I just realised that no matter who wins tonight there will be a conflict. If TSL win then Polt and Hyung have a conflict, if MVP win then it's Finale. Admittedly MVP can spare Finale easier than TSL can spare Polt/Hyung.

Supdude

244 Posts

November 23 2012 05:46 GMT

#82

Go Sen!

Elite_

United States4259 Posts

November 23 2012 05:49 GMT

#83

On November 23 2012 14:45 BathTubNZ wrote:
I just realised that no matter who wins tonight there will be a conflict. If TSL win then Polt and Hyung have a conflict, if MVP win then it's Finale. Admittedly MVP can spare Finale easier than TSL can spare Polt/Hyung.

You think finale can beat HerO? Polt beating NaNiwa is more likely than HyuN beating Ryung... Both are a lot more likely than finale beating HerO.

Jackle

Canada859 Posts

November 23 2012 06:18 GMT

#84

On November 23 2012 14:49 Elite_ wrote:

Show nested quote +

You think finale can beat HerO? Polt beating NaNiwa is more likely than HyuN beating Ryung... Both are a lot more likely than finale beating HerO.

Huh? I'm pretty sure that guy is talking bout GSTL, if TSL wins tonight Polt and Hyun will likely withdraw from NASL4 Finals which is on the same weekend as GSTL finals.

Elite_

United States4259 Posts

November 23 2012 06:19 GMT

#85

On November 23 2012 15:18 Jackle wrote:

Show nested quote +

Huh? I'm pretty sure that guy is talking bout GSTL, if TSL wins tonight Polt and Hyun will likely withdraw from NASL4 Finals which is on the same weekend as GSTL finals.

You do realize the playoffs in California don't include the ro16... It's only the ro8 on... ~_~

edit

Format for Finals

Top 8 player from playoffs play live in Long Beach, CA
8-Player Single Elimination bracket
Best of 5 RO8, Best of 7 Semis-Finals (and 3rd place match)
NASL Map Pool (See Map Section for map pool)

from the NASL playoff info thread.

Also, the point of my previous post is to imply there will most likely be no problems with the NASL playoffs if MVP wins tonight.

BathTubNZ

New Zealand2556 Posts

November 23 2012 07:37 GMT

#86

On November 23 2012 14:49 Elite_ wrote:

Show nested quote +

You think finale can beat HerO? Polt beating NaNiwa is more likely than HyuN beating Ryung... Both are a lot more likely than finale beating HerO.

I wasn't making a judgement on who can beat who there. However I do think Finale could beat Hero. It's PvP.

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

November 23 2012 09:44 GMT

#87

NASL Championship Bracket

Most likely winners:
      TaeJa: 17.53%
      viOLet: 13.19%
      HyuN: 12.58%
      Polt: 12.34%
      HerO: 10.13%
      Sen: 8.58%
      MC: 5.56%
      Ryung: 5.14%
      MMA: 4.51%
      finale: 3.45%
      Golden: 2.42%
      Naniwa: 1.48%
      SortOf: 1.20%
      Alicia: 1.18%
      DeMusliM: 0.60%
      Arthur: 0.10%

Life expectancy:
      Polt: 1.56 rounds (lose in the semifinals)
      viOLet: 1.53 rounds (lose in the semifinals)
      TaeJa: 1.50 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      HyuN: 1.34 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      Sen: 1.34 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      HerO: 1.18 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      MC: 1.07 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      Golden: 1.06 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      Ryung: 0.81 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      MMA: 0.67 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      finale: 0.66 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      Naniwa: 0.55 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      SortOf: 0.53 rounds (lose in the quarterfinals)
      Alicia: 0.45 rounds (lose in the round of 16)
      DeMusliM: 0.40 rounds (lose in the round of 16)
      Arthur: 0.35 rounds (lose in the round of 16)

details, data source, code

Detailed placement probabilities

                  Top 16    Top 8    Top 4    Top 2      Win
          Polt:   31.33%   17.06%   27.76%   11.51%   12.34%
        Naniwa:   68.67%   13.99%   12.87%    2.99%    1.48%
        Arthur:   70.43%   24.40%    4.59%    0.48%    0.10%
        Golden:   29.57%   44.54%   18.87%    4.60%    2.42%
         TaeJa:   36.07%   23.93%   11.55%   10.93%   17.53%
           MMA:   63.93%   19.34%    7.28%    4.94%    4.51%
        finale:   60.15%   25.35%    6.79%    4.26%    3.45%
          HerO:   39.85%   31.38%   10.30%    8.34%   10.13%
        viOLet:   29.28%   26.29%   19.34%   11.90%   13.19%
        Alicia:   70.72%   17.91%    7.70%    2.49%    1.18%
      DeMusliM:   70.79%   21.07%    5.95%    1.59%    0.60%
           Sen:   29.21%   34.73%   17.91%    9.57%    8.58%
            MC:   37.60%   35.91%   13.90%    7.04%    5.56%
        SortOf:   62.40%   26.71%    7.20%    2.49%    1.20%
          HyuN:   40.97%   19.66%   16.11%   10.67%   12.58%
         Ryung:   59.03%   17.72%   11.89%    6.22%    5.14%

Most likely to be eliminated by...

          Polt:      Naniwa (31.33%)      Golden (14.48%)       TaeJa (12.74%)
        Naniwa:        Polt (68.67%)      Golden (11.40%)       TaeJa ( 5.59%)
        Arthur:      Golden (70.43%)        Polt (17.73%)      Naniwa ( 6.68%)
        Golden:        Polt (33.88%)      Arthur (29.57%)      Naniwa (10.66%)
         TaeJa:         MMA (36.07%)        HerO (16.10%)        Polt ( 7.90%)
           MMA:       TaeJa (63.93%)        HerO (12.67%)      finale ( 6.68%)
        finale:        HerO (60.15%)       TaeJa (17.65%)         MMA ( 7.69%)
          HerO:      finale (39.85%)       TaeJa (22.35%)         MMA ( 9.03%)
        viOLet:      Alicia (29.28%)         Sen (21.88%)        HyuN ( 9.07%)
        Alicia:      viOLet (70.72%)         Sen (14.18%)    DeMusliM ( 3.73%)
      DeMusliM:         Sen (70.79%)      viOLet (16.25%)      Alicia ( 4.82%)
           Sen:    DeMusliM (29.21%)      viOLet (28.18%)        HyuN ( 8.25%)
            MC:      SortOf (37.60%)        HyuN (22.77%)       Ryung (13.14%)
        SortOf:          MC (62.40%)        HyuN (16.59%)       Ryung (10.11%)
          HyuN:       Ryung (40.97%)          MC (14.06%)      viOLet ( 8.42%)
         Ryung:        HyuN (59.03%)          MC (12.43%)      viOLet ( 6.06%)

sitromit

7051 Posts

November 23 2012 10:30 GMT

#88

I think a Hyun vs Polt/Taeja final is likely.

Dexington

Canada7276 Posts

November 23 2012 16:12 GMT

#89

So MvP won, meaning Polt and Hyun can attend if they make it. Finale may not be able to.

BathTubNZ

New Zealand2556 Posts

November 23 2012 20:17 GMT

#90

On November 24 2012 01:12 Dexington wrote:
So MvP won, meaning Polt and Hyun can attend if they make it. Finale may not be able to.

However MVP has the much deeper roster that they could free up Finale. There was almost no chance TSL could give up Polt and Hyun.

PhoenixVoid

Canada32746 Posts

November 23 2012 20:26 GMT

#91

I'm pretty sure that Polt and HyuN will make it to NASL if they make it to the Ro8. They don't have GSTL as a distraction, and considering they love individual tournaments, they will almost certainly take the opportunity for some money and going to California.