                    Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    
------------------------------------------------------
      VortiX     28.07%   19.26%   26.42%   26.25%    
      NaNiwa     21.26%   13.13%   37.15%   28.46%    
         MMA     19.68%   16.44%   21.82%   42.05%    
       Welmu     11.69%   16.93%   35.43%   35.96%    
     HasuObs      6.67%   11.75%   23.64%   57.95%    
          MC      6.26%   10.57%   19.12%   64.04%    
    duckdeok      3.95%    6.26%   18.24%   71.54%    
      Grubby      2.40%    5.67%   18.18%   73.75%

Median Outcome Bracket

     HasuObs 2 ┐ 
               ├───────── MMA 3 ┐ 
         MMA 3 ┘                │ 
                                ├───────── MMA 4 ┐ 
       Welmu 3 ┐                │                │ 
               ├─────── Welmu 2 ┘                │ 
          MC 2 ┘                                 │ 
                                                 ├─ MMA
      NaNiwa 3 ┐                                 │ 
               ├────── NaNiwa 2 ┐                │ 
    duckdeok 1 ┘                │                │ 
                                ├────── VortiX 3 ┘ 
      VortiX 3 ┐                │                  
               ├────── VortiX 3 ┘                  
      Grubby 1 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

lol Aligulac calling for the TvZ

Packawana

United States1081 Posts

August 09 2013 01:52 GMT

#47

Guys, you're asking MMA to be consistently good at TvP. We know this isn't happening, it hasn't been happening for two years now.

Dr.Sin

Canada1126 Posts

August 09 2013 01:54 GMT

#48

Naniwa has historically had difficulty against Zerg, so I don't see him necessarily getting past Vortix so easily. I would love to see Grubby in the finals though. MMA or MC will likely take WCS Europe.

discator

Germany639 Posts

August 09 2013 01:55 GMT

#49

go Hasu!

DeathDyingDoomKiller

Canada91 Posts

August 09 2013 02:00 GMT

#50

wtf no 7 Toss and Zerg and Terran so imba!!!

Kitaen

Austria466 Posts

August 09 2013 02:00 GMT

#51

honestly i dont see mma winning two tvp's

not even vs foreigners

F.O.A.D.

Canada100 Posts

August 09 2013 02:02 GMT

#52

On August 09 2013 09:13 ratty wrote:

Show nested quote +

Protoss never wins anything silly.

are you really going to whine when you have 6 of the top 8 being protoss?

Nebuchad

Switzerland12449 Posts

August 09 2013 02:03 GMT

#53

On August 09 2013 10:52 Shellshock1122 wrote:

                    Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    
------------------------------------------------------
      VortiX     28.07%   19.26%   26.42%   26.25%    
      NaNiwa     21.26%   13.13%   37.15%   28.46%    
         MMA     19.68%   16.44%   21.82%   42.05%    
       Welmu     11.69%   16.93%   35.43%   35.96%    
     HasuObs      6.67%   11.75%   23.64%   57.95%    
          MC      6.26%   10.57%   19.12%   64.04%    
    duckdeok      3.95%    6.26%   18.24%   71.54%    
      Grubby      2.40%    5.67%   18.18%   73.75%

Median Outcome Bracket

     HasuObs 2 ┐ 
               ├───────── MMA 3 ┐ 
         MMA 3 ┘                │ 
                                ├───────── MMA 4 ┐ 
       Welmu 3 ┐                │                │ 
               ├─────── Welmu 2 ┘                │ 
          MC 2 ┘                                 │ 
                                                 ├─ MMA
      NaNiwa 3 ┐                                 │ 
               ├────── NaNiwa 2 ┐                │ 
    duckdeok 1 ┘                │                │ 
                                ├────── VortiX 3 ┘ 
      VortiX 3 ┐                │                  
               ├────── VortiX 3 ┘                  
      Grubby 1 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

lol Aligulac calling for the TvZ

If Vortix has 28% to win, how come MMA beats him in the finals? I don't get it (I'm dumb, use small words)

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

August 09 2013 02:05 GMT

#54

On August 09 2013 11:03 Nebuchad wrote:

Show nested quote +

On August 09 2013 10:52 Shellshock1122 wrote:

                    Win    Top 2    Top 4    Top 8    
------------------------------------------------------
      VortiX     28.07%   19.26%   26.42%   26.25%    
      NaNiwa     21.26%   13.13%   37.15%   28.46%    
         MMA     19.68%   16.44%   21.82%   42.05%    
       Welmu     11.69%   16.93%   35.43%   35.96%    
     HasuObs      6.67%   11.75%   23.64%   57.95%    
          MC      6.26%   10.57%   19.12%   64.04%    
    duckdeok      3.95%    6.26%   18.24%   71.54%    
      Grubby      2.40%    5.67%   18.18%   73.75%

Median Outcome Bracket

     HasuObs 2 ┐ 
               ├───────── MMA 3 ┐ 
         MMA 3 ┘                │ 
                                ├───────── MMA 4 ┐ 
       Welmu 3 ┐                │                │ 
               ├─────── Welmu 2 ┘                │ 
          MC 2 ┘                                 │ 
                                                 ├─ MMA
      NaNiwa 3 ┐                                 │ 
               ├────── NaNiwa 2 ┐                │ 
    duckdeok 1 ┘                │                │ 
                                ├────── VortiX 3 ┘ 
      VortiX 3 ┐                │                  
               ├────── VortiX 3 ┘                  
      Grubby 1 ┘

Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

lol Aligulac calling for the TvZ

If Vortix has 28% to win, how come MMA beats him in the finals? I don't get it (I'm dumb, use small words)

it's because vortix is more heavily favored against the other possible finals outcomes than MMA since Vortix's highest rated matchup atm is ZvP. The bracket is just showing the median outcome

Vortix is 65% favored or higher vs any of the protoss that he might face in the finals so Aligulac says if he gets anyone but MMA in the finals he will probably win. MMA should make the finals according to the prediction but there's a chance he could not because of his weaker rated TvP. He's also not as heavily favored against everyone on the other side of the bracket (or even favored at all. someone like Naniwa would be favored vs MMA)

does that make sense?

Conut

Canada1026 Posts

August 09 2013 02:05 GMT

#55

On August 09 2013 11:02 F.O.A.D. wrote:

Show nested quote +

are you really going to whine when you have 6 of the top 8 being protoss?

its not whine, its just a rule of the universe. Protoss will not win at least not at the hand of my terran brothers.

GenesisX

Canada4267 Posts

August 09 2013 02:07 GMT

#56

even with 6 protoss i think its gonna be tvz finals

Abstinence

United States328 Posts

August 09 2013 02:07 GMT

#57

i could see mma/naniwa finals. i would like that

SAFenix

Canada439 Posts

August 09 2013 02:12 GMT

#58

Plis MMA vs Grubby. That way, idc who wins LOL

thirtyapm

521 Posts

August 09 2013 02:14 GMT

#59

oh i know this game - 'how many foreigner protoss does it take to beat a korean terran'

vult

United States9400 Posts

August 09 2013 02:18 GMT

#60

i can see hasu beating mma since mma's TvP looked very lackluster in the RO16.

im calling...

Hasu def. MMA 3-1
NaNiwa def. Finale 3-1
Welmu def. MC 3-2
Vortix def. Grubby 3-1

Hasu def. Welmu 3-2
NaNiwa def. Vortix 3-1

NaNiwa def. Hasu 3-0