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Proleague Round 3 Playoffs Preview

Forum Index > SC2 General
12 CommentsPost a Reply

Proleague Round 3 Playoffs Preview

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
May 16th, 2014 23:50 GMT
SKPlanet PRoleague

Round 3 Playoffs Preview



The Four Teams
How the teams have changed

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

Videos on Youtube

Round 3: Playoff Preview

By: Zealously

The round 3 round robin has concluded with SKT emerging victorious, taking the #1 seed in emphatic fashion. While the two previous rounds were relatively tight in their competition for the #1 seed, SKT's insane roster finally showed its full potential and carried the team to a final score of 6-1 (+14), a mile ahead of closest competitor KT's 5-2 (+5).

Round 3 Final Standings
1.SKT6-120-6+14
2.KT5-216-11+5
3.CJ Entus4-316-11+5
4.Jin Air4-315-13+2
5.Samsung4-314-13+1
6.IM3-414-13+1
7.Prime1-66-19-13
8.MVP1-65-20-15
Teams that clinched playoff spots in bold.
In round 1, KT had a similar streak of dominance that ended with a perhaps somewhat surprisingly one-sided victory over SKT in the finals. Future GSL champion Zest took charge as he wrecked SKT singlehandedly, but his Round 3 loss to Rain brought an end to his unbeaten streak against SKT players in Proleague. If there ever was a time for SKT to get back at KT after being constantly humiliated by them this season, it's the Round 3 playoffs.

Of course, that's assuming we get an SKT vs KT finals at all. Both CJ and Jin Air have been competitive this round, though both have suffered at least one ignoble loss against teams they should have been able to beat. All four teams desperately want the round championship, and with the league's four best teams all present in the round playoffs, this might be the best series of matches so far this season.

Round 3 Playoff Bracket


[image loading]

The Evolution of Four Teams


SK Telecom: From Disappointing to Dominating


At this point, I've talked about SKT's roster so much that I'm beginning to sound like a broken record. Even so, it cannot be stressed enough just how high the concentration of skill is on the team, and how disappointing the team's Proleague performances have been in comparison. Looking at the roster alone, Zest should not have all-killed SKT in Round 1. Hell, SKT should have won Round 1 with complete ease. Instead they fell flat and proceeded to be Zest's personal punching bag for months. In Round 2, they missed the playoffs. Absolutely unacceptable.

SKT certainly has a disadvantage in the extreme visibility of their players. Not only do they field the same 5-6 players every round, just about every one of those players is in Code S. Rain, Parting, Classic, Soulkey and soO are all high-caliber individual league players, and they're always leaving behind plenty of VODs to study. That may have factored into their sub-par performances in Proleague so far.

That said, the SKT of Round 3 was vastly different from that of Round 1 (let alone the embarrassing SKT of Round 2). For all the let-downs the team endured in the two previous rounds, SKT finally did what they were supposed to do in Round 3. Consider this: SKT won as many matches 3-0 this round as Prime has won matches all season. Their win/loss differential was equal to that of the next five teams combined. This is in large part due to the Protoss line-up, led by Rain, stepping up and coming through for the team on repeated occasions. If there is anything at all we can say with absolute conviction about Proleague, it is that the team with the best Protosses tends to win, especially in the playoffs.


Jin Air Green Wings: More Than A Two Man Gang


In the Bo5 format, it turns out that having two world class players is enough to become a championship contender. sOs' round 1 slump is but a distant memory, and together with Maru and the Jin Air bench, he's helped carry the team from the bottom to the top.

Jin Air didn't look to be at their best this round, starting off slow after winning the R2 championship. This was in large part due to Maru's lackluster overall performance, finishing the regular round with a disappointing 3-4 record (as compared to 7-3 or 5-1 in previous rounds). However, sOs stepped up to fill the gap as the go-to player, leading Jin Air to a 4-3 finish.

Honestly, as good as Jin Air was throughout all of last round (culminating in Maru's destruction of the MVP line-up), I feel like the team's strengths have shifted in Round 3. If they were a two-man team in their Round 2 run, they've shown they're a solid all-around team in Round 3. Even with Rogue continuing to play below our expectations, it's not like Maru and sOs both have to win for Jin Air to have a chance. Cure has shown that he's capable of standing his own against top competition, and TRUE has started to heat up in both Proleague and GSL. Also, even if Rogue has not become Jin Air's third superstar, he is still a strong player that other teams must plan around.

Looking at Jin Air's performance this round, they may not strike you as much of a threat to the monstrous SKT line-up awaiting in the finals, or even to KT/CJ, both of whom they've lost to this round. Maru's semi-slump made the race for the round playoffs much closer than the Round 2 champions would have liked, but he seems to have rebounded by crushing DRG and Myungsik almost effortlessly in Code S. Much of Jin Air's troubles in the regular round were due to Maru's shaky performances, and if he has shaken off whatever it was that temporarily held him back, then I see no reason why Jin Air can't defend their title.


KT Rolster: The Flash Constant


Depth has not been KT Rolster's strength in the Starcraft 2 era. Last season of Proleague, the responsibility fell on Flash to put the team on his shoulders and drag them as far as he could take them. Based on his almost superhuman performance, KT Rolster went further than they had any right to, ending the season in third place.

The KT Rolster of 2014 is a different beast, and Flash is no longer their sole hope. In fact, he's struggled to keep the ace position he had on lockdown for so long, with TY nearly outperforming Flash in Round 1 while Zest has outperformed everyone in general.

With that said, it does feel somewhat comical that it once again fell on Flash to carry KT in Round 3, having the best record on his team by far. Flash went 5-1, while the Zest finished at a disappointed 3-4 and TY ended 2-2.

The Ultimate Weapon has received much ridicule these last few months, and some of it is deserved – a player who is so extraordinarily hyped up can't miss out on Code S over and over. But the criticisms you hear of Flash would have you think he has devolved into some mediocre Proleague Terran, which couldn't be further from the truth. Whether it's his experience in the format or simply because it's more suitable for his style, Flash always delivers in Proleague. He might not be "better" than Zest or even TY in a broad sense, but he will make your team succeed in Proleague. Zest and TY have not developed that power yet, which means we're going to have to delay that torch-passing ceremony.

When I look at KT, I have to ask myself whether or not they are truly top tier. Or in other words, "do they really have what it takes to win the grand finals?" Jin Air and SKT have an excellent mix of depth and star power, but CJ and KT feel like they are lacking something compared to those top two teams. As much as Flash has carried them in the round-robin phase, it will fall on the less consistent Stats, Zest and TY to show their multi-killing abilities for KT to succeed here.


CJ Entus: Looking for a herO


Can more than two CJ players play well at any given time? So far, it seems like the answer is no. When herO and Bbyong win, everyone else forgets how to play. On the flip side, when one of CJ's power duo fails to win, someone else finds a way to barely claw out a win as if his life depended on it. There-in lies CJ's consistency in inconsistency: You don't know how anyone will perform on a given day, but on the whole they're good enough to grind out enough wins to get a playoff spot.

In the playoffs' all-kill format, some unpredictability is not always a bad thing. One player getting hot can be all it takes to win a match, but it could also be that everyone lays an egg on the same day. They've administered some brutal 3-0 beatdowns this season, and they've also struggled beat the bottom dwellers of the league. Coach Park will be pulling out all the stops to make sure the best version of CJ shows up this weekend.

Though herO is still a potent weapon, his reliability has dropped considerably. Somehow, it's Bbyong (the hero of a quiet 10-win streak) who seems to be CJ's most reliable threat, and it seems like he'll be able to win at least a map or two. In all likelihood there is someone among Sora, Hydra, Hush, Bunny and Gumiho (Sorry Effort, your 1-8 record has you permanently benched) capable of raking in a win or two when it matters, perhaps achieving redemption for this season's mediocre performances in the process, but CJ has progressed beyond the stage where we can safely expect any of them to. At the end of the day, CJ will probably live or die by herO's performance. Even if Bbyong has been strong lately, herO has been their best player for the last eight months. He has defined CJ in the 2014 season, and it will be no different in the playoffs.


[image loading]


Writers: Zealously
Photos: KeSPA
Graphics: shiroiusagi
Editors: Waxangel.
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TL+ Member
banjoetheredskin
Profile Blog Joined November 2012
United States744 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-05-17 00:52:53
May 17 2014 00:13 GMT
#2
CJ I believe! And if I'm not mistaken wasn't Bbyong's win streak broken up by the lost to soO after a failed 2rax? It was on King Sejong Station I think. Anyways, if MVP at their best had the depth to beat almost anyone, and CJ got all the way to the ace match with them, I don't see how it's that unlikely that they can do it here.

Hydra and Cure are starting, and Hydra already beat Cure on Frost I think. So if he wins then we probably see Rogue come out, whose ZvZ has looked inconsistent, beating DRG but losing to guess who? Hydra (and Life, but that's nothing to be ashamed of) in Code S. He also lost 0-2 to RagnaroK in Code A. So I think it's totally possible that Hydra picks up 2 wins. But the second map is Maze, so they might just send out sOs, in which case I don't see Hydra winning.

Once Hydra loses I expect either Gumiho or Bbyong to come out. If it's Gumiho, it's because he's got something special planned for sOs. But if it's Rogue, then I think probably Bbyong with his stellar mech play. Although I'm not sure how good mech is on Merry Go Round, so if he plays bio, which seems to be his weaker style, then Rogue could win. But Bbyong has been so hot that it's hard not to give him the edge. I think it's been a while since he played TvP, but last time he did he was stomping on the likes of Creator and YongHwa (ok maybe not the most consistently strong players), so I think he can definitely beat sOs if he doesn't fall victim to a sniper build.

Then on Frost Jin Air would send out either Rogue or sOs, depending on who hasn't played yet, assuming Gumiho or Bbyong won, but if they didn't then I think herO probably comes out (I don't think any of the other players could be trusted, unless they have Sora prepare for something and save Bbyong for once they have lost 2 games). herO's PvP is good but I don't think it's super consistent.

Against sOs anything could happen, so I can't possibly predict that. Against Rogue, I think herO has a good shot, because he's looked good vs Zerg recently. And if somehow it gets to the ace match with herO vs Maru (I sure hope it does) then on King Sejong Station I'm inclined to give the edge to Maru, but herO did beat him already (on Outboxer) and looked damn solid. Tough to call overall and I'm definitely biased but I think CJ wins 4-2 or 4-3
EDIT: formatting per request. sorry I tend to ramble
Writer#1 CJ fan | http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/508947-wcs-dreamhack-austin-interviews
AKAvg
Profile Joined April 2014
Brazil298 Posts
May 17 2014 00:16 GMT
#3
Head: Jin Air
Heart : CJ

Going to watch for sure...
LastLemming
Profile Joined June 2011
United States38 Posts
May 17 2014 00:17 GMT
#4
Lets goo KT!
GenesisX
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Canada4267 Posts
May 17 2014 00:33 GMT
#5
maru will carry jin air to victory!
133 221 333 123 111
Silvana
Profile Blog Joined September 2013
3713 Posts
May 17 2014 00:41 GMT
#6
Go KT! Show them all why they should fear you
illidanx
Profile Joined November 2011
United States973 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-05-17 00:44:45
May 17 2014 00:44 GMT
#7
On May 17 2014 09:13 banjoetheredskin wrote:
CJ I believe! And if I'm not mistaken wasn't Bbyong's win streak broken up by the lost to soO after a failed 2rax? It was on King Sejong Station I think. Anyways, if MVP at their best had the depth to beat almost anyone, and CJ got all the way to the ace match with them, I don't see how it's that unlikely that they can do it here. Hydra and Cure are starting, and Hydra already beat Cure on Frost I think. So if he wins then we probably see Rogue come out, whose ZvZ has looked inconsistent, beating DRG but losing to guess who? Hydra (and Life, but that's nothing to be ashamed of) in Code S. He also lost 0-2 to RagnaroK in Code A. So I think it's totally possible that Hydra picks up 2 wins. But the second map is Maze, so they might just send out sOs, in which case I don't see Hydra winning. Once Hydra loses I expect either Gumiho or Bbyong to come out. If it's Gumiho, it's because he's got something special planned for sOs. But if it's Rogue, then I think probably Bbyong with his stellar mech play. Although I'm not sure how good mech is on Merry Go Round, so if he plays bio, which seems to be his weaker style, then Rogue could win. But Bbyong has been so hot that it's hard not to give him the edge. I think it's been a while since he played TvP, but last time he did he was stomping on the likes of Creator and YongHwa (ok maybe not the most consistently strong players), so I think he can definitely beat sOs if he doesn't fall victim to a sniper build. Then on Frost Jin Air would send out either Rogue or sOs, depending on who hasn't played yet, assuming Gumiho or Bbyong won, but if they didn't then I think herO probably comes out (I don't think any of the other players could be trusted, unless they have Sora prepare for something and save Bbyong for once they have lost 2 games). herO's PvP is good but I don't think it's super consistent. Against sOs anything could happen, so I can't possibly predict that. Against Rogue, I think herO has a good shot, because he's looked good vs Zerg recently. And if somehow it gets to the ace match with herO vs Maru (I sure hope it does) then on King Sejong Station I'm inclined to give the edge to Maru, but herO did beat him already (on Outboxer) and looked damn solid. Tough to call overall and I'm definitely biased but I think CJ wins 4-2 or 4-3


Can you please add some paragraph breaks? Your arguments look interesting but it is not really easy to read them.
Die-hard KeSPA fan
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
May 17 2014 02:12 GMT
#8
Flash has turned into Bisu.
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
GTPGlitch
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
5061 Posts
May 17 2014 03:40 GMT
#9
On May 17 2014 11:12 GolemMadness wrote:
Flash has turned into Bisu.


Considering the results of the last BWPL finals, shouldn't that be a smiley?
Jo Byung Se #1 fan | CJ_Rush(reborn) fan | Liquid'Jinro(ret) fan | Liquid'Taeja fan | oGsTheSuperNada fan | Iris[gm](ret) fan |
GolemMadness
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Canada11044 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-05-17 04:24:30
May 17 2014 04:24 GMT
#10
On May 17 2014 12:40 GTPGlitch wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2014 11:12 GolemMadness wrote:
Flash has turned into Bisu.


Considering the results of the last BWPL finals, shouldn't that be a smiley?


Not if Samsung make the end of the season playoffs and he has to play Shine. :D
http://na.op.gg/summoner/userName=FLABREZU
LockeTazeline
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
2390 Posts
May 17 2014 04:35 GMT
#11
SKT going on 7 players in Code S Ro 16....
Adept
Profile Joined December 2009
United States472 Posts
May 17 2014 06:15 GMT
#12
Tempted to actually try and stay up to watch some of the matches this time, since I might actually be able to deal with the lack of sleep this weekend, and it IS the playoffs...
"HSC casting is essentially an LR thread read aloud." -ThomasjServo
calh
Profile Joined March 2013
537 Posts
May 17 2014 16:56 GMT
#13
On May 17 2014 13:24 GolemMadness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2014 12:40 GTPGlitch wrote:
On May 17 2014 11:12 GolemMadness wrote:
Flash has turned into Bisu.


Considering the results of the last BWPL finals, shouldn't that be a smiley?


Not if Samsung make the end of the season playoffs and he has to play Shine. :D




Just a friendly reminder :D
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