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"He heard footsteps coming down the hall, assuming it was the deputy warden coming to do his rounds he didn't even look back but just absorbed himself in his book on zombie history. The door creaked open and the footsteps stopped. DoctorHelvetica looked back at the open doorway but saw no one.
"Hello? Who's there!?" he cried out, only to be greeted by the echo of his own tired voice. He walked nervously over to shut the door when he a large figure lunged through the doorway at him. DoctorHelvetica reached for his gun and shot the figure where his head should be but his bullet didn't seem to do anything to the shadowy figure"
Doesn't this seem to remind you of a dt? like:![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/userfiles/53255.jpg?1283237097)
Just putting that out there
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Guys, Bill Murray was obviously either a blue or red: no green would ever play like that. Also if he was a detective, medic, or vigilante he would not want to draw too much attention to himself. Therefore I think there are three possibilities: 1. Bill Murray was the mad hatter and has undoubtedly placed a bomb on someone by now. 2. Bill was scum. 3. Bill was a veteran.
So if nothing major comes up I think we should lynch Glurio on Night 3-4 to either lynch a mafia member/vampire, a mad hatter who by then should have set two bombs on two fishy people by then, or a veteran (Munster) which would be quite sad but has a lower chance of happening than the other possibilities.
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Wow, just let them do all the work for us.
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What the fuck is going on? First spam and now super-secret codes? Let's get back to discussing clues. With Kyplosis dead I think the cat clue directly points to YummyBlaBla. The meowing and huge claws all correspond with a tiger and is just as obvious as the carved pear clue. I think that unless something big comes up tonight, we should lynch Blabla the next day.
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again the hammer clue... and I guess this game is going to get a lot more quiet
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Pandain finally ducked under a brush, feeling safe. He said a prayer to himself and tried his best to be quiet. Quiet wasn't enough. There was a blindingly quick kick to his head, knocking him on his back and knocking him out cold. The small man sat on Pandain's back, driving his face deep into the mud. Pandain was brutally slain by the two, torn limb from limb. The town would find his body parts separated and left in neat rows of eight, covered in blood and mud.
![[image loading]](http://www.teamliquid.net/userfiles/38668.jpg?1286689761) Could be a coincidence of elements but it's worth noting nonetheless.
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Artanis seems to be the correct choice right now. Also Node's clue for Hittegods also seems to be worth looking into.
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Shit... it's still entirely possible to win though. As long as we outnumber the scum in the end we win. The vampires and mafia are split almost evenly so they have high chances to do some of the work for us. Also it's kind of funny how we lose almost the same amount of players from inactivity as we do from day/night cycles. As long as the town stays active we should be able to pull through.
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I knew it. Artanis was 100% grade A scum material. It almost seems as if by miracle the vote was shifted away from him and onto glurio. I think we should analyze yesterday's vote and start pointing fingers from there.
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One thing we have to consider is the voting of players.
For example day 1: Veldril - 16 -Lucktar, YummyBlaBla, kenpachi, annul, youngminii(V), southrawrea, Masq(V), grandmoose, HeavOnEarth, oddo123, thegilaboy(V), kingjames01(V), Lexpar(M), MetalFace, Bill Murray, NB(M)
Here the vote was between Veldril and Masq(V). Naturally the vampires would want to defend Masq and therefore a total of 4 (known) vampires voted for Veldril. The mafia were not entirely aware of who the vampires were at this point so they could have simply voted randomly. I think that many of the players here have a high chance of turning up vampires so clues against them should be taken with twice the weight of others.
Day 2 provides us with little analysis because other than a select few players, everyone predominantly voted for Veldril. Day 3, however is another story:
Artanis[Xp](M) - 15 - SiNiquity, southrawrea, deconduo, Hyperbola, thegilaboy(V), Hittegods, annul, Neos, glurio, Flicky, kitaman27, XeliN, Divinek, aztrorisk, Iankill - (L-9)
glurio - 17 - orgolove, oddo123, Lucktar, jaminz, Artanis[Xp](M), Glasse, spydr, Aeres, HeavOnEarth, KhrisKruel, quickstriker, chesshaha, MetalFace, KtheZ, zerroth, AirbladeOrange, grandmoose - (L-7)
HeavOnEarth - 8 - Node, CubEdIn, YummyBlaBla, Yogy, kenpachi, jcarlsoniv, Lexpar(M), Nemesis - (L-16)
jcarlsoniv - 1 - kingjames01(V) - (L-23) thegilaboy(V) - 1 - ghrur - (L-23)
edit: shit... messed up down here. I'll repost this part later
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@annul: hope I don't get mod killed, but there was a failure of continuity in the logic that was nothing but detrimental.
Alright, well the main idea of the second part is that the mafia were trying to dwindle the support for Artanis by voting under HeavOnEarth and Glurio. Specific players that randomly voted against Artanis should be put under suspicion.
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That was a very interesting analysis, Kris Anyways, there doesn't seem to be a more obvious target right now (who isn't a vamp) so I'm going with Hittegods
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On October 22 2010 06:39 KhrisKruel wrote: The reason why you shouldn't be voting for hittegods
He's not a vampire:
kingjames wasn't under suspicion. People here and there would mention the daggers thing, but no one was going after him. Hittegods ignored the daggers and said kingjames linked up with the scholar part of a kill...There's no reason to be casting suspicion on a vampire buddy.
Hittegods did not vote for Veldril day 1, when 1 person could swing the vote to veldril or masq.
Could he still be a vampire? This isn't concrete proof, but this favors him NOT being a vampire by a shitload.
He's not a mafia:
Yesterday glurio was lynched day 3 by TWO votes. Artanis almost got lynched. He is mafia. Any mafia on his lynch would be SUICIDE. I highly doubt that there were any mafia on his lynch AT ALL.
So in my opinion don't vote for hittegods The clues against him cannot be denied. Also he voted pretty early on when at the time it seemed like Artanis was doomed anyways. Switching to glurio at the last second to save Artanis would have been awfully suspicious.
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Also odds are that Kenpachi is a vampire. We need to kill a Mafioso to regain balance. This is the only way town can win because if the Mafia gets the upper hand it's GG for us.
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On October 22 2010 07:01 KhrisKruel wrote:Show nested quote +On October 22 2010 06:52 Hyperbola wrote: Also odds are that Kenpachi is a vampire. We need to kill a Mafioso to regain balance. This is the only way town can win because if the Mafia gets the upper hand it's GG for us. The clue can easily be denied. What if baseball is a red herring? What if it was something much more vague for the clue? There's no mad scientist here claiming that the baseball bat is the clue. Its just what you think. voting analysis and post analysis is always greater than clue analysis Not only the baseball bat but also the two people in his profile pic that relate to Pandain's kill when two dudes gang raped him. further more Clues >>> voting analysis imo And like I said he voted for Artanis when the odds were heavily against him and probably didn't switch to glurio to not attract suspicion for a sudden switch to save Artanis. And it wasn't even necessary for him to do so because glurio was in the lead by two.
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Jesus... today was a day of days. Looks like I was wrong about Hittegods... oh well life goes on. Mafia seems to be at an advantage now because no invisible men or witches were killed (although they did lose GF). So I'm thinking tonight will have more vampire kills... we'll see
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I think the mafia/vampires are not going to target town, instead they are going to target each other for the next few days. Think about it: if either side starts to kill town instead of killing off mafia then they are only putting themselves at a disadvantage because for all they know the other side is hunting them. It would take 2-3 nights for vampires and mafia to even up the scales between scum and town. And this is assuming they hit with every one of their kp flawlessly, work in a communion, and have no members lynched or mod-killed. An alliance would solve this, but forming alliances now would be too risky for both sides. Therefore, the only logical conclusion in my point of view is to have both sides race to the finish. Either way, if town plays really carefully now and everyone votes, we have a high chance of winning.
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I thought the whole invisible thing ended with gilaboy. The only thing remotely close to the clue that I can find is ghrur's quote: "darkness overpowering". But that doesn't seem like a very strong lead. I'm more interested in the clue having to do with time/digging. I think one of those two is a red herring (either time or the pit hole itself). The clue is relatively new and could prove useful in the near future.
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Although kenpachi and HeavOnEarth all seem scummy to me, the new evidence against kitaman is quite strong. Also, since the clues against kitaman are derived from Aeres' kill then kitaman has a great chance of turning up vampire. We need a vampire kill right now so kitaman is our best bet.
@annul: if people "throw away" their votes on arbitrary players to make a point and to abstain at the same time. Flicky might just want to draw attention to the possibility of Siniquity being scum and is also indecisive on who to vote.
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One more vampire kill and we win. I recommend kenpachi or kitaman. But we'll see tomorrow.
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