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TL Mafia LXII: TL Noir - Page 85

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marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 23 2013 00:26 GMT
#1681
Sidenote: I am troubled by VE's absence
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
geript
Profile Joined February 2013
10024 Posts
September 23 2013 00:29 GMT
#1682
On September 23 2013 09:26 marvellosity wrote:
Sidenote: I am troubled by VE's absence

I already told you that his push against me was exactly the same as in the last game where he was 3P... But apparently I'm a bad player so...
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21171 Posts
September 23 2013 00:29 GMT
#1683
I'm catching up - I'm watching WWZ with the wife.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
September 23 2013 00:29 GMT
#1684
OK caught up.

Firstly, yamato looks a lot better after his next followup/list post. Being wrong isnt indicative of scum, so I can forgive him for still targetting me. Hey bbycakes, if you have a *genuine* scum read on me; do the "ISO" and give me something to respond to.



Lastly, I'm really doubting both of Lone_Meow / Chairman_Ray are town. Both have actions that could warrant a lynch.
For me, to discern between the two, it comes down to:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=83#1650

I think as a newbie, Lone_Meow is prob a 60% scum action, 40% town action.
Whereas, I really can't see Chairman_Ray participating the way he as town at all. It just read as heavily opportunistic, given that he added no new context, but tried to peacock his post by paraphrasing Rayn.


Some of you might consider Chairman interactions with Lone_Meow as null still.

However, consider his opening post.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=52#1021

Consider his followup with Yamato pressure.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=74#1475
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=77#1538
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=79#1569

This all reads as heavily refined and non-natural ==> forced interaction

This is then exacerbated by the unvote on LoneMeow
On September 23 2013 07:51 Chairman Ray wrote:
Unvoting LM as he's probably sleeping now

##Unvote

I'll brb in an hour or so


What gives? He clearly went after Lones jugular, and now after some yam pressure; backs it all up with no alternative.


Im very confident thiis is scum putting all the eggs in one basket.

Lynch with fire

##Unvote
##Vote: Chairman_Ray

marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 23 2013 00:30 GMT
#1685
Drawing parallels between VE's 3rd party and scum play is pointless.
Was more worried about his pursuit of yamato, seems out of place. And his absence. lol
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21171 Posts
September 23 2013 00:32 GMT
#1686
Define "seems out of place" marv. I explained what I didn't like about Yam's post, if you disagree with me just say so.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
September 23 2013 00:32 GMT
#1687
On September 23 2013 08:13 ObviousOne wrote:
##Vote: Mocsta


Stop fucking around. Who do you want to vote and why?
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
September 23 2013 00:32 GMT
#1688
On September 23 2013 09:29 VisceraEyes wrote:
I'm catching up - I'm watching WWZ with the wife.


How convenient, I'm watching it with my dad right now
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 23 2013 00:33 GMT
#1689
On September 23 2013 09:32 VisceraEyes wrote:
Define "seems out of place" marv. I explained what I didn't like about Yam's post, if you disagree with me just say so.


I'd rather you gave me your updated read on him after his last postings.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
September 23 2013 00:34 GMT
#1690
shit i fell asleep. what's going on?
table for two on a tv tray
VisceraEyes
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States21171 Posts
September 23 2013 00:34 GMT
#1691
Define "seems out of place" and I'll do just that.
if I had to describe his playstyle, it'd be a coked up rabbit with the attention of a goldfish injecting caffeine into himself directly through an IV drip. it's like a reel of random animated shorts where things just blow up randomly
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
September 23 2013 00:37 GMT
#1692
just wokeup. nno idea what's going on. who do i vote?? who are even my options?
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
September 23 2013 00:37 GMT
#1693
On September 23 2013 09:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Define "seems out of place" and I'll do just that.

He means it sounds like bullshit.




@Moc

What do you make of Chairman's filter in his newbie game that is pretty "constructed"?
Writer@WriterYamato
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
September 23 2013 00:37 GMT
#1694
Yam btw, I think this is the first game I have joined in from the start since personality 2 !

Everything I joined since then I believe has been replacement games (smurf/sicilian/GoT).

What I'm saying is.. I don't think your meta read holds any water, because I havent had to play a Day1 for 8 months (I think personality 2 was in february) + I am inclined to do the things you brought forth as either alignment. Mocsta doesn't trust anyone Day1 as either alignment.

Geript has been espousing moclogic forever, but hes never been able to explain it to me either. so meh?
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
September 23 2013 00:37 GMT
#1695
So who are the real lynch candidates? Is noone really interested in lynching Koshi? Apparently the dude votes for a guy he doesn't even think is scum..
table for two on a tv tray
Mocsta
Profile Joined December 2012
Australia9389 Posts
September 23 2013 00:38 GMT
#1696
On September 23 2013 09:37 kushm4sta wrote:
just wokeup. nno idea what's going on. who do i vote?? who are even my options?

Easy dude

Chairman_Ray
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=423071&currentpage=85#1684

Get on that wagon of justice

NAIO
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
September 23 2013 00:38 GMT
#1697
On September 23 2013 09:26 marvellosity wrote:
Sidenote: I am troubled by VE's absence

Agreed.
About FT:
It's like FT said. He tries to make up analyses of DP and Geript which are seemingly based on absolutely nothing.
On September 22 2013 17:32 FirmTofu wrote:
Just going to post my thoughts as I read.
(On page 31) Mr. DP is being extremely defensive. Instead of actively hunting scum, he's running around pouring water on the fire enveloping him. This is what I don't like. Town DP is someone who reads the read carefully, deliberately, and cautiously. His accusations are usually well reasoned and well timed. This is precisely why he is always a good NK for scum and has a penchant for dying early in most games.

In this game, DP is entirely different.

Like, how the fuck does he know this? If he read DP's previous games like he said he'd realize it's not even true. DP constantly goes nuts when people accuse him; he even pointed it out himself this game.
He makes an interesting point where he says that this game nobody is scared of DP---I wonder if that is true. Normally DP looks really good really early but this time he has a lot of contentious thoughts regarding his alignment and hasn't done a great deal to relieve himself of them aside from aggressively attempting to take down his attackers or stating to the thread that he will be ignoring them.

Now he gets insulting for no reason---where does this attitude come from and why? I've never seen FT act like this:
On September 22 2013 17:54 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 17:52 Mocsta wrote:
That doesnt make him scummy FT.

I understand that meta cases aren't always the best. That's why I haven't made a case on DP and pushed him like an inbred retard (see:geript). I am simply posting my thoughts, nothing more, nothing less.


On September 22 2013 18:11 FirmTofu wrote:
(Page 35) I don't know if OO is joking with some of his posts or he actually believes the shit he's spewing. Judgement is being reserved.

On September 22 2013 18:32 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 18:27 DarthPunk wrote:
On September 22 2013 17:54 FirmTofu wrote:
On September 22 2013 17:52 Mocsta wrote:
That doesnt make him scummy FT.

I understand that meta cases aren't always the best. That's why I haven't made a case on DP and pushed him like an inbred retard (see:geript). I am simply posting my thoughts, nothing more, nothing less.


So you are posting useless shit casting me in a scummy light and then are very clearly NOT calling me scum. What the fuck is it with bad players attacking me this game.

You need to get off your high horse and step back for a minute. I refuse to indulge you and these ad hominem attacks. Maybe my meta argument is bullshit. Maybe I am completely wrong. That doesn't mean you wave your dick around like you rule the thread and every player is a piece of shit compared to you.

If you want to discuss why my thoughts are poorly reasoned, I willing to have a go at it. I will not, however, humor you if you continue to waste my time in this manner.

^^That one I kinda liked lol, 'cause he's right.

On September 22 2013 18:58 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 18:50 DarthPunk wrote:
On September 22 2013 18:47 Mocsta wrote:
DP.

Do you find FT backing down indicative of a townie prodding for information and diverting course as they are satisfied.

Or scum prodding around, and diverting as shits about to get started?


I find it odd that FT thought I was scummy for being defensive. And then when I am defensive towards him he thinks I am townie. There is a real inconsistency in his narrative IMO.

I think a scum Firm Tofu would ABSOLUTELY not want to get into it with me.

Further his originally thread summary was really really off. Actually I have had some thoughts. I may construct a longer post shortly about this if you'll give me some time.

I would like to clarify my intentions here.

The inconsistent narrative was deliberate. Why? You are active. Accusing you allows me to read you better. Think rayn's style of play. By posting an inconsistent narrative, I can gauge your response as being townie or scummy in a quick, direct, and efficient fashion.

Furthermore, I can assess the extent to which you are actually scumhunting. The fact that you noticed the inconsistency makes you look more town to me. You want to find scum. You're looking for inconsistencies.


I can assure you, scum FirmTofu would buddy you until you die. You'll just have to take my word on that bit.

This appears to me like a flat-out lie. Could be either alignment caught in a lie though---I have lied as town to dispel suspicions because it's often easier than trying to explain that you were just being dumb, especially to someone tenacious like Axlegreaser, for example.

Then we have his exit:
On September 22 2013 19:14 FirmTofu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 19:13 Mocsta wrote:
On September 22 2013 19:11 FirmTofu wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 22 2013 19:09 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 19:07 FirmTofu wrote:
On September 22 2013 19:00 Mocsta wrote:
On September 22 2013 18:51 FirmTofu wrote:
On September 22 2013 18:47 Mocsta wrote:
DP.

Do you find FT backing down indicative of a townie prodding for information and diverting course as they are satisfied.

Or scum prodding around, and diverting as shits about to get started?

I know this isn't addressed to me, but I would like to take a moment to address it. I hope you don't mind.

As scum, I would use DP as a tool. I know DP is respected in this community and has the ability to sway lynches in his direction regardless of alignment. Assuming DP is town and I am scum, I would latch on to DP and win his trust. Then, I would exchange reads about other players and slowly convince him to vote whoever I wanted him to vote, essentially leading him astray.

As town, I am more interested in determining his alignment.

You can see which path I chose to take.

Yeah dunno.. your posting is really reading forced to me. That alone doesn't make you scum.

I can't follow the above though, regardless of forced/non-forced consciousness... its a lot of talk.
As scum I would manipulate player X to be my puppet.. etc etc
Very few scum players have that skillset to proactively choose a player to influence; most adapt to the situation as it unfolds. So the above reads as total bullshit to me.

Fair enough. I'll give you an example. An extremely relevant one at that.

VE has basically been defending DP the entire game. DP, naturally, seems to have no qualms with VE. In fact, I'm fairly sure DP thinks VE is town.

Assuming this is true, we must conclude that DP will give VE's opinion more weight compared to the average player in this thread. After all, VE is his town read and town are usually more reliable than scum. If VE is able to convince DP to change his vote on ANYONE, he has already demonstrated that his buddying allowed him to influence DP's vote. In the event that VE is scum, VE can use DP as the voice for his vote, allowing DP to take the brunt of the blame when things go wrong.
OK, lets make this relevant.

DP ?might? think VE is town.

What does FT think VE is?

I think it's fairly obvious. I think VE is scum.
OK, are you going to lay down a vote.
Or is there someone else scummier?

I don't like voting when there is still information to read. While VE is my strongest scum read at page 40, he may not be at page 58.

On September 22 2013 19:22 FirmTofu wrote:
@DP
As much as I would love to continue to argue with you, I refuse to. I'm not going to spam the thread with an argument between (probably) two townies that will serve no purpose in aiding our quest to find scum. If you have qualms about me, we can address them at a later date.

I'm enjoying this day 1. This is new. I will be sleeping now. Don't bother asking me anything until tomorrow.

This looks like he just gave up. Again, the issue is it's possible as scum OR town. Arguing with people becomes exhausting as town, especially if we believe that FT is telling the truth about his own beliefs. Obvious reasons for ditching here as scum, if he is.

I think I'm still overall null with a slight scum-lean on him just because much of what he has done is possible from either alignment. I don't think his attack on DP is as suicidal as Geript's though (which is why I have my townread on geript) because it is my belief that whereas Geript knows exactly what he is doing and why, FT doesn't when attacking DP, so the scum possibility is there.

Thoughts, Marv?
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16343 Posts
September 23 2013 00:39 GMT
#1698
On September 23 2013 09:37 kushm4sta wrote:
just wokeup. nno idea what's going on. who do i vote?? who are even my options?

Good question.
I guess it is Ray/Lone/FT now? I will just look at those and decide which one I want to lynch the most because I am getting really tired right now. If I am supposed to investigate someone else please say it now.
[UoN]Sentinel
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
United States11320 Posts
September 23 2013 00:39 GMT
#1699
After reviewing Chairman's filter, I have to agree that something is up here. Maybe a little south of neutral in my eyes. Might it be a product of coaching in the newbie game and nothing in this one?
Нас зовет дух отцов, память старых бойцов, дух Москвы и твердыня Полтавы
marvellosity
Profile Joined January 2011
United Kingdom36161 Posts
September 23 2013 00:39 GMT
#1700
By the way, Mocsta made me look at Chairman again, although I don't really have much to say about Mocsta's case itself (it could just be bad town).

What makes me think Ray might flip mafia is:

On September 22 2013 10:24 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 10:08 Stutters695 wrote:
On September 22 2013 09:57 Chairman Ray wrote:
Hey everyone, this is my first post here. Sorry I haven't been around since the start since I was pretty busy, but I'm definitely going to dedicate a few hours today and tomorrow doing my best to contribute.

This is my third game of forum mafia. I have played real time mafia as well. Even though I'm a lot less experienced than most people here, I'll pull my weight just fine and I don't expect any newbie lenience.

Last game I learned that it's quite difficult to get strong reads on people during the day. Most my reads at the start were quite off. A lot of town said scummy things, and a lot of scum were quite pro town. However during the final hour when thing started being messy, there were strong reads everywhere. So this game I will try to focus on making things very difficult for scum during the last hour. If a town ends up being lynched day 1, I want as much information to come out of it as possible.

So feel free to ask me anything and I will try to be as transparent as possible. If I see something fishy, I will definitely try to flush you out as well.



How exactly do you plan on making things harder for scum only in the last hour?


Everything from how people vote, when people vote, and vote switches are able to give strong reads. Like for example, near the end if the votes are leading 6 on person A and 5 on person B, and my vote is currently on person A, and my vote is currently on A. If I switch my vote from A to B, and then in response someone switches their vote from B to A, and then A flips town, that really sets off a red flag for that guy. It also gives a really good target for whoever is cop, because it has the potential to reveal two scum. There are probably a lot of ways we can force scum to make bigger pushes to save each other with some creativity.

I only have one vote, but on the first day, I will use that vote to scumhunt and get as much information as possible instead of keeping my vote on the scummiest player early on and leaving it there.


It really doesn't feel like Ray has done this at all (I mean obviously he hasn't with his vote) - he hasn't tried to gain information from people either. Town will usually at least try to follow through with their plan. Look at this post:

On September 22 2013 16:24 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 15:41 Mocsta wrote:
On September 22 2013 14:41 Chairman Ray wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 22 2013 14:28 Mocsta wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 22 2013 09:57 Chairman Ray wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
Hey everyone, this is my first post here. Sorry I haven't been around since the start since I was pretty busy, but I'm definitely going to dedicate a few hours today and tomorrow doing my best to contribute.

This is my third game of forum mafia. I have played real time mafia as well. Even though I'm a lot less experienced than most people here, I'll pull my weight just fine and I don't expect any newbie lenience.

Last game I learned that it's quite difficult to get strong reads on people during the day. Most my reads at the start were quite off. A lot of town said scummy things, and a lot of scum were quite pro town. However during the final hour when thing started being messy, there were strong reads everywhere. So this game I will try to focus on making things very difficult for scum during the last hour. If a town ends up being lynched day 1, I want as much information to come out of it as possible.

So feel free to ask me anything and I will try to be as transparent as possible. If I see something fishy, I will definitely try to flush you out as well.
You're conflicting me btw.

What I want to know is:
Why are you still trying to play "trap the scum" after it backfired so badly in your last game? I thought we coached this out of you?


I'm not playing the scum trap like I did last game. I'm not withholding anything, posting fake reads, or doing anything that's not completely genuine. However I do believe that analyzing a mislynch post-mortem isn't that productive and there's a lot that each town player can accomplish during the last hour, so that in the event of a mislynch, we have the information we need to narrow scum possibilities down to as few people as possible, and also to give the cop more productive reads as well. I think it would be tragic for the person lynched to lead in votes by a huge margin without much of a struggle, and having him flip town. That would tell us nothing coming into the second day.
Thats great and all, but, there hasn't been a flip to analyse, let alone a mislynch.

Whose scummiest on your radar; and why?


I have played past games with only a few of the players here. Here are my reads on then so far:

Coagulation - He was town last time I played with him. Injected a lot of one liners to get discussion going, but never really participated in the discussions themselves. He's playing pretty similarly this game.

Umasi - He was mafia last time I played with him. He was very active and capitalized the discussion from the start. Took a good degree of control over the town. He's a lot more mellow this game around.

I filtered through posts, and the person who looks the scummiest to me right now is stutters. He's made only a few posts so far. Every post he's made is a poke at kush, but his very last post was questioning me on how I would try to play out the last hour to make things harder for scum. It seems that out of all these pages of posts, and all these players, he's only interested in getting people onto kush and learning my scum catching plan. That seems like a scum agenda to me. If it was you who asked me that question, I wouldn't mind it since you've been asking everyone questions about a lot of things. However stutters very selectively asking me that question instead of the countless other things that have been going on in this thread really screams scum to me.


He's asked who's scummiest, and gives two generic townreads. Now, Stutters is pinging his scumdar, fine. But is he using his vote as promised? Or, further, is he trying to get more information out of Stutters to better his read? What information is Ray pulling from this game like he said he planned to on Day 1?

He never mentions Stutters again.
[15:15] <Palmar> and yes marv, you're a total hottie
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