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Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 03 2012 03:42 GMT
#37
Can I /in conditionally on if I don't get the cohost spot?

If so I will not be modkilled.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 04 2012 22:44 GMT
#62
Wait what? What does 1 mislynch we can use on retarded townies mean? You should always always be lynching for scum.

On his claim I thought about the Miller knowing their role thing before the roles went out and figured that it really probably is the right play to tell town now as miller, in fact if it was most other people in this game I would take that as a pretty strong tell that he is in fact miller. But VE... Well I just actually finished a game that he was in and I hope he doesn't take offense when I say that he made a pants on head crazy claim in that game, I don't think that indicates that he's playing crazily here but of all of the players in this game he is literally the first person I would name as someone with the stones to claim miller as scum right from the start. On that line I'll say any other millers should claim now, if we have more than even 2 I would get very suspicious.

Also I think it makes sense that he's saying not to check him, if he's making this claim it's obviously because he'll flip red, whether it's because he's miller or scum, he has no reason to say it if he wouldn't so any check would be totally wasted on him.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 04 2012 22:48 GMT
#65
Just to be clear what I'm saying, I think that VE's claim is almost 100% null for him, I would expect it if he is miller, I would expect it maybe slightly less if he's scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 04 2012 22:52 GMT
#70
Also this was directed at furor

Wait what? What does 1 mislynch we can use on retarded townies mean? You should always always be lynching for scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 04 2012 23:06 GMT
#76
I still don't understand what you mean by "when we have a mislynch available" do you mean we should be fine lynching town in any situation that isn't mylo? Also as a general rule it doesn't matter how many lynches you have to spare, you should lynch the person who you think is most likely to be scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 05 2012 05:08 GMT
#92
I wrote him off as newbie who focuses on easier things like slips (which I've almost never seen actually hit scum) and hitting people who are playing badly or using bad logic (only really a scumtell if you know they should in fact be playing better) which is a pretty common newbie trait in my experience, it reads pretty null but I'd lean town as if it's based in the newbiness that it looks like then I'd expect him to be much quieter as scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 05 2012 20:51 GMT
#128
I don't really see the ghost case, it seems to start with artanis pointing out that VE probably doesn't expect to die in the first 72 hours of a given game so ghost's wrong in deciding VE is likely miller because of this. (and just based on how people treated vets in MTG I honestly wouldn't be surprised if VE does expect that, on TL people act like killing enemy vets is more important than the rest of the team combined...) While I don't agree with ghost I also don't see this as particularly scummy. After that a big thing is that he said he would point out some scummy posts of furer and he didn't. This is worse and makes me suspicious but is still something where as town or scum he probably wouldn't say this without actually planning to follow up and he would mean to follow up as both so this isn't a particularly strong indicator of alignment.

Now looking at the votes on him I get suspicious, VE's vote which is now moved was very fast and didn't go on much, he basically read a couple of posts where artanis points this stuff out and says his meta is different and jumps on. This is suspicious but even more FOS: Mr.Zentor he has a couple posts about VE that don't indicate much then his first post where he says something solid is him jumping on ghost for 1. admitting that he is bad at reading VE which makes no sense and 2. for not following up on furer which I've mentioned. It just looks like Zentor isn't trying to talk about reads or cases, he just wanted to jump in and vote someone people were already suspicious of.

Finally, Hyaach is just ringing all the wrong bells in my head, he has a few posts all talking about VE, they're confusing and most of them are him explaining this post -


On June 05 2012 11:15 Hyaach wrote:
I would let VE live for a day unless something really scummy comes out from his play.

it takes huge balls on claim this early, be it fake/real and its not a fool proof plan imo mafia or town.


Besides, from his claim, i would put all his analysis on a magnifying glass to be dismembered and examined piece by piece.


which says nothing, it says that he doesn't want to lynch VE immediately which no one was suggesting then he says that the claim could be fake... or not! and that we should analyze VE, something he himself told us to do. This post isn't in itself that bad but it says nothing strong and he manages to post a fair amount after this without clarifying much or taking any kind of stance, so until a point where he does ##Vote: Hyaach
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 00:43 GMT
#164
Okay clearly this isn't going to work out how I wanted so I'll say, I voted Hyaach for pressure, as VE said the vote is a tool, right now one of the things in the front of my mind for generally how the game should play out is lurking because if you look at MTG, a recent game where I was scum, we won by almost universally lurking and letting the town destroy itself from the inside out.

Because of this I'm particularly aware of how easy it is to start scumhunting on the active people when everyone talking can turn out to be town, I voted Hyaach because his only posts were pretty useless for getting reads (at least for me) and I wanted to make sure he would come back with more, I also didn't want to state that it was a pressure vote as so many people do because then there's obviously no weight behind it.

I'm only saying this now because with everyone looking at me Hyaach doesn't need to worry about my vote at all, I also saw no need to vote MrZ (who I admit I do see as more scummy right now if only because I don't have anything to read hyaach) right now, we have a full 24 hours to go, I think MrZ's scummy but want to make sure that even if I think I someone's scum now that as many people talk and give solid opinions as we can get over the rest of the day.

Per that I'm keeping my vote on hyaach, he needs to contribute, if he does and I like what I see my next choice would probably be MrZ.

On that note Zelblade, Snarfs, and Paindain need to be talking more.

@VE and Ghost - What do you think about BH right now?

@ Artanis and Shraft - After me (and artanis after ghost) who do you find most suspicious?
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 02:39 GMT
#190
I actually agreed with you panda until BH pointed out that they could claim end of n1 which is much better.

1. and 2. are basically the same, fewer candidates and that's true anyway because if a mason comes up as a serious candidate he'll get confirmed and no longer be a candidate so for all practical purposes they're not in the lynch pool anyway. 3. has a tiny bit of merit but really they can be just as wrong as before and they can make the same cases without being confirmed, judge the case on the argument not the person. And 4. would be idiotic there are almost certainly 3-4 mafia, a joint claim of half to two thirds of their team would be suicide after a few days of neither of the "conf-town" getting killed.

Either way as has been pointed out there are almost definitely no masons in this game for balance reasons so this discussion doesn't really matter.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 02:56 GMT
#203
@Snarfs I think I wasn't clear on this, I will push for a Hyaach lynch if he continues to lurk or make posts that don't give real opinions after being called out specifically for that because that is scummy. Also on my posting style longer posts like what I've been writing are just the type of posts I make, I'd prefer to say too much and have someone like you be suspicious than say too little and miss something important, you can also check my meta, it's how I usually post.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 02:58 GMT
#205
VE you of all people should realize that Pandain making a silly claim doesn't make him scum, personally I think his claim is dumb but I don't see it as clearly scummy right now, just not strategic.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 03:00 GMT
#207
Seriously stop the mason discussion it's pointless, hosts are fully aware that masons can be used this way and either way this is not helping find scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 03:19 GMT
#214
The thing is, whether the claim is forced or not I've been going over it and I just don't see the scum benefit to this claim, if someone can point to a clear reason it would be good for scum to do this (VE?) then I'll happily vote him, but I am quite honestly having trouble seeing it, and I'm going over what scum could do with this claim in every way that I can.

Also whether he's town or scum one thing he brought up needs to be noticed. way too many people are getting away with lurking frankly with this many people getting to avoid posting anything of substance I wouldn't be surprised if 2 or 3 scum aren't even posting enough to get looked at. Zelblade, Hyaach, Furer, and maybe to a lesser degree Kat all need to post on something recent and give their opinions.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 03:20 GMT
#216
/facepalm
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 04:05 GMT
#227
BH I still don't see the actual advantage mafia gains, as MrZ pointed out the best they're getting out of this pretty risky play is someone who is tentatively confirmed as the "vig's" shot would be the only shot that night so obviously town would realize that it's possible it's just mafia, beyond that Panda hasn't even really been going for the "I'm confirmed listen to me" angle so I don't think that this makes sense as a mafia fakeclaim where they try to get one of their guys as some big confirmed townie.

@VE So please explain, is what you just posted about furer your case on Panda? Is it a supplement to your case? (if so please give the actual case and answer the question I've been talking to BH about) Do you still even want to lynch Panda first or are you going to switch to furer now?
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 04:06 GMT
#228
ninjad by VE's posts - VE come on you don't honestly believe that a town would see that 1 kp after the claimed vig and just assume that the vig must have been telling the truth and the scum's kp disappeared, if you were town in that situation can you honestly say that's what you would be thinking?
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 21:39 GMT
#272
I just got back and unless I'm wrong we're 40 minutes to lynch so I doubt that it will move off of Pandian but I will say that I'm very happy with my vote where it is for a couple reasons.

First I do not like the Pandain lynch for two reasons, one is what I was saying before I got off yesterday, I really don't see the reason for the claim, BH tried to explain it as him trying to become a confirmed townie but as someone pointed out before I could, no sane town would ever actually see the vig claim and believe him just because the person he called got shot if there's not extra shot to account for the mafia, this means that the best the claim does is get some gullible townies to think he's confirmed while to everyone else he's shot into the spotlight and aside from risking one of the few mafia it puts them in a worse situation as they'll likely have to use their shot that night on a target town tells them to or have their "vig" disobey what town tells him and become even less believable.

The second reason is simply that I think it''s a bad idea to lynch a claimed blue on the first day, we can check him to a degree this night and if he's scum he's not going anywhere, their kp stays the same night to night anyway, also looking through how his lynch has gone since I left it built up steam very quickly and I'm sure that if he's town or SK that we'll find at least a couple scum on his wagon. (on that note I do see a real possibility that he's SK but if that's the case after telling him to shoot someone specific tonight if there are two kills tomorrow night we know to lynch him)

The second reason that I'm happy with my vote in general is much simpler


On June 06 2012 22:45 Hyaach wrote:
Late to the party but did no one thought that Pand was fishing for information when he asked Masons to claim?
He could very likely be a SK as well but either way his scum.


I voted Hyaach explaining that he needed to contribute more and that it's scummy to lurk and not help town, after being specifically called out on it this is the best he gives us, it has to be made clear that lurking like this is very anti-town so I am in full support of moving the lynch to him.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 21:41 GMT
#273
Ehh I wrote that up a little while ago and just reread the last sentence, I don't actually think we can move the lynch this late so amend that to I'm in full support of lynching hyaach tomorrow.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 21:50 GMT
#281
Okay except I explicitly said that you need to not lurk and contribute, saying that there are other lurkers doesn't help your case it just means other people are being scummy and I can only go after one at a time. And I don't really care how the lynch works out, you bandwagoned in at the last second, in those situations the flip almost completely doesn't matter as I'm sure you would have done it fi he's town or scum.
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
Navillus
Profile Joined February 2011
United States1188 Posts
June 06 2012 21:51 GMT
#283
that was addressed to hyaach who I plan to lynch in 72 hours and 10 minutes
"TL gives excellent advice 99% of the time. The problem is no one listens to it." -Plexa
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