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HDH Invitational #1 - Page 215

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
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HyTemplar
Profile Joined March 2010
Germany265 Posts
May 12 2010 21:48 GMT
#4281
On May 13 2010 06:32 mcbrite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2010 06:23 HyTemplar wrote:
On May 13 2010 06:19 Kreedit wrote:
yay white ra advanced

Was worried there for a while but white ra sure proved his mastery of the PvP matchup.

Now im hoping for idra to beat nony so we can get a epic Idra vs white ra final.


yeah sweden can celebrate again because the german lost.having a deja-vu


Just fucking let it go already... There is always at least one fucking idiot that relates absolutely EVERYTHING to the second world war... I'm so sick of this shit, none of us where even alive at the time... How about shutting the fuck up for once, if you don't have an intelligent analogy to make? How's that for a tip? PUHLEEEEZE!


you didnt get it buddy so im giving these issues with the intelligence straight back to you.
So ein Vollidiot ehrlich. Keine Ahnung um was es geht und du laberst hier vom Weltkrieg. Ich glaube dir gehts im Kopf nicht gut.
Glufs
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Norway78 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 21:51:09
May 12 2010 21:49 GMT
#4282
On May 13 2010 06:47 Matoo- wrote:
On a series that goes to game five, the odds are:
1% to get 5 times the same race
12% to get 4 times the same race
37% to get 2 times the same race
and 50% to get 3 times the same race, which is unsurprisingly exactly what happened today.

So yeah by being very good at one matchup (ZvP) but sucky at another (PvP) it's basically a coinflip, and the coin actually came pretty close to turn into a triple-zerg victory so was TLO really that unlucky? No idea about how he would've fared with T though.

You have to divide that 50% into 3 though, if we assume he didnt want pvp and your math is correct.
TBO
Profile Joined September 2009
Germany1350 Posts
May 12 2010 21:53 GMT
#4283
Game 5 was over even if he had his left army on the right side (which was just a silly misclick by him not intentional). White-Ra had way too much there.
leng46uk
Profile Joined May 2010
United Kingdom1 Post
May 12 2010 21:56 GMT
#4284
Salutations all,
Once upon an old time gamer here;
(never played Starcraft or much watched game commentary before.)

Loving the tournament. Great commentary; big heap reps to HD and Husky.

White-Ra vs TLO was plain awesome.

[?chance of a high level 2v2 tournament somehwhen?]
freezer222
Profile Joined August 2008
5 Posts
May 12 2010 22:11 GMT
#4285
3 toss in a row....REALLY!?
I'm here in the shadows *Stalker Voice*
FlamingTurd
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1059 Posts
May 12 2010 22:17 GMT
#4286
So... it's been asked about 5x in last couple pages and no 1 has answered. Does anyone know when the next games will be played? The NoNy Vs idrA???
Nerf MMMT!!! Liquid`Ret Hwaiting!!!
Bensio
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
United Kingdom621 Posts
May 12 2010 22:18 GMT
#4287
On May 13 2010 07:17 FlamingTurd wrote:
So... it's been asked about 5x in last couple pages and no 1 has answered. Does anyone know when the next games will be played? The NoNy Vs idrA???


Perhaps noone answered because we dont know?
Vexx
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States462 Posts
May 12 2010 22:18 GMT
#4288
On May 13 2010 07:11 freezer222 wrote:
3 toss in a row....REALLY!?


Whatever. Game 4 was just bad. TLO had all the information he needed that he was falling behind and kept being aggressive regardless. If you posted that replay on the forums without the player names, everyone would be talking about how the loser noobed it up.

Game 3 and 5 were puzzling to me. I didn't understand all the investments in blink, charge or hallucination. Meanwhile, WhiteRa got robo so he obviously had observers so it's confusing to me what TLO was hoping to accomplish.

Disappointing as far as I'm concerned. Let's hope Idra cleans house.
I am not nice.
Husky
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3362 Posts
May 12 2010 22:20 GMT
#4289
We're hoping to have NonY vs Idra sometime this weekend
Commentaries: youtube.com/HuskyStarcraft
Telcontar
Profile Joined May 2010
United Kingdom16710 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 22:24:53
May 12 2010 22:22 GMT
#4290
thats what you get for rolling the dice. a bit unluck yes but probability is a fickle SoB. in my opinion white-ra didnt really have an answer to TLO's zerg play and if it had been another ZvP, TLO probably would've taken it 3-0. playing as random has its advantages but i think TLO should now, for his own good, choose his main race and just stick with it. dont get me wrong, its always great to see diversity and creativity from TLO but it wont win him as many tournaments as he can if he sticks to his strongest race.

p.s i think if idra progresses to the finals (a good chance), he'll watch the first 2 games of this matchup and gain some knowledge on how to play white-ra.
Et Eärello Endorenna utúlien. Sinome maruvan ar Hildinyar tenn' Ambar-metta.
automocc
Profile Joined April 2010
United States40 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 22:31:21
May 12 2010 22:22 GMT
#4291
quick edit: nvm my post, I remembered TLO offered to play Protoss again but HD dismissed it.

Odoakar
Profile Joined May 2010
Croatia1837 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 22:34:07
May 12 2010 22:33 GMT
#4292
Well, since you edited, I will too
baeracaed
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States604 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 22:34:30
May 12 2010 22:33 GMT
#4293
Edit: I'll edit my post as well then Automocc.

Can't wait until this weekend!
(☞゚ヮ゚)☞ Cookies! ☜(゚ヮ゚☜)
automocc
Profile Joined April 2010
United States40 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 22:38:14
May 12 2010 22:36 GMT
#4294
thanks for making my day HD and Husky! looking forward to Idra vs Nony.
baeracaed
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States604 Posts
May 12 2010 22:41 GMT
#4295
We're starting to look a little schizophrenic here. lol

I wonder what race TLO will eventually choose to go. I have to be honest, I don't see why he considers Zerg his worst race. He has super solid Zerg play. I wish B.net profiles showed you a W/L for each race separately.
(☞゚ヮ゚)☞ Cookies! ☜(゚ヮ゚☜)
franticplant
Profile Joined May 2010
1 Post
Last Edited: 2010-05-12 23:14:26
May 12 2010 23:10 GMT
#4296
just wanted to settle the probability question once and for all:

the probability of getting a specific race x times out of 5 is:

binomial(5,x) * (1/3)^x * (2/3)^(5-x)
so to get it five times in a row is less than 1%, 4 times 4%, 3 times 16%

so the probability for TLO to end up as protoss 3 times or more in a game of 5 is the sum of these, sum(binomial(5,x) * (1/3)^x * (2/3)^(5-x), x = 3..5) which is 21%

so roughly it'll happen in every five games if you play as random

but of course, this takes no consideration of the probability of it being 3 times in a row, just 3 times in a game
Capteone
Profile Joined March 2010
United States197 Posts
May 12 2010 23:13 GMT
#4297
Is there a time known for Idra vs. NonY?
Devious-Gaming - www.Devious-Gaming.co.cc
Bloodyrock
Profile Joined March 2010
Ireland150 Posts
May 12 2010 23:16 GMT
#4298
On May 13 2010 06:49 Glufs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2010 06:47 Matoo- wrote:
On a series that goes to game five, the odds are:
1% to get 5 times the same race
12% to get 4 times the same race
37% to get 2 times the same race
and 50% to get 3 times the same race, which is unsurprisingly exactly what happened today.

So yeah by being very good at one matchup (ZvP) but sucky at another (PvP) it's basically a coinflip, and the coin actually came pretty close to turn into a triple-zerg victory so was TLO really that unlucky? No idea about how he would've fared with T though.

You have to divide that 50% into 3 though, if we assume he didnt want pvp and your math is correct.


woOt?

50% to get 3 times the same race?

33% * 33% for get 3 times the same race

33% * 33% * 33% for get 3 times the same race as your opponent

am i right here?
READYALREADY
alpsi
Profile Joined April 2009
Finland437 Posts
May 12 2010 23:18 GMT
#4299
On May 13 2010 08:16 Bloodyrock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2010 06:49 Glufs wrote:
On May 13 2010 06:47 Matoo- wrote:
On a series that goes to game five, the odds are:
1% to get 5 times the same race
12% to get 4 times the same race
37% to get 2 times the same race
and 50% to get 3 times the same race, which is unsurprisingly exactly what happened today.

So yeah by being very good at one matchup (ZvP) but sucky at another (PvP) it's basically a coinflip, and the coin actually came pretty close to turn into a triple-zerg victory so was TLO really that unlucky? No idea about how he would've fared with T though.

You have to divide that 50% into 3 though, if we assume he didnt want pvp and your math is correct.


woOt?

50% to get 3 times the same race?

33% * 33% for get 3 times the same race

33% * 33% * 33% for get 3 times the same race as your opponent

am i right here?


that's what i was thinking
Synwave
Profile Joined July 2009
United States2803 Posts
May 12 2010 23:27 GMT
#4300
My nerd-veins twitch for the next hit of ro4 HDH goodness.
Darn you husky and hd for your addictive tourny!
+ Show Spoiler +
Nony White-ra pvp mirror to determine the new leader of Aiur?
Idra raging because he has to play a series against a random-player?
Neither, both? I can not wait to find out o.o;
♞Nerdrage is the cause of global warming♞
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