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[T][M] Resistance V - Section 31 - Page 155

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 12:44 GMT
#3081
On November 15 2015 20:43 Vivax wrote:
Good news folks. I'm doing a palmaresque backwards reread of the game and currently think that rayn was probably the mafia messing with every mission.

Check this out, it's around the mission Xata issued.

Pre-mission-pass:

Show nested quote +
On November 05 2015 10:47 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Fuck you are so town sl.


Show nested quote +
On November 05 2015 11:20 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On November 05 2015 11:18 sicklucker wrote:
im gonna be so salty if sicklucker pockets me



Post-mission-pass:

Show nested quote +
On November 06 2015 09:21 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Haha^^

GJ town game is gg.


Show nested quote +
On November 07 2015 18:29 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I never pushed SL to be on the mission.


As you see, he actually believes the mission passes, then he comes back and realizes that everyone else has another opinion and immediately defends himself from the notion that he wanted SL on a mission. That doesn't add up

Paying more attention to the way he talks to Rels pre-mission, it looks to me like he gets angry to have an excuse to leave. Pushes scum on Shockey and Rels, but especially on Rels.

Will post more as I keep on reading.

Eh, he had a super strong townread on Xatalos and a townread that was significantly less strong on SL. He did advocate for putting Superbia on the mission over SL after all, so it does make sense.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 13:15 GMT
#3082
I need to correct one part of the argument: Rayn posted the thing about him not pushing SL after the mission failed, not after it was passed. I misread the time there.

On November 08 2015 01:03 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Xatalos who do you actually think is most likely to be scum rn?
I don't like the "this guy is scum and then two of these five other people".

Three people, most likely to be mafia, ok?


On November 08 2015 01:05 raynpelikoneet wrote:
If you are going to put both Rels & Shockeyy there you have to explain why my analysis on them does not make sense.


This might be semantics/a mistake but asking Xata to explain why he would scumread Shockey shouldn't make sense from rayn's perspective, he should be glad of Xata accepting Shockey being scum.

Then we proceed to this:

On November 09 2015 23:41 raynpelikoneet wrote:
##Nominate: raynpelikoneet, kitaman, Rels, Superbia


On November 10 2015 00:02 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Probably not since all of sl/shockeyy/hts/artanis are gonna vote no, i assume you are gonna vote no too.


Half the Sky - YES
Xatalos - YES
Artanis[Xp] - NO
raynpelikoneet - YES
ShoCkeyy - YES
Rels - YES
sicklucker - NO
kitaman27 - YES
Vivax - YES


So the mission fails. Only SL and Artanis vote no as predicted. HTS and shockey vote yes.

What happens afterwards is that rayn commits suicide by host for some reason.
But that at a time where he could have done this:

Go wtf on the 2 yes votes and immediately start looking for the mafia on that wagon.

Given what he said about those voting no, rayn here would have immediately gone for a team of HTS/Shockey/??? Xatalos!

Cause SL voting no here and Xata voting yes should have immediately put Xata into the scummy corner for him.

But that wasn't possible cause then the mission wouldn't have failed.


So the only conclusion to be gained from this mission is that either rayn, Xata or kita were mafia, which would have made it impossible for HTS and shockey to be mafia too.

Instead of thinking logically here, rayn decided to throw a tantrum of rage on purpose, cause the only logical conclusion to be had was that he was dead wrong and that he would look much worse.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 13:28 GMT
#3083
Fuck you Vivax you're making me actually reconsider Rayn and I don't want to
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 13:32 GMT
#3084
Actually I think it fits with townRayn after all. He does like his tunnels and he was 100% sure Xata was town.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 13:34 GMT
#3085
So I was typing this as you rudely started seeding doubt.

Anyway, game is already solved. Kita is clearly mafia for creating narratives on both me and Vivax rather than actual cases, actually construing things that are towny to make it look mafia. He's also been extremely disconnected from the thread, just doing his own thing and interacting once or twice at most before just discontinuing and going back doing his own thing.

Rels is mafia for doing things he accused me of. He made a team he doesn't even believe in himself with two of his scumreads on it, as well as the fact that he's been pushing everyone in the start based on trivial stuff. He also couldn't explain why he flipped on Rayn very well. The team he sent in is clearly WIFOM and it means nothing as there's 0 chance he actually expects it to go through, with everyone and their mum scumreading him. It might actually make it more likely that everyone on there is town so that SL can wifom himself into adding a scum (which appears to be working).

SL clearly isn't scum for how much he's tryharding and struggling to put on a team as well as suggesting not to put himself on a mission to do it by mission 5. SL doesn't try hard unless he feels he has to and if he was mafia he really didn't need to at this point.

Rayn is probably town due to the way he was interacting with people and actually held back at the start, but eventually caved in and went full you-aren't-being-logical-so-you-must-be-scum-townrayn. The way he behaved aligned up exactly with how I'd expect townrayn to behave.

Xata is scum due to everything HtS has said. Being very vague in general, not properly evaluating HtS and also PoE. SL and Rayn probably aren't scum so he has to be.

I will be yayvoting the team, especially since the only semi-doubtful member of my 6-person town team isn't in there, and I just don't think Rels actually expects this mission to have any chance of going through.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 13:39 GMT
#3086
So Rels and kita downvoted Xata's mission because? Was it really that obvious it would pass that they'd deem it bus-worthy?
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 13:43 GMT
#3087
On November 15 2015 22:32 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Actually I think it fits with townRayn after all. He does like his tunnels and he was 100% sure Xata was town.


How could he be after the mission he issued failed?

HTS shockey are scumreads, he thinks it's an all town team, yet they both vote yes when he thought it would be no.

SL votes no.
Xata votes yes.

He should be 100 % town to himself as town.

Where's the conclusion that Xata could be scum?

But if Xata is scum then what are HTS and Shockey? All of them weren't on the mission that just failed!
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 13:49 GMT
#3088
On November 15 2015 22:39 Vivax wrote:
So Rels and kita downvoted Xata's mission because? Was it really that obvious it would pass that they'd deem it bus-worthy?

Kita had positioned himself against Xata, so he couldn't vote yes. He was also null I believe on SL, so voting yes and having it fail would make him look really bad.

Rels had also been suspicious of Xata after the whole Super/Xata thing. Actually weird since he then proceeded to also be suspicious of Superbia, then moved onto casting suspicion on Rayn and I don't even know what's going on anymore. I don't believe he shared a read on SL beyond null at that point.

It doesn't really matter though, Rels is scum for the rest of the game.
Artanis[Xp]
Profile Blog Joined December 2005
Netherlands12968 Posts
November 15 2015 13:51 GMT
#3089
On November 15 2015 22:43 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2015 22:32 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Actually I think it fits with townRayn after all. He does like his tunnels and he was 100% sure Xata was town.


How could he be after the mission he issued failed?

HTS shockey are scumreads, he thinks it's an all town team, yet they both vote yes when he thought it would be no.

SL votes no.
Xata votes yes.

He should be 100 % town to himself as town.

Where's the conclusion that Xata could be scum?

But if Xata is scum then what are HTS and Shockey? All of them weren't on the mission that just failed!

Simple: He thought the reasons he had why Xata was town were stronger than anything thrown into his face. Rayn likes his tunnels.

Those two could still be scum until Mission 2 failed, which is why he voted yes; he thought it was SL/HtS/Shockeyy.

I'm not saying it's good not to re-evaluate stronger than he did after a mission failed, but I also don't think it falls outside of TownRayn expectations.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 14:01 GMT
#3090
If you're town trust me and don't yay-vote anything until it's clear wtf spies have been doing.

Your scumteam is what I was at yesterday before rereading anything but it's too easy. And Ockhams razor isn't how you play mafia.

Not everything that rages and gets mad at stupid things is a town rayn. He uses being mad as an excuse when he plays mafia.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 14:07 GMT
#3091
Maybe I'm just being stupidly paranoid again, cause this argument is still golden imo:

Noone who was in the failed second mission voted yes, so if SL is scum as you say, there's 1 spy who decided not to win the game by voting yes cause ... ??????


Except that Fidei said not all votes were sent in, so something might be fishy about this.
Tbh I think it would be fair to know who defaulted to "no", the voting outcome should be public, but it might be game breaking, idk.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 14:27 GMT
#3092
Lemme think:

Shockey and HTS voted yes to every failed mission except shockey on the first.
They also voted yes to shockeys nom.

But the spy who sabotaged mission two voted no. My tinfoil is on Coag.

Day 1
Xatalos Nomination (Xatalos, rayn, sicklucker)
Vote Result

Half the Sky - YES

raynpelikoneet - YES

MISSION IS APPROVED

Day 2
raynpelikoneet's Nomination (raynpelikoneet, kitaman, Rels, Vivax)
Vote Result

Half the Sky - YES

raynpelikoneet - YES

MISSION IS APPROVED

Day 3
ShoCkeyy's Nomination (Shockey, Vivax, Half the Sky, sicklucker)
Vote Result

Half the Sky - YES

Coagulation - NO <- probably doesn't even know how the game works.

MISSION IS REJECTED

In summary, here's an accurate depiction of HTS and rayn this game in regards to failed teams:

[image loading]

Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 14:36 GMT
#3093
On November 10 2015 07:18 raynpelikoneet wrote:
HtS is scum because of two reasons:
- there are at least seven instances where she displays she is not reading the thread properly and just saying stuff that is completely incorrect
- she is purposefully trying to antagonize me. the stuff she points out is completely wrong and i am gonna go into this tomorrow in more detail, i just don't care to post and dig stuff up rn. Even if she is delusional enough to actually believe in what she says the fact is she reads me town and she has shown she knows what saying things like that (bashing on my play -- especially in games where i actually have played well) do to me. There is absolutely no town motivation to purposefully try to antagonize your townreads. That is a fact. There is only scum motive for that --> to try to make me play not optimally.


A few posts later:

- She makes up bullshit reasons to call me scum.


This isn't town rayn broski
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
November 15 2015 15:26 GMT
#3094
Honestly Vivax, I saw that (3903) as NAI, he was so mad at me, he was probably playing at full tilt. We've had a few clashes before, and I just dismissed that as NAI. In any case, if you and others are still taking issue to rayn's meta and voting record, then run with these teams.

rayn (if town) was so tunnelled on me, he wasn't going to believe anything I said and I know he will storm back into the thread to spite me post-game. IDK, just keep reading all the comments....I see that as full tilt rayn (which is NAI) and not mafia rayn, but he pulls this shit on people who don't see things the way he does. I don't think you played Drams and his treatment of rsoultin that game was beyond awful.

I also retorted against that comment "she makes up bullshit reasons" and we just go back and forth, I mean if you really think it's mafia rayn shitting up the thread, then....

Team of 4: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey
Team of 5: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey/myself

If people are paranoid about my voting, then I've tried to give every ample opportunity to explain myself.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
November 15 2015 15:28 GMT
#3095
FINALLY I HAVE SOME TIME
LETS FIND THE FUCKING RATS
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
November 15 2015 15:29 GMT
#3096
On November 03 2015 15:10 raynpelikoneet wrote:
kitaman here is my problem with you atm. You don't actually have a stance on anything until it becomes / when it is "relevant". In hindsight that looks "good" since you are discussing important topics in the game. But if you are scum you only need to include yourself into the team and you can easily call the other two people town and "look good", and when there is an all town team you only have to cast doubt on one player and again -- you can easily call the other two people town.

So here is what i see has happened:
- HtS nominates herself/rayn/Superbia
- you become anti-super, as you yourself put it
- HtS wants to swap Superbia to Xatalos
- you become "anti-Xatalos", and not only that, you even say "maybe i judged Superbia too harsly early on"......

The problem here is that it seems almost too convenient, the topics you discuss. You never really discuss HtS (which is understandable as she is the leader -- and you want yourself into the team). You never really discuss me, just call me town (which makes sense since you couldn't call me scum anyways if you're scum).

So basically, if you are scum here, you take the only possible route you can -- or rather, the route that gives you the best chance of getting scum into the team (if we assume HtS is town here -- and i find it almost impossible you two are scum together). Not only that, you don't actually have any reads, which is kinda funny since you call Xatalos out for that exact reason (when Xatalos actually DOES have reads -- you don't). You have called me town, i assume you think HtS is town, and Superbia and Xatalos are "not trustworthy enough". Isn't it a bit hypocritical to entertain a scenario where Xatalos is not town - or cast doubt on him - for "not giving reads" when you yourself haven't really given any reads?

This is exactly what i was talking about and this is basically how i usually find scum in Resistance (players who are good). People who don't talk about the game as whole, and only focus on "important" parts on the game -- the team in question. It's really easy to "look townie" if you only have to "prove" you are town, and two townies are town, rofl.

There is also this problem where if all the townies play like this the town will never get a team through. Three townies are not going on the first mission anyways, and what i see here is the characteristics of "i am a better pick than this guy, but i don't really even call him scum, nevertheless this team is not good". So, here is what i want from you;

Detailed reads on everyone, thanks.
Let's see where you stand for real.


On November 05 2015 01:51 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I didn't want to say this early on in the game but it seems like the game is not going anywhere right now since it HAS TO be a fact there are too many townies scumreading other townies so i'll say it now.

The best way of playing Resistance, at least what i have figured out is to play the first cycle as you were playing mafia. What Rels said is completely untrue, just because if mafia does not look town they cannot bus, everything is situational. The way to play is to give out reads, town and scumreads. While townreads are "more important" here, the fact is that mafia doesn't want an all town team to go on a mission, that should be obvious. Now if scum are bussing, it hinders their changes of getting a mission where there is scum on it to go through, just because they have to downvote missions (unless they themselves are the scum there).

Now if mafia busses, and there happens to be a town leader, they might find themselves in a situation where they must accept an all town team, because otherwise they give themselves away. You can't just have three scumreads and when a mission goes up where all the people there are townread by you, you just can't say "i am nay-voting this team, because...".

The fact is mafia needs to play reactionary in this game. That leads us to a situation, where people who are hesitant to give out reads are more likely to be mafia -- or if mafia gives out reads early on, they have harder time winning the game and it is more likely for them to fuck up the game (as they can't even communicate outside the thread).



And that is exactly why i read you scum early on kitaman. I saw these characteristics in your play. Technically there is nothing "wrong" in what you said during the first 1,5 irl-days, but you were not being pro-active, i found you out to be reactionary, which is a scum trait. Like you said here:
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 04 2015 00:41 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 15:10 raynpelikoneet wrote:
if you are scum


Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 15:10 raynpelikoneet wrote:
So basically, if you are scum here


The problem here is that you are making the assumption that I am scum and then using my play to "prove" that assumption. The argument is invalid because you come to your conclusion and then piece together evidence that fits the scenario.

Of course I am going to discuss whether or not superbia or Xatalos should be included in the team. Everyone should be discussing them. Discussing SL, Artanis, and Shoccky is more difficult because they have posted less content. I did provide my thoughts on on Shoccky. I still have no idea about SL. Artanis I shared dissatisfaction about his post nomination reaction, but I will need to reread. Convincing HTS that she is a spy as leader doesn't accomplish anything and I felt okay with your inclusion. There are only eight other players in the game. That leaves Rels I guess, which I've been on the fence. I will go into further detail later.

Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 15:10 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Isn't it a bit hypocritical to entertain a scenario where Xatalos is not town - or cast doubt on him - for "not giving reads" when you yourself haven't really given any reads?


Perhaps but I feel that I do have reads, though I probably could have expressed them in a single post or something to make it easier to follow. List posts at this point are kinda meh though, but I'll oblige sometime today.

Yes, again, technically you are absolutely correct here. I created a narrative and called you scum for it. Well to be exact i explained to HtS why your play doesn't make you town, but yes, i found out your play to be more likely to come from scum. But in my opinion i have good reasons to think the narrative i was entertaining is the right one.

Now let's go onto your reads:
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 04 2015 04:28 kitaman27 wrote:
Here are my reads so far. I'm sure they will change as time goes on. Admittedly there is a lot of wishy/washy or null reads. I'm still not completely sure about anyone really.

Half the Sky - Leaning town.

At the start of the game, I was concerned with the fact that she essentially posted exactly what I typically hear from scum players 6-12 hours into the game when I rarely choose to participate much. Since then, she has stayed pretty active and shows evidence of reading the thread. At certain points there was a pretty easy opportunity to

My biggest concern would be that between her, myself, rayn, xatalos, and superbia was that she really did not seem to explain herself very well why she went from one to the other as nominations changed. At the end of the day, there were little suspicions towards anyone in the group of five, yet its pretty unlikely the entire group is town.

raynpelikoneet - Leaning town.

I'm willing to give him town points right off the bat for saving us from having to play with VE.

In general he seems to be pushing forwards discussion and looking at player-player relationships to try to piece things together. The plan that he put forward with the scum nominations may be really poor, but a couple posts suggest that he actually believes in it.

I hate the way he talks in absolutes regarding alignments of players that he certainly can't be so sure of. The conclusions come way too quick. However, I know he tends to do that a lot as town from past experience as well.

Xatalos - Leaning mafia

Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 08:56 Xatalos wrote:
He was also constantly engaged with the thread... Not really sure how it's comparable to you.


This is a flat out false statement to justify his town read on Superbia. Superbia was NOT constantly engaged with the thread. He was absent aside from the start of the game, a 1 hour period where he made several posts, and a return post where he promised future reads. How can a player be both engaged and disconnected from the game at the same time. I question the validity of the town read because he isn't aware of Superbia's absence when several other players start to question the drop off.

Furthermore, he justifies the scum read on me by stating that I am ignoring discussion topics. That makes Xatalos's mindset look even worse when you compare it to his defense of Superbia. Superbia never even comments about the nomination aside from a 1-liner after the fact that he has never elaborated on. I shared my suspicions on both Superbia and Xatalos during the nomination phase and my satisfaction with both HTS and rayn as nominations. It seems like Xatalos generated his reads a few hours into the game and hasn't re-evaluated based on the events of the thread, which I view as a scum trait.

Superbia - Weakly leaning town

Superbia + Xatalos doesn't stand out as teammates and I think Xat looks worse between the two. That's probably the biggest reason that I have him slightly townier than NULL. If I re-evaluated my read on Xata, I'd probably need to do the same here.

Show nested quote +
On November 02 2015 20:43 Superbia wrote:
I usually start off with lots of big town-reads, not sure where the rest of town is this game lol.


This post felt genuine.

He had no input regarding nominations. I won't necessarily interpret this as spy motivated since he has essentially been absent from the thread, rather than lurking.

Show nested quote +
On November 02 2015 20:41 Superbia wrote:
Xat's initial post set me off. Saying something like "this is a nightmare for scum" has two results
1. It distances you from "scum".
2. It downplays scum.

1. Is NAI. 2 is super weird from a town perspective, and leans me more towards mafia. I feel like if you were town and believed this you would've focused on the strength of town, rather than the weakness of mafia, and as a result, would've said something along the lines of "mafia gonna get #rekt #noqt" (or something less trolly). Regardless I feel like commenting on how "weak" mafia is is mafia indicative as it sets up for a lax game.

Now I already had a very real suspicion that you knew that this set up is not a "nightmare" for scum, as you have played resistance(/avalon) before (noted by you correctly associating my merlin comment with avalon). So that double begs the question why you felt the need to point out that mafia was "weak".


I felt this post was exaggerated. He suggests that Xat is pushing a mafia agenda with the nightmare for scum post in order to catch town off guard. I simply don't think a mafia Xat is looking that far ahead. If anything, I'd say reason 1 makes more sense. Trying to interpret what a town Xat would enter the game as is a complete guessing game so I felt he was really stretching his read here.

sicklucker - Null

lol there is always at least one of these guys

I'm really bad at reading low effort players. Usually it comes down to looking at their past games and seeing if the low effort trend occurs as only a single alignment (I haven't done this yet, but it is on my to-do list). We aren't really in a position to exclude him for the rest of the game so hopefully we get a few more reads. I guess the posts on Xata is a start.

Artanis[Xp] - Going to hold off until we see a few more posts from him. I'm not very sure where his head is at. At some point someone mentioned that had a very strong read on him. If you could elaborate, that might be helpful.

ShoCkeyy - I'm struggling between low thread presence mafia and "lynch bait" town.

He doesn't seem comfortable giving out statements which he isn't confident about. This could either mean that truly isn't sure and wants more time until it is clear or that he doesn't want to make a statement that could backfire later on in the game. I didn't like the meta read he made on rayn by taking only the experience from the game he has played. There were a few other statements that seemed like they came from town. "I will rject this combination" etc.

I took a look through some of his past games. There were a few similarities that popped up.

Show nested quote +
On May 19 2015 05:36 ShoCkeyy wrote:
I didn't ignore it and I never said GB was mafia directly, nor do I think he's mafia yet after throwing posts at him to see his argument style which I didn't much see in the Palmar posts due to reasons. I do however keep him under my list and already have mentioned my claim.


Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 23:08 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Tell me where I directly called you scum.. This is the third time I've asked you to.





Show nested quote +
On June 19 2015 05:42 ShoCkeyy wrote:
GB can you stop completely ignoring my questions and stop ignoring the read I asked to do of me? And don't tell me it's because I have a small filter (wtf kind of logic is that). Tell me why I shouldn't vote for you?


Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 22:59 ShoCkeyy wrote:
He was ignoring me when I was trying to engage with him. Doesn't make him scum, but it makes the scum meter raise.





Show nested quote +
On December 15 2010 05:25 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Another thing, notice how d3_crescentia doesn't name Amber[Light] in his post ... But then I throw Amber[Light]'s name into my post and now Amber[Light] is ALSO voting for me. You guys are obvious enough that you both are teaming up against people trying to save the town. Obvious Scums are Obvious.


Show nested quote +
On May 19 2015 06:36 ShoCkeyy wrote:
I just like the fact that I call three people out today and I'm getting ganged up on like in the beginning with they ganged up on damdred. If it doesn't smell like obvious mafia players, then Idk what is obvious.


Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 00:26 ShoCkeyy wrote:
However in this game, that buddying up can also be assumed to knowing they're both spies. The other reason I came up to that is how they both question Rels together. Rels and rayn first started off and then Xata jumped in afterwards.





Show nested quote +
On February 24 2010 11:41 ShoCkeyy wrote:
I'm waiting till the next day to post all of my analysis of people. I've learned from the last game to just sit back and watch.


Show nested quote +
On November 03 2015 00:43 ShoCkeyy wrote:
Mostly everyone is still null for me. The first team still hasn't even gone out yet.


All of these quotes come from games where he is mafia compared against posts from this game. I know this method of scum hunting can be a bit dangerous because you're cherry picking posts without context, but there were enough similarities between his play that it warrants concern. From his town games, I didn't really have success picking up many trends aside from generally low post counts, though he was willing to call players scum without having "proof" like he suggests in his most recent post.

I'd say Shockeyy would be in my exclude list for the time being.

Rels - Weak town

He is changing his mind a lot, which suggests read progression. A lot of the posts that he is making wouldn't necessarily further his position to get included in a mission, which gives him town points. Getting into a fight with rayn early on in the game and digging up stuff on HTS when a lot of people town read her could create problems for him if he wanted to be trusted by the more vocal players. He brings a fair amount of new topics to the thread and seems to believe in most of the stuff he is posting.

Something of interest is that our reads don't match up very well. Usually when town hunting you look for people that are thinking similar things. I need to decide whether one of us are off by a significant amount or if he is pushing a mafia agenda by swaying the thread in a certain direction.

sicklucker and Artanis - i disagree on the null read. I have explained why.
Superbia - i agree, almost definitely. I disagree with the "over-explaining" stuff. I would still say i am weakly leaning town on him, but later on his presence has been underwhelming, and people are right in saying he hasn't given opinions on much.
ShoCkeyy - You have expanded on this and my thoughts on what you said match exactly. My problem is i don't usually care to explain stuff that is really obvious, and it is really obvious he is scum and why he is scum, has been for a long time.

HtS/Xatalos/Rels - here is where this gets tricky.

I kinda understand the read on HtS. What gives me pause on HtS is the fact that he last-second swapped Xatalos to you. Now i don't think you are both mafia with HtS. The problem is why does he swap? I don't find her reasoning good. She basically did that because you called Xatalos mafia, and she townread you for it. As i said -- if you are town here, and Xatalos is town, there is a perfectly good scum motivation to switch Xatalos <-> you, just because you are scumread by more people than Xatalos is (or at least was, at that time). I understand this doesn't make her scum, but i can't understand why she does the swap, especially as she STILL thinks Xatalos is town (the team on her/me/xatalos was definitely more likely to get yay-voted than her/me/you). I mean like; if she is scum, and picks you over Xatalos, then i don't know which one of you is scum -- hell it's probably (at least at that point) more likely i am gonna call you scum over her (which never happens if the mission gets sabotaged with her/me/xatalos). Do you see my point? I also don't like her downgrading Xatalos even below Superbia, just because "she liked Superbia's latest post"..... Those are the things that bother me on HtS atm, otherwise i think her posting is fine.

I am really conflicted with your reads on Rels and Xatalos. The first thing that raises my eyebrows is the fact that you read other people based on motivation, but there is zero analysis of motivation regarding Xatalos. The read on Xatalos is actually based on something you think is scummy in what he has said. The fact is, if you read Rels' posts in this light, there is literally way way way more things that are just plain out fucking scummy. Why do you jsut ignore them when you read Rels, and give a read like "he is engaged and changes his opinion", when Xatalos actually does the same thing.

It's like...
- from Xatalos you pick something that could be scummy, and ignore everything else (his play as whole)
- from Rels you ignore the things that could be scummy, and say he is town for his play on whole
It makes very little sense to me. Especially when i think your case on Xatalos is really weak.

The fact is Xatalos does not read the thread entirely properly as town. As mafia he is way more "clean" and actually thinks more than he posts. As town it is the other way around. You claim that he is scum for certain things he said about Superbia and you. The thing is, there is no reason for Xatalos to say what he said about Superbia if he is mafia (especially if Superbia is town). Why does he give out a townread on him based on "shit reasons" when he has scumread Superbia before? It doesn't make any sense, especially if the reasoning is -- as you claim -- made up, and he doesn't genuinely think so. I also think the read on you at the time was not scummy at all, because i felt the exact same way about you back then.

On the other hand there is Rels. I would like to ask you this:
- Why do you think his read (reasoning/changes on it) on me throughout the game is not scummy?
- Why do you think his townread on ShoCkeyy was not scummy? It was literally based on the worst, and the most scummy post in this thread.
- Why is it impossible that he changes his read on HtS when he does (or rather -- more likely to come from town)? If HtS is town (as you assume) and i am town (as you assume) and i think you assume you are town anyways --> HtS has put on a team that is all town, what choise does he have? He has to call someone scum. I don't find his reasoning to be even good.
- Why do you read Rels town for his "level of engagement". Rels is a player whose engagement level is pretty close to what it is as town as mafia. You could compare that to people like HF/bugs/you/DP/marv/me (when the last two plays scum properly). I can also tell you that Xatalos' level of engagement isn't the same as either alignment...

I literally can't see why you townread Rels.



The next thing i want to talk about is this:
Show nested quote +
On November 04 2015 01:00 kitaman27 wrote:
Frankly rayn, for you to even suggest a plan like this that is so poorly thought out makes me more suspicious of you.

I don't like this post, and the fact that you are not looking behind the words at all. Let's break this into pieces:
My reasoning for doing this is the following:
1) town - i believe that you three are scum (in which case it makes this the best play if all of you three agree - it just does, as the town auto-wins after regardless of what team we choose next )
2) town - i believe there is a chance that you all three are scum, and i know you will never agree to this as either alignment
3) mafia - idk... you can insert your reasoning here because you seem to think there could be a reason, i can't give one, since i am not mafia and i would never do that when i am ALREADY on the team and (heavily) townread by 7 other players....

Now the point of all this was a couple of things:
- Rels; i didn't learn anything, although he called my logic "twisted", and i still don't know why. maybe he explains it someday, as there is nothing twisted in my logic. (i am pretty sure Xatalos & Artanis see what i was after here)
- ShoCkeyy; i don't really care since he is scum anyways, but he thinks i am scum (regardless of what he tries to say -- he does), so why does he accept a team proposed by scum? Like.. if i was scum i would put a teammate there, obviously, i am not stupid.
- regarding you, i wanted to push your reads out, because i was annoyed of you not giving any concrete reads. I know you would never agree to this regardless of who is mafia and regardless of your alignment. The thing that confuses me is that you kinda called me scummy for it, when there is literally no scum motivation for me to do that (i actually did a similar "anti-town" thing in Nuclear Winter mafia (which never had any anti-town motivation that anyone could explain) -- and caught Ace pants down on N1 ).



Anyways, my problem right now is the following.

Your read on Xatalos (and his (and my) read on you) is the biggest issue here, since other people can't agree to anything. The fact is that there is basically no other team than me/you/Xatalos that will EVER go to the first mission based on people's reads and how they differ from other people's reads.

I am really really sure Xatalos is town. So it basically leaves me with; I have to prove to other people you are scum (for them to agree onto some fucking team ever), or if you are town i have to prove you that Xatalos is town -- and vice versa (otherwise no team will go until ShoCkeyy posts a team and it will 100% fail).

Like... you have to admit there is a chance you are wrong on Xatalos. I don't find your case good. I admit i COULD be wrong on Xatalos, i am just really fucking sure of my read, more sure than anything else in this game. I also admit i am not sure if you are mafia or town, because historically i am not that good in reading you and i kinda end up thinking you are scum in any game we are in.

That's why i am basically trying to talk to you (and Xatalos -- at least later on). I think the key of your two alignments is the key to solving this game. So if you could answer my concerns it would be nice.


Posts 648 and 1018, similar sentiment for the former on what you said re: Kita.

Vivax, do you think those posts are mafia motivated as well?
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
November 15 2015 15:31 GMT
#3097
On November 15 2015 23:07 Vivax wrote:
Maybe I'm just being stupidly paranoid again, cause this argument is still golden imo:

Show nested quote +
Noone who was in the failed second mission voted yes, so if SL is scum as you say, there's 1 spy who decided not to win the game by voting yes cause ... ??????


Except that Fidei said not all votes were sent in, so something might be fishy about this.
Tbh I think it would be fair to know who defaulted to "no", the voting outcome should be public, but it might be game breaking, idk.


As for this, tbf I think most moderators most games make it clear that if votes don't go to all moderators, and the "wrong" moderator tabulates the votes....too bad, but that gets around any risk of breaking the game.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
November 15 2015 15:33 GMT
#3098
On November 15 2015 23:01 Vivax wrote:
If you're town trust me and don't yay-vote anything until it's clear wtf spies have been doing.

Your scumteam is what I was at yesterday before rereading anything but it's too easy. And Ockhams razor isn't how you play mafia.

Not everything that rages and gets mad at stupid things is a town rayn. He uses being mad as an excuse when he plays mafia.


Like I told SL, though yesterday, fair enough.

But I am feeling much similar to Artanis right now.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Rels
Profile Joined August 2008
France13467 Posts
November 15 2015 15:35 GMT
#3099
On November 15 2015 04:23 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 15 2015 04:08 Rels wrote:
On November 15 2015 01:53 Half the Sky wrote:
Well it should be obvious to everyone else, but just in case, purposely leaving myself off, I would propose the following teams if I was leader.

Team of 4: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey (Shockey is switchable for Coag depending on how people feel)
Team of 5: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey/Coagulation

I strongly feel that rayn was town, but if people have had doubts on him respective of his voting record, I am confident in the other four.

I have nothing to hide.

Vivax is not here and this is the last time I'm here before getting insanely drunk so let's go with that. No SL though.
##Nominate Artanis/Vivax/HTS/Shockey


Hmm, so now you're saying me or rayn failed the second mission? o.O

Yep. Vivax could have won the game right there and didn't. He was here at deadline, when apparently it was super clear multiple people pushed for the YES. If he's scum, he let a chance to win right there fly by him. I will consider him confirmed town unless something drastic happens.
So yeah, either rayn or you is scum. Probably rayn.
Vivax
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
21948 Posts
November 15 2015 15:36 GMT
#3100
On November 16 2015 00:26 Half the Sky wrote:
Honestly Vivax, I saw that (3903) as NAI, he was so mad at me, he was probably playing at full tilt. We've had a few clashes before, and I just dismissed that as NAI. In any case, if you and others are still taking issue to rayn's meta and voting record, then run with these teams.

rayn (if town) was so tunnelled on me, he wasn't going to believe anything I said and I know he will storm back into the thread to spite me post-game. IDK, just keep reading all the comments....I see that as full tilt rayn (which is NAI) and not mafia rayn, but he pulls this shit on people who don't see things the way he does. I don't think you played Drams and his treatment of rsoultin that game was beyond awful.

I also retorted against that comment "she makes up bullshit reasons" and we just go back and forth, I mean if you really think it's mafia rayn shitting up the thread, then....

Team of 4: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey
Team of 5: Artanis/Vivax/sicklucker/Shockey/myself

If people are paranoid about my voting, then I've tried to give every ample opportunity to explain myself.


SL/Vivax are locked in and indestructible town reads.
But Xata has done some townie shit too so that leaves rayn as mafia, I have a pretty good record of reading Xata correctly, I think I've caught him in every game where he was mafia and read him as town correctly in every game too. I'm not going to dig it all up but maybe he's willing to confirm.

And I think rayn bussed the hell out of you. It just made no sense for him to get mad about you calling his play in some game shit. I think it was an act, otherwise if he gets mad he does it for a reason and if you respond to him in a calm demeanor he can tone it down and say something normally. He didn't do that with you. He acted like he hated you all this game and yet you both always voted the same on the fail teams.

I'm just not sure about nr. 3 scum. It can be Artanis or Shockey. Shockey more unlikely.

SL/me/??/??

Need to talk to kita and Xata some more to move things forward. Rels too but maybe he's busy with something, given what has happened in France.
I wouldn't even have expected Xata to play yesterday after we all were so sure it was an all town team, in the case he's spy. Yet he stuck around and mused about things while I told him to concede.
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