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[S2SL] Ro8 Day 1: The Usual Suspects - S2 2015

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[S2SL] Ro8 Day 1: The Usual Suspects - S2 2015

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
May 20th, 2015 21:49 GMT
2014 WCS

SBENU SC2 Starleague 2015 Season 2



S2SL Main Event
Ro8
Maru vs herO
Dream vs Life

Brackets on Liquipedia
Starcraft II Starleague

Psychopath and Assassin

Thursday, May 21 9:30am GMT (GMT+00:00)
by Zealously


If there ever was another Terran player whose foremost goal in life was to beat every Protoss opponent into submission brutally and uncaringly, that player has long since been overthrown. Brief reigns of terror, short bursts of dominance by individual players in a match-up otherwise often considered supremely difficult – Mvp's underhanded and tactically brilliant proxy rax plays, Innovation's SCV pulls or Taeja's flawless reactive play chief among these – are now forced to give way to the prowess of one player, cute and terrifying in equal measure.

(T)Maru enters his second consecutive SSL quarterfinals as a favorite against every Protoss player in the world save one arch-enemy, favored against the cheesy and the greedy alike. This year, Maru has put up a string of performances for the gallery that makes him seem nearly invincible in the match-up, flaunting an abusive and entirely effective hyper-aggressive style. In the way Maru plays, he feels no need to adhere to the laws of common sense in the match-up and no pressure to play like other Terrans do. While others have to defend, Maru simply keeps attacking. It's a playstyle balancing on the knife's edge, a russian roulette-esque risktaking that depends on his opponent not calling his bluff, on his Protoss foes not striking when his focus is elsewhere.

It sounds risky and volatile, but not so. Maru pours on pressure in heaps, enough that no more than a handful Protoss players can even think to move out, even fewer capable of attacking without taking potentially game-ending damage. Once Maru is on your throat, he never lets go. Most recently displayed in a Proleague game against Myungsik which made the game look borderline imbalanced, this style is most reminiscent of a psychopath's utterly cold and utterly calculating behavior. Marauders snipe innumerable colossi while mines ravage mineral lines and Maru keeps playing that symphony of aggression, largely unhindered. Myungsik was prepared for that onslaught, did admirably in pushing it back with minimal losses, but lacked the aggressive prowess and the tactical acumen needed to initiate the counter-offensive. The endless waves of aggression eventually toppled even Myungsik, his stumbling attempts at establishing a dominant phoenix/colossus army thwarted by a complete lack of interest in how TvP should, logically, be played.

In this, (P)herO might be Maru's equal. While the Terran is most notable for attacks that pull apart and an outward show of disinterest, herO is his opposite. Content to strike on one front with pushes made unstoppable by the force of unit control, herO's trade mark stalker control might have won him as many games as colossus snipes have for Maru. With success in both international and domestic tournaments, herO is not bound to one kind of tournament format and often seems more than happy to win in either. Cheerful demeanor sets him apart from the much less outgoing Maru, but calling herO a nicer player or a less menacing one in identical situations would be vastly understating things.

Against any Terran player, not excluding Maru, expecting herO to go on the offensive is more than reasonable, but you shouldn't be bound by the perception that aggression is all herO is comfortable doing. Maru is a known quantity and almost as predictable as Flash, which makes him an ideal target for tailored builds. The difficulty of Maru's resilience and hyper-aggression remains even then, eliminating a vast majority of greedy builds from consideration. If you doubt Maru's ability to see through economic deception, consider the almost prescient ability he displayed in seeing through Stats' deception in this game:





With his tricky options all but taken away, herO is left with only a few options, all of them demanding varying degrees of standard play. Maru has shown that he responds too well to most kinds of trickery to be caught off-guard and forced into awkward reactions. Relying too much on gimmicky play and knife's edge-pushes and the risk of gambling away his chances become too great. Play too safely, and Maru is allowed free reign in both aggression and greed. Finding the balance between the two will be key.

Overall thoughts and prediction

There are only a handful of players in the world that currently exhibit the level of play both herO and Maru have displayed recently. One an SSL champion, the other the most recent KeSPA Cup champion, both would be reasonable picks to walk away with the trophy had the brackets played out differently. But like I said, there is only one Protoss in the world I would favor against Maru, and that Protoss isn't herO. Even so, herO has beaten Maru in the past – and did so in their most recent meeting – with neither playing far from their normal levels, so it's fair to say that herO does, at least, stand a fighting chance provided he does not suffer an early loss to something unscouted.

You know, such as a proxy in your base.

Maru 3-1 herO

Prodigies: Take Three

by Zealously

Last season, I cautioned against underestimating (T)Dream and predicted (Z)Life to beat him into the ground. Dream proved that I was right to be wary of his short bursts of brilliance, but still surprised almost everyone by playing one of the best TvZ series of all time and eliminating Life from the tournament.

Since that time, remarkably little has changed. Life has remained his (extraordinarily, given his history) consistent self, adding one trophy to his shelf and another semifinals finish to the box in which he keeps his old cheques. Dream lost the finals to Maru in slapdown fashion, ensuring that any ascension to the Terran throne would be long delayed. In the months after that, he has made little noise. A few group advancements, a convincing 3-1 victory against Stats and three Proleague games, two of which were losses.

It's undeniable that Dream remains a threat in all three match-ups, but I'm tempted to put him down as merely another streaky player in a veritable field of such characters. His win against Life last season was nothing short of incredible, his loss against Maru nothing short of embarrassing. Given that he has played and lost against Life (in much less noble fashion) since then, there is nothing to indicate that he stands far above the field. It is entirely possible that preparation is his forte – and for a Terran player coached by iloveoov that would certainly make sense – but it is equally possible that he reached a peak against Life that he will have to wait long to reciprocate.

But since we're on the topic of reciprocating, let's for a moment consider Life's most recent series against Bbyong. Two consecutive losses to builds that are strong enough to beat any Zerg if caught unaware. At a glance, hardly significant. Until you consider the fact that Life has lost in an identical fashion to Bbyong in three separate meetings. Twice Bbyong has shut Life down completely through hellbat/banshee pushes in Proleague. Arguing that Bbyong is superior to Life would demand incredible mental gymnastics, but the Mad Tinker doubtlessly sees a weakness in Life's play that other players have refused to exploit to the fullest. Life is stubborn to the extent that you'd think he practises with Flash even if they weren't teammates, and Dream would be a fool not to at least test the waters with one such push in this match.

Overall thoughts and prediction

Compared to the enigma that was last season, where Dream was an unknown quantity whose most famous quality was his ability to hit high peaks, this match seems more clear-cut. It can play out in two ways, depending on who first recognizes the weaknesses of the opponent: either Life does to Dream what he did in KeSPA Cup, tearing him apart in the trademark variant of ZvT he has used for months, or Dream recognizes Life's weakness to everything hellbats and picks off one or several wins before Life regains his footing.

If that happens, the match is Dream's to lose. Fortunately for Life, Dream isn't Bbyong, and no other KeSPA Terran has shown that willingness.

Life 3-1 Dream

Writers: Zealously.
Graphics: shiroiusagi.
Editors: Zealously.
Stats: Aligulac
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TL+ Member
intotheheart
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada33091 Posts
May 20 2015 21:59 GMT
#2
Nice write-up. I didn't realize that Dream was a student of iloveoov. Guess the KT vs. SKT rivalry may be a thing in SC2. :D
kiss kiss fall in love
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
May 20 2015 22:01 GMT
#3
On May 21 2015 06:59 IntoTheheart wrote:
Nice write-up. I didn't realize that Dream was a student of iloveoov. Guess the KT vs. SKT rivalry may be a thing in SC2. :D


It's not going to be a rivalry if SKT can't win Proleague after buying everyone and Zest, Stats and Life continue to beat the scrubs that remain at every turn
AdministratorBreak the chains
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
May 20 2015 22:05 GMT
#4
Life said he fears Dream and his game against Keen was very weak.
I am not that confident in him here tbh :/
Obviously i hope for an easy 3:0/3:1 like you though
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Fuell
Profile Joined February 2011
Netherlands3111 Posts
May 20 2015 22:10 GMT
#5
Haha Zealously agrees, your move "swag bro"
fOu/Zenith/NEX/WeRRa/SlayerS
Alucen-Will-
Profile Joined October 2014
United States4054 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-21 19:39:40
May 20 2015 22:11 GMT
#6
(T)Dream 3-2 (Z)Life
(P)herO 3-2 (T)Maru

I'm betting permanently against the TL writers these days, anything less would be wrong.


Also I've given up on trying to get the real herO TLPD. I'm convinced Olli is behind these shenanigans.
ilovegroov
Profile Joined January 2015
357 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-20 22:12:28
May 20 2015 22:12 GMT
#7
herO seems just so fucking dangerous. So flawless.

Also props for non-hipster-predictions.
Brutaxilos
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States2633 Posts
May 20 2015 22:25 GMT
#8
I bet the complete opposite as the predictions. We shall see.
Jangbi favorite player. Forever~ CJ herO the King of IEM. BOMBERRRRRRRR. Sexy Boy Rogue. soO #1! Oliveira China Represent!
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
May 20 2015 22:45 GMT
#9
On May 21 2015 07:10 Fuell wrote:
Haha Zealously agrees, your move "swag bro"

swag_bro is always right, others are just learning to agree with what ever he says
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
elevenoutoften
Profile Joined May 2015
5 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-21 19:39:19
May 20 2015 22:56 GMT
#10
(P)herO 3-1 (T)Maru

(Z)Life 3-2 (T)Dream
Hadronsbecrazy
Profile Joined September 2013
United Kingdom551 Posts
May 20 2015 22:56 GMT
#11
I didnt realise this was tomorrow WTH
No need Build Orders, Only Micro,Favourite Players: Maru, Zest, soOjwa , CJherO
Hadronsbecrazy
Profile Joined September 2013
United Kingdom551 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-05-21 19:39:26
May 20 2015 22:56 GMT
#12
On May 21 2015 07:56 elevenoutoften wrote:
(P)herO 3-1 (T)Maru

(Z)Life 3-2 (T)Dream


wrong herO, its CJherO playing not LiquidHerO
No need Build Orders, Only Micro,Favourite Players: Maru, Zest, soOjwa , CJherO
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
May 20 2015 23:04 GMT
#13
On May 21 2015 07:56 Hadronsbecrazy wrote:
I didnt realise this was tomorrow WTH


and neither did anyone else, basically
AdministratorBreak the chains
Alucen-Will-
Profile Joined October 2014
United States4054 Posts
May 20 2015 23:13 GMT
#14
On May 21 2015 08:04 Zealously wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2015 07:56 Hadronsbecrazy wrote:
I didnt realise this was tomorrow WTH


and neither did anyone else, basically


I think they mentioned in on the proleague broadcast several times, it's also on SPOTV's website here: http://www.spotv.net/app/schedule/daily.asp?ch=spotvg
Zealously
Profile Blog Joined October 2011
East Gorteau22261 Posts
May 20 2015 23:19 GMT
#15
On May 21 2015 08:13 Alucen-Will- wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2015 08:04 Zealously wrote:
On May 21 2015 07:56 Hadronsbecrazy wrote:
I didnt realise this was tomorrow WTH


and neither did anyone else, basically


I think they mentioned in on the proleague broadcast several times, it's also on SPOTV's website here: http://www.spotv.net/app/schedule/daily.asp?ch=spotvg


And regardless, the fact that neither Liquipedia nor the TL sidebar had the information available indicates that most people -- at least the ones that frequent TL for this kind of information -- had no idea. Advertisement for this tournament could be so much better than it has been so far, being forced to listen for dates and times during broadcasts for an entirely different league and browsing through websites in an entirely foreign language isn't really sufficient.
AdministratorBreak the chains
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
May 21 2015 01:14 GMT
#16
Cheering for Life here. Hopefully Hellbat Banshee doesn't kill him.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
Scarecrow
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Korea (South)9172 Posts
May 21 2015 01:42 GMT
#17
Both these matchups would make great finals... betting on Maru and Dream
Yhamm is the god of predictions
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
May 21 2015 01:48 GMT
#18
probably 3 of the 4 best players in the world atm in these quarters. Dream is the one on the outside looking in for me but he's definitely no slouch. these feel like they should be the semis. Sorry lower half of the bracket but you're kind of meh compared to this although byul has been playing well lately and none of the other players are bad or anything. Head herO + Life, heart Maru + Dream
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Ja.Y.
Profile Joined February 2015
United States253 Posts
May 21 2015 02:07 GMT
#19
I want to see a Dream vs. Maru semi-finals rematch. Rooting for Dream to take it all this season!
MMA will reign supreme once again // MaSa is gawd
wstubzi
Profile Joined February 2015
New Zealand224 Posts
May 21 2015 02:27 GMT
#20
Come on Maru, just do your thing again.
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