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EWC Starting Brackets Revealed

Forum Index > SC2 General
115 CommentsPost a Reply
Normal
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden656 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-11 00:05:02
July 10 2024 19:05 GMT
#1
(Wiki)Esports World Cup/2024

Starting brackets for EWC have been announced. Keep in mind that EWC has a complicated format that includes double elimination, so this is just the starting bracket for players.





Group A is a must watch if you like TvT
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Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13969 Posts
July 10 2024 20:22 GMT
#2
Group D holy shit
Kaina + Drones Linkcro Summon Cupsie Yummy Way
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 10 2024 20:40 GMT
#3
Group B definetly feels harder, but probably just in name only. According to the global ranking, I'm almost sure it basically balances out between the two.
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17620 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-10 22:18:20
July 10 2024 22:09 GMT
#4
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
July 10 2024 23:48 GMT
#5
Dark will be eating terran for breakfast lunch and dinner
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
Blitzball04
Profile Joined June 2024
154 Posts
July 11 2024 00:47 GMT
#6
Lol Group A is so easy but also a snooze fest due to tvt

My boy classic got unlucky facing Clem. Hopefully he pulls off some creative build and not garbage macro build that terrans stomps on every each game
bela.mervado
Profile Joined December 2008
Hungary375 Posts
July 11 2024 03:15 GMT
#7
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-11 03:57:08
July 11 2024 03:56 GMT
#8
On July 11 2024 12:15 bela.mervado wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?


I hate this "best 3rd places advance aswell"-Bullshit with a passion. It is idiotic and especially in Esports completly unnecessary. Just do 4x6.
Though initially it is a good thing we don't have any Round-Robin, since that way it is different from Katowice (where we in fact had 4x6). Generally EWC seems to try some more complicated, but interesting systems. The Counterstrike-Tournament is especially experimental.
I also assume they tried to have different systems in every game. Atleast I just randomly opened a few on Liquipedia (~six games) and every single one had a different system, though of course with some similarities. Don't know if that is intentional or not, but it gives every game its unique vibe, which I quite enjoy as an idea.
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6818 Posts
July 11 2024 08:54 GMT
#9
On July 11 2024 12:15 bela.mervado wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?


Haha I see what you did there <3

The CS2 bracket really gives some World Cup vibes: A lot of the usual teams are missing and instead there are a lot of "outsider" teams I've never heard of qualified through stuff like "middle eastern qualifier"
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4168 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-11 10:18:54
July 11 2024 10:14 GMT
#10
should have been just 16 players, two 8 player groups and 3 players advancing from each (all bo5 for sc2). 3rd A vs 2nd B / 3rd B vs 2nd A in the ro6 (bo7 for sc2) and group winners seeded into the semi-finals (bo7 semis + bo9 grand finals for sc2) like here --> https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2024/Katowice

this format that they're using is kinda awful tbh.. but still somehow better than the garbage they've cooked up for counter-strike competition.. that one is a travesty.
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
jodljodl
Profile Joined October 2016
141 Posts
July 11 2024 11:18 GMT
#11
cool cool cool.
actually am looking forward to all the r1 matches.

Also i think, if serral doesn't win this it's because a group like group B.

It's been a while but this bracket makes me really excited for a tournament. wowowowowo looking forward to so many many great matches. There'll be sc matches to watch for weeks!

happy sc to all of you <3


addendum: let aligulac tell me the future. It's crazy how favored serral is against anybody. Great to see someone rise above and beyond skillwise. (Ofc not in all regards.. :> But...) It suggest that the skill ceiling for humans hasn't been reached at all, i think.
Kim Doh Woo
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 11 2024 11:47 GMT
#12
Maru tends to not lose TvT in Bo5/Bo7 so he should have a straight path until Dark. and then I need somebody to slap him on stage whenever he tries to send a triple medivac drop out against a Zerg all-in set up with lingbane or roach ravager. It makes no sense to have 90 scv making 5 base and 4-5 upgrade against 75 Drone and a max out Zerg army.
swarminfestor
Profile Joined September 2017
Malaysia2429 Posts
July 11 2024 11:52 GMT
#13
It's time for Clem to shine.
Rogue & Maru fan boy. ^^
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 11 2024 13:18 GMT
#14
On July 11 2024 17:54 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2024 12:15 bela.mervado wrote:
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?


Haha I see what you did there <3

The CS2 bracket really gives some World Cup vibes: A lot of the usual teams are missing and instead there are a lot of "outsider" teams I've never heard of qualified through stuff like "middle eastern qualifier"


As with everything, Saudi-Arabia (and Qatar) are trying to push into Esports from the Team-side of things aswell, so any game where it is justifiable to do a MENA-qualifier, they did.
For SC2 though, it would have been way too much of a stretch. What's the last MENA-player who did something remotely noteworthy in SC2? Adonminus (not that Israel is usually part of the MENA-qualifiers...)? PandaTank from South Africa?
I think in WESG, the MENA-slots always went to Stephano because he can play from Algeria, right?
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
Biedrik
Profile Blog Joined May 2014
United States94 Posts
July 11 2024 15:32 GMT
#15
Group A is going to have some vicious TvT.
FCHK
Profile Joined August 2020
202 Posts
July 11 2024 16:05 GMT
#16
Seeding done according to global standings on https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/sc2/
non-korean points are adjusted somehow

*the points on liquipedia are incorrect here and there
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16055 Posts
July 11 2024 18:16 GMT
#17
Cure vs Reynor, Classic vs Clem, Oliveira vs Byun and herO vs Solar are all very competitive matches on paper. The others, not so much. Maybe Gabe pulls one of his heroic moments and Dark comes out flat, but on paper that should be a heavily Dark favored match.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 11 2024 19:15 GMT
#18
On July 11 2024 22:18 Balnazza wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2024 17:54 Harris1st wrote:
On July 11 2024 12:15 bela.mervado wrote:
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?


Haha I see what you did there <3

The CS2 bracket really gives some World Cup vibes: A lot of the usual teams are missing and instead there are a lot of "outsider" teams I've never heard of qualified through stuff like "middle eastern qualifier"


As with everything, Saudi-Arabia (and Qatar) are trying to push into Esports from the Team-side of things aswell, so any game where it is justifiable to do a MENA-qualifier, they did.
For SC2 though, it would have been way too much of a stretch. What's the last MENA-player who did something remotely noteworthy in SC2? Adonminus (not that Israel is usually part of the MENA-qualifiers...)? PandaTank from South Africa?
I think in WESG, the MENA-slots always went to Stephano because he can play from Algeria, right?

Tunisia if memory serves, it may not be and I stand corrected if not. Stephano definitely had ties with some North African nation

But yeah that makes a lot of sense
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4378 Posts
July 11 2024 19:35 GMT
#19
I can't find info on this anywhere. Are the groups bo3 or bo5? I like that it's basically all KR vs World besides Serral vs Coffee and herO vs Solar. Nice bracket. If it's bo5 it will really tell us where the world sans Serral stands against Korea.
M3t4PhYzX
Profile Joined March 2019
Poland4168 Posts
July 11 2024 19:46 GMT
#20
On July 12 2024 04:35 JJH777 wrote:
I can't find info on this anywhere. Are the groups bo3 or bo5? I like that it's basically all KR vs World besides Serral vs Coffee and herO vs Solar. Nice bracket. If it's bo5 it will really tell us where the world sans Serral stands against Korea.

from liquipedia -->

+ Main Stage:

- 16 players into 2 Groups of 8 players each.
- Double-elimination brackets.
- All matches are Bo5.
- Winner of each group advances to the Final Four.
- 2nd Place of each group play a match, Winner advances to the Final Four.

+ Knockout Bracket:

- 13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers.
- Single-elimination bracket.
- All matches are Bo3.
- Finals are Bo5.
- Winner advances to the Final Four.

+ Final Four:

- Single-elimination bracket.
- Semifinals are Bo7.
- Grand Finals are Bo9.
odi profanum vulgus et arceo
AlexGano
Profile Joined February 2021
24 Posts
July 12 2024 03:29 GMT
#21
bo9 grand final, the nightmare for maru is ready
Blargh
Profile Joined September 2010
United States2101 Posts
July 12 2024 03:42 GMT
#22
On July 11 2024 12:15 bela.mervado wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2024 07:09 Die4Ever wrote:
wait where is SHIN??

"Knockout Bracket:
13 players from the Main Stage and 2 players from the Qualifiers"

ok so Shin and Showtime will be in the knockout bracket, I'm guessing top left and bottom left of the bracket

so the top 4 will be made up of the 1st place from each group, the winner between the 2nd place from each group (with the loser going to the knockout bracket), and the last slot is the winner of the knockout bracket

the 3rd place guy from each group has to play a ton of games to reach the top 4 lol


yeah
i think it's a bit too complicated

could have been 4 guys from open,
then group stage RR of 4x 5 guys, top 2 into
playoffs with KO bracket

or the top 3 advancing:
4x #1 goes to ro8 waiting for 4 guys:
4x #2-#3 (=8) into 'ro16' winners to play group #1 s
with double elim bracket


current bracket feels a bit weird
imagine
imagine a contest with 6 groups of 4 each
where top 2 advances
and additionally best 4 of the #3s also advances (4 out of the 6 #3s)
would be silly innit?

This is possibly the least sensical bracket design I've ever seen in any game ever. When I first went to the liquipedia page, I saw a bracket. Then another bracket. Then scrolled down some more and there was another bracket. And wait, THEN AFTER ALL THAT, THERE'S A FINAL 4??

I also like how they have this completely random 2nd of 2nd loser dropdown in the "knockout" bracket.
bulldozer06701
Profile Joined July 2019
114 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 04:17:57
July 12 2024 04:17 GMT
#23
I was going to say that someone could perhaps knock out Serral early and we could possibly have a different champ other than him, but learning about the new system that scenario is very unlikely.
Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 12 2024 04:47 GMT
#24
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 05:12:38
July 12 2024 05:00 GMT
#25
ugh group A is gonna be a hard to watch bracket for me unless Astrea pulls off a miracle. Pulling for Dark tho
old
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 07:53:03
July 12 2024 05:18 GMT
#26
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.
old
Blitzball04
Profile Joined June 2024
154 Posts
July 12 2024 17:12 GMT
#27
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
July 12 2024 17:24 GMT
#28
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 12 2024 17:54 GMT
#29
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Not massively because of prep though if memory serves, and it may not.

I think only Gumiho that I remember seemed to have much of a specific anti-Reynor plan last time around. herO just played his usual game and was the better player on the day.

Reynor being on a bit of a slump feels far more the reason he failed to make it out of groups in 2 attempts than him being sniped by superior preparation overall.

Any big international tournament where you know brackets week in advance will have just as much prep opportunities as a GSL group stage nowadays.

And as the Ro4 and finals are done in one go now, the prep now goes from 3 potential opponents rather than a laser focused window to hoodwink a singular player.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
onPHYRE
Profile Joined October 2010
Bulgaria888 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 21:35:08
July 12 2024 21:34 GMT
#30
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Serral is the most prepped for player by a mile. They are prepping for him as if he is their next GSL match. The only difference is now there is actual large amount of money on the line (which should serve as more motivation). There is no winning this tournament, the largest cash prize in the history of the game, without beating Serral. So everyone is prepping for this eventuality. No one is randomly prepping for Coffee for example. It’s pretty easy to understand. Prep isn’t magically different. This has even been touched on by the pros themselves.
Livin' this life like it was written.
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 21:46:10
July 12 2024 21:41 GMT
#31


Serral is the most prepped for player by a mile. They are prepping for him as if he is their next GSL match. The only difference is now there is actual large amount of money on the line (which should serve as more motivation). There is no winning this tournament, the largest cash prize in the history of the game, without beating Serral. So everyone is prepping for this eventuality. No one is randomly prepping for Coffee for example. It’s pretty easy to understand. Prep isn’t magically different. This has even been touched on by the pros themselves.



Again, no one is saying no one prepares on a weekender.


Do you understand the difference in the difficulties of:

Weekender: Prepping for Serral + playing through an entire bracket of players, and/or preparing/practicing for an entire bracket and/or specific players in that bracket if necessary.

versus

Starleague: only preparing for Serral and/or 1 or 2 other players?


It's not that hard of a concept, thinking that a league and a weekender are exactly the same is just a fallacy, period. This is why weekender CHAMPS have come to GSL and got canned, straight up. It's not because they're all the sudden bad, it's because of the format.


Have you ever played in a sports league versus an all day weekend tournament? It's very different, both from a mental and a stamina standpoint. My guess is no but if you did, think about it like that.
old
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
July 12 2024 21:57 GMT
#32
On July 13 2024 02:54 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Not massively because of prep though if memory serves, and it may not.

I think only Gumiho that I remember seemed to have much of a specific anti-Reynor plan last time around. herO just played his usual game and was the better player on the day.

Reynor being on a bit of a slump feels far more the reason he failed to make it out of groups in 2 attempts than him being sniped by superior preparation overall.

Any big international tournament where you know brackets week in advance will have just as much prep opportunities as a GSL group stage nowadays.

And as the Ro4 and finals are done in one go now, the prep now goes from 3 potential opponents rather than a laser focused window to hoodwink a singular player.


I have no arguments one way or the other for how much prep goes in gsl nowadays so I'll agree on your points regarding that. Just a little pushback though on reynor specifically. Prior to him losing in groups most recently, I could've sworn the general consensus was he was doing well and getting out of the slump. Now ofc all that turned on its head as soon as he lost and everyone went back to "reynor is in a slump." And there is something to be said that slumping reynor still placed deeper in esl europe with massive ping than gsl without ping.
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 12 2024 22:07 GMT
#33
On July 13 2024 06:41 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +


Serral is the most prepped for player by a mile. They are prepping for him as if he is their next GSL match. The only difference is now there is actual large amount of money on the line (which should serve as more motivation). There is no winning this tournament, the largest cash prize in the history of the game, without beating Serral. So everyone is prepping for this eventuality. No one is randomly prepping for Coffee for example. It’s pretty easy to understand. Prep isn’t magically different. This has even been touched on by the pros themselves.



Again, no one is saying no one prepares on a weekender.


Do you understand the difference in the difficulties of:

Weekender: Prepping for Serral + playing through an entire bracket of players, and/or preparing/practicing for an entire bracket and/or specific players in that bracket if necessary.

versus

Starleague: only preparing for Serral and/or 1 or 2 other players?


It's not that hard of a concept, thinking that a league and a weekender are exactly the same is just a fallacy, period. This is why weekender CHAMPS have come to GSL and got canned, straight up. It's not because they're all the sudden bad, it's because of the format.


Have you ever played in a sports league versus an all day weekend tournament? It's very different, both from a mental and a stamina standpoint. My guess is no but if you did, think about it like that.


They are different, but GSL-Format isn't 100% "harder". For one, if it was harder, the people winning it would also constantly win weekenders against Serral in the "easier format". But more importantly, it is a different kind of preparation. Yes, you can say "you have weeks to prepare for 2-3 opponents, that is so hard"...but it also means you ONLY have to prepare for 2-3 opponents, which is pretty easy. For weekenders however, you have to prepare for everyone and need to be able to makie adjustments throughout the tournament.

An example for that is Showtimes win against Bunny in the Last Chance Qualifier (their second match). Showtime clearly adjusted himself to Bunny, learned from their previous set and got huge advantages just through build orders. Bunny however did not adjust himself at all, he just straight up tried the same things that kinda worked out in their first set.

With the EWC format, there will be plenty of room for that. So if you really just go in thinking "nah, I just wing it LUL" you will probably have a rude awakening.
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-12 22:12:19
July 12 2024 22:11 GMT
#34
The fact that GSL is more heavily prep oriented and different is the entire point, yes. "harder" is debatable, since stamina can be harder for some people for example. Anyways, that was the entire premise of the response to the dummys original shitpost.
old
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
July 13 2024 02:45 GMT
#35
On July 13 2024 02:54 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Not massively because of prep though if memory serves, and it may not.

I think only Gumiho that I remember seemed to have much of a specific anti-Reynor plan last time around. herO just played his usual game and was the better player on the day.

Gumiho said he planned those mech games against Reynor specifically. Which he was definitely correct to do considering even now, months later, Reynor is making videos saying he doesn't know how to beat that style of mech.

But it's not just him, Bunny sniped Reynor out of the GSL with the same tank pushes on multiple maps, he clearly figured a gap in Reynor's game. DRG even beat him opening 12 pool.

Even if it's not a specific cheese or snipe build, games in GSL will feature preparation. You can prepare specific matchups, you have the time to watch an opponents replays and work out builds. herO might have played his usual style but he would have spent time picking and practicing builds for just Reynor
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 13 2024 04:49 GMT
#36
Dont get me wrong... u prepare against someone knowing his weakness, as example they have mentioned Reynor has been very open in saying what are the things he has problems dealing with. Serral on the other hand (apparently) has no problem going to the Late game... or mech... no problem... how do you prepare against that? first u must find the weakness to prepare against. Can anyone tell how to prepare against that?

In the interview with Hero he said it clearly... when he thinks he can find a small Rift and take advantage to win a game... when he plays against Serral in a tournament he is simply another beast. He feels like he can't do anything.

In a game where 95% of the games are standard......the master of the standards will be the favorite.

Personally I LOVE Reynor but... he is far from achieving the consistency in his game, scout, even build preparation that Serral has.
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 13 2024 05:03 GMT
#37
On July 13 2024 13:49 Gantz023 wrote:
Dont get me wrong... u prepare against someone knowing his weakness, as example they have mentioned Reynor has been very open in saying what are the things he has problems dealing with. Serral on the other hand (apparently) has no problem going to the Late game... or mech... no problem... how do you prepare against that? first u must find the weakness to prepare against. Can anyone tell how to prepare against that?

In the interview with Hero he said it clearly... when he thinks he can find a small Rift and take advantage to win a game... when he plays against Serral in a tournament he is simply another beast. He feels like he can't do anything.

In a game where 95% of the games are standard......the master of the standards will be the favorite.

Personally I LOVE Reynor but... he is far from achieving the consistency in his game, scout, even build preparation that Serral has.

I wouldnt say herO is an example of playing the prep build, he just decide on whatever build he feels like it at the moment. Having said that, the issue with prepped against Serral is that there is no Zerg playing like Serral at the moment, and I doubt any Zerg would switch their playstyle just to help other players to practice against Serral even if they were teammate. Dark is the closest one what can match certain aspect of Serral playstyle, but hes not on any team, and I doubt he would try to help any other players by practicing with them and also allow them to prep for Dark himself.

So basically to prep against Serral, you have to play a bunch of games against Serral himself. And thats why the 2 guys who have given Serral a good run for his money are Clem and Oliveira. Clem plays against Serral on ladder a bunch of time, so he got pretty used to it by now, and Oliveira has been Serral practice partner in recent time. Imo Maru has the mechanics to play even against Serral but his in-game decision making has been terrible, not just against Serral but also against Dark in the GSL Final. And its not helping that Maru teammate is Solar, playing the almost opposite Zerg style as Serral/Dark in ZvT.
Yoshi Kirishima
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
United States10317 Posts
July 13 2024 05:23 GMT
#38
Bo9 is amazing cus now we can see Serral 5-0 Maru
Mid-master streaming MECH ONLY + commentary www.twitch.tv/yoshikirishima +++ "If all-in fails, all-in again."
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 13 2024 12:09 GMT
#39
On July 13 2024 14:23 Yoshi Kirishima wrote:
Bo9 is amazing cus now we can see Serral 5-0 Maru


Maru: "No one 4-0s me thrice in one year!"
Serral: "Hehe, 5-0 goes brrrr"
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
onPHYRE
Profile Joined October 2010
Bulgaria888 Posts
July 13 2024 15:01 GMT
#40
On July 13 2024 06:41 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +


Serral is the most prepped for player by a mile. They are prepping for him as if he is their next GSL match. The only difference is now there is actual large amount of money on the line (which should serve as more motivation). There is no winning this tournament, the largest cash prize in the history of the game, without beating Serral. So everyone is prepping for this eventuality. No one is randomly prepping for Coffee for example. It’s pretty easy to understand. Prep isn’t magically different. This has even been touched on by the pros themselves.



Again, no one is saying no one prepares on a weekender.


Do you understand the difference in the difficulties of:

Weekender: Prepping for Serral + playing through an entire bracket of players, and/or preparing/practicing for an entire bracket and/or specific players in that bracket if necessary.

versus

Starleague: only preparing for Serral and/or 1 or 2 other players?


It's not that hard of a concept, thinking that a league and a weekender are exactly the same is just a fallacy, period. This is why weekender CHAMPS have come to GSL and got canned, straight up. It's not because they're all the sudden bad, it's because of the format.


Have you ever played in a sports league versus an all day weekend tournament? It's very different, both from a mental and a stamina standpoint. My guess is no but if you did, think about it like that.


Your entire argument is based on the fact that in a weekender you have less time to prepare for the next round, except that’s not how these pros prepare and if you look at any recent interviews you would realize that the prep for a weekender and a GSL really is not that different. Everyone in Serral’s quarterof the bracket is preparing for him as if he is in their GSL group, because they are just as likely to play him as if they were in his GSL group. Everyone else in the tournament is preparing for their group and Maru/Serral. It’s not a difficult concept to understand. Just because Serral isn’t your next match doesn’t mean you aren’t spending at least a large portion of your time preparing as if he is. That’s how it works at the highest level. Like I said, no one is preparing for Spirit and Coffee in the same way they are Serral (no offense to them). It’s not a hard concept to understand. There isn’t some magical barrier to the way you prep just because you have an extra week or two in GSL. This is a $1 million dollar tournament. Last place is making more than the GSL champion.. If you don’t think they are prepping for him as if this was GSL x10 you literally have no idea what it means to be a pro gamer. You don’t need to take my word on any of this.. go watch some interviews. Or better yet watch what has happened to Maru when he plays Serral (who he preps for as his next opponent in every international tournament and has stated so himself).
Livin' this life like it was written.
Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 13 2024 15:13 GMT
#41
On July 13 2024 14:03 tigera6 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 13:49 Gantz023 wrote:
Dont get me wrong... u prepare against someone knowing his weakness, as example they have mentioned Reynor has been very open in saying what are the things he has problems dealing with. Serral on the other hand (apparently) has no problem going to the Late game... or mech... no problem... how do you prepare against that? first u must find the weakness to prepare against. Can anyone tell how to prepare against that?

In the interview with Hero he said it clearly... when he thinks he can find a small Rift and take advantage to win a game... when he plays against Serral in a tournament he is simply another beast. He feels like he can't do anything.

In a game where 95% of the games are standard......the master of the standards will be the favorite.

Personally I LOVE Reynor but... he is far from achieving the consistency in his game, scout, even build preparation that Serral has.

I wouldnt say herO is an example of playing the prep build, he just decide on whatever build he feels like it at the moment. Having said that, the issue with prepped against Serral is that there is no Zerg playing like Serral at the moment, and I doubt any Zerg would switch their playstyle just to help other players to practice against Serral even if they were teammate. Dark is the closest one what can match certain aspect of Serral playstyle, but hes not on any team, and I doubt he would try to help any other players by practicing with them and also allow them to prep for Dark himself.

So basically to prep against Serral, you have to play a bunch of games against Serral himself. And thats why the 2 guys who have given Serral a good run for his money are Clem and Oliveira. Clem plays against Serral on ladder a bunch of time, so he got pretty used to it by now, and Oliveira has been Serral practice partner in recent time. Imo Maru has the mechanics to play even against Serral but his in-game decision making has been terrible, not just against Serral but also against Dark in the GSL Final. And its not helping that Maru teammate is Solar, playing the almost opposite Zerg style as Serral/Dark in ZvT.


to say that hero is not a player who is considered to be Prep his games against his opponents....don't you think that is a bit contradictory??... because if he reaches the semi-finals of the GSL, a tournament that everyone says Prep is "the most important")

If Hero reaches the final it is because other things are more important than preparation... Consistency, Scout, understanding of the game, reading the plays with minimal information, quick decisions in the game, adaptability, you can keep in mind making a build , but if the circumstances do not exist, be able to adapt.

Let's not lie to ourselves... SC2 is an old game, little is seen of new plays... 95% is standard and known.

For the second point... I ask a question... how do you improve and push yourself to the limits in SC2... well there are no secrets here, just playing against better players that you will improve. So basically you are saying that Serral is a better player and only by playing against him Korean players could raise their level. I don't know if Serral is willing to do this either...

tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-13 16:11:24
July 13 2024 16:02 GMT
#42
I dont think herO prepping for any particular opponent, he likes to dictate the pace early and play his own aggressive style no matter who hes playing against. But herO has a good variety of build so he can just pick one at any moment in time and its probably looking good.

And like I said, if you want to prep against someone, you need to plan a specific strategy against that player base on his build and timing. Its not just about getting better overall, its about getting into the rhythm and be able to make the correct decision base on the plan. I am saying that if KR players want to beat Serral, they need to practice more against his style, which is virtually different from every other Zerg from the planet, outside of Dark who also doesnt want to practice much against his potential opponents neither.

Back in the StarLeague day, I think most teams have players that was specialized in playing the build from others and become practice partner for teammate. But I dont think we have seen that or heard about it in recent times for KR scene.


Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 13 2024 16:23 GMT
#43
On July 14 2024 01:02 tigera6 wrote:
I dont think herO prepping for any particular opponent, he likes to dictate the pace early and play his own aggressive style no matter who hes playing against. But herO has a good variety of build so he can just pick one at any moment in time and its probably looking good.

And like I said, if you want to prep against someone, you need to plan a specific strategy against that player base on his build and timing. Its not just about getting better overall, its about getting into the rhythm and be able to make the correct decision base on the plan. I am saying that if KR players want to beat Serral, they need to practice more against his style, which is virtually different from every other Zerg from the planet, outside of Dark who also doesnt want to practice much against his potential opponents neither.

Back in the StarLeague day, I think most teams have players that was specialized in playing the build from others and become practice partner for teammate. But I dont think we have seen that or heard about it in recent times for KR scene.




And Which is that Style Serral that "that Diferent from the other zerg " ???..... BTW It is Serral that demonstrated Prep... the games between Oliveira-Serral and Maru-Serral... They were totally different and a masterclass on how to destroy Maru's style of play. and Maru on the other hand, the God of the GSL of preparation, without being able to adapt, without showing flexibility, without knowing how to read the attacks.

We are going to pray that we don't have such an overwhelming final and that it is a good show... Maru has had 6 months to study Serral's style. and EVERYONE KNOWS (and I think there is no debate at this point) that if they want to win the tournament they will have to beat Serral at one time or another.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-13 16:33:35
July 13 2024 16:33 GMT
#44
Yeah it seems unlikely that with double elim, some quite long series that whoever wins can hope to avoid Serral. The most consistent player around and a format that seems to reward consistency pretty heavily

Still, stranger things have happened.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 13 2024 17:52 GMT
#45
On July 14 2024 01:23 Gantz023 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 14 2024 01:02 tigera6 wrote:
I dont think herO prepping for any particular opponent, he likes to dictate the pace early and play his own aggressive style no matter who hes playing against. But herO has a good variety of build so he can just pick one at any moment in time and its probably looking good.

And like I said, if you want to prep against someone, you need to plan a specific strategy against that player base on his build and timing. Its not just about getting better overall, its about getting into the rhythm and be able to make the correct decision base on the plan. I am saying that if KR players want to beat Serral, they need to practice more against his style, which is virtually different from every other Zerg from the planet, outside of Dark who also doesnt want to practice much against his potential opponents neither.

Back in the StarLeague day, I think most teams have players that was specialized in playing the build from others and become practice partner for teammate. But I dont think we have seen that or heard about it in recent times for KR scene.




And Which is that Style Serral that "that Diferent from the other zerg " ???..... BTW It is Serral that demonstrated Prep... the games between Oliveira-Serral and Maru-Serral... They were totally different and a masterclass on how to destroy Maru's style of play. and Maru on the other hand, the God of the GSL of preparation, without being able to adapt, without showing flexibility, without knowing how to read the attacks.

We are going to pray that we don't have such an overwhelming final and that it is a good show... Maru has had 6 months to study Serral's style. and EVERYONE KNOWS (and I think there is no debate at this point) that if they want to win the tournament they will have to beat Serral at one time or another.

Serral recently plays a lower econ build, less Drone count and prioritize getting out more units earlier. That means he will have less of a bank to work with in the mid-game but incredibly safe to most early Terran push, and he can decide to unload all of those army units onto the opponent if they slip up. Meanwhile Maru TvZ has been hyper greedy in the mid-game, hes going double upgrade, Ghost and 4th CC while on 90 worker and as the result was never maxed out against the Zerg army attack. I dont think he was showing any specific prepped build against Serral in the last 2 Grand Final that they met, and get bopped as expected. Not sure if he has learned anything from that, but thats just what I have seen.


Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 13 2024 20:02 GMT
#46
[/QUOTE]
Serral recently plays a lower econ build, less Drone count and prioritize getting out more units earlier. That means he will have less of a bank to work with in the mid-game but incredibly safe to most early Terran push, and he can decide to unload all of those army units onto the opponent if they slip up. Meanwhile Maru TvZ has been hyper greedy in the mid-game, hes going double upgrade, Ghost and 4th CC while on 90 worker and as the result was never maxed out against the Zerg army attack. I dont think he was showing any specific prepped build against Serral in the last 2 Grand Final that they met, and get bopped as expected. Not sure if he has learned anything from that, but thats just what I have seen.


[/QUOTE]



It's a good read of the games. completely agree.

But when analyzing Serral he is just playing safe and is comfortable going into the late game as long as he doesn't take significant damage in the early-mid. Of course, if he sees that he has the opportunity to punish you for being greedy (Maru's problem), he doesn't hesitate to do so. Therefore, if you are not able to kill him, you are forced to go to the late area where he apparently feels comfortable and you have to prevent him from mining your part of the map. and you just have to be better at this part of the game. which I repeat, IS THE STANDAR. where Serral is the favorite. and every other Zerg has trouble in this part of the game.

Prepare against that is really hard. dunno what koreans must do it, even if he plays a Bo3 or some games in the GSL... we will see something similar. I wouldn't expect anything radically different. And if someone tries it, it's probably just an all-in that can be solved with a good Scout. that is what serral usual do when he si the favourite, just play safe.

anything can happen. Maybe Serral is not the champion. I just hope to see good games.
b0lt
Profile Joined March 2009
United States790 Posts
July 13 2024 21:52 GMT
#47
Is there a group of death, dismemberment, and dissolution in acid?
sc2turtlepants
Profile Joined December 2023
28 Posts
July 14 2024 02:00 GMT
#48
On July 14 2024 06:52 b0lt wrote:
Is there a group of death, dismemberment, and dissolution in acid?


There's only 2 groups of 8 players, so no. That being said, the lower half of Group B has my vote for the most consistent high-skill and evenly matched players
CicadaSC
Profile Joined January 2018
United States1472 Posts
July 14 2024 03:58 GMT
#49
I actually don't see serral as the favorite here. You can check his ladder account and he's been passed by Clem. Also some uncharacteristic losses recently. You can say it's just ladder but Serral doesn't meme or troll on ladder. I think it is a sign of things to come. herO or Classic have to be the tournament favorites.
Remember that we all come from a place of passion!!
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4378 Posts
July 14 2024 04:35 GMT
#50
On July 14 2024 12:58 CicadaSC wrote:
I actually don't see serral as the favorite here. You can check his ladder account and he's been passed by Clem. Also some uncharacteristic losses recently. You can say it's just ladder but Serral doesn't meme or troll on ladder. I think it is a sign of things to come. herO or Classic have to be the tournament favorites.


Two Toss being the favorites when a Toss hasn't won a premier event in nearly 3 years is a bold prediction. Especially when a lot of those premiers had weaker T/Z lineups and stronger P lineups than this one and they still lost. I'm tempted to say it's impossible for Toss to win a premier with all top players present in the current game state but would love to be proven wrong. They've lost how many premiers in a row now though?
DarkGamer
Profile Joined November 2012
Germany318 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-14 08:27:02
July 14 2024 08:26 GMT
#51
I think Serral will win, but would love a protoss to finally win a big tournament i wish for a top 4 of: clem (or maru), classic, hero and serral.
dysenterymd
Profile Joined January 2019
1178 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-14 09:57:09
July 14 2024 09:48 GMT
#52
On July 14 2024 12:58 CicadaSC wrote:
I actually don't see serral as the favorite here. You can check his ladder account and he's been passed by Clem. Also some uncharacteristic losses recently. You can say it's just ladder but Serral doesn't meme or troll on ladder. I think it is a sign of things to come. herO or Classic have to be the tournament favorites.

Hasn't Clem had higher MMR than Serral before? Ability to play your best in studio is more important than ladder skill, which Serral has shown very often and Clem has shown once.

Even if Serral doesn't troll on ladder that doesn't mean he's 100% all the time. His practice games with the likes of Oliveira (which we don't get to see) would be far more indicative of his level.
Serral | Inno | sOs | soO | Has | Classic
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 14 2024 11:59 GMT
#53
On July 14 2024 12:58 CicadaSC wrote:
I actually don't see serral as the favorite here. You can check his ladder account and he's been passed by Clem. Also some uncharacteristic losses recently. You can say it's just ladder but Serral doesn't meme or troll on ladder. I think it is a sign of things to come. herO or Classic have to be the tournament favorites.


You worry about Serrals ladder-stats and then declare a player to be a favorite who has lost maps to trigger and Ryung recently and didn't even make it into GSL or StarsWar?
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
ejozl
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark3340 Posts
July 15 2024 17:39 GMT
#54
When real money is on the line Protoss is never the favourite. They might win some online tournament with most of the greats, when zergs and terrans try to play straight up, but when it really matters, T and Z will bring out all of the overpowered bullshit builds that P isn't able to hold, because they can't be ready for everything.
SC2 Archon needs "Terrible, terrible damage" as one of it's quotes.
onPHYRE
Profile Joined October 2010
Bulgaria888 Posts
July 16 2024 09:52 GMT
#55
I didn’t think there was much debate that Reynor is probably the closest approximation to playing versus Serral that there is.. Dark is far too aggressive and sadly Rogue, DRG, SHIN just don’t have the speed required to be at a championship level these days. Solar plays more similar to the other Korean Zergs while Reynor is the second best EU Zerg and has a lot of similar tendencies to Serral. He just lacks a bit on decision making in those intense moments compared to Serral (he still does it better than almost anyone in the world except maybe Clem, Maru, MaxPax and Serral still).
Livin' this life like it was written.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 16 2024 13:16 GMT
#56
On July 16 2024 18:52 onPHYRE wrote:
I didn’t think there was much debate that Reynor is probably the closest approximation to playing versus Serral that there is.. Dark is far too aggressive and sadly Rogue, DRG, SHIN just don’t have the speed required to be at a championship level these days. Solar plays more similar to the other Korean Zergs while Reynor is the second best EU Zerg and has a lot of similar tendencies to Serral. He just lacks a bit on decision making in those intense moments compared to Serral (he still does it better than almost anyone in the world except maybe Clem, Maru, MaxPax and Serral still).

Yeah pretty much.

For me the key difference is Reynor is less safe with his greed, he’s just not quite as good at reading his opponents as Serral is.

I think the overall gameplan and styles and strengths are pretty similar, although there are ofc differences. But both play largely very high-eco styles that explode in the mid-late game, both are comfortable doing that and both of them are the two best Zergs mechanically too, which is partly why they’re so comfortable playing that way.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
coreballcore
Profile Joined July 2024
United States1 Post
Last Edited: 2024-07-16 13:49:06
July 16 2024 13:33 GMT
#57
Bot edit.

User was banned for this post.
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
July 16 2024 14:04 GMT
#58
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
July 16 2024 17:37 GMT
#59
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 16 2024 19:13 GMT
#60
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?


Maru had pretty poor performances in the past. Reynor participated...how often in GSL? Two times? Three? One of these times he was in a big slump (this year). People always pretend like Reynor played the last five years non-stop GSL and never managed to go beyond the group stage...
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
July 16 2024 21:23 GMT
#61
On July 17 2024 04:13 Balnazza wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?


Maru had pretty poor performances in the past. Reynor participated...how often in GSL? Two times? Three? One of these times he was in a big slump (this year). People always pretend like Reynor played the last five years non-stop GSL and never managed to go beyond the group stage...


The slump is debatable because right before he was kicked out he was confident in his skill and by and large the community members believed he was out of the slump. No one is pretending he played nonstop. He played three times and in two he lost in groups, go figure.

But regardless, this was always about how gsl, even to this day, is still tough enough that reynor, who has won a bunch of shit, has struggled with it. It doesn't matter how many times he participates in gsl. If it were that easy to walk over the gsl players in korea, he would've done it, slump or no slump.

Maru having bad performances in the past means little. He still has won plenty of tournaments where serral attended (i.e., my response to the person who claims he gets destroyed when he plays international events).
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 16 2024 21:40 GMT
#62
On July 17 2024 06:23 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 04:13 Balnazza wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?


Maru had pretty poor performances in the past. Reynor participated...how often in GSL? Two times? Three? One of these times he was in a big slump (this year). People always pretend like Reynor played the last five years non-stop GSL and never managed to go beyond the group stage...


The slump is debatable because right before he was kicked out he was confident in his skill and by and large the community members believed he was out of the slump. No one is pretending he played nonstop. He played three times and in two he lost in groups, go figure.

But regardless, this was always about how gsl, even to this day, is still tough enough that reynor, who has won a bunch of shit, has struggled with it. It doesn't matter how many times he participates in gsl. If it were that easy to walk over the gsl players in korea, he would've done it, slump or no slump.

Maru having bad performances in the past means little. He still has won plenty of tournaments where serral attended (i.e., my response to the person who claims he gets destroyed when he plays international events).


Technically Reynor performed worse in IEM Katowice 2024 than in GSL (Top 20 vs. Top 16). And no, no one said his slump was over. GSL was literally the tournament for him to prove that it was.

And no, this wasn't about "GSL is harder because of the players", but "GSL is harder because of the format". But the format had little to do with Reynors performance this year. And honestly, probably not much to do with his former failures aswell.
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
July 16 2024 23:40 GMT
#63
You could argue it's both or one or the other. This topic is beaten to death but until a foreigner actually wins a star league it'll always be a good talking point. Only biased fanboys will dismiss the premise that SLs are a unique and tough beast by their own right. (I don't suggest discussing the topic with anyone like that)
old
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 17 2024 03:21 GMT
#64
On July 17 2024 06:40 Balnazza wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 06:23 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 17 2024 04:13 Balnazza wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?


Maru had pretty poor performances in the past. Reynor participated...how often in GSL? Two times? Three? One of these times he was in a big slump (this year). People always pretend like Reynor played the last five years non-stop GSL and never managed to go beyond the group stage...


The slump is debatable because right before he was kicked out he was confident in his skill and by and large the community members believed he was out of the slump. No one is pretending he played nonstop. He played three times and in two he lost in groups, go figure.

But regardless, this was always about how gsl, even to this day, is still tough enough that reynor, who has won a bunch of shit, has struggled with it. It doesn't matter how many times he participates in gsl. If it were that easy to walk over the gsl players in korea, he would've done it, slump or no slump.

Maru having bad performances in the past means little. He still has won plenty of tournaments where serral attended (i.e., my response to the person who claims he gets destroyed when he plays international events).


Technically Reynor performed worse in IEM Katowice 2024 than in GSL (Top 20 vs. Top 16). And no, no one said his slump was over. GSL was literally the tournament for him to prove that it was.

And no, this wasn't about "GSL is harder because of the players", but "GSL is harder because of the format". But the format had little to do with Reynors performance this year. And honestly, probably not much to do with his former failures aswell.

Reynor fall in IEM was more because of the group he was in, rather than his skill. He would have easily made it out of any other group imo. We all knew there was a fairly good chance for him to not advance back then. But most people expected Reynor to make a deep run in GSL, at least Ro8 if not Ro4/Final. He made Ro8 in ESL Spring meaning hes not that much in a slump. Its pretty well-known that Reynor HATES playing against a certain TvZ style, originated from Maru, and he tends to play worse against such style overall.
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 17 2024 03:34 GMT
#65
On July 17 2024 12:21 tigera6 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 06:40 Balnazza wrote:
On July 17 2024 06:23 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 17 2024 04:13 Balnazza wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?


Maru had pretty poor performances in the past. Reynor participated...how often in GSL? Two times? Three? One of these times he was in a big slump (this year). People always pretend like Reynor played the last five years non-stop GSL and never managed to go beyond the group stage...


The slump is debatable because right before he was kicked out he was confident in his skill and by and large the community members believed he was out of the slump. No one is pretending he played nonstop. He played three times and in two he lost in groups, go figure.

But regardless, this was always about how gsl, even to this day, is still tough enough that reynor, who has won a bunch of shit, has struggled with it. It doesn't matter how many times he participates in gsl. If it were that easy to walk over the gsl players in korea, he would've done it, slump or no slump.

Maru having bad performances in the past means little. He still has won plenty of tournaments where serral attended (i.e., my response to the person who claims he gets destroyed when he plays international events).


Technically Reynor performed worse in IEM Katowice 2024 than in GSL (Top 20 vs. Top 16). And no, no one said his slump was over. GSL was literally the tournament for him to prove that it was.

And no, this wasn't about "GSL is harder because of the players", but "GSL is harder because of the format". But the format had little to do with Reynors performance this year. And honestly, probably not much to do with his former failures aswell.

Reynor fall in IEM was more because of the group he was in, rather than his skill. He would have easily made it out of any other group imo. We all knew there was a fairly good chance for him to not advance back then. But most people expected Reynor to make a deep run in GSL, at least Ro8 if not Ro4/Final. He made Ro8 in ESL Spring meaning hes not that much in a slump. Its pretty well-known that Reynor HATES playing against a certain TvZ style, originated from Maru, and he tends to play worse against such style overall.


I think it is pretty obvious that Reynor had some problems at the beginning of the year, he said so himself. His review on Katowice didn't sound like "well, it was a tough group". The matches themselves also didn't reflect that. Of course he wasn't "dropping out of the Top 50" slumping, but he also wasn't even close to championship-form - which is something Reynor is definetly capable of.
Put together his bad Katowice, bad GSL and not qualifying for StarsWars (lost against Skillous) and you have a pretty clear stretch of time that can be summed up as "slump". That atleast feels much more plausible than "GSL format is so much harder that a World-Class player at his best can't win a single map".

ESL Spring might be a bit of a turning point, feels like his WTL-results are also better since then. Probably to be in premium shape for EWC in true Reynor-fashion.
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
July 17 2024 04:19 GMT
#66
That and a ton more pressure on him since he wants to prove he can do well at GSL- so he just choked it up despite him saying he felt super good and was practicing a bunch. you have to be in top form to win GSL + have the mental wherewithal if you want to win the historically greatest tournament the game has ever known. If you care about it, like Reynor does, it's that much added pressure. Which I think would be fair to say, anyone who enters that tournament, especially foreigners, will have that level of care to win, despite what internet people say.
old
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 17 2024 06:43 GMT
#67
On July 17 2024 13:19 radracer wrote:
That and a ton more pressure on him since he wants to prove he can do well at GSL- so he just choked it up despite him saying he felt super good and was practicing a bunch. you have to be in top form to win GSL + have the mental wherewithal if you want to win the historically greatest tournament the game has ever known. If you care about it, like Reynor does, it's that much added pressure. Which I think would be fair to say, anyone who enters that tournament, especially foreigners, will have that level of care to win, despite what internet people say.

In the interest of consistency Reynor made it out of a Ro32 before he even made his WCS debut. At a time where many people say the scene was more competitive.

Slumping aside I don’t think many would argue that that incarnation of Reynor was a better player, or that GSL is harder in 2024.

We all have bad days at the office, perhaps Reynor had that fearlessness of youth first time around, and ‘cared too much’ this time and couldn’t perform.

Or, compared to other times in the past there’s less of a foreigner presence, and Reynor just had a rougher time lifestyle wise which impacted him.

Or he felt good and just had an off-day, or indeed he’s playing against some bloody good players too! Or a combination in whatever ratio of all these factors.

Reynor can win a GSL talent wise, but even the best version of Reynor has been a rather streaky player, and we’ve seen that for much of this year. GSL has been the rule, not the exception.

Along with Clem, if they committed and there were another say, 6 seasons of GSL, they both competed every time I think one of the two of them takes one. It’s a very hard tournament to win, but it’s not the mythical tournament that some make out that completely flips the scales in terms of innate StarCraft ability. Especially with one fewer stage to navigate, and the combined Ro4/finals at least reducing some of the preparation element which was the thing that differentiated its format and did add a unique test to players.

Sadly for us fans, I can’t see GSL going quite that long, or foreigners really giving it a proper crack, but we can hope!

I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. Equally if he didn’t, I wouldn’t be blown away, as I said, it’s hard. But it’s hard to see him not at least getting out of groups. Another thing I hope to see one day but I’m certainly not holding my breath.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-17 14:54:38
July 17 2024 14:54 GMT
#68
On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 13:19 radracer wrote:
That and a ton more pressure on him since he wants to prove he can do well at GSL- so he just choked it up despite him saying he felt super good and was practicing a bunch. you have to be in top form to win GSL + have the mental wherewithal if you want to win the historically greatest tournament the game has ever known. If you care about it, like Reynor does, it's that much added pressure. Which I think would be fair to say, anyone who enters that tournament, especially foreigners, will have that level of care to win, despite what internet people say.

In the interest of consistency Reynor made it out of a Ro32 before he even made his WCS debut. At a time where many people say the scene was more competitive.

Slumping aside I don’t think many would argue that that incarnation of Reynor was a better player, or that GSL is harder in 2024.

We all have bad days at the office, perhaps Reynor had that fearlessness of youth first time around, and ‘cared too much’ this time and couldn’t perform.

Also worth saying that the other GSL competitors in 2018 weren't familiar with him playstyle. He hadn't even played in WCS events at that point. Now when he competes he has Bunny preparing snipe builds and Gumiho practicing an entire playstyle that he's especially bad against.

If I remember right, in 2018 he beat Ryung 2-0, went 2-2 against Classic to advance, beat Impact in the ro16, then lost to Maru and Neeb. I don't want to say bracket luck because getting out of a GSL group on your first attempt is insane, but Ryung and Impact are realistically easier opponents than who he faced in the more recent seasons.
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
July 17 2024 15:41 GMT
#69
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?
Also I'm just refuting your claim of "Reynor got knocked out in GSL but won many tournaments where Serral attened", do I need to remind you that Maru also got knocked out a lot of times in international tournaments. Does it mean GSL is a easier touenamernt? So funny your argument is.
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 17 2024 15:49 GMT
#70
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?
Also I'm just refuting your claim of "Reynor got knocked out in GSL but won many tournaments where Serral attened", do I need to remind you that Maru also got knocked out a lot of times in international tournaments. Does it mean GSL is a easier touenamernt? So funny your argument is.

Maru doesnt really get knocked out in the group stage of international tournament that much. Other than Serral, he has been the most consistent player in international tournament for the last 3-4 years. Trust me, if Maru got eliminated in a Ro16 of a tournament, we would be all over it.
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
July 17 2024 16:04 GMT
#71
On July 18 2024 00:49 tigera6 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?
Also I'm just refuting your claim of "Reynor got knocked out in GSL but won many tournaments where Serral attened", do I need to remind you that Maru also got knocked out a lot of times in international tournaments. Does it mean GSL is a easier touenamernt? So funny your argument is.

Maru doesnt really get knocked out in the group stage of international tournament that much. Other than Serral, he has been the most consistent player in international tournament for the last 3-4 years. Trust me, if Maru got eliminated in a Ro16 of a tournament, we would be all over it.

I know he is one of the most consistent players. I'm just refuting the nonsense "Reynor get knocked out in GSL group stage, he USED TO win some tournaments where Serral participates so GSL is harder", Reynor also failed to advance in Starswar and IEM this year, and he was on fire when he won Gamers 8 last year, his GSL placement doesn't mean shit.
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
July 17 2024 16:57 GMT
#72
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?.

Saying 'getting smashed' and missing off the 'in the finals' part is kinda misleading. Losing in the finals still puts him at a top 2 contender.

If you think Maru got smashed then every other player except Serral did even worse.
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
tigera6
Profile Joined March 2021
3223 Posts
July 17 2024 17:03 GMT
#73
On July 18 2024 01:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 00:49 tigera6 wrote:
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?
Also I'm just refuting your claim of "Reynor got knocked out in GSL but won many tournaments where Serral attened", do I need to remind you that Maru also got knocked out a lot of times in international tournaments. Does it mean GSL is a easier touenamernt? So funny your argument is.

Maru doesnt really get knocked out in the group stage of international tournament that much. Other than Serral, he has been the most consistent player in international tournament for the last 3-4 years. Trust me, if Maru got eliminated in a Ro16 of a tournament, we would be all over it.

I know he is one of the most consistent players. I'm just refuting the nonsense "Reynor get knocked out in GSL group stage, he USED TO win some tournaments where Serral participates so GSL is harder", Reynor also failed to advance in Starswar and IEM this year, and he was on fire when he won Gamers 8 last year, his GSL placement doesn't mean shit.

I wouldnt say his result in GSL "doesnt mean shit", because he literally was trying hard for it, with tons of practice and even moving to KR in advance and sacrifice his performance in EU Regional by playing with higher ping. But you are correct saying that Reynor hasnt done well in GSL is more of a Reynor problem, than a GSL vs other tournaments issue.
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
July 17 2024 18:02 GMT
#74
On July 18 2024 01:57 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?.

Saying 'getting smashed' and missing off the 'in the finals' part is kinda misleading. Losing in the finals still puts him at a top 2 contender.

If you think Maru got smashed then every other player except Serral did even worse.

I don't think it necessarily needs to include "in the final" key word. All I said was to refute the claim of implying "GSL is harder because Reynor did better in some past events than he did in GSL", from the other way round I could say Maru did far worse in DH/ESL events than he did in GSL so GSL is easier, both statements are nonsense.
Fango
Profile Joined July 2016
United Kingdom8987 Posts
July 17 2024 18:30 GMT
#75
On July 18 2024 03:02 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 01:57 Fango wrote:
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?.

Saying 'getting smashed' and missing off the 'in the finals' part is kinda misleading. Losing in the finals still puts him at a top 2 contender.

If you think Maru got smashed then every other player except Serral did even worse.

I don't think it necessarily needs to include "in the final" key word. All I said was to refute the claim of implying "GSL is harder because Reynor did better in some past events than he did in GSL", from the other way round I could say Maru did far worse in DH/ESL events than he did in GSL so GSL is easier, both statements are nonsense.

Well you definitely need to include in the 'in the final part'. Otherwise you give the impression Maru does as badly overseas as Reynor does in GSL. Which isn't true, nowadays Maru makes the finals of most tournaments, Reynor lost in GSL group stages.

Losing in the finals is still an incredible achievement.

Additionally, in 2024 Maru didn't really do any worse in those overseas events than he did in GSL. He came second at Dreamhack and IEM and first in Starswar. Similarly he came first and second in the two GSL seasons.
Zest, sOs, PartinG, Dark, and Maru are the real champs. ROOT_herO is overrated. Snute, Serral, and Scarlett are the foreigner GOATs
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
July 17 2024 18:38 GMT
#76
On July 18 2024 03:30 Fango wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 03:02 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 18 2024 01:57 Fango wrote:
On July 18 2024 00:41 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 17 2024 02:37 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 16 2024 23:04 njleslu2024 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:24 lokol4890 wrote:
On July 13 2024 02:12 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 12 2024 14:18 radracer wrote:
On July 12 2024 13:47 Gantz023 wrote:
well....Koreans have enought time to prepare against Serral ...... OH WAIT !!!, prepare is only for GSL... im so stupid xD.

Good games are coming !!!! :D



Aww it's ok little guy, you'll figure out the difference between a weekend tournament and a league one day!

In all seriousness, you have to dedicate prep for an entire bracket vs a small number of matches, or even one. No one thinks there is "Zero prep" for a weekender, it's a different kind of prep. But somehow people post and actually think that the argument is zero prep vs concentrated prep, then make silly premises like this, which is baffling. Even when we have so many examples of how hard it is for non GSL regulars to perform in GSL.


Lol GSL prep build is a myth. There has no prep build since 2017 every game is standard meta game. Once in a blue moon there might be a weird prep build.

No one cares for GSL for years now, cause those Korean pros cares fighting for that 3K first place prize lol.

The hardest tournaments to win are the ones with Serral


Without caring they still keep kicking reynor out in the group stages, the same guy who's won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended

Maru who won plenty of GSLs was smashed in international tournaments where Serral attend.


Maru has won plenty of tournaments that serral has attended, just fyi, also in what universe is getting back to back second places at iem and dallas getting "smashed." Do you really not see a difference between maru losing in the grandfinals and reynor getting kicked out in groups?

Are you just lying to yourself? In what universe do you think getting 4-0 twice in a back to back final is not equivalent to "being smashed"?.

Saying 'getting smashed' and missing off the 'in the finals' part is kinda misleading. Losing in the finals still puts him at a top 2 contender.

If you think Maru got smashed then every other player except Serral did even worse.

I don't think it necessarily needs to include "in the final" key word. All I said was to refute the claim of implying "GSL is harder because Reynor did better in some past events than he did in GSL", from the other way round I could say Maru did far worse in DH/ESL events than he did in GSL so GSL is easier, both statements are nonsense.

Well you definitely need to include in the 'in the final part'. Otherwise you give the impression Maru does as badly overseas as Reynor does in GSL. Which isn't true, nowadays Maru makes the finals of most tournaments, Reynor lost in GSL group stages.

Losing in the finals is still an incredible achievement.

Additionally, in 2024 Maru didn't really do any worse in those overseas events than he did in GSL. He came second at Dreamhack and IEM and first in Starswar. Similarly he came first and second in the two GSL seasons.

Maru def played better than Reynor this year. All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-17 22:11:34
July 17 2024 22:08 GMT
#77
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.
old
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-17 22:34:47
July 17 2024 22:21 GMT
#78
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


That thought-experience doesn't really work or help. For the longest time, GSL featured the best players in the world, so naturally these players also won lots of weekenders, especially on the Premier scale. But it also doesn't work the other way around, since GSL (especially combined with Proleague) could take up quite the amount of space. For example, lots of early-GSL winners (like GanZi, Losira, FruitDealer or even NesTea himself) never won a Premier-Weekender.

That the format isn't particularly decisive can be seen if you compare WCS events though. They used to be kind-of prep-ish, with Group Stages played out long before the playoffs or even events that split up the groups during the week. Of course not the same as the stretched out GSL, but definetly not a weekender either. I wouldn't say players did particularly better or worse in that system or the later on implemented systems.


Though I am curious: What even, if we think only from the winner, constitutes the "harder" system? Only the favorites win, which means it comes down purely to skill? Or that there are plenty of surprise-winners, since the system allows upsets?
Both outcomes could be considered "harder" or "more competitive"
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
July 17 2024 23:11 GMT
#79
It does work, because you include Koreans in it. Any Koreans that have won GSL but not the other and vice versa are a good data point. And GSL still has most of the best players in the world.
old
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
July 18 2024 02:33 GMT
#80
Out of the 27 different GSL-winners according to Liquipedia (I excluded Serral, sOs and Trap since they didn't win Code S and Life because it's Life), 19 did win Premier-listed weekenders. Though I didn't particularly check what kind of weekenders, from WCS Global Finals over HomeStory Cups to RedBull Battlegrounds or even GSL vs. the World everything is an option. Therefore eight players (NesTea, Cure, GuMiho, FruitDealer, Jjkaji, RorO, Seed and Sniper) did not manage to win a "weekender". If you think SSL should be rated as Code S, then this list would need to include soO, I think every other SSL-winner also won a Code S at some point.

In reverse, if my count is correct (just expect a +/-1 here), 63 players have won a "weekender" (or in general a non-Code S), without ever winning a Code S.

Again, the definition what exactly a "Premier"-event is, is not consistent on Liquipedia, so all of this should be considered a rough estimation. But these are the raw stats:
19 GSL Champions have won a weekender Premier of any kind.
8 GSL Champions have not won a weekender Premier of any kind.
63 weekender Premier Champions of any kind have not won GSL.

I'm not sure how many GSL Code S there have been exactly (since the Medal-Ranking on Liquipedia mushes together Code S, vs. the World and Super Tournament), I think I did count 47, though feel free to check on that. In comparison, there are 311 Premier events in total (so 264 events that aren't Code S).
Just for the sake of easy numbers, lets pretend that there are five-times as many Weekenders than Code S. So just for fun, lets pretend that there are as many GSL Code S as there are Weekenders - and the distribution of champions in Code S stays the same as before. Meaning, if we take it times 5, 95 GSL Champs would have won a weekender, 40 would have not, while 63 Weekender Champs would not have won GSL.

So yes, if this construct, that I can only assume breaks atleast a few rules of statistics, would hold, we could say that more players win weekenders and not Code S than vice versa. Though just to point out one flaw, this of course ignores the amount of actual wins players get and the fact that not all players who won Weekenders also participated in Code S (Serral being of course the most noteworthy, but there are others).

So there are your numbers, maybe you can make better assumptions based on them than I did.

...also, Note to myself, great way to waste an hour...
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-18 06:07:57
July 18 2024 03:55 GMT
#81
LMAO thank you that's awesome. I'm going to digest it a bit then share my thoughts.
old
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 18 2024 04:01 GMT
#82
On July 18 2024 11:33 Balnazza wrote:
Out of the 27 different GSL-winners according to Liquipedia (I excluded Serral, sOs and Trap since they didn't win Code S and Life because it's Life), 19 did win Premier-listed weekenders. Though I didn't particularly check what kind of weekenders, from WCS Global Finals over HomeStory Cups to RedBull Battlegrounds or even GSL vs. the World everything is an option. Therefore eight players (NesTea, Cure, GuMiho, FruitDealer, Jjkaji, RorO, Seed and Sniper) did not manage to win a "weekender". If you think SSL should be rated as Code S, then this list would need to include soO, I think every other SSL-winner also won a Code S at some point.

In reverse, if my count is correct (just expect a +/-1 here), 63 players have won a "weekender" (or in general a non-Code S), without ever winning a Code S.

Again, the definition what exactly a "Premier"-event is, is not consistent on Liquipedia, so all of this should be considered a rough estimation. But these are the raw stats:
19 GSL Champions have won a weekender Premier of any kind.
8 GSL Champions have not won a weekender Premier of any kind.
63 weekender Premier Champions of any kind have not won GSL.

I'm not sure how many GSL Code S there have been exactly (since the Medal-Ranking on Liquipedia mushes together Code S, vs. the World and Super Tournament), I think I did count 47, though feel free to check on that. In comparison, there are 311 Premier events in total (so 264 events that aren't Code S).
Just for the sake of easy numbers, lets pretend that there are five-times as many Weekenders than Code S. So just for fun, lets pretend that there are as many GSL Code S as there are Weekenders - and the distribution of champions in Code S stays the same as before. Meaning, if we take it times 5, 95 GSL Champs would have won a weekender, 40 would have not, while 63 Weekender Champs would not have won GSL.

So yes, if this construct, that I can only assume breaks atleast a few rules of statistics, would hold, we could say that more players win weekenders and not Code S than vice versa. Though just to point out one flaw, this of course ignores the amount of actual wins players get and the fact that not all players who won Weekenders also participated in Code S (Serral being of course the most noteworthy, but there are others).

So there are your numbers, maybe you can make better assumptions based on them than I did.

...also, Note to myself, great way to waste an hour...

Thanks for doing the legwork sir!

I feel this issue is immeasurably complicated by the evolution of the weekender over time to what we have now. At various junctures you simply didn’t get all of Korea’s, and at the time the world’s best players at most weekenders. Whereas nowadays you tend to get most of the world’s best at most events.

Plus of course the development of foreignland to also be contributing some of the world’s absolute best, some of whom don’t regularly play Code S complicates it yet further haha
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-18 04:48:14
July 18 2024 04:44 GMT
#83
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.

Am I in a debating competition? you pick up fight with me regarding “ohh how dare you not including some key words and downplayed Maru’s achievement by mistake?” So funny!
And your Math teacher will be mad since you simply ignored the fact that GSL is the only choice to win in one set and “all weekenders” contains far more tournaments. The sample sizes are not even comparable so even if more people won weekenders but not GSL than the number who won GSL but not weekenders, doesn’t give you conclusion of GSL is harder, understand?
Also if you need example your idle Maru is just a perfect one, who never won global final or IEM Katowice (yes they are weekenders) but won a bunch of GSL
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-18 06:36:24
July 18 2024 06:15 GMT
#84

Am I in a debating competition? you pick up fight with me regarding “ohh how dare you not including some key words and downplayed Maru’s achievement by mistake?” So funny!
And your Math teacher will be mad since you simply ignored the fact that GSL is the only choice to win in one set and “all weekenders” contains far more tournaments. The sample sizes are not even comparable so even if more people won weekenders but not GSL than the number who won GSL but not weekenders, doesn’t give you conclusion of GSL is harder, understand?
Also if you need example your idle Maru is just a perfect one, who never won global final or IEM Katowice (yes they are weekenders) but won a bunch of GSL



I didn't pick any fight nor did I originally bring up the argument, that was someone else. But I observed this, and you're in a discussion, so yeah. If you want to have a good one, that's a suggestion. It seems like you're taking it super personally, and are invested rather than just enjoying the discussion.

"My idle Maru" well He's not my idol or even my favorite player, I hate Terran in SC1, lol. I haven't had a favorite player for a while now, since probably HuK. Still a SC fan first and foremost, & always will be. Anyways clearly this is your assumption due to the aforementioned personal biases. Not everything is a Maru vs Serral Debate. That aside, Maru has won weekenders, high level / premiere ones at that. Regardless of the the "world championship" label the tournaments are of the same quality players. Would be sick to see if Serral could win a GSL even in the weaker korean scene due to lack of interest, but who knows if he will ever have that desire.


<edited out some flaming/trash talk, not really productive>
old
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6818 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-18 11:29:32
July 18 2024 11:27 GMT
#85
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
jodljodl
Profile Joined October 2016
141 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-18 12:11:39
July 18 2024 12:08 GMT
#86
let's make every thread about who's better, koreans or foreigners, who's the GOAT, maru or serral, what's more tasty, pasta or noodles, shall we?

"EWC starting brackets revealed"
Holy smokes. That looks like a big fat chunk of awesome sc2. gonna be an interesting tournament for certain. hooray for sc2. hooray for us.

Now back on topic, where was I? ah right. F*** everybody who cannot see the truth for what it is that serral is the GOAT. OBVIOUSLY. Them fools talk about maru when serral is b****slapping him every chance he gets. Also, f*** everyone who even dares to think serral is the GOAT. yea, sure, he's pretty good. but he didn't even win 1 singular GSL. not 1. ZERO. Didn't even attend one. But if you look at these stats and assume this and that and also stand upside down one can clearly see that my proof that tournament xyz and tournament types k,l and m are about as hard as gsl. if not even harder. and since grubby played orc back in the day and ud was super underpowered all his tournament wins don't really matter because fov was clearly the superior player. and fov liked his mum's food so much. that's why he's a bit chubby, he said. or was it MC? anyway, since MC's chubbyness is way cuter than fovs according to aligulac his mum is the better cook. obviously. last but not least. every cs iteration is way harder than bw or sc2 because you have to coordinate with your teammates. a skill which is way harder to learn than anything else in the world as recent studies have shown.
Kim Doh Woo
sc2turtlepants
Profile Joined December 2023
28 Posts
July 19 2024 01:05 GMT
#87
On July 18 2024 21:08 jodljodl wrote:
let's make every thread about who's better, koreans or foreigners, who's the GOAT, maru or serral, what's more tasty, pasta or noodles, shall we?

"EWC starting brackets revealed"
Holy smokes. That looks like a big fat chunk of awesome sc2. gonna be an interesting tournament for certain. hooray for sc2. hooray for us.

Now back on topic, where was I? ah right. F*** everybody who cannot see the truth for what it is that serral is the GOAT. OBVIOUSLY. Them fools talk about maru when serral is b****slapping him every chance he gets. Also, f*** everyone who even dares to think serral is the GOAT. yea, sure, he's pretty good. but he didn't even win 1 singular GSL. not 1. ZERO. Didn't even attend one. But if you look at these stats and assume this and that and also stand upside down one can clearly see that my proof that tournament xyz and tournament types k,l and m are about as hard as gsl. if not even harder. and since grubby played orc back in the day and ud was super underpowered all his tournament wins don't really matter because fov was clearly the superior player. and fov liked his mum's food so much. that's why he's a bit chubby, he said. or was it MC? anyway, since MC's chubbyness is way cuter than fovs according to aligulac his mum is the better cook. obviously. last but not least. every cs iteration is way harder than bw or sc2 because you have to coordinate with your teammates. a skill which is way harder to learn than anything else in the world as recent studies have shown.


I appreciate you.
Gantz023
Profile Joined June 2023
29 Posts
July 19 2024 02:27 GMT
#88
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4378 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-19 03:33:54
July 19 2024 03:33 GMT
#89
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Most weekend tournaments don't pay 30k. GSL used to pay a lot more. It paid the most besides world championships and WESG by a decent margin actually.

GSL being played in Europe is pretty much what happened with the WCS region split from ~2013-~2016 before the hard region lock was implemented and a ton of Koreans went to EU and NA. So many that they had to implement hard region lock because the soft lock of them having to be on the continent for their matches and not being allowed to play in GSL wasn't strict enough.
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-19 08:10:02
July 19 2024 07:55 GMT
#90
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


This argument has been debunked so many times, someone already beat me to it. But I'd also like to add that competitors go play in the Olympics for no pay, it's a desire to compete. Why'd Reynor go? And why have so many other foreigners gone in the past? Coming up for real world excuses for the guy is so silly and fanboy-ish.

old
radracer
Profile Joined March 2020
United States69 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-19 07:58:44
July 19 2024 07:58 GMT
#91
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

Show nested quote +
On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.
old
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6818 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-19 09:43:39
July 19 2024 09:43 GMT
#92
On July 19 2024 16:58 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.


Since his uprising in 2018
I quickly counted 62 participations, 26 wins. 42%
Also the GSL / Weekenders thing has been chewed so many times. Obviously flying out somewhere for a week is easier than uprooting your whole life for 3 month+

"there's also a good chance he 0-4's out"
Whaaat? I'm not sure what you've been smoking... There is a very very very slim chance he's out 0-4. Like less than 1%
While there is at least a 20%+ chance he would be royal roading
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 19 2024 14:02 GMT
#93
On July 19 2024 16:55 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


This argument has been debunked so many times, someone already beat me to it. But I'd also like to add that competitors go play in the Olympics for no pay, it's a desire to compete. Why'd Reynor go? And why have so many other foreigners gone in the past? Coming up for real world excuses for the guy is so silly and fanboy-ish.


The Olympics is the pinnacle of many a sport, and you’re making absolute bank in sponsorship and commercials if you take home a gold in many a country. While it’s ostensibly amateur, you can absolutely make bank from triumphing. Nobody in the UK regularly would follow the regular heptathlon circuit, but Jessica Ennis wins a gold medal and hey she’s the face of Muller yoghurts for half a decade, is doing the chat shows etc.

Football most notably, which is an under-23s tournament with a few overaged players allowed and golf and tennis, would be some exceptions. People do go mostly for glory there, but in the latter two it’s also a chance to compete under your nation’s banner in sports that are largely very individual affairs.

If you go to an Olympics as part of a big nation, you’ll be in a camp with possibly hundreds of your own nationality. Many choose to partake in this and really soak up the atmosphere and camaraderie of the event.

But, you don’t have to. Indeed most events don’t stretch over even a week. If you’re a pro cyclist recovering from the Tour de France and competing in the Olympic Road Race or Time Trials, those events are one-shots that last a day. You can pop over for a few days, practice the route and do the event and be done in a few days.

While there are some similarities between the Olympics and Serral’s current situation, there are also a fair few pretty big differences.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland24430 Posts
July 19 2024 14:08 GMT
#94
On July 19 2024 18:43 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2024 16:58 radracer wrote:
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.


Since his uprising in 2018
I quickly counted 62 participations, 26 wins. 42%
Also the GSL / Weekenders thing has been chewed so many times. Obviously flying out somewhere for a week is easier than uprooting your whole life for 3 month+

"there's also a good chance he 0-4's out"
Whaaat? I'm not sure what you've been smoking... There is a very very very slim chance he's out 0-4. Like less than 1%
While there is at least a 20%+ chance he would be royal roading

I guess we’ve few tournaments outside the GSL that use that format, so can’t really assess a direct comparison.

When is the last time Serral even went out at the group stage, or first stage of a tournament possible for him to exit?

Like I’ve scoured his record a few times for various stats, haven’t fully deep-dived but even from that bit of browsing I think it’s likely to be pre-2018

Him going 0-4 feels almost unfathomably unlikely. For him to exit at the group stage wouldn’t be impossible, but you’d probably need a ridiculously stacked group and even then he’s probably still winning at least one match, never mind a single set.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
rwala
Profile Joined December 2019
273 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-07-19 23:02:07
July 19 2024 23:00 GMT
#95
On July 19 2024 23:08 WombaT wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2024 18:43 Harris1st wrote:
On July 19 2024 16:58 radracer wrote:
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.


Since his uprising in 2018
I quickly counted 62 participations, 26 wins. 42%
Also the GSL / Weekenders thing has been chewed so many times. Obviously flying out somewhere for a week is easier than uprooting your whole life for 3 month+

"there's also a good chance he 0-4's out"
Whaaat? I'm not sure what you've been smoking... There is a very very very slim chance he's out 0-4. Like less than 1%
While there is at least a 20%+ chance he would be royal roading

I guess we’ve few tournaments outside the GSL that use that format, so can’t really assess a direct comparison.

When is the last time Serral even went out at the group stage, or first stage of a tournament possible for him to exit?

Like I’ve scoured his record a few times for various stats, haven’t fully deep-dived but even from that bit of browsing I think it’s likely to be pre-2018

Him going 0-4 feels almost unfathomably unlikely. For him to exit at the group stage wouldn’t be impossible, but you’d probably need a ridiculously stacked group and even then he’s probably still winning at least one match, never mind a single set.


Let's talk post-2018 then. Serral didn't even make the group stages of the season finals for DH Summer in 2021 because he dropped out too early in the European regional, and he's not even the most dominant player in his own region when it comes to regional titles (that goes to Clem I'm pretty sure, and I don't know that he's even ahead of Reynor, I'm too lazy to check).

I don't mean this as a knock against Serral, he's the best player in the world right now and has been for some time. It's just that the level of consistency in his dominance that some of his fans attribute to him is simply not supported by his performances in the European regionals. (Miz in his article on Serral also pointed out some other periods of streakiness.) This is even more clear when you consider that these regionals have often had group stages with 8-player groups featuring players like Kas, MilkiCow, Bly, etc., all but auto-advancing players like Serral, Clem, Reynor, Heromarine, etc to a double-elimination bracket that itself includes players like DnS, Skillous, Lambo, Elazer, etc.

The thing about GSL is that even in 2024 with the dramatically reduced player pool I'd argue that it's harder to qualify for the group stages in GSL than it is to advance through the earlier parts of the euro regional playoff bracket. Heck, pretty sure Bunny and Classic didn't manage to even get into Code S last season. I recall a number of Code S tournaments in that last few years where top 10 players couldn't even qualify. And then the group stages can just be so brutal. The Bo3 series are just so high variance because almost anyone in GSL can win 2 games against anyone else. Thus Rogue, Maru, Dark, Hero, Reynor, etc. dropping out in the group stages from time to time.

Don't get me wrong. Serral could totally royal road the GSL. And also he could totally drop out in the group stages if he got an unlucky group draw and had a bad day. Anyone who claims otherwise is peddling propoganda.
onPHYRE
Profile Joined October 2010
Bulgaria888 Posts
July 23 2024 03:55 GMT
#96
On July 19 2024 16:58 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.


This has to be the funniest comment in the thread LOL.
Livin' this life like it was written.
Bennito_bh
Profile Joined June 2022
15 Posts
July 27 2024 00:20 GMT
#97
Is there anyone who can/wants to make a fillable bracket for the EWC and drop a new thread with it? The EWC knockout bracket is kinda screwy but I think it'd be fun to compare guesses for the overall tourny results. I haven't been able to figure out how to make the right bracket
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden656 Posts
August 07 2024 07:52 GMT
#98
I wonder when they are going to release the casters etc for the event.

Im sure it will mostly be the same, but still.

Only ones that im sure of atm is rotterdam and artosis
Blitzball04
Profile Joined June 2024
154 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-08-07 14:00:31
August 07 2024 13:57 GMT
#99
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Serral already has won 2 GSL with 100% win rate

Whereas Maru and some of the Koreans indeed has won weekender but after how many tries? Safe to assume less than 25% win rate. Not that impressive.

I know the Koreans fanboys like to clown reynor for choking in the GSL. as a sort of flex or meme. But it’s not that much as a flex as they think it is. What’s Maru win rate attending weekender? Around 10%. His GSL win rate? Around 20%.

Quite good if compare to his Korean peers. But quite weak when compare to Serral win rate. There are levels to this
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
August 07 2024 14:43 GMT
#100
On August 07 2024 22:57 Blitzball04 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Serral already has won 2 GSL with 100% win rate

Whereas Maru and some of the Koreans indeed has won weekender but after how many tries? Safe to assume less than 25% win rate. Not that impressive.

I know the Koreans fanboys like to clown reynor for choking in the GSL. as a sort of flex or meme. But it’s not that much as a flex as they think it is. What’s Maru win rate attending weekender? Around 10%. His GSL win rate? Around 20%.

Quite good if compare to his Korean peers. But quite weak when compare to Serral win rate. There are levels to this


There are also levels between glorified showmatches (gsl v. the world) and gsl proper, yet here we are...
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
August 08 2024 13:40 GMT
#101
On July 19 2024 16:58 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2024 20:27 Harris1st wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.


With Serral winning like half of the weekenders and not participating in GSL, this exercise is doomed to fail

On July 17 2024 15:43 WombaT wrote:
I think Serral is in a different category entirely and could conceivably go and Royal Road it, he’s just so resilient and consistent. .


He'd do it with a ridiculous mapscore while at it.



It looks like most GSL champs have won weekenders, but not vice versa. Pretty good exercise to me. Also, Serral hasn't won half the weekenders in SC2, maybe he has since you've been watching? IDK


Chances Serral royal rotors it will get better the longer he delays going to GSL, but there's also a good chance he 0-4's out like Reynor, no one knows. So far his competitive drive hasn't taken him to Korea.

Keep lying to yourself “no no Serral will be knocked out in group stage” after seeing GSL winners getting smashed by Serral over and over again.
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
August 08 2024 13:43 GMT
#102
On August 07 2024 23:43 lokol4890 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2024 22:57 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Serral already has won 2 GSL with 100% win rate

Whereas Maru and some of the Koreans indeed has won weekender but after how many tries? Safe to assume less than 25% win rate. Not that impressive.

I know the Koreans fanboys like to clown reynor for choking in the GSL. as a sort of flex or meme. But it’s not that much as a flex as they think it is. What’s Maru win rate attending weekender? Around 10%. His GSL win rate? Around 20%.

Quite good if compare to his Korean peers. But quite weak when compare to Serral win rate. There are levels to this


There are also levels between glorified showmatches (gsl v. the world) and gsl proper, yet here we are...

There are also levels between GSL and EWC/IEM/WCS and Maru hasn’t won and a single of any of the latter.
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
August 08 2024 13:51 GMT
#103
On July 18 2024 15:15 radracer wrote:
Show nested quote +

Am I in a debating competition? you pick up fight with me regarding “ohh how dare you not including some key words and downplayed Maru’s achievement by mistake?” So funny!
And your Math teacher will be mad since you simply ignored the fact that GSL is the only choice to win in one set and “all weekenders” contains far more tournaments. The sample sizes are not even comparable so even if more people won weekenders but not GSL than the number who won GSL but not weekenders, doesn’t give you conclusion of GSL is harder, understand?
Also if you need example your idle Maru is just a perfect one, who never won global final or IEM Katowice (yes they are weekenders) but won a bunch of GSL



I didn't pick any fight nor did I originally bring up the argument, that was someone else. But I observed this, and you're in a discussion, so yeah. If you want to have a good one, that's a suggestion. It seems like you're taking it super personally, and are invested rather than just enjoying the discussion.

"My idle Maru" well He's not my idol or even my favorite player, I hate Terran in SC1, lol. I haven't had a favorite player for a while now, since probably HuK. Still a SC fan first and foremost, & always will be. Anyways clearly this is your assumption due to the aforementioned personal biases. Not everything is a Maru vs Serral Debate. That aside, Maru has won weekenders, high level / premiere ones at that. Regardless of the the "world championship" label the tournaments are of the same quality players. Would be sick to see if Serral could win a GSL even in the weaker korean scene due to lack of interest, but who knows if he will ever have that desire.


<edited out some flaming/trash talk, not really productive>

You can question Real Madrid for if this club can win a primier league or not. But you can’t question Real Madrid’s prestigiousness and rank by saying “it is not participating in premier league”. If RM defeat Liverpool (top 4), Arsenal (top 2) and swept Man City (champion) in champions league there’s no question RM is the best the world, and there’s no question RM is the best club in history for winning the most champion league.
Who cares if RM can win a premier league or not? Does it really matter?
bulldozer06701
Profile Joined July 2019
114 Posts
August 08 2024 18:25 GMT
#104
Now that everybody is trying their hand in Stormgate (even Clem i just learned!) I wonder how much it mixes up the levels of play and prep in EWC.
Balnazza
Profile Joined January 2018
Germany1106 Posts
August 08 2024 18:42 GMT
#105
On August 09 2024 03:25 bulldozer06701 wrote:
Now that everybody is trying their hand in Stormgate (even Clem i just learned!) I wonder how much it mixes up the levels of play and prep in EWC.


The winner of the next big announced Stormgate-tournament gets 800$...you would need to be batshit crazy to focus on Stormgate instead of the EWC... AoE 4 had much bigger prizemoney right off the bat and even that didn't particularly catch many SC2-players.
With Clem I assume he just played the Tasteless-Invitational because he was in Korea anyway? Or is he actually really focusing on Stormgate right now?
"Wenn die Zauberin runter geht, dann macht sie die Beine breit" - Khaldor, trying to cast WC3 German-only
JJH777
Profile Joined January 2011
United States4378 Posts
August 08 2024 19:51 GMT
#106
On August 08 2024 22:43 njleslu2024 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2024 23:43 lokol4890 wrote:
On August 07 2024 22:57 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Serral already has won 2 GSL with 100% win rate

Whereas Maru and some of the Koreans indeed has won weekender but after how many tries? Safe to assume less than 25% win rate. Not that impressive.

I know the Koreans fanboys like to clown reynor for choking in the GSL. as a sort of flex or meme. But it’s not that much as a flex as they think it is. What’s Maru win rate attending weekender? Around 10%. His GSL win rate? Around 20%.

Quite good if compare to his Korean peers. But quite weak when compare to Serral win rate. There are levels to this


There are also levels between glorified showmatches (gsl v. the world) and gsl proper, yet here we are...

There are also levels between GSL and EWC/IEM/WCS and Maru hasn’t won and a single of any of the latter.


Only recently. In 2013 an OSL(or GSL) was harder to win than Blizzcon. Even in 2018 I would rate GSL harder to win by format/player pool but Blizzcon equals it due to the prize pool increasing player effort.
Moonerz
Profile Joined March 2014
United States442 Posts
August 08 2024 20:13 GMT
#107
Clem doesn't even need to practice any RTS game, or any top sc pro for that matter, and will beat 99.9% of people. So I wouldn't worry that he's sinking a ton of hours into it lol.

I don't really follow aoe4 but werent a lot of the top players retired/older sc players. Ie marinelord demuslim beastyqt etc.
lokol4890
Profile Joined May 2023
102 Posts
August 08 2024 20:48 GMT
#108
On August 09 2024 03:42 Balnazza wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2024 03:25 bulldozer06701 wrote:
Now that everybody is trying their hand in Stormgate (even Clem i just learned!) I wonder how much it mixes up the levels of play and prep in EWC.


The winner of the next big announced Stormgate-tournament gets 800$...you would need to be batshit crazy to focus on Stormgate instead of the EWC... AoE 4 had much bigger prizemoney right off the bat and even that didn't particularly catch many SC2-players.
With Clem I assume he just played the Tasteless-Invitational because he was in Korea anyway? Or is he actually really focusing on Stormgate right now?


No way clem is really focusing on stormgate. I view him playing stormgate in the same lens as maru, byun, and reynor playing the Wardi group tournament, an interesting and fun escape from the 1v1 grind in prep for ewc
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-08-09 15:05:52
August 09 2024 14:35 GMT
#109
On August 09 2024 04:51 JJH777 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 08 2024 22:43 njleslu2024 wrote:
On August 07 2024 23:43 lokol4890 wrote:
On August 07 2024 22:57 Blitzball04 wrote:
On July 19 2024 11:27 Gantz023 wrote:
On July 18 2024 07:08 radracer wrote:
All I wanna say is performing better or worse in one event doesn't mean that tournament is easier or harder. There are way more factors which affecting the result of any individual player other than "prep format or not". That's all.



You're not doing a very good job of that- you'd fail a debate 100 class the way you're going about it. Saying "Maru got SMASHED" in tournaments where he gets 2nd place is hyperbolic and hurts your argument. Maru getting #1 in GSL and #2 in big weekenders is less of a variance than Reynor getting 0-4'ed in GSL and doing whatever 5-8th in weekenders.


I'd be interested in this exercise: How many weekender champs have never won a GSL. (INCLUDING Koreans, since there aren't enough foreign entrants to GSL) vs how many GSL champs have won weekenders. I'm not going to do the work/research though, lol. My guess is advantage goes to more GSL champs have also been weekender champs.



I can tell you why Maru has won weekend tournaments and Serral has not won a GSL.

1.- Going on a weekend is not a big sacrifice to earn 30,000 dollars.

2.- go live for 2 months in a completely different country, far from your family, a language that you could not understand in 2 months of practice, where the cost of living is extremely expensive for a prize of 3,000 dollars for winning the entire event xd.

Anyone who can do the math realizes why Koreans go out to play on the weekends and "foreigners" don't go in large numbers to compete in GSL.

Can you imagine if the GSL were played in Europe? same prize money, same preparation times, how many Koreans would we see traveling???? I assure you... none... because IT IS NOT PROFITABLE.

We, as fans, ... would love to see Serral Go... but for him it means nothing at all... only financial losses and loss of valuable time with his family and his people. It is a healthy, mature and prudent decision.


Serral already has won 2 GSL with 100% win rate

Whereas Maru and some of the Koreans indeed has won weekender but after how many tries? Safe to assume less than 25% win rate. Not that impressive.

I know the Koreans fanboys like to clown reynor for choking in the GSL. as a sort of flex or meme. But it’s not that much as a flex as they think it is. What’s Maru win rate attending weekender? Around 10%. His GSL win rate? Around 20%.

Quite good if compare to his Korean peers. But quite weak when compare to Serral win rate. There are levels to this


There are also levels between glorified showmatches (gsl v. the world) and gsl proper, yet here we are...

There are also levels between GSL and EWC/IEM/WCS and Maru hasn’t won and a single of any of the latter.


Only recently. In 2013 an OSL(or GSL) was harder to win than Blizzcon. Even in 2018 I would rate GSL harder to win by format/player pool but Blizzcon equals it due to the prize pool increasing player effort.


Chinese national Table Tennis tournament is harder to win than Table Tennis in Olympic games, does it matter Olympics games are worth more than national prizes?
njleslu2024
Profile Joined May 2024
57 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-08-09 15:05:58
August 09 2024 15:04 GMT
#110
bulldozer06701
Profile Joined July 2019
114 Posts
August 12 2024 05:26 GMT
#111
On August 07 2024 16:52 Kreuger wrote:
I wonder when they are going to release the casters etc for the event.

Im sure it will mostly be the same, but still.

Only ones that im sure of atm is rotterdam and artosis

Announced now on liquipedia
Kreuger
Profile Joined October 2011
Sweden656 Posts
August 12 2024 07:45 GMT
#112
On August 12 2024 14:26 bulldozer06701 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2024 16:52 Kreuger wrote:
I wonder when they are going to release the casters etc for the event.

Im sure it will mostly be the same, but still.

Only ones that im sure of atm is rotterdam and artosis

Announced now on liquipedia



Yeah saw it on reddit a few dags ago. Looking solid

Wednesday cant come soon enough, perfect to end your vacation with this :D
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6818 Posts
August 12 2024 08:04 GMT
#113
On August 12 2024 14:26 bulldozer06701 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 07 2024 16:52 Kreuger wrote:
I wonder when they are going to release the casters etc for the event.

Im sure it will mostly be the same, but still.

Only ones that im sure of atm is rotterdam and artosis

Announced now on liquipedia


Looks awesome! Only thing I would change would probably be put Harstem together with Lambo as analysts. This is not meant as a slight against State, just that Harambo is awesome
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
bulldozer06701
Profile Joined July 2019
114 Posts
Last Edited: 2024-08-12 09:03:11
August 12 2024 08:25 GMT
#114
On August 12 2024 17:04 Harris1st wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2024 14:26 bulldozer06701 wrote:
On August 07 2024 16:52 Kreuger wrote:
I wonder when they are going to release the casters etc for the event.

Im sure it will mostly be the same, but still.

Only ones that im sure of atm is rotterdam and artosis

Announced now on liquipedia


Looks awesome! Only thing I would change would probably be put Harstem together with Lambo as analysts. This is not meant as a slight against State, just that Harambo is awesome

State-Lambo could be good, looking forward to this duo
johnnyh123
Profile Joined February 2023
89 Posts
August 14 2024 04:02 GMT
#115
Group B definitely seems harder with 4 of the top 6 contenders imo, for championship. Namely Serral, herO, Solar, Reynor. The other two being Maru and Dark.

Also, why is Group A so Terran-heavy, I guess this tournament is majority Terran. Like what someone said, Dark is gonna be eating Terran for breakfast, lunch, and dinner, and snack.
johnnyh123
Profile Joined February 2023
89 Posts
August 14 2024 04:03 GMT
#116
Given soju (alcohol) is illegal in the country, it's gonna be hard chugging down all those Terrans.
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