EPTOn November 20 2012 20:16 polishedturd wrote:
im like tasteless's dad, quake makes me motion sick
im like tasteless's dad, quake makes me motion sick
skill cap is unbelievable
[Code S] RO8 Day 1 2012 GSL Season 5 - Page 63
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HaXXspetten
Sweden15718 Posts
skill cap is unbelievable | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:14 THM wrote: Cool stats, but I want to ask once again why the x:0 result is always the one that is most likely, no matter who is playing. It isn't. It is for Bo3's, but not for longer matches. This is what I posted earlier, when the match started: Ryung vs. MarineKing Ryung wins (34.96%): 3-0: 7.32% 3-1: 12.78% 3-2: 14.86% MarineKing wins (65.04%): 3-0: 19.68% 3-1: 24.70% 3-2: 20.66% Most likely winner: MarineKing (65.04%) Most likely outcome: Ryung 1-3 MarineKing (24.70%) That 3-0 for MarineKing is most likely now just indicates that he's better and he's ahead. | ||
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bgx
Poland6595 Posts
You may say it is UNREAL? | ||
KristofferAG
Norway25712 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:15 KristofferAG wrote:  Ryung v MarineKing0 - 1 Maps: Abyssal City Cloud Kingdom Antiga Shipyard Entombed Valley 5.00 Ryung spawning as the red Terran in the 4 o'clock position. MarineKing spawning as the blue Terran in the 7 o'clock position. Ryung going gas first into Barracks. MarineKing going Barracks first. Gas started by MKP. Ryung denied a scout, doesn't see the gas. Factory started by Ryung. CC started by marineKing. Ryung taking second gas, starting the Starport. Factory started by MKP, getting another gas. Tech lab on the Factory of Ryung to be switched with the Starport. MKp getting a reactor on his Barracks. 10.00 Banshee cloak and first Banshee started by Ryung. Starport started by MKP as well, Hellion moving out across the map. SCV scout from Ryung makes it into the base of MKP. MKP getting a Viking. CC started by Ryung. MKP getting Engineering Bay. Turret going down in the main of MKP. Siege tank production started for both. Banshee gets 6 kills before it goes down. Siege tech started by MKP. Another Banshee int he main, not bale to do much damage before it's taken out. Ryung gtting more Barracks and siege tech of his own. Still making Banshees. +1 attack started by MKP. MKP looking to push out. Vikings go into the main of Ryung, forcing an instant cloak from the banshee. Two more Barracks for MKP, getting one more Refinery. Combat Shields and an Engineering Bay for Ryung. | ||
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HaXXspetten
Sweden15718 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:18 TheBB wrote: It isn't. It is for Bo3's, but not for longer matches. This is what I posted earlier, when the match started: Ryung vs. MarineKing Ryung wins (34.96%): 3-0: 7.32% 3-1: 12.78% 3-2: 14.86% MarineKing wins (65.04%): 3-0: 19.68% 3-1: 24.70% 3-2: 20.66% Most likely winner: MarineKing (65.04%) Most likely outcome: Ryung 1-3 MarineKing (24.70%) That 3-0 for MarineKing is most likely now just indicates that he's better and he's ahead. I'd like to see your program at work if this retarded idea was implemented http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383198 | ||
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andaylin
United States10830 Posts
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DMKraft
476 Posts
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Dodgin
Canada39254 Posts
is competitive quake 3 still a thing? I might check it out at dreamhack, I think they had it last year. | ||
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Hypemeup
Sweden2783 Posts
... ... ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) | ||
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ES.Genie
Germany1370 Posts
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Big-t
Austria1350 Posts
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Killmouse
Austria5700 Posts
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KillAudio
1364 Posts
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DrPandaPhD
5188 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:19 Dodgin wrote: is competitive quake 3 still a thing? I might check it out at dreamhack, I think they had it last year. They play Quake live which is basically Quake 3 but for free played in a webbrowser. You can go play it if you want to try it. It's fun | ||
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-Celestial-
United Kingdom3867 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:14 THM wrote: Cool stats, but I want to ask once again why the x:0 result is always the one that is most likely, no matter who is playing. Not done probability maths in many years so feel free to correct if I've messed up somewhere: If two players are equally strong probability is 50-50. Therefore, for a Best of 3: P (2-0) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 P (0-2) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 P (2-1) = 0.5 * 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.125 There are four ways to produce a 2-1 either way (winning first, losing; winning second, losing; winning first, winning, winning second, winning). If one player has already won a game the probabilities change: P (2-0) = 0.5 P (2-1) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 P (1-2) = 0.5 * 0.5 = 0.25 P (0-2) = 0 (Already won one) Edit: Note I'm not sure how this works for a longer series. Don't have time to do the numbers now. | ||
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AlternativeEgo
Sweden17309 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:19 HaXXspetten wrote: I'd like to see your program at work if this retarded idea was implemented http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383198 Dude, that's literally the best idea I've red ever. | ||
Pandemona
Charlie Sheens House51449 Posts
just started* | ||
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TheBB
Switzerland5133 Posts
On November 20 2012 20:19 HaXXspetten wrote: I'd like to see your program at work if this retarded idea was implemented http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383198 Well that would be hard to model. I wanted to simulate a whole GSL, too, but there's no way to model the group selection ceremony.  | ||
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andaylin
United States10830 Posts
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Deleted User 137586
7859 Posts
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