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[M][N] Generic Mini Mafia II

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
April 24 2017 20:11 GMT
#11
/in
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
April 30 2017 21:51 GMT
#19
damn this takes long to fill, is this common here or does it have to do with the specific game or something?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 08 2017 11:18 GMT
#46
Glad we got 13 people, hope everyone confirms as well
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 08 2017 19:12 GMT
#52
/confirm
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 10 2017 14:33 GMT
#206
Reading thread now
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 10 2017 14:45 GMT
#207
On May 10 2017 06:36 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Prison Break smurf or from somewhere else?


I've played around 10 games on duelistgroundz and around 3-4 on mafiascum. Also some epicmafia but that does't count, so I'm prob not the most experienced player but definitely not new either. Did read the "how to improve" and "guide to mafia" posts and joined this site because it seemed like a competitive place to play mafia and I saw the site has done pretty decent over the last few mafia universe championships iirc
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 10 2017 15:06 GMT
#213
On May 10 2017 16:11 sicklucker wrote:
its page two lets not get hostile now


I don't like this post

You come in here, don't take sides or stances, make a general comment to seem townie and helpful by solving a fight (yet you don't really solve it, because you set it up in a way that you keep all your options open), then you leave again (?)

Your vote is on Fuba, yet you lack explanation, again, leaving your options open. You could go "it was pressure" or "it was a joke" or "RVS", but at the same time if a wagon on fuba starts you could spin it like it was your intention all along

I think you're scum
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 10 2017 15:36 GMT
#216
On May 10 2017 08:10 Damdred wrote:
Probably right, I missed you and your witty love HF.

I kinda think Rayn is town for a bad reason that has no real basis


What's the "bad reason" you townread Rayn?

Do you still hold your reads on Rayn being town, and "LS is obvious scum", or were these joke reads? If so I'd like to know your thoughts now
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 11 2017 19:19 GMT
#559
On May 12 2017 04:13 fuba wrote:
Is Prison Break around? I liked what he was saying earlier, but haven't heard his wisdom in so long


I'm here but I'm still catching up

Getting used to all the new names etc. and keep looking back for possible connections

I'll drop my reads once I'm catched up - still don't like sicklurker fwiw, and I liked you for joining it
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 11 2017 19:22 GMT
#567
Quick look at the current votecount

The fact that there's not 1 big wagon means we've prob caught at least 1 or 2 scum, and scum is now trying to spread the votes between multiple people so that it's less obvious as to who it is

If 1 townie received 2-3 votes + heat, you'd expect scum to push it harder and it to form 1 big wagon on them, but right now that's not happening so we may be on the right track
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 12:24 GMT
#810
we should kill sicklurker tbh
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 12:29 GMT
#812
I already thought he was scum and his defense was like "yeah you only think that because you're not from this site etc. so it's understandable" ... the fuck? what kind of logic is that
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 12:31 GMT
#813
also when fuba joined it he got a lot of pressure for it, possible chainsaw defenses there to protect sicklurker
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 12:59 GMT
#821
On May 12 2017 21:44 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2017 21:31 Prison Break wrote:
also when fuba joined it he got a lot of pressure for it, possible chainsaw defenses there to protect sicklurker


Oh you think they are both mafia?

Why did fubz pick out your case out of all the possible targets he could have picked in the thread especially?


No only sicklurker

but it's possible that at least one of the people who attacked fuba, is a scummate of sicklurker

I don't think sicklurker and fuba are ever scum together here, I rule that out
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 16:36 GMT
#909
I'm having trouble catching up but I'll give my reads based on my vote analysis of day 1. I don't know people here so I can't make meta reads, so I'm going to make reads based on votes and on my own reference points of what scum does, since I found them to be universal across all sites, and while meta-based reads can be more accurate and detailled, there are some things that scum always does so I'm going to trust my ability to solve this game the way I usually do it. Either way, I haven't caught up yet, but I do have a few strong reads so far:

Grackaroni (2) - Palmar, sicklucker
sicklucker (2) - Prison Break, fuba
Vivax (1) - raynpelikoneet
darthfoley (3) - Damdred, Tumblewood, Grackaroni
Damdred (4) - darthfoley, LightningStrike, Holyflare, Skynx
Skynx (1) - Vivax

Not voting (0) -

Damdred is the lynch!



According to my theory that "we prob catched 1-2 scum, and scum is now trying to spread the votes so it's not obvious who it is and they can control the lynch at any moment", combined with the fact that Damdred was the lynch and flipped town, I want to look at the people that were on the vote, that were also a possible target.

People on the vote: darthfoley, LightningStrike, Holyflare, Skynx

Alright let's look at the reasons why they voted

So darthfoley has 3 votes, and Damdred has 4 votes, so at this point it's likely both are town because if they were scum, scum could've pushed the others harder, which makes me think scum could be between the people with 1 or 2 votes.

Townread on darthfoley, based on this analysis

Both Holyflare and Skynx were late on the Damdred lynch, so both are suspicious. darthfoley was also on damdred, but if damdred was scum he could have switched to another target rather than having 2-3 scum pile on the same person. There's probably a townie with like 2 townvotes in there, so why not use 1-2 scum to pile onto it, which also gives additional momentum for others to join and to form a big wagon? This makes my townread on dartfoley stronger.

Holyflare very looks bad for coming in and dropping the vote, Skynx looks bad for dropping the final vote.

As for LightingStrike, I like LightingStrike. He looks town. He's been calling out Holyflare and pressuring him a long time. I can't see it being scum/scum. I can see it being LightningStrike town, Holyflare scum.

I also like how LightningStrike pushes Sicklurker as well, I think if sicklurker was town he had been the lynch day 1, like it seems scum is just trying to steer direction away from him everytime so he doesn't get lynched. Sicklurker also with the 180 on me, first he townreads me and says it's likely for people from other sites to scumread him (aka trying to get me to drop my case against him) - then he goes "he didn't re-evaluate, so he's scummy". I did re-evaluate, I just came to the same conclusion. The fact you townread me at first after I scumread you is already weird, but then your 180 on me is even weirder, only makes sense from a scum PoV

Posts from LightningStrike such as "why you guys trying to settle on to lynching low activity players? Why can't we lynch HF?" seem like actively trying to keep town into the good direction, where as scum you would want to keep town going after inactives (because, then you can just up your activity and join the hunt for inactives. it's an easy strategy for scum to bandwagon on town being bad and imploding, so trying to keep town in the right direction is major townpoints.)

Let's look at an earlier vote-count:

vote-count 3:

Holyflare (1) - LightningStrike
Grackaroni (2) - Palmar, sicklucker
sicklucker (2) - Prison Break, fuba
darthfoley (2) - raynpelikoneet, Vivax
Damdred (1) - Grackaroni
Skynx (1) - darthfoley

As to be seen here, if we assume there's 2 scum between (holyflare, sicklurker, skynx), then it makes sense that Damdred was the counterwagon to it. This vote-count does not prove anything, but like I said it's highly likely 1-2 scum were between these, and we know darthfoley-damdred aren't it, according to my reads.

I want to look more into Skynx before I give me opinion - does this site have an ISO fuction? Right now I'm going control f people's names but it's not the most effective way in the world, ugh.. Though Skynx pushed both sicklurker and holyflare so based on connections, it's likely that he's town or bussing, so I'm leaning Skynx on being town

I also want to look into Grackaroni as well, but sicklurker pushed him though, so prob not a team

We should kill Sicklurker and Holyflare 100%, will vote either of them
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 16:39 GMT
#910
Also note how HolyFlare tried to switch my attention away from sicklurker today. He kind of soft-defended him when I brought it up, and then he tells me the entire time to look elsewhere, as does sicklurker, so they're teaming up against me
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:12 GMT
#915
I thought you said you didn't like his day 1 + made a few posts about how he could be scum, like early this day

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:13 GMT
#916
On May 13 2017 01:50 Holyflare wrote:
Hm also:
Show nested quote +

According to my theory that "we prob catched 1-2 scum, and scum is now trying to spread the votes so it's not obvious who it is and they can control the lynch at any moment"


If that's your theory why do you begin looking for mafia in the people on the wagon?

Also you can press the filter button under a person's post and see alll their posts.


That was my theory earlier on, when everyone had 1-2 votes. Obviously as end of day nears, people want to push 1 townie for the mislynch, and in this case your last vote looked very bad
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:14 GMT
#917
scum wants the votes spread early-mid day, and want to steer them toward a townie mid-late day
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:15 GMT
#919
I've seen enough games where someone is townread by a lot of people from day 1 on, keeps getting defended by town + sometimes their mates, never gets lynched and ends up being scum

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:16 GMT
#920
On May 13 2017 02:14 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2017 02:12 Prison Break wrote:
I thought you said you didn't like his day 1 + made a few posts about how he could be scum, like early this day


All I said was I would try to get read him around Day 2 since he hard to read Day 1 since he doesn't play Day 1's.


Alright "push" is an overstatement, but from my PoV, as far as making reads go, I liked the fact you had the same concern as me (not liking his day 1), therefore I can see you being town because we think alike
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:23 GMT
#922
to set up the mislynch for tomorrow
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 17:44 GMT
#924
I already explained this, it's in scums benefit to have 2 town wagons to protect themselves if they have 1-2 votes on them themselves

So by killing Damdred instead of darthfoley, it sets up the fact people will likely want to lynch darthfoley the next day

I'm getting flood control'd btw since my acc is new lol
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 18:20 GMT
#928
I'm not saying you will, but it still gives you a cover, because town can look it it and see "2nd lynch target was darthfoley" instead of "2nd lynch target was sicklurker, holyflare, etc"

I'm confident your vote makes sense as scum, less confident it makes sense as town
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 19:53 GMT
#937
On May 13 2017 03:32 Holyflare wrote:
But i had a reason to vote damdred and you haven't even acknowledged it? Like, what is the alternative here if I didn't vote damdred? Nobody gets lynched? Darthfoley yoir town read dies?

Wut


So if you have a reason to vote that makes you town? both town and scum have reasons to vote people. if the lynch was between 2 people I townread I would defend both of them and push for the scummy person. you're really hiding behind the fact that you were protecting one person you say is town, by going after another person, while ignoring the fact that this makes sense from a scum PoV like I already explained
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 19:55 GMT
#939
On May 13 2017 04:52 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Prison Break;
The votes do not mean anything unless darthfoley is mafia. People here play quite differently than in other places. I suggest you dont get too hung up on VCA since the starting point of your analysis is already wrong.

Basically unless df is mafia scum can (and will) put their votes on who the fuck they want. Noone except for df and Damdred were really in fanger of getting lynched. We know 2 votes in a 13pl game on someone mid-day doesnt mean shit.

You really cant tell anything about votes except for that not all 3 mafia most likely voted the same person.


well the vote is what caught my attention, but not the reason I scumread him. It's a combination of him being scummy, me townreading others, me seeing him team up with sicklurker (I think they're a scumteam), and the vote also makes sense from a scum PoV

are you saying you think it's possible that there's 0 scum on the lynch wagon at all? that it was a townpush?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 12 2017 20:20 GMT
#945
On May 13 2017 05:11 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2017 02:44 Prison Break wrote:
I already explained this, it's in scums benefit to have 2 town wagons to protect themselves if they have 1-2 votes on them themselves

So by killing Damdred instead of darthfoley, it sets up the fact people will likely want to lynch darthfoley the next day

I'm getting flood control'd btw since my acc is new lol

This is bad reasoning dude....


Alright why is it bad, and how would you be interpreting the votes? I'm not saying what I say is 100% correct, but I'm going to need an alternative if you disagree, because like I said I can't make meta-reads so I'm mostly looking at votes, connections, and posts that stand out to me as being scummy
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 13 2017 15:35 GMT
#1053
fuba seems very calm and honest here

instead of overcompensating and try-hard convincing everyone he's town, he just admits that day 1 isn't his favorite day

as long as his story remains true, and his reads become more detailed as the game moves further away from day 1, I'll read him as town for it. don't see this being scum faking it tbh, that'd be a very risky play to say the least
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 13 2017 15:38 GMT
#1054
On May 13 2017 23:27 fuba wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2017 17:31 sicklucker wrote:
Also im the doctor and mafia medic dodged obv

Who'd you save, and why'd you claim now?


pretty sure this was a joke claim since it was explained later on

that said, if a player such as myself or you was doc here and decided to counterclaim, he could explain it was a meta-joke but scum could still nightkill the real doc who now claimed. I don't like it for one bit, very anti-town
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 13 2017 18:41 GMT
#1092
On May 14 2017 02:04 Holyflare wrote:
Also prison break, df is dead now. Your theory has completely fallen apart, any new theories now?


What?

Df flipping town only confirms my theory that there were 2 leading wagons on town, so we should look into the other voters. Are you saying we were so far off that we had barely any votes on scum at all? I've never seen that, and it's not like no one was caring D1 so I refuse to believe it. I also refuse to believe that there weren't any scumvotes at all on the lynch. your theories seem to grasp at the most unlikely possibilities rather than looking at the facts and what's likely to be the case, which is very scummy to do

town looks for probabilities, scum looks for possibilities that aren't likely, but make it seem like they are, and right now you're doing the latter. I still see a team between you & sicklurker as well, now you're pushing fuba? who posts very townie and - also - voted sicklurker? my theory has far from "fallen apart", in fact, it makes more sense now than ever, and you're giving us false information by stating otherwise

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 01:32 GMT
#1489
FUCK why did we lynch fuba, he was a HARD townread + I explained this, and he ALSO went after sicklurker d1

guess who's on the vote.... sicklurker....

reading through the pages now to see how this unfolded. holyflare and sicklurker escaped a lynch yet again....

is this seriously going to be one of those games where I catch scum d1 and then people refuse to lynch them and keep killing townies instead? goddamn this is frustrating...
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 01:39 GMT
#1490
On May 14 2017 20:06 Palmar wrote:
Actually fuck it

rayn is 100% town, but if the hosts are not gonna modkill people for flipping their shit I guess we do it for them.

i'm voting rayn. I don't care.

'
WTF is this

most scummy post so far - I hope you were joking

why would you lynch someone you townread ever, that's never justified and we're players not mods. this kind of play really only favors scum so you're either scum or bad town ....

lynch scumreads please
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 01:50 GMT
#1491
nvm I kind of like this guy's reads

got Palmar lean town

still disagree with policy lyches ever, can't stand them and won't encourage them ever either
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 03:06 GMT
#1494
On May 15 2017 02:01 Skynx wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 15 2017 01:23 Holyflare wrote:
skynx how the fuck can you call me mafia with fuba

what the actual shit

I dunno man nothing makes sense anymore this game


based on posts like this I'll townread Skynx

I've never seen mafia play so honest where they outright state being confused etc. it's always town who's lost and loses interest who actually states this, from my experience. mafia wants to be taken seriously, they wouldn't discredit their own reads like this
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 15:32 GMT
#1621
Alright I don't know how to be convincing or how to explain myself because everything I bring up a case or arguments people go "you're bad" "your arguments got disproven" "you live in a different world" which is frustrating as I don't understand why people keep saying that, but I want to make my point so I'll spell it out.

Initially SickLurkers post that caught my intention, was, a 100% scumtell. I don't care if he explained/changed it up AFTER I catched it.... what do you expect, do you expect him as scum
to go "yeah I was being vague - and after being called out, I'm going to remain vague", no, of course he's going to disprove it!

Fuba joined on the vote.... got lynched .... sicklurker was on the vote...

like this is just a gutfeel at this point but I just feel like scum is making sicklurker unlynchable, like scum somehow pushed the fuba lynch and keeps steering attetion away from sicklurker - now obviously town is mixed in this as well, and it's hard to decipher who is which, but really just look at what's going on and who's pushing who

I also feel like scum is disproving my points - although town doe as well, simply by the sheer numbers of people who do so, but looking at which directions the lynches are going, and which
directions the past 3 wagons went that have all flipped town by now (the 2 lynches+ the nightkill), this kind of proves my point and I've been trying to say they were town and made theories but people either disagreed without explaining why, or, they agreed but interpreted it wrongly

sicklurker literally OMGUS'd fuba back... townread me for my push on him at first (?) then later on he brought up me being scummy (??) , yet isn't pushing me, which shows he just wanted to see if town was ready to bite, which they weren't. testing the waters there, it seemed

I agree with who-ever said we need to form townblocks now because 3 votes on a mislynch... could've been 3 scum and no one would've known, that's really bad, we need to form wagons of 6-7 votes per person, which gives more information + puts WAY more pressure on scum... if scum can keep dodging lynches by creating a 3-person wagon, because their team has 1-2 votes on them, that's peanuts for scum. start a 5-6 person wagon. PUT SCUM FOR THE TEST. will they bandwagon, defend, bus? either is good because either gives information. right now town is too devided and it doesn't gain information

I think sicklurker is most consistently scummy and he should be the priorty lynch. really he has done nothing townie whatsoever since I called him out, and too many people either townread,
defend him or steer attention away everytime he's mentioned, to the point where scum HAS to play a role in that..

once sicklurker flips scum we need to look into these question marks and look at the people who:

- steered away attention
- were vague on him
- pushed the most people who flipped town
- joined/defended or ignored him for seemingly insincere reasons
- were the 1-2 voters because that's where scum wants to steer attention away from....

then, the people who hit the most out of these checkmarks will be our lynchpool. then we cut the obvious townreads, and then the poule should be small enough to have a high chance of lynching scum. like 3-4 people out of which 2 are scum, or like 2 people out of which 1-2 scum, etc.

that's how I think scum should be lynched, which will the highest percentage chance of finding scum. right now, town seems LOST, and people scumread each other based off EMOTIONAL reasons, and really people are way too divided and aren't thinking about the game clearly. we need to change that up. think someone is scum? alright make a case. I just learned "filter" means "ISO" so I will be able to filter anyone now instead of having to do the control f thing I did which took a shitload of time.

start cooperating, playing together, looking at the game objectively mixed in with reads, and that's how we can turn this shitty game around and still turn it into a townwin. I think that's possible. but people shouldnt give up and troll, grudge-lynch, fake-claim, etc because none of that is contributing anything to town right now

I'm pretty confident in my town and scumreads. There are a few question marks as well that I want to see how they connect and how that develops for now before I'll blaze my guns at them, because after 2mislynches we need a SCUM lynch now, and can't afford to lynch question marks yet IMO
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 15:54 GMT
#1625
k will filter skynx now
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 15 2017 23:40 GMT
#1733
so let's see...

- skynx claims cop, redcheck on tumblewood

- tumblewood counterclaims after getting redchecked (lol), then claims parity cop (claiming different set-up to out the doc?), and claims palmar is different alignment from me. I had palmar as a townread so I don't buy this claim at all

easy tumblewood lynch today

BETTER YET holy flare comes in asking to get scanned... when people pointed out cop-doc set-up has a framer... so my guess is holyflare is using framer on himself and now tries to draw a scan towards himself... smart

scumteam tumblewood holyflare sicklurker, easy game

kill tumblewood first to confirm skynx as town so that doc can heal him
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 16 2017 16:53 GMT
#1779
On May 16 2017 22:59 Vivax wrote:
If my townread on TW is anything like the townread on PB then he must be mafia


What does this sentence mean?

TW is mafia, he counterclaimed because he got caught.. claimed different set-up to get doc to out.. if scum fake claimed, what are the odds of the real cop being the one who got checked?

Also what does "spew town" mean? I see that phrase being used quite a lot, is it when you try to get town killed or something?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 16 2017 19:26 GMT
#1785
On May 17 2017 02:08 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 17 2017 01:53 Prison Break wrote:
On May 16 2017 22:59 Vivax wrote:
If my townread on TW is anything like the townread on PB then he must be mafia


What does this sentence mean?

TW is mafia, he counterclaimed because he got caught.. claimed different set-up to get doc to out.. if scum fake claimed, what are the odds of the real cop being the one who got checked?

Also what does "spew town" mean? I see that phrase being used quite a lot, is it when you try to get town killed or something?


It means that my TR on TW was bad and therefore it could be bad on you too.

And spewing town means that a mafia knowing someone is town gives it away in their posts.


Are you saying because you were wrong on one read, you're probably wrong on another read as well, and now you're saying that person is a scumteam with them? What kind of shitty logic is that.

This is pretty suspicious on your side. Not only did you townread Tumblewood, but instead of eating it up, you use it as some kind of justification to go after another townread as well?

Not only that, but you also conclude palmars and my aligment based on tumblewoods filter, without considering the fact scum can pocket townies to make them lynch targets after they flip

I also have palmar as a hard townread and you say he's scum as well

this is a really fucking scummy post, going to keep an eye on you in case I'm wrong on holyflare or sicklurker, but so far I still like them for scum
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 16 2017 19:27 GMT
#1786
like if you're town, I'm going to assume you realize how bad the logic is

"I was wrong once - so I'm wrong on someone else as well and I will not reverse my reads for no good reason"
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 16 2017 19:27 GMT
#1787
EBWOP: "and I will now* inverse my reads"
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 17 2017 23:34 GMT
#1840
Eh my theory on holyflare trying to direct a scan towards himself and then frame it so he can ride confirmed town status etc, admittedly makes less sense now due to tumblewood flipping framer

and holyflare seemed extremely paranoid with arguing tumblewood could be town like why would scum ever go on and ramble about that? I can see it being town trying to figure out the set-up, unless if he's scum and wants us to fake it... so the real question is do we believe him or not.. it seemed pretty real though, can't place it in my head as scum

going to think he may be town now, just don't think his current play makes sense as scum at all

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 17 2017 23:37 GMT
#1841
if I'm wrong though I'm going to hate myself ... ugh.... I don't like changing reads but I have a bad habbit of tunneling, shouldn't be limiting myself just because I could be wrong, if he's scum and I'm wrong then that sucks, but I am confident enough in my townread to not want to lynch him today
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 02:52 GMT
#1843
On May 18 2017 10:51 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 18 2017 08:37 Prison Break wrote:
if I'm wrong though I'm going to hate myself ... ugh.... I don't like changing reads but I have a bad habbit of tunneling, shouldn't be limiting myself just because I could be wrong, if he's scum and I'm wrong then that sucks, but I am confident enough in my townread to not want to lynch him today

This post seems scummy to me.


Why, you think his play makes sense as scum? I had him as scum prior, but after his recent play I've changed my mind. What's scummy about changing your mind according to new evidence? The tunneling thing is something people often accuse me of, since I'm new here I guess that's not common knowledge yet.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 05:34 GMT
#1850
On May 18 2017 12:41 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 18 2017 11:52 Prison Break wrote:
On May 18 2017 10:51 Grackaroni wrote:
On May 18 2017 08:37 Prison Break wrote:
if I'm wrong though I'm going to hate myself ... ugh.... I don't like changing reads but I have a bad habbit of tunneling, shouldn't be limiting myself just because I could be wrong, if he's scum and I'm wrong then that sucks, but I am confident enough in my townread to not want to lynch him today

This post seems scummy to me.


Why, you think his play makes sense as scum? I had him as scum prior, but after his recent play I've changed my mind. What's scummy about changing your mind according to new evidence? The tunneling thing is something people often accuse me of, since I'm new here I guess that's not common knowledge yet.

HF can be pretty sneaky.

But it seems kind of scummy to me because there's too much anguish over dropping a scum read, like you're too worried that we're going to call you out for switching your read on HF.

I think it's the "...ugh..." in the middle of the sentence that bothers me. It just feels unnatural to me.


I was pretty confident he was scum earlier on. His play is messing with my head. I don't care what others think, I care about being right. I think I'm still right on sicklurker
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 16:53 GMT
#1894
I've nailed it down to this

town: LS, Palmar, HF

scum: Grack or Vivax
scum: sicklurker

but vivax pushed sicklurker, so grack is more likely. vivax did have a weird post where he'd question why people would lynch sicklurker though, which can be interpreted as softdefending. I really don't like vivax "if my townread on TW is anything like my townread on PB then he must be mafia", that sounded insincere and it's complete bullshit. what's holding me back is that vivax pushes sicklurker now

as for grackeroni, he mentioned my post seemed scummy (where I went from scumreading HF to townreading him based on his posting), then when called out on it he basically retracted it pretty fast. seemed like he was trying to see if others would catch on, and when they didn't he kind of dropped it. Very scummy. If HF is town, and I went from scumreading to townreading him, then I can imagine scum being frustrated by that because they obviously want town to kill other town, so I can see this play having a scum motive. Don't see how it makes sense from town though

I think 2 scum is between these 3, LS palmar have been townie all game. no way HF is scum and being that paranoid yesterday, that seemed very real and townlike. so yeah I want to lynch between these 3, and I think both scum are between them
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 17:10 GMT
#1900
On May 19 2017 01:59 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 18 2017 14:34 Prison Break wrote:
On May 18 2017 12:41 Grackaroni wrote:
On May 18 2017 11:52 Prison Break wrote:
On May 18 2017 10:51 Grackaroni wrote:
On May 18 2017 08:37 Prison Break wrote:
if I'm wrong though I'm going to hate myself ... ugh.... I don't like changing reads but I have a bad habbit of tunneling, shouldn't be limiting myself just because I could be wrong, if he's scum and I'm wrong then that sucks, but I am confident enough in my townread to not want to lynch him today

This post seems scummy to me.


Why, you think his play makes sense as scum? I had him as scum prior, but after his recent play I've changed my mind. What's scummy about changing your mind according to new evidence? The tunneling thing is something people often accuse me of, since I'm new here I guess that's not common knowledge yet.

HF can be pretty sneaky.

But it seems kind of scummy to me because there's too much anguish over dropping a scum read, like you're too worried that we're going to call you out for switching your read on HF.

I think it's the "...ugh..." in the middle of the sentence that bothers me. It just feels unnatural to me.


I was pretty confident he was scum earlier on. His play is messing with my head. I don't care what others think, I care about being right. I think I'm still right on sicklurker


see this is my problem with you. do you want to be right ? or do you want to find mafia. because they are not mutually exlusive. I am not mafia and you have been wrong all game. So are you chasing losses here? or just scum


wtf?

I want to lynch scum. In order to lynch scum, I must be right on who I lynch. You're completely taking these words out of the context. The context in which I said this was when I said I'd hate myself if HF was scum, to which I got called out (by your possible scummate?) that I was supposedly worried about how I'd look or some BS like that. To which I explained to him, that I'm worried about being right. So within this context, the meanig is obviously that I only want to lynch people that are scum

You saying I've been wrong this entire game is a complete misrep. I've been right on multiple things and I'm tunneling you because you're scum. So you're using your alignment as an argument to say I'm wrong - while for all we know, you could be lying about it. So it's not a valid argument. What is a valid argument, though, is that you're outright misleading people with what you're saying and that you made weird flip flops and what not.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 17:12 GMT
#1902
On May 19 2017 02:07 sicklucker wrote:
lets just say if im mafia with tumble +1 i would never let those morons kill df who town reads me over others


WIFOM

self-meta

nice argument
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 17:16 GMT
#1905
So is your insult on SL random, or do you think he's scum?

We need to get to a lynch and there's no obvious lynch candidate, so I think SL should be looked into today, as I've been advocating the last 2 days as well.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 17:17 GMT
#1906
currently leaning SL + grack as the team
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 19:06 GMT
#1929
On May 19 2017 02:48 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2017 02:10 Prison Break wrote:
On May 19 2017 01:59 sicklucker wrote:
On May 18 2017 14:34 Prison Break wrote:
On May 18 2017 12:41 Grackaroni wrote:
On May 18 2017 11:52 Prison Break wrote:
On May 18 2017 10:51 Grackaroni wrote:
On May 18 2017 08:37 Prison Break wrote:
if I'm wrong though I'm going to hate myself ... ugh.... I don't like changing reads but I have a bad habbit of tunneling, shouldn't be limiting myself just because I could be wrong, if he's scum and I'm wrong then that sucks, but I am confident enough in my townread to not want to lynch him today

This post seems scummy to me.


Why, you think his play makes sense as scum? I had him as scum prior, but after his recent play I've changed my mind. What's scummy about changing your mind according to new evidence? The tunneling thing is something people often accuse me of, since I'm new here I guess that's not common knowledge yet.

HF can be pretty sneaky.

But it seems kind of scummy to me because there's too much anguish over dropping a scum read, like you're too worried that we're going to call you out for switching your read on HF.

I think it's the "...ugh..." in the middle of the sentence that bothers me. It just feels unnatural to me.


I was pretty confident he was scum earlier on. His play is messing with my head. I don't care what others think, I care about being right. I think I'm still right on sicklurker


see this is my problem with you. do you want to be right ? or do you want to find mafia. because they are not mutually exlusive. I am not mafia and you have been wrong all game. So are you chasing losses here? or just scum


wtf?

I want to lynch scum. In order to lynch scum, I must be right on who I lynch. You're completely taking these words out of the context. The context in which I said this was when I said I'd hate myself if HF was scum, to which I got called out (by your possible scummate?) that I was supposedly worried about how I'd look or some BS like that. To which I explained to him, that I'm worried about being right. So within this context, the meanig is obviously that I only want to lynch people that are scum

You saying I've been wrong this entire game is a complete misrep. I've been right on multiple things and I'm tunneling you because you're scum. So you're using your alignment as an argument to say I'm wrong - while for all we know, you could be lying about it. So it's not a valid argument. What is a valid argument, though, is that you're outright misleading people with what you're saying and that you made weird flip flops and what not.


you said you want to be right. as in you dont want to change your scum read on me because that would make you wrong. its pretty simple


I said I want to be right when I decided on changing my scumread on HF to a townread on him. So I literally changed my read there.

The reason I haven't changed my read on you is because you haven't convinced me you're town at all. I think you're scum. You completely misinterpret what I said. I wasn't talking about you in that post at all.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 19:09 GMT
#1930
On May 19 2017 02:52 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2017 02:17 Prison Break wrote:
currently leaning SL + grack as the team


how is that ever a team honestly. look where my day 1 vote was


You outright suggest Grack mafia with 1 of 3, out of which I am one of the 3, when I outright say I want him dead. LOL. So how can we ever be a team? Using your own bad logic against you here... stay consistent please.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 21:03 GMT
#2030
wtf

3 doc claims and not 1 was able to save the cop

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 18 2017 21:04 GMT
#2032
like at this point I'm not even taking these claims seriously since it's all mindgames anyway
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 18:33 GMT
#2258
On May 19 2017 22:34 Palmar wrote:
I can't even remember what it is that people scumread me for this game btw... I literally have no idea.


they think you framed yourself when you got greenchecked lol

talking about paranoia
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 18:36 GMT
#2259
what I don't understand is if HF isn't doc then how did the cop get nightkilled?

I thought scum roleblocked HF and killed the cop

yes grack says he didn't heal the cop, which is possible, but the problem is how does scum know this? would they seriously kill a cop if they didn't know who the doc was?

so I think when HF claimed, this explains it

killing palmar seems stupid given the greencheck as well

what are the arguments for killing LS? he seems townie to me, don't think he'll flip mafia
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 18:39 GMT
#2260
On May 20 2017 01:06 Vivax wrote:
It looks like I will have to vote HF anyways cause we need at least 4 votes to secure a lynch against mafia and SL doesn't want to lynch you, ironically you think he can be mafia.

When US is online we will see what they say


there are plenty of people who want to lynch sicklurker

or are you protecting him here? what has he done to make you think he's town
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 19:13 GMT
#2261
On May 19 2017 19:29 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 19 2017 19:26 Holyflare wrote:
5vs2 now

If we kill SL and he's town then 3vs2 and tomorrow is lylo with vivax or whatever dying.

If he's mafia then that's basically gg. I don't think the final mafia can hide for more cycles, it's getting pretty tight for them.

Here's what I'm thinking.

If I kill you today and you flip mafia, what happens tomorrow?

If the answer to that question is "we lynch SL", I'm perfectly okay with lynching him today, because:

a) you have a stupidly long filter (which you always do but still...)
b) I'm not 100% convinced you're scum
c) sicklucker is far less likely to say smart and useful things should he be the mislynch between you two
d) pb has been on his case since day 1, I just read pb's filter and I'm both impressed and kinda want to grant him his lynch

Show nested quote +
On May 15 2017 10:32 Prison Break wrote:
FUCK why did we lynch fuba, he was a HARD townread + I explained this, and he ALSO went after sicklurker d1

guess who's on the vote.... sicklurker....

reading through the pages now to see how this unfolded. holyflare and sicklurker escaped a lynch yet again....

is this seriously going to be one of those games where I catch scum d1 and then people refuse to lynch them and keep killing townies instead? goddamn this is frustrating...


I kinda want to help this guy.


What do you make of the people who don't want to lynch sicklurker, and want to lynch you despite you having the green check?

lightning strike and grack still have their vote on you. I think grack is scum as well as sicklurker. 2 scum should be between sicklurker, vivax and grack.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:02 GMT
#2266
On May 20 2017 04:28 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2017 04:13 Prison Break wrote:
On May 19 2017 19:29 Palmar wrote:
On May 19 2017 19:26 Holyflare wrote:
5vs2 now

If we kill SL and he's town then 3vs2 and tomorrow is lylo with vivax or whatever dying.

If he's mafia then that's basically gg. I don't think the final mafia can hide for more cycles, it's getting pretty tight for them.

Here's what I'm thinking.

If I kill you today and you flip mafia, what happens tomorrow?

If the answer to that question is "we lynch SL", I'm perfectly okay with lynching him today, because:

a) you have a stupidly long filter (which you always do but still...)
b) I'm not 100% convinced you're scum
c) sicklucker is far less likely to say smart and useful things should he be the mislynch between you two
d) pb has been on his case since day 1, I just read pb's filter and I'm both impressed and kinda want to grant him his lynch

On May 15 2017 10:32 Prison Break wrote:
FUCK why did we lynch fuba, he was a HARD townread + I explained this, and he ALSO went after sicklurker d1

guess who's on the vote.... sicklurker....

reading through the pages now to see how this unfolded. holyflare and sicklurker escaped a lynch yet again....

is this seriously going to be one of those games where I catch scum d1 and then people refuse to lynch them and keep killing townies instead? goddamn this is frustrating...


I kinda want to help this guy.


What do you make of the people who don't want to lynch sicklurker, and want to lynch you despite you having the green check?

lightning strike and grack still have their vote on you. I think grack is scum as well as sicklurker. 2 scum should be between sicklurker, vivax and grack.


I don't think you know who you're dealing with when it comes to Palmar and Holyflare. Suffice to say I've been on this site for almost ten years, Palmar even longer. I advise you to sheep someone townie until you know the players a bit better, and fyi I'm currently the uncontested medic claim.


I saw 3 doc claims + a lot of "WIFOM/mind gaming scum"

You say you're the uncontested medic claim... but I've seen at least 2 other claims as well

If everyone will accept you as the doc and retract their claims I'll back off from you as you'd be confirmed town obviously

Thing about Palmar and HF seems to be that everyone seems to be tunneling them and I just feel like that's somehing mafia would do.... like leave them alive and let them fight each other because the moment 1 flips, the other will follow soon after

Between palmar and HF I'd kill HF first everytime simply because of the palmar green check. Yes, he could be framed, but odds of that are 33%, so in 67% of cases palmar is confirmed town, and in 33% he could literally be either town or scum, basically (aka same as if he weren't checked)

I also still don't understand that the cop died. Explain to me, if you were doc why didn't you heal the cop? and why did scum nightkill the cop?

Isn't it more likely to assume HF is doc. From your PoV if you're actually doc you know his claim is false, obviously, but from my PoV I can only base my opinion off of what you guys give me, and right now I've seen 3 docclaims and a lot of joking/mindgaming, to the point where I don't know which claim to take seriously anymore
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:06 GMT
#2267
Either way we shouldn't be lynching a doc, because we should put scum for the task, if they nightkill the doc they give up the fact they can hold onto their fake claim etc. which gives us more info

so with that said, and 3 doc claims, lynch should be between palmar and SL

but, say I'm wrong on SL, which I have no reason to believe, but say I'm wrong on him: then I still wonder if palmar is the correct lynch, because it's based entirely on the theory that he framed himself to begin with. It's a possibility, but I don't think it's a probability

also why is grack spawned town at all? depending on the scumteam, TW could've said whatever he wanted to, so why are people looking so much into this? I've seen scum leaving "hints" towards who are or aren't their partners in posts in case they flip, to lead town into more mislynches as well. I'm sceptic towards looking into TWs posts like that
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:08 GMT
#2269
I will go with who-ever we decide to lynch, because obviously close to MYLO/LYLO, so we need to cooperate

I want us to be able to form 1 big wagon, and not like 1-2 seperate votes on multiple people so that scum can decide the lynch etc.

But I need a good case before I'll vote someone, I won't vote someone if I have no reason to believe they're scum
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:09 GMT
#2271
That only explains part of it. It explains your part (not healing), but it doesn't explain scums part (killing the cop)

Why would scum ever shoot the cop if they can rb? I can't make sense out of that. Unless if you're scum and you roleblocked HF?

Also did grack retract his claim at all?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:10 GMT
#2272
On May 20 2017 05:08 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2017 04:18 LightningStrike wrote:
With that in mind I going to unvote until we have a confirmation of who we lynching today between Palmar and HF becuase I think the game will solve itself after lynching the scum of the two in my world.


Still not mafia.

Calling sicklucker mafia but don't want to lynch him though. Noted.


Hey are you claiming doc or not. Or if you're mindgaming and don't want to answer, at least tell me you're mindgaming. Because I can't make reads if I don't know who is even claiming what anymore
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:14 GMT
#2275
On May 20 2017 05:11 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2017 05:06 Prison Break wrote:
Either way we shouldn't be lynching a doc, because we should put scum for the task, if they nightkill the doc they give up the fact they can hold onto their fake claim etc. which gives us more info

so with that said, and 3 doc claims, lynch should be between palmar and SL

but, say I'm wrong on SL, which I have no reason to believe, but say I'm wrong on him: then I still wonder if palmar is the correct lynch, because it's based entirely on the theory that he framed himself to begin with. It's a possibility, but I don't think it's a probability

also why is grack spawned town at all? depending on the scumteam, TW could've said whatever he wanted to, so why are people looking so much into this? I've seen scum leaving "hints" towards who are or aren't their partners in posts in case they flip, to lead town into more mislynches as well. I'm sceptic towards looking into TWs posts like that


I'm confident that TW was the type of mafia that hard townread towns and left everyone else including his buddies and his daily mislynch at something more obfuscate.


What do you base this one?

Link me to earlier mafia games where he did this?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 20:39 GMT
#2281
On May 20 2017 05:19 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2017 05:14 Prison Break wrote:
On May 20 2017 05:11 Vivax wrote:
On May 20 2017 05:06 Prison Break wrote:
Either way we shouldn't be lynching a doc, because we should put scum for the task, if they nightkill the doc they give up the fact they can hold onto their fake claim etc. which gives us more info

so with that said, and 3 doc claims, lynch should be between palmar and SL

but, say I'm wrong on SL, which I have no reason to believe, but say I'm wrong on him: then I still wonder if palmar is the correct lynch, because it's based entirely on the theory that he framed himself to begin with. It's a possibility, but I don't think it's a probability

also why is grack spawned town at all? depending on the scumteam, TW could've said whatever he wanted to, so why are people looking so much into this? I've seen scum leaving "hints" towards who are or aren't their partners in posts in case they flip, to lead town into more mislynches as well. I'm sceptic towards looking into TWs posts like that


I'm confident that TW was the type of mafia that hard townread towns and left everyone else including his buddies and his daily mislynch at something more obfuscate.


What do you base this one?

Link me to earlier mafia games where he did this?


Show nested quote +
On May 12 2017 05:01 Tumblewood wrote:
rayn, grack, ls, probably prison break are all town. Palmar Hf vivax sl not worth lynching d1 for various reasons. anyone else I would at least consider today. but fuba promised to do stuff and didn't so I am sticking on him unless you try to go lynch like grack


He's mentioning all players currently alive here, including yourself and a flipped rayn as town. The only ones he keeps at a waffly level are Palmar, HF, me and SL and to a small extent you. And those are exactly who I'm aiming to lynch this game. Always 1 scum in Palmar and HF and if we don't win, then we get SL.

Show nested quote +
On May 14 2017 08:45 Tumblewood wrote:
fuck, everything about the nk says palmar over hf but it's so bad that it has to be wifom. because you are not telling me that anyone other than hf/palmar chose the nightkill


Also this heavily implies one or both of Palmar and HF.

Sorry but if you don't see that TW had trouble not keeping his perfect information out of his posts, I don't know how to explain it better to you.


So you're aiming to lynch palmar, HF, SL, and maybe me?

And somehow this should convince me that you're town?

You're stretching. You're either doc or scum which is the reason you're never the lynch today, but your logic is bad

You could've easily told him to do that btw because you keep bringing it up now... also you didn't link me to earlier games, where HF did
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 19 2017 21:43 GMT
#2301
what's the case on LS?

outside of cherry picking TW's posts please, I don't buy that
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 04:31 GMT
#2334
On May 20 2017 12:25 sicklucker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 20 2017 05:06 Prison Break wrote:
Either way we shouldn't be lynching a doc, because we should put scum for the task, if they nightkill the doc they give up the fact they can hold onto their fake claim etc. which gives us more info

so with that said, and 3 doc claims, lynch should be between palmar and SL

but, say I'm wrong on SL, which I have no reason to believe, but say I'm wrong on him: then I still wonder if palmar is the correct lynch, because it's based entirely on the theory that he framed himself to begin with. It's a possibility, but I don't think it's a probability

also why is grack spawned town at all? depending on the scumteam, TW could've said whatever he wanted to, so why are people looking so much into this? I've seen scum leaving "hints" towards who are or aren't their partners in posts in case they flip, to lead town into more mislynches as well. I'm sceptic towards looking into TWs posts like that


vivax is the doctor... hell I even soft claimed doctor your so tunneled its insane


what, you softclaimed doc? so we have 4 doc claims?

like I said I'll buy vivax being doc if and only if grack and HF acknowledge this as well

I'm here
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 04:33 GMT
#2335
I need a good case before I will consider others

and right now I only receive mystery and sandbagging, nothing I can work with
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 04:40 GMT
#2337
alright so vivax or HF

if HF unclaims I'll take vivax as confirmed town

if not, it's between the 2 of them, and vivax isn't looking good at all. only reason I'd consider him town is if HF unclaims
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 05:12 GMT
#2340
4, he doesn't have lightning strike

I'll vote HF because I don't want scum to decide the lynch

Still not convinced you're town for the record but I'm not going to be able to convince 4 people after I've already brought up all arguments, and we need a lynch. If HF flips scum you'll receive townie points for pushing it through though

At least this lynch is better than palmars because palmar got greenchecked day 1, which gives him over 67% of being town (can only frame 1 of the 3 members, aka 33% it was palmar)
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 16:13 GMT
#2421
I kind of think LS is scum now instead of HF

But no way we're not lynching HF after everyone wants him dead + he retracted being doc

So vivax being doc, palmar being green checked. If it's not grack then it must be LS + SL
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 16:40 GMT
#2424
Yes it's possible but seems unlikely

If HF Flips scum then SL is town
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 17:25 GMT
#2426
It worries me that some people say HF or palmar are scum, and others say HF+palmar are scum

We need to come to a consensus once HF flips

I don't think they're a likely team tbh
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 20 2017 18:48 GMT
#2429
Who's willing to lynch LS?

I think he's scum regardless of HF's flip tbh

If HF is scum I can see him bussing here because if HF dies, it makes LS look better

If HF is town then everyone voting him (and palmar before) instead of LS/SL is something to be concerned about
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 00:57 GMT
#2506
It's either LS or grack. Prob LS, HF's case was actually good and prob made to look LS look better if HF died

Sicklurker is clear for pushing HF over others extremely hard

Palmar had green check + opposed HF entire game so also clear

Vivax doc
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 17:11 GMT
#2590
On May 21 2017 20:44 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2017 20:30 Vivax wrote:
In HFs world.

"Hey HF, let's lynch Palmar"
"nah I'm gonna go for these SL and LS guys instead"

If we assume Palmar is town, what was HF thinking?

(1) "I'm going to die before him and frame him with association on the off chance that they lynch him tomorrow herp"

(2) "I'm going to mislynch him, then I get killed by paranoid townies anyway derp"

Both scenarios result in his death. But scenario (1) is just straight out suicide which is what happened. HF killed himself this day. Indisputable fact.

And the only argument here for him to suicide here that you can bring from a perspective where Palmar is town, is that he wanted to frame Palmar by helping him. Palmar who voted for him without batting an eye when given the opportunity.

And the conclusion is:

Two ways out. Both with the same result for HF (one being mislynch Palmar while being alive, and one being mislynch Palmar after getting lynched) . And he chose the worst to achieve the same result he could have achieved by simply mislynching Palmar? That's where Palmar = town all falls apart.


This is what you call a checkmate by the way. Nobody can ever argue against this, it's cristalline, hard logic. While I understand the frustration for being scumread for this without a chance to defend yourself, it's the nail in the coffin and nothing else is required.


While this is indeed a strong argument that makes me want to consider Palmar again, there are 3 even stronger reasons why I won't, and they are:

- palmars green check which means even if he's mafia - there's only 33% chance he framed himself

- palmar has raised a good point where he said that HF is mafia, and based on palmars play himself it seems townie

- HF suiciding and wanting LS dead is something I interpret it as him trying to get people to townread LS and it's working. I also didnt like LS' posting that day

I don't think I'd ever vote palmar here
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 17:38 GMT
#2592
The important question is if HF, TW and palmar are scum together: who would they frame?

Apparently not TW because of the red check. You'd assume they frame the same person every night for consistency' sake. So between HF and Palmar which one is the better frame?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 20:34 GMT
#2607
On May 22 2017 02:44 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 22 2017 02:11 Prison Break wrote:
On May 21 2017 20:44 Vivax wrote:
On May 21 2017 20:30 Vivax wrote:
In HFs world.

"Hey HF, let's lynch Palmar"
"nah I'm gonna go for these SL and LS guys instead"

If we assume Palmar is town, what was HF thinking?

(1) "I'm going to die before him and frame him with association on the off chance that they lynch him tomorrow herp"

(2) "I'm going to mislynch him, then I get killed by paranoid townies anyway derp"

Both scenarios result in his death. But scenario (1) is just straight out suicide which is what happened. HF killed himself this day. Indisputable fact.

And the only argument here for him to suicide here that you can bring from a perspective where Palmar is town, is that he wanted to frame Palmar by helping him. Palmar who voted for him without batting an eye when given the opportunity.

And the conclusion is:

Two ways out. Both with the same result for HF (one being mislynch Palmar while being alive, and one being mislynch Palmar after getting lynched) . And he chose the worst to achieve the same result he could have achieved by simply mislynching Palmar? That's where Palmar = town all falls apart.


This is what you call a checkmate by the way. Nobody can ever argue against this, it's cristalline, hard logic. While I understand the frustration for being scumread for this without a chance to defend yourself, it's the nail in the coffin and nothing else is required.


While this is indeed a strong argument that makes me want to consider Palmar again, there are 3 even stronger reasons why I won't, and they are:

- palmars green check which means even if he's mafia - there's only 33% chance he framed himself

- palmar has raised a good point where he said that HF is mafia, and based on palmars play himself it seems townie

- HF suiciding and wanting LS dead is something I interpret it as him trying to get people to townread LS and it's working. I also didnt like LS' posting that day

I don't think I'd ever vote palmar here


Why do you assume that mafia picks the frame randomly? Palmar is the roleblocker, had some soft suspicion on him D1, and is generally speaking the most experienced player in the game, with mafias strongest role. He gets checked N1. Do you think that he didn't see that coming?


To be honest I didn't think about it that way. In general when someone gets green checked I auto-assume it's correct because often it is, and stuff like godfather, or in this case, framer, are often unlikely.

If you guys are certain they'd frame palmar over HF i'd have to reconsider...

But it still seems strange that HF would connect to palmar so obviously by outright wanting anyone dead except him? Not sure what to think about that tbh. Palmars posts today seem very townie to me
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 20:39 GMT
#2609
Sorry about my post.

Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 20:48 GMT
#2610
I'm sold that palmar would be framed because he's rb, but, this doesn't make him scum: it just means he's not greenchecked at most. Sicklurker of course it's not a redcheck, wtf, because he'd be greenchecked as town as well. At best it's a nullcheck. Like he wasn't checked at all.

But I think HF would be trying to kill his teammate there. Because defending makes palmar look bad if HF flips, he seems like a good player so he'd do the opposite. Like he would probably attack LS Because it's so unexpected and people would assume palmar scum instead of LS... which is exactly what he wants. And setting up a mislynch before or after your death is about as good - but this way, he'd also make LS look townier. So I'm inversing my immediate thoughts (defending = scummates), because HF seems like the type to do the opposite. Basically what palmar says: mafia is manipulating people, and intentionally pocketing townies etc.

I really doubt palmar would flip mafia to be honest.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 21 2017 20:49 GMT
#2611
I think LS or grack is the correct lynch, leaning LS
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 22 2017 16:25 GMT
#2633
I'll only go with grack if no one wants LS
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 14:51 GMT
#2663
Yea LightningStrike this just seems like you want to keep your options open. Like with your post you could basically go for anyone (today + tomorrow). Also saying someone is "town but not nightkilled" is a beyond stupid argument for a reason you acknowledged yourself in the same post.. cop and doc claims.It seems like you're stretching to set up 2 mislynches and you don't want to rule out any opportunity yet in case it backfires.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 17:16 GMT
#2667
what, are you giving up?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:32 GMT
#2756
On May 24 2017 03:00 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 02:59 Grackaroni wrote:
Is nobody else considering PB scum?

I am but I don't have a solid case on it and he OMGUS his vote on me when I mention there still a chance he's scum.


Misrepresentation of what's happening. Read today. I wanted to lynch you or Grack,leaning you. sicklurker adviced me to vote grack. I said I would only go with it if no one wanted you. Which sicklurker assured me. Then palmar voted you, so sicklurkers statement that no one else wanted you, is false. Then I voted you. If anything, you OMGUS me.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:36 GMT
#2757
On May 24 2017 02:35 Grackaroni wrote:
PB why did you dislike HF during the start of the game? I can't quite follow it in your filter but in the first few pages you consistently have SL as #1 and HF #2 scum.


Combination of a few things.

I did post an analysis of my thought process and how the lynches were decided. I didn't think they seemed scummy. Holyflare came in late with the bandwagon vote which made him look bad. At the moment his vote + my townread on others meant that holyflare and sicklurker were most likely scum, because holyflare had 2 votes as well at some point, and it was likely that scum was steering attention away from themselves. Then later on, it seemed like everytime I wanted to push sicklurker or HF, someone would come in and steer attention away, and everytime I mentioned sicklurker, HF would come in and continuously say I should look elsewhere, etc. which I took as soft-defending sicklurker, which reinforced my idea of them being a team together.

I could go into more detail if you want, but what's important now is that I don't think sicklurker is scum, simply because he hard pushed the HF lynch. I still think his day 1/2 were scummy, but I rule him out purely based on HF's flip, so his day 1/2 doesn't really matter anymore.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:55 GMT
#2760
I think I win as long as we're not lynching palmar SL personally, but the difference between Grack and LS, here, Grack seems to actually want to find out my alignment. I like that. He asks questions, looks into my posts, and is doing analysis and hunting for the last scum. LS, however, jumps on this immediately and goes to vote me, uses the opportunity to suggest I was "OMGUS-voting" him by voting me back immediately, and he was so trigger happy that he didn't even read my posts today: because I had stated like 10x why LS should be the lynch. And it's not like I'm tunneling you this game, early on I thought your posts were townlike, but as the game has developed your posts have become worse and worse and you either don't care or can't handle the pressure anymore at this point. Your posts are not coherent and they don't make sense. You have no case against me, you admit this much, yet you're bandwagoning Grack on the vote on me. Grack, while he also doesn't have a case, doesn't claim he has one either, he's honest in his intention of investigating me.

Really I think lightningstrike's response here is terrible but if people want a Grack lynch I'll go with it. I think we won't lose as long as we don't lynch palmar. HF - Palmar scumteam seems almost as bad as a SL - HF scumteam, I don't understand how SL is so convinced palmar is scum.

SL - why are you so damn convinced? You told me to stop tunneling you, and I did (although it took a HF flip for me to realize it), maybe it's time for you to stop tunneling palmar now.

And if Palmar was scum, he could have teamed up with Grack and LS to lynch me as well, instead he chose to defend me, which gives him town points. Unlike LS who jumps on ASAP.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:56 GMT
#2761
On May 24 2017 04:47 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 04:32 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 03:00 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 24 2017 02:59 Grackaroni wrote:
Is nobody else considering PB scum?

I am but I don't have a solid case on it and he OMGUS his vote on me when I mention there still a chance he's scum.


Misrepresentation of what's happening. Read today. I wanted to lynch you or Grack,leaning you. sicklurker adviced me to vote grack. I said I would only go with it if no one wanted you. Which sicklurker assured me. Then palmar voted you, so sicklurkers statement that no one else wanted you, is false. Then I voted you. If anything, you OMGUS me.

Ugh it very opportunistic to me?


Read my posts for today please, and the reason I unvoted you. I had my vote on you and stated intent to lynch you today. I only unvoted - voted again because of whether or not other people wanted you as well, because I can't singlehandedly lynch you, and we need to form a strong vote block today.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:57 GMT
#2762
You act like I voted you because you suspected me - and act like I didn't want to lynch you prior to it at all

Now THAT is suspicious
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 19:58 GMT
#2763
On May 24 2017 04:48 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 04:05 Palmar wrote:
LS, can you explain, no matter how bad your explanation is, why you think I'm more likely to be mafia than Grack?

Show nested quote +
On May 23 2017 23:10 LightningStrike wrote:
I rather lynch Palmar over Grack but I don't like both of those lynches fo rmy stated reasons but if Ihad to choose PAlmar of Grack I rather lynch Palmar due to the possiblity he could of been framed. It would PB but only because he wasn't really suspected and thoguht be very townie yet he hasn't died before the claim stuff. I think this game is continueing because he knows he got this game in the pocket.

That and TW did spew Grack as town as well as spewing me town.


And if you were scum with him, what stops you from telling him to spew you town?

You're an experienced player, so you could easily tell him to do this, and then you could use it to your advantage as you're doing now.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 21:14 GMT
#2797
On May 24 2017 06:07 LightningStrike wrote:
PB why you didn't switch your vote to Grack and instead kept your vote on me without trying to push for my lynch?


I explained why I think you are scum over Grack already. Grack wanted to find out my alignment but you hopped on. I prefer to vote scum over town, and I think you have a bigger chance of being scum so I vote you. I did push you and defend palmar multiple times today and I asked sicklurker why he was so convinced. I'm not a god, I can't stop a lynch if 3 people are set on it. I think you're the last scum.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 21:18 GMT
#2802
On May 24 2017 06:16 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 06:14 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:07 LightningStrike wrote:
PB why you didn't switch your vote to Grack and instead kept your vote on me without trying to push for my lynch?


I explained why I think you are scum over Grack already. Grack wanted to find out my alignment but you hopped on. I prefer to vote scum over town, and I think you have a bigger chance of being scum so I vote you. I did push you and defend palmar multiple times today and I asked sicklurker why he was so convinced. I'm not a god, I can't stop a lynch if 3 people are set on it. I think you're the last scum.

You know you wasted your vote by not trying to get a 2nd wagon on Grack or not being on Palmar?


I wasted my vote? Lol I voted you, then voted Grack when someone voted him, voted you again when someone voted you. But everyone kept tunneling palmar and the majority of votes were on him. And now you try to blame me for it lol.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 21:23 GMT
#2808
On May 24 2017 06:19 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 06:18 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:16 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:14 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:07 LightningStrike wrote:
PB why you didn't switch your vote to Grack and instead kept your vote on me without trying to push for my lynch?


I explained why I think you are scum over Grack already. Grack wanted to find out my alignment but you hopped on. I prefer to vote scum over town, and I think you have a bigger chance of being scum so I vote you. I did push you and defend palmar multiple times today and I asked sicklurker why he was so convinced. I'm not a god, I can't stop a lynch if 3 people are set on it. I think you're the last scum.

You know you wasted your vote by not trying to get a 2nd wagon on Grack or not being on Palmar?


I wasted my vote? Lol I voted you, then voted Grack when someone voted him, voted you again when someone voted you. But everyone kept tunneling palmar and the majority of votes were on him. And now you try to blame me for it lol.

Dude you knew I was open on a potential grack lynch yet you didn't try to vote him EoD why you think I tried to ask sicklucker if he was here?


Alright but let's say you're mafia. And you want to kill Grack over Palmar. Why should I let you?

I know everyone wants Palmar dead so if Grack flips town, and Palmar goes next, you win.

So I am not going to cooperate with my #1 scumread

How about you convince me you're town before I start cooperating votes with you? Your plan only makes sense if I assume you are town, which is something I did not assume, and still don't assume.

I'm not tunneled on you, but I think you look worse than Grack, and I think SL looks the best.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 23 2017 21:31 GMT
#2812
On May 24 2017 06:24 LightningStrike wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 06:23 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:19 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:18 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:16 LightningStrike wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:14 Prison Break wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:07 LightningStrike wrote:
PB why you didn't switch your vote to Grack and instead kept your vote on me without trying to push for my lynch?


I explained why I think you are scum over Grack already. Grack wanted to find out my alignment but you hopped on. I prefer to vote scum over town, and I think you have a bigger chance of being scum so I vote you. I did push you and defend palmar multiple times today and I asked sicklurker why he was so convinced. I'm not a god, I can't stop a lynch if 3 people are set on it. I think you're the last scum.

You know you wasted your vote by not trying to get a 2nd wagon on Grack or not being on Palmar?


I wasted my vote? Lol I voted you, then voted Grack when someone voted him, voted you again when someone voted you. But everyone kept tunneling palmar and the majority of votes were on him. And now you try to blame me for it lol.

Dude you knew I was open on a potential grack lynch yet you didn't try to vote him EoD why you think I tried to ask sicklucker if he was here?


Alright but let's say you're mafia. And you want to kill Grack over Palmar. Why should I let you?

I know everyone wants Palmar dead so if Grack flips town, and Palmar goes next, you win.

So I am not going to cooperate with my #1 scumread

How about you convince me you're town before I start cooperating votes with you? Your plan only makes sense if I assume you are town, which is something I did not assume, and still don't assume.

I'm not tunneled on you, but I think you look worse than Grack, and I think SL looks the best.

If you thought Palmar was town why not attempt to convince me to switch votes to Grack at that time even if you thought I was scum?


Because I prefer people kill Palmar then you, over killing Grack then Palmar, because you're a higher scumread for me than grack is

What part is hard to understand? I have a question for you as well: why vote someone you didn't want to lynch. I know you're going to blame me or sicklurker for not being around but you could've coordinated with Palmar and you could've made your intentions clear earlier. I made my intentions clear during the entire day, but only last moment do you want to switch, and most of your arguments are made after Palmars flip, it's like you're overcompensating and making up excuses for being on the vote
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 24 2017 21:53 GMT
#2822
Alright so here's my thought process. I made it kind of clear that I'd lynch lightningstrike today yesterday. i Showed no hints that I could be persuaded in lynching anyone else, and my stubbornness this game hasn't gone unnoticed to scum, so here's my interpretation of the night:

If Lightning Strike is scum -> he would nightkill me, and try to convince sicklurker that Grack is scum.

If Grack was scum -> he'd leave me alive, most likely.

So this points towards Grack being more likely scum. But could be WIFOM as well. But if LightningStrike were scum, would he really nightkill sicklurker over me? I don't think that makes sense at all, which is mainly what's pointing me towards Grack right now.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 24 2017 21:55 GMT
#2823
LightningStrike, who are you leaning towards being scum?

Grackaroni, what are your thoughts?
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 24 2017 22:57 GMT
#2825
On May 24 2017 06:34 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 24 2017 06:22 sicklucker wrote:
On May 24 2017 06:14 Grackaroni wrote:
It might actually be SL btw.


thats it boy keep your nk options open

If you're mafia can you NK me please?


This is a bit awkward. Trying to distance from the nightkill?

Why would you want to be nightkilled? Shows to be not invested in this game at all, couldn't care less. Also, where are you now? If I had to decide right now my vote would be on you.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 25 2017 02:58 GMT
#2829
Well too late to change that
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 25 2017 04:54 GMT
#2831
Yea I agree with lightningstrike which is why I think it has to be grack tbh

Like no way lightning would leave me alive after I stated intent to kill him (and sicklurker stated no intent at all)
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 25 2017 18:59 GMT
#2839
If LightningStrike is scum then he's some next-level psycho for leaving me alive and gambling on me breaking my tunnel, I can't take those odds as I showed no hint that I would ever vote someone else yesterday, so I vote grack. If I'm wrong, well played.
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 18:58 GMT
#2852
I still think it's grack and he hoped I would auto-lynch lightningstrike today

it doesn't help that he's willing to switch to me now, because if he thinks lightningstrike is scum, then it's better to try to convince me to lynch lightningstrike instead, but he gave up pretty quickly on that after I made my intention clear

I want to see gracks flip because I think we won this game. him saying I played brilliant if I was scum but bad if I was town could be a method to manipulate me into unvoting, because no one wants to be called bad on their first game, obviously. but I'm not going to fall for that

I just can't see lightningstrike leaving me alive here, so it's pretty auto from my PoV
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 19:00 GMT
#2854
I don't think I played that bad, especially if I'm right on grack, but I learned a lot nonetheless. if I'm wrong on grack then lightningstrike played it excellent, but I don't see that as a likely possibility
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 19:04 GMT
#2856
my response to that:

I actively tried to get sicklurker killed throughout the game

I have not been active as the same people due to time zones mainly, so often when I was online others weren't, and when others were I wasn't. but I've pushed sicklurker a lot. I didn't push you as much because I was less certain, that was more a possibility, not a hard read. I associated HF and sicklurker because of early interactions (HF kept telling me to look elsewhere), but when sicklurker hard bussed HF I knew I was obviously wrong. I don't think scum would kill him there, as they could've easily killed palmar for example, it didn't make sense for them to be a team based on that
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 19:07 GMT
#2858
On May 27 2017 04:02 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 27 2017 03:58 Prison Break wrote:
I still think it's grack and he hoped I would auto-lynch lightningstrike today

it doesn't help that he's willing to switch to me now, because if he thinks lightningstrike is scum, then it's better to try to convince me to lynch lightningstrike instead, but he gave up pretty quickly on that after I made my intention clear

I want to see gracks flip because I think we won this game. him saying I played brilliant if I was scum but bad if I was town could be a method to manipulate me into unvoting, because no one wants to be called bad on their first game, obviously. but I'm not going to fall for that

I just can't see lightningstrike leaving me alive here, so it's pretty auto from my PoV

I just don't like that I'm the only one filtering. I think it would be really clever if as scum you pushed LS and then killed SL and flipped based off that. Since LS already wanted to kill me before it basically ensures that I get lynched.



wouldn't it be smarter to leave my options open as scum? the flipflop could also be seen as suspicious. I don't think my play would be good from a scum PoV

I read through the filters but nothing in it changed my mind. yes, HF pushed lightningstrike which could be scum vs scum, but that still doesn't explain the sicklurker nightkill over myself, so it is not strong enough for me to think lightningstrike is scum now
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 19:18 GMT
#2860
there's 2 differences though

- sicklurker specifically didn't tell scum what he was going to do, so leaving him alive would be a gamble

- I have been stubborn this game, so would lightningstrike really assume that I was going to change my mind based on this reasoning?

it's wifom nonetheless
Prison Break
Profile Joined April 2017
326 Posts
May 26 2017 23:49 GMT
#2998
thanks for the compliments, I'm glad with my play, but I'm aware I got lucky because this is my first game, I'm aware I will have to work harder in future games

I think HF played really well and got alive=scummed, even if this wasn't a good game for his standards (according to others, I haven't read his other games)

I'm glad we won of course, but I'm especially glad because we seemed to be starting out fine,
then TW got redchecked and HF got alive=scummed, so I got nervous for a second there. Getting
the cop nightkill through was crucial here. We actually RB'd palmar and thought he was the doc when we did that - so we got it right for the wrong reason, but it helped a lot

also part of the reason of my inactivity was because I was scum, but part of it was also because I had to get used to all the names and the site meta etc. so I was legit overwhelmed and had to read things multiple times before I could comment

I think the hardest part was that I was so townread, that I had to find an excuse to not be nightkilled, which is kind of why I did the 180 from LS to grack, because it would at least explain why grack would leave me alive

also didn't understand the palmar lynch

and what's up with everyone not reading the game though, lol
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