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From page 85 and onwards anyone contributing to a gender discussion will face moderation.
I feel the need to remind people that balance commentary and complaints are not acceptable posts in LR topics due to the fact that they will derail any tournament topic that it is left unchecked in. If you participate in it you will be moderated.
It should also be clear that any SC2 vs LoL debates have no place in this thread. |
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On November 30 2012 07:40 Derez wrote: Anyone have any idea how Sniper lost to TheSTC? STC hasn't been playing well recently and I'd expect Sniper, ready for GSL and all, to kinda crush. He wanted to go to the LB to crush more dreams and to make more people cry.
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I think Naniwa's going for a warp prism 4gate?
Nope never mind
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On November 30 2012 07:38 Darpa wrote: man I hope they stream Scarlett vs Ryung. Last foreign hope in WB! XiGua and Snute are still there, WR4.
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On November 30 2012 07:41 VisonKai wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2012 07:34 Maesy wrote:On November 30 2012 07:32 Astro-Penguin wrote: And people say this match isn't broken, disgusting man.
1 Fungal can just lose you the game, really well designed blizzard. Don't be stupid and balance whine. Naniwa kept making stalkers as if it were actually going to do something. Stalkers aren't made to beat 20 tier 3 air units. Suck it up. What else can you make? Carriers? Carriers are complete crap. They are utterly worthless. Pretty much the only games they're successful is either a superior player smashing an inferior one or someone who already had a huge advantage. Fungals beat every Protoss air unit easily with energy to spare. A good Zerg player doesn't bunch his BLs to get vortexed anymore, mothership used to be a gimmick that worked, now it's a hail mary because you realized you got stuck in end game versus a Zerg player. You can attack instead of waiting for the 20+ broodlords and 200 energy infestors?
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50% Nerchio & 51% Naniwa
xD
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On November 30 2012 07:38 TheBB wrote:Updated predictions. 72-man double elimination bracketMost likely winners: Leenock: 13.86% TaeJa: 9.97% Life: 9.43% Creator: 8.92% DongRaeGu: 7.89% HerO: 6.10% Bomber: 5.39% viOLet: 5.19% Symbol: 4.67% Polt: 4.54% HyuN: 2.99% Scarlett: 2.71% MC: 2.33% San: 2.32% Bogus: 2.10% Seed: 2.02% details, data source, code+ Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] + TaeJa: 7.21 rounds (top 8) Leenock: 7.17 rounds (top 8) DongRaeGu: 6.61 rounds (top 8) Life: 6.58 rounds (top 8) Creator: 6.56 rounds (top 8) Polt: 6.54 rounds (top 8) HerO: 6.48 rounds (top 12) Bomber: 6.37 rounds (top 12) viOLet: 6.24 rounds (top 12) San: 6.14 rounds (top 12) Symbol: 6.01 rounds (top 12) Sleep: 5.95 rounds (top 12) Scarlett: 5.75 rounds (top 12) aLive: 5.61 rounds (top 12) Snute: 5.45 rounds (top 16) HyuN: 5.40 rounds (top 16) Bogus: 5.37 rounds (top 16) Crank: 5.33 rounds (top 16) MC: 5.33 rounds (top 16) TheStC: 5.12 rounds (top 16) xigua: 4.88 rounds (top 16) Seed: 4.43 rounds (top 24) Ryung: 4.33 rounds (top 24) Squirtle: 4.26 rounds (top 24) Genius: 4.09 rounds (top 24) Heart: 3.52 rounds (top 24) Sniper: 3.50 rounds (top 24) Shine: 3.02 rounds (top 32) YoDa: 2.90 rounds (top 32) Stephano: 2.58 rounds (top 32) HuK: 2.52 rounds (top 32) Nerchio: 2.35 rounds (top 40) MMA: 2.21 rounds (top 40) ToD: 2.18 rounds (top 40) LucifroN: 2.17 rounds (top 40) goswser: 2.17 rounds (top 40) Golden: 2.16 rounds (top 40) BBoongBBoong: 2.15 rounds (top 40) luvsic: 2.13 rounds (top 40) sculp: 2.00 rounds (top 40) Byun: 1.93 rounds (top 40) ByuL: 1.75 rounds (top 40) Naniwa: 1.53 rounds (top 40) CatZ: 1.48 rounds (top 56) ViBE: 1.45 rounds (top 56) theognis: 1.44 rounds (top 56) puCK: 1.31 rounds (top 56) HwangSin: 1.30 rounds (top 56) Sasquatch: 1.23 rounds (top 56) GanZi: 1.17 rounds (top 56) Caliber: 1.14 rounds (top 56) Vortix: 1.10 rounds (top 56) TubbyTheFat: 1.08 rounds (top 56) MaSsan: 1.05 rounds (top 56) drewbie: 1.04 rounds (top 56) Sea: 1.00 rounds (top 56) TriMaster: 0.91 rounds (top 56) sLivko: 0.82 rounds (top 56) Apocalypse: 0.38 rounds (top 72) Perfect: 0.15 rounds (top 72) Shuttle: 0.00 rounds (top 72) Glon: 0.00 rounds (top 72) Eifersuchtig: 0.00 rounds (top 72) daisuki: 0.00 rounds (top 72) MajOr: 0.00 rounds (top 72) + Show Spoiler [Details] +Detailed placement probabilities
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win HyuN: 25.15% 22.06% 14.61% 12.22% 7.73% 5.85% 3.65% 2.78% 2.96% 2.99% BBoongBBoong: 50.20% 10.56% 25.60% 6.72% 3.89% 1.79% 0.81% 0.32% 0.07% 0.03% 0.01% Sea: 99.68% 0.32% 0.00% Nerchio: 34.13% 29.18% 22.09% 5.57% 4.20% 2.62% 1.09% 0.48% 0.36% 0.15% 0.11% 0.03% puCK: 72.34% 24.66% 2.81% 0.18% 0.01% Creator: 14.41% 17.26% 12.38% 13.15% 9.03% 8.18% 5.81% 4.84% 6.02% 8.92% Shuttle: 100.00% DongRaeGu: 10.69% 16.50% 15.21% 14.81% 9.34% 8.74% 6.01% 5.05% 5.76% 7.89% TubbyTheFat: 93.39% 5.64% 0.95% 0.02% 0.00% Byun: 54.54% 21.70% 13.09% 4.02% 3.42% 1.63% 0.90% 0.41% 0.17% 0.08% 0.04% 0.01% Squirtle: 13.65% 10.79% 20.08% 16.35% 13.05% 9.51% 5.78% 3.76% 2.31% 1.69% 1.61% 1.43% CatZ: 64.27% 25.68% 8.10% 1.61% 0.29% 0.05% YoDa: 29.56% 18.39% 21.33% 13.07% 8.06% 4.80% 2.18% 1.32% 0.56% 0.36% 0.23% 0.13% Sniper: 3.88% 20.61% 35.00% 22.83% 8.37% 3.90% 2.31% 1.62% 0.75% 0.33% 0.31% 0.09% Glon: 100.00% TheStC: 24.02% 27.32% 13.43% 14.82% 6.46% 5.95% 2.81% 2.15% 1.82% 1.22% ViBE: 66.83% 23.91% 7.27% 1.38% 0.49% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% Vortix: 44.79% 28.86% 10.31% 9.41% 3.23% 1.92% 0.79% 0.43% 0.13% 0.08% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00% Caliber: 86.98% 12.29% 0.70% 0.03% Bomber: 12.11% 18.84% 11.67% 17.04% 9.75% 9.60% 5.85% 4.87% 4.87% 5.39% sLivko: 55.21% 25.60% 8.36% 6.89% 2.23% 1.02% 0.38% 0.20% 0.08% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% Life: 19.53% 12.88% 10.49% 13.43% 8.09% 8.27% 6.01% 5.40% 6.47% 9.43% Perfect: 86.29% 12.74% 0.88% 0.08% 0.01% HwangSin: 13.71% 56.56% 19.76% 7.48% 1.43% 0.70% 0.20% 0.11% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% HuK: 18.05% 32.86% 33.52% 11.26% 3.23% 0.76% 0.21% 0.08% 0.03% 0.00% Leenock: 15.43% 11.09% 9.13% 12.62% 8.16% 8.76% 6.65% 6.18% 8.12% 13.86% Apocalypse: 70.16% 24.00% 4.08% 1.41% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.00% GanZi: 29.84% 44.31% 13.37% 8.25% 2.01% 1.22% 0.54% 0.28% 0.11% 0.05% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% goswser: 31.61% 32.94% 25.68% 7.46% 1.78% 0.36% 0.11% 0.05% 0.01% 0.00% Ryung: 0.14% 23.34% 23.16% 19.37% 10.20% 7.94% 4.23% 4.18% 1.99% 2.15% 2.02% 1.28% Eifersuchtig: 100.00% Golden: 49.80% 10.76% 25.30% 6.80% 4.16% 1.76% 0.92% 0.28% 0.13% 0.04% 0.02% 0.01% Genius: 0.18% 26.46% 24.23% 19.04% 9.52% 7.36% 3.76% 3.81% 1.55% 1.66% 1.48% 0.95% Scarlett: 12.82% 29.96% 14.56% 12.58% 7.10% 8.20% 3.73% 4.28% 4.06% 2.71% drewbie: 47.34% 13.98% 28.47% 8.63% 1.14% 0.34% 0.07% 0.02% 0.00% Naniwa: 65.87% 20.70% 10.06% 1.77% 1.01% 0.42% 0.11% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% TriMaster: 52.66% 13.68% 25.55% 6.98% 0.83% 0.23% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00% MC: 27.26% 27.05% 9.05% 10.53% 5.83% 7.15% 3.17% 4.00% 3.64% 2.33% daisuki: 100.00% MMA: 45.46% 23.72% 15.90% 5.05% 4.59% 2.45% 1.55% 0.69% 0.29% 0.17% 0.11% 0.01% Shine: 6.61% 29.80% 36.79% 15.17% 7.30% 2.88% 0.91% 0.31% 0.14% 0.05% 0.03% 0.01% sculp: 35.73% 38.89% 18.04% 5.20% 1.62% 0.40% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Symbol: 19.65% 24.03% 8.70% 11.50% 6.82% 9.28% 4.08% 5.57% 5.69% 4.67% ByuL: 56.79% 25.41% 10.99% 2.88% 2.23% 0.91% 0.50% 0.20% 0.05% 0.02% 0.02% Bogus: 27.29% 20.20% 12.25% 14.88% 6.73% 7.03% 2.84% 3.51% 3.17% 2.10% MaSsan: 96.12% 3.16% 0.70% 0.02% luvsic: 33.17% 37.57% 19.00% 5.83% 2.88% 0.95% 0.42% 0.11% 0.05% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% LucifroN: 45.54% 19.86% 20.13% 6.78% 4.34% 1.70% 1.04% 0.29% 0.18% 0.07% 0.05% viOLet: 17.92% 17.30% 10.71% 15.69% 7.98% 9.29% 4.39% 5.50% 6.03% 5.19% ToD: 13.02% 63.94% 16.69% 5.13% 0.88% 0.27% 0.04% 0.02% 0.01% Seed: 11.78% 14.80% 18.85% 14.60% 10.76% 9.71% 5.23% 4.71% 2.34% 2.56% 2.65% 2.02% Sasquatch: 81.95% 13.29% 4.33% 0.39% 0.04% 0.00% Heart: 18.91% 20.82% 20.55% 13.60% 8.79% 6.91% 3.28% 2.93% 1.18% 1.25% 1.09% 0.69% MajOr: 100.00% Stephano: 31.70% 26.28% 22.78% 6.71% 5.27% 2.97% 2.22% 0.80% 0.62% 0.30% 0.25% 0.10% theognis: 68.39% 20.91% 9.15% 1.39% 0.16% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% HerO: 11.71% 17.92% 14.70% 15.05% 8.21% 9.29% 4.83% 5.61% 6.59% 6.10% TaeJa: 20.46% 12.28% 16.05% 9.67% 11.17% 6.64% 6.21% 7.55% 9.97% Polt: 22.17% 17.91% 19.99% 10.31% 10.33% 5.65% 4.55% 4.55% 4.54% Crank: 45.28% 14.79% 21.47% 7.44% 6.25% 1.97% 1.48% 0.91% 0.42% xigua: 59.52% 16.00% 13.44% 4.21% 4.33% 1.00% 0.90% 0.44% 0.16% Sleep: 35.33% 15.07% 18.60% 8.66% 10.03% 3.41% 4.45% 3.04% 1.42% aLive: 45.14% 12.24% 17.25% 7.33% 8.66% 2.65% 3.57% 2.28% 0.88% Snute: 47.98% 11.22% 20.23% 5.53% 7.21% 2.17% 3.16% 1.80% 0.71% San: 30.33% 17.60% 20.40% 6.84% 9.69% 3.69% 4.97% 4.16% 2.32%
Most likely to be eliminated by...
HyuN: Stephano (12.31%) aLive ( 7.17%) Symbol ( 6.57%) BBoongBBoong: Golden (50.20%) HerO (11.91%) Seed ( 7.83%) Sea: Genius (51.81%) Ryung (47.86%) Nerchio ( 0.21%) Nerchio: Naniwa (34.13%) Genius (14.63%) Ryung (14.61%) puCK: drewbie (38.68%) TriMaster (33.66%) Golden (12.34%) Creator: Stephano ( 7.27%) Symbol ( 6.42%) Leenock ( 5.62%) Shuttle: Nerchio (100.00%) DongRaeGu: Scarlett ( 6.73%) Creator ( 6.19%) Leenock ( 5.70%) TubbyTheFat: Shine (93.39%) sculp ( 3.68%) CatZ ( 1.96%) Byun: MMA (54.54%) ByuL ( 8.50%) Bogus ( 6.98%) Squirtle: ByuL (13.67%) MMA ( 6.21%) Sleep ( 5.67%) CatZ: sculp (64.27%) Shine (25.23%) TheStC ( 4.72%) YoDa: ByuL (29.57%) MMA (10.33%) Byun ( 8.07%) Sniper: ToD (20.16%) MC (18.45%) Symbol (17.05%) Glon: ViBE (100.00%) TheStC: Shine (17.73%) San (11.50%) HerO ( 9.05%) ViBE: luvsic (66.83%) LucifroN (13.41%) Vortix ( 6.25%) Vortix: sLivko (44.79%) LucifroN (28.86%) luvsic ( 7.93%) Caliber: ToD (86.98%) Sniper (12.02%) MC ( 0.38%) Bomber: Shine ( 9.19%) HerO ( 7.96%) San ( 7.61%) sLivko: Vortix (55.21%) LucifroN (25.60%) luvsic ( 6.27%) Life: Nerchio ( 8.29%) Snute ( 5.88%) Ryung ( 5.74%) Perfect: HwangSin (86.29%) Heart ( 7.16%) Seed ( 5.58%) HwangSin: Heart (31.17%) Seed (25.40%) Stephano (14.54%) HuK: goswser (25.63%) Sasquatch (18.05%) Scarlett (16.17%) Leenock: Nerchio ( 6.52%) viOLet ( 5.43%) Creator ( 5.22%) Apocalypse: GanZi (70.16%) Stephano (24.00%) Heart ( 1.63%) GanZi: Stephano (44.31%) Apocalypse (29.84%) Heart ( 5.32%) goswser: theognis (31.61%) HuK (30.38%) Scarlett (12.72%) Ryung: Nerchio (17.30%) Life (10.10%) Leenock ( 9.18%) Eifersuchtig: Golden (100.00%) Golden: BBoongBBoong (49.80%) HerO (11.61%) Seed ( 7.79%) Genius: Nerchio (19.25%) Life (10.03%) Leenock ( 9.88%) Scarlett: Polt (11.97%) DongRaeGu (11.65%) HuK ( 7.35%) drewbie: TriMaster (47.34%) BBoongBBoong (14.24%) Golden (14.23%) Naniwa: Nerchio (65.87%) Genius (10.76%) Ryung ( 9.95%) TriMaster: drewbie (52.66%) puCK (13.68%) Golden (12.87%) MC: Sniper (23.72%) TaeJa (11.31%) Creator (10.20%) daisuki: MMA (100.00%) MMA: Byun (45.46%) ByuL ( 9.30%) Bogus ( 8.53%) Shine: sculp (21.70%) TheStC (20.67%) Bomber (16.29%) sculp: Shine (38.37%) CatZ (35.73%) TheStC (10.38%) Symbol: Sniper (17.37%) TaeJa (10.72%) Creator ( 9.95%) ByuL: YoDa (32.66%) Squirtle (24.16%) MMA (14.35%) Bogus: MMA ( 9.09%) Leenock ( 7.51%) xigua ( 7.24%) MaSsan: Sniper (96.12%) ToD ( 2.89%) MC ( 0.39%) luvsic: ViBE (33.17%) LucifroN (21.19%) Vortix ( 9.79%) LucifroN: Vortix (26.35%) sLivko (19.20%) luvsic (15.06%) viOLet: Leenock ( 8.28%) Life ( 7.71%) MMA ( 6.09%) ToD: Sniper (63.48%) Caliber (13.02%) MC ( 8.91%) Seed: HwangSin (11.45%) Stephano (11.40%) Creator ( 6.31%) Sasquatch: HuK (81.95%) goswser ( 9.82%) theognis ( 3.47%) Heart: HwangSin (18.27%) Stephano (15.63%) HyuN ( 6.89%) MajOr: Sasquatch (100.00%) Stephano: GanZi (25.86%) HyuN (12.67%) Heart (10.60%) theognis: goswser (68.39%) HuK (18.71%) Scarlett ( 4.34%) HerO: Bomber ( 7.50%) Leenock ( 6.57%) Crank ( 6.00%) TaeJa: Sniper ( 9.19%) Symbol ( 8.08%) MC ( 6.84%) Polt: Scarlett (10.57%) TaeJa ( 7.67%) Creator ( 5.98%) Crank: HerO (17.07%) Seed (11.17%) Heart ( 7.93%) xigua: Bogus (17.75%) viOLet (16.54%) MMA ( 8.96%) Sleep: DongRaeGu (13.77%) Squirtle ( 9.73%) Creator ( 6.22%) aLive: HyuN (16.34%) Creator (15.67%) Stephano ( 8.82%) Snute: Life (18.70%) Leenock (18.18%) Nerchio ( 6.51%) San: Bomber (12.10%) TheStC (11.64%) Leenock ( 8.02%)
Most likely to be sent to the losers' bracket by...
HyuN: Creator (58.83%) TaeJa (22.36%) DongRaeGu ( 3.95%) BBoongBBoong: HyuN (100.00%) Sea: BBoongBBoong (100.00%) Nerchio: puCK (100.00%) puCK: Creator (100.00%) Creator: HyuN (41.26%) TaeJa (26.97%) DongRaeGu ( 5.87%) Shuttle: Creator (100.00%) DongRaeGu: Polt (25.89%) Squirtle (25.49%) YoDa (11.25%) TubbyTheFat: DongRaeGu (100.00%) Byun: DongRaeGu (100.00%) Squirtle: YoDa (37.78%) DongRaeGu (36.75%) Polt (12.56%) CatZ: Squirtle (100.00%) YoDa: Squirtle (62.22%) DongRaeGu (26.53%) Polt ( 7.00%) Sniper: TheStC (100.00%) Glon: Sniper (100.00%) TheStC: Bomber (60.28%) Crank (14.72%) Leenock ( 7.89%) ViBE: TheStC (100.00%) Vortix: Caliber (100.00%) Caliber: Bomber (100.00%) Bomber: TheStC (39.74%) Crank (16.56%) Leenock (12.00%) sLivko: Bomber (100.00%) Life: Leenock (53.81%) xigua ( 8.37%) Bomber ( 7.15%) Perfect: Life (100.00%) HwangSin: HuK (100.00%) HuK: Life (100.00%) Leenock: Life (46.46%) xigua ( 8.64%) Bomber ( 8.01%) Apocalypse: Leenock (100.00%) GanZi: goswser (100.00%) goswser: Leenock (100.00%) Ryung: Genius (48.00%) Scarlett (26.53%) Sleep (10.31%) Eifersuchtig: Ryung (100.00%) Golden: Genius (100.00%) Genius: Ryung (52.00%) Scarlett (25.27%) Sleep ( 9.78%) Scarlett: Ryung (25.47%) Genius (22.73%) Sleep (20.75%) drewbie: Scarlett (100.00%) Naniwa: Scarlett (100.00%) TriMaster: Naniwa (100.00%) MC: Symbol (55.20%) aLive (16.84%) Sleep ( 4.56%) daisuki: MC (100.00%) MMA: Shine (100.00%) Shine: MC (100.00%) sculp: Symbol (100.00%) Symbol: MC (44.81%) aLive (18.23%) Sleep ( 5.46%) ByuL: Symbol (100.00%) Bogus: viOLet (56.73%) Snute (16.15%) HerO ( 5.73%) MaSsan: Bogus (100.00%) luvsic: Bogus (100.00%) LucifroN: viOLet (100.00%) viOLet: Bogus (43.29%) Snute (17.77%) HerO ( 7.45%) ToD: viOLet (100.00%) Seed: Heart (42.76%) HerO (31.00%) San (10.82%) Sasquatch: Seed (100.00%) Heart: Seed (57.24%) HerO (26.01%) San ( 8.01%) MajOr: Heart (100.00%) Stephano: HerO (100.00%) theognis: Stephano (100.00%) HerO: Seed (26.27%) San (21.25%) Heart (16.76%) TaeJa: Creator (32.10%) HyuN (18.96%) DongRaeGu ( 9.73%) Polt: DongRaeGu (37.48%) TaeJa (13.07%) Squirtle (12.95%) Crank: Bomber (43.70%) TheStC (25.02%) Leenock (11.40%) xigua: Leenock (45.05%) Life (37.97%) Bomber ( 5.77%) Sleep: Scarlett (31.06%) Ryung (15.17%) Genius (12.95%) aLive: Symbol (36.97%) MC (27.98%) Sleep ( 7.65%) Snute: viOLet (38.95%) Bogus (27.14%) HerO ( 8.70%) San: HerO (35.77%) Seed (15.45%) viOLet ( 9.42%)
Scarlett with more than 2% chance! GOGO <3
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Naniwa gets bonus 1% for being such a baller.
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So all Koreans in WR3. The only exception is Scarlett', who has not yet played a Korean and due to the draw there was a guaranteed Foreigner in that spot.
Snute and Xigua are seeded into WR4.
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yay!
Too bad it wasn't fucking streamed -_-;;;
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Is that guy made out of jello or what, I get uncomfortable just looking at it.
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Slow ling all in! Hell yeah!
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On November 30 2012 07:40 Ryps wrote:Show nested quote +On November 30 2012 07:38 TheBB wrote:Updated predictions. 72-man double elimination bracketMost likely winners: Leenock: 13.86% TaeJa: 9.97% Life: 9.43% Creator: 8.92% DongRaeGu: 7.89% HerO: 6.10% Bomber: 5.39% viOLet: 5.19% Symbol: 4.67% Polt: 4.54% HyuN: 2.99% Scarlett: 2.71% MC: 2.33% San: 2.32% Bogus: 2.10% Seed: 2.02% details, data source, code+ Show Spoiler [Life expectancies] + TaeJa: 7.21 rounds (top 8) Leenock: 7.17 rounds (top 8) DongRaeGu: 6.61 rounds (top 8) Life: 6.58 rounds (top 8) Creator: 6.56 rounds (top 8) Polt: 6.54 rounds (top 8) HerO: 6.48 rounds (top 12) Bomber: 6.37 rounds (top 12) viOLet: 6.24 rounds (top 12) San: 6.14 rounds (top 12) Symbol: 6.01 rounds (top 12) Sleep: 5.95 rounds (top 12) Scarlett: 5.75 rounds (top 12) aLive: 5.61 rounds (top 12) Snute: 5.45 rounds (top 16) HyuN: 5.40 rounds (top 16) Bogus: 5.37 rounds (top 16) Crank: 5.33 rounds (top 16) MC: 5.33 rounds (top 16) TheStC: 5.12 rounds (top 16) xigua: 4.88 rounds (top 16) Seed: 4.43 rounds (top 24) Ryung: 4.33 rounds (top 24) Squirtle: 4.26 rounds (top 24) Genius: 4.09 rounds (top 24) Heart: 3.52 rounds (top 24) Sniper: 3.50 rounds (top 24) Shine: 3.02 rounds (top 32) YoDa: 2.90 rounds (top 32) Stephano: 2.58 rounds (top 32) HuK: 2.52 rounds (top 32) Nerchio: 2.35 rounds (top 40) MMA: 2.21 rounds (top 40) ToD: 2.18 rounds (top 40) LucifroN: 2.17 rounds (top 40) goswser: 2.17 rounds (top 40) Golden: 2.16 rounds (top 40) BBoongBBoong: 2.15 rounds (top 40) luvsic: 2.13 rounds (top 40) sculp: 2.00 rounds (top 40) Byun: 1.93 rounds (top 40) ByuL: 1.75 rounds (top 40) Naniwa: 1.53 rounds (top 40) CatZ: 1.48 rounds (top 56) ViBE: 1.45 rounds (top 56) theognis: 1.44 rounds (top 56) puCK: 1.31 rounds (top 56) HwangSin: 1.30 rounds (top 56) Sasquatch: 1.23 rounds (top 56) GanZi: 1.17 rounds (top 56) Caliber: 1.14 rounds (top 56) Vortix: 1.10 rounds (top 56) TubbyTheFat: 1.08 rounds (top 56) MaSsan: 1.05 rounds (top 56) drewbie: 1.04 rounds (top 56) Sea: 1.00 rounds (top 56) TriMaster: 0.91 rounds (top 56) sLivko: 0.82 rounds (top 56) Apocalypse: 0.38 rounds (top 72) Perfect: 0.15 rounds (top 72) Shuttle: 0.00 rounds (top 72) Glon: 0.00 rounds (top 72) Eifersuchtig: 0.00 rounds (top 72) daisuki: 0.00 rounds (top 72) MajOr: 0.00 rounds (top 72) + Show Spoiler [Details] +Detailed placement probabilities
Top 72 Top 56 Top 40 Top 32 Top 24 Top 16 Top 12 Top 8 Top 6 Top 4 Top 3 Top 2 Win HyuN: 25.15% 22.06% 14.61% 12.22% 7.73% 5.85% 3.65% 2.78% 2.96% 2.99% BBoongBBoong: 50.20% 10.56% 25.60% 6.72% 3.89% 1.79% 0.81% 0.32% 0.07% 0.03% 0.01% Sea: 99.68% 0.32% 0.00% Nerchio: 34.13% 29.18% 22.09% 5.57% 4.20% 2.62% 1.09% 0.48% 0.36% 0.15% 0.11% 0.03% puCK: 72.34% 24.66% 2.81% 0.18% 0.01% Creator: 14.41% 17.26% 12.38% 13.15% 9.03% 8.18% 5.81% 4.84% 6.02% 8.92% Shuttle: 100.00% DongRaeGu: 10.69% 16.50% 15.21% 14.81% 9.34% 8.74% 6.01% 5.05% 5.76% 7.89% TubbyTheFat: 93.39% 5.64% 0.95% 0.02% 0.00% Byun: 54.54% 21.70% 13.09% 4.02% 3.42% 1.63% 0.90% 0.41% 0.17% 0.08% 0.04% 0.01% Squirtle: 13.65% 10.79% 20.08% 16.35% 13.05% 9.51% 5.78% 3.76% 2.31% 1.69% 1.61% 1.43% CatZ: 64.27% 25.68% 8.10% 1.61% 0.29% 0.05% YoDa: 29.56% 18.39% 21.33% 13.07% 8.06% 4.80% 2.18% 1.32% 0.56% 0.36% 0.23% 0.13% Sniper: 3.88% 20.61% 35.00% 22.83% 8.37% 3.90% 2.31% 1.62% 0.75% 0.33% 0.31% 0.09% Glon: 100.00% TheStC: 24.02% 27.32% 13.43% 14.82% 6.46% 5.95% 2.81% 2.15% 1.82% 1.22% ViBE: 66.83% 23.91% 7.27% 1.38% 0.49% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% Vortix: 44.79% 28.86% 10.31% 9.41% 3.23% 1.92% 0.79% 0.43% 0.13% 0.08% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00% Caliber: 86.98% 12.29% 0.70% 0.03% Bomber: 12.11% 18.84% 11.67% 17.04% 9.75% 9.60% 5.85% 4.87% 4.87% 5.39% sLivko: 55.21% 25.60% 8.36% 6.89% 2.23% 1.02% 0.38% 0.20% 0.08% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% Life: 19.53% 12.88% 10.49% 13.43% 8.09% 8.27% 6.01% 5.40% 6.47% 9.43% Perfect: 86.29% 12.74% 0.88% 0.08% 0.01% HwangSin: 13.71% 56.56% 19.76% 7.48% 1.43% 0.70% 0.20% 0.11% 0.03% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% HuK: 18.05% 32.86% 33.52% 11.26% 3.23% 0.76% 0.21% 0.08% 0.03% 0.00% Leenock: 15.43% 11.09% 9.13% 12.62% 8.16% 8.76% 6.65% 6.18% 8.12% 13.86% Apocalypse: 70.16% 24.00% 4.08% 1.41% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.00% GanZi: 29.84% 44.31% 13.37% 8.25% 2.01% 1.22% 0.54% 0.28% 0.11% 0.05% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00% goswser: 31.61% 32.94% 25.68% 7.46% 1.78% 0.36% 0.11% 0.05% 0.01% 0.00% Ryung: 0.14% 23.34% 23.16% 19.37% 10.20% 7.94% 4.23% 4.18% 1.99% 2.15% 2.02% 1.28% Eifersuchtig: 100.00% Golden: 49.80% 10.76% 25.30% 6.80% 4.16% 1.76% 0.92% 0.28% 0.13% 0.04% 0.02% 0.01% Genius: 0.18% 26.46% 24.23% 19.04% 9.52% 7.36% 3.76% 3.81% 1.55% 1.66% 1.48% 0.95% Scarlett: 12.82% 29.96% 14.56% 12.58% 7.10% 8.20% 3.73% 4.28% 4.06% 2.71% drewbie: 47.34% 13.98% 28.47% 8.63% 1.14% 0.34% 0.07% 0.02% 0.00% Naniwa: 65.87% 20.70% 10.06% 1.77% 1.01% 0.42% 0.11% 0.03% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% TriMaster: 52.66% 13.68% 25.55% 6.98% 0.83% 0.23% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00% MC: 27.26% 27.05% 9.05% 10.53% 5.83% 7.15% 3.17% 4.00% 3.64% 2.33% daisuki: 100.00% MMA: 45.46% 23.72% 15.90% 5.05% 4.59% 2.45% 1.55% 0.69% 0.29% 0.17% 0.11% 0.01% Shine: 6.61% 29.80% 36.79% 15.17% 7.30% 2.88% 0.91% 0.31% 0.14% 0.05% 0.03% 0.01% sculp: 35.73% 38.89% 18.04% 5.20% 1.62% 0.40% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Symbol: 19.65% 24.03% 8.70% 11.50% 6.82% 9.28% 4.08% 5.57% 5.69% 4.67% ByuL: 56.79% 25.41% 10.99% 2.88% 2.23% 0.91% 0.50% 0.20% 0.05% 0.02% 0.02% Bogus: 27.29% 20.20% 12.25% 14.88% 6.73% 7.03% 2.84% 3.51% 3.17% 2.10% MaSsan: 96.12% 3.16% 0.70% 0.02% luvsic: 33.17% 37.57% 19.00% 5.83% 2.88% 0.95% 0.42% 0.11% 0.05% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% LucifroN: 45.54% 19.86% 20.13% 6.78% 4.34% 1.70% 1.04% 0.29% 0.18% 0.07% 0.05% viOLet: 17.92% 17.30% 10.71% 15.69% 7.98% 9.29% 4.39% 5.50% 6.03% 5.19% ToD: 13.02% 63.94% 16.69% 5.13% 0.88% 0.27% 0.04% 0.02% 0.01% Seed: 11.78% 14.80% 18.85% 14.60% 10.76% 9.71% 5.23% 4.71% 2.34% 2.56% 2.65% 2.02% Sasquatch: 81.95% 13.29% 4.33% 0.39% 0.04% 0.00% Heart: 18.91% 20.82% 20.55% 13.60% 8.79% 6.91% 3.28% 2.93% 1.18% 1.25% 1.09% 0.69% MajOr: 100.00% Stephano: 31.70% 26.28% 22.78% 6.71% 5.27% 2.97% 2.22% 0.80% 0.62% 0.30% 0.25% 0.10% theognis: 68.39% 20.91% 9.15% 1.39% 0.16% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% HerO: 11.71% 17.92% 14.70% 15.05% 8.21% 9.29% 4.83% 5.61% 6.59% 6.10% TaeJa: 20.46% 12.28% 16.05% 9.67% 11.17% 6.64% 6.21% 7.55% 9.97% Polt: 22.17% 17.91% 19.99% 10.31% 10.33% 5.65% 4.55% 4.55% 4.54% Crank: 45.28% 14.79% 21.47% 7.44% 6.25% 1.97% 1.48% 0.91% 0.42% xigua: 59.52% 16.00% 13.44% 4.21% 4.33% 1.00% 0.90% 0.44% 0.16% Sleep: 35.33% 15.07% 18.60% 8.66% 10.03% 3.41% 4.45% 3.04% 1.42% aLive: 45.14% 12.24% 17.25% 7.33% 8.66% 2.65% 3.57% 2.28% 0.88% Snute: 47.98% 11.22% 20.23% 5.53% 7.21% 2.17% 3.16% 1.80% 0.71% San: 30.33% 17.60% 20.40% 6.84% 9.69% 3.69% 4.97% 4.16% 2.32%
Most likely to be eliminated by...
HyuN: Stephano (12.31%) aLive ( 7.17%) Symbol ( 6.57%) BBoongBBoong: Golden (50.20%) HerO (11.91%) Seed ( 7.83%) Sea: Genius (51.81%) Ryung (47.86%) Nerchio ( 0.21%) Nerchio: Naniwa (34.13%) Genius (14.63%) Ryung (14.61%) puCK: drewbie (38.68%) TriMaster (33.66%) Golden (12.34%) Creator: Stephano ( 7.27%) Symbol ( 6.42%) Leenock ( 5.62%) Shuttle: Nerchio (100.00%) DongRaeGu: Scarlett ( 6.73%) Creator ( 6.19%) Leenock ( 5.70%) TubbyTheFat: Shine (93.39%) sculp ( 3.68%) CatZ ( 1.96%) Byun: MMA (54.54%) ByuL ( 8.50%) Bogus ( 6.98%) Squirtle: ByuL (13.67%) MMA ( 6.21%) Sleep ( 5.67%) CatZ: sculp (64.27%) Shine (25.23%) TheStC ( 4.72%) YoDa: ByuL (29.57%) MMA (10.33%) Byun ( 8.07%) Sniper: ToD (20.16%) MC (18.45%) Symbol (17.05%) Glon: ViBE (100.00%) TheStC: Shine (17.73%) San (11.50%) HerO ( 9.05%) ViBE: luvsic (66.83%) LucifroN (13.41%) Vortix ( 6.25%) Vortix: sLivko (44.79%) LucifroN (28.86%) luvsic ( 7.93%) Caliber: ToD (86.98%) Sniper (12.02%) MC ( 0.38%) Bomber: Shine ( 9.19%) HerO ( 7.96%) San ( 7.61%) sLivko: Vortix (55.21%) LucifroN (25.60%) luvsic ( 6.27%) Life: Nerchio ( 8.29%) Snute ( 5.88%) Ryung ( 5.74%) Perfect: HwangSin (86.29%) Heart ( 7.16%) Seed ( 5.58%) HwangSin: Heart (31.17%) Seed (25.40%) Stephano (14.54%) HuK: goswser (25.63%) Sasquatch (18.05%) Scarlett (16.17%) Leenock: Nerchio ( 6.52%) viOLet ( 5.43%) Creator ( 5.22%) Apocalypse: GanZi (70.16%) Stephano (24.00%) Heart ( 1.63%) GanZi: Stephano (44.31%) Apocalypse (29.84%) Heart ( 5.32%) goswser: theognis (31.61%) HuK (30.38%) Scarlett (12.72%) Ryung: Nerchio (17.30%) Life (10.10%) Leenock ( 9.18%) Eifersuchtig: Golden (100.00%) Golden: BBoongBBoong (49.80%) HerO (11.61%) Seed ( 7.79%) Genius: Nerchio (19.25%) Life (10.03%) Leenock ( 9.88%) Scarlett: Polt (11.97%) DongRaeGu (11.65%) HuK ( 7.35%) drewbie: TriMaster (47.34%) BBoongBBoong (14.24%) Golden (14.23%) Naniwa: Nerchio (65.87%) Genius (10.76%) Ryung ( 9.95%) TriMaster: drewbie (52.66%) puCK (13.68%) Golden (12.87%) MC: Sniper (23.72%) TaeJa (11.31%) Creator (10.20%) daisuki: MMA (100.00%) MMA: Byun (45.46%) ByuL ( 9.30%) Bogus ( 8.53%) Shine: sculp (21.70%) TheStC (20.67%) Bomber (16.29%) sculp: Shine (38.37%) CatZ (35.73%) TheStC (10.38%) Symbol: Sniper (17.37%) TaeJa (10.72%) Creator ( 9.95%) ByuL: YoDa (32.66%) Squirtle (24.16%) MMA (14.35%) Bogus: MMA ( 9.09%) Leenock ( 7.51%) xigua ( 7.24%) MaSsan: Sniper (96.12%) ToD ( 2.89%) MC ( 0.39%) luvsic: ViBE (33.17%) LucifroN (21.19%) Vortix ( 9.79%) LucifroN: Vortix (26.35%) sLivko (19.20%) luvsic (15.06%) viOLet: Leenock ( 8.28%) Life ( 7.71%) MMA ( 6.09%) ToD: Sniper (63.48%) Caliber (13.02%) MC ( 8.91%) Seed: HwangSin (11.45%) Stephano (11.40%) Creator ( 6.31%) Sasquatch: HuK (81.95%) goswser ( 9.82%) theognis ( 3.47%) Heart: HwangSin (18.27%) Stephano (15.63%) HyuN ( 6.89%) MajOr: Sasquatch (100.00%) Stephano: GanZi (25.86%) HyuN (12.67%) Heart (10.60%) theognis: goswser (68.39%) HuK (18.71%) Scarlett ( 4.34%) HerO: Bomber ( 7.50%) Leenock ( 6.57%) Crank ( 6.00%) TaeJa: Sniper ( 9.19%) Symbol ( 8.08%) MC ( 6.84%) Polt: Scarlett (10.57%) TaeJa ( 7.67%) Creator ( 5.98%) Crank: HerO (17.07%) Seed (11.17%) Heart ( 7.93%) xigua: Bogus (17.75%) viOLet (16.54%) MMA ( 8.96%) Sleep: DongRaeGu (13.77%) Squirtle ( 9.73%) Creator ( 6.22%) aLive: HyuN (16.34%) Creator (15.67%) Stephano ( 8.82%) Snute: Life (18.70%) Leenock (18.18%) Nerchio ( 6.51%) San: Bomber (12.10%) TheStC (11.64%) Leenock ( 8.02%)
Most likely to be sent to the losers' bracket by...
HyuN: Creator (58.83%) TaeJa (22.36%) DongRaeGu ( 3.95%) BBoongBBoong: HyuN (100.00%) Sea: BBoongBBoong (100.00%) Nerchio: puCK (100.00%) puCK: Creator (100.00%) Creator: HyuN (41.26%) TaeJa (26.97%) DongRaeGu ( 5.87%) Shuttle: Creator (100.00%) DongRaeGu: Polt (25.89%) Squirtle (25.49%) YoDa (11.25%) TubbyTheFat: DongRaeGu (100.00%) Byun: DongRaeGu (100.00%) Squirtle: YoDa (37.78%) DongRaeGu (36.75%) Polt (12.56%) CatZ: Squirtle (100.00%) YoDa: Squirtle (62.22%) DongRaeGu (26.53%) Polt ( 7.00%) Sniper: TheStC (100.00%) Glon: Sniper (100.00%) TheStC: Bomber (60.28%) Crank (14.72%) Leenock ( 7.89%) ViBE: TheStC (100.00%) Vortix: Caliber (100.00%) Caliber: Bomber (100.00%) Bomber: TheStC (39.74%) Crank (16.56%) Leenock (12.00%) sLivko: Bomber (100.00%) Life: Leenock (53.81%) xigua ( 8.37%) Bomber ( 7.15%) Perfect: Life (100.00%) HwangSin: HuK (100.00%) HuK: Life (100.00%) Leenock: Life (46.46%) xigua ( 8.64%) Bomber ( 8.01%) Apocalypse: Leenock (100.00%) GanZi: goswser (100.00%) goswser: Leenock (100.00%) Ryung: Genius (48.00%) Scarlett (26.53%) Sleep (10.31%) Eifersuchtig: Ryung (100.00%) Golden: Genius (100.00%) Genius: Ryung (52.00%) Scarlett (25.27%) Sleep ( 9.78%) Scarlett: Ryung (25.47%) Genius (22.73%) Sleep (20.75%) drewbie: Scarlett (100.00%) Naniwa: Scarlett (100.00%) TriMaster: Naniwa (100.00%) MC: Symbol (55.20%) aLive (16.84%) Sleep ( 4.56%) daisuki: MC (100.00%) MMA: Shine (100.00%) Shine: MC (100.00%) sculp: Symbol (100.00%) Symbol: MC (44.81%) aLive (18.23%) Sleep ( 5.46%) ByuL: Symbol (100.00%) Bogus: viOLet (56.73%) Snute (16.15%) HerO ( 5.73%) MaSsan: Bogus (100.00%) luvsic: Bogus (100.00%) LucifroN: viOLet (100.00%) viOLet: Bogus (43.29%) Snute (17.77%) HerO ( 7.45%) ToD: viOLet (100.00%) Seed: Heart (42.76%) HerO (31.00%) San (10.82%) Sasquatch: Seed (100.00%) Heart: Seed (57.24%) HerO (26.01%) San ( 8.01%) MajOr: Heart (100.00%) Stephano: HerO (100.00%) theognis: Stephano (100.00%) HerO: Seed (26.27%) San (21.25%) Heart (16.76%) TaeJa: Creator (32.10%) HyuN (18.96%) DongRaeGu ( 9.73%) Polt: DongRaeGu (37.48%) TaeJa (13.07%) Squirtle (12.95%) Crank: Bomber (43.70%) TheStC (25.02%) Leenock (11.40%) xigua: Leenock (45.05%) Life (37.97%) Bomber ( 5.77%) Sleep: Scarlett (31.06%) Ryung (15.17%) Genius (12.95%) aLive: Symbol (36.97%) MC (27.98%) Sleep ( 7.65%) Snute: viOLet (38.95%) Bogus (27.14%) HerO ( 8.70%) San: HerO (35.77%) Seed (15.45%) viOLet ( 9.42%) There's a glitch there, the MC factor. No one expects him to win, then he wins 
He also hasn't adjusted the Hyun IPL factor. Hyun is playing in an IPL tournament, he has instant momentum.
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wtb a stream with a T matchup..heck, even PvP
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I wonder on which ladder Frodan plays since he has so sick win ratio on metropolis in ladder
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On November 30 2012 07:41 Snijjer wrote: 50% Nerchio & 51% Naniwa
xD 49,5 & 50,5
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