Newbie Student Mafia XXIX - Page 7

On September 13 2018 08:46 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:

There are still 8 people left my dude...

On September 13 2018 08:58 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:

For people who aren't rayn, here's the difference.

D2, there was almost no consolidation, if rayn had felt this strongly Kelsier was scum, a townie could have put in the effort to try and make a Kelsier lynch happen, the stakes were also lower as it was not lylo, and there was less information to make a decision. Instead rayn switched to damdred (thus indicating he thinks damdred is scummier) but also names rels as someone he'd vote for (thus suggesting rels is scummier as well).

D3, we're at lylo, we already know rayn thinks rels is as scummy as damdred (who he voted for over kelsier) but instead of voting for rels (who he indicated he would have voted for if others wanted to) he goes back to kelsier. The issue is the prioritization is wrong for a townie. He already indicated D2 he thought rels was scummier than Kelsier during the whole damdred lynch. Now that there are several people who also want to lynch rels, a townie would be happy to see their read is finally getting pushed. Instead we have this quasi meltdown over the kelsier vote which ends up sounding like cornered mafia.

The logic between D2 and D3 does not add up.

On September 14 2018 01:18 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:

It's not instant majority. We have time to discuss stuff.

I'm probably going to focus here.

Day 1
Kaley [3]: Qatol, raynpelikoneet, Holyflare, Rels

Day 2
Damdred [3]: Vivax, prplhz, raynpelikoneet

I know it is kind of an inactive game, but I imagine among this group the common denominator is scum. As an aside, I voted for him after reading that post I quoted but before I even knew he also ended up being the common denominator on 2 bad lynches.

On September 09 2018 07:18 kitaman27 wrote:

---

Day 1 Vote Count

---

Kaley [3]: Qatol, raynpelikoneet, Rels
Koshi [1]: Sergiovan
raynpelikoneet [1]: Kaley
Vivax [1]: KelsierSC
Holyflare [1]: Koshi
RebirthOfLeGenD [1]: Vivax
Qatol [1]: Koshi, Holyflare

Not Voting [4]: Meapak_Ziphh, RebirthOfLeGenD, Damdred, prplhz

On September 12 2018 07:47 kitaman27 wrote:

---

Day 2 Vote Count

---

Damdred [3]: Vivax, prplhz, raynpelikoneet
Vivax [2]: Qatol, Sergiovan
Qatol [1]: Rels
Rels [1]: Meapak_Ziphh

Not Voting [3]: RebirthOfLeGendD, Damdred, KelsierSC

On September 14 2018 22:43 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:

I don't understand why Kelsier is doing the whole "whatever I give up" thing." I have never read that play as frustrated town. Basically his entire case on Qatol is based around the NKs which is honestly just speculation.

I mean Vivax was most likely killed since he was essentially confirmed town. Vivax hadn't even pushed Qatol or been active in the two irl days prior to getting killed so I have a hard time believing this speculation that he was killed bc he was onto something big. Like read Vivax's filter, he does not come off as someone who is gunning to kill Qatol. If we're gonna speculate on the NKs I find it a much higher chance it was bc he was quasi confirmed due to the RB claim.

I don't think Kelsier is scum bc it would be an odd play for rayn to be bussing him this hard at lylo but I just don't find the Qatol case convincing for a lylo lynch.

On September 15 2018 01:29 Sergiovan wrote:
The above two vote counts show that we haven’t had a true wagon emerge on scum this whole game, the most votes any possible scum has had at EOD is one.

Based on that my vote analysis is lacking at best. There was no impetus for any scum member to vote one way or another during d1 or d2.

There is also no impetus for scum to vote any particular way now, d3 with each wagon having less than or equal to two votes. We need to consolidate our votes on only two targets for this lynch so that we actually have a chance of winning.