• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 22:13
CEST 04:13
KST 11:13
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
Classic wins Code S Season 2 (2025)16Code S RO4 & Finals Preview: herO, Rogue, Classic, GuMiho0TL Team Map Contest #5: Presented by Monster Energy6Code S RO8 Preview: herO, Zoun, Bunny, Classic7Code S RO8 Preview: Rogue, GuMiho, Solar, Maru3
Community News
Esports World Cup 2025 - Final Player Roster5Weekly Cups (June 16-22): Clem strikes back1Weekly Cups (June 9-15): herO doubles on GSL week4Firefly suspended by EWC, replaced by Lancer12Classic & herO RO8 Interviews: "I think it’s time to teach [Rogue] a lesson."2
StarCraft 2
General
The SCII GOAT: A statistical Evaluation Classic wins Code S Season 2 (2025) HIRE THE BEST RECOMMENDED CRYPTO RECOVERY COMPANY Weekly Cups (June 16-22): Clem strikes back Esports World Cup 2025 - Final Player Roster
Tourneys
Monday Nights Weeklies EWC 2025 Online Qualifiers (May 28-June 1, June 21-22) RSL: Revival, a new crowdfunded tournament series WardiTV Mondays Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament
Strategy
How did i lose this ZvP, whats the proper response Simple Questions Simple Answers [G] Darkgrid Layout
Custom Maps
[UMS] Zillion Zerglings
External Content
Mutation # 479 Worn Out Welcome Mutation # 478 Instant Karma Mutation # 477 Slow and Steady Mutation # 476 Charnel House
Brood War
General
bonjwa.tv: my AI project that translates BW videos Pro gamer house photos Soma Explains: JaeDong's Defense vs Bisu BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ StarCraft & BroodWar Campaign Speedrun Quest
Tourneys
[Megathread] Daily Proleagues [BSL20] ProLeague Bracket Stage - WB Finals & LBR3 [BSL20] ProLeague Bracket Stage - LB Round 4 & 5 [ASL19] Grand Finals
Strategy
I am doing this better than progamers do. Simple Questions, Simple Answers [G] How to get started on ladder as a new Z player
Other Games
General Games
Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Path of Exile Nintendo Switch Thread What do you want from future RTS games? Beyond All Reason
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread Vanilla Mini Mafia
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine Russo-Ukrainian War Thread UK Politics Mega-thread Echoes of Revolution and Separation
Fan Clubs
SKT1 Classic Fan Club! Maru Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread [Manga] One Piece [\m/] Heavy Metal Thread Korean Music Discussion
Sports
2024 - 2025 Football Thread TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 NHL Playoffs 2024 Formula 1 Discussion
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
The Automated Ban List
Blogs
How Pro Gamers Cope with Str…
TrAiDoS
StarCraft improvement
iopq
Heero Yuy & the Tax…
KrillinFromwales
I was completely wrong ab…
jameswatts
Need Your Help/Advice
Glider
Trip to the Zoo
micronesia
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 30929 users

[Code S] RO8 Day 2 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 37

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 35 36 37 38 39 58 Next
Corrosive
Profile Joined August 2010
Canada3741 Posts
November 21 2012 10:50 GMT
#721
-.-
Maruprime.
jackdaleaper
Profile Joined September 2010
Philippines1216 Posts
November 21 2012 10:50 GMT
#722
Sniper should have seen that all in coming...
Shartugal
Profile Joined September 2011
Denmark134 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-21 10:51:37
November 21 2012 10:50 GMT
#723

Hot_Bid:" What are your longterm plans?" Seiplo:"Money, fame and bitches"
HaXXspetten
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Sweden15718 Posts
November 21 2012 10:51 GMT
#724
phew, Leenock stop making it so close
Azurues
Profile Joined March 2011
Malaysia5612 Posts
November 21 2012 10:51 GMT
#725
leenock macro boy

1k minerals there -_-
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-11-21 10:52:24
November 21 2012 10:51 GMT
#726
On November 21 2012 19:45 Greenei wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 19:44 Blaec wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:42 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:40 TheBB wrote:
Leenock vs. Sniper

Leenock wins (45.39%):
      3-1: 20.29%
      3-2: 25.10%

Sniper wins (54.61%):
      3-0: 17.01%
      3-1: 19.99%
      3-2: 17.62%

Most likely winner: Sniper (54.61%)
Most likely outcome: Leenock 3-2 Sniper (25.10%)

[image loading]


what is this?


You need your sig to say 'I post stats' TheBB. Or even better a custom icon


why is sniper 3-1 more likely then sniper 3-2 even though sniper is obviously not favored?

Ways that Sniper 3-1 can happen:

LSS
SLS

Ways that sniper 3-2 can happen:

LLSS
LSLS
SLLS

If the probability that Leenock wins a single game is less than 2/3, a 3-1 Sniper is more likely than a 3-2.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
synapse
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
China13814 Posts
November 21 2012 10:51 GMT
#727
muta tech really screwed sniper over this game :T
:)
WigglingSquid
Profile Joined August 2011
5194 Posts
November 21 2012 10:51 GMT
#728
Khaldor should really stop to say "X after X". I feel like I am being hammered by that idiom. T_T
xsnac
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Barbados1365 Posts
November 21 2012 10:52 GMT
#729
spire DYING SPIRE DYING !!! some1 tell casters that spire is dying
1/4 \pi \epsilon_0
Giku
Profile Joined October 2010
Netherlands368 Posts
November 21 2012 10:52 GMT
#730
On November 21 2012 19:51 Azurues wrote:
leenock macro boy

1k minerals there -_-

He saved for Hydra's -.-?
Let the music be the fuse that'll spark my soul
Greenei
Profile Joined November 2011
Germany1754 Posts
November 21 2012 10:52 GMT
#731
On November 21 2012 19:46 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 19:45 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:44 Blaec wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:42 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:40 TheBB wrote:
Leenock vs. Sniper

Leenock wins (45.39%):
      3-1: 20.29%
      3-2: 25.10%

Sniper wins (54.61%):
      3-0: 17.01%
      3-1: 19.99%
      3-2: 17.62%

Most likely winner: Sniper (54.61%)
Most likely outcome: Leenock 3-2 Sniper (25.10%)

[image loading]


what is this?


You need your sig to say 'I post stats' TheBB. Or even better a custom icon


those stats make no sense to me, how are they calculated? why is sniper 3-1 more likely then sniper 3-2 even though sniper is obviously not favored?

Answers are here: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=380850


hmm interesting. i wrote my own calculationscript in matlab for betting purposes. maybe i can take some stuff from you to include :D
IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA IMBA
bittman
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia8759 Posts
November 21 2012 10:52 GMT
#732
On November 21 2012 19:51 synapse wrote:
muta tech really screwed sniper over this game :T


ZvZ is basically all about being able to take risks in teching from what I've seen.
Mvp - Leenock - Dongraegu - MC - Gumiho - Keen - Polt - Squirtle - Jjakji - Genius - Seed - Life - sC - Dream || LG-IM - MVP - FXO
Weirdkid
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Singapore2431 Posts
November 21 2012 10:52 GMT
#733
On November 21 2012 19:44 Blaec wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 19:42 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:40 TheBB wrote:
Leenock vs. Sniper

Leenock wins (45.39%):
      3-1: 20.29%
      3-2: 25.10%

Sniper wins (54.61%):
      3-0: 17.01%
      3-1: 19.99%
      3-2: 17.62%

Most likely winner: Sniper (54.61%)
Most likely outcome: Leenock 3-2 Sniper (25.10%)

[image loading]


what is this?


You need your sig to say 'I post stats' TheBB. Or even better a custom icon

Statsman TheBB
"Answer not a fool according to his folly, lest you be like him yourself." - Proverbs 26:4
Dodgin
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada39254 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#734
gogo leenock ^_^~~
MrKn4rz
Profile Joined November 2010
Germany2153 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#735
Leenock playing so much better from behind.
"We don't take kindly to folks who don't take kindly around here..."
shabby
Profile Joined March 2010
Norway6402 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#736
Ice cold control
Jaedong, Gumibear, Leenock, Byun
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#737
On November 21 2012 19:50 Shellshock1122 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 19:46 Shellshock1122 wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:42 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL S5 Code S Ro8
Sniper vs Leenock
Game 2
Map: Cloud Kingdom

0:00
Sniper spawns in the top right
Leenock spawns in the bottom left

1:30
10 pool for Leenock

2:00
15 pool for Sniper
lings on the way for Leenock
Hatch started for Sniper
overlord of Sniper sees lings
gas started for Sniper
drone production restarted for Leenock after 10 lings

3:00
Hatch started for Leenock
lings of Leenock start attacking the hatch of Sniper
Sniper pulls 3 drones with his lings to defend the hatch

4:00
Leenock kills 1 drone and a few lings but Sniper is able to push him away
Leenock ahead by 1 drone
ling speed started for Sniper
gas started for Leenock
Sniper begins hitting the natural hatch of Leenock
queen comes from the main and chases the lings away

5:00
spine started for Leenock in his natural
Sniper making 12 lings right before speed finishes

6:00
ling speed started for Leenock
baneling nest started for Sniper
Sniper running into the natural with 20 lings but queens wall the ramp
baneing nest started for Leenock

7:00
Lair started for Sniper
lings from sniper chase the drones out of the natural (2 drones die)
2nd gas started for Leenock
Sniper getting 2 more gas

8:00
Spire started for Sniper

9:00
Leenock pumping out some lings for a counterattack
16 banelings morphing for Leenock
6 defensive banelings morphing for Sniper

10:00
Large baneling for of Leenock heads into the natural
Sniper gets a favorable trade at first but then Leenock still gets some banes through and kills 20 workers
Lings from Leenock kill the natural hatch of sniper and move into the main

11:00
5 mutas are out for Sniper but Leenock is just rallying more lings in
Leenock takes a 15 drone lead
Lair on the way for Leenock
evo chamber started for Leenock
banelings chasing drones in the main of Sniper

12:00
more lings run into the main of sniper
35 workers killed now for Leenock
41 drones for Leenock 18 drones for Sniper
Hydra den started for Leenock
+1 range attack started for Leenock
Roach warren started for Leenock
mutas flying around killing overlords on the map

13:00
Hydra production started for Leenock
Hydra range started for Leenock
small ling runby attempt at the main of Sniper but a defensive bane kills them
Roach production started for Leenock
Mutas try to attack the natural of Leenock but they are denied by Hydras and queens

14:00
Natural hatch restarted for Sniper
baneling speed started for Sniper
Leenock moving across the map with a roach queen hydra force
10 banelings morphing for Sniper

15:00
spire of Sniper about to bleed out from being off creep
+2 range attack started for Leenock
2 banelings from Leenock kill almost all the banes of sniper
Mutas try to defnd the natural
the mutas die
Sniper ggs!
Leenock ties it up 1-1!
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#738
Poll: Recommend Sniper vs Leenock game 2?

Yes (8)
 
80%

No (1)
 
10%

If you have time (1)
 
10%

10 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Sniper vs Leenock game 2?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#739
On November 21 2012 19:52 Greenei wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 21 2012 19:46 TheBB wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:45 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:44 Blaec wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:42 Greenei wrote:
On November 21 2012 19:40 TheBB wrote:
Leenock vs. Sniper

Leenock wins (45.39%):
      3-1: 20.29%
      3-2: 25.10%

Sniper wins (54.61%):
      3-0: 17.01%
      3-1: 19.99%
      3-2: 17.62%

Most likely winner: Sniper (54.61%)
Most likely outcome: Leenock 3-2 Sniper (25.10%)

[image loading]


what is this?


You need your sig to say 'I post stats' TheBB. Or even better a custom icon


those stats make no sense to me, how are they calculated? why is sniper 3-1 more likely then sniper 3-2 even though sniper is obviously not favored?

Answers are here: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=380850

hmm interesting. i wrote my own calculationscript in matlab for betting purposes. maybe i can take some stuff from you to include :D

Oh, awesome. :D
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Salteador Neo
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Andorra5591 Posts
November 21 2012 10:53 GMT
#740
Can't defeat 8 arms with only 2 :D GG
Revolutionist fan
Prev 1 35 36 37 38 39 58 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Replay Cast
00:00
Kanoya Showmatches
CranKy Ducklings138
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
PiGStarcraft540
Nina 132
RuFF_SC2 109
StarCraft: Brood War
Artosis 843
Sharp 35
Icarus 5
LancerX 1
Dota 2
monkeys_forever734
NeuroSwarm108
Counter-Strike
summit1g10666
taco 560
Stewie2K125
Super Smash Bros
hungrybox791
Mew2King183
Other Games
Maynarde153
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick1095
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 14 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• Hupsaiya 147
• davetesta38
• HeavenSC 14
• Mapu5
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Upcoming Events
Replay Cast
7h 47m
PiGosaur Monday
21h 47m
Replay Cast
1d 21h
The PondCast
2 days
Replay Cast
2 days
HomeStory Cup
3 days
HomeStory Cup
4 days
BSL: ProLeague
4 days
SOOP
5 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
5 days
[ Show More ]
HomeStory Cup
5 days
BSL: ProLeague
5 days
Replay Cast
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

Rose Open S1
2025 GSL S2
Heroes 10 EU

Ongoing

JPL Season 2
BSL 2v2 Season 3
BSL Season 20
Acropolis #3
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 2
CSL 17: 2025 SUMMER
Copa Latinoamericana 4
Championship of Russia 2025
RSL Revival: Season 1
Murky Cup #2
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 7
IEM Dallas 2025
PGL Astana 2025
Asian Champions League '25
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025
MESA Nomadic Masters
CCT Season 2 Global Finals
IEM Melbourne 2025
YaLLa Compass Qatar 2025
PGL Bucharest 2025

Upcoming

CSLPRO Last Chance 2025
CSLPRO Chat StarLAN 3
K-Championship
uThermal 2v2 Main Event
SEL Season 2 Championship
Esports World Cup 2025
HSC XXVII
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.