I didn't even see this until too late

I guess i'll be a /replacement if needed.
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I didn't even see this until too late ![]() I guess i'll be a /replacement if needed. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
![]() | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
So far from reading the thread I don't have anything new to contribute really. Everything's been a bit uneventful. Trfel is behaving a bit strangely, flailing around for reads very early, but its NAI. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Which kind of handing in notice is it? Is it the stressful, end of the world kind, or the exciting 'fuck these guys' kind? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 16:17 Holyflare wrote: First glance grack is probably mafia. Yeah but just you wait. He's going to have SO MUCH CONTENT by the end of the day.... | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 16:28 KelsierSC wrote: Morning Everyone, Liked the discussion between rayn and trefl regarding eywa's reads. That's bumped trefl up. The scum reads seem off to me and need more explanation. I don't like ES particularly, but pandain is just one low content poster in a game of low content posters. ShapeLog town read also needs more explanation. I don't like Jocks entrance. His first comment is he has nothing to add and things are uneventful. But as soon as HF throws out a name he jumps on it trying to bury Grack. I didn't try to bury grack at all. In fact that seems like a deliberately hyperbolic way to describe what I just did! I just reminded everyone that he said he's going to have alot of content. The post where he said that was probably the thing that jumped out at me most from the first pages because its a promise that we can check up on later. That's exactly the kind of thing we should be looking for on day one, yeah? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
What does that even mean? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 16:49 KelsierSC wrote: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 16:42 Jockmcplop wrote: Kelsier how exactly was I trying to bury grack? What does that even mean? you didn't mention him until HF called him mafia and then you piled on. I didn't pile on though did i? I didn't even suggest that he's mafia. Why are you being so hyperbolic about this? This wasn't a pile-on or an attempt to bury someone, it was just a single sentence reminder that he said he was going to post more. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 17:03 Eversince wrote: I think Kels is hung out as much because you bold and capped it. It seemed way more emphasized than normal. Kels, I have limited time. So that you don't like me we can chat! Few minutes at least.. That might make sense, although I wish you hadn't answered for him to be honest :p If that's the case, Kelsier, I very often bold and big stuff, its just my style (go look at my previous filters, this does happen often). | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 17:12 Eversince wrote: Whats the rest of your reads? I don't have any really. No-one looks particuarly town to me. Maybe trfel. Every read I have seen so far is a shot in the dark so I'm not going to join in on that action because its pointless right now. Eywa's quicklynch post makes very little sense tbh, but not in a way that makes me think scum. I'd like some kind of explanation though because that's just weird. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Eversince you seem townie to me so far. What's your general plan for the next day or so? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Like, the intention behind the posts seems townie, kinda flailing around loking for bits to grab a hold of, but the wording is suspicious. Lots of maybes and questions like 'do you guys agree?' and also the 'We can talk about something else if you want' thing. Does anyone find Eversince's reaction interesting? This is a particularly mafia-esque way of phrasing a suspicion, for example. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
What does everyone think of trfel? Specifically what I said above. #196 I get the feeling it might just be his style of play but can anyone confirm? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 19:52 Pandain wrote: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 17:32 Jockmcplop wrote: Been reading Trfel's filter, its super weird already. Like, the intention behind the posts seems townie, kinda flailing around loking for bits to grab a hold of, but the wording is suspicious. Lots of maybes and questions like 'do you guys agree?' and also the 'We can talk about something else if you want' thing. Does anyone find Eversince's reaction interesting? This is a particularly mafia-esque way of phrasing a suspicion, for example. If I recall correctly, I was suspicious of Trfel last game I played with him for the exact same reason. He ended up being town. I think it's just how he posts Yes I suspected as much. I think I remember something about that from End Of the World Mafia. I agree about Kelsier. He disappeared at a strange time too and left a big question mark hanging over his head in my opinion. I didn't want to push too hard on it until someone else said something. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Voting keslier until he comes back and does something better or answers my question about why he over-exaggerated his reaction to my grack post. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 22:51 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 15:32 Jockmcplop wrote: Trfel is behaving a bit strangely, flailing around for reads very early, but its NAI. Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 17:17 Jockmcplop wrote: No-one looks particuarly town to me. Maybe trfel. Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 17:32 Jockmcplop wrote: Been reading Trfel's filter, its super weird already. Like, the intention behind the posts seems townie, kinda flailing around loking for bits to grab a hold of, but the wording is suspicious. Lots of maybes and questions like 'do you guys agree?' and also the 'We can talk about something else if you want' thing. Does anyone find Eversince's reaction interesting? This is a particularly mafia-esque way of phrasing a suspicion, for example. What happens between here that your mind changes twice? I read his filter. I didn't really change my mind twice. My initial impression was that he seemed townie because the intention behind his posts seemed townie and he seemed to be looking for mafia. When I looked through his filter a bit more closely and noticed the wording I then found it strange. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 23:17 raynpelikoneet wrote: You're going to make a lot of mistakes if you pick stuff you think are wrong or you dont understand and call them mafia. Or youre mafia. I know you're talking to Shapelog but the main reason I personally voted for KelsierSC is that he disappeared mid conversation without answering questions and didn't come back. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 23:03 Shapelog wrote: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 12:08 Trfel wrote: Someone do something interesting please? Does anyone find Eversince's reaction interesting? From posting fairly often and being active, once she started being under suspicion she changed her play and hasn't been present as much, didn't even respond to Shapelog or try and start a discussion with the new posters. I really don't like this post from trfel at all. Everything in the bold is just wrong. Eversince did respond to me about my post (see French pirate post), and also responded afterwards when I asked her on opinions on people in the game at that time. Eversince also was still active after that time and spoke to a new poster (saying hey to Pandain). Then right afterwards when Eversince responds he admits that the "sample size was extremely small", but does not formally drop the read at that point. He fires another bullet at eversince then later about the town lean on me before he back away from Eversince. I find it odd how technical and misconstruing he was towards Eversince. I dont get how you someone can read the thread at that time and genuinely post the quoted post above from trfel. Thoughts? I don't like the wording of the post. The content... it seems like he's making a stretch but its not something I would put beyond a townie trying to get some traction out of a boring day 1. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 23:22 raynpelikoneet wrote: not the "he will have reads" sentence but the other one. I don't really understand what you mean. What exactly do you agree with Kels about? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 24 2019 23:27 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 23:24 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 24 2019 23:22 raynpelikoneet wrote: not the "he will have reads" sentence but the other one. I don't really understand what you mean. What exactly do you agree with Kels about? I agree with him that your post about grack after holyflare looked like what he said originally said. Well i wouldn't say you tried to "bury" him but it sure looked like a scumread and that you're just hopping on board with HF. Not so much when you continued talking about it with him, but first for sure. OK yeah. I can kind of see where you're coming from, and I can understand why someone would think that. The issue I have with Kels is that I explained it, in a way that makes more sense than the scumread angle, and then he doubled down and when asked to explain why he had doubled down on it he disappeared. I don't think its insane that he would make the connection to begin with, but the way he followed it up was just poor. Whether that makes him mafia... I guess he needs to come and tell us why it doesn't. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Its still early though but for some reason I had ES as town and looking again I think that might just be the friendliness getting to me. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I said I wanted to remind everyone, including myself, that he promised to post more later. That's very different, and is a much more natural explanation than either i was joking or i was scumreading him in a pile on. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 02:11 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 25 2019 02:09 Jockmcplop wrote: Kelsier I didn't say I was just joking. I said I wanted to remind everyone, including myself, that he promised to post more later. That's very different, and is a much more natural explanation than either i was joking or i was scumreading him in a pile on. Actually if you are mafia it's not. If you are mafia it's definitely possible you are throwing more fuel onto the fire without sticking your neck out. OK, so just to indulge this for a short time more, please go through the following post and see if you can point out: a) Where I am throwing fuel on a fire b) Where I suggest that grack is scum, town, or anything else or give any kind of read. c) Where I am being opportunistic. On June 24 2019 16:18 Jockmcplop wrote: Yeah but just you wait. He's going to have SO MUCH CONTENT by the end of the day.... Because to me, it looks pretty obvious that what I'm doing here is saying 'Hey everyone, remember when grack said he would have a filter full of content by the end of the day?" I mean really, really obvious. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
In some circumstances, its impossible to be clear, because people will ignore what you post and attribute motivations to you that aren't there regardless of the content of the post. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 02:31 raynpelikoneet wrote: I agree. You can think Kelsier is mafia, but i happen to know my alignment and i can relate to what he thinks as i said. I know a townie can have that sort of first impression. Can you look at the stuff on Shapelog? If you don't agree with it, do you want to go with Kelsier or do something else? I've unvoted. I'll look at shapelog next (probably after the football match). | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I don't think its a slam dunk but its definitely an interesting case. I can see a situation where someone doesn't apply a way of thinking that they are capable of, without having mafia motivations. That said, I don't really like shapelog's posting in general. Sort of pressured ES a little bit then dropped it, made that post about trfel and then went back on it later while still leaving room to go back to the suspicion if needed. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 02:49 raynpelikoneet wrote: I am not saying he here should be "able to discern when a post definitely isn't mafia motivated", but he isn't even thinking about that as an option. I think I'd like to see more from shapelog, yeah. Definitely suspicious. If everything stayed the same between now and deadline I would vote. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 07:47 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 25 2019 07:46 Jockmcplop wrote: Yo hf you gonna try and convince us to lynch rayn or are you just leaving that hanging there for a bit? sToP BeInG So PrICkly. (Whispers) *Its because you cursed* *that's why he's holyflare* | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 10:09 Trfel wrote: Jockmcplop, why were you reading my filter, of all people's (post #196)? Just before (post #191), you kinda said that I was your strongest townread. I'm just not sure I follow. Kinda feels like he's keeping his reads open, lots of soft pushes. Like his soft suspicion on Shapelog (not gonna vote him now but I could vote for him later), and his read on me (Trfel) (post 198). Admittedly the latter is one of my habits, but along with the lack of townreads, it just feels like he is really, really keeping his options open. I was reading your filter because this is mafia dude. That's kind of a thing you can do to look at someone's posting. Why yours specifically? I have looked at most people's filter at some point so far. Honestly I don't really have strong reads at all right now. I suck at day 1. Always have. In a way, I guess I am keeping my options open. Literally anyone except myself and hf could be mafia right now, and no-one's done a particularly great job of confirming themselves as town. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
His reads so far have followed thread sentiment exactly to the letter and the fact that you could easily interpret his last interaction with hf as trying to discredit the innocent child - which has clear mafia motivation. ##vote grackaroni | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 16:15 Holyflare wrote: We should be voting anyone that claims doctor day 1. I haven't seen anyone claiming doctor. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 25 2019 16:19 Holyflare wrote: Show nested quote + On June 25 2019 09:01 Grackaroni wrote: On June 25 2019 08:21 Holyflare wrote: I think you're fairly obviously mafia at this point ![]() Bet it sucks I was confirmed of all people lol. I did have a sense that you being confirmed would be bad for town, yes. ![]() To go full shitter mode, I'm the doctor, and I won't be healing you. Sure does suck that you got confirmed though. Imagine claiming doctor while calling the confirmed town a shitter lol. Doesn't make any sense at all. Oh shit how did I miss that? haha. Yeah I'm happy with my vote on grack tbh. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
We don't have long until deadline so I think we should organize something maybe and try to consolidate votes. I think grack is a good option but I would definitely go for either slam or kels also. I think only one of grack or kels is likely to be mafia so it would make sense in my opinion to go for one of those. With Grack its not just his claim, its the way he followed everyone into scumreading kels and then followed everyone into scumreading shapelog. Kels is worse though. I'm looking back at his filter now and there's just nothing there. Lots of posts and an argument with myself, but no real reads except two posts that he didn't like, one of which he immediately went back on. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Kelsier if you come back later when I'm not here and wow everyone with your reads, sorry dude. Otherwise, die scum. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Shapelog doesn't look good but doesn't look bad enough for a day 1 lynch imo, just kinda meh. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 00:32 Pandain wrote: #summonJock I know he would vote grack I'm here now. I'll be reading along with this until probably an hour before deadline then I've got band practice. I'm leaving my vote where it is right now. Let's see where everything's at in a couple of hours. Grack is in my top 2 for sure. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
He's been here, so its not like he hasn't had the opportunity. I also find it a bit concerning when at least 4 people scumread a guy and no-one votes for them. It means they can't lose. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 01:44 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 01:42 Jockmcplop wrote: Despite the fact that he's been nearly universally read as mafia/null, I'd perfectly well accept that no-one wants to vote for Kiesler if someone could point me at a townie post of his. He's been here, so its not like he hasn't had the opportunity. I also find it a bit concerning when at least 4 people scumread a guy and no-one votes for them. It means they can't lose. There was all kinds of agreement with Rayn's post on Shapelog and no traction for his lynch. There was a bit. Not actually a huge amount. iirc only 1 person actually scumread shapelog off the back of that case/said it was a good case. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 01:51 Pandain wrote: Jock I am town reading you so damn much. Well played if scum Nah i'm town it just means my town game is improving. Normally by now I'm fighting a lynch haha. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 01:52 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 01:50 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 01:44 Grackaroni wrote: On June 26 2019 01:42 Jockmcplop wrote: Despite the fact that he's been nearly universally read as mafia/null, I'd perfectly well accept that no-one wants to vote for Kiesler if someone could point me at a townie post of his. He's been here, so its not like he hasn't had the opportunity. I also find it a bit concerning when at least 4 people scumread a guy and no-one votes for them. It means they can't lose. There was all kinds of agreement with Rayn's post on Shapelog and no traction for his lynch. There was a bit. Not actually a huge amount. iirc only 1 person actually scumread shapelog off the back of that case/said it was a good case. You/Eversince/Trfel. This is not any kind of agreement: I don't think its a slam dunk but its definitely an interesting case. I can see a situation where someone doesn't apply a way of thinking that they are capable of, without having mafia motivations. That said, I don't really like shapelog's posting in general. Sort of pressured ES a little bit then dropped it, made that post about trfel and then went back on it later while still leaving room to go back to the suspicion if needed. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I can see your point though. Interestingly neither shapelog nor KSC have defended themselves because they don't have to because they aren't in danger despite being scumread. Don't you find that suspicious? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 01:57 Grackaroni wrote: Nothing's changed with Shapelog. Yeah but other things have changed in the game. KSC stopped posting, for one. Do you only look at one single player before you decide who to vote for or are you being annoying for the sake of it? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I'm leaving in a bit won't be back till well after deadline. Enjoy the lynching. Take a photo for me. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Well played. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:03 Eversince wrote: Opinions Jock? Everything since night one started I need to reread. I'm terrible at analyzing mechanical stuff for some reason so the whole thing about roles I just haven't got my head around yet. Pandain def looks bad for the last couple of hours but I don't think anything has changed too much about my reads. I still like at least one of Grack and KSC for mafia. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:08 Eversince wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:07 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 07:03 Eversince wrote: Opinions Jock? Everything since night one started I need to reread. I'm terrible at analyzing mechanical stuff for some reason so the whole thing about roles I just haven't got my head around yet. Pandain def looks bad for the last couple of hours but I don't think anything has changed too much about my reads. I still like at least one of Grack and KSC for mafia. Fair. I'm a really slow English reader myself. How long before you can make thoughts? Is there something specific you wanted my thoughts on? Right now my thoughts are "I can't believe slam was mafia." I'll be here a while chatting though so anything you think I should look at just let me know and I'll try and summon an opinion. (I've been at band practice after work so I'm fucking shattered - Complex logic isn't going to happen) | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:10 Eversince wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:08 Jockmcplop wrote: I also wish hf would stop prodding rayn. I think he's trying to get him to go off the rails like he sometimes does early on. I already knew Rayn could get haywire. I made a post about it already. We'll see if it happens ![]() Here's my version of hf's thought process: "Shit everyone knows i'm town I can't fake claim or act anti-town so how can I have fun? OH RAYN'S PLAYING" | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:13 Eversince wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:11 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 07:08 Eversince wrote: On June 26 2019 07:07 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 07:03 Eversince wrote: Opinions Jock? Everything since night one started I need to reread. I'm terrible at analyzing mechanical stuff for some reason so the whole thing about roles I just haven't got my head around yet. Pandain def looks bad for the last couple of hours but I don't think anything has changed too much about my reads. I still like at least one of Grack and KSC for mafia. Fair. I'm a really slow English reader myself. How long before you can make thoughts? Is there something specific you wanted my thoughts on? Right now my thoughts are "I can't believe slam was mafia." I'll be here a while chatting though so anything you think I should look at just let me know and I'll try and summon an opinion. (I've been at band practice after work so I'm fucking shattered - Complex logic isn't going to happen) Just a general pile of reads. I think your town I just want your thoughts on everything here since you're here. Don't bother formatting if you don't feel like doing it. This is a good point I haven't made any kind of comprehensive reads list yet at all. I'll get on it now,give me 20 minutes. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
ES - I've gone back and forth on this but the slam lynch wins you conftown, gratz HF - Town Trfel - Killed slam Town lean Rayn - I completely disagree with the motivation hf has attributed to his posting, although I think he's wrong about some reads. Pandain - He's pushing for the same lynches as me and surely no-one would be stupid enough to overtly try and stop a slam lynch right near end of day as mafia.... surely, right? Null Shapelog - Could well be mafia.I haven't seen anything that specifically suggests scum though. Scum lean Eywa - Has improved lately but still an annoying of throwing reads out randomly and leaving them unexplained which distracts people, so anti-town or mafia. Scum:ONE OR MORE OF KSC: No good posts at all. The posts he has made he either immediately goes back on (the trfel thing early on) or doubles down on a stupid misreading and then does nothing else but argue about that. Make some reads dude. Grack: Stupid time to claim, don't like his read progression (it seems forced/unnatural). I think I'm going to try and write a case next. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:24 Holyflare wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:13 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 07:10 Eversince wrote: On June 26 2019 07:08 Jockmcplop wrote: I also wish hf would stop prodding rayn. I think he's trying to get him to go off the rails like he sometimes does early on. I already knew Rayn could get haywire. I made a post about it already. We'll see if it happens ![]() Here's my version of hf's thought process: "Shit everyone knows i'm town I can't fake claim or act anti-town so how can I have fun? OH RAYN'S PLAYING" I would never intentionally make someone feel bad for my entertainment like that, ever. I really just want answers to my questions! I was being tongue-in-cheek ![]() | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:32 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:26 Jockmcplop wrote: Grack: Stupid time to claim, don't like his read progression (it seems forced/unnatural). This argument that I'm following thread sentiment is pretty suspicious to me. I've given my own reasons for whatever push I've made and I don't think that's an accurate description of my filter. My reads have been changing fluidly. I don't believe Jock's have so far. They haven't been changing fluidly though, more like suddenly and often... | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:43 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:36 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 07:32 Grackaroni wrote: On June 26 2019 07:26 Jockmcplop wrote: Grack: Stupid time to claim, don't like his read progression (it seems forced/unnatural). This argument that I'm following thread sentiment is pretty suspicious to me. I've given my own reasons for whatever push I've made and I don't think that's an accurate description of my filter. My reads have been changing fluidly. I don't believe Jock's have so far. They haven't been changing fluidly though, more like suddenly and often... Which ones do you mean? You say that I've been following thread sentiment, but I contributed my own ideas on Shapelog after I saw Rayn talking about him. The other 3 people I mentioned just said they agreed with what Rayn wrote, which was just a convoluted meta-reason of how Rayn expects Shapelog to read a post, which I don't see how anyone who isn't Rayn can agree with without their own reasons. Really the more that I think about it the more bullshit I think your push is. There were lots of people that "followed thread sentiment" on Kelsier/Shapelog. Kelsier was probably right about you just wanting to jump in with HF from the start of the game. The part where you scumread ES stuck out to me specifically. Something about the timing of it. Its kinda hard to explain but it feels wrong. What isn't helping right now also is that I'm sure that KSC is scum, slam was definitely scum, and you voted on the only other wagon going. Rayn also did, but although none of his logic appeals to me but I think he's town. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:55 Grackaroni wrote: This really isn't my first run in with you either. I mentioned that you liked Rayn's Shapelog post and then you tried to contradict me, which doesn't sit well with me because you answered to Rayn that you would lynch Shapelog if it we were at the deadline. I didn't agree with Rayn's shapelog post but I had other reasons for not liking shapelog. Read the following again from that point of view and see that it makes more sense than whatever you are trying to make up about me liking rayn's post. I don't think its a slam dunk but its definitely an interesting case. I can see a situation where someone doesn't apply a way of thinking that they are capable of, without having mafia motivations. That said, I don't really like shapelog's posting in general. Sort of pressured ES a little bit then dropped it, made that post about trfel and then went back on it later while still leaving room to go back to the suspicion if needed. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 07:59 Jockmcplop wrote: I literally told rayn why I thought his post was wrong and you say that's me liking rayn's post. Just to clear this up one more time this is the sentence i am talking about: I can see a situation where someone doesn't apply a way of thinking that they are capable of, without having mafia motivations. That is saying to rayn that his case on shapelog doesn't make shapelog mafia. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 08:08 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 08:02 Jockmcplop wrote: The thing about the timings is basically that you did follow thread sentiment straight away with ksc and then shapelog, which is fine, and if i was mafia i would definitely want to make my own case instead of just sheeping rayn's weird logic, but then i pointed it out and then all of a sudden you're scumreading ES out of nowhere with no prior explanation. My problem with Eversince was that she was very chatty early game and then when she was actually talking about reads there was no explanation for why Pandain was the best lynch 2019, when I felt that Pandain was a pretty unusual person for her to single out with that read especially when she said Pandain's meta was to lurk. I first got into that idea here + Show Spoiler + On June 25 2019 17:54 Grackaroni wrote: In the case where Shapelog is not mafia, I see a very plausible team of Pandain/Eversince/Eywa. I think Pandain has been under-contributing from his town meta so far but I have no idea why Eversince is scum reading him in this post. Show nested quote + On June 25 2019 11:02 Eversince wrote: Ok, Trtfel is ok! Shapelog case by Rayn seemed good to me. Holyflare being disconnected is completely annoying but he is confirmed. Grack is usual. Pandain is best lynch 2019. Jock is ok. I still think Kels feels off. Better but off. Slam has been totes useless. Ewya still is fishy to me. So Pandain, Shapelog, Ewya. Thought? She(?) also seems to think that being afk is standard behavior for Pandain, and me (though I really haven't played with her very much and don't think I'm an overly afk player.), so why is Pandain best lynch 2019? Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 17:21 Eversince wrote: On June 24 2019 17:17 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 24 2019 17:12 Eversince wrote: Whats the rest of your reads? I don't have any really. No-one looks particuarly town to me. Maybe trfel. Every read I have seen so far is a shot in the dark so I'm not going to join in on that action because its pointless right now. Eywa's quicklynch post makes very little sense tbh, but not in a way that makes me think scum. I'd like some kind of explanation though because that's just weird. Eywa's quicklynch makes no sense to me.. Grack is usual mia, Pandain is usual mia, Rayn knows me far to well. What about everyone else? We have 1 day left. I will get off and sleep. We need to think about a lynch. Then I noticed this post: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 10:40 Eywa- wrote: I'm good with quicklynching Pandain or Eversince Beyond that I don't know what I can say to that. You're accusing me of being scum for following thread sentiment and then being scum for coming up with my own read when accused of following thread sentiment, so there's really no way I can avoid being scum read by you. Maybe this is true. I'm an irrational beast. But I'm trying grackaroni, I'm trying damn hard to be rational. I'm happy to drop it and keep scumreading you until something changes my mind. I'm not tunnelled so that could happen especially if you are town. Honestly there's more going on that just the timing of your reads, the voting thing I mentioned does matter at this point, given that I'm scumreading ksc and you voted on the only other wagon. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 08:17 Eversince wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 08:13 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 08:08 Grackaroni wrote: On June 26 2019 08:02 Jockmcplop wrote: The thing about the timings is basically that you did follow thread sentiment straight away with ksc and then shapelog, which is fine, and if i was mafia i would definitely want to make my own case instead of just sheeping rayn's weird logic, but then i pointed it out and then all of a sudden you're scumreading ES out of nowhere with no prior explanation. My problem with Eversince was that she was very chatty early game and then when she was actually talking about reads there was no explanation for why Pandain was the best lynch 2019, when I felt that Pandain was a pretty unusual person for her to single out with that read especially when she said Pandain's meta was to lurk. I first got into that idea here + Show Spoiler + On June 25 2019 17:54 Grackaroni wrote: In the case where Shapelog is not mafia, I see a very plausible team of Pandain/Eversince/Eywa. I think Pandain has been under-contributing from his town meta so far but I have no idea why Eversince is scum reading him in this post. Show nested quote + On June 25 2019 11:02 Eversince wrote: Ok, Trtfel is ok! Shapelog case by Rayn seemed good to me. Holyflare being disconnected is completely annoying but he is confirmed. Grack is usual. Pandain is best lynch 2019. Jock is ok. I still think Kels feels off. Better but off. Slam has been totes useless. Ewya still is fishy to me. So Pandain, Shapelog, Ewya. Thought? She(?) also seems to think that being afk is standard behavior for Pandain, and me (though I really haven't played with her very much and don't think I'm an overly afk player.), so why is Pandain best lynch 2019? Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 17:21 Eversince wrote: On June 24 2019 17:17 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 24 2019 17:12 Eversince wrote: Whats the rest of your reads? I don't have any really. No-one looks particuarly town to me. Maybe trfel. Every read I have seen so far is a shot in the dark so I'm not going to join in on that action because its pointless right now. Eywa's quicklynch post makes very little sense tbh, but not in a way that makes me think scum. I'd like some kind of explanation though because that's just weird. Eywa's quicklynch makes no sense to me.. Grack is usual mia, Pandain is usual mia, Rayn knows me far to well. What about everyone else? We have 1 day left. I will get off and sleep. We need to think about a lynch. Then I noticed this post: Show nested quote + On June 24 2019 10:40 Eywa- wrote: I'm good with quicklynching Pandain or Eversince Beyond that I don't know what I can say to that. You're accusing me of being scum for following thread sentiment and then being scum for coming up with my own read when accused of following thread sentiment, so there's really no way I can avoid being scum read by you. Maybe this is true. I'm an irrational beast. But I'm trying grackaroni, I'm trying damn hard to be rational. I'm happy to drop it and keep scumreading you until something changes my mind. I'm not tunnelled so that could happen especially if you are town. Honestly there's more going on that just the timing of your reads, the voting thing I mentioned does matter at this point, given that I'm scumreading ksc and you voted on the only other wagon. I think the whole argument is silly.Grack claimed doc. I he doesn't die tonight we lynch him. What mafia is going to let a town run loose with conf doc? This is what I meant before when I said I didn't care about his claim unless it caused chaos. It's a problem that will sort itself out short order. Fair point. Let's see who's here tomorrow night. There was little point in posting a reads list right now anyway but ES asked me to. Better to see what info we get tomorrow and work from that. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 14:48 raynpelikoneet wrote: If there is a vigilante btw they should absolutely always shoot Shapelog. He flips mafia, cool, he flips town lynch Kelsier because he has to be mafia, then Pandain and jock become pretty much hard cleared and the last mafia HAS to be in me and Eywa. You will have enough days to lynch both. This is a very good post. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 17:15 Pandain wrote: Ok so if Shape is town, then how is game solved If shape = town, KSC is mafia, you and me both become conftown and the rest is easy | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
I'm still suspicious based on voting alone but i'm upgrading him from scum to scum lean. The way he carried himself during that argument does seem more townie than mafia. I still think we should kill shapelog because of what rayn said. Going off my personal reads list, if shapelog flips mafia we're in a great spot (in this case my reads might be wrong and I would probably just sheep from this point) and if he flips town I'm looking at ksc and one of grack/eywa (mayyyyyyyyyyyyybe Pandain) and that's game over. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 17:57 raynpelikoneet wrote: jock you should just believe me when i say grack is not mafia. there is simply no possibility of him being mafia. Like I said, its not particularly relevant in the next day or so. I'll be going for a shapelog lynch regardless at this point, so grack only becomes relevant if shapelog flips town and even then ksc must die first before grack becomes a factor. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 18:02 Holyflare wrote: I am not sold on trfel being town. The post about not knowing who to vote seemed honest which I liked but it always seems to be a struggle for him to post a read like he has to fabricate it. I don't know, just a gut feeling. Don't write him off just because he voted afk slam. I'll need to have a reread but don't expect much I'll be in handover meetings all day. I just can't see him flat out killing a teammate with two other wagons available. Its not the correct play at all imo. Its vaguely possible but.... no. If trfel and slam are both mafia, then at least one of kels/shapelog isn't and that gives him an out. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Him being town is pretty important if I'm going to go along with a shapelog vote tomorrow. I can't see any way that trfel isn't town. He had the choice of 3 wagons, if trfel is mafia then at least one of those 3 is town and he can safely vote for them. He hadn't town read either KSC or shapelog at any point during day 1 so wouldn't have been contradicting himself. Both ksc and shapelog were being scumread by alot of players so no-one would raise any eyebrows at trfel voting for either of them. I know you said its a just a gut feeling right now but can you see that the logic of the situation pretty much means he has to be town? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 19:02 Holyflare wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 18:41 Jockmcplop wrote: Hf can we talk about trfel please? Him being town is pretty important if I'm going to go along with a shapelog vote tomorrow. I can't see any way that trfel isn't town. He had the choice of 3 wagons, if trfel is mafia then at least one of those 3 is town and he can safely vote for them. He hadn't town read either KSC or shapelog at any point during day 1 so wouldn't have been contradicting himself. Both ksc and shapelog were being scumread by alot of players so no-one would raise any eyebrows at trfel voting for either of them. I know you said its a just a gut feeling right now but can you see that the logic of the situation pretty much means he has to be town? Nothing logical works in mafia, ever. That's a lesson you'll have to learn. I agree it's quite unlikely but I can't shake the gut feeling. I'm not sure that this is true, more like you can't trust logic over everything else. I'll keep an open mind but continue to presume that trfel is town unless I see something extremely convincing. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 14:48 raynpelikoneet wrote: If there is a vigilante btw they should absolutely always shoot Shapelog. He flips mafia, cool, he flips town lynch Kelsier because he has to be mafia, then Pandain and jock become pretty much hard cleared and the last mafia HAS to be in me and Eywa. You will have enough days to lynch both. So I'm using this general strategy to solve the game (using lynchings if there's no vigi), but it relies on two assumptions being true. I'd like help to identify any weaknesses in this plan. 1: We're assuming that trfel and ES are town for killing slam. I rate this at +90% chance of both being town. I'm happy to proceed under this assumption 2: If shapelog is town then ksc is mafia and vica versa. Is it possible that neither are mafia --- how likely is this? This to me is the biggest weakness of this plan. I'm fairly certain on ksc but there's always the possibility of reads being wrong and I don't want to pursue a strategy that screws everything up based on whether one of my reads is right or not. ^^ Sorry if its already been explained why one of ksc and shapelog must be mafia but I can't remember that conversation. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 19:13 Pandain wrote: Jock assuming there's no vig shot, would you want to lynch kelsier or shape first? If no-one else was voting I would go for ksc. If the plan above seems sound then I'm happy to go with shapelog just so that we're all on te same page and we can have a nice, smooth, easy day 2. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 19:17 Pandain wrote: Rayn is assuming that Grack is town. Under that theory, there's no way that Kelsier and Shape are both mafia (because the last three mafia have to be within Ewya, Kelsier, and Shape, also assuming that Pandain and Jock are town). If Grack is mafia, there's a non-zero chance that the last scum could be Eywa for instance. Yeah this a problem. I guess I'll have to try and figure grack out before tomorrow. Grack/eywa seems somewhat possible to me right now. BTW that first sentence doesn't make sense to me, do you mean this: Rayn is assuming that Grack is town. Under that theory, there's no way that Kelsier and Shape are both TOWN (because the last three mafia have to be within Ewya, Kelsier, and Shape, also assuming that Pandain and Jock are town). | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 19:25 Pandain wrote: Yeah I meant to say town. Honestly the slam post on Eywa puts me against thinking he's scum, which is why I'm pretty certain there's at least one (if not both) scum between Kelsier and Shape. What did you think about that post? I think its more than likely that you are right, but just based off that one short post I wouldn't want to gamble on it. I had forgotten about that tbh. That does make it more likey that there is one mafia in ksc/shape. Everything is pointing towards that anyway. I still think killing shapelog is a good idea, even though I'm still null on him. It looks to me like this although this plan could feasibly go very badly wrong, the chances of that happening given what we know are kinda low. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 21:04 Pandain wrote: I'm upgrading Kels to a null-read and downgrading Shape to a slight scum read. Also making Grack null. Why? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 22:55 Trfel wrote: Show nested quote + To be honest Holyflare is right, there is a small chance I could do what I did as mafia and it's not worth ignoring. Yes it would be a suboptimal play, but sometimes mafia messes up. You can judge the likelihood and look at my play as a whole, but I would never recommend treating someone as 100% confirmed town for that alone.On June 26 2019 19:07 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 19:02 Holyflare wrote: On June 26 2019 18:41 Jockmcplop wrote: Hf can we talk about trfel please? Him being town is pretty important if I'm going to go along with a shapelog vote tomorrow. I can't see any way that trfel isn't town. He had the choice of 3 wagons, if trfel is mafia then at least one of those 3 is town and he can safely vote for them. He hadn't town read either KSC or shapelog at any point during day 1 so wouldn't have been contradicting himself. Both ksc and shapelog were being scumread by alot of players so no-one would raise any eyebrows at trfel voting for either of them. I know you said its a just a gut feeling right now but can you see that the logic of the situation pretty much means he has to be town? Nothing logical works in mafia, ever. That's a lesson you'll have to learn. I agree it's quite unlikely but I can't shake the gut feeling. I'm not sure that this is true, more like you can't trust logic over everything else. I'll keep an open mind but continue to presume that trfel is town unless I see something extremely convincing. That said if you lynch me first while Shapelog/KelsierSC/Pandain/Eywa- are all alive, I think I'd (rightfully) be a bit annoyed ![]() Oh I'm not saying 100% town, I'm saying +90% that both you and ES are. Given the balance of probability of mafia sacrificing one of their own unnecessarily I think that's fair. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:08 Eywa- wrote: So we're lynching Rayn tomorrow right? Hey everybody its RNG LYNCH TIME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Because there's no point in trying to work things out. Just shout names at random and hope the game solves itself. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
We're pretty much all working on the assumption that there's mafia between shapelog and kelsier so surely that's a good plan, no? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:28 Grackaroni wrote: Jock is mafia. Take your shot grack. I'm definitely not mafia, although I would like to see what you think you have. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:31 Eywa- wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote: So lynch shapelog with us unless he gets got by a vigi! We're pretty much all working on the assumption that there's mafia between shapelog and kelsier so surely that's a good plan, no? No, that's a terrible plan. Feel free to explain this, or anything you have said so far, and then it'll be worth taking notice of. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:34 Eywa- wrote: So I'm obvtown, I think we should check Rayn before shooting the PoE. I disagree. I think the priority should still be trying to lynch mafia, and I'm fairly sure rayn isn't mafia. Unless you can convince me that there's at least some reasonable chance of rayn flipping red I'm not going near a rayn lynch. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:36 Eywa- wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 23:35 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 23:34 Eywa- wrote: So I'm obvtown, I think we should check Rayn before shooting the PoE. I disagree. I think the priority should still be trying to lynch mafia, and I'm fairly sure rayn isn't mafia. Unless you can convince me that there's at least some reasonable chance of rayn flipping red I'm not going near a rayn lynch. I disagree, you need to understand why there's a good chance of Rayn flipping mafia So try and convince me. I've seen nothing so far to suggest that he is, hf's case doesn't even remotely convince me. You haven't really explained it to me other than its based off your own PoE list, but I don't really believe in that list, because you've hardly explained anything that you've said so far. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:36 Grackaroni wrote: Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 23:30 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 26 2019 23:28 Grackaroni wrote: Jock is mafia. Take your shot grack. I'm definitely not mafia, although I would like to see what you think you have. Goes back to this. Show nested quote + On June 26 2019 07:32 Grackaroni wrote: On June 26 2019 07:26 Jockmcplop wrote: Grack: Stupid time to claim, don't like his read progression (it seems forced/unnatural). This argument that I'm following thread sentiment is pretty suspicious to me. I've given my own reasons for whatever push I've made and I don't think that's an accurate description of my filter. My reads have been changing fluidly. I don't believe Jock's have so far. Your reads are too confident. I don't see enough doubt in any of your play. I don't think that's your town play. The biggest shift I can see over the night is you upgrading me from scum to *scum lean* (I can really see the doubt creeping into your mind!) and then you assuring HF that Trfel cannot be mafia because of his vote. Yep. In the last game I didn't follow up with my leads, I acted unsure, and all of the mafia that i suspected of being mafia didn't get lynched in part because of that - then we lost the game... THis is exactly what i posted after that game (bolded for emphasis). I'm making a concerted effort not to make the same mistakes as I did last time which played a part in costing town the game. On May 30 2019 20:51 Jockmcplop wrote: I think I need to be more confident in getting people to vote with me when i have a read. I feel like I should have got artanis on day 2 but I kinda gave up a bit. I could've had conversion day 1 also but didn't really go for it. Covnersion you shut that down pretty nicely well played. Bugs we should definitely hydra on the next game where mods allow it. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
Each time I'm ignored. Hopefully this time, given that I've been able to demonstrate exactly when I said I would change my play (before this game started) and exactly how I was going to change my play, and its exactly that change that you hae pointed out - i'm hoping you'll listen. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
On June 26 2019 23:40 Eywa- wrote: ![]() I'm sorry Eywa but something is lost in the communication here. Explain it to me like I'm a baby cos I really don't get what you're trying to say about rayn and kelsier. I don't think there's enough in that brief interaction for it to be alignment indicative to be honest, certainly not a case that makes it worth forgoing the two best lynches to lynch someone who's probably town. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 26 2019 22:41 GMT
#1001
Not really here to talk though I'm freakin wasted maybe i'll hang out for a bit but you won't get anything useful from me. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 26 2019 22:55 GMT
#1004
On June 27 2019 07:45 Eywa- wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 07:41 Jockmcplop wrote: Voting shapelog Not really here to talk though I'm freakin wasted maybe i'll hang out for a bit but you won't get anything useful from me. Ooooh. Is that different from the norm or same? Are you standing firm on all of your reads? Is what different? Not getting anything useful from me? I guess that depends on your perspective ![]() Am I standing firm? Fairly. I'm interested to see what happens with koshi. The more time that goes past without shapelog posting the more i want to lynch him. Rayn still seems town to me. Pandain/grack I'm not entirely sure about. Grack is looking less and less mafia to me as the days go by but i'm still somewhat suspicious of him. Pandain is hard to read this game. ES/trfel i'm still townreading based off the last vote, that ain't changing. Eywa, you are also starting to look more townlike, although I don't feel like I'm getting anything useful or interesting from you because I can't figure out how you're coming to your conclusions about anything. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 26 2019 23:02 GMT
#1006
On June 27 2019 07:58 Eywa- wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 07:55 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 27 2019 07:45 Eywa- wrote: On June 27 2019 07:41 Jockmcplop wrote: Voting shapelog Not really here to talk though I'm freakin wasted maybe i'll hang out for a bit but you won't get anything useful from me. Ooooh. Is that different from the norm or same? Are you standing firm on all of your reads? Is what different? Not getting anything useful from me? I guess that depends on your perspective ![]() Am I standing firm? Fairly. I'm interested to see what happens with koshi. The more time that goes past without shapelog posting the more i want to lynch him. Rayn still seems town to me. Pandain/grack I'm not entirely sure about. Grack is looking less and less mafia to me as the days go by but i'm still somewhat suspicious of him. Pandain is hard to read this game. ES/trfel i'm still townreading based off the last vote, that ain't changing. Eywa, you are also starting to look more townlike, although I don't feel like I'm getting anything useful or interesting from you because I can't figure out how you're coming to your conclusions about anything. Well, that's fair, I'm not really trying to build any cases. Somehow my POE matches everyone else though to some degree. Which... IDK, is it normal here for people to share the same POE as everyone in the game and to act on it? I would expect people to be suspect of that... OR maybe it is as simple as 3 lurkers? Every game I've played in has felt different here tbh. This game is remarkably calm and everyone is basically on the same page which is a bit of a weird feeling but I like it. I get where you coming from. I've not seen a game this serene on tl.net and my number one theory is that its because mafia is afk. I guess it could be that they somehow have this entire situation exactly where they want it to be but they haven't killed anyone and our only lynch was a hit so I would expect more movement from mafia to try and disturb things. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 26 2019 23:08 GMT
#1008
On June 27 2019 08:03 Eywa- wrote: Where else do you all play mafia? I once tried playing a game on mafiascum but I didn't like it. The meta is different and I felt more offended by people's aggro because I couldn't detect much of a community element like there is here. The only other games I have played have been here. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 26 2019 23:11 GMT
#1009
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 07:35 GMT
#1106
On June 27 2019 16:22 raynpelikoneet wrote: Maybe you're right and if you are it means (at least to me) that Pandain is not mafia. I am not sure but i got the feeling that Kelsier was pretty viable option at the time and Pandain was already on Kelsier. From my memory people showed more interest in lynching Kelsier than Shapelog, right? I dont remember what happened there. You had a conversation with pandain yesterday where the idea to lynch shapelog and then PoE our way to victory came around and I think it was agreed that that is a good way to go. I have maintained all along that ksc (koshi) is my number one lynch/mafia read. I liked your plan of lynching shapelog first though, it makes sense to me and seems like a decent move. I'm also hoping that koshi shows up and does something, which makes me slightly more hesitant to throw my vote that way before he's had a chance. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 07:38 GMT
#1109
On June 27 2019 16:37 raynpelikoneet wrote: I never said anything about lynching Shapelog last night phase but this probably makes you look even more townie than before unless for some magical reason both of shapelog / kelsier are town. OK you're right you wanted a vigi to kill shapelog. I get the difference, but for me that idea works just as well using a lynch on shapelog (given that we have mucho time now to do what we want and get a nice solid PoE going). | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 08:23 GMT
#1137
So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): Shapelog/koshi Eywa/Pandain/me rayn/grack ES/trfel obvs hf isn't in there. We have to get more than half way down this list with only mislynches before we can lose, and that's with successful mafia kp each time. The only possible issue there is a grack/rayn scum team and that looks incredibly unlikely to me. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 08:28 GMT
#1141
I'm shit at figuring out roleclaims and what they mean, mostly they just confuse me, so in every game I play I have a similar conversation to this at some point. If y'all are sure grack is absolutely confirmed town then yeah I'll go along with it just out of ignorance. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 08:37 GMT
#1146
On June 27 2019 17:32 Pandain wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 17:28 Jockmcplop wrote: Alright then if we're never lynching grack put him with hf and we have an even bigger chance of winning. I'm shit at figuring out roleclaims and what they mean, mostly they just confuse me, so in every game I play I have a similar conversation to this at some point. If y'all are sure grack is absolutely confirmed town then yeah I'll go along with it just out of ignorance. We know there are three blues. HF is one. That means if everyone who has a blue claims and we have three total, those three people are confirmed. Because the host has confirmed there are three. Does that make sense? Grack is not confirmed "yet" per se. But once the last blue is revealed (it always happens sooner rather than later) we will be able to know he is either telling the truth (3 claims total) or someone is lying (more than 3 blue claims) That's also why if you or kelsier or shape or eywa are blue you should claim. Because you will be the last confirmed town and there's no way we will lose. This does make sense actually yeah. So the last blue needs to claim to confirm grack really, but he's most likely town just on the back of his claim(s). OK. I don't know why I have this feeling about grack. I think its irrational paranoia, but the gut feeling is still there even though it really looks like he's town. Of course, if we do end up just lynching our way through that list it doesn't matter one bit either way cos we're probably gonna win anyway. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 08:52 GMT
#1153
On June 27 2019 17:45 Pandain wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 17:23 raynpelikoneet wrote: On June 27 2019 17:22 Pandain wrote: On June 27 2019 17:19 raynpelikoneet wrote: On June 26 2019 19:12 Pandain wrote: In my opinion, Eversince is practically confirmed town. Jock, Rayn, and Trefel are 98% town. Grack and Ewya are null to slightly town. Keslier and Shape are likely mafia. why is jock on your list of mafia candidates? He's not my first pick at all. He's just a possibility. I'm saying if we lynch through these 4 we will never lose. Okay which of those other three can he be mafia with and why? If Jock is mafia Eywa probably is. Almost certainly not with Kelsier. Also unlikely with shape, though I won't rule it out. I would rather lynch Trfel than believe a Jock-Kelsier team. I don't know how anyone could even entertain the possibility of me being mafia with either shapelog or kelsier to be honest. I null read shapelog for a while but I've been pushing hard to lynch him since yesterday. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 08:52 GMT
#1155
On June 27 2019 17:51 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 17:48 Holyflare wrote: On June 27 2019 17:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: Holyflare, can you please give me the scumpartner(s) outside Shapelog Pandain is / can be mafia with? I promise to look very closely there because i would love to lynch the shit out of him if he is scum jsut because he fucking tried to kill me over Slam and Shapelog. + Show Spoiler + Pandain 09-26-2013 11:40 PM ET (US) You clearly have never read any of my mafia games. It's not about Town cred, it's about logic, aggression, and bandwagoning town. I dont think people change, at least people dont change what's working, and that has been working for pandain as mafia. With pandain: Eywa/jock most likely. Jock's posts have been less and less impressive since slam flipped. I haven't really thought about it to be honest so don't want to rule anyone else out yet. Everything is open. I can agree with jock being mafia with pandain. I will check if that makes sense thread-sentiment-wise after i have slept (still havent after night shift). I heavily disagree with Pandain+Eywa combo. I can see where this line of thought comes from, although I genuinely had the feeling day 1 that Pandain was buddying me pretty hard, which would be massively unsubtle if we were both mafia, no? | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 09:02 GMT
#1162
On June 27 2019 17:59 raynpelikoneet wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 17:52 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 27 2019 17:51 raynpelikoneet wrote: On June 27 2019 17:48 Holyflare wrote: On June 27 2019 17:30 raynpelikoneet wrote: Holyflare, can you please give me the scumpartner(s) outside Shapelog Pandain is / can be mafia with? I promise to look very closely there because i would love to lynch the shit out of him if he is scum jsut because he fucking tried to kill me over Slam and Shapelog. + Show Spoiler + Pandain 09-26-2013 11:40 PM ET (US) You clearly have never read any of my mafia games. It's not about Town cred, it's about logic, aggression, and bandwagoning town. I dont think people change, at least people dont change what's working, and that has been working for pandain as mafia. With pandain: Eywa/jock most likely. Jock's posts have been less and less impressive since slam flipped. I haven't really thought about it to be honest so don't want to rule anyone else out yet. Everything is open. I can agree with jock being mafia with pandain. I will check if that makes sense thread-sentiment-wise after i have slept (still havent after night shift). I heavily disagree with Pandain+Eywa combo. I can see where this line of thought comes from, although I genuinely had the feeling day 1 that Pandain was buddying me pretty hard, which would be massively unsubtle if we were both mafia, no? I dont remember who was buddying who or if it even can considered as buddying. Idk why that would be unsubtle, people can agree with each other regardless of alignment. iirc he townread me almost immediately. I'm going off memory though so check that if you think i'm wrong. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 09:39 GMT
#1192
I have barely been called stupid this whole game and its disappointing. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 10:07 GMT
#1208
On June 27 2019 19:05 raynpelikoneet wrote: FF can you modkill HF because he doesn't sound like HF at all. Are you kidding? This game is a meta goldmine for hf. This is what happens when he can't do all his usual stuff. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 10:11 GMT
#1211
On June 27 2019 19:09 Holyflare wrote: This game is fucking boring lol. I'm confirmed town and the 2 people everyone thinks are mafia are literally modkills and there was no night kill. I couldn't think of a more mundane scenario. So I'll live in a world where there's a chance mafia grack made a play, however unlikely, just because it's more fun to. I don't currently think he's mafia but it's whatever. It's fun! The thought of a grack/rayn mafia team here still amuses me greatly. I'm like, completely sure that it isn't the case but man that would be some extreme mafia play. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 11:07 GMT
#1216
It doesn't really matter what the most fun mafia pairing would be if its most likely just the afk players. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 11:21 GMT
#1218
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 11:45 GMT
#1221
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 11:49 GMT
#1222
On June 27 2019 20:43 raynpelikoneet wrote: like why do you do just what HF did and then basically tell him he is stupid for what he did? It's like you don't even understand the concept of context. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 11:58 GMT
#1226
On June 27 2019 20:54 raynpelikoneet wrote: maybe i dont. maybe someone else can take a look at it too. Its ok I can explain it to you. When i said that to hf, its because he is refusing to go along with the idea that mafia is afk because that would be boring, hence he was pressuring you on day 1, and now pandain. His strategy for the game is to make it interesting by finding reasons to accuse people of being mafia instead of looking for the most likely mafia. When I said it would amuse me if you and grack were mafia, I wasn't trying to pressure you and grack, I wasn't trying to convince anyone else that you guys are mafia, I just meant it would be kinda funny if it were true. If you want you can try and convince me that those two things are the same, or you coudl admit that that isn't the case at all... | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 12:01 GMT
#1227
On June 27 2019 20:56 raynpelikoneet wrote: why did you pick me with grack and not ES / Trfel into your comment? Like literally every single time I make a comment that isn't serious you come in and question me about it as if I jsut wrote a massive essay on why i think its the real truth. It was a jokey fucking comment. No -one thinks you and grack are mafia, which is why I said that. | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 12:04 GMT
#1228
No more jokes that can be misinterpreted. . WELCOME TO JOCKMCPLOPBOT v1.0 Current mafia reads: Koshi 76% mafia probability shapelog 60% mafia probability Current strategy: lynch shapelog, followed by: koshi pandain eywa | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 13:29 GMT
#1239
On June 27 2019 22:28 Koshi wrote: Hi all. Will be on my best behaviour this game. \\error Please input correct data | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 13:52 GMT
#1245
On June 27 2019 22:48 Koshi wrote: Show nested quote + On June 27 2019 17:23 Jockmcplop wrote: I don't think there's a guaranteed victory here at all, but its close to that. I think treating ES and trfel as 'probably town' and putting them on the back end of the lynch list and then just working our way through it, although simple and kinda boring, gives town the best odds of winning here (unless something changes with ES or trfel that gives us a good solid reason to suspect one of them). So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): Shapelog/koshi Eywa/Pandain/me rayn/grack ES/trfel obvs hf isn't in there. We have to get more than half way down this list with only mislynches before we can lose, and that's with successful mafia kp each time. The only possible issue there is a grack/rayn scum team and that looks incredibly unlikely to me. Can somebody explain this post? Bottom is mafia lynchers. Top is mafia reads I assume. Grack blue Rayn also blue? So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 18:45 GMT
#1272
![]() Seems this one was beset by bad luck from the beginning. A couple of hours later on the deadline and it might have worked. gg all | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 18:47 GMT
#1274
| ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 18:48 GMT
#1275
On June 28 2019 03:46 Eversince wrote: Is there a way I can contact mods? I don't want Slam banned for my action. The mod will remove the modnote its ok (he wouldn't have been banned anyway probably just a warning but they can be removed easily). | ||
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9607 Posts
June 27 2019 18:55 GMT
#1280
On June 28 2019 03:51 Eversince wrote: Show nested quote + On June 28 2019 03:48 Jockmcplop wrote: On June 28 2019 03:46 Eversince wrote: Is there a way I can contact mods? I don't want Slam banned for my action. The mod will remove the modnote its ok (he wouldn't have been banned anyway probably just a warning but they can be removed easily). Ok good, sorry I didn't know what to do and he posted again after posting in a couple other places. I didn't expect he would stay upset so long and then did something stupid. Its cool. The mods here are normally really nice anyway and I would guess that they like the mafia subforum just for the amount of content that happens in here. I understand why he was frustrated its a bit of a shitty situation getting back to a game when you've been waiting for ages to play as scum only to find the deadline was sooner than you thought and you're dead. I really want to play vs mafia slam too I reckon that would be a fun experience. | ||
| ||
![]() StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War Britney Dota 2![]() ![]() Calm ![]() Flash ![]() Soma ![]() BeSt ![]() Bisu ![]() TY ![]() Nal_rA ![]() Killer ![]() JulyZerg ![]() [ Show more ] Counter-Strike Super Smash Bros Heroes of the Storm Other Games Organizations Dota 2 Other Games StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War
StarCraft 2 StarCraft: Brood War Dota 2 League of Legends Other Games |
HomeStory Cup
CSO Cup
BSL: ProLeague
SOOP
SHIN vs ByuN
HomeStory Cup
BSL: ProLeague
Replay Cast
Replay Cast
WardiTV European League
The PondCast
[ Show More ] RSL Revival
WardiTV European League
RSL Revival
Korean StarCraft League
|
|