U&D Group D

ByuL
      Expected score: 3.95-1.05 (sets: 3.95-1.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 100.00%
      Most likely place: 2nd (59.87%)

Bomber
      Expected score: 4.25-0.75 (sets: 4.25-0.75)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 85.95%
      Most likely place: 1st (59.87%)

Byun
      Expected score: 2.35-2.65 (sets: 2.35-2.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 14.05%
      Most likely place: 3rd (65.22%)

HerO
      Expected score: 1.63-3.37 (sets: 1.63-3.37)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 4th (49.13%)

Genius
      Expected score: 1.45-3.55 (sets: 1.45-3.55)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (55.27%)

sOs
      Expected score: 1.37-3.63 (sets: 1.37-3.63)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 5th (39.04%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
          HerO:   16.60%   32.42%   49.13%    1.84%                  
          Byun:             8.40%   12.33%   65.22%   14.05%         
        Bomber:                              14.05%   26.09%   59.87%
        Genius:   55.27%   20.13%    8.59%   16.01%                  
          ByuL:                                       59.87%   40.13%
           sOs:   28.13%   39.04%   29.94%    2.89%                  

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
          HerO:            37.11%   62.89%                           
          Byun:                     65.00%   35.00%                  
        Bomber:                              14.05%   47.04%   38.91%
        Genius:            55.27%   44.73%                           
          ByuL:                              26.78%   51.04%   22.18%
           sOs:            62.89%   37.11%                           

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
          HerO:                     37.11%            62.89%                                                      
          Byun:                                       65.00%            35.00%                                    
        Bomber:                                                         14.05%            47.04%            38.91%
        Genius:                     55.27%            44.73%                                                      
          ByuL:                                                         26.78%            51.04%            22.18%
           sOs:                     62.89%            37.11%

Bomber vs. ByuL

Bomber wins (59.87%):
1-0: 59.87%

ByuL wins (40.13%):
1-0: 40.13%

Most likely winner: Bomber (59.87%)
Median outcome: Bomber 1-0 ByuL

details, data source, code

Dodgin

Canada39254 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1905

sOs you disappoint me ;/

grats to byun for joining the club of like 3 players that can make this work

X3GoldDot

Malaysia3840 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1906

once again no kespa player advances to code S from up/down

pdd

Australia9933 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1907

Intense micro battle into buffer.

... into Byun looking sad but Wolf and Khaldor talking about it being a bad position for sOs.

Nebuchad

Switzerland12474 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1908

On January 09 2013 21:49 X3GoldDot wrote:

Show nested quote +

since when was that the case?? Parting almost always take games against top zergs. also, if you dont change your attitude (to be fair most terrans have the same), your TL lifeline might not be for long.

I'm sorry that we aren't able to go 8-24 in non-mirror match-ups and be happy and cheerful about it. We should work on that attitude.

ETisME

12748 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1909

lol scv marine all in

nimbim

Germany985 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1910

On January 09 2013 21:54 nimbim wrote:

Show nested quote +

bunker starts on top of main ramp
sos managed to drive the marines out with probe+stalker micro
11probes v 9scv, but probes hardly mining

byun trying to move in again, stalker trapped!
sos manages to kill the bunker, but marines move in and kill lots of probes
5p v 11t supply
last stalker dies, gg

MasterOfPuppets

Romania6942 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1911

I bet the units in sOs' main were trying to send an S.O.S.

hue hue hue

Poopi

France12971 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1912

As expected KesPA players don't have enough experience with old school terran cheeses. Or maybe they asked Squirtle for help on that matter. That would explain.

Serinox

Germany5224 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1913

Noooooo HerO

Grumbels

Netherlands7032 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1914

If sOs was Flash, someone would have said: "it's okay, he's still new to the game and won't lose to these sort of builds in the future".

Elite_

United States4259 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1915

On January 09 2013 21:52 Elite_ wrote:

Show nested quote +

If HerO beats sOs and ByuN loses this game and against Bomber, HerO is in the wildcard.

Or there could be a 3way or 4way tie for 3rd place... depends on if ByuN loses to Bomber and Genius beats ByuL though.

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1916

omg I'm missing Byun win now? aww man D;

fucking lag

Tegenaria

France379 Posts

January 09 2013 12:55 GMT

#1917

i love that epic close game, remembe me the 7th game of Mvp vs Squirtle final

TheRooster

Sweden719 Posts

January 09 2013 12:56 GMT

#1918

On January 09 2013 21:44 Emzeeshady wrote:

Show nested quote +

Hmm Squirtle just seems to win a lot of PvZ every time I see him. To be fair to Rain he has faced the very best and Squritle hasn't recently.

Squirtle won over Leenock like 2 weeks ago

-Celestial-

United Kingdom3867 Posts

January 09 2013 12:56 GMT

#1919

On January 09 2013 21:49 X3GoldDot wrote:

Show nested quote +

ZvZ is good but TvT is the best matchup atm, idk what you are talking about

I genuinely don't understand why people get so excited about TvT. It pretty much puts me to sleep when I try to watch it. Always has done. Incredibly dull barring one or two special games.

Worst matchup to watch for me. Closely followed by most PvZs unless Parting is playing. Much prefer watching PvTs.