the second post, which goes against what you said in the first post. You said you are currently null on Forumite yet it seems like you are leaning a certain direction in your read of him.
I don't see how noticing what seems to be planned play tells scum how to play. Plans scare the shit out of me because, though they aren't alignment-indicative, they tend to be very unpredictable in my experience. I think its much better play to simply hunt scum through analysis. Furthermore, saying that I'm wary of plans cannot inform scum strategy, since scum always need an overlying plan. Unless the scum abandon their QT or use it purely for social interaction, their play will be somewhat "planned". Also, townies are just as capable as scum to plan their play, so "planned play" isn't a scum-tell, its just something that scares me.

Moving on, there's ShiaoPi's case on me + Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 19:00 ShiaoPi wrote:
I just read sciberbia's case on Forumite, while it has merit, I am unsure of him being scum. I can also see the early scumread on me simply as an early attempt to get some discussion/pressure going, he succeeded in that regard for sure. Regarding the logical inconsistencies they are a concern, but for now I would just like to keep an eye on him.

@Custos
I would really like you to contribute more. All you have done until now is pointing out a rather silly (read almost nonexistent) contradiction in one of sciberbia's posts and voicing some concern regarding me and prphlz. Mind elaborating why?

Currently I am having an issue with Mordanis:

Take a look at his opening post:

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 03:34 Mordanis wrote:
I actually disagree that talking policy early on is bad. It is only bad when the policy talk tells scum how to get off free. "We will only lynch active players" tells scum that they can get one or two players to the late-game with as little content to hold against them as possible. On a similar note, it's probably not a good idea to discuss your heuristics for finding scum until you find examples of them in people's play. If you start talking about them right now, unless you list 173 of them, scum probably will actively avoid fitting your heuristic, thus ruining your chance of finding scum. Discussing when/how to use novel mechanics is simply a rational thing to do early in the game, though. Personally, I haven't had too much time to think about when/how to use the double lynch mechanic, but I can say that in my experience it happens fairly often that neither candidate up for lynching D1 is scum, and going from 9 town 3 scum D1 to 6 town 3 scum D2 would be pretty brutal. In short, I am strongly against D1 multi-lynching unless something very convincing happens to change my mind. Aside from that, the only other bit of policy I have to offer is that we should probably wait until night to discuss power roles, NKs, etc. During the day, all that really matters (in the absence of Day-vigis) is town/mafia. Daytime is for hunting scum, not deciding power role strategy. Enough with the policy now, I'm off to find scum.


He is against cutting policy talk short and proceeds to do a good amount of it. The next sentence marks Mord as anti-lurker, but then he says that policy-talk should not be done, since it gives scum a pattern to avoid. But then he goes back to say that policytalk is useful based on the ground that there is nothing else to be done.

This entire paragraph is extremely redundant and makes me think of him trying to boost the look of his filter by seemingly contributing in a circular logic pattern.

His next two posts are hitting Custos, he questions why he quotes that part of scib.

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 04:26 Mordanis wrote:
-snip-
Funnily enough, the first person I'd like to ask a question is Mr. CL himself. In a way, Sciberbia's post telling people not to claim VT doesn't make any sense, especially when he comes out and says that he's a dwarf. On the other hand though, I don't see why you called out that illogical passage. Are you implying that bad logic is scummy? Or are you just poking fun at him?


He is again extremely wishy-washy. Just look at it, first he critisizes scib for claiming alignment (which is pretty much a nulltell in my opinion), but then he also "does not see" how that could be called out. When Hiro says that it is a nulltell and differentiates between alignment claim and VT claim Mord responds like this:

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 04:35 Mordanis wrote:
He is still implying that he's VT though, or else just asking for scum to kill him. When someone claims town, they are trying to make other people perceive them as VT. Why else would you claim town?



Now he suddenly is much more concerned about claiming alignment (which he again links to VT). Flip-flopping at its best.

Also on his latest post:
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 08 2012 05:23 Mordanis wrote:
Right, and so saying that you shouldn't claim VT when you make a statement that's only purpose is to make yourself be perceived as VT seems illogical to me. Enough on that subject though ^^

Wow, Forumite's accusation came much earlier than I expected. All Shiao had done was come out as anti-policy, and then when pressed came out against lying and lurking. What in that is scummy, I have no idea.
I think its clear that Forumite has some type of plan hatching, but until we find out what the plan is, his early accusation is sort of weightless. It could be an attempt to draw scum out or to force townie mistakes in order to mislynch. Or it could be something completely different, or even some amazing, irrefutable meta-read that paints Shiao as scum already. I don't see how that could be possible, but without further information, it's sort of a null read on Forumite for now. I think Forumite does deserve some extra attention, as I'm always kind of wary of people who are scheming.



Keep in mind that Forumite had already accused me much earlier than Mord posted. He only gives his opinion on it when Hiro asked him specifialy to do so. Mord sees no reason to suspect me, but hadn't he said that he also dislikes cutting policy short? Shouldn't he agree with Forumite's accusation based on that? Furthermore examine the rest of the post after the part I bolded. It is actually pure fluff.

I feel that Mord has a higher chance of flipping scum than Forumite does, so

##vote: Mordanis
First off, I never said that I was against policy talking. On the contrary, I think that establishing a common attitude of how to use power roles, how to use common mechanics and new mechanics, and some other things. The problem with talking policy is that if you do it wrong it can inform scum strategy. If you say "I find that 90% of the time I see a certain behavior, the person exhibiting that behavior is scum", you've told scum what to avoid in order to avoid detection. On a similar note, in several of the games I've played in, people have said they won't lynch lurkers unless they basically claim scum. This is really dumb because it gives scum an easy way to get into the mid to late game without anything to hold against them, plus it disincentivizes contribution to the scum-hunt. Talking policy in this way is very harmful to town.

About my questions to CL, I honestly don't see any wishy-washiness. I said that it didn't make sense to claim town and tell VTs not to claim VT in the same post, but that it doesn't seem particularly scummy. I don't really see any reason for scum to do this. Later I said that if you are claiming town you are really claiming VT because it makes sense. If you claim town, you are saying that you're either green or blue. If you claim a blue role at this point, you're either really bad or scum. It makes much more sense to interpret someone claiming town as claiming VT. This does not contradict what I said earlier. Going further, there is no analysis of why potential wishy-washiness would be alignment indicative.

Finally, Shiao mentions that he thinks that I should have voted for him because I didn't agree with him that policy talking is unnecessary or unimportant or even scummy. I don't see how Shiao can criticize my logic when a large part of his reason for voting for me is based on how I did not vote arbitrarily for someone because I didn't agree with them.

BRB, I'm going to go get some lunch, and then I'll do some scum-hunting.


Townies are NOT as capable of making plans as scum. You're talking out of your ass now. Scum have a private means with which to make plans with people they all know are with each other. Town is limited to the thread with the constant threat of dissent due to a warranted lack of trust caused by the burden of misinformation.

P.S.: your posts are awful to read and even worse to try and quote. Being verbose does not make your argument better.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 09 2012 00:55 GMT
#283
lol nice OMGUS Forumite. Yes, your D1 play was shit. You look scummy because of it. I want to see some real serious op kinda shit in the near future.

Still waiting on Mord's actual scumhunting. A FoS on shipoopi does not cut it. I want commitment. No more dodging, take a stance and stand by it. And idk if it's just me, but I still find it incredibly difficult to follow your logic in the couple posts you've made today.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
Custos Luna
Profile Joined August 2012
United States96 Posts
August 09 2012 04:25 GMT
#289
On August 09 2012 10:28 Keirathi wrote:
Sorry marv, I went out for the afternoon.

If deadline was coming up in 10 minutes and I had to vote *NOW*, I would probably vote prplhz. He just hasn't shown much interest in the game so far.

However, I'm a bit intrigued by Custos.

Show nested quote +
On August 09 2012 00:26 Custos Luna wrote:
Also: Last night when I said ShiaoPi was triggering my scumdar, I meant Scib. Combination of tired brain + new names for me. This was just preliminary thinking before sleep. All opinions subject to change.


Since then, you haven't mentioned what actually triggered your scumdar on scib. In fact, you went on to quote a post where you agreed and added more information to his case DYH. Unless your opinion did, in fact, change without you mentioning it, then I don't see why you would go out of your way to reinforce the case of someone you think is scum.


also marv, I still don't understand your reasoning for forcing the discussion about Forumite when you think Custos is scum. You said you didn't need to perpetuate the case, but were you just planning to leave your vote on him and hope people hopped on at some point based on your meta case? It just doesn't make any sense to me at all.


Last night before I went to bed, I posted a couple of preliminary reads, but I accidentally wrote shipoopi instead of scib. I was just clarifying for my own sake. My opinions have not necessarily changed, but they have been put on the backburner for now.

Seeing as I have yet to see any significant scum hunting from Mord, my vote will stay on him.

The moon is calling me, I will see you guys when her journey til sunrise is complete.
We are the guardians of the moon, foes to the sun. Embrace the heresy.
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