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2020 - 2021 Football Thread - Page 171

Forum Index > Sports
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We Have Moved
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12132 Posts
June 19 2021 17:24 GMT
#3401
It's easy for Portugal, they just need to score some goals into the right ne... oh, damn...
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
gTank
Profile Joined January 2011
Austria2662 Posts
June 19 2021 17:25 GMT
#3402
Germany pwning Portugal like they are a 4th league amateur team. Gosens has way to much space to do whatever he can think of.
One crossed wire, one wayward pinch of potassium chlorate, one errant twitch...and kablooie!
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12132 Posts
June 19 2021 17:26 GMT
#3403
On June 20 2021 02:25 gTank wrote:
Germany pwning Portugal like they are a 4th league amateur team. Gosens has way to much space to do whatever he can think of.

*cough* Brazil *cough*

Ooooo, and the plot thickens! Portugal still in da game!
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
gTank
Profile Joined January 2011
Austria2662 Posts
June 19 2021 17:27 GMT
#3404
On June 20 2021 02:26 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2021 02:25 gTank wrote:
Germany pwning Portugal like they are a 4th league amateur team. Gosens has way to much space to do whatever he can think of.

*cough* Brazil *cough*

Ooooo, and the plot thickens! Portugal still in da game!


Yeah germany is good against portugese speaking teams xD
Not so much against spanish speaking (Mexico, Spain..)
One crossed wire, one wayward pinch of potassium chlorate, one errant twitch...and kablooie!
Bacillus
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland2073 Posts
June 19 2021 17:28 GMT
#3405
Is there a scenario where goal difference comes into play? I can't see one right away at least.
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12132 Posts
June 19 2021 17:29 GMT
#3406
On June 20 2021 02:28 Bacillus wrote:
Is there a scenario where goal difference comes into play? I can't see one right away at least.

The 3rd spot advancement?
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
Bacillus
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland2073 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-19 17:33:15
June 19 2021 17:32 GMT
#3407
On June 20 2021 02:29 deacon.frost wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2021 02:28 Bacillus wrote:
Is there a scenario where goal difference comes into play? I can't see one right away at least.

The 3rd spot advancement?

Ah yeah, good point. That could be a very likely thing if Portugal finishes with 4 points or so.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 19 2021 17:33 GMT
#3408
Wait Sule is fit? Why on earth is he not starting lol? Secondly, if he takes Hummels off, why on earth did he not bring on Sule for him instead of Can who isn't a CB lol xD
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
InFiNitY[pG]
Profile Blog Joined December 2002
Germany3474 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-19 17:36:25
June 19 2021 17:35 GMT
#3409
We're doing well, scoring goals left right and center, let's sub our whole offense for three defenders and relinquish complete control of the game to the opposition. Because that usually works...
"I just pressed stimpack, and somehow I won the battle" -Flash
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12132 Posts
June 19 2021 17:38 GMT
#3410
On June 20 2021 02:35 InFiNitY[pG] wrote:
We're doing well, scoring goals left right and center, let's sub our whole offense for three defenders and relinquish complete control of the game to the opposition. Because that usually works...

C'mon, it's not like Portugal has any good offensive players!
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
gTank
Profile Joined January 2011
Austria2662 Posts
June 19 2021 17:41 GMT
#3411
Portugal is playing passive like they are 2 goals ahead....
One crossed wire, one wayward pinch of potassium chlorate, one errant twitch...and kablooie!
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18712 Posts
June 19 2021 17:42 GMT
#3412
On June 20 2021 02:33 Pandemona wrote:
Wait Sule is fit? Why on earth is he not starting lol? Secondly, if he takes Hummels off, why on earth did he not bring on Sule for him instead of Can who isn't a CB lol xD


Because ginter and hummels are playing a great tournament?
deacon.frost
Profile Joined February 2013
Czech Republic12132 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-19 17:43:35
June 19 2021 17:43 GMT
#3413
On June 20 2021 02:41 gTank wrote:
Portugal is playing passive like they are 2 goals ahead....

Weeeeeeeeeeeell, they scored 4 goals and almost fifth xD
I imagine France should be able to take this unless Lilbow is busy practicing for Starcraft III. | KadaverBB is my fairy ban mother.
gTank
Profile Joined January 2011
Austria2662 Posts
June 19 2021 17:53 GMT
#3414
Portugal super disappointing, they might get 4th place theoretically!
One crossed wire, one wayward pinch of potassium chlorate, one errant twitch...and kablooie!
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 19 2021 18:27 GMT
#3415
On June 20 2021 02:42 sharkie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2021 02:33 Pandemona wrote:
Wait Sule is fit? Why on earth is he not starting lol? Secondly, if he takes Hummels off, why on earth did he not bring on Sule for him instead of Can who isn't a CB lol xD


Because ginter and hummels are playing a great tournament?

Great tournament its 2 games old and they have conceded 3 goals in these two games? Hummels was embarassed by Mbappe and was/is the reason Germany have to play a back 3 in the first place cuz he has no pace. Ginter might be doing fine but Rudiger has not looked good at all. Sule starts for Bayern the best club in Germany...why he not getting a look in? Dortmund not been good defensively all season either lol
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28873 Posts
June 19 2021 18:54 GMT
#3416
So - I wanted to see how likely it is that Portugal advances even if they lose to France - and I concluded, 'somewhat probable if they only lose by one goal- increasingly unlikely the more they lose by'.

I decided to look at all the points of the third place finishers in all WCs and ECs since they started using 3 points for a win:

European championships:
96: 4 groups, 4 4 4 4 for third place
2000: 4 groups, 4 3 3 3 for third place
04: 4 groups, 5 4 2 2 for third place
08: 4 groups, 3 3 2 1 for third place
12: 4 groups, 4 4 3 3 for third place
16: 6 groups, 4 4 3 3 3 3. two teams with neutral goal difference advanced. (portugal famously winning the championship despite not winning any group games)

From these 6 championships there are 26 third place teams. They got 5 points once, 4 points 10 times, 3 points 11 times, 2 points thrice 1 point once.

Adding more meat to it, I've looked at world cups too, since 94, when they started with 3 points for a win.

94: 6 groups, 6 6 4 4 3 2 for third place teams.
98: 8 groups, 4 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 for third place teams
02: 8 groups, 2 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 for third place teams
06: 8 groups, 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 for third place teams
10: 8 groups, 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 for third place teams
14: 8 groups, 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 for third place teams
18: 8 groups, 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 for third place teams

Overall, 54 third place teams. 2 with 6 points, 18 with 4 points, 26 with 3 points, 7 with 2 points, 1 with Total from EC+WC combined:
6 points 2 times
5 points 1 time
4 points 28 times
3 points 37 times
2 points 10 times
1 point 2 times.

31 times 4+, 49 times 3-

While not impossible, it's really unlikely that we see 5 third place teams with 4+ points, so 4 is almost certainly enough. Most likely, we see one or two teams advance with 3 points, too, and in that case, the goal difference ends up being crucial. Considering how 3 points is either three draws or two losses and one win, the goal difference will normally be neutral at best.

I think Portugal is still likely to advance if they lose by 1 goal to France – 3 points and 5-5 GD is prolly enough.
Moderator
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16342 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-19 19:18:20
June 19 2021 19:04 GMT
#3417
On June 20 2021 03:27 Pandemona wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2021 02:42 sharkie wrote:
On June 20 2021 02:33 Pandemona wrote:
Wait Sule is fit? Why on earth is he not starting lol? Secondly, if he takes Hummels off, why on earth did he not bring on Sule for him instead of Can who isn't a CB lol xD


Because ginter and hummels are playing a great tournament?

Great tournament its 2 games old and they have conceded 3 goals in these two games? Hummels was embarassed by Mbappe and was/is the reason Germany have to play a back 3 in the first place cuz he has no pace. Ginter might be doing fine but Rudiger has not looked good at all. Sule starts for Bayern the best club in Germany...why he not getting a look in? Dortmund not been good defensively all season either lol

Germany was playing with a back 3 before Hummels returned. I also don't see that many results of the supposed embarrassing. No reasonable person expects hummels to be as fast as mbappe. I don't know if any defender in this tournament is.
warding
Profile Joined August 2005
Portugal2396 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-06-19 19:32:06
June 19 2021 19:31 GMT
#3418
On June 20 2021 02:53 gTank wrote:
Portugal super disappointing, they might get 4th place theoretically!

If Germany loses to Hungary? Right.

Also, an I the first to point out how dumb it is to have many teams play most games at home while others play many games away at the opponents home? Having one or two teams with home advantage is fair enough but this feels a little distorted.
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16342 Posts
June 19 2021 19:37 GMT
#3419
On June 20 2021 04:31 warding wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2021 02:53 gTank wrote:
Portugal super disappointing, they might get 4th place theoretically!

If Germany loses to Hungary? Right.

Also, an I the first to point out how dumb it is to have many teams play most games at home while others play many games away at the opponents home? Having one or two teams with home advantage is fair enough but this feels a little distorted.

Yeah, I also fail to understand this. Seems entirely unfair tbh.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
June 19 2021 20:09 GMT
#3420
Its the way the tournament was set up, Germany, Denmark, Russia, Spain, Italy, England and Azerbajan are basically the "hosts" of this tournament with some other random stadiums added in like Belfast, Glasgow and somewhere else i forget but covid stopped that.

The knockout games were Wembley for quite a few with Wembley getting the final and 1 semi final but the other semi final been moved there now as well.

The teams in question aka Germany, Denmark, Russia, Spain, Italy and England were automatically assigned the home games and those stadiums attached to the groups in question. The knockout games do change that up though i believe. If Italy win group a and England win group b for example we go to Rome and Italy go to Wembley.
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
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