• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 14:38
CEST 20:38
KST 03:38
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL22] Ro4 Preview: Mirror Mirror4[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: Within Reach5[ASL22] Ro8 Preview: In A Tizzy11[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Holy Diver5[ASL22] Ro16 Preview: Rough Waters10
Community News
Weekly Cups Results (Sep 28-Oct 4)0SC4ALL: II SC2 Complete Invited Player Lineup10StarCraft II 5.0.17 PTR Patch Notes (Sept 30, 2026)75Weekly Cups (Sept 21-27): herO and ByuN double2Weekly Cups (Sep 13-20): herO scores triple3
StarCraft 2
General
StarCraft II 5.0.17 PTR Patch Notes (Sept 30, 2026) How do you feel about the mass reverts in the 5.0.17 PTR? Weekly Cups Results (Sep 28-Oct 4) SC4ALL: II SC2 Complete Invited Player Lineup Back to SC2 after 14 years - Protoss CTRL groups?
Tourneys
Stellar Fest TWO the Moon (Dec 16-20) Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament 2026 GSTL Grand Finals Sea Duckling Open (Global, Bronze-Diamond) SC2 INu's Battles#21 [ 3-Days tournament ]
Strategy
[H] ZvP Mid-Late Game: Stalkers Collossi HT
Custom Maps
[M] (2) Sweltering Sands [M] (2) Frigid Storage
External Content
Mutation # 546 Catch the Train The PondCast: SC2 News & Results Mutation # 545 And Drops and Rifts Mutation # 544 Double Trouble
Brood War
General
Sagi.gg Launcher Released 20-year-old Valorant player starting StarCraft BGH Auto Balance -> http://bghmmr.eu/ Fantasy returning? BSL Season 23
Tourneys
[ASL22] Semifinal B [ASL22] Semifinal A [Megathread] Daily Proleagues [ASL22] Ro8 Day 4
Strategy
Cliff Jump Revisited (1 in a 1000 strategy) Replay Review Process - What do you do? Simple Questions, Simple Answers
Other Games
General Games
General RTS Discussion Thread Nintendo Switch Thread Warcraft III: The Frozen Throne Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Total Annihilation Zero
Dota 2
Dota 2 Champions League Season 3 Begins April 25! Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
[TL LoL EUW IHs] Teemo shall perish
Heroes of the Storm
Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Deck construction bug
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Canadian Politics Mega-thread Dating: How's your luck? Artificial Intelligence Thread
Fan Clubs
Serral Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Movie Discussion! [Manga] One Piece Diablo Animated Series on Netflix
Sports
Football (Soccer) Thread MLB/Baseball 2023
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
Recent Gifted Posts
Blogs
[ASL22] Ro4 Day1 Ticket Giv…
bITt.mAN
Escaping Into Video Games: G…
TrAiDoS
38 yo Retired SWE loo…
PurE)Rabbit-SF
Can Bots Beat Pros?? Starcr…
namkraft
[meme] I finally understa…
LUCKY_NOOB
Regacy Esports:Our Goa…
regacyesports
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 9621 users

[IEM] Katowice Day 2 - Page 2

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 123 124 125 Next
JOJOsc2news
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
3000 Posts
January 18 2013 08:56 GMT
#21
The venue looks sick, the groups are tough and the trolldesk is on fire. Can't wait!
✉ Tweets @sc2channel ⌦ Blog: http://www.teamliquid.net/blog/JOJO ⌫ "Arbiterssss... build more arbiterssss." Click 'Profile' for awesome shiro art!
ROOTheognis
Profile Blog Joined January 2006
United States4482 Posts
January 18 2013 09:11 GMT
#22
A: Snute, Grubby, Dream
B: PartinG, MaNa, Bly
C: Nerchio, YoDa, Socke
D: VortiX, First, Daisy
If you avoid your weakness, it will remain your weakness. www.twitter.com/#!/rootheognis Follow me!
JOJOsc2news
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
3000 Posts
January 18 2013 09:18 GMT
#23
On January 18 2013 18:11 ROOTheognis wrote:
A: Snute, Grubby, Dream
B: PartinG, MaNa, Bly
C: Nerchio, YoDa, Socke
D: VortiX, First, Daisy


I'd be happy with that outcome. I'm hoping to see some good games from TLO too.
✉ Tweets @sc2channel ⌦ Blog: http://www.teamliquid.net/blog/JOJO ⌫ "Arbiterssss... build more arbiterssss." Click 'Profile' for awesome shiro art!
Inzan1ty
Profile Joined September 2012
1163 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-18 09:50:02
January 18 2013 09:23 GMT
#24
A) Dream, Snute, Grubby
B) WonWonWon, LucifroN, MaNa
C) Nerchio, YoDa. Socke
D) VortiX, First, Golden
RIP Seung Hyun 'Space' Park † 6/5/2013 - Undead hero and eSports rolemodel
iKill[ShocK]
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Vietnam3530 Posts
January 18 2013 09:24 GMT
#25
snute to take it all.
<3 Kim Taeyeon
kafkaesque
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Germany2006 Posts
January 18 2013 09:43 GMT
#26
On January 18 2013 16:32 True_Spike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2013 16:14 kafkaesque wrote:
Who are the English casters for this?


Khaldor/ Apollo/ Kaelaris + the troll couch in the form of Tod / qxc / Jarret Cale (from PP).


Khalldor Apollo and Kaelaris casting and Grubby playing?

Guess I'm not going to miss that one.
| (• ◡•)|╯ ╰(❍ᴥ❍ʋ)
MorDka
Profile Joined October 2012
Poland543 Posts
January 18 2013 09:44 GMT
#27
Tarson vs Parting Finals gogoogoogo
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10166 Posts
January 18 2013 09:48 GMT
#28
Best quote of yesterday award goes to Jarret Cale to ToD:

"I watch GSL and all that stuff man, i just don't watch the tiny tournaments that you are in."
True_Spike
Profile Joined July 2004
Poland3434 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-18 09:55:48
January 18 2013 09:51 GMT
#29
A polish tv report about the tournament, for anyone's interested. There's some footage of the venue, the players (including a short interview with Parting, albeit in Polish) etc.

http://www.tvs.pl/42848,juz_jutro_startuje_intel_extreme_masters_spodek_odleci_zdjecia.html

The most optimistic estimates expect around 30k people to show up at the venue throughout the whole event, mostly during the weekend, for obvious reasons.
nRoot
Profile Joined February 2010
Germany928 Posts
January 18 2013 09:52 GMT
#30
On January 18 2013 18:48 Godwrath wrote:
Best quote of yesterday award goes to Jarret Cale to ToD:

"I watch GSL and all that stuff man, i just don't watch the tiny tournaments that you are in."

wooow, die he really say that? what a burn lol
True_Spike
Profile Joined July 2004
Poland3434 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-18 09:53:06
January 18 2013 09:52 GMT
#31
And the plan for today (TBD's are, obviously, the open bracket seeds):

12:00 – 13:00 CET Group A & B Round 1

TBD vs. Grubby
TBD vs. MVPDream
mOOnGLaDe vs. Snute
Siphonn vs. TBD
Leesak vs. TBD
Acer.Bly vs. LucifroN

13:00 – 14:00 CET Group A & B Round 2

TBD vs. MVPDream
TBD vs. Snute
mOOnGLaDe vs. Grubby
Siphonn vs. TBD
Leesak vs. LucifroN
Acer.Bly vs. TBD

14:00 – 15:00 CET Group A & B Round 3

TBD vs. mOOnGLaDe
TBD vs. Grubby
MVPDream vs. Snute
Siphonn vs. Acer.Bly
Leesak vs. TBD
TBD vs. LucifroN

15:00 – 16:00 CET Group A & B Round 4

TBD vs. Snute
TBD vs. mOOnGLaDe
MVPDream vs. Grubby
Siphonn vs. LucifroN
Leesak vs. Acer.Bly
TBD vs. TBD

16:00 – 17:00 CET Group A & B Round 5

mOOnGLaDe vs. MVPDream
Grubby vs. Snute
Siphonn vs. Leesak
Acer.Bly vs. TBD
TBD vs. LucifroN
TBD vs. TBD

17:00 – 18:00 CET Group C & D Round 1

TBD vs. AcerNerchio
TBD vs. jooktTo
IMYoDa vs. Socke
TBD vs. Golden
Empire.Kas vs. IMFirst
TBD vs. VortiX

18:00 – 19:00 CET Group C & D Round 2

TBD vs. jooktTo
TBD vs. Socke
IMYoDa vs. AcerNerchio
TBD vs. IMFirst
Empire.Kas vs. VortiX
TBD vs. Golden

19:00 – 20:00 CET Group C & D Round 3

TBD vs. IMYoDa
TBD vs. AcerNerchio
jooktTo vs. Socke
Empire.Kas vs. Golden
IMFirst vs. VortiX
TBD vs. TBD

20:00 – 21:00 CET Group C & D Round 4

TBD vs. Socke
TBD vs. IMYoDa
jooktTo vs. AcerNerchio
TBD vs. VortiX
Empire.Kas vs. TBD
IMFirst vs. Golden

21:00 – 22:00 CET Group C & D Round 5

IMYoDa vs. jooktTo
AcerNerchio vs. Socke
TBD vs. Empire.Kas
TBD vs. IMFirst
Golden vs. VortiX
TBD vs. TBD
Waxangel
Profile Blog Joined September 2002
United States33706 Posts
January 18 2013 09:54 GMT
#32
sick, time to wathc 6 games at once -_-
AdministratorHey HP can you redo everything youve ever done because i have a small complaint?
Godwrath
Profile Joined August 2012
Spain10166 Posts
January 18 2013 09:56 GMT
#33
On January 18 2013 18:52 nRoot wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 18 2013 18:48 Godwrath wrote:
Best quote of yesterday award goes to Jarret Cale to ToD:

"I watch GSL and all that stuff man, i just don't watch the tiny tournaments that you are in."

wooow, die he really say that? what a burn lol


Trolldesk is too gud.
JOJOsc2news
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
3000 Posts
January 18 2013 09:57 GMT
#34
According to mOOnGLaDe, Group A won't be played on stage. :/ No TL players on stage today.
✉ Tweets @sc2channel ⌦ Blog: http://www.teamliquid.net/blog/JOJO ⌫ "Arbiterssss... build more arbiterssss." Click 'Profile' for awesome shiro art!
furo
Profile Joined March 2012
Germany449 Posts
January 18 2013 10:00 GMT
#35
On January 18 2013 17:53 Musicus wrote:
In all honesty, IEM often has the most interesting groups for me, right amount of koreans too. Also the venue looks absolutley sick, this should be a great tournament since polish fans a crazy .


yea i like their model too
less invites, more qualifiers.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
January 18 2013 10:06 GMT
#36
On January 18 2013 16:26 Rewera wrote:
6 from Poland vs. 6 from Korea.

Fight of the century upon us.

This will determine order of Starcraft world in the hearts, for those who will in years look back to reminisce.

No one are as annoyingly patriotic as the Polish.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Sakkreth
Profile Joined February 2011
Lithuania1096 Posts
January 18 2013 10:09 GMT
#37
On January 18 2013 18:23 Inzan1ty wrote:
A) Dream, Snute, Grubby
B) WonWonWon, LucifroN, MaNa
C) Nerchio, YoDa. Socke
D) VortiX, First, Golden


Not bad.
On January 18 2013 19:02 Sakkreth wrote:
Predicitions.

A: 1.Snute 2.Grubby 3.Dream 4.TLO 5.Moonglade 6.Tarson (Snute been good lately, toughest call was for third between TLO and Dream, Grubby gonna make out for sure, it might be at third or even first, but he advances, having Snute in the group Grubby finishing second looks like a good guess to me).
B: 1. Parting 2. Mana 3. Lucifron 4. Bly 5. Tefel 6. Siphonn (Parting no brainer, then there are 4 good europeans, i'd rank them almost equally to advance, but slight nerf to zerg just happened making things easier for me, Mana over Lucifron as I believe mana is going to win their duel)
C: 1.Yoda 2.Nerchio 3. Socke 4. jookTo 5. Verdi 6. DieStar (Yoda is code S terran and that says something, then there is Nerchio, at first I wanted to put Socke at fourth but then I thought that it's going to look like another underrating of this beast + recent patch so I got him over jookTo).
D: 1.Vortix 2. Kast 3. First 4. Golden 5. Daisy 6. Paranoid (Yes I do really think Golden will not make it out, Vortix has been beast lately and Kas is a Beast in general I put him over First cause Kas is going to win against him no problem as Kas TvP is brutal)

WhiteRa, NaNiWa, Creator, sOs, Krr, ForGG, MMA, Zest ||
JustPassingBy
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
10776 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-18 10:13:18
January 18 2013 10:11 GMT
#38
Impossible to predict, except Parting and YoDa, imo.
Well, and Nerchio, but that is mostly because of his group. Were he in Group B and D, I wouldn't have bet so much money on him (figuratively speaking, ofc).

edit: just for clarity, will the entire group stage be played today?
edit2: apparently yes, by the schedule above. This will be one looooong day.
Sea_Food
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Finland1612 Posts
January 18 2013 10:13 GMT
#39
On January 18 2013 18:54 Waxangel wrote:
sick, time to wathc 6 games at once -_-


3 streams. 6 games at once.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-18 10:26:39
January 18 2013 10:20 GMT
#40
It's probably the moment of truth!

+ Show Spoiler [Group A] +
Group A

Snute
      Expected score: 3.77-1.23 (sets: 8.21-3.79)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 88.64%
      Most likely place: 1st (48.54%)

TLO
      Expected score: 3.17-1.83 (sets: 7.26-4.91)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 72.80%
      Most likely place: 2nd (26.96%)

Dream
      Expected score: 2.86-2.14 (sets: 6.80-5.60)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 59.35%
      Most likely place: 3rd (21.67%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 2.49-2.51 (sets: 6.08-6.00)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 44.68%
      Most likely place: 4th (26.79%)

mOOnGLaDe
      Expected score: 2.23-2.77 (sets: 5.64-6.50)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 33.70%
      Most likely place: 5th (34.82%)

Tarson
      Expected score: 0.48-4.52 (sets: 2.13-9.33)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 0.84%
      Most likely place: 6th (86.75%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
mOOnGLaDe: 5.51% 34.82% 25.97% 17.81% 10.87% 5.02%
Grubby: 2.70% 25.83% 26.79% 21.84% 15.29% 7.56%
Snute: 0.22% 3.30% 7.85% 14.71% 25.40% 48.54%
Dream: 3.66% 16.26% 20.74% 21.67% 21.32% 16.35%
TLO: 1.16% 9.62% 16.43% 23.31% 26.96% 22.53%
Tarson: 86.75% 10.18% 2.23% 0.66% 0.16% 0.01%

Match score

0-5 1-4 2-3 3-2 4-1 5-0
mOOnGLaDe: 1.76% 20.87% 40.07% 27.99% 8.45% 0.87%
Grubby: 0.55% 13.87% 36.63% 34.93% 12.57% 1.45%
Snute: 0.03% 0.75% 7.73% 27.81% 41.42% 22.26%
Dream: 1.11% 9.07% 26.35% 35.49% 22.54% 5.43%
TLO: 0.17% 3.79% 19.76% 38.84% 29.74% 7.70%
Tarson: 59.67% 33.28% 6.47% 0.55% 0.02%

Set score

-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
mOOnGLaDe: 0.05% 0.29% 0.58% 1.13% 3.87% 6.98% 7.56% 9.51% 13.69% 13.09% 10.05% 10.27% 9.14% 5.22% 3.42% 2.86% 1.31% 0.53% 0.28% 0.12% 0.03%
Grubby: 0.01% 0.09% 0.19% 0.47% 2.05% 4.35% 5.34% 7.25% 11.84% 12.83% 10.72% 11.98% 12.00% 7.61% 4.95% 4.30% 2.33% 0.88% 0.45% 0.31% 0.07%
Snute: 0.01% 0.00% 0.02% 0.06% 0.17% 0.33% 0.74% 1.77% 2.89% 3.69% 6.58% 10.06% 10.20% 10.61% 14.85% 13.30% 8.38% 7.85% 6.46% 2.03%
Dream: 0.02% 0.15% 0.31% 0.57% 1.47% 2.69% 3.49% 5.17% 8.09% 9.77% 9.21% 11.21% 12.39% 9.49% 7.97% 7.69% 4.76% 2.49% 1.85% 0.98% 0.22%
TLO: 0.00% 0.03% 0.05% 0.11% 0.47% 1.06% 1.51% 2.74% 5.73% 7.40% 7.94% 11.14% 14.07% 11.41% 9.78% 10.68% 7.33% 3.62% 2.71% 1.76% 0.45%
Tarson: 12.35% 23.90% 16.62% 11.94% 13.67% 10.15% 4.60% 3.05% 2.12% 0.92% 0.34% 0.21% 0.08% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%


+ Show Spoiler [Group B] +
Group B

PartinG
      Expected score: 4.51-0.49 (sets: 9.31-1.99)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 99.18%
      Most likely place: 1st (75.35%)

LucifroN
      Expected score: 3.68-1.32 (sets: 7.99-3.71)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 91.46%
      Most likely place: 2nd (53.89%)

Bly
      Expected score: 2.32-2.68 (sets: 5.65-6.19)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 40.86%
      Most likely place: 4th (31.25%)

MaNa
      Expected score: 2.21-2.79 (sets: 5.52-6.39)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 35.00%
      Most likely place: 5th (33.37%)

Tefel
      Expected score: 2.17-2.83 (sets: 5.30-6.52)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 33.47%
      Most likely place: 5th (33.74%)

Siphonn
      Expected score: 0.12-4.88 (sets: 0.87-9.84)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 0.03%
      Most likely place: 6th (96.10%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Siphonn: 96.10% 3.55% 0.32% 0.03%
Bly: 0.78% 27.11% 31.25% 29.64% 9.77% 1.45%
LucifroN: 0.01% 2.13% 6.40% 16.82% 53.89% 20.75%
PartinG: 0.00% 0.11% 0.71% 3.61% 20.22% 75.35%
MaNa: 0.85% 33.37% 30.78% 24.18% 8.99% 1.83%
Tefel: 2.25% 33.74% 30.54% 25.73% 7.13% 0.61%

Match score

0-5 1-4 2-3 3-2 4-1 5-0
Siphonn: 88.44% 11.16% 0.40% 0.00%
Bly: 0.40% 15.35% 43.79% 32.91% 7.17% 0.37%
LucifroN: 0.00% 0.50% 6.76% 30.17% 49.56% 13.01%
PartinG: 0.00% 0.01% 0.40% 6.45% 34.96% 58.18%
MaNa: 0.46% 21.28% 43.26% 27.71% 6.75% 0.53%
Tefel: 1.22% 20.15% 44.43% 29.39% 4.70% 0.10%

Set score

-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Siphonn: 43.39% 33.82% 9.95% 5.62% 4.83% 1.72% 0.35% 0.19% 0.10% 0.02% 0.01%
Bly: 0.01% 0.08% 0.15% 0.45% 2.43% 5.17% 5.95% 8.57% 15.32% 14.96% 10.95% 12.06% 11.21% 5.59% 3.01% 2.42% 1.17% 0.31% 0.14% 0.06% 0.01%
LucifroN: 0.00% 0.03% 0.11% 0.22% 0.43% 1.36% 2.53% 3.40% 6.14% 11.38% 10.88% 11.79% 18.11% 16.19% 7.14% 4.61% 4.26% 1.42%
PartinG: 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.12% 0.23% 0.64% 1.89% 2.92% 4.01% 9.76% 14.91% 11.79% 15.06% 24.37% 14.28%
MaNa: 0.02% 0.09% 0.18% 0.49% 3.27% 7.20% 7.64% 9.25% 15.33% 14.86% 10.11% 10.22% 9.34% 5.01% 2.89% 2.29% 1.17% 0.34% 0.20% 0.08% 0.02%
Tefel: 0.06% 0.26% 0.43% 1.05% 4.14% 7.28% 7.43% 10.41% 16.38% 14.22% 9.94% 11.31% 8.98% 3.86% 2.07% 1.48% 0.57% 0.09% 0.02% 0.02% 0.00%


+ Show Spoiler [Group C] +
Group C

YoDa
      Expected score: 3.77-1.23 (sets: 8.23-3.90)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 89.85%
      Most likely place: 1st (57.05%)

Socke
      Expected score: 2.85-2.15 (sets: 6.74-5.51)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 65.94%
      Most likely place: 2nd (25.88%)

jookTo
      Expected score: 2.53-2.47 (sets: 6.22-6.16)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 52.55%
      Most likely place: 3rd (20.68%)

DieStar
      Expected score: 2.01-2.99 (sets: 5.40-7.04)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 32.92%
      Most likely place: 6th (25.90%)

Verdi
      Expected score: 2.02-2.98 (sets: 5.24-6.95)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 31.64%
      Most likely place: 5th (23.57%)

Nerchio
      Expected score: 1.84-3.16 (sets: 5.03-7.29)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 27.11%
      Most likely place: 6th (31.10%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
jookTo: 12.47% 16.43% 18.56% 20.68% 20.64% 11.22%
Socke: 6.35% 11.08% 16.63% 22.54% 25.88% 17.53%
Nerchio: 31.10% 23.73% 18.06% 13.67% 9.52% 3.92%
YoDa: 1.16% 3.02% 5.98% 10.87% 21.93% 57.05%
Verdi: 23.03% 23.57% 21.77% 16.78% 10.76% 4.10%
DieStar: 25.90% 22.17% 19.01% 15.46% 11.28% 6.18%

Match score

0-5 1-4 2-3 3-2 4-1 5-0
jookTo: 2.38% 14.00% 32.17% 33.75% 15.40% 2.30%
Socke: 0.58% 7.68% 27.65% 38.48% 21.60% 4.01%
Nerchio: 9.28% 29.53% 35.64% 19.89% 5.20% 0.45%
YoDa: 0.08% 1.15% 8.22% 26.46% 40.85% 23.24%
Verdi: 5.28% 24.74% 39.24% 24.96% 5.41% 0.36%
DieStar: 7.43% 25.86% 34.81% 23.33% 7.55% 1.01%

Set score

-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
jookTo: 0.08% 0.43% 0.75% 1.17% 2.60% 4.55% 5.37% 7.22% 10.69% 11.06% 10.09% 11.45% 11.09% 7.68% 5.73% 4.88% 2.78% 1.24% 0.71% 0.33% 0.08%
Socke: 0.01% 0.10% 0.19% 0.33% 1.14% 2.26% 3.03% 4.79% 8.38% 10.03% 9.73% 12.44% 13.49% 9.85% 7.90% 7.17% 4.72% 2.08% 1.37% 0.82% 0.18%
Nerchio: 0.41% 2.03% 3.24% 4.04% 7.02% 10.32% 9.82% 10.72% 12.68% 10.63% 7.97% 7.42% 5.73% 3.25% 2.20% 1.51% 0.60% 0.23% 0.13% 0.04% 0.01%
YoDa: 0.01% 0.01% 0.04% 0.15% 0.26% 0.46% 0.98% 2.11% 3.00% 4.12% 6.57% 9.70% 9.88% 10.91% 14.42% 12.51% 8.52% 7.96% 6.36% 2.04%
Verdi: 0.25% 1.15% 1.80% 2.74% 5.73% 8.52% 8.68% 10.89% 13.76% 12.04% 9.23% 9.11% 7.33% 3.91% 2.15% 1.61% 0.72% 0.20% 0.12% 0.05% 0.01%
DieStar: 0.32% 1.40% 2.47% 3.26% 5.81% 8.94% 9.04% 9.55% 12.07% 11.07% 8.85% 8.62% 6.91% 4.25% 3.04% 2.28% 1.11% 0.52% 0.30% 0.17% 0.02%


+ Show Spoiler [Group D] +
Group D

VortiX
      Expected score: 3.84-1.16 (sets: 8.31-3.53)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 93.94%
      Most likely place: 1st (60.61%)

First
      Expected score: 2.93-2.07 (sets: 6.91-5.41)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 67.97%
      Most likely place: 2nd (26.03%)

Kas
      Expected score: 2.47-2.53 (sets: 6.04-6.18)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 50.45%
      Most likely place: 3rd (22.53%)

Golden
      Expected score: 2.11-2.89 (sets: 5.42-6.83)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 36.07%
      Most likely place: 5th (22.47%)

Daisy
      Expected score: 2.05-2.95 (sets: 5.31-6.91)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 32.18%
      Most likely place: 5th (24.40%)

ParanOid
      Expected score: 1.60-3.40 (sets: 4.53-7.66)
      Probability of achieving top 3: 19.39%
      Most likely place: 6th (39.67%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Golden: 20.90% 22.47% 20.55% 18.15% 13.65% 4.27%
VortiX: 0.37% 1.59% 4.10% 9.83% 23.51% 60.61%
Kas: 11.55% 16.92% 21.08% 22.53% 19.85% 8.07%
First: 5.99% 10.47% 15.56% 20.80% 26.03% 21.14%
Daisy: 21.51% 24.40% 21.92% 17.39% 10.56% 4.23%
ParanOid: 39.67% 24.16% 16.78% 11.31% 6.40% 1.68%

Match score

0-5 1-4 2-3 3-2 4-1 5-0
Golden: 5.01% 22.61% 37.22% 26.97% 7.76% 0.44%
VortiX: 0.00% 0.34% 5.07% 27.20% 44.69% 22.70%
Kas: 1.88% 14.11% 35.13% 34.56% 13.11% 1.21%
First: 0.67% 7.64% 25.25% 36.65% 23.86% 5.93%
Daisy: 5.00% 23.78% 39.17% 25.59% 6.06% 0.41%
ParanOid: 13.22% 34.88% 34.00% 14.99% 2.79% 0.12%

Set score

-10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Golden: 0.22% 1.06% 1.77% 2.39% 4.96% 8.00% 8.14% 10.00% 13.31% 11.55% 9.52% 9.81% 7.87% 4.69% 3.07% 2.19% 0.97% 0.28% 0.10% 0.08% 0.01%
VortiX: 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.08% 0.13% 0.34% 1.14% 1.85% 2.68% 5.60% 9.55% 10.57% 10.76% 15.77% 14.98% 8.71% 8.04% 7.30% 2.47%
Kas: 0.08% 0.34% 0.63% 0.99% 2.56% 4.59% 5.55% 7.58% 11.80% 12.07% 10.46% 12.14% 11.37% 6.83% 5.28% 4.13% 2.24% 0.76% 0.38% 0.19% 0.02%
First: 0.02% 0.09% 0.20% 0.38% 0.99% 2.20% 3.02% 4.57% 7.58% 9.20% 9.10% 11.73% 12.77% 9.85% 8.45% 8.24% 5.33% 2.78% 2.09% 1.14% 0.26%
Daisy: 0.27% 1.01% 1.77% 2.49% 5.47% 8.41% 8.36% 10.44% 13.74% 12.29% 9.34% 9.50% 7.39% 4.01% 2.55% 1.79% 0.77% 0.24% 0.10% 0.06% 0.01%
ParanOid: 0.90% 3.14% 4.73% 5.49% 9.60% 12.49% 10.73% 11.05% 12.29% 9.59% 6.36% 5.67% 3.78% 1.98% 1.05% 0.76% 0.29% 0.07% 0.04% 0.02%


Judging from the other predictions I've seen, people might be overestimating Nerchio and underestimating TLO. Then again, Nerchio has good results since last list update that are not yet accounted for.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Prev 1 2 3 4 5 123 124 125 Next
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 5h 23m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
mouzHeroMarine 360
ProTech164
UpATreeSC 116
BRAT_OK 91
MindelVK 24
Railgan 19
StarCraft: Brood War
Calm 2126
Bisu 1047
Dewaltoss 129
Shinee 49
Trap 29
Bale 24
scan(afreeca) 15
Dota 2
XaKoH 580
420jenkins417
Counter-Strike
fl0m4539
pashabiceps864
Fnx 642
x6flipin213
kRYSTAL_29
Heroes of the Storm
Grubby3224
Liquid`Hasu484
Other Games
Liquid`RaSZi1708
FrodaN868
B2W.Neo310
Livibee173
C9.Mang0146
TKL 102
QueenE83
RotterdaM59
Mew2King35
JuggernautJason11
Organizations
Other Games
WardiTV213
BasetradeTV193
Dota 2
PGL Dota 2 - Main Stream29
[ Show 16 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• Reevou 14
• Adnapsc2 3
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• Migwel
StarCraft: Brood War
• 80smullet 43
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
League of Legends
• Nemesis3165
• TFBlade666
Other Games
• Shiphtur1284
• imaqtpie711
• WagamamaTV360
Upcoming Events
PiGosaur Cup
5h 23m
Patches Events
21h 23m
The PondCast
1d 15h
INu's Battles
1d 16h
Percival vs SHIN
Zoun vs herO
OSC
2 days
Replay Cast
2 days
OSC
3 days
BSL: Ladder Tournament
4 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
4 days
Patches Events
4 days
[ Show More ]
BSL Open Qualifier
5 days
BSL Open Qualifier
5 days
WardiTV Weekly
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

CSL 2026 AUTUMN (S22)
Blizzard Classic Cup 2026
Copium Cup

Ongoing

ASL Season 22
Super Anchor Qualifying S3
Acropolis #5
Acropolis #5 - GSB
ESL Pro League Season 24
Stake Ranked Episode 4
1win Private Club #1
Logitech G Play Connect 2026
SL StarSeries Fall 2026
FISSURE Playground #3
BLAST Open Fall 2026
Esports World Cup 2026
BLAST Bounty Summer 2026
BLAST Bounty Summer Qual

Upcoming

Acropolis #5 - GSC
BSL Season 23
SC4ALL II: Brood War
BSL 23: Non-Korean Championship
HSC XXX
Stellar Fest 2: Lunar Cup
SC4ALL II: StarCraft II
Kung Fu Cup 2026 Grand Finals
RSL Offline Finals
HCC Season 3
eXTREMESLAND 2026
PGL Major Singapore 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 6
BLAST Rivals Fall 2026
IEM Beijing 2026
Stake Ranked Episode 5
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
1win Private Club #2
Thunderpick World Champ. '26
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2026 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.