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Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
January 17 2012 04:46 GMT
#2081
it's still 25% between you 4 if it's not a gambit, and that's about what it is for anyone
that's why my vote went to you, then to the person i pushed d1 in sandroba

I think macpo is scum, too, and if sandroba falls off in favor of someone like Nisani, Adam, or Foolishness that I have a strong town read on, yeah, I'll switch to macpo

Someone masoning me, and including someone who has protown abilities, is definitely a positive action in creating a circle
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
January 17 2012 04:46 GMT
#2082
Also, can someone point me to where the filters have gone? It's a lot tedious now with 105 pages, and they're not in the op anymore
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
January 17 2012 04:47 GMT
#2083
They're on page 14
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
January 17 2012 04:53 GMT
#2084
oh shit
rgshworz associative tell city
i'm voting macpo
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Lanaia
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Canada1142 Posts
January 17 2012 04:58 GMT
#2085
I've been meaning to post but school internet keeps going down.

On January 17 2012 13:53 Bill Murray wrote:
oh shit
rgshworz associative tell city
i'm voting macpo


Wanna do me a favour and explain to me what an associative tell is or at least give an example?
<3 If you chase a mirage, the desert will swallow you.
Bill Murray
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States9292 Posts
January 17 2012 05:00 GMT
#2086
he said protactinium was bussing macpo
University of Kentucky Basketball #1
Scamp
Profile Joined October 2008
United States1086 Posts
January 17 2012 05:08 GMT
#2087
BC for the love of god, why did you think it was a good idea to post up a large case against Jackal when we already have a number of suspects to work through?
Cheese is good for you!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
January 17 2012 05:10 GMT
#2088
Thank you for trying to spam away my post, it's really helping solidify your alignment.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
January 17 2012 05:12 GMT
#2089
On January 17 2012 14:08 Scamp wrote:
BC for the love of god, why did you think it was a good idea to post up a large case against Jackal when we already have a number of suspects to work through?


because near all candidates aside from macpo are total shite?

Read protracs posts, read foolishness' read mine? Do you notice how jackal is on 3, kingjames is on 3, and that although both of them have analyzed macpo I have endorsed the lynch?

3 of the top analyzers have given names of lynch targets. As such I see people voting roba and protrac like total derps. \

As for doing the large case? What do you want me to do? I was voted mayor on a stance I would lead. The direction town was taking for lynches was IMO bad, and you can tell via posts that others do as well. As such I am attempting to put the town back on course.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
January 17 2012 05:15 GMT
#2090
On January 17 2012 13:28 Foolishness wrote:
READ CAREFULLY! DON'T LOSE THIS POST! REPOST MANY TIMES

I am making this post as a way of compiling the thoughts of the few people in this game who are making sense and posting good analysis. A lot of it will be my own thoughts, but it's heavily based on a few people (should be obvious) who are the most transparent and the most obvious townies.

9 Mafia remaining. Here's the preliminary suspects: Macpo, GGQ, L. These are the people I feel we have the best case for and most of the transparent people in the thread seem to agree about these 3. Personally I think GGQ is town and we should avoid lynching him for now. Protact already gave viable reasons why Macpo is better than GGQ today, and I feel there is little to argue there. sandroba pointed out how L is acting like in Ver's game, and I couldn't agree more. We also have Incog's analysis against L.

Secondary suspects: Bill Murray, chaosquo, evantrees. These 3 people have garnered attention from a few people but not from everyone, so they are listed as secondary candidates. I am of the belief that all 3 of these people are mafia. evantrees is already mentioned by Incog. I think Cyber_Cheese highlighted a good summary of chaosquo here. Most of it is similar arguments to Macpo.

Bill Murray as red? I think so. Others have cast suspicion but there's not been a full analysis anywhere. A few people have commented that the election "feels" weird in some way, and I definitely sympathize. The votes for Bill Murray come across as the most suspicious: lots of random votes there. Personally I was surprised he even got into office (remember I was out all day so I saw the results without reading the previous 20 pages). I do realize I may have initially pushed him into candidacy, but I shall take responsibility for that and see to it that he's lynched in the near future. But to be simple: Bill Murray posted a lot, and got into office. Since then he's been pretty passive at the helm (so has BC I realize). That's good enough reason to warrant a ton of suspicion, as he should be actively scumhunting and posting without fear at this point.

Remaining mafia candidates: Jackal, Opz, kingjames, zeks. Incog has an analysis against Jackal as we know. I am not on board with him being mafia yet. Traditionally when he is mafia he posts paragraphs, and not one-liners. However he warrants suspicion for having an apathetic attitude.

Opz is someone who I believe Sheth was the first to cast doubt on, and I must say Sheth is definitely onto something. I know of the past Opz as a town player who is aggressive, not afraid to call people out on their bullshit. That's something we aren't seeing much of this game. He's posted a few of his own thoughts, but there is a clear lack of effort. Bored townie who is facepalming at having to read 100 pages? Possibly. Mafia hiding in the shadows? Fits better.

kingjames is called out on by Incog, and there's further analysis by BC. His last sentence is the perfect sum to kingjames: "The key thing to note is that in contrast to his town play where he is outgoing and analytical, his posts in this game are very subdued, seem artificial and feel overly planned." kingjames has yet to do anything to contradict this.

zeks I felt strongly about yesterday, he made a bad post which is nothing like his normal outspoken attitude (though it's been a while since he's played I think). He has since asked for a replacement and hasn't posted, but should still be looked at in the future.

Meapak_Ziphh is someone I would like to throw out there as a candidate (which shouldn't be a surprise from the few of my recent posts). What has Meapak done this game? Tried to get GGQ lynched, and unfortunately that's about all he's tried to do. There is a very aggressive push from him to kill this guy, which I find a little suspicious and slightly out of character.


Mafia: Macpo, GGQ, L, Bill Murray, chaosquo, evantrees, Opz, Kingjames, Meapak_Ziphh.

Substitute a few off candidates and I think we've found our 9: Jackal, BrownBear, zeks, Munk-E, other random inactive player goes here.

DONT LOSE THIS POST ITS SO IMPORTANT!

Writing all that I think the usefulness of this post is immediately made clear. The most prominent townies and the ones doing the analysis are all right on most of their reads. It's just each person has found 2-3 mafia on their own, and most of the time they are all different. Pooling this information together I realize it's hard to call anyone and their analysis wrong, as when you analyze the big picture everything fits together.

Anyone in their right mind would look at this game and think "wow this atmosphere is perfect for the mafia". Ver once told me that lots of times it's easier to find the mafia when the town atmosphere sucks because they will not be the ones causing chaos and disruption. Instead they will be sitting on the sidelines enjoying the show while the townies flail around. Look at all the names I've listed above. Everyone (yes everyone on that list) is guilty of apathy and does not have the interests of the town in mind. They are not thinking long term, or analyzing the big picture. They aren't playing the game, they are watching.

Macpo

Many others have said so, and though I may be biased, I still think it's best we lynch him today. I believe his case is still by far the strongest we have at the moment, especially since he has responded to his threats (with even more reason to kill him). At the time of writing GGQ has yet to say anything. We kill him (Macpo) today and spend the night figuring out who has the next best case. In the meantime, I'm going to be looking for connections between the above players to see if anyone can be ruled out or automatically included.

IF YOU HAVE FINISHED READING AND YOU ARE A COMPETENT TOWN PLAYER PLEASE READ AGAIN

Also, after sifting through this information, I feel we have a strong enough lead to start killing like there's no tomorrow.
##Vote: double lynch



Posting this as it was pushed from view insanely fast.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
Scamp
Profile Joined October 2008
United States1086 Posts
January 17 2012 05:15 GMT
#2091
If you really think Jackal is the best play, I don't mind the large case. I'm just opposed to gigantic distractions.

Macpo is currently the clear play. I wish he would say something.
Cheese is good for you!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
January 17 2012 05:16 GMT
#2092
On January 17 2012 14:15 Scamp wrote:
If you really think Jackal is the best play, I don't mind the large case. I'm just opposed to gigantic distractions.

Macpo is currently the clear play. I wish he would say something.

He already said something once, I'm not expecting him to come back and say anything more, whether we lynch him or not.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Jitsu
Profile Blog Joined June 2011
United States929 Posts
January 17 2012 05:21 GMT
#2093
Fuck it.

##Vote: Macpo

It's pretty obvious i'm not the only one suspicious of him, and as of right now, he's my closet thing on my sheet to a scum.
Zerg Player in CheckMate Gaming - http://checkmategaming.webs.com/
Protactinium
Profile Joined June 2010
Canada550 Posts
January 17 2012 05:22 GMT
#2094
On January 17 2012 13:28 Foolishness wrote:
READ CAREFULLY! DON'T LOSE THIS POST! REPOST MANY TIMES

I am making this post as a way of compiling the thoughts of the few people in this game who are making sense and posting good analysis. A lot of it will be my own thoughts, but it's heavily based on a few people (should be obvious) who are the most transparent and the most obvious townies.

9 Mafia remaining. Here's the preliminary suspects: Macpo, GGQ, L. These are the people I feel we have the best case for and most of the transparent people in the thread seem to agree about these 3. Personally I think GGQ is town and we should avoid lynching him for now. Protact already gave viable reasons why Macpo is better than GGQ today, and I feel there is little to argue there. sandroba pointed out how L is acting like in Ver's game, and I couldn't agree more. We also have Incog's analysis against L.

Secondary suspects: Bill Murray, chaosquo, evantrees. These 3 people have garnered attention from a few people but not from everyone, so they are listed as secondary candidates. I am of the belief that all 3 of these people are mafia. evantrees is already mentioned by Incog. I think Cyber_Cheese highlighted a good summary of chaosquo here. Most of it is similar arguments to Macpo.

Bill Murray as red? I think so. Others have cast suspicion but there's not been a full analysis anywhere. A few people have commented that the election "feels" weird in some way, and I definitely sympathize. The votes for Bill Murray come across as the most suspicious: lots of random votes there. Personally I was surprised he even got into office (remember I was out all day so I saw the results without reading the previous 20 pages). I do realize I may have initially pushed him into candidacy, but I shall take responsibility for that and see to it that he's lynched in the near future. But to be simple: Bill Murray posted a lot, and got into office. Since then he's been pretty passive at the helm (so has BC I realize). That's good enough reason to warrant a ton of suspicion, as he should be actively scumhunting and posting without fear at this point.

Remaining mafia candidates: Jackal, Opz, kingjames, zeks. Incog has an analysis against Jackal as we know. I am not on board with him being mafia yet. Traditionally when he is mafia he posts paragraphs, and not one-liners. However he warrants suspicion for having an apathetic attitude.

Opz is someone who I believe Sheth was the first to cast doubt on, and I must say Sheth is definitely onto something. I know of the past Opz as a town player who is aggressive, not afraid to call people out on their bullshit. That's something we aren't seeing much of this game. He's posted a few of his own thoughts, but there is a clear lack of effort. Bored townie who is facepalming at having to read 100 pages? Possibly. Mafia hiding in the shadows? Fits better.

kingjames is called out on by Incog, and there's further analysis by BC. His last sentence is the perfect sum to kingjames: "The key thing to note is that in contrast to his town play where he is outgoing and analytical, his posts in this game are very subdued, seem artificial and feel overly planned." kingjames has yet to do anything to contradict this.

zeks I felt strongly about yesterday, he made a bad post which is nothing like his normal outspoken attitude (though it's been a while since he's played I think). He has since asked for a replacement and hasn't posted, but should still be looked at in the future.

Meapak_Ziphh is someone I would like to throw out there as a candidate (which shouldn't be a surprise from the few of my recent posts). What has Meapak done this game? Tried to get GGQ lynched, and unfortunately that's about all he's tried to do. There is a very aggressive push from him to kill this guy, which I find a little suspicious and slightly out of character.


Mafia: Macpo, GGQ, L, Bill Murray, chaosquo, evantrees, Opz, Kingjames, Meapak_Ziphh.

Substitute a few off candidates and I think we've found our 9: Jackal, BrownBear, zeks, Munk-E, other random inactive player goes here.

DONT LOSE THIS POST ITS SO IMPORTANT!

Writing all that I think the usefulness of this post is immediately made clear. The most prominent townies and the ones doing the analysis are all right on most of their reads. It's just each person has found 2-3 mafia on their own, and most of the time they are all different. Pooling this information together I realize it's hard to call anyone and their analysis wrong, as when you analyze the big picture everything fits together.

Anyone in their right mind would look at this game and think "wow this atmosphere is perfect for the mafia". Ver once told me that lots of times it's easier to find the mafia when the town atmosphere sucks because they will not be the ones causing chaos and disruption. Instead they will be sitting on the sidelines enjoying the show while the townies flail around. Look at all the names I've listed above. Everyone (yes everyone on that list) is guilty of apathy and does not have the interests of the town in mind. They are not thinking long term, or analyzing the big picture. They aren't playing the game, they are watching.

Macpo

Many others have said so, and though I may be biased, I still think it's best we lynch him today. I believe his case is still by far the strongest we have at the moment, especially since he has responded to his threats (with even more reason to kill him). At the time of writing GGQ has yet to say anything. We kill him (Macpo) today and spend the night figuring out who has the next best case. In the meantime, I'm going to be looking for connections between the above players to see if anyone can be ruled out or automatically included.

IF YOU HAVE FINISHED READING AND YOU ARE A COMPETENT TOWN PLAYER PLEASE READ AGAIN

Also, after sifting through this information, I feel we have a strong enough lead to start killing like there's no tomorrow.
##Vote: double lynch


What do you mean by Meapak being out of character? For me it seems to fit his "I'm going to be the town hero" attitude. Contrast with PYP Interesting where as mafia he just spreads doubt and isn't assertive in the thread besides a half-assed mayoral campaign.

Good post for the most part. I put Jackal and kingjames as better candidates over Bill Murray though (whos colors will show as the game progresses, I'm not sold on him now. Why would a mafia mayor give away the list of bodyguards? Why is L so intent on spreading doubt among the 3 top mayor candidates (BC/BM/me)?)

Chaosquo is almost certainly mafia, as is kingjames.

Notice kingjames' recent out of place post speculating about the night kills (who cares at this point, anyway?)
Furthermore, he recently posted a list of people he is suspicious of with no analysis:

4. Slardar
15. L
22. rgTheSchworz
27. BloodyC0bbler
30. blahz0r
39. hiro protagonist
49. Scamp

claiming that he won't push these candidates "in the interest of not fracturing the town". Note how he never actually says anything about the current lynch candidates.

I wouldn't be surprised if a couple of the more inactive players were mafia instead though, but this should be a good list to start out with.
And so, we find the Sublime.
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
January 17 2012 05:22 GMT
#2095
On January 17 2012 12:51 Jitsu wrote:
@BC, are you back yet, bro? Did you mason up yet?

I masoned someone.
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
Meapak_Ziphh
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6786 Posts
January 17 2012 05:29 GMT
#2096
Foolishness I'm kinda dissapointed. Your case against me is based around meta. Yeah it's true, I've never tunneled anyone hardcore like I'm doing with GGQ right now, does that necessaily make me scum? You don't think GGQ is scum, however incog/protact agrees with me. So what am I doing then? By your logic I'm a hyperaggressive scum trying to mislynch a townie, thats nothing like my scum meta (feeling free to use this since you brought it up as part of your case).

If you use incog's logic, I'm scum bussing a teammate. But what's my next move? My red list largely agrees with both yours, if I suddenly back off any of them it'll be super obvious. If I'm scum then I'm locked into bussing my own team for the next several days (given that you, me, and incog all think macpo and opz are scum).

I will continue to campaign to get GGQ lynched, he is the best option for today. However, I'm not an idiot, if it comes down to macpo and protact or macpo and sandroba then of course I'll vote macpo.

Everyone should vote GGQ though.
Forti et Fideli ~ TL Mafia Forum: Come play with us! ~ Go Samsung KHAN, Stork, JangBi , Shine, Grape, and TurN Fighting!~ wat
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
January 17 2012 05:33 GMT
#2097
Uh, we are doing a double lynch right? Shouldn't we distribute the votes? I'll place my vote where it needs to be, but I do like what BC is saying. Across the boards, Jackal is scum. And now that meapak wants me to vote GGQ, I don't want to :X

Try to balance between macpo and Jackal
Together but separate, like oatmeal
Scamp
Profile Joined October 2008
United States1086 Posts
January 17 2012 05:35 GMT
#2098
Double lynch activates for the next day. We don't just instantly get another vote.
Cheese is good for you!
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
January 17 2012 05:36 GMT
#2099
My bad.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
BloodyC0bbler
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
Canada7876 Posts
January 17 2012 05:36 GMT
#2100
On January 17 2012 14:29 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:
Foolishness I'm kinda dissapointed. Your case against me is based around meta. Yeah it's true, I've never tunneled anyone hardcore like I'm doing with GGQ right now, does that necessaily make me scum? You don't think GGQ is scum, however incog/protact agrees with me. So what am I doing then? By your logic I'm a hyperaggressive scum trying to mislynch a townie, thats nothing like my scum meta (feeling free to use this since you brought it up as part of your case).

If you use incog's logic, I'm scum bussing a teammate. But what's my next move? My red list largely agrees with both yours, if I suddenly back off any of them it'll be super obvious. If I'm scum then I'm locked into bussing my own team for the next several days (given that you, me, and incog all think macpo and opz are scum).

I will continue to campaign to get GGQ lynched, he is the best option for today. However, I'm not an idiot, if it comes down to macpo and protact or macpo and sandroba then of course I'll vote macpo.

Everyone should vote GGQ though.


Stop splitting the friggin vote. You prefer macpo over sandro or protac, and you have a large number of players saying off macpo. With this much red read by MULTIPLE PLAYERS who are well respected we should be heading where they aim. Jackal is on 3 scum lists and I believe he is a higher profile red to remove than macpo, however given the amount of work provided in analysis on macpo I would understand and support his lynch.


Get off ggq, we can let a vig handle him or lynch him tommorrow.
#3 Member of the Chill Fanclub / Rhaegar fought nobly. Rhaegar fought valiantly. Rhaegar fought honorably. And Rhaeger died. --Ser Jorah Mormont TL MAFIA FORUM http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/index.php?show_part=31 go go !
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