EPTHe starts off with a short “welcome everyone” then goes quiet for over a day. This doesn’t say much in itself but I feel like mafia in the QT would have said something like “don’t lurk guys”. Small edge towards town.
He comes back in and says he’s noob but has been reading and keeping up.
On July 18 2012 05:49 Fulla wrote:
I'm back for a few hours now, until deadline so I'll try to respond to everything.
Tube
I don't think he's suspicious simply for posting 1 liners, it just comes across as an eager noob trying to play the game to me. When challenged and asked to stop tube he responded and tried to improve.
I think it comes down to 2 things:
- What are the realistic chances of him flipping scum?
- Should he flip town, do we atleast learn anything, such as accuser X/Y are 100% scum then. So we get them after. or the blues know who to check.
This is why I asked my question as whether statistically over eager/excited 1liner posters in the first 24 hours, do they usually flip scum? If like 90% never do, I'd lean strongly to not lynching him. I atleast thought this was a relevant question.
Next up Obvious..
Next day he comes in and sort of defends tube. He explains that tube’s attitude is overly eager and says the 1 liners are not necessarily suspicious. He then posts what could be interpreted as a wishy-washy convoluted analysis about whether or not we’ll gain any knowledge from his flip. No strong commitment. But it is consistent with his earlier stance. This post is slightly suspect o me because he says a lot without really saying anything. What are his reads, what’s his action plan? Sounds like he’s just undecided.I'm back for a few hours now, until deadline so I'll try to respond to everything.
Tube
I don't think he's suspicious simply for posting 1 liners, it just comes across as an eager noob trying to play the game to me. When challenged and asked to stop tube he responded and tried to improve.
I think it comes down to 2 things:
- What are the realistic chances of him flipping scum?
- Should he flip town, do we atleast learn anything, such as accuser X/Y are 100% scum then. So we get them after. or the blues know who to check.
This is why I asked my question as whether statistically over eager/excited 1liner posters in the first 24 hours, do they usually flip scum? If like 90% never do, I'd lean strongly to not lynching him. I atleast thought this was a relevant question.
Next up Obvious..
Next he defends obvious initially, but then casts his vote on him nevertheless when obvious disappears. I guess this can be justified considering the fact that obvious disappeared making him more suspicious.
He says Harry was a town read but his bad posts made him doubt himself. He then agrees that Harry is town. Seems like decent enough reasoning to me.
On July 19 2012 23:39 Fulla wrote:
I actually had to look that up on google. So he votes me, I get angry and react voting him back?
The point was:
- He didn't contribute to other suspicions/discussions.
- Kept on and on about how inactive I am. (other inactive players what about them?) Why so over the top?
- Seems he REALLY wanted me in the spotlight with suspicion.
- Still managed to come in and make sure obvious was lynched.
- But try to stay out of it with me and his target.
Is that not dodgy?
He has a mafia read on hopeless which I’m not sure what to think about. He’s consistent on him, at least. His case is quoted above. I actually had to look that up on google. So he votes me, I get angry and react voting him back?
The point was:
- He didn't contribute to other suspicions/discussions.
- Kept on and on about how inactive I am. (other inactive players what about them?) Why so over the top?
- Seems he REALLY wanted me in the spotlight with suspicion.
- Still managed to come in and make sure obvious was lynched.
- But try to stay out of it with me and his target.
Is that not dodgy?
I think I’m leaning town in my read. From what he’s posted, his strategy and tone seem to be consistent. His readings on tube and Harry appear reasonable and supported based on their actions in context. I personally agree with his Harry reads.
I’ll ask you though, fulla, why/how did you read Harry as town initially? He had very few posts until the kill obvious one-liners which is what made you go back on your initial read. This is the biggest criticism I can come up with for your play.
I’m very satisfied with our choice to lynch tube. I think going on the posting behavior and actions this is our best call. 48 hours ago we were going at each other pretty hard so I think it would have been tempting to lurk more heavily, which could explain tube’s posting. Hopefully we bag another one of the suckers. If tube flips mafia then you’ve got some explaining to do, hopeless.
![[image loading]](http://joesprimalscream.files.wordpress.com/2012/03/081006-wellmannered2-hmed-11a-hlarge1.jpg)
