EPTSerral, Scarlett, Maru, INnoVation headed to WESG final fo…
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fishjie
United States1519 Posts
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DomeGetta
480 Posts
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pvsnp
7676 Posts
On March 15 2019 19:30 Poopi wrote: The maths are really simple: Serral w - Maru w : 1/4 good (1/4 because 1/2 * 1/2, good because Maru and Serral meet) Serral w - Maru l : 1/4 bad Serral l - Maru w : 1/4 bad Serral l - Maru l : 1/4 good 1/4+1/4 = 1/2 Basically your error comes from the fact that there are 4 possibilities not 8 This. The sets of possible matches for third place and first place are complementary; if Serral wins then Scarlett must lose and vice versa. Thus your list of eight "possibilities" is actually only four real possibilities. Serral vs Maru (means Scarlett vs Inno) Serral vs Inno (means Scarlett vs Maru) Scarlett vs Maru (means Serral vs Inno) Scarlett vs Inno (means Serral vs Maru) You are double-counting the possible matches, so you got half the actual probability as your result. | ||
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Xain0n
Italy3963 Posts
On March 16 2019 03:10 fishjie wrote: before region lock - koreans dominated. period. no debate. did you start watching sc2 just recently? I have nothing to object, that's a fact. | ||
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StarcraftSquall
United States196 Posts
However, and, yes, I stopped before I said this... I can make a pretty decent case that INnoVation is in better shape than Maru is at the moment and he is more than capable of ruining everyone’s dream matchup for (how many times now?). On the other side, I think, if I’m not mistaken, that Scarlett was the last non Korean to take down Serral in an offline match. (IEM PyeongChang). She certainly had her chance at Valencia as well so Serral advancing is not a gimme. I’m hoping we finally get what we want, but I’m just as eager to avoid a Maru vs Scarlett match because I fear that would look ridiculously one sided - Scarlett herself has mentioned she is quite fearful of him, which, to be fair, is an intelligent response. (Would’ve liked to see more from Neeb against him but I think after that Game 2 loss I think he mentally folded - and yes I plead 🇺🇸 😏). In a side note, maybe we should just automatically make Year Zero map 7 based on recent performances on it? It seems to have the best games but is the quickest to exhaust the players. 🤔 | ||
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chavo
United States14 Posts
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Jerom
Netherlands588 Posts
On March 16 2019 05:37 StarcraftSquall wrote: I am as interested as the rest of you in seeing Maru vs Serral albeit it’s a few months later than the situation I wanted it to be in. However, and, yes, I stopped before I said this... I can make a pretty decent case that INnoVation is in better shape than Maru is at the moment and he is more than capable of ruining everyone’s dream matchup for (how many times now?). On the other side, I think, if I’m not mistaken, that Scarlett was the last non Korean to take down Serral in an offline match. (IEM PyeongChang). She certainly had her chance at Valencia as well so Serral advancing is not a gimme. I’m hoping we finally get what we want, but I’m just as eager to avoid a Maru vs Scarlett match because I fear that would look ridiculously one sided - Scarlett herself has mentioned she is quite fearful of him, which, to be fair, is an intelligent response. (Would’ve liked to see more from Neeb against him but I think after that Game 2 loss I think he mentally folded - and yes I plead 🇺🇸 😏). In a side note, maybe we should just automatically make Year Zero map 7 based on recent performances on it? It seems to have the best games but is the quickest to exhaust the players. 🤔 I dont want to nitpick, but Im pretty sure neeb was the last non korean to defeat serral in an offline match, as he did so in the group stages of thie very tournament. | ||
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Togekiss
Canada154 Posts
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RogerChillingworth
Chad3109 Posts
INNO YOU CAN TAKE 4TH. | ||
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StarcraftSquall
United States196 Posts
Considering how big this tournament is you’d think they’d do a better job producing the thing. I mean, the casters are remote casting from Kiev. Since when is that a thing? | ||
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StarcraftSquall
United States196 Posts
https://twitter.com/rotterdam08/status/1106622789442768897?s=21 | ||
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StasisField
United States1086 Posts
On March 16 2019 12:08 StarcraftSquall wrote: Ah yup you’re right. I’m just so used to Serral still being on his streak that I completely forgot about that (partially because no one got to SEE the match live - thanks WESG production). Considering how big this tournament is you’d think they’d do a better job producing the thing. I mean, the casters are remote casting from Kiev. Since when is that a thing? Yeah, that is really weird. Maybe it was easier to have them cast from Kiev than trying to get them VISAs in time? Based on how WESG has been going thus far, I wouldn't be surprised if the talent was hired too close to the tournament's start date to reliably get VISAs in time. | ||
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col_jung
139 Posts
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CursOr
United States6335 Posts
I think a huge Serral vs Innovation finals, with all the nucs and endgame the displayed in their series at IEM would probably bee the most epic possibility... Though, if I could create the storyline, I'd like to see Scarlett just crush everyone and really take a big championship like she deserves. Showing the wide range of strategies like nydus and large macro games and early 1 base attacks. She's got this sort of ethereal greatness to her play, that I would just love to see fully actualized. I think she could do it if conditions are right. | ||
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-visnu-
Australia149 Posts
Serral pwns heavy though, would love to see him try BW | ||
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