EPT##vote Shapelog
[M][N]MiniFeast I - Page 57
| Forum Index > TL Mafia |
|
Eversince
Philippines2302 Posts
##vote Shapelog | ||
|
Eversince
Philippines2302 Posts
On June 27 2019 16:43 Holyflare wrote: I think both shape and kelsier are town  Ok, who then? | ||
|
Holyflare
United Kingdom30775 Posts
| ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
| ||
|
Eversince
Philippines2302 Posts
| ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
On June 27 2019 16:48 Holyflare wrote: Pandain + x! A real image of HF desperately climbing through his tunenl + Show Spoiler + ![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/wMJcO5Y.gif) | ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
| ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
There's no way we lose since 100% the last two mafia are in there and we can afford two mislynches. I don't see any world where Rayn or ES is mafia. 0%. From your perspective, if Shape is modkilled, there's still no way we lose even if he is town and we lynch another townie. That will leave me, Jock, and Eywa as possible scum. It will be 5 vs 2 and we can afford one mislynch, meaning we can go through me, jock, and eywa with no problem even if we mislynch first. | ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
| ||
|
Holyflare
United Kingdom30775 Posts
| ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
On June 26 2019 19:12 Pandain wrote: In my opinion, Eversince is practically confirmed town. Jock, Rayn, and Trefel are 98% town. Grack and Ewya are null to slightly town. Keslier and Shape are likely mafia. why is jock on your list of mafia candidates? | ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
| ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:09 Pandain wrote: From my perspective all we need to do is lynch through Jock, Shape, Kelsier, and Eywa. Shape and Kelsier being first on the list. | ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:14 Holyflare wrote: You say words like guaranteed victory a lot by just arbitrarily confirming people. ES is most active player + voted slam. 100% town. You are confirmed. 100% town Rayn is extremely active and genuinely contributing good poitns. Could have easily been pushing me. His evolution towards me seems genuine (going from mafia to town). 99% town. Trfel voted Slam decisive vote + if he was trying to bus he could have done it way better than just saying "Idk" during the vote. 90% town. Those are great group of near-confirmed towns to work for. I think if any of Eywa, Shape, Kelsier, or Jock are the last blue role they should claim. If one of them are the last blue role, there is actually a 0% chance we lose this even if Trfel is scum. | ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
Still, why is jock there? You called him almost confirmed town earlier. | ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:19 raynpelikoneet wrote: why is jock on your list of mafia candidates? He's not my first pick at all. He's just a possibility. I'm saying if we lynch through these 4 we will never lose. | ||
|
Jockmcplop
United Kingdom9956 Posts
So the lynch list is (in order of how likely we are to be able to lynch people): Shapelog/koshi Eywa/Pandain/me rayn/grack ES/trfel obvs hf isn't in there. We have to get more than half way down this list with only mislynches before we can lose, and that's with successful mafia kp each time. The only possible issue there is a grack/rayn scum team and that looks incredibly unlikely to me. | ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
On June 27 2019 17:22 Pandain wrote: He's not my first pick at all. He's just a possibility. I'm saying if we lynch through these 4 we will never lose. Okay which of those other three can he be mafia with and why? | ||
|
Pandain
United States12989 Posts
| ||
|
raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
| ||
| ||
